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The article presents forecasts for the economic growth, the inflation and the political stability in Iran for 2013-2017. Economic hardship will increase the risk of social unrest. The gross domestic product growth will contract by 2.1 percent in 2013/14. It also informs that inflation has accelerated in 2013 and was up by nearly 42 percent year on year in May 2013.

This publication provides a political and economic report on Greece as of August 2013. It provides an outlook for 2013-2017 including political instability, social unrest and economic hardship that could trigger a default and an exist from the euro area. Inflation is expected to turn negative in 2013 and to rise to 0.1 percent in 2014. Opinion polls showed that Syriza and New Democracy (ND) are competing for the top spot.

The article offers economic and political forecasts for 2013-2017. It expects a possible collapse of the ruling PSUV government because of worsening social unrest that may lead the military to step in to restore order, forcing early elections. Poor macroeconomic fundamentals, stagnating oil production and deteriorating infrastructure are expected to cause the slow growth of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2013 which will remain weak throughout the forecast period.

The article presents political and economic forecast for Greece for 2013-17. Greece's 3-party coalition led by the centre-right New Democracy (ND) which took office after the June 2012 election is expected to fall by 2014. While left-wing Syriza party may come first in a snap election, ND is still expected to lead the next government. Political instability, social unrest and economic hardship may trigger a disorderly debt default leading to an exit from the euro zone.

The report presents an outlook for political and economic conditions in Venezuela from 2013 to 2017. The Economist Intelligence Unit Ltd. expects the political outlook to remain unstable because of the question regarding the legitimacy of President Nicolás Maduro. The firm also assesses the impact of worsening social unrest. Forecasts for the country's economic indicators, including gross domestic product (GDP), inflation and domestic demand, are also given.

The report presents an outlook for political and economic conditions in Greece from 2013 to 2017. According to the Economist Intelligence Unit Ltd., the ruling coalition will collapse by 2014. The firm expects political instability, social unrest and economic hardship to trigger a disorderly debt default in Greece. Forecasts for the country's economic indicators, including gross domestic product (GDP), inflation and exchange rates, are also given.

The article presents a country report for Bosnia and Hercegovina for 2013-2017 in terms of its politics and international relations. It mentions that the politics in the country will remain shaky and its austerity measures will add-up to the social unrest. It adds that the country signed a stabilization and association agreement (SAA) with the European Union (EU) in 2008 but it needs to relaunch the reform process if the country does want to lag with other Balkan countries.

The article presents a political and economic outlook for Greece for 2013-2017. It expects the Syriza Unifying Social Front to win the election. A debt default is predicted due to political instability, social unrest and economic hardship. Iinflation is also expected to remain low. Information on the country's fiscal and monetary policy, international relations, economic growth and exchange rates is also provided.

The article presents information on the economic and political conditions in Nigeria and offers an outlook for 2012-2016. It is expected that President Goodluck Jonathan and the People's Democratic Party (PDP) will remain in power until the 2015 elections. Social tensions and violent unrest threatens the country's political stability. Real gross domestic product (GDP) growth is expected to reach above seven percent in 2014-2016.

The article discusses the economic and political trends in Serbia and forecasts their conditions for 2012 to 2016. It mentions that the victory of Tomislav Nikolic in the May 2012 election throws the country into a period of uncertainty and instability. It emphasizes that Nikolic government will face tough challenges in economic policy. It also notes the possible risk of social unrest and the increase of real gross domestic product (GDP) by 0.7 percent as the euro zone slides into recession.

This publication presents information on Canada. It provides an outlook on the country's politics and economy for 2012-2016. Details of political and economic developments in Canada for May 2012 are given including the social unrest in Quebec, the budget bill that changes regulation of energy projects and the projected economic growth of 2.4 percent for 2012 and 2013 from the quarterly monetary policy report from the Bank of Canada (BOC).

The article presents a political outlook for Vanuatu for 2012-13. It expects a fractious political scene in the country during the forecast period amid the continued threat posed by no-confidence motions. It notes the possibility of unrest across the country due to its recent accession to the World Trade Organisation. Also expected is tense relations with Australia and New Zealand.

A country report for Vanuatu as of April 2012 is presented. It expects a fractious political scene for the country during the 2012-13 period amid the government's vulnerability to no-confidence motions. It notes the possibility of unrest in the country due to its recent accession to the World Trade Organisation. Its fiscal deficit widened to 2.2% of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2011 amid a 4.3% economic expansion.

The article forecasts the political condition and condition of the economic policy in Lithuania for 2012-2016. It states that Lithuania will be governed by disparate coalitions and distrust of politicians will remain widespread while particular risk for social unrest as seen in the high levels of unemployment and budget cuts in public-sector wages. Moreover, budget deficits will remain more than the gross domestic product (GDP) limit in 2012 and forecasts Lithuania's economic condition.

The article reports on the political conditions in Lithuania. It informs that the country's opposition party Order and Justice's leader Valentinas Mazuronis has announced that it would ask for the resignation of the foreign affairs minister and justice minister for helping the Belarusian authorities in imprisoning the human right activist Ales Byalyatski. It further informs about the condition of social unrest in the country due to the disagreement between the government and the trade unions. INSET: Vilnius mayor reveals his plans for election.

The article presents information on the economic and political conditions in Yemen and offers an outlook for 2011-2012. The country is said to be in deep political crisis, with its president, Ali Abdullah Saleh, recovering in Saudi Arabia following an assassination attempt. Its expected that real gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to decline by 5.5 percent due to declining oil output and economic disruption caused by social unrest.

This publication presents information on Yemen. It describes the political and economic conditions in the country as of July 2011, and provides political and economic forecasts for 2011-2012. Yemen is experiencing a political crisis. President Ali Abdullah Saleh was forced stay in Saudi Arabia after an assassination attempt, and his tenure as president is believed to be over. Real gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to contract sharply in 2011 due to social unrest and falling oil output.

The article focuses on the political scene and economy of China. It mentions that social unrests in regions of China with ethnic-minority such as Tibet and Xinjiang continues because of unfair treatment of disadvantage people. It states that its relation with Pakistan will remain strong despite the accusation of U.S. officials that Pakistani officials have sheltered Osama bin Laden. It says that while inflation and investment increase, bank lending, growth of money supply, and export slowed.

The article presents the political and economic forecast for Lithuania for 2011-2015 by the Economist Intelligence Unit Ltd. (EIU). It says that EIU expected risk of social unrest in the early forecast period due to high levels of unemployment and budget cuts in wages in the public-sector. It relays that populist political parties particularly the Labor Party is in good position to increase their support in the next parliamentary election scheduled in October 2012.

The article presents an outlook on the political sector of Tajikistan for 2011-2012, focusing on factors that may contribute to the threat of political instability to the administration of President Imomali Rahmon. It relates the increasing the capability of regional Islamist groups to stage attacks. It discusses the possibility for the increase in social unrest caused by poverty, high inflation and unemployment. It examines the likelihood for Rahmon to stand for and win re-election in 2013 despite the fact that he is currently in his third term.

The article presents an update on the political sector of Tajikistan. Some of the factors that may contribute to the possibility of political and social unrest in the country in 2011-2012 include the increasing capability of regional Islamist insurgents to stage attacks and the growing number of young Tajiks who have little memory of the nation's civil war in the 1990s. It describes the efforts of authorities to combat opposition forces. It relates the actions taken by the government to increase its control over the Internet and the media.

The article presents an outlook on the economic and political sectors of Tajikistan. Some of the factors that may contribute to the threat of political instability facing the country in 2011-2012 include the increasing the capability of regional Islamist groups to stage attacks and popular grievance caused by poverty and unemployment. It expects Tajikistan's economic growth to slow further in 2012 in line with declining commodity prices. It offers forecast on the country's real gross domestic product (GDP) growth for 2011.

The article provides a political outlook for Saudi Arabia for the period 2011-2015. During the forecast period, the rule of the Al Saud family is expected to remain secure although there is a risk of a wave of social unrest. Any democratic reform or any move to an elected parliament before 2015 is said to be unlikely while political parties are expected to remain illegal. The country is predicted to pursue an active foreign policy.

The article presents an outlook on the political and economic sectors of Venezuela for 2011-2015. Some of the factors that may increase the risk of politically motivated violence and social unrest in the country during the forecast period include fractious relations between the government and opposition and rising public dissatisfaction. It expects Venezuela to post an economic expansion of only 2.3% in 2011. The cost of living in the country is anticipated to increase faster than official data suggest.

The article discusses an economic outlook for Nigeria for 2011-2015. The country is expected to realize economic expansion all throughout the forecast period, averaging over 6.5% annually. Political unrest in the Niger Delta, which has been growing despite efforts by the government to find a solution, may also affect growth in the oil and gas industries.

The article offers an overview of the domestic political scene in Czech Republic as of January 2011. It notes the dominance of post-election coalition formation in Czech politics, as well as public reaction to the alliance between the Civic Democratic Party and the Czech Social Democratic Party. In November 2010, four laws were passed by the Senate that approved 46 billion Czech koruna in spending cuts. There has been an increase in unrest in the state sector as a result of the government's fiscal austerity measures.

A country report for Czech Republic as of January 2011 is presented. It expects the centre-right coalition government to have a strong mandate to address the structural public finance deficit from 2011-15. Domestic economic growth is expected to be weak in 2011 due to the slowdown in the euro zone and fiscal austerity. Also expected is for trade balance to remain in surplus over the medium term. It notes that fiscal austerity measures by the government have led to an increase in unrest in the state sector.

The article offers political and economic forecasts for Greece for 2011-2015. Industrial unrest is expected to threaten political stability at a time when Greece is implementing the austerity package that it agreed with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the euro zone in order to gain access to a 110 billion euros lending facility. Gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to decline 3.3% in 2011 before stagnating in 2012 and averaging 1.4% in 2013-1015. The country's public debt is projected to increase to about 156% of GDP by the end of 2011.

The article presents a monthly review on the political scene in Argentina for January 2011. It highlights the emergence of social unrest after the death of former President Nestor Kirchner, particularly the conflict between police and squatters in Villa Soldati, which led to the establishment of a Ministry of Security by the government. Furthermore, President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner is expected to face a problematic task of controlling social unrest in the coming months.

The article presents a political outlook for Thailand for 2011-15. Despite Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva's repeated assurance of his commitment towards national reconciliation following the violence that ended the mass anti-government protests in Bangkok, a long-term resolution for the political divisions is deemed unlikely to be established in the coming years. United Nations (UN) Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon expressed support towards Abhisit's national reconciliation initiative.

The article offers economic and political outlook for Venezuela for 2011-2015. The fractious relation between the government and opposition caused by the September 26, 2010 legislative election is expected to heighten the risk of politically-motivated violence and social unrest in the country. The likelihood of the deterioration of Venezuela's relations with Colombia is high during the forecast period. The economic growth outlook is poor, with the recession projected to drag into 2011 with a weak recovery from 2012.

The article forecasts the political condition of Serbia for 2010-2011 with regards to its domestic politics and international relations. It mentions that the government is expected to come under intense pressure and a serious risk of social unrest is anticipated. It also states that the progress towards Serbia's European Union (EU) membership is dissatisfactory. The implications of the decision of the International Court of Justice (ICJ) regarding Kosovo's independence declaration are noted.

A country report for Portugal for 2010 is presented. It notes the challenge posed by the budget deficit to the Socialist Party (PS) government. It expects an effort by the government to raise taxes from mid-2010 and to boost spending cuts from 2011. The projected drop in gross domestic product (GDP) in 2011 is 6.7%. It also notes the emergence of indications of social unrest over the extent and severity of fiscal adjustment in the country.

The article presents a country report for Romania as of July 2010. It provides basic facts about the country and an overview of its political structure. Its outlook for 2010-2011 highlights the social unrest rooted in cuts to public spending, a forecast of slow economic recovery, and the increase in the rate of value-added tax (VAT). An analysis for Romania's performance in the political and economic sectors as well as in foreign trade and payments is included.

The article discusses the events that led to the political turmoil in Thailand, which began in Bangkok on April 10, 2010. It states that prior to this, thousands of people gathered in the capital in March to peacefully demonstrate against the government. They were led by the United Front for Democracy Against Dictatorship (UDD), calling for parliament to be dissolved and general elections to be held. On April 7, however, the prime minister declared a state of emergency, and violence erupted three days later, which led to hundreds injured and 25 killed.

The article presents an outlook on the political and economic sectors of Romania for 2010-2011. It notes the risk facing the Romanian government that will not serve out its full term until the next parliamentary election in late 2012. It expects social unrest to destablise the government in 2010-11 due to harsh cuts to public spending. A slow economic recovery is also expected for the country. The country was criticized by the European Commission for its failure to maintain the pace of its judicial reform.

The article presents an outlook on the political and economic sectors of Egypt for 2010-2011. Protests against inadequate salaries and poor living standards are expected to bring sporadic outbreaks of social unrest for much of the forecast period. The government will introduce economic reform measures aimed at raising the living standards and at creating jobs. Egypt is predicted to post a real gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 5.7% in the 2010 to 2011 period.

The article presents the political and economic outlook for North Korea for 2010 to 2011. Problems facing the government include the growing political and social unrest, and the call by international governments for the suspension of its pursuit of nuclear-weapon test. The political leadership of Kim Jong-il and possible succession by his third son, Kim Jong-un, are examined. It details the country's bilateral relations with the U.S., South Korea and China, among others.

This article provides an outlook for political and economic conditions in Egypt from 2010 to 2011. The Economist Intelligence Unit Ltd. expects outbursts of social unrest due to the economic slowdown. The firm forecasts the fiscal policy to remain strongly expansionary in fiscal year 2009/2010. It also expects more reduction in the interest rate by the Central Bank of Egypt. In addition, the firm sees growth in the country's real gross domestic product (GDP).

The article offers information on the economic and political conditions in Egypt and offers an outlook for 2009-2010. It notes the preparations being made by the government for the parliamentary election scheduled in 2010 but social unrest is expected as the poor continue to suffer from the worsening economic conditions. It mentions the interest rate cuts implemented by the Central Bank of Egypt. In August and September 2009, transport and garbage collection services were disrupted in Cairo.

The article offers political and economic information on Yemen. It states that the rising social unrest in the county will cause the Yemeni government to prioritise stability over political and economic reform. Prices of oil and oil production will be much lower in 2009-2010, compared in 2008. Growth forecasts in 2009-2010 have been lowered due to news that first shipments of liquefied natural gas (LNG) are not expected until September 2009 at the earliest.

A country report for Egypt as of July 2009 is presented. It expects sporadic outbursts of social unrest in 2009-10 as a result of a slowdown in the domestic economy and growing dissatisfaction with the government. The economic reform programme of the government is intended to raise living standards and create jobs. Also expected is a widening of the fiscal deficit during the forecast period. Particular focus is given to the government's continued crack down on the Muslim Brotherhood.

The article presents information on the economic and political conditions in Egypt and offers an outlook for 2009-2010. It is predicted that an economic slowdown will worsen social discontent and spark unrest for the whole year. Tax receipts for 2008-2009 held up but fiscal deficit is expected to widen for the forecast period due to the fiscal stimulus package and a slowdown in tax revenue growth.

The article offers political and economic outlook for Egypt for 2009-2010. It sees that a slowdown in the domestic economy, which will disproportionately affect the poor, is likely to exacerbate social discontent and spark unrest. It is expected that the government will continue to press ahead with its programme of economic reform, aimed at raising living standards and creating jobs. The current account is forecasted to remain in deficit during the period, but the deficit will be smaller in 2010.

A country report for Egypt as of March 2009 is presented. Social discontent in the country will be affected by a slowdown in the domestic economy. The government's economic reform is aimed at raising living standards and job creation. It expects a 3.8% gross domestic product (GDP) growth in 2008-09. The government is also expected to meet its full-year budget targets based on figures released by the Ministry of Finance for the first seven months of 2008-09.

The article explores the political outlook in Morocco for 2009-2010. Under the ruling of the king, Mohammed VI, the political condition is expected to remain stable in 2009-2010. However, sporadic social unrest over economic inequalities are predicted. The country's relations with Algeria is expected to be plagued by bouts of tension. The government is likely to continue to promote a state-sanctioned interpretation of Islam, and monitor mosques closely.

The article presents an update and forecast on economic and political conditions in Egypt, as of October 2008. Social unrest and demonstrations are expected to continue to take place over the next 12 months due to increasing social discontent caused by high prices for staple goods. A rockslide in northern Cairo in September 2008 caused the death of more than 100 people, leading to strong criticism of state social housing provision.

The article presents information on the economic and political conditions in Egypt. It is predicted that social unrest and demonstrations in the country due to the continuous price increases of staple foods will extend until 2009. On August 8, 2008, the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) has increased interest rates for the fifth time within the year. Fertilizer company Agrium has agreed with the government of Egypt to merge its operations in the country with a local company.

The article reports on the economic policy in Egypt, as of May 2008. Because of a higher tax take, fiscal revenue increased by almost 29 percent year on year, which was above budget projections of a 4 percent increase. Rising inflation and food supply problems resulted in social unrest and vocal protests among Egyptians in some areas. The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE), due to rising inflation, increased interest rates for the third time in 2008, on May 9.