151. 经验频率公式的比较与选择.
- Author
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慕 平 and 慕 星
- Abstract
Currently, dozens of empirical frequency formulas have been developed by various countries since the beginning of last century. However, the differences of these empirical frequency formulas directly affect the subsequent analysis, calculation and determination of parameters which have significant impacts on the estimation of design flood. In this paper, by comparing various empirical frequency formulas, analyzing the relative deviation of the empirical frequency formulas, and preliminary verifying the differences of empirical frequency formulas with the measured storm floods series, the conclusion shows that the relative error of the maximum flood recurrence period is the largest, and the relative error of flood recurrence period that less than 20 years is smaller. In order to minimize the theoretical errors of the empirical frequency formulas in the estimation of design flood, and minimize data errors caused by extra-large and extra-small value in short flood series, simple and unbiased empirical frequency formula should be adopted in practice. With regard to relative long flood series, the median formula or mathematical expectation formula are recommended for frequency or recurrence period estimation, and the first order (the second order) and the last order of the frequency or recurrence period are recommended as reference values. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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