The aim of this report is to present a synthesised analysis of the correlation between the consequences of climate change and armed conflict. The report identifies and explores the progressive link between the ecological and social effects of climate change and how it increases the likelihood of armed conflict. It demonstrates that, whilst there is no direct link between climate change and the increased threat of armed conflict, the ecological and social effects of climate change create, to a varying degree depending on the context of each society, a progressive pathway towards social disruption and armed conflict. The ecological and social effects that are emphasised in this report are resource scarcity, degradation and loss of good agricultural land, economic decline, migration, social fragmentation and political instability. The ecological effects of climate change will not have the same social implications for every society. It is the ability of the individual society to adapt to such ecological changes that is an important factor in determining the degree to which armed conflict becomes an increased threat. The ability to adapt to the consequences of climate change is one that is highly dependent on the institutional structures of individual societies and their access to resources, and therefore is one of great global disproportion. That is to say, there is a great divide between the resource and knowledge accumulation of the global North and South on how to cope with the effects of climate change, and lower the risk of social disruption and conflict. Climate change is a multidimensional issue. Whilst the current discussion on the global level concerns the ecological consequences of climate change and the need for mitigation strategies, the social dimensions of climate change also produce problems that need to be addressed. The following research has been conducted with a focus on the social problems that are predicted to arise from the ecological consequences of climate change and the importance of a society's ability to adapt to these changes. This report argues that, whilst there is not a direct link between climate change and armed conflict, there is a progressive pathway between the ecological and social effects of climate change, social disruption and conflict. The findings reveal a correlation between the ability of a society to adapt to the consequences of climate change and the likelihood of armed conflict. The report identifies three areas of particular importance: demonstrating the progressive link between climate change and the increased likelihood of conflict, the ability of a society to adapt to the ecological effects of climate change, and recommendations on how societies can be aided in the adaptation process. According to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCC), climate change is best understood as a 'change of climate which is attributed directly or indirectly to human activity that alters the composition of the global atmosphere and which is in addition to natural climate variability observed over comparable time periods'. This report focuses on the '[c]hanges in the physical environment or biota resulting from climate change which have significant deleterious effects on the composition, resilience or productivity of natural and managed ecosystems or on the operation of socio-economic systems or on human health and welfare'. Whilst there is no direct connection between climate change and armed conflict, it is the adverse effects of climate change that create a progressive pathway towards an increase in the likelihood of social disruption leading to armed conflict. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]