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Examines the effectiveness of antiplatelet therapy for thromboprophylaxis. Reduction of the thromboembolism with the therapy and with subcutaneous heparin; Effects of the reduction of pulmonary embolism for people at higher risk; Effects of antiplatelet therapy on surgical bleeding.

The article examines potential reasons behind a decline in the response of potential participants to mailed invitations to participate in large randomized trials to test treatment efficacy and safety. It states focus groups were used to examine reasons for the failure of potential participants to take part in the studies. It mentions a lack of transportation and mobility issues were the most common reason given in declining invitations along with concerns about treatment side-effects.

Questions In patients with acute ischemic stroke, what is the risk for intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) with alteplase therapy? Does risk for ICH differ by age, treatment delay, or stroke severity? Scope Included studies compared IV alteplase with placebo or an untreated control in patients with acute ischemic stroke. Primary outcome was ICH, defined as type 2 parenchymal hemorrhage at 7 days; Safe Implementation of Thrombolysis in Stroke Monitoring Study's (SITS-MOST) hemorrhage (type 2 parenchymal hemorrhage on imaging and ࣙ 4 point increase from baseline in National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale [NIHSS], or death within 36 h of treatment); or fatal ICH at 7 days. Methods Individual patient data meta-analysis of 9 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) identified from a previous systematic review and by contacting trialists and manufacturers of alteplase. 6756 patients (mean age 71 y, 55% men) were included. 8 RCTs were placebo-controlled. Data were analyzed using an intention-to-treat approach, and subgroup analyses were done by age (ࣘ 80 y and > 80 y), treatment delay (ࣘ 3.0 h, > 3 to ࣘ 4.5 h, and > 4.5 h), and baseline stroke severity (NIHSS ࣘ 4, 5 to 10, 11 to 15, 16 to 21, and ࣙ 22; higher score = increased severity). Main results Individual patient data meta-analysis showed that alteplase increased ICH by each definition (Table). Relative risk for ICH did not differ by age, treatment delay, or stroke severity (all P for interaction > 0.05), but absolute excess risk for ICH increased with increasing stroke severity (P < 0.05). Conclusion In patients with acute ischemic stroke, alteplase increases intracerebral hemorrhage and risk increases with baseline stroke severity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The article focuses on a meta-analysis that explored the risk for vascular and upper gastrointestinal (GI) events with nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), and states that the study concluded that selective cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2) inhibitors increase adverse outcomes compared with placebo, while traditional NSAIDs increase risk for heart failure hospitalization. It also presents comments on the meta-analysis and suggests that NSAIDs should be used at the lowest effective dose.

An abstract of the article "Aspirin in the primary and secondary prevention of vascular disease: collaborative meta-analysis of individual participant data from randomized trials," by C. Biagent and colleagues is presented.

The article cites that selective cyclo-oxygenase-2 (COX2) inhibitors increase the risk of serious vascular events more than placebo and naproxen but more than non-naproxen traditional nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs. Studies of intravenous administration of selective COX2 inhibitors in patients after coronary artery bypass surgery have shown increased risk of vascular events within days.

Background: Lowering of LDL cholesterol with standard statin regimens reduces the risk of occlusive vascular events in a wide range of individuals. We aimed to assess the safety and efficacy of more intensive lowering of LDL cholesterol with statin therapy.Methods: We undertook meta-analyses of individual participant data from randomised trials involving at least 1000 participants and at least 2 years' treatment duration of more versus less intensive statin regimens (five trials; 39 612 individuals; median follow-up 5·1 years) and of statin versus control (21 trials; 129 526 individuals; median follow-up 4·8 years). For each type of trial, we calculated not only the average risk reduction, but also the average risk reduction per 1·0 mmol/L LDL cholesterol reduction at 1 year after randomisation.Findings: In the trials of more versus less intensive statin therapy, the weighted mean further reduction in LDL cholesterol at 1 year was 0·51 mmol/L. Compared with less intensive regimens, more intensive regimens produced a highly significant 15% (95% CI 11-18; p<0·0001) further reduction in major vascular events, consisting of separately significant reductions in coronary death or non-fatal myocardial infarction of 13% (95% CI 7-19; p<0·0001), in coronary revascularisation of 19% (95% CI 15-24; p<0·0001), and in ischaemic stroke of 16% (95% CI 5-26; p=0·005). Per 1·0 mmol/L reduction in LDL cholesterol, these further reductions in risk were similar to the proportional reductions in the trials of statin versus control. When both types of trial were combined, similar proportional reductions in major vascular events per 1·0 mmol/L LDL cholesterol reduction were found in all types of patient studied (rate ratio [RR] 0·78, 95% CI 0·76-0·80; p<0·0001), including those with LDL cholesterol lower than 2 mmol/L on the less intensive or control regimen. Across all 26 trials, all-cause mortality was reduced by 10% per 1·0 mmol/L LDL reduction (RR 0·90, 95% CI 0·87-0·93; p<0·0001), largely reflecting significant reductions in deaths due to coronary heart disease (RR 0·80, 99% CI 0·74-0·87; p<0·0001) and other cardiac causes (RR 0·89, 99% CI 0·81-0·98; p=0·002), with no significant effect on deaths due to stroke (RR 0·96, 95% CI 0·84-1·09; p=0·5) or other vascular causes (RR 0·98, 99% CI 0·81-1·18; p=0·8). No significant effects were observed on deaths due to cancer or other non-vascular causes (RR 0·97, 95% CI 0·92-1·03; p=0·3) or on cancer incidence (RR 1·00, 95% CI 0·96-1·04; p=0·9), even at low LDL cholesterol concentrations.Interpretation: Further reductions in LDL cholesterol safely produce definite further reductions in the incidence of heart attack, of revascularisation, and of ischaemic stroke, with each 1·0 mmol/L reduction reducing the annual rate of these major vascular events by just over a fifth. There was no evidence of any threshold within the cholesterol range studied, suggesting that reduction of LDL cholesterol by 2-3 mmol/L would reduce risk by about 40-50%.Funding: UK Medical Research Council, British Heart Foundation, European Community Biomed Programme, Australian National Health and Medical Research Council, and National Heart Foundation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Although statin therapy reduces the risk of occlusive vascular events in people with diabetes mellitus, there is uncertainty about the effects on particular outcomes and whether such effects depend on the type of diabetes, lipid profile, or other factors. We undertook a prospective meta-analysis to help resolve these uncertainties.Methods: We analysed data from 18 686 individuals with diabetes (1466 with type 1 and 17,220 with type 2) in the context of a further 71,370 without diabetes in 14 randomised trials of statin therapy. Weighted estimates were obtained of effects on clinical outcomes per 1.0 mmol/L reduction in LDL cholesterol.Findings: During a mean follow-up of 4.3 years, there were 3247 major vascular events in people with diabetes. There was a 9% proportional reduction in all-cause mortality per mmol/L reduction in LDL cholesterol in participants with diabetes (rate ratio [RR] 0.91, 99% CI 0.82-1.01; p=0.02), which was similar to the 13% reduction in those without diabetes (0.87, 0.82-0.92; p<0.0001). This finding reflected a significant reduction in vascular mortality (0.87, 0.76-1.00; p=0.008) and no effect on non-vascular mortality (0.97, 0.82-1.16; p=0.7) in participants with diabetes. There was a significant 21% proportional reduction in major vascular events per mmol/L reduction in LDL cholesterol in people with diabetes (0.79, 0.72-0.86; p<0.0001), which was similar to the effect observed in those without diabetes (0.79, 0.76-0.82; p<0.0001). In diabetic participants there were reductions in myocardial infarction or coronary death (0.78, 0.69-0.87; p<0.0001), coronary revascularisation (0.75, 0.64-0.88; p<0.0001), and stroke (0.79, 0.67-0.93; p=0.0002). Among people with diabetes the proportional effects of statin therapy were similar irrespective of whether there was a prior history of vascular disease and irrespective of other baseline characteristics. After 5 years, 42 (95% CI 30-55) fewer people with diabetes had major vascular events per 1000 allocated statin therapy.Interpretation: Statin therapy should be considered for all diabetic individuals who are at sufficiently high risk of vascular events. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Statins reduce LDL cholesterol and prevent vascular events, but their net effects in people at low risk of vascular events remain uncertain.Methods: This meta-analysis included individual participant data from 22 trials of statin versus control (n=134,537; mean LDL cholesterol difference 1·08 mmol/L; median follow-up 4·8 years) and five trials of more versus less statin (n=39,612; difference 0·51 mmol/L; 5·1 years). Major vascular events were major coronary events (ie, non-fatal myocardial infarction or coronary death), strokes, or coronary revascularisations. Participants were separated into five categories of baseline 5-year major vascular event risk on control therapy (no statin or low-intensity statin) (<5%, ≥5% to <10%, ≥10% to <20%, ≥20% to <30%, ≥30%); in each, the rate ratio (RR) per 1·0 mmol/L LDL cholesterol reduction was estimated.Findings: Reduction of LDL cholesterol with a statin reduced the risk of major vascular events (RR 0·79, 95% CI 0·77-0·81, per 1·0 mmol/L reduction), largely irrespective of age, sex, baseline LDL cholesterol or previous vascular disease, and of vascular and all-cause mortality. The proportional reduction in major vascular events was at least as big in the two lowest risk categories as in the higher risk categories (RR per 1·0 mmol/L reduction from lowest to highest risk: 0·62 [99% CI 0·47-0·81], 0·69 [99% CI 0·60-0·79], 0·79 [99% CI 0·74-0·85], 0·81 [99% CI 0·77-0·86], and 0·79 [99% CI 0·74-0·84]; trend p=0·04), which reflected significant reductions in these two lowest risk categories in major coronary events (RR 0·57, 99% CI 0·36-0·89, p=0·0012, and 0·61, 99% CI 0·50-0·74, p<0·0001) and in coronary revascularisations (RR 0·52, 99% CI 0·35-0·75, and 0·63, 99% CI 0·51-0·79; both p<0·0001). For stroke, the reduction in risk in participants with 5-year risk of major vascular events lower than 10% (RR per 1·0 mmol/L LDL cholesterol reduction 0·76, 99% CI 0·61-0·95, p=0·0012) was also similar to that seen in higher risk categories (trend p=0·3). In participants without a history of vascular disease, statins reduced the risks of vascular (RR per 1·0 mmol/L LDL cholesterol reduction 0·85, 95% CI 0·77-0·95) and all-cause mortality (RR 0·91, 95% CI 0·85-0·97), and the proportional reductions were similar by baseline risk. There was no evidence that reduction of LDL cholesterol with a statin increased cancer incidence (RR per 1·0 mmol/L LDL cholesterol reduction 1·00, 95% CI 0·96-1·04), cancer mortality (RR 0·99, 95% CI 0·93-1·06), or other non-vascular mortality.Interpretation: In individuals with 5-year risk of major vascular events lower than 10%, each 1 mmol/L reduction in LDL cholesterol produced an absolute reduction in major vascular events of about 11 per 1000 over 5 years. This benefit greatly exceeds any known hazards of statin therapy. Under present guidelines, such individuals would not typically be regarded as suitable for LDL-lowering statin therapy. The present report suggests, therefore, that these guidelines might need to be reconsidered.Funding: British Heart Foundation; UK Medical Research Council; Cancer Research UK; European Community Biomed Programme; Australian National Health and Medical Research Council; National Heart Foundation, Australia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Cardiovascular disease has declined but remains a major disease burden across developed countries., Objective: To assess the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of statin therapy across United Kingdom population categories., Design: The cardiovascular disease microsimulation model, developed using Cholesterol Treatment Trialists' Collaboration data and the United Kingdom Biobank cohort, projected cardiovascular events, mortality, quality of life and healthcare costs using participant characteristics., Setting: United Kingdom primary health care., Participants: A total of 117,896 participants in 16 statin trials in the Cholesterol Treatment Trialists' Collaboration; 501,854 United Kingdom Biobank participants by previous cardiovascular disease status, sex, age (40-49, 50-59 and 60-70 years), 10-year cardiovascular disease risk [QRISK ® 3 (%): < 5, 5-10, 10-15, 15-20 and ≥ 20] and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level (< 3.4, 3.4-4.1 and ≥ 4.1 mmol/l); 20,122 United Kingdom Biobank and Whitehall II participants aged ≥ 70 years by previous cardiovascular disease status, sex and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (< 3.4, 3.4-4.1 and ≥ 4.1 mmol/l)., Interventions: Lifetime standard (35-45% low-density lipoprotein cholesterol reduction) or higher-intensity (≥ 45% reduction) statin., Main Outcome Measures: Quality-adjusted life-years and incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year gained from the United Kingdom healthcare perspective., Data Sources: Cholesterol Treatment Trialists' Collaboration and United Kingdom Biobank data informed risk equations. United Kingdom primary and hospital care data informed healthcare costs (2020-1 Great British pounds); £1.10 standard or £1.68 higher-intensity generic statin therapy per 28 tablets; and Health Survey for England data informed health-related quality of life. Meta-analyses of trials and cohort studies informed the effects of statin therapies on cardiovascular events, incident diabetes, myopathy and rhabdomyolysis., Results: Across categories of participants 40-70 years old, lifetime use of standard statin therapy resulted in undiscounted 0.20-1.09 quality-adjusted life-years gained per person, and higher-intensity statin therapy added a further 0.03-0.20 quality-adjusted life-years per person. Among participants aged ≥ 70 years, lifetime standard statin was estimated to increase quality-adjusted life-years by 0.24-0.70 and higher-intensity statin by a further 0.04-0.13 quality-adjusted life-years per person. Benefits were larger among participants at higher cardiovascular disease risk or with higher low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Standard statin therapy was cost-effective across all categories of people 40-70 years old, with incremental costs per quality-adjusted life-year gained from £280 to £8530. Higher-intensity statin therapy was cost-effective at higher cardiovascular disease risk or higher low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Both standard and higher-intensity statin therapies appeared to be cost-effective for people aged ≥ 70 years, with an incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year gained of under £3500 for standard and under £11,780 for higher-intensity statin. Standard or higher-intensity statin therapy was certain to be cost effective in the base-case analysis at a threshold of £20,000 per quality-adjusted life-year. Statins remained cost-effective in sensitivity analyses., Limitations: The randomised evidence for effects of statin therapy is for about 5 years of treatment. There is limited randomised evidence of the effects of statin therapy in older people without previous cardiovascular disease., Conclusions: Based on the current evidence of the effects of statin therapy and modelled contemporary disease risks, low-cost statin therapy is cost-effective across all categories of men and women aged ≥ 40 years in the United Kingdom, with higher-intensity statin therapy cost-effective at higher cardiovascular disease risk or higher low-density lipoprotein cholesterol., Future Work: Cholesterol Treatment Trialists' Collaboration has ongoing studies of effects of statin therapy using individual participant data from randomised statin trials. Ongoing large randomised controlled trials are studying the effects of statin therapy in people ≥ 70 years old. Future economic analyses should integrate the emerging new evidence., Funding: This award was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme (NIHR award ref: 17/140/02) and is published in full in Health Technology Assessment ; Vol. 28, No. 79. See the NIHR Funding and Awards website for further award information.

Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are at risk of progressive loss of kidney function, heart failure, and cardiovascular death despite current proven therapies, including renin-angiotensin system inhibitors (RASi), sodium glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i), and statin-based regimens. RASi and SGLT2i reduce risk of CKD progression irrespective of primary cause of kidney disease, suggesting they target final common pathways. Targeting aldosterone overactivity with a nonsteroidal mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist (MRA) also reduces cardiorenal risk in patients with albuminuric diabetic kidney disease already treated with RASi. Together, these observations provide the rationale for trials to assess effects of inhibiting the aldosterone pathway in a broader range of patients with CKD, including those with non-diabetic causes of CKD or low albuminuria. Aldosterone synthase inhibitors (ASi) have emerged as an alternative to MRAs for aldosterone pathway inhibition. Phase II data from 586 patients with albuminuric CKD have shown that 10 mg of an ASi, vicadrostat (BI 690517), reduced urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio by ∼40% compared to placebo with or without concurrent empagliflozin treatment. MRA and ASi increase risk of hyperkalaemia. Combining their use with an SGLT2i may mitigate some of this risk, improving tolerability, and allowing a wider range of patients to be treated (including those with higher levels of blood potassium than in previous trials). The EASi-KIDNEY (NCT06531824) double-blind placebo-controlled trial will test this approach by assessing the safety and cardiorenal efficacy of vicadrostat in combination with empagliflozin in ∼11,000 patients with CKD. It will be sufficiently large to assess effects in patients with and without diabetes separately., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the ERA.)

Background: In the EMPA-KIDNEY trial, empagliflozin, a sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitor, had positive cardiorenal effects in patients with chronic kidney disease who were at risk for disease progression. Post-trial follow-up was designed to assess how the effects of empagliflozin would evolve after the discontinuation of the trial drug., Methods: In the active trial, patients with chronic kidney disease were randomly assigned to receive either empagliflozin (10 mg once daily) or matching placebo and were followed for a median of 2 years. All the patients had an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of at least 20 but less than 45 ml per minute per 1.73 m 2 of body-surface area or an eGFR of at least 45 but less than 90 ml per minute per 1.73 m 2 with a urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (with albumin measured in milligrams and creatinine measured in grams) of at least 200. Subsequently, surviving patients who consented were observed for 2 additional years. No trial empagliflozin or placebo was administered during the post-trial period, but local practitioners could prescribe open-label SGLT2 inhibitors, including open-label empagliflozin. The primary composite outcome was kidney disease progression or cardiovascular death as assessed from the start of the active-trial period to the end of the post-trial period., Results: Of the 6609 patients who had undergone randomization in the active trial, 4891 (74%) were enrolled in the post-trial period. During this period, the use of open-label SGLT2 inhibitors was similar in the two groups (43% in the empagliflozin group and 40% in the placebo group). During the combined active- and post-trial periods, a primary-outcome event occurred in 865 of 3304 patients (26.2%) in the empagliflozin group and in 1001 of 3305 patients (30.3%) in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 0.79; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.72 to 0.87). During the post-trial period only, the hazard ratio for a primary-outcome event was 0.87 (95% CI, 0.76 to 0.99). During the combined periods, the risk of kidney disease progression was 23.5% in the empagliflozin group and 27.1% in the placebo group; the risk of the composite of death or end-stage kidney disease was 16.9% and 19.6%, respectively; and the risk of cardiovascular death was 3.8% and 4.9%, respectively. There was no effect of empagliflozin on death from noncardiovascular causes (5.3% in both groups)., Conclusions: In a broad range of patients with chronic kidney disease at risk for progression, empagliflozin continued to have additional cardiorenal benefits for up to 12 months after it was discontinued. (Funded by Boehringer Ingelheim and others; EMPA-KIDNEY ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03594110; EuDRACT number, 2017-002971-24.)., (Copyright © 2024 Massachusetts Medical Society.)

Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk increases with age. Statins reduce cardiovascular risk but their effects are less certain at older ages. We assessed the long-term effects and cost-effectiveness of statin therapy for older people in the contemporary UK population using a recent meta-analysis of randomised evidence of statin effects in older people and a new validated CVD model., Methods: The performance of the CVD microsimulation model, developed using the Cholesterol Treatment Trialists' Collaboration (CTTC) and UK Biobank cohort, was assessed among participants ≥70 years old at (re)surveys in UK Biobank and the Whitehall II studies. The model projected participants' cardiovascular risks, survival, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and healthcare costs (2021 UK£) with and without lifetime standard (35%-45% low-density lipoprotein cholesterol reduction) or higher intensity (≥45% reduction) statin therapy. CTTC individual participant data and other meta-analyses informed statins' effects on cardiovascular risks, incident diabetes, myopathy and rhabdomyolysis. Sensitivity of findings to smaller CVD risk reductions and to hypothetical further adverse effects with statins were assessed., Results: In categories of men and women ≥70 years old without (15,019) and with (5,103) prior CVD, lifetime use of a standard statin increased QALYs by 0.24-0.70 and a higher intensity statin by a further 0.04-0.13 QALYs per person. Statin therapies were cost-effective with an incremental cost per QALY gained below £3502/QALY for standard and below £11778/QALY for higher intensity therapy and with high probability of being cost-effective. In sensitivity analyses, statins remained cost-effective although with larger uncertainty in cost-effectiveness among older people without prior CVD., Conclusions: Based on current evidence for the effects of statin therapy and modelling analysis, statin therapy improved health outcomes cost-effectively for men and women ≥70 years old., Competing Interests: Competing interests: AK reports research support from Abbott, Amgen, ASPEN, Bayer, Mylan, Novartis, Sanofi, Viatris; speaker fees from Novartis; and is a Data Safety Monitoring Board member for Kowa. JR reports funding from North East London Integrated Care Service. JA reports receiving a grant to their research institution from Novartis for the ORION 4 trial of inclisiran. JS reports receiving grants for his institution from Amgen, Bayer, BMS, MSD, Pfizer and Roche; consulting fees from FivepHusion, and is a chair (unpaid) of STAREE DSMB. CB reports research grants from Boehringer Ingelheim and Health Data Research UK and is a chair (unpaid) of a Data Safety Monitoring Board for Merck. All other authors declare no competing interests., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2024. Re-use permitted under CC BY. Published by BMJ.)

Background and Hypothesis: Hyperuricaemia and gout are common in chronic kidney disease (CKD). We aimed to assess the effects of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibition on uric acid (urate) and gout in patients with CKD., Methods: The EMPA-KIDNEY trial randomised 6609 patients with CKD (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] ≥20 and <90 mL/min/1.73m2) to receive either empagliflozin 10 mg daily or matching placebo over a median of two years follow-up. Serum uric acid was measured at randomisation then 2 and 18 months of follow-up and the effects of empagliflozin were analysed using a pre-specified mixed model repeated measures approach. Participant-reported gout events were analysed in Cox regression models (first events) with the Andersen-Gill extension (total events). A post-hoc composite outcome included new initiation of uric acid lowering therapy or colchicine. EMPA-KIDNEY primary and kidney disease progression outcomes were also assessed in subgroups of baseline serum uric acid., Results: Baseline mean ± SD serum uric acid concentration was 431±114 µmol/L. Allocation to empagliflozin resulted in a study-average between-group difference in serum uric acid of -25.6 (95%CI -30.3,-21.0) µmol/L with larger effects in those with higher eGFR (trend P < 0.001) and without diabetes (heterogeneity P < 0.001). Compared to placebo, empagliflozin did not significantly reduce first or total gout events (HR 0.87, 95%CI 0.74-1.02 for the 595 first events, and 0.86, 0.72-1.03 for the 869 total events) with similar hazard ratios for the post-hoc composite and across subgroups, including by diabetes and eGFR. The effect of empagliflozin on the primary outcome and kidney disease progression outcomes were similar irrespective of baseline level of uric acid., Conclusion: SGLT2 inhibition reduces serum uric acid in patients with CKD with larger effects at higher eGFR and in the absence of diabetes. However, the effect on uric acid is modest and did not translate into reduced risk of gout in EMPA-KIDNEY., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the ERA.)

Objective: It has been suggested that a blunted nocturnal blood pressure (BP) decline is associated with a poor prognosis. Nevertheless, it remains unclear if an abnormal dipping is deleterious per se or it merely reflects an elevated BP during sleep. We aimed to assess the prognostic value of nocturnal BP decline, with or without concomitant elevated nocturnal BP., Methods: Vital status and cause of death were obtained from death certificates in 59 124 patients, enrolled in the Spanish ABPM Registry between 2004 and 2014 (median follow-up: 10 years). The association between night-to-day ratio (NDR) and dipping patterns (extreme dippers, dippers, reduced dippers, and risers) with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were evaluated by Cox-proportional models adjusted for clinical confounders and 24 h blood pressure., Results: NDR was associated with all-cause mortality [hazard ratio for 1SD change: 1.15; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.13-1.17]. Reduced dippers (1.13; 1.06-1.20) and risers (1.41; 1.32-1.51) were associated with an increased risk of all-cause death, whereas extreme dippers (0.90; 0.79-1.02) were not. Elevated NDR (≥0.9) in the absence of elevated night SBP (<120 mmHg) was associated with an increased risk of death (1.13; 1.04-1.22), as well as elevated night SBP but normal NDR (1.38; 1.26-1.50), and the combination of both abnormalities (1.56; 1.46-1.66). Similar results were obtained for cardiovascular mortality., Conclusion: Abnormalities in the circadian pattern are associated with an increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. This is maintained even in the absence of nocturnal BP elevation., (Copyright © 2024 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background and Aims: Thromboxane (TX) A2, released by activated platelets, plays an important role in atherothrombosis. Urinary 11-dehydro-TXB2 (U-TXM), a stable metabolite reflecting the whole-body TXA2 biosynthesis, is reduced by ∼70% by daily low-dose aspirin. The U-TXM represents a non-invasive biomarker of in vivo platelet activation and is enhanced in patients with diabetes. This study assessed whether U-TXM is associated with the risk of future serious vascular events or revascularizations (SVE-R), major bleeding, or cancer in patients with diabetes., Methods: The U-TXM was measured pre-randomization to aspirin or placebo in 5948 people with type 1 or 2 diabetes and no cardiovascular disease, in the ASCEND trial. Associations between log U-TXM and SVE-R (n = 618), major bleed (n = 206), and cancer (n = 700) during 6.6 years of follow-up were investigated by Cox regression; comparisons of these associations with the effects of randomization to aspirin were made., Results: Higher U-TXM was associated with older age, female sex, current smoking, type 2 diabetes, higher body size, urinary albumin/creatinine ratio of ≥3 mg/mmol, and higher estimated glomerular filtration rate. After adjustment for these, U-TXM was marginally statistically significantly associated with SVE-R and major bleed but not cancer [hazard ratios per 1 SD higher log U-TXM (95% confidence interval): 1.09 (1.00-1.18), 1.16 (1.01-1.34), and 1.06 (0.98-1.14)]. The hazard ratio was similar to that implied by the clinical effects of randomization to aspirin for SVE-R but not for major bleed., Conclusions: The U-TXM was log-linearly independently associated with SVE-R in diabetes. This is consistent with the involvement of platelet TXA2 in diabetic atherothrombosis., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

Background: Cardiovascular disease incidence and mortality have declined across developed economies and granular up-to-date cost-effectiveness evidence is required for treatments targeting large populations. To assess the health benefits and cost-effectiveness of standard and higher intensity statin therapy in the contemporary UK population 40-70 years old., Methods: A cardiovascular disease microsimulation model, developed using the Cholesterol Treatment Trialists' Collaboration data (117,896 participants; 5 years follow-up), and calibrated in the UK Biobank cohort (501,854 participants; 9 years follow-up), projected risks of myocardial infarction, stroke, coronary revascularization, diabetes, cancer and vascular and nonvascular death for all UK Biobank participants without and with statin treatment. Meta-analyses of trials and cohort studies informed statins' relative effects on cardiovascular events, incident diabetes, myopathy and rhabdomyolysis. UK healthcare perspective was taken (2020/2021 UK£) with costs per 28 tablets of £1.10 for standard (35%-45% LDL cholesterol (LDL-C) reduction) and £1.68 for higher intensity (≥45% LDL-C reduction) generic statin., Findings: Across categories by sex, age, LDL-C, and cardiovascular disease history/10-year cardiovascular risk, lifetime standard statin increased survival by 0.28-1.85 years (0.20-1.09 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs)), and higher intensity statin by further 0.06-0.40 years (0.03-0.20 QALYs) per person. Standard statin was cost-effective across all categories with incremental cost per QALY from £280 to £8530, with higher intensity statin cost-effective at higher cardiovascular risks and higher LDL-C levels. Stopping statin early reduced benefits and was not cost-effective., Interpretation: Lifetime low-cost statin therapy is cost-effective across all 40-70 years old in UK. Strengthening and widening statin treatment could cost-effectively improve population health., Funding: UK NIHR Health Technology Assessment Programme (17/140/02)., Competing Interests: BM reports research grant from the UK National Institute for Health Research and is a member (unpaid) of the European Society of Cardiology Clinical Practice Guidelines committee. RW, JZ and IS reports research support from the UK National Institute for Health Research. JE reports research funding from the UK National Institute for Health Research, British Heart Foundation, UK Medical Research Council. CR reports research funding from the UK National Institute for Health Research, British Heart Foundation, UK Medical Research Council and NHMRC Australia. AK research support from NHMRC Australia, Abbott, Amgen, Bayer, Mylan, Novartis, Sanofi, Viatris; speaker fees from Novartis; and is a Data Safety Monitoring Board member for Kowa. JA reports receiving a grant to their research institution from Novartis for the ORION 4 trial of inclisiran and. JS reports receiving grants for his institution from NHMRC Australia, Amgen, Bayer, BMS, MSD, Pfizer and Roche; consulting fees from FivepHusion, and is a chair (unpaid) of STAREE DSMB. CB reports research grants from UK National Institute for Health Research, UK Medical Research Council, Boehringer Ingelheim and Health Data Research UK, is a chair (unpaid) of a Data Safety Monitoring Board for Merck and a chair (unpaid) of the European Society of Cardiology Clinical Practice Guidelines committee. All other authors declare no competing interests., (© 2024 The Authors.)

Background: UK cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence and mortality have declined in recent decades but socioeconomic inequalities persist., Aim: To present a new CVD model, and project health outcomes and the impact of guideline-recommended statin treatment across quintiles of socioeconomic deprivation in the UK., Design and Setting: A lifetime microsimulation model was developed using 117 896 participants in 16 statin trials, 501 854 UK Biobank (UKB) participants, and quality-of-life data from national health surveys., Method: A CVD microsimulation model was developed using risk equations for myocardial infarction, stroke, coronary revascularisation, cancer, and vascular and non-vascular death, estimated using trial data. The authors calibrated and further developed this model in the UKB cohort, including further characteristics and a diabetes risk equation, and validated the model in UKB and Whitehall II cohorts. The model was used to predict CVD incidence, life expectancy, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and the impact of UK guideline-recommended statin treatment across socioeconomic deprivation quintiles., Results: Age, sex, socioeconomic deprivation, smoking, hypertension, diabetes, and cardiovascular events were key CVD risk determinants. Model-predicted event rates corresponded well to observed rates across participant categories. The model projected strong gradients in remaining life expectancy, with 4-5-year (5-8 QALYs) gaps between the least and most socioeconomically deprived quintiles. Guideline-recommended statin treatment was projected to increase QALYs, with larger gains in quintiles of higher deprivation., Conclusion: The study demonstrated the potential of guideline-recommended statin treatment to reduce socioeconomic inequalities. This CVD model is a novel resource for individualised long-term projections of health outcomes of CVD treatments., (© The Authors.)

Significance Statement: SGLT2 inhibitors reduce risk of kidney progression, AKI, and cardiovascular disease, but the mechanisms of benefit are incompletely understood. Bioimpedance spectroscopy can estimate body water and fat mass. One quarter of the EMPA-KIDNEY bioimpedance substudy CKD population had clinically significant levels of bioimpedance-derived "Fluid Overload" at recruitment. Empagliflozin induced a prompt and sustained reduction in "Fluid Overload," irrespective of sex, diabetes, and baseline N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide or eGFR. No significant effect on bioimpedance-derived fat mass was observed. The effects of SGLT2 inhibitors on body water may be one of the contributing mechanisms by which they mediate effects on cardiovascular risk., Background: CKD is associated with fluid excess that can be estimated by bioimpedance spectroscopy. We aimed to assess effects of sodium glucose co-transporter 2 inhibition on bioimpedance-derived "Fluid Overload" and adiposity in a CKD population., Methods: EMPA-KIDNEY was a double-blind placebo-controlled trial of empagliflozin 10 mg once daily in patients with CKD at risk of progression. In a substudy, bioimpedance measurements were added to the main trial procedures at randomization and at 2- and 18-month follow-up visits. The substudy's primary outcome was the study-average difference in absolute "Fluid Overload" (an estimate of excess extracellular water) analyzed using a mixed model repeated measures approach., Results: The 660 substudy participants were broadly representative of the 6609-participant trial population. Substudy mean baseline absolute "Fluid Overload" was 0.4±1.7 L. Compared with placebo, the overall mean absolute "Fluid Overload" difference among those allocated empagliflozin was -0.24 L (95% confidence interval [CI], -0.38 to -0.11), with similar sized differences at 2 and 18 months, and in prespecified subgroups. Total body water differences comprised between-group differences in extracellular water of -0.49 L (95% CI, -0.69 to -0.30, including the -0.24 L "Fluid Overload" difference) and a -0.30 L (95% CI, -0.57 to -0.03) difference in intracellular water. There was no significant effect of empagliflozin on bioimpedance-derived adipose tissue mass (-0.28 kg [95% CI, -1.41 to 0.85]). The between-group difference in weight was -0.7 kg (95% CI, -1.3 to -0.1)., Conclusions: In a broad range of patients with CKD, empagliflozin resulted in a sustained reduction in a bioimpedance-derived estimate of fluid overload, with no statistically significant effect on fat mass., Trial Registration: Clinicaltrials.gov: NCT03594110 ; EuDRACT: 2017-002971-24 ( https://eudract.ema.europa.eu/ )., (Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. on behalf of the American Society of Nephrology.)

Introduction: We aimed to assess opportunities for trial streamlining and the scientific impact of adjudication on kidney and cardiovascular outcomes in CKD., Methods: We analysed the effects of adjudication of ~2100 maintenance kidney replacement therapy (KRT) and ~1300 major atherosclerotic events (MAEs) recorded in SHARP. We first compared outcome classification before versus after adjudication, and then re-ran randomised comparisons using pre-adjudicated follow-up data., Results: For maintenance KRT, adjudication had little impact with only 1% of events being refuted (28/2115). Consequently, randomised comparisons using pre-adjudication reports found almost identical results (pre-adjudication: simvastatin/ezetimibe 1038 vs placebo 1077; risk ratio [RR] 0.95, 95%CI 0.88-1.04; post-adjudicated: 1057 vs 1084; RR=0.97, 95%CI 0.89-1.05). For MAEs, about one-quarter of patient reports were refuted (324/1275 [25%]), and reviewing 3538 other potential vascular events and death reports identified only 194 additional MAEs. Nevertheless, randomised analyses using SHARP's pre-adjudicated data alone found similar results to analyses based on adjudicated outcomes (pre-adjudication: 573 vs 702; RR=0.80, 95%CI 0.72-0.89; adjudicated: 526 vs 619; RR=0.83, 95%CI 0.74- 0.94), and also suggested refuted MAEs were likely to represent atherosclerotic disease (RR for refuted MAEs=0.80, 95%CI 0.65-1.00)., Conclusions: These analyses provide three key insights. First, they provide a rationale for nephrology trials not to adjudicate maintenance KRT. Secondly, when an event that mimics an atherosclerotic outcome is not expected to be influenced by the treatment under study (e.g. heart failure), the aim of adjudicating atherosclerotic outcomes should be to remove such events. Lastly, restrictive definitions for the remaining suspected atherosclerotic outcomes may reduce statistical power.

Background: Ambulatory blood pressure provides a more comprehensive assessment than clinic blood pressure, and has been reported to better predict health outcomes than clinic or home pressure. We aimed to examine associations of clinic and 24-h ambulatory blood pressure with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in a large cohort of primary care patients referred for assessment of hypertension., Methods: We did an observational cohort study using clinic and ambulatory blood pressure data obtained from March 1, 2004, to Dec 31, 2014, from the Spanish Ambulatory Blood Pressure Registry. This registry included patients from 223 primary care centres from the Spanish National Health System in all 17 regions of Spain. Mortality data (date and cause) were ascertained by a computerised search of the vital registry of the Spanish National Institute of Statistics. Complete data were available for age, sex, all blood pressure measures, and BMI. For each study participant, follow-up was from the date of their recruitment to the date of death or Dec 31, 2019, whichever occurred first. Cox models were used to estimate associations between usual clinic or ambulatory blood pressure and mortality, adjusted for confounders and additionally for alternative measures of blood pressure. For each measure of blood pressure, we created five groups (ie, fifths) defined by quintiles of that measure among those who subsequently died., Findings: During a median follow-up of 9·7 years, 7174 (12·1%) of 59 124 patients died, including 2361 (4·0%) from cardiovascular causes. J-shaped associations were observed for several blood pressure measures. Among the top four baseline-defined fifths, 24-h systolic blood pressure was more strongly associated with all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR] 1·41 per 1 - SD increment [95% CI 1·36-1·47]) than clinic systolic blood pressure (1·18 [1·13-1·23]). After adjustment for clinic blood pressure, 24-h blood pressure remained strongly associated with all-cause deaths (HR 1·43 [95% CI 1·37-1·49]), but the association between clinic blood pressure and all-cause death was attenuated when adjusted for 24-h blood pressure (1·04 [1·00-1·09]). Compared with the informativeness of clinic systolic blood pressure (100%), night-time systolic blood pressure was most informative about risk of all-cause death (591%) and cardiovascular death (604%). Relative to blood pressure within the normal range, elevated all-cause mortality risks were observed for masked hypertension (HR 1·24 [95% CI 1·12-1·37]) and sustained hypertension (1·24 [1·15-1·32]), but not white-coat hypertension, and elevated cardiovascular mortality risks were observed for masked hypertension (1·37 [1·15-1·63]) and sustained hypertension (1·38 [1·22-1·55]), but not white-coat hypertension., Interpretation: Ambulatory blood pressure, particularly night-time blood pressure, was more informative about the risk of all-cause death and cardiovascular death than clinic blood pressure., Funding: Spanish Society of Hypertension, Lacer Laboratories, UK Medical Research Council, Health Data Research UK, National Institute for Health and Care Research Biomedical Research Centres (Oxford and University College London Hospitals), and British Heart Foundation Centre for Research Excellence., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests NS reports institutional grant support from Boehringer Ingelheim, Lilly, and Novo Nordisk for investigator led/designed research unrelated to this project. AdlS reports lecture fees from Viatris, and support for travel to attend meetings from Menarini and Lacer. LMR reports consulting fees from Novartis, Bayer, Pfizer, Medtronic, ReCor, Sanofi, and Sandoz and lecture fees from Novartis, Bayer, Pfizer, Medtronic, ReCor, and Sanofi. CB reports institutional grant support from Boehringer Ingelheim for investigator designed/led research unrelated to this work. BW reports lecture fees from Daichi Sankyo, Servier, and Pfizer, and institutional grant support from Omron for investigator designed/led research unrelated to this work. All other authors declare no competing interests. The Clinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit has a staff policy of not accepting honoraria or other payments from the pharmaceutical industry, except for the reimbursement of costs to participate in scientific meetings. BW on behalf of University College London has received an investigator-led grant award from Omron, Japan and honoraria for lectures on blood pressure measurement, and is supported by the National Institute for Health and Care Research University College London Hospitals Biomedical Research Centre., (Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)