1. Applicability and accuracy of pretest probability calculations implemented in the NICE clinical guideline for decision making about imaging in patients with chest pain of recent onset
- Author
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Jean Pierre Laissy, Gianluca Pontone, Jörg Hausleiter, Juhani Knuuti, Lily Honoris, Mario J. Garcia, Hiroyuki Niinuma, Jonathan Leipsic, Harald Brodoefel, Daniele Andreini, Matthijs F.L. Meijs, R.R. Buechel, Eugenio Martuscelli, Jean-Claude Tardif, Lin Yang, Ashraf Hamdan, Thorsten R. C. Johnson, Robert Haase, Said Ghostine, Simone Muraglia, Peter Schlattmann, U. Joseph Schoepf, Shona M.M. Jenkins, Michael Laule, Koen Nieman, Philipp A. Kaufmann, Bjørn Arild Halvorsen, Carlos E. Rochitte, Robert Roehle, David A. Halon, Hans Mickley, Viktoria Wieske, Sebastian Leschka, Konstantin Nikolaou, Marc Dewey, David E. Bush, Axel Cosmus Pyndt Diederichsen, Abbas Arjmand Shabestari, Bernhard Gerber, Bjarne L. Nørgaard, Yung-Liang Wan, Arthur J.H.A. Scholte, Kristian A. Øvrehus, Johannes Rixe, Christoph Langer, John Hoe, Zhaoqi Zhang, Reda Jakamy, Benjamin J.W. Chow, Mehraj Sheikh, Hatem Alkadhi, Geir R. Ulimoen, Melvin E. Clouse, Pascal Gueret, Roy P. Marcus, Georg M. Schuetz, Albert de Roos, Narinder Paul, Akira Sato, Willem B. Meijboom, David Maintz, Vladimir Mendoza Rodriguez, Elke Zimmermann, Bernhard A. Herzog, Nuno Bettencourt, Kai Sun, Cardiology, Radiology & Nuclear Medicine, UCL - SSS/IREC/CARD - Pôle de recherche cardiovasculaire, and UCL - (SLuc) Service de pathologie cardiovasculaire
- Subjects
Adult ,Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Chest Pain ,education ,Clinical Decision-Making ,Nice ,Mistake ,Pretest probability ,030204 cardiovascular system & hematology ,Chest pain ,Coronary artery disease ,Duke clinical score ,Multidetector computed tomography ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Risk Factors ,medicine ,Humans ,Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and imaging ,In patient ,Medical physics ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Recent onset ,health care economics and organizations ,computer.programming_language ,Aged ,Probability ,business.industry ,Chest Pain/diagnostic imaging ,Published Erratum ,General Medicine ,Guideline ,Middle Aged ,humanities ,Pre- and post-test probability ,Cardiac Imaging Techniques ,Practice Guidelines as Topic ,NICE clinical guideline ,Female ,Radiology ,Guideline Adherence ,medicine.symptom ,business ,Tomography, X-Ray Computed ,computer - Abstract
Objectives: To analyse the implementation, applicability and accuracy of the pretest probability calculation provided by NICE clinical guideline 95 for decision making about imaging in patients with chest pain of recent onset. Methods: The definitions for pretest probability calculation in the original Duke clinical score and the NICE guideline were compared. We also calculated the agreement and disagreement in pretest probability and the resulting imaging and management groups based on individual patient data from the Collaborative Meta-Analysis of Cardiac CT (CoMe-CCT). Results: 4,673 individual patient data from the CoMe-CCT Consortium were analysed. Major differences in definitions in the Duke clinical score and NICE guideline were found for the predictors age and number of risk factors. Pretest probability calculation using guideline criteria was only possible for 30.8 % (1,439/4,673) of patients despite availability of all required data due to ambiguity in guideline definitions for risk factors and age groups. Agreement regarding patient management groups was found in only 70 % (366/523) of patients in whom pretest probability calculation was possible according to both models. Conclusions: Our results suggest that pretest probability calculation for clinical decision making about cardiac imaging as implemented in the NICE clinical guideline for patients has relevant limitations. Key Points: • Duke clinical score is not implemented correctly in NICE guideline 95. • Pretest probability assessment in NICE guideline 95 is impossible for most patients. • Improved clinical decision making requires accurate pretest probability calculation. • These refinements are essential for appropriate use of cardiac CT.
- Published
- 2018