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Renewable energy production throughout low-voltage grids has gradually increased in electrical distribution systems, therefore introducing small energy producers - prosumers. This paradigm challenges the traditional unidirectional energy distribution flow to include disperse power production from renewables. To understand how energy usage can be optimized in the dynamic electrical grid, it is important to understand the behavior of prosumers and their impact on the grid's operational procedures. The main focus of this study is to investigate how grid operators can obtain an automatic data-driven system for the low-voltage electrical grid management, by analyzing the available grid topology and time-series consumption data from a real-life test area. The aim is to argue for how different consumer profiles, clustering and prediction methods contribute to the grid-related operations. Ultimately, this work is intended for future research directions that can contribute to improving the trade-off between systematic and scalable data models and software computational challenges. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: Advanced neuro-fuzzy modeling, namely an adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), was employed to develop models for the prediction of suspended solids (SS) and chemical oxygen demand (COD) removal of a full-scale wastewater treatment plant treating process wastewaters from a paper mill. In order to improve the network performance, fuzzy subtractive clustering was used to identify model''s architecture and optimize fuzzy rule, meanwhile principal component analysis (PCA) was applied to reduce the input variable dimensionality. Input variables were reduced from six to four for COD and SS models, by considering PCA results and linear correlation matrices among input and output variables. The results indicate that reasonable forecasting and control performances have been achieved through the developed system. The minimum mean absolute percentage errors of 1.003% and 0.5161% for CODeff and SSeff could be achieved using ANFIS. The maximum correlation coefficient values for CODeff and SSeff were 0.9912 and 0.9882, respectively. The minimum mean square errors of 1.2883 and 0.0342, and the minimum RMSEs of 1.135 and 0.1849 for CODeff and SSeff could also be achieved. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

• This study improved the citation prediction accuracy by applying the BP neural network. • The BP neural network significantly outperformed the other six baselines (XGBoost, RF, LR, SVR, KNN, and RNN). • Five essential features were determined for citation prediction. Predicting the citation counts of academic papers is of considerable significance to scientific evaluation. This study used a four-layer Back Propagation (BP) neural network model to predict the five-year citations of 49,834 papers in the library, information and documentation field indexed by the CSSCI database and published from 2000 to 2013. We extracted six paper features, two journal features, nine author features, eight reference features, and five early citation features to make the prediction. The empirical experiments showed that the performance of the BP neural network is significantly better than those of the six baseline models. In terms of the prediction effect, the accuracy of the model at predicting infrequently cited papers was higher than that for frequently cited ones. We determined that five essential features have significant effects on the prediction performance of the model, i.e., 'citations in the first two years', 'first-cited age', 'paper length', 'month of publication', and 'self-citations of journals', and the other features contribute only slightly to the prediction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Dynamic academic networks are introduced for predicting future influence of entities. • Every researcher or venue per year is treated as a separate entity. • Seven types of relations among papers, authors, and venues are extracted and used for prediction. • Both publication age and recent citations are considered for a balanced treatment of old and new papers. Performance evaluation and prediction of academic achievements is an essential task for scientists, research organizations, research funding bodies, and government agencies alike. Recently, heterogeneous networks have been used to evaluate or predict performance of multi-entities including papers, researchers, and venues with some success. However, only a minimum of effort has been made to predict the future influence of papers, researchers and venues. In this paper, we propose a new framework WMR-Rank for this purpose. Based on the dynamic and heterogeneous network of multiple entities, we extract seven types of relations among them. The framework supports useful features including the refined granularity of relevant entities such as authors and venues, time awareness for published papers and their citations, differentiating the contribution of multiple coauthors to the same paper, amongst others. By leveraging all seven types of relations and fusing the rich information in a mutually reinforcing style, we are able to predict future influence of papers, authors and venues more precisely. Using the ACL dataset, our experimental results demonstrate that the proposed approach considerably outperforms state-of-the art competitors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The impact of air pollution on public health is substantial, and accurate long-term predictions of air quality are crucial for early warning systems to address this issue. Air quality prediction has drawn significant attention, bridging environmental science, statistics, and computer science. This paper presents a comprehensive review of the current research status and advances in air quality prediction methods. Deep learning, a novel machine learning approach, has demonstrated remarkable proficiency in identifying complex, nonlinear patterns in air quality data, yet its application in air quality prediction is still relatively nascent. This paper also conducts a systematic analysis and summarizes how cutting-edge deep learning models are applied in air quality prediction. Initially, the historical evolution of air quality prediction methods and datasets is presented. This is followed by an examination of conventional air quality prediction techniques. A thorough comparative analysis of progress made with both traditional and deep learning-based prediction methods is provided. This review particularly focuses on three aspects: temporal modeling, spatiotemporal modeling, and attention mechanisms. Finally, emerging trends in the field of air quality prediction are identified and discussed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Fault prediction is the process of using data analysis and machine learning models to anticipate potential defects or faults in the software system. Using only the base machine learning models for software fault prediction leads to limited performance, difficulty in handling non-linear relationships and imbalanced data, inadequate feature representation, and limited complexity handling. Hence, in order to overcome these challenges, this paper proposes a new technique for the selection of classifiers that forms a heterogeneous ensemble. The main goal is to remove or trim out the classifiers that show poor performance compared to the other base classifiers, which can result into a more effective ensemble and can produce better results. The algorithm proposed in this paper finds a set of classifiers that can perform better than using all the classifiers. The challenge that was faced was how to identify the poor-performing classifiers. This challenge is dealt with by performing an experiment using different threshold values to choose the trimmed set of classifiers. For evaluation of the proposed model, 8 different benchmark software fault datasets were used, which are taken from PROMISE and the Apache repository, and AUC is used as the performance measure. The results obtained after the experimental analysis demonstrate the effectiveness of our algorithm compared to the traditional approaches, which used all the base classifiers. There is a significant increase in the AUC values for 6 datasets out of 8, while using the average of probabilities and majority voting, it was seen that there is improvement in 7 out of 8 datasets used. The best-performing dataset by using the average of probabilities is ARC, where the AUC values increase from 0.6505 to 0.694, and while using majority voting, the best-performing dataset is XALAN, where the AUC values increase from 0.5455 to 0.679. From this, it can be seen that the proposed ensemble approach achieved higher AUC values for the tested datasets when compared to the base machine learning classifiers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Machine learning performs well in many problems. However, the tendency to generate predictions that violate theoretical knowledge makes it difficult to apply to practical processing. To resolve this situation, this paper combines domain knowledge with a data-driven model, proposes a theory-guided machine learning framework based on a parameter transfer strategy, and applies it to the width prediction of plates after multiple passes of hot rolling. The framework applies a swarm optimization algorithm to the original theoretical model and generates numerous highly-physical consistent samples. The established deep neural network (DNN) model is trained with simulated data, and the parameters are fine-tuned using a parameter transfer strategy combined with actual data to ensure excellent adaptation to the actual environment based on adequate learning of theoretical knowledge. In tests, the proposed model had the best overall prediction performance in this paper. Meanwhile, the developed model is consistent with the existing perception of rolling theory. This allows for the quick and reliable application of machine learning models in production. [Display omitted] • A novel theory-guided machine learning framework for width prediction of rolled plates. • Pre-training of the model using the data generated by the optimized theoretical model. • The proposed model has the best accuracy in both sufficient and less actual samples. • The variable influence of the proposed model is consistent with theoretical perceptions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Anticipatory Multi-Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) Network is the key to the realization of high-band width and demanding multi-UAV applications in the future. An accul ·ate ancl robust Channel Quality Prediction (CQP) model is essential in such anticipatory networks to thcilitate the eventual optimization step. However, the models that are proposed iii the literature are typically designed for static cellular networks and do not consider robustness or the cross-domain CQP accuracy as a key performance indicator. In this paper, we investigate the efficacy of three different Machine Learning (ML) models iii CQP for multi-UAV networks by training them with univariate and multivariate network metrics data curated through OMNeT++ simulations. The models are then evaluated in two-folds via in-domain and cross-domain evaluations to test their accuracies and robustness, respectively. The results from the in-domain evaluations show that multivariate data is key to improving the in-domain performance of the M L models for multi-UAV network throughput prediction. whereas the cross-domain evaluations reveal that more complex models like the Seq2seq are necessary for achieving good robustness against multi-UAV network environments that have different operating conditions, with a maximum improvement iii cross-domain CQP performance of 200% over the other implemented ML models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Fault prediction is the process of using data analysis and machine learning models to anticipate potential defects or faults in the software system. Using only the base machine learning models for software fault prediction leads to limited performance, difficulty in handling non-linear relationships and imbalanced data, inadequate feature representation, and limited complexity handling. Hence, in order to overcome these challenges, this paper proposes a new technique for the selection of classifiers that forms a heterogeneous ensemble. The main goal is to remove or trim out the classifiers that show poor performance compared to the other base classifiers, which can result into a more effective ensemble and can produce better results. The algorithm proposed in this paper finds a set of classifiers that can perform better than using all the classifiers. The challenge that was faced was how to identify the poor-performing classifiers. This challenge is dealt with by performing an experiment using different threshold values to choose the trimmed set of classifiers. For evaluation of the proposed model, 8 different benchmark software fault datasets were used, which are taken from PROMISE and the Apache repository, and AUC is used as the performance measure. The results obtained after the experimental analysis demonstrate the effectiveness of our algorithm compared to the traditional approaches, which used all the base classifiers. There is a significant increase in the AUC values for 6 datasets out of 8, while using the average of probabilities and majority voting, it was seen that there is improvement in 7 out of 8 datasets used. The best-performing dataset by using the average of probabilities is ARC, where the AUC values increase from 0.6505 to 0.694, and while using majority voting, the best-performing dataset is XALAN, where the AUC values increase from 0.5455 to 0.679. From this, it can be seen that the proposed ensemble approach achieved higher AUC values for the tested datasets when compared to the base machine learning classifiers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Demand side management (DSM) is widely utilized in smart grid for its reliable features, flexibility, and cost benefits that it offers to customers on reduction of the energy bill. In the smart grid, demand response aggregator, power customers, and utility operator all strive to increase their individual profits. However, it is extremely challenging to guarantee profits for all of the candidates simultaneously. In this paper, these criteria are employed to execute a problem with multiple objectives by combining the concept of DSM and dynamic economic emission dispatch considering uncertainties of renewable energy sources (RESs). The uncertainties of RESs can bring adverse effects on the grid operator. Thus, Weibull probability distribution function and lognormal probability distribution function are used to model the uncertainties of wind speed and solar irradiation, respectively, in this paper. Further, the multi-objective improved DSM scheme is optimized by Class Topper optimization algorithm. The objective here is to optimally schedule load demand and generation pattern simultaneously to improve load factor, minimize electricity bill and maximize the profits of all candidates of the day-ahead electricity market simultaneously. Error in the load forecasting model may lead to growing operational cost of energy generation. In this paper, a machine learning model using linear regression is used for short-term load forecasting (STLF) to forecast day-ahead load demand. The simulation results show the importance of the improved DSM scheme and the advantage of STLF, which further help to improve the economy and efficiency of the smart grid. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Renewable energy sources, driven by the global concern for climate change and the urgent need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, are gaining increasing importance. Among them, solar energy stands out as a crucial renewable source and accurate solar irradiance forecasting is vital for its effective utilisation. Deep learning (DL) techniques have emerged as state-of-the-art solar irradiance forecasting methods in past years. However, traditional models that are widely used have inferior accuracy in forecasting. To bridge this gap, this paper presents an improved state-of-the-art model that leverages the convolutional property to forecast the time series data. We got a reduction of 8.32% in MAE compared to the base model. The paper's findings highlight the potential of DL-based approaches to significantly improve the accuracy of solar irradiance forecasts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

There are security risks in interaction and communication using wireless mobile networks, and network security situation prediction technology is to predict the next development trend with the previous and current network status, which can grasp the wireless mobile networks security status in time and make decisions in advance to avoid attacks. This paper proposes an Improved Particle Swarm Optimization Attention Bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory (IPSO-ABiLSTM) model for network security situation prediction. First, we construct the real situation values of the raw UNSW-NB15 dataset from the perspective of the impact of the attack on the situation indicator system, the sliding window method was introduced to reconstruct the situation values of the data set obtained by computing the data used for prediction. Secondly, the traditional PSO algorithm has the shortage of unbalanced search speed and tends to get local optimal solutions. The IPSO algorithm in this paper makes the global and local search ability of the algorithm more balanced and converges faster. Finally, the IPSO-ABiLSTM model is used to implement the situation prediction in different sliding window sizes. The experimental results show that the IPSO-ABiLSTM of this paper fits up to 0.9922, which verifies the effectiveness of the model proposed in this paper in the network situation prediction problem. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The rebalancing of bikes and demand prediction at the station level plays a fundamental role in the regular operation and maintenance of bike-sharing systems (BSSs). In this paper, a novel model which incorporates discrete wavelet transform (DWT), autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), and long-short term memory neural network (LSTM NN), is proposed for BSS station-level check-in/out demand prediction. This study adopts the wavelet analysis method to denoise the raw BSS demand series firstly. Then, DWT is developed to decompose the denoised sequence into three high-frequency components (i.e. details) and one low-frequency component (i.e. approximation). ARIMA and LSTM are employed to forecast the detailed components and one approximation component, respectively. The predicted results of each model are reconstructed into the final outputs by DWT. An experiment on a real-world trip dataset showed that the proposed approach consistently outperforms the standard ARIMA model and LSTM model. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Peak load forecasting plays an important role in electric utilities. However, the daily peak load forecasting problem, especially for holidays, is fuzzy and highly nonlinear. In order to address the nonlinearity and fuzziness of the holiday load behaviors, a grammatical evolution-based fuzzy regression approach is proposed in this paper. The proposed hybrid approach is based on the theorem that fuzzy polynomial regression can model all fuzzy functions. It employs the rules of the grammatical evolution to generate fuzzy nonlinear structures in polynomial form. Then, a two-stage fuzzy regression approach is used to determine the coefficients and calculate the fitness of the fuzzy functions. An artificial bee colony algorithm is used as the evolution system to update the elements of the grammatical evolution system. The process is repeated until a fuzzy model that best fits the load data is found. After that, the developed fuzzy nonlinear model is applied to forecast holiday peak load. Considering that different holidays possess different load patterns, a separate forecaster model is built for each holiday. Test results on real load data show that an averaged absolute percent error less than 2% can be achieved, which significantly outperforms existing methods involved in the comparison. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Breast cancer is a multifactorial heterogeneous disease and the leading cause of cancer-related deaths in women; its diagnosis and treatment require clinical sensitivity and a comprehensive disciplinary research approach. The expression of different receptors on tumor cells not only provides the basis for molecular typing of breast cancer but also has a decisive role in the diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis of breast cancer. To date, immunohistochemistry (IHC), which uses invasive histological sampling, has been extensively used in clinical practice to analyze the status of receptors and to make an accurate diagnosis of breast cancer. As an invasive assay, IHC can provide important biological information on tumors at a single point in time, but cannot predict future changes (due to treatment or tumor mutations) without additional invasive procedures. These issues highlight the need to develop a non-invasive method for predicting receptor status. The emerging field of radiomics may offer a non-invasive approach to identification of receptor status without requiring biopsy. In this paper, we present a review of the latest research results in radiomics for predicting the status of breast cancer receptors, with potential important clinical applications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

On the path toward fully autonomous sea vessels, forecasting a ship's exact velocity and position during its route plays a crucial role in dynamic positioning, target tracking, and autopilot operations of the unmanned body navigating toward predetermined locations. This paper addresses the prediction of the operational performance of a free-running submarine advancing in a straight route (in surge motion). Along with the forward advancing vessel (straight-ahead motion) the study covers all possible scenarios of ship’s surge, including crash-ahead, crash-back, and astern motions. Conventional maneuvering models cannot handle motions other than forward advancement due to the absence of propeller data in all four quadrants of hydrodynamic performance map. This study proposes an approach for predicting submarine performance in all these surge conditions by utilizing four-quadrant propeller performance and resistance test data. We developed an in-house code, SMot4QP, to simulate ship speed and position in the time domain. We obtained satisfying results for the straight-ahead and crash-ahead motions, while the crash-back and astern maneuvers require further refinement due to propeller wake interaction with the hull. The proposed method is capable of predicting the motions of all types of vessels using the ship’s resistance and four-quadrant propeller test results. Thus, SMot4QP offers a fast and robust alternative to computationally expensive free-running self-propulsion simulations for operational performance prediction in broader naval applications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper proposes a trend prediction analysis method based on the evolution of knowledge graph fusion for the analysis of price fluctuation trends with limited information and lacking historical data. Based on an actual business case, the article first establishes a knowledge graph and corresponding data model based on the price analysis and application scenarios in business decision-making and based on the collected data. Afterward, the evolution mechanism model and the corresponding theoretical basis are described. After that, the feasibility of the proposed method is proved theoretically and via simulation verification. This method does not require tags and historical data as necessary support, thereby reducing the data requirements of machine learning predictions, and can be used as a supplementary solution to complete trend analysis with less requirement on data curation. The method's stability and feasibility have been substantiated through experiments, showcasing distinct effects on the trend emanating from different interrelated knowledge graphs. Recognizing the potentially conflicting constraints between diverse correlations, we undertake a comprehensive evaluation of each map's influence. This evaluation is achieved through knowledge graph fusion processing, enabling a predictive assessment under the collective impact of various factors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The prediction of pedestrian trajectory is conducive to reducing traffic accidents and protecting pedestrian safety, which is crucial to the task of intelligent driving. The existing methods mainly use the past pedestrian trajectory to predict the future deterministic pedestrian trajectory, ignoring pedestrian intention and trajectory diversity. This paper proposes a multimodal trajectory prediction model that introduces pedestrian intention. Unlike previous work, our model makes multi-modal goal-conditioned trajectory pedestrian prediction based on the past pedestrian trajectory and pedestrian intention. At the same time, we propose a novel Gate Recurrent Unit (GRU) to process intention information dynamically. Compared with traditional GRU, our GRU adds an intention unit and an intention gate, in which the intention unit is used to dynamically process pedestrian intention, and the intention gate is used to control the intensity of intention information. The experimental results on two first-person traffic datasets (JAAD and PIE) show that our model is superior to the most advanced methods (Improved by 30.4% on MSE0.5s and 9.8% on MSE1.5s for the PIE dataset; Improved by 15.8% on MSE0.5s and 13.5% on MSE1.5s for the JAAD dataset). Our multi-modal trajectory prediction model combines pedestrian intention that varies at each prediction time step and can more comprehensively consider the diversity of pedestrian trajectories. Our method, validated through experiments, proves to be highly effective in pedestrian trajectory prediction tasks, contributing to improving traffic safety and the reliability of intelligent driving systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

It fluctuates in most countries in the world regardless of whether the countries are been developed, developing or underdeveloped. The widespread effects of inflation have a significant impact on most countries including Nigeria because it is a global phenomenon influenced by variety of factors such as economic growth and monetary policy. This paper proposes the application of K-Nearest Neighbours (KNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models using Hidden Markov Model (HMM) to predict the inflation rate and its transition patterns in Nigeria with Secondary data collected from National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) official website. Empirical analysis revealed that GDP per capita show a significant influence in inflation rate and contributes to inflation forecasting in Nigeria. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper proposes an industrial-friendly approach based on physics-informed Bayesian machine learning for probabilistic inference and refinement of stability predictions in milling. The knowledge from physics principles and theoretical models is gathered into a substructure-based framework and enables dedicated updating and exchange of models on a substructure level. The Bayesian learning algorithm utilizes this framework as a basis to simultaneously interact with multiple machine and process configurations that share substructures, leading to federated and transfer learning over a network of machine tools on a production site. Moreover, the paper further elaborates on the Bayesian perspective to anticipate the potential usefulness of given experimental data in improving the model accuracy by quantifying information gain for two primary purposes: Firstly, recursive online learning can manage computational resources by processing only the most informative data points that may be collected during arbitrary cuts. Secondly, active learning leverages the information gain to dynamically adapt a sequential data collection, leading to accelerated learning with minimal labeled data. The experimental validations confirm that the proposed approaches lead to effective learning and reliable predictions of milling stability, outperforming traditional deterministic methods. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The proposed way of estimating the associated macroeconomic index based on a supply chain network is a novel strategy that might give useful insights for firms and organizations trying to enhance their supply chain logistics operations. To aid in this process, the suggested technique utilizes multiple regression analysis and adaptive extreme learning machine models to determine the relative importance of each indicator in the supply chain logistics decision-making process. Firms may be able to save expenses and boost economic value by employing enhanced genetic algorithms and mathematical modeling to develop a logistics distribution model for urban supply chains based on reconstructive genetic algorithms. It is possible that the paper's study of the issues plaguing the current distribution of logistics in metropolitan areas would prove valuable to organizations that are seeking to improve their own supply chain logistics procedures. This paper appears to take a thorough strategy that might assist assure the accuracy of the forecasting method by preprocessing macroeconomic indicators using imputation, classification, and other approaches to generate a time series consistency model. Some novel ways that may shed light on logistics in the supply chain include using a two-dimensional discrete mesh structure built on wireless sensors to depict the national economic development scenario and using a coding matrix to convey the extent of economic growth. A thorough and all-encompassing way that might aid organizations in making better judgments about their supply chain logistics strategies is to employ multiple regression analysis, an adaptive extreme learning machine model, and other approaches to examine the effect degree of each key indicator. Experiments demonstrating excellent and steady prediction accuracy of the algorithm model are encouraging and point to the possible usefulness of the suggested forecasting approach. The paper's contributions, including its analysis of supply chain logistics cost accounting, determination of the basic path optimization, improvement of the genetic algorithm, and design of the mathematical model of supply chain logistics distribution path decision, all look promising in terms of their potential to help businesses cut costs and boost economic value. The positive outcome of the successful design of the mathematical model demonstrates the possible efficacy of the suggested technique. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

With increasing quality requirements, especially for safety-critical products such as in medical technology, manufacturing companies face the challenge, that the quality inspection of component characteristics may become a crucial factor for economic production. For increasing the ratio of correctly identified scrap without increasing the amount of physical inspection, prediction models pose a valuable tool. Prediction models in manufacturing build process models through process data collected during the manufacturing process. The prediction models can for example be used to predict the product quality from the process data, which enables the substitution of physical quality inspections through virtual inspections. Before selecting suitable prediction models, checkpoints in the manufacturing process and inspection sequence (MPIS) for integrating the prediction models profitably have to be identified. Therefore, the paper aims to provide a methodology to generate integrated quality strategies for MPIS that combine physical inspection with the prediction of quality characteristics. Furthermore, a methodology for the economic evaluation of the quality strategies as decision support is provided. Since the number of prediction models available for predicting quality based on process data is manifold, the explicit recommendation for the implementation of a certain prediction model is not the focus of this paper. The methodology presented rather focuses on the identification of suitable checkpoints in the MPIS for prediction model integration. For generating quality strategies suitable checkpoints in the manufacturing process sequence have to be identified. Therefore, three aspects are considered, the influence of the manufacturing process on the change in a characteristic and the overall importance of a characteristic for the component function as well as the ability of the characteristic and process for being predicted. A prediction recommendation is calculated that enables the derivation of quality strategies as a combination of physical and virtual inspection for different characteristics in different checkpoints. For the economic evaluation of the derived quality strategies two cases for supplementing physical inspection with prediction models to either compensate for the alpha- or beta-error rate are presented. The most reasonable quality strategy is chosen according to its economic potential. For validation, the applicability of the methodology for integrating prediction models in manufacturing process and inspection sequences to a use case of medical technology is demonstrated successfully. It is shown that the methodology supports users in identifying possible quality strategies and their economic evaluation for manufacturing process and inspection sequences as a basis for the decision regarding quality strategies to be implemented. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The financial time series data is a highly nonlinear signal and hence difficult to predict precisely. The prediction accuracy can be improved by linearizing the signal. In this paper the nonlinear data sample is linearized by decomposing it into several IMFs. A hybrid multi-layer decomposition technique is developed. The decomposition proposed in this paper is the combination of both EMD and VMD methods. As a new contribution to the previous literature in this study the VMD is used to further decompose the higher frequency signals obtained from the EMD based decomposed signal. In the result analysis it is observed that the double decomposition improves the prediction accuracy. This is a new introduction in the field of stock market prediction. The prediction accuracy of the proposed model is performed by applying it to three different stock markets for predicting the closing price. Historical data (closing price) is implemented to obtain 1 day ahead predicted closing price. Comparative analysis of different previously implemented methods like BPNN, SVM, ANN and ELM, along with the proposed method is performed. GA is implemented for optimizing the kernel factors. It is observed that the proposed hybrid model outperformed the other methods. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, a PCA-SSA-DBIGRU-Attention multi-factor short-term power load forecasting model is proposed. Taking a complete account of the influence of meteorological factors, principal components analysis (PCA) is used to analyze the meteorological factors of daily minimum, maximum, daily average temperature, relative humidity, daily precipitation and power load data at the same time. The realization of original load data is dimensioned down. The complexity of power load forecasting models is reduced. Then, the Attention Double Bidirectional Gating Recurrent Unit (DBIGRU) model is constructed to calculate the different weights of the hidden layer states of the two-layer BIGRU. The hidden layer states are assigned different weights. The Sparrow Search Algorithm (SSA) is incorporated into the DBIGRU-Attention. The SSA-DBIGRU-Attention network model is constructed to optimize the learning rate, the number of iterations and the four hyperparameters of the first and second hidden layer neurons. The extracted principal components are input into SSA-DBIGRU-Attention to realize multi-factor short-term power load forecasting. Experimental results show that the prediction accuracy of the proposed model is improved, and the prediction time is reduced. Compared to the VMD-BILSTM, PCA-DBILSTM, CNN-GRU-Attention and CNN-BIGRU-Attention model, the four aspects of MAPE, MAE, RMSE and time are reduced by 29.55 %, 36.42 %, 32.34% and 12.22 %, respectively, the R2 is improved by 3.09 %. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Current inflation rates have significantly been increasing construction project costs globally. Thus, it is crucial to consider potential inflationary trends when estimating the cost at completion of prolonged projects. However, the absence of literature providing guidance on analyzing inflation trends and adjusting the ongoing project cost performance factor is a gap that needs filling. This study proposes a framework for estimating ongoing project costs based on trend and seasonality analysis of the project cost performance through the Holt-Winters method. The proposed framework also incorporates the estimation of project completion time and is applied to a real case study to assess its efficacy. The results are compared with the ones obtained through pre-existing index-based methods. This paper seeks to improve the accuracy of project cost estimation and management in challenging and uncertain economic environments by providing an alternative to the traditional cost at completion forecasting approach. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The prediction of final semester grades is a crucial undertaking in education, offering insights into student performance and enabling timely interventions to support their academic journey. This paper employs a deep learning approach, specifically gated recurrent unit (GRU), in conjunction with feature optimization using analysis of variance (ANOVA), to forecast final semester grades. The predictive model is trained and evaluated on a handcrafted grade prediction dataset, which contains the academic performance of the students during Plus 2 and from Semester 1 to Semester 4 of a group of Computer science and Engineering majors in Kerala. By processing historical academic records and contextual information, the GRU model learns to predict future performance accurately. To enhance the model's efficacy and interpretability, ANOVA is applied to optimize the feature selection process. This statistical technique identifies the most influential factors contributing to final grades, refining the model's predictive power while reducing dimensionality. The experimental results showcase the model's effectiveness in predicting final semester grades, demonstrating superior accuracy and performance compared to grade prediction using CNN with Bayesian optimization and LSTM with L1-Norm optimization. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper delves into the critical aspect of demand forecasting within the broader context of optimizing drop trailer management in volatile networks, with a specific focus on a large pallet manufacturer's supply chain operation. The study underscores the importance of accurate demand forecasting as a foundational element for informing subsequent optimization models. The main objective is to enhance our sponsor company's supply chain efficiency by accurately predicting future trailer requirements, which is crucial for the subsequent development of an effective inventory control and optimization model. This research utilizes forecasting methods like Gradient Boosted Trees and highlights the challenges of traditional forecasting methods in the context of our sponsor company's complex and dynamic supply chain network. The demand forecast is meant to inform the development of optimization models crucial for ensuring the effective allocation and management of trailer assets, ultimately leading to cost reductions and improved service levels within our sponsor company's network. The study contributes significantly to supply chain management literature by showcasing the application of sophisticated forecasting techniques in a real-world context and setting the stage for the development of robust optimization models in the domain of drop trailer management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Human age and gender prediction from facial images has garnered significant attention due to its importance in various applications. Traditional models struggle with large-scale variations in unfiltered images. Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) have emerged as effective tools for facial analysis due to their robust performance. This paper presents a novel CNN approach for robust age and gender classification using unconstrained real-world images. The CNN architecture includes convolution, pooling, and fully connected layers for feature extraction, dimension reduction, and mapping to output classes. Adience and UTKFace datasets were utilized, with the best training and testing accuracies achieved using an 80% training and 20% testing data split. Robust image pre-processing and data augmentation techniques were applied to handle dataset variations. The proposed approach outperformed existing methods, achieving age prediction accuracies of 86.42% and 81.96%, and gender prediction accuracies of 97.65% and 96.32% on the Adience and UTKFace datasets, respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This research paper focuses on comparing two Machine Learning (ML) approaches—Time Series Analysis and a Feature-Based Prediction—for predicting traffic accident counts. Spanning the years 2005 to 2016 in Paris, the study leverages a comprehensive dataset that includes attributes such as weather conditions. Following dataset preprocessing and partitioning into training and test sets, the research systematically develops and evaluates these two contrasting ML modeling approaches. Furthermore, the study extends its comparison by evaluating the performance of various ML models, emphasizing the power of the proposed Neural Network (NN) model. Metrics such as Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) are employed to assess and contrast the predictive capabilities of each model. The results not only showcase the effectiveness of the neural network model but also elucidate its superiority over alternative ML approaches, particularly in the context of traffic accident prediction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The mixed data sampling (MIDAS) model has attracted increasing attention due to its outstanding performance in dealing with mixed frequency data. However, most MIDAS model extension studies are based on statistical methods or machine learning models, which suffer from insufficient prediction performance and stability in small sample environments. To solve this problem, this paper proposes a novel mixed frequency sampling discrete grey model (MDGM(1, N)), which is a coupled form of the MIDAS model and discrete grey multivariate model. By adjusting the structure parameters, the model can be adapted to different sampling frequencies data, and degenerate into several types of grey models. Then, the unbiasedness and stability of the model are proved using the mathematical analysis method and numerical random experiment. The meta-heuristic algorithm is introduced to obtain the optimal weight parameters and the maximum lag order, improving the model's fitting ability to mixed frequency data. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the new model, a model evaluation system consisting of traditional evaluation metrics and a monotonicity test is established. Taking four hard disk drive failure datasets as research cases, the performance of the proposed model is compared with seven mainstream benchmark models. The results show that the proposed model has excellent applicability and outperforms other competition models in terms of validity, stability, and robustness. Furthermore, it is observed that the reported uncorrectable errors and the command timeout have a greater impact on hard disk drive failure. Finally, the new model is employed to forecast the failure of four hard disk drives. The forecasting results indicate that in the next four time points with a cycle of 21 days beginning in April 2023, the failure of the smaller capacity hard disk drives (0055 and 0086, corresponding to 8TB and 10TB) show a decreasing trend, reaching 67.442% and 89.7683%, respectively. The failure of the other larger capacity hard disk drives (0007 and 0138, corresponding to 12TB and 14TB) has increased, with a growth rate of 17.1016% and 123.7899%. [Display omitted] • A novel mixed frequency sampling discrete grey model is proposed. • The proposed model is proved to be unbiased and stable theoretically. • A Chimpanzee Optimization algorithm is introduced to globally search for weight parameters and maximum lag order. • A new model evaluation system for evaluating the effectiveness of prediction models is constructed. • The proposed model outperforms the other seven benchmark models in four case studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this research paper, we propose a novel hybrid deep learning approach, SSA-CNN-LSTM, for forecasting solar power generation. The approach combines Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to leverage temporal and spatial dependencies in real-time greenhouse solar power generation data. Through a comprehensive comparative analysis, SSA-CNN-LSTM is compared against three established models, CNN-LSTM, SSA-CNN, and SSA-LSTM, employing real solar power generation data over a two-year period. The findings prominently demonstrate SSA-CNN-LSTM's exceptional performance, particularly in the 1-hour ahead prediction horizon. With an hour-ahead Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.1202, SSA-CNN-LSTM surpasses the forecast precision of CNN-LSTM (0.6269), SSA-CNN (0.2354), and SSA-LSTM (0.2049). This excellence extends to the 2-hour-ahead forecast, where SSA-CNN-LSTM maintains its superiority with an MAE of 0.1400. In the day-ahead forecast, SSA-CNN-LSTM upholds its competitiveness, demonstrating an MAE of 0.1774. These outcomes underscore the immense potential of SSA-CNN-LSTM as a formidable tool for precise solar power forecasting. The model's effectiveness empowers greenhouse operators and energy management systems to optimize resource allocation, ultimately fostering elevated energy efficiency and overall greenhouse productivity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper presents a comprehensive study on the application of machine learning techniques in the prediction of respiratory rate via time-series-based statistical and machine learning methods using several physiological signals. Two different models, ARIMA and LSTM, were developed. The LSTM model showed a stronger capacity for learning and capturing complicated patterns in the data compared to the ARIMA model. The findings imply that LSTM models, by incorporating many variables, have the ability to provide predictions that are more accurate, particularly in situations where respiratory rate values vary significantly. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Predicting stock prices is a well-known and significant problem. We can learn about market behaviour over time and identify trends that might not have been seen without an effective stock prediction model. Machine learning will be a useful approach to solving this issue with the increased processing capacity of computers. Behavioural economics also asserts that the investments made by investors depend on their emotions so psychological theories can also be applied to explain their behaviour and its impact on the market. Combining the analysis of these behavioural patterns with the use of historical financial data sets can result in an approach for accurate stock price predictions. The primary focus of the proposed model is on comparing different models to provide a comparative analysis of the results provided by models used in the literature. The paper provides insight into the improvisation of the current techniques and how different parameters and different error analysis techniques can be implemented. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The concept of predictions has gained much attention over the last few years. Research on prediction based on experience is error-prone. Usually, a lot of data has been available with multiple variables, but not all features are relevant. This work uses different feature selection techniques and their combinations to select the best possible feature subset. This paper uses feature selection techniques for time series data prediction with deep learning models. In this work, we have used filter, wrapper, and embedded methods for feature selection. We combine these techniques and compare their performance with single feature selection techniques. We found that the embedded method alone performs well with fewer features, but its performance deteriorates when the number of features increases. We input these reduced feature sets into deep learning models such as recurrent neural networks (RNN), long short-term memory (LSTM), and 1d Convolutional with LSTM (1d CNN-LSTM). We assess the performance of different deep-learning models with reduced features. Our results analysis found that the right feature subset may help increase the performance of deep learning models for time series prediction. Performance improvement is specific to the dataset, feature selection techniques, and the deployed DL models; performance improvement varies on average, from a few percent to fifty percent. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Link prediction is significant in the field of network analysis which helps to determine the future or hidden connections between the entities in a network. Traditional link prediction methods typically utilize single algorithms to make predictions, which might not be optimal for diverse and complex networks. In this research paper, a new framework is proposed which utilizes the existing link prediction algorithms with ensemble techniques. We have explored three ensemble strategies: bagging, boosting, and voting classifier and four individual link prediction algorithms: Adamic Adar, Katz, CCPA, Accurate link prediction. Methods considering ensemble techniques combine multiple individual models to improve prediction accuracy and robustness. We have experimentally compared the performance of proposed framework using six real world datasets in terms of AUC and Accuracy. The results show the superiority of the proposed framework over individual link prediction algorithms. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Weather forecasting is a critical tool for many different applications, from agriculture and transportation to disaster preparedness and response. While weather forecasts are not always perfect, they provide valuable information that can help people make informed decisions and take appropriate actions to protect themselves and their property from the impacts of extreme weather events. In this paper, to forecast the weather we are using the SARIMA model as RMSE is 1.24 and analyse how it forecast the weather with high accuracy. Note that the SARIMA model is a machine learning (ML) technique used to forecast time series data that has both trend and seasonal components. It is an extension of the ARIMA model, which stands for Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average. To account for periodic changes in the data, the SARIMA model augments the ARIMA model with a seasonal component. The SARIMA model is trained on historical weather data and can be used to predict future weather patterns. It is a powerful tool for weather forecasting as it can accurately predict both short-term and long-term weather trends. The quality of the input data determines how accurate the SARIMA model will be, and the model can be adjusted to perform better. In conclusion, the model known as SARIMA is a ML based approach that has been successfully used to predict weather. It is a powerful tool that can handle non-stationary data and seasonal components and can accurately predict short-term and long-term weather trends. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

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In alumina production, the evaporation as the key process uses recyclable resources and reduces environmental pollution. In fact, the quality of export product with offline and delayed, results in low precision of process control and high energy consumption. To ensure green and efficient production, in this paper, a new prediction method integrating process knowledge and data-driven spatial-temporal adaptive model is put forward. First, to preprocessed production data for ensuring modeling accuracy, data reconciliation technology is adopted. Then, based on material and heat transfer mechanism, for equipment and industrial process, the mechanism models are established. Furthermore, with time difference and moving window model, an error compensation method is utilized in terms of double locally weighted kernel PLS for estimation error in hypothesis-based mechanism modeling. Finally, the data-driven spatial-temporal adaptive model and the process knowledge-based mechanism model are integrated. To illustrate the model feasibility, an industrial sodium aluminate solution evaporation is used. It demonstrates that, for the developed model, the prediction accuracy can reach more than 90% within the ± 2% error range, and effectively estimate the actual product quality and ensure the prediction effect. • A new concentration prediction method integrating knowledge and data-driven spatial-temporal adaptive model is proposed. • Mechanism modelling based on data reconciliation and process analysis is achieved to estimate concentration. • A TD-MW-DLWKPLS model considering both sample similarity and variable correlation is adopted for error compensation. • The performances of the developed method are validated on evaporation industrial application. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Accurate prediction of PV power is essential to ensuring the safe and economic operation of power systems with high PV penetration. The current PV power prediction scheme considering the spatio-temporal correlation characteristics is relatively simple in data processing, resulting in low prediction accuracy; at the same time, the missing data also poses a great problem to the prediction. Therefore, in order to improve the prediction accuracy and solve the problem of missing data, this paper proposes a PV power spatio-temporal prediction model considering time-shift correction and a multi-station information fusion strategy Firstly, relevant power station clusters are constructed using hierarchical clustering, and a similar daily data filtering model considering the variation characteristics of daily power characteristic curves is proposed to filter the data; Secondly, multiple BP neural network models are constructed and multiple reference power stations with high relevance are predicted using irradiance information; Thirdly, the prediction results of multiple reference power stations are input to the data processing module for time-shift analysis and spatial correlation information fusion correction, which solves the missing data problem of the target power station to be predicted. Finally, it is input to One-dimensional Convolutional Neural Network(1DCNN) to achieve the power prediction of the target power station with missing data. The simulation analysis shows that the root mean square error (RMSE) of a sunny day forecast is 3.31%; the RMSE of a non-sunny day forecast is 9.65%, which proves the accuracy of this two-layer neural network is higher compared to other model structures, so the proposed scheme has certain reliability and accuracy in the prediction of PV power with missing data. • The paper examines the current issues and challenges with PV power forecasting. • A similar daily data filter considering the various characteristics of the daily PV power output is proposed. • A BP-1DCNN network considering spatio-temporal sharing is designed to predict the PV power of the missing data plants. • A time-shift correction and spatially relevant information fusion strategy are used to connect the two networks. • The spatio-temporally corrected network prediction model has higher accuracy and solves the problem of missing data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper presents a new methodology to obtain prediction regions of the output of a dynamical system. The proposed approach uses stored past outputs of the system and it is entirely data-based. Only two hyperparameters are necessary to apply the proposed methodology. These scalars are chosen so that the size of the obtained regions is minimized while fulfilling the desired empirical probability in a validation set. In this paper, methods to optimally estimate both hyperparameters are provided. The provided prediction regions are convex and checking if a given point belongs to a computed prediction region amounts to solving a convex optimization problem. Also, approximation methods to build ellipsoidal prediction regions are provided. These approximations are useful when explicit descriptions of the regions are necessary. Finally, some numerical examples and comparisons for the case of a non-linear uncertain kite system are provided to prove the effectiveness of the proposed methodology. • A method to compute prediction regions for multivariate systems is presented. • These regions contain future values of the outputs with a certain probability. • The proposed method does not need any knowledge of the system dynamics. • A procedure to obtain ellipsoidal approximations of the regions is also presented. • The results are illustrated by means of numerical examples. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

With increasing multimedia content and social activities, moderation problems increase. There are different approaches to moderation and automation. However, they have limitations in terms of usage in real-time. The analysis of scientific papers revealed that most of the more common approaches solve the task of detection instead of prediction by considering the final utterance. For this reason, calls are unprotected in toxic languages, and online broadcasts can be unpredictable. In this work, a new way for automatic speech moderation in terms of dynamic word prediction was suggested. The considered task involves the analysis of the auditory and textual channels of speech. Words can have different meanings depending on the context, so in solving the problem it is planned to consider profanity, which is socially unacceptable regardless of the context. In this paper approaches for working with speech stream in the task of profanity prediction were proposed. It can be possible to have smaller latency with usage of audio features. We also suggest the pipeline for real-time (with the ability to predict the sequence with a higher duration than the latency of the processing) prediction for multimodal prediction, which compensates the latency of ASR systems. As a result, in this paper, we compared different solutions for the next color prediction task for English speech and reached the F1 score of 86.6 for 3 class prediction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper examines the role of tax elasticities in forecasting tax revenue. Tax elasticities give the expected change in revenue for a change in the tax base. We examine how important the choice of elasticity is for forecasting income tax up to four years ahead. We find that using elasticities which were estimated using data adjusted for tax policy changes produces improved forecasts, particularly at longer forecast horizons. This improvement is statistically significant. These results are found using Irish data. However, this paper demonstrates a methodology with potential for widespread application in many other countries. Better forecasts of government revenue could aid better fiscal planning and medium-term budgeting. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: In this paper, the authors try to develop a model for predicting the insolvency of trading companies from the Republic of Srpska. The research seeks to determine the statistically most significant financial indicator in predicting the insolvency of trading companies in the Republic of Srpska. Methodology: The research data sample in this paper consists of yearly data from 2017 to 2020 for two hundred trading companies from the Republic of Srpska. Binary logistic regression was used to develop the model. Results: As a result of the research, a model was created that successfully classifies 82.9% of solvent and 80% of insolvent companies, with a general efficiency rate of 81.4%. Conclusion: Based on the empirical research results, we can conclude that the hypothesis has been confirmed that the LR model can be formed on the basis of selected financial indicators as a tool for predicting the insolvency of trading companies in the Republic of Srpska. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A time-evolving (or dynamic) social network is a network whose structure may change over time. The observed changes may refer to entities (for example, new members may join or existing members may leave the network) or connections between them (new relationships may be established or existing relationships may be broken). A number of studies have focused on the empirical analysis of time evolving networks to examine their properties. In this paper, the problem of link prediction is considered. It aims at predicting future connections between pairs of unconnected links based on existing current connections. A social network considered in the paper is an organizational social network, meant as a network where nodes represent employees or units of the organization, and edges between nodes represent formal or informal relations or information flow between them. The structure of our network is formed by digital communication between employees. The aim of the paper is to experimentally verify to what extent, if any, the similarity-based methods based on local or global information may support the process of predicting potential new (non-existent yet) connections between employees in a time-evolving organizational social network. Ten similarity methods based on local and global information have been considered and tested. As a result, the best similarity methods (candidates to be considered as good predictors of these future connections), have been suggested. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The manufacturing sector has been regarded as a key factor in the history of economic development and growth. However, economic fluctuations affect manufacturing seriously. This study examines the impact of the 2008 global economic crisis on Turkish manufacturing sector profitability. This paper uses micro-econometric difference in differences methods in conjunction with the macroeconomic forecasting method to investigate how profit levels in the Turkish manufacturing industry are affected by the crisis. The results indicate that the profit levels changed significantly after the crisis with a one-year lag and actual profits exceeded the estimated profits in the later years. Economic impacts of crises have long been investigated; however, this paper differs from the literature in using a new analytical framework for the issue. The suggested method can be expanded to other areas, which can spark new future studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

To reflect the future electricity demand variations in the industrial sector of western China under the "carbon peaking" and "carbon neutral" strategies, that the traditional methods of electricity consumption forecasting are no longer effective, this paper proposes a new hierarchy of electricity demand influencing factors based on the transition path of low-carbon and CO 2 emission intensity constraints of the industrial sector. Then, the feedback equations of the influencing factors based on CO 2 emission intensity is constructed, and a long-term electricity forecast model based on system dynamics is established. Finally, taking Ningxia Province as an example, the electricity demand and carbon emissions of the industrial sector are predicted under different policy constraint scenarios. The results show: (1) In the baseline scenario, electricity demand will tend to saturate with about 140.1TWh in 2030, and the CO 2 emission level of electricity demand will peak at 72.52 million tons in 2029. (2) Compared with the system dynamics model without considering CO 2 emission intensity, the mean absolute percentage error is reduced about 3.16 % by inputting the influence factors and regression coefficients designed in this paper. (3) Compared with other forecasting methods, the model proposed in this paper has the lowest mean absolute percentage error of 2.75 %. The model improves the accuracy and provides a reference for planning departments to develop energy transition plans, where the prediction results reflect the reality of the industrial sector in western China. Correspondingly, this model has reference value for relevant institutions in forecasting the electricity demand under the low-carbon development path in industrial sectors of different regions. • Influencing factors are screened according to the low-carbon transition paths. • The distributed power installed capacity and load interaction coefficient are considered. • Multiple regression equations are developed between CO 2 emission targets and influencing factors. • A long-term electricity demand forecast model driven by CO 2 constraints is constructed. • The multi-scenario electricity demand in western China is forecasted in response to carbon peaking and carbon neutral targets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Intermittent data, characterized by sporadic and irregular occurrences, have successive zero values in time series, had present unique challenges for modeling and analysis. Forecasting using intermittent data is not easy to do. This paper presents an application of the Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH) in modeling and forecasting intermittent data. GMDH models excel in capturing non-linear patterns, handling missing or sparse data, and adapting to changing dynamics. By iteratively selecting the most informative variables and estimating their coefficients, GMDH constructs a hierarchical network of interconnected models that can effectively handle intermittent data. The forecasting results show that GMDH is able to follow the pattern of actual data. The mean deviation accuracy analysis shows a value of 72.22%. The findings showcase the potential of GMDH as a valuable tool in addressing the challenges associated with intermittent data and offer insights into its application across various domains. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper we analyze the problem of data-driven university management. We propose a concept of an intelligent strategic decision support system (ISDSS) to ensure that informed decisions are made in the management of higher education institutions. We show that the underlying task of various decision support tasks in university management is the analysis and forecasting of scientific and technological trends. We propose an approach to solving this task which includes determining promising emerging and existing technological areas, forecasting the further development of each of the selected areas, generating possible scenarios of their development and preparing suggestions for decision makers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The sustainability issue in the transportation sector brings the electric vehicle (EV) as a new promising solution for reducing carbon emissions. However, the EV adoption faces issues regarding range, recharging time, and high initial investment. To enhance the adoption, supporting infrastructures should be planned. Therefore, forecasting the growth of EV adoption becomes important to help industries and government in strategic decision making. This paper provides a literature review about forecasting methods in EV ownership, which includes studies from 2011 to March 2023. This will contribute to highlight the current methods and stimulating more developments of forecasting methods related to EV ownership. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Although the effect of nonuniform shrinkage on the time-dependent behavior of simply supported composite slabs has been extensively investigated, continuous composite slabs have not garnered enough attention. This paper aims to propose the routine design procedures for continuous composite slabs, including the hogging moment over the interior support and the mid-span deflection. Thus, the long-term test data on two-span continuous composite slabs provided by the authors and the related literature were collected to benchmark the current design methods in international specifications. The routine design procedures for calculating the long-term moment distribution and the mid-span deflection of two-span composite slabs were proposed considering the time-dependent range of hogging moment zones. Moreover, the effects of different shrinkage distributions and hogging moment ranges on the long-term performance of these slabs were further quantified. The results showed that the mid-span deflection and the hogging moment over the interior support increased significantly over time; both could not be accurately predicted using the typical design methods described in international specifications. The hogging moment declined by 28.0% when a uniform shrinkage profile was adopted for the design of composite slabs, and the mid-span deflection decreased by 15.0% when a constant range of the hogging moment zones was used. The design procedures proposed herein well described the long-term behavior of continuous composite slabs by accounting for the combined effects of the nonuniform shrinkage and time-dependent hogging moment range. The calculated hogging moment and mid-span deflection differed from the measured ones on average by 2.0% and 9.0%. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]