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Efficient solar power generation forecasting for greenhouses: A hybrid deep learning approach.

Authors :
Venkateswaran, Divyadharshini
Cho, Yongyun
Source :
Alexandria Engineering Journal; Mar2024, Vol. 91, p222-236, 15p
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

In this research paper, we propose a novel hybrid deep learning approach, SSA-CNN-LSTM, for forecasting solar power generation. The approach combines Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to leverage temporal and spatial dependencies in real-time greenhouse solar power generation data. Through a comprehensive comparative analysis, SSA-CNN-LSTM is compared against three established models, CNN-LSTM, SSA-CNN, and SSA-LSTM, employing real solar power generation data over a two-year period. The findings prominently demonstrate SSA-CNN-LSTM's exceptional performance, particularly in the 1-hour ahead prediction horizon. With an hour-ahead Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.1202, SSA-CNN-LSTM surpasses the forecast precision of CNN-LSTM (0.6269), SSA-CNN (0.2354), and SSA-LSTM (0.2049). This excellence extends to the 2-hour-ahead forecast, where SSA-CNN-LSTM maintains its superiority with an MAE of 0.1400. In the day-ahead forecast, SSA-CNN-LSTM upholds its competitiveness, demonstrating an MAE of 0.1774. These outcomes underscore the immense potential of SSA-CNN-LSTM as a formidable tool for precise solar power forecasting. The model's effectiveness empowers greenhouse operators and energy management systems to optimize resource allocation, ultimately fostering elevated energy efficiency and overall greenhouse productivity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
11100168
Volume :
91
Database :
Supplemental Index
Journal :
Alexandria Engineering Journal
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
176009070
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aej.2024.02.004