1. Growth of canopy red oak near its northern range limit: current trends, potential drivers, and implications for the future
- Author
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Stern, Rebecca L., Schaberg, Paul G., Rayback, Shelly A., Murakami, Paula F., Hansen, Christopher F., and Hawley, Gary J.
- Subjects
United States. National Climatic Data Center ,Dendroclimatology ,Archaeological dating ,Global temperature changes ,Dendrochronology ,Acid deposition -- Growth ,Jewelry ,Deciduous forests -- Growth ,Company growth ,Earth sciences - Abstract
Red oak (Quercus rubra L.) is projected to expand into the northern hardwood forest over the coming century. We explored the connection between red oak basal area growth and a number of factors (tree age and size, stand dynamics, site elevation, and climate and acid deposition variables) for 213 trees in 11 plots throughout Vermont, USA. Red oak growth generally increased over the course of the chronology (1935-2014) and has been particularly high in recent decades. Growth differed among elevational groups but did not differ between age or size groups. Summer moisture metrics were consistently and positively associated with growth, whereas fall moisture was associated with reduced growth in recent decades. Higher summer temperatures were often negatively associated with growth, though there was evidence that low temperatures in the summer (higher elevations) and fall (lower elevations) constrain growth. Several pollution metrics were associated with reduced growth, a surprising result for a species not known to be sensitive to inputs of acid deposition that have predisposed other species in the region to decline. While red oak growth is currently robust, increases in summer temperatures, reductions in growing season precipitation, or increases in fall precipitation could reduce future growth potential. Key words: Quercus rubra, dendrochronology, tree rings, climate change, acid deposition. Le chene rouge (Quercus rubra L.) devrait augmenter sa presence dans la zone des forets de feuillus nordiques au cours du prochain siecle. A partir de 213 arbres repartis dans 11 placettes etablies dans l'Etat du Vermont, aux Etats-Unis, nous avons explore les liens entre la croissance en surface terriere du chene rouge et les facteurs suivants: l'age et la taille des arbres, la dynamique des peuplements, l'altitude de la station, et des variables climatiques et de depots acides. La croissance du chene rouge a generalement augmente pendant la periode couverte par la chronologie (1935-2014) et a ete particulierement elevee au cours des dernieres decennies. La croissance etait differente entre les classes d'altitude, mais pas entre les classes d'age ou de taille. Les mesures d'humidite estivale etaient systematiquement et positivement associees a la croissance, tandis que l'humidite automnale etait negativement associee a la croissance au cours des dernieres decennies. Des temperatures estivales elevees etaient souvent associees negativement a la croissance, bien que de basses temperatures estivales (altitudes plus elevees) et automnales (altitudes plus basses) aient aussi limite la croissance. Plusieurs mesures de pollution ont ete associees a une reduction de croissance, ce qui est un resultat surprenant pour une espece qui n'est pas reconnue pour sa sensibilite aux depots acides qui ont, par ailleurs, predispose d'autres especes de la region a un declin. Bien que la croissance du chene rouge soit actuellement robuste, l'augmentation des temperatures estivales, la reduction des precipitations pendant la saison de croissance ou l'augmentation des precipitations automnales pourraient reduire son futur potentiel de croissance. [Traduit par la Redaction] Mots-cles : Quercus rubra, dendrochronologie, anneaux de croissance, changements climatiques, depots acides., Introduction As climate change progresses, efforts are underway to understand how and when forests and constituent tree species will respond. Numerous studies have applied models to estimate the composition and [...]
- Published
- 2020
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