24 results on '"Spawn, Seth A."'
Search Results
2. Protecting irrecoverable carbon in Earth’s ecosystems
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Goldstein, Allie, Turner, Will R., Spawn, Seth A., Anderson-Teixeira, Kristina J., Cook-Patton, Susan, Fargione, Joseph, Gibbs, Holly K., Griscom, Bronson, Hewson, Jennifer H., Howard, Jennifer F., Ledezma, Juan Carlos, Page, Susan, Koh, Lian Pin, Rockström, Johan, Sanderman, Jonathan, and Hole, David G.
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- 2020
- Full Text
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3. Harmonized global maps of above and belowground biomass carbon density in the year 2010
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Spawn, Seth A., Sullivan, Clare C., Lark, Tyler J., and Gibbs, Holly K.
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- 2020
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- View/download PDF
4. Cropland expansion in the United States produces marginal yields at high costs to wildlife
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Lark, Tyler J., Spawn, Seth A., Bougie, Matthew, and Gibbs, Holly K.
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- 2020
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5. Patterns of Potential Methanogenesis Along Soil Moisture Gradients Following Drying and Rewetting in Midwestern Prairie Pothole Wetlands
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Kannenberg, Steven A., Dunn, Samuel T., Ludwig, Sarah M., Spawn, Seth A., and Schade, John D.
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- 2015
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6. Toward a Generalizable Framework of Disturbance Ecology Through Crowdsourced Science
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Graham, Emily B., Averill, Colin, Bond-Lamberty, Ben, Knelman, Joseph E., Krause, Stefan, Peralta, Ariane L., Shade, Ashley, Smith, A. Peyton, Cheng, Susan J., Fanin, Nicolas, Freund, Cathryn, Garcia, Patricia E., Gibbons, Sean M., Van Goethem, Marc W., Guebila, Marouen Ben, Kemppinen, Julia, Nowicki, Robert J., Pausas, Juli G., Reed, Samuel P., Rocca, Jennifer, Sengupta, Aditi, Sihi, Debjani, Simonin, Marie, Słowiński, Michał, Spawn, Seth A., Sutherland, Ira, Tonkin, Jonathan D., Wisnoski, Nathan I., Zipper, Samuel C., Staal, Arie, Arora, Bhavna, Oldfield, Callie, Dwivedi, Dipankar, Larson, Erin, Santillan, Ezequiel, Aaron Hogan, J., Atkins, Jeff, Zheng, Jianqiu, Lembrechts, Jonas, Patel, Kaizad, Copes-Gerbitz, Kelsey, Winker, Kevin, Mudge, Laura, Wong, Mark, Nuñez, Martin, Luoto, Miska, Barnes, Rebecca, Spatial Ecology and Global Change, and Environmental Sciences
- Subjects
reistance ,ecosystem stability ,spatioal ,compounding disturbances ,Temporal ,resilience ,interacting disturbances ,Perturbation - Abstract
Disturbances fundamentally alter ecosystem functions, yet predicting their impacts remains a key scientific challenge. While the study of disturbances is ubiquitous across many ecological disciplines, there is no agreed-upon, cross-disciplinary foundation for discussing or quantifying the complexity of disturbances, and no consistent terminology or methodologies exist. This inconsistency presents an increasingly urgent challenge due to accelerating global change and the threat of interacting disturbances that can destabilize ecosystem responses. By harvesting the expertise of an interdisciplinary cohort of contributors spanning 42 institutions across 15 countries, we identified an essential limitation in disturbance ecology: the word ‘disturbance’ is used interchangeably to refer to both the events that cause, and the consequences of, ecological change, despite fundamental distinctions between the two meanings. In response, we developed a generalizable framework of ecosystem disturbances, providing a well-defined lexicon for understanding disturbances across perspectives and scales. The framework results from ideas that resonate across multiple scientific disciplines and provides a baseline standard to compare disturbances across fields. This framework can be supplemented by discipline-specific variables to provide maximum benefit to both inter- and intra-disciplinary research. To support future syntheses and meta-analyses of disturbance research, we also encourage researchers to be explicit in how they define disturbance drivers and impacts, and we recommend minimum reporting standards that are applicable regardless of scale. Finally, we discuss the primary factors we considered when developing a baseline framework and propose four future directions to advance our interdisciplinary understanding of disturbances and their social-ecological impacts: integrating across ecological scales, understanding disturbance interactions, establishing baselines and trajectories, and developing process-based models and ecological forecasting initiatives. Our experience through this process motivates us to encourage the wider scientific community to continue to explore new approaches for leveraging Open Science principles in generating creative and multidisciplinary ideas.
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- 2021
7. Natural climate solutions for Canada
- Author
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Drever, C. Ronnie, primary, Cook-Patton, Susan C., additional, Akhter, Fardausi, additional, Badiou, Pascal H., additional, Chmura, Gail L., additional, Davidson, Scott J., additional, Desjardins, Raymond L., additional, Dyk, Andrew, additional, Fargione, Joseph E., additional, Fellows, Max, additional, Filewod, Ben, additional, Hessing-Lewis, Margot, additional, Jayasundara, Susantha, additional, Keeton, William S., additional, Kroeger, Timm, additional, Lark, Tyler J., additional, Le, Edward, additional, Leavitt, Sara M., additional, LeClerc, Marie-Eve, additional, Lemprière, Tony C., additional, Metsaranta, Juha, additional, McConkey, Brian, additional, Neilson, Eric, additional, St-Laurent, Guillaume Peterson, additional, Puric-Mladenovic, Danijela, additional, Rodrigue, Sebastien, additional, Soolanayakanahally, Raju Y., additional, Spawn, Seth A., additional, Strack, Maria, additional, Smyth, Carolyn, additional, Thevathasan, Naresh, additional, Voicu, Mihai, additional, Williams, Christopher A., additional, Woodbury, Peter B., additional, Worth, Devon E., additional, Xu, Zhen, additional, Yeo, Samantha, additional, and Kurz, Werner A., additional
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- 2021
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8. Methodology for generating a global forest management layer
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Lesiv, Myroslava, Schepaschenko, Dmitry, Buchhorn, Marcel, See, Linda, Duerauer, Martina, Georgieva, Ivelina, Jung, Martin, Hofhansl, Florian, Schulze, Katharina, Bilous, Andrii, Blyshchyk, Volodymyr, Mukhortova, Liudmila, Muñoz Brenes, Carlos, Krivobokov, Leonid V., Ntie, Stephan, Tsogt, Khongor, Pietsch, Stephan, Tikhonova, Elena, Kim, Moonil, Su, Yuan-Fong, Zadorozhniuk, Roman, Sirbu, Flavius, Panging, Kripal, Bilous, Svitlana, Kovalevskii, Sergii B., Harb Rabia, Ahmed, Vasylyshyn, Roman, Ahmed, Rekib, Diachuk, Petro, Kovalevskyi, Serhii S., Bungnamei, Khangsembou, Bordolo, Kusumbor, Churilov, Andrii, Vasylyshyn, Olesia, Sahariah, Dhrubajyoti, Tertyshnyi, Anatolii P., Saikia, Anup, Malek , Žiga, Singha, Kuleswar, Feshchenko, Roman, Prestele, Reinhard, I. H. Akhtar, Sharma, Kiran, Domashovets, Galyna, Spawn, Seth, Blyshchyk, Oleksii, Slyva, Oleksandr, Ilkiv, Mariia, Melnyk, Oleksandr, Sliusarchuk, Vitalii, Karpuk, Anatolii, Terentiev, Andrii, Bilous, Valentin, Blyshchyk, Kateryna, Bilous, Maxim, Bogovyk, Nataliia, and Blyshchyk, Ivan
- Abstract
The first ever global map of forest management was generated based on remote sensing data. To collect training data, we launched a series of Geo-Wiki (https://www.geo-wiki.org/) campaigns involving forest experts from different world regions, to explore which information related to forest management could be collected by visual interpretation of very high-resolution images from Google Maps and Microsoft Bing, Sentinel time series and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) profiles derived from Google Earth Engine. A machine learning technique was then used with the visually interpreted sample (280K locations) as a training dataset to classify PROBA-V satellite imagery. Finally, we obtained a global wall-to-wall map of forest management at a 100m resolution for the year 2015. The map includes classes such as intact forests; forests with signs of management, including logging; planted forests; woody plantations with a rotation period up to 15 years; oil palm plantations; and agroforestry. The map can be used to deliver further information about forest ecosystems, protected and observed forest status changes, biodiversity assessments, and other ecosystem-related aspects.
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- 2020
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9. Toward a Generalizable Framework of Disturbance Ecology Through Crowdsourced Science
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Spatial Ecology and Global Change, Environmental Sciences, Graham, Emily B., Averill, Colin, Bond-Lamberty, Ben, Knelman, Joseph E., Krause, Stefan, Peralta, Ariane L., Shade, Ashley, Smith, A. Peyton, Cheng, Susan J., Fanin, Nicolas, Freund, Cathryn, Garcia, Patricia E., Gibbons, Sean M., Van Goethem, Marc W., Guebila, Marouen Ben, Kemppinen, Julia, Nowicki, Robert J., Pausas, Juli G., Reed, Samuel P., Rocca, Jennifer, Sengupta, Aditi, Sihi, Debjani, Simonin, Marie, Słowiński, Michał, Spawn, Seth A., Sutherland, Ira, Tonkin, Jonathan D., Wisnoski, Nathan I., Zipper, Samuel C., Staal, Arie, Arora, Bhavna, Oldfield, Callie, Dwivedi, Dipankar, Larson, Erin, Santillan, Ezequiel, Aaron Hogan, J., Atkins, Jeff, Zheng, Jianqiu, Lembrechts, Jonas, Patel, Kaizad, Copes-Gerbitz, Kelsey, Winker, Kevin, Mudge, Laura, Wong, Mark, Nuñez, Martin, Luoto, Miska, Barnes, Rebecca, Spatial Ecology and Global Change, Environmental Sciences, Graham, Emily B., Averill, Colin, Bond-Lamberty, Ben, Knelman, Joseph E., Krause, Stefan, Peralta, Ariane L., Shade, Ashley, Smith, A. Peyton, Cheng, Susan J., Fanin, Nicolas, Freund, Cathryn, Garcia, Patricia E., Gibbons, Sean M., Van Goethem, Marc W., Guebila, Marouen Ben, Kemppinen, Julia, Nowicki, Robert J., Pausas, Juli G., Reed, Samuel P., Rocca, Jennifer, Sengupta, Aditi, Sihi, Debjani, Simonin, Marie, Słowiński, Michał, Spawn, Seth A., Sutherland, Ira, Tonkin, Jonathan D., Wisnoski, Nathan I., Zipper, Samuel C., Staal, Arie, Arora, Bhavna, Oldfield, Callie, Dwivedi, Dipankar, Larson, Erin, Santillan, Ezequiel, Aaron Hogan, J., Atkins, Jeff, Zheng, Jianqiu, Lembrechts, Jonas, Patel, Kaizad, Copes-Gerbitz, Kelsey, Winker, Kevin, Mudge, Laura, Wong, Mark, Nuñez, Martin, Luoto, Miska, and Barnes, Rebecca
- Published
- 2021
10. Toward a Generalizable Framework of Disturbance Ecology Through Crowdsourced Science
- Author
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Department of Energy (US), Biological and Environmental Research (US), Graham, Emily B., Averill, Colin, Bond-Lamberty, Ben, Knelman, Joseph E., Krause, Stefan, Peralta, Ariane L., Shade, Ashley, Smith, A. Peyton, Cheng, Susan J., Fanin, Nicolas, Freund, Cathryn, García, Patricia E., Gibbons, Sean M., Goethem, Marc W. van, Guebila, Marouen Ben, Kemppinen, Julia, Nowicki, Robert J., Pausas, J. G., Reed, Samuel P., Rocca, Jennifer, Sengupta, Aditi, Sihi, Debjani, Simonin, Marie, Słowiński, Michał, Spawn, Seth A., Sutherland, Ira, Tonkin, Jonathan D., Wisnoski, Nathan I., Zipper, Samuel C., Department of Energy (US), Biological and Environmental Research (US), Graham, Emily B., Averill, Colin, Bond-Lamberty, Ben, Knelman, Joseph E., Krause, Stefan, Peralta, Ariane L., Shade, Ashley, Smith, A. Peyton, Cheng, Susan J., Fanin, Nicolas, Freund, Cathryn, García, Patricia E., Gibbons, Sean M., Goethem, Marc W. van, Guebila, Marouen Ben, Kemppinen, Julia, Nowicki, Robert J., Pausas, J. G., Reed, Samuel P., Rocca, Jennifer, Sengupta, Aditi, Sihi, Debjani, Simonin, Marie, Słowiński, Michał, Spawn, Seth A., Sutherland, Ira, Tonkin, Jonathan D., Wisnoski, Nathan I., and Zipper, Samuel C.
- Abstract
Disturbances fundamentally alter ecosystem functions, yet predicting their impacts remains a key scientific challenge. While the study of disturbances is ubiquitous across many ecological disciplines, there is no agreed-upon, cross-disciplinary foundation for discussing or quantifying the complexity of disturbances, and no consistent terminology or methodologies exist. This inconsistency presents an increasingly urgent challenge due to accelerating global change and the threat of interacting disturbances that can destabilize ecosystem responses. By harvesting the expertise of an interdisciplinary cohort of contributors spanning 42 institutions across 15 countries, we identified an essential limitation in disturbance ecology: the word ‘disturbance’ is used interchangeably to refer to both the events that cause, and the consequences of, ecological change, despite fundamental distinctions between the two meanings. In response, we developed a generalizable framework of ecosystem disturbances, providing a well-defined lexicon for understanding disturbances across perspectives and scales. The framework results from ideas that resonate across multiple scientific disciplines and provides a baseline standard to compare disturbances across fields. This framework can be supplemented by discipline-specific variables to provide maximum benefit to both inter- and intra-disciplinary research. To support future syntheses and meta-analyses of disturbance research, we also encourage researchers to be explicit in how they define disturbance drivers and impacts, and we recommend minimum reporting standards that are applicable regardless of scale. Finally, we discuss the primary factors we considered when developing a baseline framework and propose four future directions to advance our interdisciplinary understanding of disturbances and their social-ecological impacts: integrating across ecological scales, understanding disturbance interactions, establishing baselines and trajectories
- Published
- 2021
11. Estimating the Potential for Conservation and Farming in the Amazon and Cerrado under Four Policy Scenarios
- Author
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Brandão Jr., Amintas, primary, Rausch, Lisa, additional, Paz Durán, América, additional, Costa Jr., Ciniro, additional, Spawn, Seth A., additional, and Gibbs, Holly K., additional
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- 2020
- Full Text
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12. Manuscript Review
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Spawn, Seth, primary
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- 2020
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13. Tree density influences ecohydrological drivers of plant–water relations in a larch boreal forest in Siberia
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Kropp, Heather, primary, Loranty, Michael M., additional, Natali, Susan M., additional, Kholodov, Alexander L., additional, Alexander, Heather D., additional, Zimov, Nikita S., additional, Mack, Michelle C., additional, and Spawn, Seth A., additional
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- 2019
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14. Carbon emissions from cropland expansion in the United States
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Spawn, Seth A, primary, Lark, Tyler J, additional, and Gibbs, Holly K, additional
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- 2019
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15. Natural climate solutions for the United States
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Fargione, Joseph E., primary, Bassett, Steven, additional, Boucher, Timothy, additional, Bridgham, Scott D., additional, Conant, Richard T., additional, Cook-Patton, Susan C., additional, Ellis, Peter W., additional, Falcucci, Alessandra, additional, Fourqurean, James W., additional, Gopalakrishna, Trisha, additional, Gu, Huan, additional, Henderson, Benjamin, additional, Hurteau, Matthew D., additional, Kroeger, Kevin D., additional, Kroeger, Timm, additional, Lark, Tyler J., additional, Leavitt, Sara M., additional, Lomax, Guy, additional, McDonald, Robert I., additional, Megonigal, J. Patrick, additional, Miteva, Daniela A., additional, Richardson, Curtis J., additional, Sanderman, Jonathan, additional, Shoch, David, additional, Spawn, Seth A., additional, Veldman, Joseph W., additional, Williams, Christopher A., additional, Woodbury, Peter B., additional, Zganjar, Chris, additional, Baranski, Marci, additional, Elias, Patricia, additional, Houghton, Richard A., additional, Landis, Emily, additional, McGlynn, Emily, additional, Schlesinger, William H., additional, Siikamaki, Juha V., additional, Sutton-Grier, Ariana E., additional, and Griscom, Bronson W., additional
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- 2018
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16. Natural climate solutions for the United States
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Fargione, Joseph E., Bassett, Steven, Boucher, Timothy, Bridgham, Scott D., Conant, Richard T., Cook-Patton, Susan C., Ellis, Peter W., Falcucci, Alessandra, Fourqurean, James W., Gopalakrishna, Trisha, Gu, Huan, Henderson, Benjamin, Hurteau, Matthew D., Kroeger, Kevin D., Kroeger, Timm, Lark, Tyler J., Leavitt, Sara M., Lomax, Guy, McDonald, Robert I., Megonigal, J. Patrick, Miteva, Daniela A., Richardson, Curtis J., Sanderman, Jonathan, Shoch, David, Spawn, Seth A., Veldman, Joseph W., Williams, Christopher A., Woodbury, Peter B., Zganjar, Chris, Baranski, Marci, Elias, Patricia, Houghton, Richard A., Landis, Emily, McGlynn, Emily, Schlesinger, William H., Siikamaki, Juha V., Sutton-Grier, Ariana E., Griscom, Bronson W., Fargione, Joseph E., Bassett, Steven, Boucher, Timothy, Bridgham, Scott D., Conant, Richard T., Cook-Patton, Susan C., Ellis, Peter W., Falcucci, Alessandra, Fourqurean, James W., Gopalakrishna, Trisha, Gu, Huan, Henderson, Benjamin, Hurteau, Matthew D., Kroeger, Kevin D., Kroeger, Timm, Lark, Tyler J., Leavitt, Sara M., Lomax, Guy, McDonald, Robert I., Megonigal, J. Patrick, Miteva, Daniela A., Richardson, Curtis J., Sanderman, Jonathan, Shoch, David, Spawn, Seth A., Veldman, Joseph W., Williams, Christopher A., Woodbury, Peter B., Zganjar, Chris, Baranski, Marci, Elias, Patricia, Houghton, Richard A., Landis, Emily, McGlynn, Emily, Schlesinger, William H., Siikamaki, Juha V., Sutton-Grier, Ariana E., and Griscom, Bronson W.
- Abstract
© The Author(s), 2018. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License. The definitive version was published in Science Advances 4 (2018): eaat1869, doi:10.1126/sciadv.aat1869., Limiting climate warming to <2°C requires increased mitigation efforts, including land stewardship, whose potential in the United States is poorly understood. We quantified the potential of natural climate solutions (NCS)—21 conservation, restoration, and improved land management interventions on natural and agricultural lands—to increase carbon storage and avoid greenhouse gas emissions in the United States. We found a maximum potential of 1.2 (0.9 to 1.6) Pg CO2e year−1, the equivalent of 21% of current net annual emissions of the United States. At current carbon market prices (USD 10 per Mg CO2e), 299 Tg CO2e year−1 could be achieved. NCS would also provide air and water filtration, flood control, soil health, wildlife habitat, and climate resilience benefits., This study was made possible by funding from the Doris Duke Charitable Foundation. C.A.W. and H.G. acknowledge financial support from NASA’s Carbon Monitoring System program (NNH14ZDA001N-CMS) under award NNX14AR39G. S.D.B. acknowledges support from the DOE’s Office of Biological and Environmental Research Program under the award DE-SC0014416. J.W.F. acknowledges financial support from the Florida Coastal Everglades Long-Term Ecological Research program under National Science Foundation grant no. DEB-1237517.
- Published
- 2018
17. Spatial heterogeneity of within‐stream methane concentrations
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Crawford, John T., primary, Loken, Luke C., additional, West, William E., additional, Crary, Benjamin, additional, Spawn, Seth A., additional, Gubbins, Nicholas, additional, Jones, Stuart E., additional, Striegl, Robert G., additional, and Stanley, Emily H., additional
- Published
- 2017
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18. Environmental constraints on transpiration and stomatal conductance in a Siberian Arctic boreal forest
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Kropp, Heather, primary, Loranty, Michael, additional, Alexander, Heather D., additional, Berner, Logan T., additional, Natali, Susan M., additional, and Spawn, Seth A., additional
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- 2017
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19. A Spatial Survey of Methanogenesis in Minnesota Streams
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Sather, Karin, Songpitak, Melissa, Spawn, Seth, and Schade, John
- Published
- 2013
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20. Variation in summer nitrogen and phosphorus uptake among Siberian headwater streams
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Schade, John D., primary, Seybold, Erin C., additional, Drake, Travis, additional, Spawn, Seth, additional, Sobczak, William V., additional, Frey, Karen E., additional, Holmes, Robert M., additional, and Zimov, Nikita, additional
- Published
- 2016
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21. Summer methane ebullition from a headwater catchment in Northeastern Siberia
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Spawn, Seth, primary, Dunn, Samuel, additional, Fiske, Greg, additional, Natali, Susan, additional, Schade, John, additional, and Zimov, Nikita, additional
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- 2015
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22. Ebullitive methane emissions from oxygenated wetland streams
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Crawford, John T., primary, Stanley, Emily H., additional, Spawn, Seth A., additional, Finlay, Jacques C., additional, Loken, Luke C., additional, and Striegl, Robert G., additional
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- 2014
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23. Summer methane ebullition from a headwater catchment in Northeastern Siberia
- Author
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A. Spawn, Seth, T. Dunn, Samuel, J. Fiske, Greg, M. Natali, Susan, D. Schade, John, and S. Zimov, Nikita
- Abstract
AbstractStreams and rivers are active processors of terrestrial carbon and significant sources of carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) to the atmosphere. Recent studies suggest that ebullition may represent a sizable yet overlooked component of the total CH4flux from these systems; however, there are no published CH4ebullition estimates for streams or rivers in subarctic or arctic biomes, regions that store vast quantities of vulnerable, old organic carbon in permafrost soils. We quantified CH4ebullition from headwater streams in a small arctic watershed in Northeastern Siberia. Ebullitive emissions were 0.64 mmol m−2d−1, which is lower than the global average but approximately 2 times greater than the pan-arctic diffusive CH4flux estimate reported in a recent synthesis of global freshwater CH4emissions. The high CO2:CH4of sediment bubbles (0.52) suggests that methane emissions may currently be constrained by resource competition between methanogens and microbes using more efficient metabolic strategies. Furthermore, the magnitude and frequency of ebullition events were greater as temperatures increased, suggesting that ebullition from streams could become a more prominent component of the regional CH4flux in a warmer future.
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
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24. Estimating the Potential for Conservation and Farming in the Amazon and Cerrado under Four Policy Scenarios
- Author
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Brandão, Rausch, Durán, Costa, Spawn, Gibbs, Brandão Jr., Amintas [0000-0002-4044-8366], Rausch, Lisa [0000-0001-6500-588X], Paz Durán, América [0000-0001-9719-7388], Spawn, Seth A [0000-0001-8821-5345], and Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository
- Subjects
0106 biological sciences ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,lcsh:TJ807-830 ,Geography, Planning and Development ,Biome ,lcsh:Renewable energy sources ,Biodiversity ,30 Agricultural, Veterinary and Food Sciences ,Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law ,010603 evolutionary biology ,01 natural sciences ,Forest Code ,soy moratorium ,Clearing ,Agricultural productivity ,2 Zero Hunger ,Amazon ,lcsh:Environmental sciences ,supply chain ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,lcsh:GE1-350 ,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,Amazon rainforest ,business.industry ,Agroforestry ,lcsh:Environmental effects of industries and plants ,15 Life on Land ,3007 Forestry Sciences ,Cerrado ,Vegetation ,cattle agreements ,Private sector ,lcsh:TD194-195 ,Geography ,Agriculture ,business ,Brazil - Abstract
Since 2013, clearing rates have rapidly increased in the Amazon and Cerrado biomes. This acceleration has raised questions about the efficacy of current regional public and private conservation policies that seek to promote agricultural production while conserving remnants of natural vegetation. In this study, we assessed conservation and agricultural outcomes of four potential policy scenarios that represent perfect adherence to private sector, zero-deforestation commitments (i.e., the Amazon soy moratorium&mdash, ASM and the Amazon cattle agreements&mdash, CA) and to varying levels of implementation of the Brazilian Forest Code (FC). Under a zero-clearing scenario, we find that the extent of croplands as of 2017 within the two biomes (31 MHa) could double without further clearing if agriculture were to expand on all previously cleared land that is suitable for crops. Moreover, at least 47 MHa of land that is already cleared but unsuitable for crops would remain available for pasture. Under scenarios in which only legal clearing under the FC could occur, 51 MHa of additional natural vegetation could be cleared. This includes as many as 1 MHa of nonforest vegetation that could be cleared in the Amazon biome without triggering the ASM and CA monitoring systems. Two-thirds of the total vegetation vulnerable to legal clearing is located within the Cerrado biome, and 19 MHa of this land is suitable for cropland expansion. Legal clearing of all of these areas could reduce biodiversity persistence by 4% within the two biomes, when compared with the zero-clearing scenario, and release up to 9 PgCO2e, with the majority (75%) coming from the Cerrado biome. However, when we considered the potential outcomes of full implementation of the FC, we found that 22% (11 MHa) of the 51 MHa of vegetation subject to legal clearing could be protected through the environmental quotas market, while an additional 1 MHa should be replanted across the two biomes, predominantly in the Amazon biome (73% of the area subject to replanting). Together, quotas and replanting could prevent the release of 2 PgCO2e that would otherwise be emitted if all legal clearing occurred. Based on our results, we conclude that ongoing legal clearing could create additional space for cropland and cattle production beyond the substantial existing stocks of cleared areas but would significantly impair local carbon and biodiversity stocks.
- Published
- 2020
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