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Background: Sepsis is a significant contributor to both intensive care unit (ICU) admissions and mortality among patients in ICU, with a rising prevalence of obesity. There is a lack of extensive research on the correlation between TyGI and findings in patients with sepsis, especially in obese patients. Methods: This study used a retrospective cohort design and included patients with sepsis (≥18 years) from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database. The association between TyGI and outcome was examined using multivariable logistic regression analysis. Results: 8,840 patients with sepsis were included in the analysis. The in-ICU mortality rate was 9.7%. Non-survivors exhibited significantly greater TyGI levels than survivors [9.19(8.76–9.71) vs. 9.10(8.67–9.54), p < 0.001]. The adjusted multivariate regression model showed that elevated TyGI values were linked to a greater likelihood of death in ICU (odds ratio [OR] range 1.072–1.793, p < 0.001) and hospital (OR range 1.068–1.445, p = 0.005). Restricted Cubic Spline analysis revealed a nonlinear association between TyGI and in-ICU and in-hospital mortality risks within specified ranges. Subgroup analysis revealed interaction effects in the general obesity, abdominal obesity, and impaired fasting glucose subgroups (p = 0.014, 0.016, and < 0.001, respectively). Conclusion: TyGI was associated with an increased sepsis-related short-term mortality risk and adverse outcomes after ICU admission. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Predicting mortality in emergency departments (EDs) using machine learning models presents challenges, particularly in balancing simplicity with performance. This study aims to develop models that are both simple and effective for predicting short- and long-term mortality in ED patients. Our approach uses a minimal set of variables derived from one single blood sample obtained at admission. Methods: Data from three cohorts at two large Danish university hospitals were analyzed, including one retrospective and two prospective cohorts where prognostic models were applied to predict individual mortality risk, spanning the years 2013–2022. Routine biochemistry analyzed in blood samples collected at admission was the primary data source for the prediction models. The outcomes were mortality at 10, 30, 90, and 365 days after admission to the ED. The models were developed using Light Gradient Boosting Machines. The evaluation of mortality predictions involved metrics such as Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive values, positive predictive values, and Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC). Results: A total of 43,648 unique patients with 65,484 admissions were analyzed. The models showed high accuracy, with very good to excellent AUC values between 0.87 and 0.93 across different time intervals. Conclusions: This study demonstrates that a single assessment of routine clinical biochemistry upon admission can serve as a powerful predictor for both short-term and long-term mortality in ED admissions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Cardiac troponin I (TnI) is a specific marker of myocardial damage used in the diagnosis of acute coronary syndrome (ACS). TnI levels can also be elevated in patients without ACS, which is linked to a worse prognosis and mortality. We evaluated the clinical implications and prognostic significance of serum TnI levels in critically ill non-cardiac patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) at a tertiary-level hospital. Materials and Methods: A three-year retrospective study including the years 2017–2020 was conducted to evaluate in-hospital mortality during ICU stay and mortality rates at 28 and 90 days, as well as one and two years after admission, in 557 patients admitted to the medical ICU for non-cardiac causes. Results: TnI levels were elevated in 206 (36.9%) patients. Patients with elevated TnI levels were significantly older and had higher rates of comorbidities, including chronic heart failure, coronary heart disease, and chronic kidney disease (p < 0.05 for all). Patients with elevated TnI levels required more invasive mechanical ventilation, vasopressor infusion, and dialysis in the ICU and experienced more shock within the first 72 h (p = 0.001 for all). High TnI levels were associated with higher Acute Physiological and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II (27.6 vs. 20.3, p = 0.001) and Sequential Organ Failure assessment (8.8 vs. 5.26, p = 0.001) scores. Elevated TnI levels were associated with higher mortality rates at 28 days (58.3% vs. 19.4%), 90 days (69.9% vs. 35.0%), one year (78.6% vs. 46.2%), and two years (82.5% vs. 55.6%) (p < 0.001 for all). Univariate logistic regression analysis revealed that high TnI levels were a strong independent predictor of mortality at all time points: 28 days (OR = 1.2, 95% CI: 1.108–1.3, p < 0.001), 90 days (OR = 1.207, 95% CI: 1.095–1.33, p = 0.001), one year (OR = 1.164, 95% CI: 1.059–1.28, p = 0.002), and two year (OR = 1.119, 95% CI: 1.026–1.22, p = 0.011). Multivariate analysis revealed that age, albumin level, APACHE II score, and requirements for dialysis and vasopressor use in the ICU were important predictors of mortality across all timeframes, but elevated TnI levels were not. Conclusions: Elevated TnI levels in critically ill non-cardiac patients are markers of disease severity. While elevated TnI levels were significant predictors of mortality in the univariate analysis, they lost significance in the multivariate model when adjusted for other factors. Patients with elevated TnI levels had higher mortality rates across all timeframes, from 28 days to two years. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The effectiveness of a concomitant intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) with veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) intervention in acute myocardial infarction with cardiogenic shock (AMICS) patients is contested in the literature. This study sought to compare short-term mortality weaning rate from VA-ECMOin AMICS cases. Methods: We conducted a literature review and compared the primary and secondary endpoints in the following treatment groups of AMICS patients: (1) VA-ECMO plus IABP vs. IABP alone and (2) VA-ECMO plus IABP vs. VA-ECMO alone. The primary endpoint was in-hospital all-cause mortality; while 30-days mortality, weaning from VA-ECMO, and vascular complications comprised secondary endpoints. Results: VA-ECMO concomitant with IABP was administered to 3,580 (76.4%) patients, while IABP alone and VA-ECMO alone treatments accounted for 1.7% and 21.9% of the patients, respectively. We found that in-hospital mortality was significantly lower in patients treated with VA-ECMO plus IABP vs. VA-ECMO alone (odds ratio (OR) = 0.52; 95% Confidence Interval (CI) = 0.21–1.31; I-squared statistic (I 2 = 30%) or IABP alone (OR = 0.20; 95% CI = 0.08–0.55; I 2 = 0%). Additionally, 30-days mortality was significantly lower in patients treated with VA-ECMO plus IABP vs. VA-ECMO alone (OR = 0.31; 95% CI = 0.25–0.40; I 2 = 0%) or IABP alone (OR = 0.24; 95% CI = 0.11–0.50; I 2 = 0%). A significant difference was observed in weaning from VA-ECMO in patients treated with VA-ECMO plus IABP vs. VA-ECMO alone (OR = 1.91; 95% CI = 1.09–3.33; I 2 = 0%). Conclusion: In-hospital and 30-days mortality were significantly lower in AMICS patients treated with VA-ECMO plus IABP vs. VA-ECMO alone or IABP alone. VA-ECMO with concomitant IABP could increase the proportion of patients weaned from VA-ECMO, significantly reducing in-hospital mortality, without increasing complications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background/Objectives: Acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) presents a significant clinical challenge characterized by frequent hospitalizations, high mortality rates, and substantial healthcare costs. The united index of hemoglobin, albumin, lymphocytes and platelets (HALP) is a new indicator that reflects systemic inflammation and nutritional status. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic utility of the HALP score and hematological parameters in predicting short-term mortality among ADHF patients admitted to the coronary care unit (CCU). Methods: This investigation adopts a retrospective observational design, encompassing a cohort of patients with ADHF who were followed in the CCU at our medical institution between January 2019 and April 2024. Results: The cohort of 227 individuals was dichotomized into two subsets based on the presence or absence of short-term mortality in the hospital, resulting in 163 (71.8%) and 64 (28.2%) individuals in the survivor and exitus groups, respectively. Age was significantly higher in the exitus group (p-value = 0.004). Hemoglobin, lymphocyte count, platelet count, albumin, and HALP score were significantly higher in the survivor group (all p-values < 0.001). No significant difference was observed between the groups in terms of gender, diabetes mellitus (DM), coronary artery disease (CAD), or ejection fraction (EF), although hypertension (HT) prevalence was significantly higher in the exitus group (p-value = 0.038). ROC analysis demonstrated that hemoglobin, lymphocyte, albumin, and HALP score had significant discriminative power, with albumin showing the highest AUC (0.814). Conclusions: In conclusion, the HALP score and hematological parameters represent valuable prognostic feature for short-term mortality prediction in ADHF patients admitted to the CCU. These findings underscore the importance of early risk stratification and targeted interventions guided by comprehensive biomarker assessments in optimizing patient outcomes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Major emergency abdominal surgery is associated with severe postoperative complications and high short‐ and long‐term mortality. Despite recent advancements in standardizing multidisciplinary care bundles, a subgroup of patients continues to face a heightened risk of short‐term mortality. This study aimed to identify and describe the high‐risk surgical patients and risk factors for short‐term postoperative mortality. Methods: In this study, we included all patients undergoing major emergency abdominal surgery over 2 years and collected data on demographics, intraoperative variables, and short‐term outcomes. The primary outcome measure was short‐term mortality and secondary outcome measures were pre, intra, and postoperative risk factors for premature death. Multivariable binary regression analysis was performed to determine possible risk factors for short‐term mortality. Results: Short‐term mortality within 14 days of surgery in this cohort of 754 consecutive patients was 8%. Multivariable analysis identified various independent risk factors for short‐term mortality throughout different phases of patient care. These factors included advanced age, preoperative history of myocardial infarction or ischemic heart disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, liver cirrhosis, chronic kidney disease, and vascular bowel ischemia or perforation of the stomach or duodenum during the primary surgery. Conclusion: Patients at high risk of early mortality following major emergency abdominal surgery exhibited distinct perioperative risk factors. This study underscores the importance of clinicians identifying and managing these factors in high‐risk patients to ensure optimal care. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Harmful alcohol consumption is one of the leading risk factors for global disease burden and injury condition, causing death and disability early in life, with over 3 million deaths worldwide every year. Alcoholic hepatitis (AH) is a clinical syndrome characterized by hepatic failure with recent onset of jaundice, consequence of a heavy chronic alcohol drinking. The disease severity ranges from mild to severe cases, with high short-term mortality. Individual variety regarding disease outcome and therapeutic response complicates the prognosis stratification. Thus, novel parameters and continuously sought for a better disease outcome assessment.

Background: This study aimed to evaluate three prehospital early warning scores (EWSs): RTS,MGAP andMREMS, to predict short-term mortality in acute life-threatening trauma and injury/illness by comparing United States (US) and Spanish cohorts. Methods: A total of 8,854 patients, 8,598/256 survivors/nonsurvivors, comprised the unified cohort. Datasets were randomly divided into training and test sets. Training sets were used to analyse the discriminative power of the scores in terms of the area under the curve (AUC), and the score performance was assessed in the test set in terms of sensitivity (SE), specificity (SP), accuracy (ACC) and balanced accuracy (BAC). Results: The three scores showed great discriminative power with AUCs>0.90, and no significant differences between cohorts were found. In the test set, RTS/MREMS/MGAP showed SE/SP/ACC/BAC values of 86.0/89.9/89.6/87.1%, 91.0/86.9/87.5/88.5%, and 87.7/82.9/83.4/85.2%, respectively. Conclusions: All EWSs showed excellent ability to predict the risk of short-term mortality, independent of the country. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Optimal treatments for severe alcoholic hepatitis (SAH) remain controversial. Previous network meta-analysis showed that corticosteroid (CS) combined with N-acetylcysteine (NAC) was superior in reducing short-term mortality of patients with SAH. Recently, granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (G-CSF) treatments for SAH yielded promising results. Objectives: To determine how currently available treatments affect the survival and complications of patients with SAH. Methods: The study was conducted following the guidelines of PRISMA. The data from PubMed, Embase, MEDLINE, Cochrane Library, and clinicaltrials.gov to October 2022 were searched, and patients with SAH with pharmacotherapy were included in our study. The primary outcome was short-term survival, and the other outcomes were medium- (3/6 months) or long-term (12 months) survival and complications after treatment. R software was used to establish network meta-analysis models and the result was expressed by the odd ratio (OR) value and 95% credible interval (Crls). Results: A total of 31 randomized controlled trials, including 19 treatment regimens, were enrolled in our study. As the primary outcome, G-CSF+ pentoxifylline (PTX) ranked first in one-month survival and showed significant superiority when compared with the placebo (OR 8.60, 95% Crls 1.92–45.10) and CS (OR 4.95, 95% Crls 1.11–25.53). Also, G-CSF+PTX ranked first in improving three-month survival and reducing the occurrence of infection. PTX+MTD ranked first in six-month survival, and G-CSF ranked first in twelve-month survival. CS+MTD ranked first in the occurrence of gastrointestinal bleeding and hepatorenal syndrome. Conclusions: The combination of G-CSF and PTX showed a significant benefit in improving the short-term survival of SAH patients. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is a medical emergency demanding immediate intervention, and primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI) is the standard of care for this condition. While PCI has proven highly effective, a subset of patients experience the devastating no-reflow phenomenon, and some face increased short-term mortality. The Hemoglobin, Albumin, Lymphocyte, and Platelet (HALP) score, a novel biomarker-based tool, has recently surfaced as an innovative predictor of these adverse outcomes. This study aims to investigate the groundbreaking findings that designate a low HALP score as a robust risk factor for no-reflow and short-term mortality in STEMI patients. 1817 consecutive STEMI patients who underwent pPCI were included in this retrospective study, and the patients were divided into two groups according to whether no-reflow developed or not, and the HALP scores of the groups were compared. In addition, short-term mortality was compared between the study groups according to their HALP score values. The predictive ability of the HALP score for no-reflow was evaluated using a receiver operating characteristic curve. No-reflow developed in 198 (10.1%) of the patients included in the study. HALP score value was found to be significantly lower in the no-reflow group (27 ± 13 vs 47 ± 24, p < 0.001). After multivariable adjustment, the HALP score was an independent predictor of no-reflow (OR, 0.923, 95% CI, 0.910–0.935, p < 0.001). Furthermore, the HALP score showed good discrimination for no-reflow (AUC, 0.771, 95% CI, 0.737–0.805, p < 0.001). In addition, HALP score was determined to be an independent predictor for short-term mortality (HR, 0.955, 95% CI, 0.945–0.966, p < 0.001). HALP score can independently predict the development of no-reflow and short-term mortality in STEMI patients undergoing pPCI. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BackgroundDisseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) is a devastating condition, which always cause poor outcome of critically ill patients in intensive care unit. Studies concerning short-term mortality prediction in DIC patients is scarce. This study aimed to identify risk factors contributing to DIC mortality and construct a predictive nomogram.MethodsA total of 676 overt DIC patients were included. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was developed based on covariates identified using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. The prediction performance was independently evaluated in the MIMIC-III and MIMIC-IV Clinical Database, as well as the 908th Hospital Database (908thH). Model performance was independently assessed using MIMIC-III, MIMIC-IV, and the 908th Hospital Clinical Database.ResultsThe Cox model incorporated variables identified by Lasso regression including heart failure, sepsis, height, SBP, lactate levels, HCT, PLT, INR, AST, and norepinephrine use. The model effectively stratified patients into different mortality risk groups, with a C-index of >0.65 across the MIMIC-III, MIMIC-IV, and 908th Hospital databases. The calibration curves of the model at 7 and 28 days demonstrated that the prediction performance was good. And then, a nomogram was developed to facilitate result visualization. Decision curve analysis indicated superior net benefits of the nomogram.ConclusionThis study provides a predictive nomogram for short-term overt DIC mortality risk based on a Lasso-Cox regression model, offering individualized and reliable mortality risk predictions.

Jiaxin Zeng,1,&ast; Chen Zhou,2,&ast; Qun Yi,1,3 Yuanming Luo,4 Hailong Wei,5 Huiqing Ge,6 Huiguo Liu,7 Jianchu Zhang,8 Xianhua Li,9 Pinhua Pan,10 Mengqiu Yi,11 Lina Cheng,11 Liang Liu,12 Jiarui Zhang,1 Lige Peng,1 Jiaqi Pu,1 Haixia Zhou1 On behalf of the MAGNET AECOPD Registry Investigators1Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan Province, People’s Republic of China; 2Center of Infectious Diseases, Division of Infectious Diseases in State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan Province, People’s Republic of China; 3Sichuan Cancer Hospital, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, Sichuan Province, People’s Republic of China; 4State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Disease, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, People’s Republic of China; 5Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, People’s Hospital of Leshan, Leshan, Sichuan Province, People’s Republic of China; 6Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province, People’s Republic of China; 7Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei Province, People’s Republic of China; 8Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei Province, People’s Republic of China; 9Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The First People’s Hospital of Neijiang City, Neijiang, Sichuan Province, People’s Republic of China; 10Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan Province, People’s Republic of China; 11Department of Emergency, First People’s Hospital of Jiujiang, Jiu jiang, Jiangxi Province, People’s Republic of China; 12Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu University, Chengdu, Sichuan Province, People’s Republic of China&ast;These authors contributed equally to this workCorrespondence: Haixia Zhou, Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Guo-Xue-Xiang 37&num;, Wuhou District, Chengdu, Sichuan Province, 610041, People’s Republic of China, Tel/Fax +86-28-85422571, Email zhouhaixia@wchscu.cnBackground: The Rome severity classification is an objective assessment tool for the severity of acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) based on readily measurable variables but has not been widely validated. The aim of this study is to evaluate the validity of the Rome classification in distinguishing the severity of AECOPD based on short-term mortality and other adverse outcomes.Methods: The Rome severity classification was applied to a large multicenter cohort of inpatients with AECOPD. Differences in clinical features, in-hospital and 60-day mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, mechanical ventilation (MV) and invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) usage were compared among the mild, moderate and severe AECOPD according to the Rome proposal. Moreover, univariate logistic analysis and Kaplan Meier survival analysis were also performed to find the association between the Rome severity classification and those adverse outcomes.Results: A total of 7712 patients hospitalized for AECOPD were included and classified into mild (41.88%), moderate (40.33%), or severe (17.79%) group according to the Rome proposal. The rate of ICU admission (6.4% vs 12.0% vs 14.9%, P < 0.001), MV (11.7% vs 33.7% vs 45.3%, P < 0.001) and IMV (1.4% vs 6.8% vs 8.9%, P < 0.001) increased significantly with the increase of severity classification from mild to moderate to severe AECOPD. The 60-day mortality was higher in the moderate or severe group than in the mild group (3.5% vs 1.9%, 4.3% vs 1.9%, respectively, P < 0.05) but showed no difference between the moderate and severe groups (2.6% vs 2.5%, P > 0.05), results for in-hospital mortality showed the same trends. Similar findings were observed by univariate logistic analysis and survival analysis.Conclusion: Rome severity classification demonstrated excellent performance in predicting ICU admission and the need for MV or IMV, but how it performs in differentiating short-term mortality still needs to be confirmed.Keywords: AECOPD, the Rome severity classification, short-term mortality, intensive care unit admission, mechanical ventilation, multicenter cohort

Abstract Background Patients admitted to the surgical intensive care unit (SICU) often suffer from multi-organ dysfunction and have a high mortality rate. Therefore, finding a simple but effective clinical indicator to predict the prognosis of patients is essential to improve their survival. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between blood urea nitrogen to serum albumin ratio (B/A) and short-term mortality among patients from the SICU. Methods All eligible adult patients admitted to the SICU from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database were recruited for this study. Participants were divided into a death group (n = 638) and a survival group (n = 2,048) based on the 90-day prognosis, and then grouped by B/A quartiles. We used restricted cubic splines (RCS) to visually analyze the correlation of B/A with 30- and 90-day risk of death. Cumulative survival rates were estimated using Kaplan–Meier survival curves according to B/A quartiles and evaluated using the log-rank test. Cox proportional risk models were developed and sensitivity analyses were performed to explore whether B/A was independently associated with short-term outcomes in SICU patients. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were analyzed to ascertain the value of B/A for prognosticating 90-day outcome. Results A total of 2686 participants were included in the final study, and their 30-day and 90-day all-cause mortality rates were 17.61% and 23.75%, respectively. The differences in 30-day and 90-day mortality rates were statistically significant among the four groups of patients (all p 9.69) was an independent risk factor for 30-day and 90-day all-cause mortality in SICU patients. The analysis of ROC curves demonstrated that B/A exhibited a significant predictive ability for 90-day mortality, with an optimal threshold of 6.587, a sensitivity of 56.9%, and a specificity of 64.8%. Conclusions Elevated B/A (> 9.69) on admission was an independent risk factor for short-term mortality in SICU patients, and clinicians should pay more attention to this group of patients and intervene clinically at an early stage to reduce mortality.

Background/Objectives: Acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) presents a significant clinical challenge characterized by frequent hospitalizations, high mortality rates, and substantial healthcare costs. The united index of hemoglobin, albumin, lymphocytes and platelets (HALP) is a new indicator that reflects systemic inflammation and nutritional status. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic utility of the HALP score and hematological parameters in predicting short-term mortality among ADHF patients admitted to the coronary care unit (CCU). Methods: This investigation adopts a retrospective observational design, encompassing a cohort of patients with ADHF who were followed in the CCU at our medical institution between January 2019 and April 2024. Results: The cohort of 227 individuals was dichotomized into two subsets based on the presence or absence of short-term mortality in the hospital, resulting in 163 (71.8%) and 64 (28.2%) individuals in the survivor and exitus groups, respectively. Age was significantly higher in the exitus group (p-value = 0.004). Hemoglobin, lymphocyte count, platelet count, albumin, and HALP score were significantly higher in the survivor group (all p-values < 0.001). No significant difference was observed between the groups in terms of gender, diabetes mellitus (DM), coronary artery disease (CAD), or ejection fraction (EF), although hypertension (HT) prevalence was significantly higher in the exitus group (p-value = 0.038). ROC analysis demonstrated that hemoglobin, lymphocyte, albumin, and HALP score had significant discriminative power, with albumin showing the highest AUC (0.814). Conclusions: In conclusion, the HALP score and hematological parameters represent valuable prognostic feature for short-term mortality prediction in ADHF patients admitted to the CCU. These findings underscore the importance of early risk stratification and targeted interventions guided by comprehensive biomarker assessments in optimizing patient outcomes.

Abstract Aim The study aimed to investigate the short‐term outcomes of hospitalized patients with chronic liver disease (CLDs) and assess the prognostic impact of predisposition and precipitants, which currently remains unclear. Methods The study included 3970 hospitalized patients with CLDs from two prospective longitudinal multicenter studies (NCT02457637 and NCT03641872) conducted in highly endemic hepatitis B virus (HBV) areas. Competing risk analysis was used to evaluate the effect of predispositions, including the etiology and severity of CLDs and precipitants; on sequential 28, 90, and 365‐day liver transplantation (LT)‐free mortality. Results Among all enrolled patients, 76.8% of adverse outcomes (including death and LT) within one year occurred within 90 days. Compared with alcoholic etiology, the association of HBV etiology with poorer outcomes was remarkably on the 28th day (hazard ratio [HR], 1.81; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.07–3.06; p = 0.026); however, and diminished or became insignificant at 90 days and 365 days. Cirrhosis increased the adjusted risk for 365‐day (HR, 1.50; CI, 1.13–1.99; p = 0.004) LT‐free mortality when compared with noncirrhosis. In patients with cirrhosis, prior decompensation (PD) independently increased the adjusted risk of 365‐day LT‐free mortality by 1.25‐fold (p = 0.021); however, it did not increase the risk for 90‐day mortality. Neither the category nor the number of precipitants influenced the adjusted risk of 28 or 90‐day LT‐free mortality. Conclusions The 90‐day outcome should be considered a significant endpoint for evaluating the short‐term prognosis of hospitalized patients with CLD. Predisposing factors, other than etiology, mainly affected the delayed (365‐day) outcome. Timely effective therapy for CLD etiology, especially antiviral treatments for HBV, and post‐discharge long‐term surveillance monitoring in cirrhotic patients undergoing PD are suggested to enhance disease management and reduce mortality.

Purpose: Early reports of 30-day mortality in COVID-positive patients with hip fracture were often over 30% and were higher than historical rates of 10% in pre-COVID studies. We conducted a multi-institutional retrospective cohort study to determine whether the incidence of 30-day mortality and complications in COVID-positive patients undergoing hip fracture surgery is as high as initially reported. Methods: A retrospective chart review was performed at 11 level I trauma centers from January 1, 2020 to May 1, 2022. Patients 50 years or older undergoing hip fracture surgery with a positive COVID test at the time of surgery were included. The primary outcome measurements were the incidence of 30-day mortality and complications. Post-operative outcomes were reported using proportions with 95% confidence interval (C.I.). Results: Forty patients with a median age of 71.5 years (interquartile range, 50–87 years) met the criteria. Within 30-days, four patients (10%; 95% C.I. 3–24%) died, four developed pneumonia, three developed thromboembolism, and three remained intubated post-operatively. Increased age was a statistically significant predictor of 30-day mortality (p = 0.01), with all deaths occurring in patients over 80 years. Conclusion: In this multi-institutional analysis of COVID-positive patients undergoing hip fracture surgery, 30-day mortality was 10%. The 95% C.I. did not include 30%, suggesting that survival may be better than initially reported. While COVID-positive patients with hip fractures have high short-term mortality, the clinical situation may not be as dire as initially described, which may reflect initial publication bias, selection bias introduced by testing, or other issues. Levels of Evidence: Therapeutic Level III. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Patients admitted to the surgical intensive care unit (SICU) often suffer from multi-organ dysfunction and have a high mortality rate. Therefore, finding a simple but effective clinical indicator to predict the prognosis of patients is essential to improve their survival. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between blood urea nitrogen to serum albumin ratio (B/A) and short-term mortality among patients from the SICU. Methods: All eligible adult patients admitted to the SICU from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database were recruited for this study. Participants were divided into a death group (n = 638) and a survival group (n = 2,048) based on the 90-day prognosis, and then grouped by B/A quartiles. We used restricted cubic splines (RCS) to visually analyze the correlation of B/A with 30- and 90-day risk of death. Cumulative survival rates were estimated using Kaplan–Meier survival curves according to B/A quartiles and evaluated using the log-rank test. Cox proportional risk models were developed and sensitivity analyses were performed to explore whether B/A was independently associated with short-term outcomes in SICU patients. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were analyzed to ascertain the value of B/A for prognosticating 90-day outcome. Results: A total of 2686 participants were included in the final study, and their 30-day and 90-day all-cause mortality rates were 17.61% and 23.75%, respectively. The differences in 30-day and 90-day mortality rates were statistically significant among the four groups of patients (all p < 0.001). RCS curves showed that B/A was linearly associated with the risk of 30-day and 90-day all-cause mortality in SICU patients (χ2 = 0.960, p = 0.811; χ2 = 1.940, p = 0.584). Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that the 90-day cumulative survival rate gradually decreased as B/A increased, with patients in the highest quartile of B/A having the lowest survival rate (p < 0.001). Cox regression indicated that elevated B/A (> 9.69) was an independent risk factor for 30-day and 90-day all-cause mortality in SICU patients. The analysis of ROC curves demonstrated that B/A exhibited a significant predictive ability for 90-day mortality, with an optimal threshold of 6.587, a sensitivity of 56.9%, and a specificity of 64.8%. Conclusions: Elevated B/A (> 9.69) on admission was an independent risk factor for short-term mortality in SICU patients, and clinicians should pay more attention to this group of patients and intervene clinically at an early stage to reduce mortality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: To explore the relationship between hemoglobin to red blood cell distribution width ratio (HRR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and short-term mortality of patients with moderate to severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) . Methods: The medical records of 162 patients with moderate to severe TBI who were admitted to Xuzhou Medical University Affiliated Hospital from September 2019 to September 2021 were retrospectively collected, and the patients were divided into death group and survival group based on their survival status within 30d of admission. The HRR and PLR were calculated, the influencing factors of short-term mortality of patients with moderate to severe TBI was analysed by multivariate Logistic regression, and the predictive value of the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores combined with HRR and PLR for short-term mortality of patients with moderate to severe TBI was analysed by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results: The mortality rate of 162 patients with moderate to severe TBI within 30 d of admission was 35.80% (58/162) . Compared with the survival group, the HRR decreased and PLR increased of the death group (P＜0.05) .The multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that GCS scores less than 9 scores, dilated pupils, brain hernia, HRR decreased and PLR increased were independent risk factors for short-term mortality of patients with moderate to severe TBI (P＜0.05) . The ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve for predicted short-term mortality of patients with moderate to severe TBI by HRR and PLR combined with GCS scores was the largest, which was 0.924. Conclusion: HRR decrease and PLR increase are associated with short-term mortality of patients with moderate to severe TBI, which may become an auxiliary predictor of short-term mortality of patients with moderate to severe TBI, combining with HRR and PLR on the basis of GCS scores can enhance the predictive value of short-term mortality of patients with moderate to severe TBI. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: Nutritional status has been reported to be associated with the prognosis of cardiovascular diseases. The study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of Triglycerides-total Cholesterol-Body weight-Index (TCBI) for short-term mortality in acute type A aortic dissection (ATAD) patients undergoing surgery. Methods and results: Totally, the data of 290 ATAD patients undergone surgery were, retrospectively, analyzed. After logistic regression analysis, TCBI was identified as an independent predictor of short-term mortality in ATAD surgery. The development of receive operating characteristic (ROC) curve demonstrated that TCBI (AUC = 0.745, P < 0.001) could provide well prognostic value for short-term mortality. Accordingly, the optimal cut-off value was identified as 883.5 and patients were divided into high TCBI (> 883.5) and low TCBI (≤ 883.5) groups. Furthermore, Kaplan–Meier analysis illustrated that short-term mortality increased significantly in the low TCBI group than in the high TCBI group (P < 0.0001). In addition, the incidence of postoperative renal failure was also elevated in the low TCBI group (P = 0.0011). Conclusion: Malnutrition by preoperative TCBI presented strong prognostic value for patients following ATAD surgery. And TCBI could be applied for risk stratification and therapeutic strategy-making in ATAD. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background Veno‐arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation serves as a crucial mechanical circulatory support for pediatric patients with severe heart diseases, but the mortality rate remains high. The objective of this study was to assess the short‐term mortality in these patients. Methods and Results We systematically searched PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library for observational studies that evaluated the short‐term mortality of pediatric patients undergoing veno‐arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. To estimate short‐term mortality, we used random‐effects meta‐analysis. Furthermore, we conducted meta‐regression and binomial regression analyses to investigate the risk factors associated with the outcome of interest. We systematically reviewed 28 eligible references encompassing a total of 1736 patients. The pooled analysis demonstrated a short‐term mortality (defined as in‐hospital or 30‐day mortality) of 45.6% (95% CI, 38.7%–52.4%). We found a significant difference (P

Background: Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a severe complication in cirrhosis patients with ascites, leading to high mortality rates if not promptly treated. However, specific prediction models for SBP are lacking. Aims: This study aimed to compare commonly used cirrhotic prediction models (CTP score, MELD, MELD-Na, iMELD, and MELD 3.0) for short-term mortality prediction and develop a novel model to improve mortality prediction. Methods: Patients with the first episode of SBP were included. Prognostic values for mortality were assessed using AUROC analysis. A novel prediction model was developed and validated. Results: In total, 327 SBP patients were analyzed, with HBV infection as the main etiologies. MELD 3.0 demonstrated the highest AUROC among the traditional models. The novel model, incorporating HRS, exhibited superior predictive accuracy for in-hospital in all patients and 3-month mortality in HBV-cirrhosis, with AUROC values of 0.827 and 0.813 respectively, surpassing 0.8. Conclusions: MELD 3.0 score outperformed the CTP score and showed a non-significant improvement compared to other MELD-based scores, while the novel SBP model demonstrated impressive accuracy. Internal validation and an HBV-related cirrhosis subgroup sensitivity analysis supported these findings, highlighting the need for a specific prognostic model for SBP and the importance of preventing HRS development to improve SBP prognosis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background Intravenous glutamine supplementation of nutrition in ICU patients is based on substantial clinical evidence that it boosts the immune system, particularly by inhibiting inflammatory reactions. This study aimed to see how glutamine affected COVID-19 short-term ICU mortality (7 days) and its clinical course. Methods Sixty patients were randomized in this single-blind clinical study and were divided into equal groups. Group EN, was delivered with standard enteral nutrition. Group GN was delivered intravenous glutamine supplementation to enteral nutrition. Both groups were monitored and assessed for 7 days. Short-term ICU mortality, monitoring of the inflammatory response and oxygenation, were compared between the two groups. Results During the 7-day follow-up period, ten patients (33.3%) died in the GN group, compared to 11 patients (37.6%) in the EN group, with no statistically significant difference between the two groups. On the 7th day, both NLR and PLR showed considerably higher values in the EN group than in the GN group, and on the 4th day, the PLR ratio showed significantly higher values in the EN group than in the GN group. In terms of unsuccessful enteral nutrition and transition to total parenteral nutrition, group GN had a considerably lower rate than group EN (ten patients (33.3%) against 22 patients (73.3%), respectively, P-value = 0.002). Conclusions Although there is little indication that glutamine supplementation could prevent short-term mortality in COVID-19 ICU admitted patients, the GN group had a lower inflammatory response and fewer patients switched to total parenteral nutrition.

Abstract Background There has always been a debate on the optimal timing of endoscopy in patients with acute variceal bleeding (AVB). Objective This study aimed to examine the relation between the timing of endoscopy and the short-term outcomes of patients with AVB. Methods Patients with AVB who underwent endoscopy within 24 h after admission at our tertiary care center from 2014 to 2022 were evaluated retrospectively. The primary outcomes were the 6-week mortality and re-bleeding. The secondary outcomes included the total number of blood units transfused, the length of hospital stay, and the need for salvage therapy. We used Cox proportional hazards model to analyze the predictors of 6-week mortality in all patients as well as in those who were at high risk of further bleeding or death. Results A total of 312 patients were enrolled. Among them, 170 patients (54.49%) underwent urgent endoscopy (

Background: Serum ferritin levels are associated with a higher risk of incident heart failure (HF). Whether serum ferritin levels, either increased or decreased, predict the risk of mortality in individuals with chronic heart failure (CHF) remains unknown. Objectives: This study aimed to clarify the potential predictive significance of serum ferritin levels in assessing the short-term mortality in critically ill patients with chronic heart failure (CHF). Methods: Critically ill patients with CHF were identified from the Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care III and IV (MIMIC III and IV) databases. Linear and logistic regression models and Cox proportional hazards models were applied to assess the associations between serum ferritin and survival. Results: A total of 1,739 and 2,322 patients with CHF identified from the MIMIC III and IV databases, respectively, fulfilled the inclusion criteria. In the MIMIC III group, compared with the reference group (serum ferritin ≥70 and <500 ng/mL), serum ferritin ≥1000 ng/mL was a significant predictor of 28-day (odds ratio [OR], 1.76; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.14-2.72) and 90-day mortality (OR, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.13-2.39). The results from the Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier curves revealed similar results. In the MIMIC IV group, serum ferritin ≥1000 ng/mL was a significant predictor of in-hospital (OR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.18-2.46), 28-day (OR, 1.83; 95% CI, 1.24-2.69), and 90-day mortality (OR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.11-2.22) after adjusting for confounding factors. Conclusion: High ferritin levels (≥1000 ng/mL) were associated with increased short-term mortality in critically ill patients with CHF, indicating that serum ferritin may serve as a useful prognostic marker for CHF. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

To evaluate the accuracy of presepsin levels in diagnosing sepsis and predicting mortality among organ failure patients with and without hypercreatinemia in the emergency department (ED). This retrospective study was conducted on patients with positive quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) score and increase in SOFA score of =2 points. Hypercreatinemia, indicated by a creatinine level of =1.2 mg/dL, was defined as points =1 on the renal component of the SOFA score. The patients were divided into group 1 (sepsis with hypercreatinemia), group 2 (sepsis without hypercreatinemia), group 3 (non-sepsis with hypercreatinemia), and group 4 (nonsepsis without hypercreatinemia), and their presepsin levels were compared. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analyses were performed to determine the accuracy of presepsin in diagnosing sepsis and predicting 30-day mortality. The optimal cutoff values were obtained to determine the presence of sepsis and predict the 30-day mortality. In all, 420 patients were eligible for this study. The presepsin levels in all pairwise comparisons between the groups were different (Group 1; 1311.5 (732.0-2179.5), Group 2; 566.5 (353.0-928.0), Group 3; 400.0 (291.0-579.0), Group 4; 231.0 (154.0-346.0)). Among patients with hypercreatinemia, the presepsin area under the ROC (AUROC) for diagnosing sepsis was 0.884 (optimal cutoff: 706 pg/mL). Among patients without hypercreatinemia, the presepsin AUROC for diagnosing sepsis was 0.854 (optimal cutoff: 352 pg/mL). The optimal cutoff values for predicting the patients' 30-day mortality with and without hypercreatinemia were 1077 pg/mL and 393 pg/mL, respectively. Different cutoff values of presepsin based on creatinine levels could effectively diagnose sepsis in ED patients with organ failure. Further, presepsin was found to be associated with 30-day mortality in ED patients with organ failure, regardless of hypercreatinemia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background and Objectives: The purpose of this study is to investigate the predictive factors for intrahospital mortality in ischemic stroke patients. We will examine the association between a range of clinical and demographic factors and intrahospital mortality, including age, sex, comorbidities, laboratory values, and medication use. Materials and Methods: This retrospective, longitudinal, analytic, observational cohort study included 243 patients over 18 years old with a new ischemic stroke diagnosis who were hospitalized in Cluj-Napoca Emergency County Hospital. Data collected included the patient demographics, baseline characteristics at hospital admission, medication use, carotid artery Doppler ultrasound, as well as cardiology exam, and intrahospital death. Results: Multivariate logistic regression was used to determine which variables were independently associated with intrahospital death. An NIHSS score > 9 (OR—17.4; p < 0.001) and a lesion volume > 22.3 mL (OR—5.8; p = 0.003) were found to be associated with the highest risk of death. In contrast antiplatelet treatment (OR—0.349; p = 0.04) was associated with lower mortality rates. Conclusions: Our study identified a high NIHSS score and large lesion volume as independent risk factors for intrahospital mortality in ischemic stroke patients. Antiplatelet therapy was associated with lower mortality rates. Further studies are needed to explore the potential mechanisms underlying these associations and to develop targeted interventions to improve patient outcomes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background & Aims: Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) carries a high short-term mortality for patients with cirrhosis. Prior literature suggests that statin exposure may reduce the likelihood of ACLF events. However, it is unclear if statin exposure is associated with ACLF-related mortality. This study sought to determine the association between statin use and short-term mortality among patients hospitalised with ACLF. Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study of Veterans Health Administration (VHA) patients diagnosed with cirrhosis between 2008 and 2021 and hospitalised with high-grade (2 or 3) ACLF. Patients were stratified into those with and without continuous statin exposure for at least 90 days prior to hospitalisation. Multivariable logistic regression models were created to determine the adjusted association between statin exposure and 28-day and 90-day mortality. Categorical statin dose exposure, converted to simvastatin equivalents, was also explored. Results: A total of 11,731 patients with cirrhosis hospitalised with Grade 2 or 3 ACLF were included in the analytic cohort, 26% of whom had statin exposure. In adjusted logistic regression models, statin use was associated with 18% lower odds of ACLF-related 28-day mortality (odds ratio [OR] 0.82, 95% CI 0.73–0.93, p = 0.001) and 24% lower odds of 90-day mortality (OR 0.76, 95% CI 0.68–0.86, p

Aims: While electrolyte depletion is known to occur during coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) with extracorporeal circulation, little is known about the frequency of potassium disturbances following either on- or off-pump CABG and its association with mortality. We examined the frequency of potassium disturbances and the association of plasma potassium with mortality risk in patients following CABG. Methods and results: From Danish National Registries, we identified 6123 adult patients (≥18 years old) undergoing first-time CABG, and who had a registered potassium measurement within 14 days before and 7 days after their surgery between 1995 and 2018. Using 4.0–4.6 mmol/L as reference, potassium was stratified into five predefined intervals:

Fulminant myocarditis (FM) may lead to cardiogenic shock requiring veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO). Results of effectiveness studies of VA-ECMO have been contradictory. We evaluated the aggregate short-term mortality after VA-ECMO and predictive factors in patients with FM. We systematically searched in electronic databases (February 2022) to identify studies evaluating short-term mortality (defined as mortality at 30 days or in-hospital) after VA-ECMO support for FM. We included studies with 5 or more patients published after 2009. We assessed the quality of the evidence using the QUIPS and GRADE tools. Mortality was pooled using random effect models. We performed meta-regression to explore heterogeneity based on a priori defined factors. We included 54 observational studies encompassing 2388 FM patients supported with VA-ECMO. Median age was 41 years (25th to 75th percentile 37–47), and 50% were female. The pooled short-term mortality was 35% (95% CI 29–40%, I2 = 69%; moderate certainty). By meta-regression, studies with younger populations showed lower mortality. Female sex, receiving a biopsy, cardiac arrest, left ventricular unloading, and earlier recruitment time frame, did not explain heterogeneity. These results remained consistent regardless of continent and the risk of bias category. In individual studies, low pH value, high lactate, absence of functional cardiac recovery on ECMO, increased burden of malignant arrhythmia, high peak coronary markers, and IVIG use were identified as independent predictors of mortality. When conventional therapies have failed, especially in younger patients, cardiopulmonary support with VA-ECMO should be considered in the treatment of severe FM. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The visceral adiposity index (VAI) is related to the occurrence of various cardiometabolic diseases, atherosclerosis, and stroke. However, few studies have analyzed the impact on the short-term prognosis of stroke. We assessed the effect of VAI on short-term prognoses in patients with acute ischemic stroke through a retrospective cohort study of 225 patients with acute stroke who were admitted to the neurological intensive care unit of our hospital. We collected metabolic indicators (blood pressure, fasting glucose, lipids), National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores, symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, and other disease evaluation indicators on 197 patients who were screened for inclusion. VAI was calculated by using baseline data (sex, height, weight, waist circumference (WC)). We assessed functional recovery according to modified Rankin scale scores after 90 days. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to calculate the VAI cutoff value that affects short-term outcomes. A nomogram that can predict the risk of short-term mortality in patients with acute ischemic stroke was drawn. In total, 28 patients died within 90 days. Those patients had higher VAI (p = 0.000), higher triglyceride (TG) (p = 0.020) and NIHSS scores (p = 0.000), and lower high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) (p = 0.000) than patients who survived. VAI had higher predictive value of short-term mortality than did body mass index (BMI), body fat mass index (BFMI), and WC. VAI and NIHSS scores were independent risk factors for the short-term mortality of patients with stroke. Patients with a VAI > 2.355 had a higher risk of short-term mortality. VAI has a predictive value higher than that of traditional metabolic indicators such as BMI, BFMI, and WC. The nomogram, composed of NIHSS, VAI, HDL-C, and TG, may predict the short-term mortality of cerebral infarction patients. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Excess cardiovascular (CV) morbidity and mortality has been observed in patients with COVID-19. Both interleukin-32 (IL-32) and interleukin-34 (IL-34) have been hypothesized to contribute to CV involvement in COVID-19. Methods: This prospective, observational study of patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 infection was conducted from 6 June to 22 December 2020 in a tertiary care hospital in Vienna, Austria. IL-32 and IL-34 levels on admission were collected and tested for their association with CV disease and short-term mortality in patients with COVID-19. CV disease was defined by the presence of coronary artery disease, heart failure, stroke or atrial fibrillation and patients were stratified by CV disease burden. Results: A total of 245 eligible patients with COVID-19 were included, of whom 37 (15.1%) reached the primary endpoint of 28-day mortality. Of the total sample, 161 had no CV disease (65.7%), 69 had one or two CV diseases (28.2%) and 15 patients had ≥three CV diseases (6.1%). Median levels of IL-32 and IL-34 at admission were comparable across the three groups of CV disease burden. IL-32 and IL-34 failed to predict mortality upon both univariable and multivariable Cox regression analysis. The two CV disease groups, however, had a significantly higher risk of mortality within 28 days (one or two CV diseases: crude HR 4.085 (95% CI, 1.913–8.725), p < 0.001 and ≥three CV diseases: crude HR 13.173 (95% CI, 5.425–31.985), p < 0.001). This association persisted for those with ≥three CV diseases after adjustment for age, gender and CV risk factors (adjusted HR 3.942 (95% CI, 1.288–12.068), p = 0.016). Conclusion: In our study population of hospitalized patients with COVID-19, IL-32 and IL-34 did not show any associations with CV disease or 28-day mortality in the context of COVID-19. Patients with multiple CV diseases, however, had a significantly increased risk of short-term mortality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract Background Early fluid management is considered a key element affecting mortality in critically ill patients requiring continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT). Most studies have primarily focused on patients with intrinsic acute kidney injury requiring CRRT, although end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) patients generally exhibit greater vulnerability. We investigated the association between fluid balance and short-term mortality outcomes in ESKD patients undergoing chronic hemodialysis and requiring CRRT. Methods This retrospective study included 110 chronic hemodialysis patients who received CRRT between 2017 and 2019 at Ewha Womans University Mokdong Hospital. The amounts of daily input and output, and cumulative 3-day and 7-day input and output, were assessed from the initiation of CRRT. The participants were classified into two groups based on 7-day and 14-day mortalities. Cox regression analyses were carried out on the basis of the amounts of daily input and output, cumulative input and output, and cumulative fluid balance. Results During follow-up, 7-day and 14-day mortalities were observed in 24 (21.8%) and 34 (30.9%) patients. The patients were stratified into two groups (14-day survivors vs. non-survivors), and there were no significant differences in demographic characteristics between the two groups. However, diabetes mellitus was more common among survivors than among non-survivors. Univariate analyses showed that the amounts of daily output at 48, and 72 h, and 3-day cumulative input and output, were significantly associated with 7-day mortality risk regardless of the cumulative fluid balance (HR: 0.28, 95% CI: 0.12–0.70, p = 0.01 for daily output at 48 h; HR: 0.34, 95% CI: 0.13–0.85, p = 0.02 for daily output at 72 h.; HR: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.61–0.86, p = 0.01 for 3-day cumulative input; HR: 0.65, 95% CI: 0.41–0.90, p = 0.01 for 3-day cumulative output). Adjusted multivariate analyses showed that the lower 3-day cumulative output is an independent risk factor for 7-day and 14-day mortality. Conclusions In our study, increased cumulative output were significantly associated with reduced short-term mortality risk in chronic hemodialysis patients undergoing CRRT regardless of cumulative fluid balance. Further prospective studies to investigate the association between fluid balance and mortality in ESRD patients requiring CRRT are warranted.

Objective: This study aimed to verify the application values of the Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B (COSSH) acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF)Ⅱ score in predicting short-term prognosis and stratifying disease severity in patients with hepatitis B virus - related ACLF(HBV -ACLF). Methods: Clinical data and survival information of 114 patients admitted with HBV-ACLF to the First Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College from January 2017 to December 2021were retrospectively evaluated. Baseline characteristics were compared between the survival group(n=67)and the death group (n=47)at day 90 from inclusion. Prognostic accuracies between the COSSH ACLFⅡ score and the COSSH ACLF score, the Chronic Liver Failure-Consortium(CLIF-C) ACLF score, the CLIF -C organ failure(CLIF -C OF)score, the model of end - stage liver disease(MELD)score, the MELD - sodium (MELD-Na)score, and the Child-Turcotte-Pugh(CTP)score in 90-day mortality prediction were compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC)method. All patients were divided into three groups according to COSSH ACLF grade (ACLF-1, n=83；ACLF-2, n=23；ACLF-3, n=8)or the risk strata of the COSSH ACLFⅡ score (＜7.4, n=82；7.4~＜8.4, n=21； and ≥8.4, n=11), and the cumulative 90- day survival rates among them were compared using the Kaplan -Meier method. Results： Compared with the survival group, the death group had greater age, a higher incidence of hepatic encephalopathy or bacterial infection, higher values of white blood cell count, neutrophil count, international normalized ratio, total bilirubin, creatinine, urea, and the above-mentioned 7 scores(P ＜ 0.05). The incidence of coagulation failure or cerebral failure and the proportion of patients with ACLF-1 in the death group were also higher than those in the survival group(P ＜ 0.01). For 90-day mortality prediction, the AUC of COSSH ACLFⅡ score(0.892)was larger than that of the CLIF-C ACLF score(AUC=0.853, P=0.089), the COSSH ACLF score(AUC=0.841, P ＜ 0.05), the CLIF-C OF score(AUC=0.813, P＜0.05), the MELD-Na score(AUC=0.771, P ＜ 0.01), the MELD score(AUC=0.792, P ＜ 0.01), and the CTP score(AUC=0.655, P ＜ 0.001). The cumulative 90- day survival rates significantly decreased with COSSH ACLF grade and risk strata of the COSSH ACLFⅡ score ascending(73.5% vs. 26.1% vs. 0, P ＜ 0.001；72.0% vs. 38.1% vs. 0, P＜0.01). Conclusion: The COSSH ACLFⅡ score showed excellent prognostic performance in predicting short-term prognosis in patients with HBV-ACLF. Using risk strata of the new score can simplify the severity stratification of HBV-ACLF. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: There has always been a debate on the optimal timing of endoscopy in patients with acute variceal bleeding (AVB). Objective: This study aimed to examine the relation between the timing of endoscopy and the short-term outcomes of patients with AVB. Methods: Patients with AVB who underwent endoscopy within 24 h after admission at our tertiary care center from 2014 to 2022 were evaluated retrospectively. The primary outcomes were the 6-week mortality and re-bleeding. The secondary outcomes included the total number of blood units transfused, the length of hospital stay, and the need for salvage therapy. We used Cox proportional hazards model to analyze the predictors of 6-week mortality in all patients as well as in those who were at high risk of further bleeding or death. Results: A total of 312 patients were enrolled. Among them, 170 patients (54.49%) underwent urgent endoscopy (< 6 h), and 142 patients (45.51%) underwent early endoscopy (6–24 h). There were no significant differences between the urgent-endoscopy group and the early-endoscopy group, regarding the 6-week mortality (16.47% vs. 10.56%; P value = 0.132) and 6-week re-bleeding rate (11.2% vs. 16.2%; P value = 0.196). In multivariate analysis, time to endoscopy was independent of 6-week mortality (P value = 0.170), but the time between the beginning of bleeding and endoscopy (within 12 h) was significantly associated with low 6-week mortality (OR: 0.16; 95% CI: 0.06–0.46; P value = 0.001). Time to endoscopy was still not associated with 6-week mortality in patients at high risk for further bleeding or death (Glasgow-Blatchford score ≥ 12, n = 138, P value = 0.902). Conclusions: Endoscopy performed within 6 h of admission, rather than within 6 to 24 h, did not improve six-week clinical outcomes in patients in stable condition with AVB and even those who were at high risk of further bleeding and death. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has put a constant strain on hospital resources, so there is a dire need for investigation methods that are widely available and that can predict mortality and the need for critical care. Hematological indices, which can be easily calculated from a complete blood count (CBC), are useful in determining a patient's inflammatory response to infectious diseases. Aim: This was a prospective cohort study that aimed to assess the prognostic value of scores based on CBCs in hospitalized patients with mild or moderate COVID-19 and medical comorbidities regarding the need for intensive care unit (ICU) therapy and short-term mortality. Methods: We included 607 patients with confirmed COVID-19, followed up for the need for ICU admission (15.5%) and 30 day mortality post-discharge (21.7%). CBC-derived scores were tested upon emergency department (ED) admission and after a median of 8 days. Results: In a multivariate model, elevated followed-up neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) predicted increased odds for ICU admission (OR: 1.14 [95%CI: 1.06–1.22], p < 0.001) and short-term mortality (OR: 1.30 [95%CI: 1.09–1.57], p = 0.005). Monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) predicted 2.5-fold increased odds for ICU admission and 2.2-fold increased odds for mortality. Conclusion: NLR and MLR followed up 8 days post-admission are predictive for adverse outcomes in mild or moderate COVID-19 patients. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Intravenous glutamine supplementation of nutrition in ICU patients is based on substantial clinical evidence that it boosts the immune system, particularly by inhibiting inflammatory reactions. This study aimed to see how glutamine affected COVID-19 short-term ICU mortality (7 days) and its clinical course. Sixty patients were randomized in this single-blind clinical study and were divided into equal groups. Group EN, was delivered with standard enteral nutrition. Group GN was delivered intravenous glutamine supplementation to enteral nutrition. Both groups were monitored and assessed for 7 days. Short-term ICU mortality, monitoring of the inflammatory response and oxygenation, were compared between the two groups. During the 7-day follow-up period, ten patients (33.3%) died in the GN group, compared to 11 patients (37.6%) in the EN group, with no statistically significant difference between the two groups. On the 7th day, both NLR and PLR showed considerably higher values in the EN group than in the GN group, and on the 4th day, the PLR ratio showed significantly higher values in the EN group than in the GN group. In terms of unsuccessful enteral nutrition and transition to total parenteral nutrition, group GN had a considerably lower rate than group EN (ten patients (33.3%) against 22 patients (73.3%), respectively, P-value = 0.002). Although there is little indication that glutamine supplementation could prevent short-term mortality in COVID-19 ICU admitted patients, the GN group had a lower inflammatory response and fewer patients switched to total parenteral nutrition. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Azithromycin was thought to prevent acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPDs) by antimicrobial and anti-inflammatory effects. However, it0s value in the treatment of critically ill patients with AECOPD before ICU admission remains unclear. Our study aimed to find whether azithromycin use prior to ICU admission leads to better clinical outcomes for those individuals. 533 critically ill patients with AECOPD from the MIMIC-IV database were included. Univariate followed multivariate logistic regression was used to select risk factors for short-term mortality. The multivariable logistic regression models were implemented to investigate the association between azithromycin use before ICU admission and short-term mortality. Lower short-term mortality was observed in the azithromycin group (p = .021), independent of differences in demographic data and other clinical outcomes (p>.05). Azithromycin use before ICU admission was proved to have a decreased short-term mortality by multivariable logistic regression (p<.05). The results remained consistent after being stratified by age, SOFA scores, pH, and cancer diagnosis. Azithromycin use prior to ICU admission was associated with lower short-term mortality for critically ill AECOPD patients. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: In the context of acute cardiogenic pulmonary edema (ACPE), a frequently encountered medical emergency associated with high early mortality rates, there is a need to predict short-term outcomes for risk stratification.Our aim was to derive and validate a model, a simple clinical scoring system using baseline vital signs, clinical and presenting characteristics, and readily available laboratory tests, that allows accurate prediction of short-term mortality in individuals experiencing ACPE., Methods: This retrospective cohort study included 1088 patients with ACPE from six health centers. Subjects were randomly allocated into derivation and validation cohorts at a 4:3 ratio, facilitating comprehensive examination and validation of prognostic model. Independent predictors of mortality (p<0.05) from the multivariable model were included in the risk score. The discriminant ability of the score was tested by ROC analysis., Results: In the derivation cohort (n=623), age, blood urea nitrogen, heart rate, intubation, anemia, and systolic blood pressure were identified as independent predictors of mortality in multivariable analysis. These variables were used to develop a risk score ranging from 0 to 6 by scoring 0 and 1. The SABIHA score provided a good calibration with a concordance index of 0.879 (95% CI: 0.821-0.937). While the probability of short-term mortality was 80.0% in the high risk group, this rate was only 3.3% in the low risk group. This score also performed well on the validation set., Conclusions: A simple clinical score consisting of routinely obtained variables can be used in risk stratification to predict short-term outcomes in patients with ACPE.

Background: Accurate prediction of short-term mortality in patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is critical for optimizing treatment strategies and improving patient outcomes. The Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) is the current reference score used for this purpose, but it has limitations regarding predictive accuracy. Our aim was to develop a new short-term mortality prediction model for PE patients based on deep learning (DL) with multimodal data, including imaging and clinical/demographic data., Methods and Results: We developed a novel multimodal deep learning (mmDL) model using contrast-enhanced multidetector computed tomography scans combined with clinical and demographic data to predict short-term mortality in patients with acute PE. We benchmarked various machine learning architectures, including XGBoost, convolutional neural networks (CNNs), and Transformers. Our cohort included 207 acute PE patients, of whom 53 died during their hospital stay. The mmDL model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.98 (P<0.001), significantly outperforming the PESI score, which had an AUC of 0.86 (P<0.001). Statistical analysis confirmed that the mmDL model was superior to PESI in predicting short-term mortality (P<0.001)., Conclusions: Our proposed mmDL model predicts short-term mortality in patients with acute PE with high accuracy and significantly outperforms the current standard PESI score.

PurposeThe present study aimed to investigate the association of renin–angiotensin system inhibitors (RASi) with short- and long-term mortality in patients with aortic stenosis (AS).MethodsA systematic search was performed in PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane library databases for relevant studies published before March 2022. Studies meeting the inclusion criteria were included to assess the effect of RASi on short-term (≤30 days) and long-term (≥1 year) mortality in patients with AS.ResultsA total of 11 studies were included in the meta-analysis. Our results demonstrated that RASi reduced short-term mortality (OR = 0.76, 95% CI 0.63–0.93, p = 0.008) after aortic valve replacement (AVR). Subgroup analysis revealed that RASi was still associated with lower short-term mortality after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR); however, the association was relatively weak in patients who underwent surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR). For long-term mortality, the pooled OR was 1.04 (95% CI 0.88–1.24, p = 0.63) after sensitivity analysis in patients who did not undergo AVR. In addition, our study confirmed that RASi significantly reduced long-term mortality (OR = 0.57, 95% CI 0.44–0.74, p < 0.0001) in patients who underwent AVR. Subgroup analysis showed that both TAVR and SAVR groups treated with RASi had lower long-term mortality.ConclusionRenin–angiotensin system inhibitors did not change long-term mortality in AS patients who did not undergo AVR. However, RASi reduced short- and long-term mortality in patients who underwent AVR.

Background: In intensive care unit (ICU), what thresholds of MAP variability are effective in distinguishing low- and high-risk patients for short-term mortality (in-hospital and 28-day) remains unclear. Methods: Fifteen thousand five hundred sixty adult subjects admitted to ICU at Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center (Boston, USA) between 2001 and 2012 were included in this retrospective study from MIMIC-III database. MAP within the first 24 h after admission were collected. Quantiles of MAP variability from 10% to 90% with 10% increasement each were considered to divide study participants into two groups, either having coeffcients of variation of MAP greater or less than the given threshold. The threshold of MAP variability was identified by maximizing the odds ratio associated with increased risk of short-term mortality (in-hospital and 28-day). Logistic regression and Cox regression models were further applied to evaluate the association between increased variability of MAP and short-term mortality (in-hospital and 28-day). Results: 90% quantile of MAP variability was determined as the threshold generating the largest odds ratio associated with the increased risk of short-term mortality. Increased MAP variability, especially over 90% of MAP variability, was associated with increased risk of in-hospital mortality (odds ratio: 2.351, 95% CI: 2.064-2.673), and 28-day mortality (hazard ratio: 2.064, 95% CI: 1.820-2.337). Conclusion: Increased MAP variability, especially over 90% of MAP variability, is associated with short-term mortality. Our proposed threshold of MAP variability may aid in the early identification of critically ill patients with a high risk of mortality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Studies indicate that coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection before or soon after operations increases mortality, but they do not comment on the appropriate timing for interventions after diagnosis. Objective: We sought to determine what the safest time would be for COVID-19 diagnosed patients to undergo major operative interventions. Methods: High-risk operations, between January 2020 and May 2021, were identified from the Veterans Affairs COVID-19 Shared Data Resource. Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) codes were used to exact match COVID-19 positive cases (n=938) to negative controls (n=7235). Time effects were calculated as a continuous variable and then grouped into 2-week intervals. The primary outcome was 90-day, all-cause postoperative mortality. Results: Ninety-day mortality in cases and controls was similar when the operation was performed within 9 weeks or longer after a positive test; but significantly higher in cases versus controls when the operation was performed within 7 to 8 weeks (12.3% vs 4.9%), 5 to 6 weeks (10.3% vs 3.3%), 3 to 4 weeks (19.6% vs 6.7%), and 1 to 2 weeks (24.7% vs 7.4%) from diagnosis. Among patients who underwent surgery within 8 weeks from diagnosis, 90-day mortality was 16.6% for cases versus 5.8% for the controls (P <0.001). In this cohort, we assessed interaction between case status and any symptom (P =0.93), and case status and either respiratory symptoms or fever (P =0.29), neither of which were significant statistically. Conclusions: Patients undergoing major operations within 8 weeks after a positive test have substantially higher postoperative 90-day mortality than CPT-matched controls without a COVID-19 diagnosis, regardless of presenting symptoms. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aims: Prior studies demonstrated an association between hospital admission blood glucose and mortality in acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Because stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) has been suggested as a more reliable marker of stress hyperglycemia this study investigated to what extent SHR in comparison with admission blood glucose is associated with short- and long-term mortality in diabetic and non-diabetic AMI patients. Methods: The analysis was based on 2,311 AMI patients aged 25–84 years from the population-based Myocardial Infarction Registry Augsburg (median follow-up time 6.5 years [IQR: 4.9–8.1]). The SHR was calculated as admission glucose (mg/dl)/(28.7 × HbA1c (%)—46.7). Using logistic and COX regression analyses the associations between SHR and admission glucose and mortality were investigated. Result: Higher admission glucose and higher SHR were significantly and nonlinearly associated with higher 28-day mortality in AMI patients with and without diabetes. In patients without diabetes, the AUC for SHR was significantly lower than for admission glucose (SHR: 0.6912 [95%CI 0.6317–0.7496], admission glucose: 0.716 [95%CI 0.6572–0.7736], p-value: 0.0351). In patients with diabetes the AUCs were similar for SHR and admission glucose. Increasing admission glucose and SHR were significantly nonlinearly associated with higher 5-year all-cause mortality in AMI patients with diabetes but not in non-diabetic patients. AUC values indicated a comparable prediction of 5-year mortality for both measures in diabetic and non-diabetic patients. Conclusions: Stress hyperglycemia in AMI patients plays a significant role mainly with regard to short-term prognosis, but barely so for long-term prognosis, underlining the assumption that it is a transient dynamic disorder that occurs to varying degrees during the acute event, thereby affecting prognosis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: Accurate prediction of survival is important to facilitate clinical decision-making and improve quality of care at the end of life. While it is well documented that survival prediction poses a challenge for treating physicians, the need for clinically valuable predictive factors has not been met. This study aims to quantify the prevalence of patient transfer 72 h before death onto the acute palliative care unit in a tertiary care center in Switzerland, and to identify factors predictive of 72-h mortality. Methods: All patients hospitalized between January and December 2020 on the acute palliative care unit of the Competence Center Palliative Care of the Department of Radiation Oncology at the University Hospital Zurich were assessed. Variables were retrieved from the electronic medical records. Univariable and multivariable logistic regressions were used to identify predictors of mortality. Results: A total of 398 patients were screened, of which 188 were assessed. Every fifth patient spent less than 72 h on the acute palliative care unit before death. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, predictors for 72-h mortality after transfer were no prior palliative care consult (p = 0.011), no advance care directive (p = 0.044), lower performance status (p = 0.035), lower self-care index (p = 0.003), and lower blood albumin level (p = 0.026). Conclusion: Late transfer to the acute palliative care unit is not uncommon, which can cause additional distress to patients and caretakers. Though clinically practical short-term survival predictors remain largely unidentified, early integration of palliative care should be practiced more regularly in patients with life-limiting illness. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Risk factors for systemic anticancer therapies (SACTs) administered close to death derived from existing quality indicators are not directly applicable in the clinic, because they condition on future events, which leads to selection bias. This study aimed to adapt a previously suggested indicator for its use in a clinical context and to evaluate it in a real-world, population-based cohort of cancer patients. An improved version of the '30-day mortality after SACT' indicator suggested by Wallington et al. (Lancet Oncol 2016; 17:1203–16) was defined. All SACTs (n = 16 622) for all patients (n = 10 213) treated for common malignancies between 2009 and 2019 in the North Denmark Region were included. The results for the improved and Wallington's indicators were calculated and compared. Overall, the association between clinical variables and 30-day mortality following SACT was similar for both indicators, except for the 75+ years age group. However, Wallington's indicator showed varying absolute risk when comparing values for quarterly and yearly observation intervals. The improved and Wallington's indicators showed large differences between curative (1.0% and 1.1%, respectively) and palliative SACTs (9.1% and 11.7%, respectively). For palliative SACTs, different types of malignancy presented with large variations for the improved indicator, ranging from above 10% for gastroesophageal, pancreatic and lung cancers to below 4% for prostate cancers. The value of the improved indicator was significantly lower in the last years of the study period compared with the 2009–2011 period. The type of malignancy was also associated with significant differences. We defined an indicator adapted to the clinical context evaluating 30-day mortality following SACT. This indicator can be used to identify risk factors to help with clinical decision-making. A significant downward trend was observed in the 30-day mortality following palliative SACT over an 11-year period. • We defined an improved quality indicator for the 30-day mortality following SACT. • This indicator can help identify clinical risk factors for increased 30-day mortality. • This indicator stays consistent across different choices of observation intervals. • Large variations in 30-day mortality following SACT between malignancies were found. • We report a significant downward trend in 30-day mortality following palliative SACT. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background and Objectives: The purpose of this study is to investigate the predictive factors for intrahospital mortality in ischemic stroke patients. We will examine the association between a range of clinical and demographic factors and intrahospital mortality, including age, sex, comorbidities, laboratory values, and medication use. Materials and Methods: This retrospective, longitudinal, analytic, observational cohort study included 243 patients over 18 years old with a new ischemic stroke diagnosis who were hospitalized in Cluj-Napoca Emergency County Hospital. Data collected included the patient demographics, baseline characteristics at hospital admission, medication use, carotid artery Doppler ultrasound, as well as cardiology exam, and intrahospital death. Results: Multivariate logistic regression was used to determine which variables were independently associated with intrahospital death. An NIHSS score > 9 (OR—17.4; p < 0.001) and a lesion volume > 22.3 mL (OR—5.8; p = 0.003) were found to be associated with the highest risk of death. In contrast antiplatelet treatment (OR—0.349; p = 0.04) was associated with lower mortality rates. Conclusions: Our study identified a high NIHSS score and large lesion volume as independent risk factors for intrahospital mortality in ischemic stroke patients. Antiplatelet therapy was associated with lower mortality rates. Further studies are needed to explore the potential mechanisms underlying these associations and to develop targeted interventions to improve patient outcomes.

Currently, the treatment of spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) is limiting, especially in patients with midline shift and supratentorial hemorrhage. Here, we investigated the clinical value of minimally invasive surgery (MIS) in patients with midline shift and supratentorial sICH by observing the consciousness state, midline shift, and short-term mortality. A total of 124 supratentorial sICH patients with midline shift, hematoma volume >30 mL and <150 mL were included in this study. Based on treatment methods, the enrolled patients were divided into minimally invasive surgical (MIS) (group 1, n = 61) and conservative (group 2, n = 63) treatment groups. Measurements of midline shift and state of consciousness using the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score were performed on day 2 following treatment. Additionally, mortality, adverse events, and neurologic recovery (modified Rankin Scale score) in each group were observed after 1 month. On postoperative day 2, the recovery rates of midline shift and consciousness state in group 1 patients were 59.02% and 50.82%, respectively, significantly higher than group 2, 26.98% and 25.40% (P < 0.01). By comparing death, adverse events, and neurologic function recovery of the 2 groups within 1 month postoperative, we observed a significantly lower fatality rate in group 1 (16.39%; 10 cases) than group 2 (33.33%; 21 cases) (P < 0.05). No significant difference of the adverse event rates was observed between groups 1 and 2 (19.67% [12 cases] vs. 19.05% [12 cases]). In addition, neurologic function recovery also had no significant difference between the 2 groups (P > 0.05). MIS could reduce early-stage midline shift, improve consciousness state and reduce short-term mortality in patients with supratentorial sICH. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]