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The Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus) is a scavenging bird of prey that was once widespread on the Iberian Peninsula. Its current distribution in Spain is limited to specific mountain ranges, including the Aragonese Pyrenees. The decline of the Iberian population has been linked to factors acting at a micro-scale level, such as the use of poisons, illegal hunting, and a decrease in extensive livestock farming. There are, however, other factors acting on a biogeographical scale that are not currently being considered and may also be affecting the viability of populations. The aim of this case study was to investigate the influences of large-scale environmental conditions on temporal variation in the reproductive parameters of the Bearded Vulture breeding population in the Aragonese Pyrenees. We tested the degree to which each of 26 macroclimatic oscillation indices with an effect on regional weather conditions were teleconnected with three reproductive parameters (hatching rate, fledging rate, and productivity). Two indices—the Tropical Northern Atlantic and East Atlantic/West Russia Pattern—were temporally correlated with Bearded Vulture reproductive parameters. The study results provide novel information to facilitate Bearded Vulture conservation because no previous studies have addressed this issue from a biogeographical and macroecological perspective. The results could have important implications for the management and conservation of the species and its successful reintroduction in other territories. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

West Nile virus (WNV) is one of the most widespread of the arboviruses because of the translocation of the virus by migratory birds (2-3). Since its initial detection in Uganda [...]

Dengue and yellow fever have complex cycles, involving urban and sylvatic mosquitoes, and non‐human primate hosts. To date, efforts to assess the effect of climate change on these diseases have neglected the combination of such crucial factors. Recent studies only considered urban vectors. This is the first study to include them together with sylvatic vectors and the distribution of primates to analyse the effect of climate change on these diseases. We used previously published models, based on machine learning algorithms and fuzzy logic, to identify areas where climatic favourability for the relevant transmission agents could change: 1) favourable areas for the circulation of the viruses due to the environment and to non‐human primate distributions; 2) the favourability for urban and sylvatic vectors. We obtained projections of future transmission risk for two future periods and for each disease, and implemented uncertainty analyses to test for predictions reliability. Areas currently favourable for both diseases could keep being climatically favourable, while global favourability could increase a 7% for yellow fever and a 10% increase for dengue. Areas likely to be more affected in the future for dengue include West Africa, South Asia, the Gulf of Mexico, Central America and the Amazon basin. A possible spread of dengue could take place into Europe, the Mediterranean basin, the UK and Portugal; and, in Asia, into northern China. For yellow fever, climate could become more favourable in Central and Southeast Africa; India; and in north and southeast South America, including Brazil, Paraguay, Bolivia, Peru, Colombia and Venezuela. In Brazil, favourability for yellow fever will probably increase in the south, the west and the east. Areas where the transmission risk spread is consistent to the dispersal of vectors are highlighted in respect of areas where the expected spread is directly attributable to environmental changes. Both scenarios could involve different prevention strategies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

West Nile virus (WNV) is a globally widespread arthropod‐borne virus that poses a significant public health concern. Mosquitoes transmit the virus in an enzootic cycle among birds, which act as reservoirs. Climate plays a crucial role in these outbreaks as mosquitoes are highly influenced by climatic conditions, and bird migrations are also affected by weather patterns. Consequently, changes in climate can potentially impact the occurrence of WNV outbreaks. We used biogeographic modelling based on machine learning algorithms and fuzzy logic to analyse and evaluate separately the risk of WNV outbreaks in two different biogeographic regions, the Afrotropical and the Western Palaearctic region. By employing fuzzy logic tools, we constructed a comprehensive risk model that integrates the Afro‐Palaearctic system as a unified operational unit for WNV spread. This innovative approach recognizes the Afro‐Palaearctic region as a pathogeographic system, characterized by biannual connections facilitated by billions of migratory bird reservoirs carrying the disease. Subsequently, we forecasted the effects of different climate change scenarios on the spread of WNV in the Afro‐Palaearctic system for the years 2040 and 2070. Our findings revealed an increasing epidemic and epizootic risk south of the Sahara. However, the area where an upsurge in risk was forecasted the most lies within Europe, with the anticipation of risk expansion into regions presently situated beyond the virus' distribution range, including central and northern Europe. Gaining insight into the risk within the Afro‐Palaearctic system is crucial for establishing coordinated and international One Health surveillance efforts. This becomes particularly relevant in the face of ongoing climate change, which disrupts the ecological equilibrium among vectors, reservoirs, and human populations. We show that the application of biogeographical tools to assess risk of infectious disease, i.e. pathogeography, is a promising approach for understanding distribution patterns of zoonotic diseases and for anticipating their future spread. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Climate change may increase the risk of dengue and yellow fever transmission by urban and sylvatic mosquito vectors. Previous research primarily focused on Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. However, dengue and yellow fever have a complex transmission cycle involving sylvatic vectors. Our aim was to analyze how the distribution of areas favorable to both urban and sylvatic vectors could be modified as a consequence of climate change. We projected, to future scenarios, baseline distribution models already published for these vectors based on the favorability function, and mapped the areas where mosquitoes' favorability could increase, decrease or remain stable in the near (2041–2060) and distant (2061–2080) future. Favorable areas for the presence of dengue and yellow fever vectors show little differences in the future compared to the baseline models, with changes being perceptible only at regional scales. The model projections predict dengue vectors expanding in West and Central Africa and in South-East Asia, reaching Borneo. Yellow fever vectors could spread in West and Central Africa and in the Amazon. In some locations of Europe, the models suggest a reestablishment of Ae. aegypti, while Ae. albopictus will continue to find new favorable areas. The results underline the need to focus more on vectors Ae. vittatus, Ae. luteocephalus and Ae. africanus in West and Central sub-Saharan Africa, especially Cameroon, Central Africa Republic, and northern Democratic Republic of Congo; and underscore the importance of enhancing entomological monitoring in areas where populations of often overlooked vectors may thrive as a result of climate changes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Under the current pattern of climate change, mountain bird populations are generally shifting their ranges to higher elevations, tracking their climatic optima. Nevertheless, space limitations at high altitudes constrain mountain species' resilience to climatic change, making them particularly vulnerable. In extreme cases, the climatic niche of some species can move beyond mountaintops, ultimately driving such species to extinction. This study presents the case of the northern wheatear Oenanthe oenanthe in mainland Spain and compares its breeding distribution from 2003 to 2022. Spain, where the species mostly occupies mountain areas, represents its southernmost distribution limit in Europe. We built environmental favourability models using information from the two most recent Spanish bird atlases and a set of climatic, topographic, human activity and lithological variables to determine the factors affecting the occurrence of the species. The influence of climate compared to all other factors was obtained using variation partitioning analysis. The northern wheatear has suffered a strong reduction (67%) in occupied areas and also in favourability throughout mainland Spain (especially in the south) where climate change may have far‐reaching consequences, including local extinctions. Climate explained more than 90% of the variation in the model obtained for 2022. Interestingly, the occupied areas were, on average, 100 m higher in 2022 than in 2003. If the effects of climate warming persist, the northern wheatear will likely disappear in its southernmost distribution limit, being the Sierra de las Nieves National Park population the most vulnerable in mainland Spain. For this reason, it is necessary to implement monitoring programmes for northern wheatear populations, with priority for mountain systems wherein they already occupy higher elevations, as well as further studies on other mountain species. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The collapse of vulture populations in Africa is profoundly affecting the critically endangered Rüppell's Vulture Gyps rueppelli. This species may be beginning to colonise the Western Palearctic, where the only successful breeding recorded to date is reported here. This breeding event, like some previous unsuccessful attempts, involved a hybrid pair with a Griffon Vulture Gyps fulvus. This hybridisation could eventually result in the abundant Griffon Vulture genetically assimilating the rare Rüppell's Vulture. In this context, Europe may function as a genetic amalgamation trap for Rüppell's Vulture. This paradigmatic case may require a major change in conservation strategies and action planning to include areas outside Rüppell's Vulture's native range, such as the Iberian Peninsula, the Maghreb and southern Africa.—Muñoz, A.R, Ramírez, J. & Real, R. (2024). A critically endangered African vulture starts breeding in Europe: escaping from extinction or entering a genetic amalgamation trap? Ardeola, 71: 131-135. El declive de las poblaciones de buitres en África está afectando seriamente al buitre moteado Gyps rueppelli, especie en peligro crítico de extinción. Este buitre ha comenzado recientemente a establecerse en el Paleártico, donde anunciamos la única cría con éxito registrada en esta región hasta la fecha. Este evento de cría, al igual que otros anteriores que no tuvieron éxito, ha tenido lugar en una pareja mixta con un buitre leonado Gyps fulvus. Con el paso del tiempo los casos de hibridación podrían dar lugar a que el buitre leonado, mucho más abundante, asimilara genéticamente al escaso buitre moteado. En este contexto, Europa podría estar funcionando como una trampa de amalgama genética para el buitre moteado. Este caso paradigmático, en el que una especie amenazada comienza a colonizar un nuevo reino biogeográfico, puede requerir de un cambio importante en las estrategias de conservación, de modo que se incluyan zonas fuera del área de distribución nativa del buitre moteado, como la península ibérica, el Magreb y el sur de África.—Muñoz, A.R, Ramírez, J. y Real, R. (2024). Un buitre africano en peligro crítico de extinción comienza a criar en Europa: ¿escapando de la extinción o entrando en una trampa de amalgama genética? Ardeola, 71: 131-135. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]