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BACKGROUND: Three biomarkers, soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (ST2), galectin 3 (Gal3), and N-terminal brain natriuretic peptide prohormone (NT-proBNP), are approved for noninvasive risk assessment in left-sided heart failure, and small observational studies have shown their prognostic usefulness in heterogeneous pulmonary hypertension cohorts. We examined associations between these biomarkers and disease severity and survival in a large cohort of patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) (ie, group 1 pulmonary hypertension). We hypothesized that additive use of biomarkers in combination would improve the prognostic value of survival models. METHODS: Biomarker measurements and clinical data were obtained from 2,017 adults with group 1 PAH. Associations among biomarker levels and clinical variables, including survival times, were examined with multivariable regression models. Likelihood ratio tests and the Akaike information criterion were used to compare survival models. RESULTS: Higher ST2 and NT-proBNP were associated with higher pulmonary pressures and vascular resistance and lower 6-min walk distance. Higher ST2 and NT-proBNP levels were associated with increased risk of death (hazard ratios: 2.79; 95% CI, 2.21-3.53; P < .001 and 1.84; 95% CI, 1.62-2.10; P < .001, respectively). The addition of ST2 to survival models composed of other predictors of survival, including NT-proBNP, significantly improved model fit and predictive capacity. CONCLUSIONS: ST2 and NT-proBNP are strong, noninvasive prognostic biomarkers in PAH. Despite its prognostic value in left-sided heart failure, Gal3 was not predictive in PAH. Adding ST2 to survival models significantly improves model predictive capacity. Future studies are needed to develop multimarker assays that improve noninvasive risk stratification in PAH.

Background Endostatin, an angiogenic inhibitor, is associated with worse pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) outcomes in adults and poor lung growth in children. This study sought to assess whether endostatin is associated with disease severity and outcomes in pediatric PAH. Methods and Results Serum endostatin was measured in cross‐sectional (N=160) and longitudinal cohorts (N=64) of pediatric subjects with PAH, healthy pediatric controls and pediatric controls with congenital heart disease (CHD) (N=54, N=15), and adults with CHD associated PAH (APAH‐CHD, N=185). Outcomes, assessed by regression and Kaplan‐Meier analysis, included hemodynamics, change in endostatin over time, and transplant‐free survival. Endostatin secretion was evaluated in pulmonary artery endothelial and smooth muscle cells. Endostatin was higher in those with PAH compared with healthy controls and controls with CHD and was highest in those with APAH‐CHD. In APAH‐CHD, endostatin was associated with a shorter 6‐minute walk distance and increased mean right atrial pressure. Over time, endostatin was associated with higher pulmonary artery pressure and pulmonary vascular resistance index, right ventricular dilation, and dysfunction. Endostatin decreased with improved hemodynamics over time. Endostatin was associated with worse transplant‐free survival. Addition of endostatin to an NT‐proBNP (N‐terminal pro‐B‐type natriuretic peptide) based survival analysis improved risk stratification, reclassifying subjects with adverse outcomes. Endostatin was secreted primarily by pulmonary artery endothelial cells. Conclusions Endostatin is associated with disease severity, disease improvement, and worse survival in APAH‐CHD. Endostatin with NT‐proBNP improves risk stratification, better predicting adverse outcomes. The association of elevated endostatin with shunt lesions suggests that endostatin could be driven by both pulmonary artery flow and pressure. Endostatin could be studied as a noninvasive prognostic marker, particularly in APAH‐CHD.

Objective To assess whether circulating interleukin-6 (IL-6) is associated with measures of disease severity and clinical worsening in pediatric pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). Study design IL-6 was measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay in serum samples from a cross-sectional cohort from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension Biobank (n = 175) and a longitudinal cohort from Children's Hospital Colorado (CHC) (n = 61). Associations between IL-6, disease severity, and outcomes were studied with regression and Kaplan–Meier analysis. Results In analyses adjusted for age and sex, each log-unit greater IL-6 was significantly associated in the Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension Biobank cohort with greater pulmonary vascular resistance indices, lower odds of having idiopathic PAH or treatment with prostacyclin, and greater odds of having PAH associated with a repaired congenital shunt. In the CHC cohort, each log-unit greater IL-6 was significantly associated with greater mean pulmonary arterial pressure over time. Kaplan–Meier analysis in the CHC cohort revealed that IL-6 was significantly associated with clinical worsening (a composite score of mortality, transplant, or palliative surgery) (P = .037). Conclusions IL-6 was significantly associated with worse hemodynamics at baseline and over time and may be associated with clinical worsening. IL-6 may provide a less-invasive method for disease monitoring and prognosis in pediatric PAH as well as a potential therapeutic target.

Endostatin (ES) is an angiostatic peptide encoded by Col18a1. Our group has shown that a single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) resulting in a missense mutation in Col18a1 is associated with altered disease severity and survival in PAH. We hypothesized that associations would exist between circulating serum ES levels and 1) clinical metrics of PAH severity, including survival and 2) SNPs in Col18a1. Serum samples and clinical data were obtained from 2,017 adult subjects in the PAH Biobank. Serum ES was measured with an electrochemiluminescent immunosorbent assay. Statistical associations between ES and clinical variables were examined with regression models. Genotyping was performed for protein quantitative trait loci (pQTL) analysis. Each log-unit increase in ES was associated with higher right atrial pressure (1.8 mmHg, 95% CI 1.3-2.3), higher mean pulmonary arterial pressure (2.0 mmHg, 95% CI 0.7 to 3.2), higher pulmonary vascular resistance (1.0 Wood unit, 95% CI 0.4 to 1.5), and lower 6 minute walk distance (-53.5m, 95 % CI -70.7 to -36.2). Mortality doubled for each log-unit increase in ES (2.3, 95% CI 1.6 to 3.4). In pQTL analysis, 4 SNPs in Col18a1 were associated with differences in circulating ES levels (Figure). Increased ES levels are associated with disease severity and survival in PAH, and several SNPs in Col18a1 are associated with differences in circulating ES levels. ES is a genetically-influenced determinant of disease severity in PAH.

The pro-inflammatory cytokine interleukin (IL)-6 has been associated with outcomes in small pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) cohorts composed largely of patients with severe idiopathic PAH (IPAH). It is unclear whether IL-6 is a marker of critical illness or a mechanistic biomarker of pulmonary vascular remodelling. We hypothesised that IL-6 is produced by pulmonary vascular cells and sought to explore IL-6 associations with phenotypes and outcomes across diverse subtypes in a large PAH cohort.IL-6 protein and gene expression levels were measured in cultured pulmonary artery smooth muscle cells (PASMCs) and endothelial cells (PAECs) from PAH patients and healthy controls. Serum IL-6 was measured in 2017 well-characterised PAH subjects representing each PAH subgroup. Relationships between IL-6 levels, clinical variables, and mortality were analysed using regression models.Significantly higher IL-6 protein and gene expression levels were produced by PASMCs than by PAECs in PAH (pIL-6 is released from PASMCs, and circulating IL-6 is associated with specific clinical phenotypes and outcomes in various PAH subgroups, including subjects with less severe disease. IL-6 is a mechanistic biomarker, and thus a potential therapeutic target, in certain PAH subgroups.