1. Age-dependent impact of the major common genetic risk factor for COVID-19 on severity and mortality
- Author
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NordForsk, Academy of Finland, Canadian Institutes of Health Research, Lady Davis Institute, Canada Foundation for Innovation, Cancer Research UK, National Institutes of Health (US), Genome Canada, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, European Commission, Medical Research Council (UK), National Institute for Health Research (UK), Wellcome Trust, German Research Foundation, Federal Ministry of Education and Research (Germany), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Junta de Andalucía, Columbia University, Università degli Studi di Siena, Ministero della Salute, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (España), Swedish Research Council, Technical University of Munich, University of Helsinki, Nakanishi, Tomoko [0000-0001-9510-5646], Pigazzini, Sara [0000-0002-0641-9393], Cordioli, Mattia [0000-0002-4872-0520], Butler-Laporte, Guillaume [0000-0001-5388-0396], Maya-Miles, Douglas [0000-0002-0669-6526], Nafria Jimenez, Beatriz [0000-0002-4698-5680], Bouysran, Youssef [0000-0003-1368-6550], Niemi, Mari [0000-0003-0696-6175], Palom, Adriana [0000-0002-0130-1302], Ellinghaus, David [0000-0002-4332-6110], Khan, Atlas [0000-0002-6651-2725], Martínez-Bueno, Manuel [0000-0002-4333-4487], Roade, Luisa [0000-0002-8160-9613], Fava, Francesca [0000-0002-4363-2353], Spinner, Christoph D. [0000-0002-3875-5367], Prati, Daniele [0000-0002-2281-7498], Bernardo, David [0000-0002-2843-6696], Darcis, Gilles [0000-0001-8192-1351], Fernández-Cadenas, Israel [0000-0003-4821-2363], Holter, Jan Cato [0000-0003-1618-5022], Frithiof, Robert [0000-0003-2278-7951], Kiryluk, Krzysztof [0000-0002-5047-6715], Duga, Stefano [0000-0003-3457-1410], Asselta, Rosanna [0000-0001-5351-0619], Pereira, Alexandre [0000-0002-7782-5540], Romero-Gómez, Manuel [0000-0001-8494-8947], Hov, Johannes R. [0000-0002-5900-8096], Migeotte, Isabelle [0000-0002-8972-8211], Renieri, Alessandra [0000-0002-0846-9220], Planas, Anna M. [0000-0002-6147-1880], Ludwig, Kerstin [0000-0002-8541-2519], Buti, María [0000-0002-0732-3078], Rahmouni, Souad [0000-0003-0956-0242], Alarcón-Riquelme, M. E. [0000-0002-7632-4154], Schulte, Eva C. [0000-0003-3105-5672], Karlsen, Tom H. [0000-0002-8289-9931], Valenti, Luca [0000-0001-8909-0345], Zeberg, Hugo [0000-0001-7118-1249], Richards, Brent [0000-0002-3746-9086], Ganna, Andrea [0000-0002-8147-240X], Nakanishi, Tomoko, Pigazzini, Sara, Degenhardt, Frauke, Cordioli, Mattia, Butler-Laporte, Guillaume, Maya-Miles, Douglas, Nafría-Jiménez, Beatriz, Bouysran, Youssef, Niemi, Mari, Palom, Adriana, Ellinghaus, David, Khan, Atlas, Martínez-Bueno, Manuel, Rolker, Selina, Amitano, Sara, Roade, Luisa, FinnGen, The COVID-19 Host Genetics Initiative, Fava, Francesca, Spinner, Christoph D., Prati, Daniele, Bernardo, David, García, Federico, Darcis, Gilles, Fernández-Cadenas, Israel, Holter, Jan Cato, Banales, Jesús M., Frithiof, Robert, Kiryluk, Krzysztof, Duga, Stefano, Asselta, Rosanna, Pereira, Alexandre, Romero-Gómez, Manuel, Bujanda, Luis, Hov, Johannes R., Migeotte, Isabelle, Renieri, Alessandra, Planas, Anna M., Ludwig, Kerstin, Buti, María, Rahmouni, Souad, Alarcón-Riquelme, Marta E., Schulte, Eva C., Franke, Andre, Karlsen, Tom H., Valenti, Luca, Zeberg, Hugo, Richards, Brent, Ganna, Andrea, NordForsk, Academy of Finland, Canadian Institutes of Health Research, Lady Davis Institute, Canada Foundation for Innovation, Cancer Research UK, National Institutes of Health (US), Genome Canada, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, European Commission, Medical Research Council (UK), National Institute for Health Research (UK), Wellcome Trust, German Research Foundation, Federal Ministry of Education and Research (Germany), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Junta de Andalucía, Columbia University, Università degli Studi di Siena, Ministero della Salute, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (España), Swedish Research Council, Technical University of Munich, University of Helsinki, Nakanishi, Tomoko [0000-0001-9510-5646], Pigazzini, Sara [0000-0002-0641-9393], Cordioli, Mattia [0000-0002-4872-0520], Butler-Laporte, Guillaume [0000-0001-5388-0396], Maya-Miles, Douglas [0000-0002-0669-6526], Nafria Jimenez, Beatriz [0000-0002-4698-5680], Bouysran, Youssef [0000-0003-1368-6550], Niemi, Mari [0000-0003-0696-6175], Palom, Adriana [0000-0002-0130-1302], Ellinghaus, David [0000-0002-4332-6110], Khan, Atlas [0000-0002-6651-2725], Martínez-Bueno, Manuel [0000-0002-4333-4487], Roade, Luisa [0000-0002-8160-9613], Fava, Francesca [0000-0002-4363-2353], Spinner, Christoph D. [0000-0002-3875-5367], Prati, Daniele [0000-0002-2281-7498], Bernardo, David [0000-0002-2843-6696], Darcis, Gilles [0000-0001-8192-1351], Fernández-Cadenas, Israel [0000-0003-4821-2363], Holter, Jan Cato [0000-0003-1618-5022], Frithiof, Robert [0000-0003-2278-7951], Kiryluk, Krzysztof [0000-0002-5047-6715], Duga, Stefano [0000-0003-3457-1410], Asselta, Rosanna [0000-0001-5351-0619], Pereira, Alexandre [0000-0002-7782-5540], Romero-Gómez, Manuel [0000-0001-8494-8947], Hov, Johannes R. [0000-0002-5900-8096], Migeotte, Isabelle [0000-0002-8972-8211], Renieri, Alessandra [0000-0002-0846-9220], Planas, Anna M. [0000-0002-6147-1880], Ludwig, Kerstin [0000-0002-8541-2519], Buti, María [0000-0002-0732-3078], Rahmouni, Souad [0000-0003-0956-0242], Alarcón-Riquelme, M. E. [0000-0002-7632-4154], Schulte, Eva C. [0000-0003-3105-5672], Karlsen, Tom H. [0000-0002-8289-9931], Valenti, Luca [0000-0001-8909-0345], Zeberg, Hugo [0000-0001-7118-1249], Richards, Brent [0000-0002-3746-9086], Ganna, Andrea [0000-0002-8147-240X], Nakanishi, Tomoko, Pigazzini, Sara, Degenhardt, Frauke, Cordioli, Mattia, Butler-Laporte, Guillaume, Maya-Miles, Douglas, Nafría-Jiménez, Beatriz, Bouysran, Youssef, Niemi, Mari, Palom, Adriana, Ellinghaus, David, Khan, Atlas, Martínez-Bueno, Manuel, Rolker, Selina, Amitano, Sara, Roade, Luisa, FinnGen, The COVID-19 Host Genetics Initiative, Fava, Francesca, Spinner, Christoph D., Prati, Daniele, Bernardo, David, García, Federico, Darcis, Gilles, Fernández-Cadenas, Israel, Holter, Jan Cato, Banales, Jesús M., Frithiof, Robert, Kiryluk, Krzysztof, Duga, Stefano, Asselta, Rosanna, Pereira, Alexandre, Romero-Gómez, Manuel, Bujanda, Luis, Hov, Johannes R., Migeotte, Isabelle, Renieri, Alessandra, Planas, Anna M., Ludwig, Kerstin, Buti, María, Rahmouni, Souad, Alarcón-Riquelme, Marta E., Schulte, Eva C., Franke, Andre, Karlsen, Tom H., Valenti, Luca, Zeberg, Hugo, Richards, Brent, and Ganna, Andrea
- Abstract
Background There is considerable variability in COVID-19 outcomes amongst younger adults—and some of this variation may be due to genetic predisposition. We characterized the clinical implications of the major genetic risk factor for COVID-19 severity, and its age-dependent effect, using individual-level data in a large international multi-centre consortium. Method The major common COVID-19 genetic risk factor is a chromosome 3 locus, tagged by the marker rs10490770. We combined individual level data for 13,424 COVID-19 positive patients (N=6,689 hospitalized) from 17 cohorts in nine countries to assess the association of this genetic marker with mortality, COVID-19-related complications and laboratory values. We next examined if the magnitude of these associations varied by age and were independent from known clinical COVID-19 risk factors. Findings We found that rs10490770 risk allele carriers experienced an increased risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1·4, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1·2–1·6) and COVID-19 related mortality (HR 1·5, 95%CI 1·3–1·8). Risk allele carriers had increased odds of several COVID-19 complications: severe respiratory failure (odds ratio [OR] 2·0, 95%CI 1·6-2·6), venous thromboembolism (OR 1·7, 95%CI 1·2-2·4), and hepatic injury (OR 1·6, 95%CI 1·2-2·0). Risk allele carriers ≤ 60 years had higher odds of death or severe respiratory failure (OR 2·6, 95%CI 1·8-3·9) compared to those > 60 years OR 1·5 (95%CI 1·3-1·9, interaction p-value=0·04). Amongst individuals ≤ 60 years who died or experienced severe respiratory COVID-19 outcome, we found that 31·8% (95%CI 27·6-36·2) were risk variant carriers, compared to 13·9% (95%CI 12·6-15·2%) of those not experiencing these outcomes. Prediction of death or severe respiratory failure among those ≤ 60 years improved when including the risk allele (AUC 0·82 vs 0·84, p=0·016) and the prediction ability of rs10490770 risk allele was similar to, or better than, most established clinical risk fact
- Published
- 2021