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A number of trends will spur changes in library collection development in the last few years of the 20th century. Declining budgets, for instance, will lead to the merging of departments and outsourcing of functions such as cataloging while the increased variety of collection resources will require libraries to provide easy access to available information and materials. A scenario of the academic library in the year 2010 is described.

How does the organizational climate of today's research library affect collection development? How is the climate of the library affected by the larger institutional climate? What is the impact on collection development and the role of the bibliographer? The article looks at general management theory on change and applies that theory to the role of the bibliographer in a changing environment. The bibliographer is viewed as an important contributor in defining organizational goals. The bibliographer, as any library manager, has the skills and perception to navigate the "permanent white water" in coping with change. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]