Search

Your search keyword '"Kolp, Peter"' showing total 30 results
Start Over Author "Kolp, Peter"
30 results on '"Kolp, Peter"'

2. The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century

Author

Fricko, Oliver, Havlik, Petr, Rogelj, Joeri, Klimont, Zbigniew, Gusti, Mykola, Johnson, Nils, Kolp, Peter, Strubegger, Manfred, Valin, Hugo, Amann, Markus, Ermolieva, Tatiana, Forsell, Nicklas, Herrero, Mario, Heyes, Chris, Kindermann, Georg, Krey, Volker, McCollum, David L., Obersteiner, Michael, Pachauri, Shonali, Rao, Shilpa, Schmid, Erwin, Schoepp, Wolfgang, and Riahi, Keywan

Published
2017
Full Text
View/download PDF

5. Corrigendum: Air quality and health implications of 1.5 °C–2 °C climate pathways under considerations of ageing population: a multi-model scenario analysis (2021 Environ. Res. Lett. 16 045005)

Author

Rafaj, Peter, Kiesewetter, Gregor, Krey, Volker, Schoepp, Wolfgang, Bertram, Christoph, Drouet, Laurent, Fricko, Oliver, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Harmsen, Mathijs, Hilaire, Jérôme, Huppmann, Daniel, Klimont, Zbigniew, Kolp, Peter, Aleluia Reis, Lara, Van Vuuren, Detlef, and Environmental Sciences

Subjects
Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment, Environmental Science(all), Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health
Published
2021

6. Integrated assessment model diagnostics

Author

Harmsen, Mathijs, Kriegler, Elmar, van Vuuren, Detlef P., van der Wijst, Kaj-Ivar, Luderer, Gunnar, Cui, Ryna, Dessens, Olivier, Drouet, Laurent, Emmerling, Johannes, Morris, Jennifer Faye, Fosse, Florian, Fragkiadakis, Dimitris, Fragkiadakis, Kostas, Fragkos, Panagiotis, Fricko, Oliver, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Gernaat, David, Guivarch, Celine, Iyer, Gokul, Karkatsoulis, Panagiotis, Keppo, Ilkka, Keramidas, Kimon, Koberle, Alexandre, Kolp, Peter, Krey, Volker, Kruger, Christoph, Leblanc, Florian, Mittal, Shivika, Paltsev, Sergey, Rochedo, Pedro, van Ruijven, Bas J., Sands, Ronald D., Sano, Fuminori, Strefler, Jessica, Arroyo, Eveline Vasquez, Wada, Kenichi, Zakeri, Behnam, Energy efficiency and systems, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Aalto-yliopisto, and Aalto University

Subjects
mitigation, diagnostics, AR6, climate policy, integrated assessment models, 6th Assessment Report IPCC, renewable energy
Abstract

openaire: EC/H2020/821124/EU//NAVIGATE Integrated assessment models (IAMs) form a prime tool in informing about climate mitigation strategies. Diagnostic indicators that allow comparison across these models can help describe and explain differences in model projections. This increases transparency and comparability. Earlier, the IAM community has developed an approach to diagnose models (Kriegler (2015 Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 90 45-61)). Here we build on this, by proposing a selected set of well-defined indicators as a community standard, to systematically and routinely assess IAM behaviour, similar to metrics used for other modeling communities such as climate models. These indicators are the relative abatement index, emission reduction type index, inertia timescale, fossil fuel reduction, transformation index and cost per abatement value. We apply the approach to 17 IAMs, assessing both older as well as their latest versions, as applied in the IPCC 6th Assessment Report. The study shows that the approach can be easily applied and used to indentify key differences between models and model versions. Moreover, we demonstrate that this comparison helps to link model behavior to model characteristics and assumptions. We show that together, the set of six indicators can provide useful indication of the main traits of the model and can roughly indicate the general model behavior. The results also show that there is often a considerable spread across the models. Interestingly, the diagnostic values often change for different model versions, but there does not seem to be a distinct trend.

Published
2021

7. Air quality and health implications of 1.5 °c-2 °c climate pathways under considerations of ageing population

Author

Rafaj, Peter, Kiesewetter, Gregor, Krey, Volker, Schöpp, Wolfgang, Bertram, Christoph, Drouet, Laurent, Fricko, Oliver, Shinichiro, Fujimori, Harmsen, Mathijs, Hilaire, Jerome, Huppmann, Daniel, Klimont, Zbigniew, Kolp, Peter, Aleluia Reis, Lara, van Vuuren, Detlef P., and Environmental Sciences

Subjects
Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment, Environmental Science(all), air pollution, co-benefits, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, low-carbon pathways, Paris Agreement, population ageing, health impacts
Abstract

Low-carbon pathways consistent with the 2 °C and 1.5 °C long-term climate goals defined in the Paris Agreement are likely to induce substantial co-benefits for air pollution and associated health impacts. In this analysis, using five global integrated assessment models, we quantify the emission reductions in key air pollutants resulting from the decarbonization of energy systems and the resulting changes in premature mortality attributed to the exposure to ambient concentrations of fine particulate matter. The emission reductions differ by sectors. Sulfur emissions are mainly reduced from power plants and industry, cuts in nitrogen oxides are dominated by the transport sector, and the largest abatement of primary fine particles is achieved in the residential sector. The analysis also shows that health benefits are the largest when policies addressing climate change mitigation and stringent air pollution controls are coordinated. We decompose the key factors that determine the extent of health co-benefits, focusing on Asia: changes in emissions, urbanization rates, population growth and ageing. Demographic processes, particularly due to ageing population, counteract in many regions the mortality reductions realized through lower emissions.

Published
2021

9. Integrated assessment model diagnostics: Key indicators and model evolution

Author

Harmsen, Mathijs, Kriegler, Elmar, Van Vuuren, Detlef P., Van Der Wijst, Kaj Ivar, Luderer, Gunnar, Cui, Ryna, Dessens, Olivier, Drouet, Laurent, Emmerling, Johannes, Morris, Jennifer Faye, Fosse, Florian, Fragkiadakis, Dimitris, Fragkiadakis, Kostas, Fragkos, Panagiotis, Fricko, Oliver, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Gernaat, David, Guivarch, Céline, Iyer, Gokul, Karkatsoulis, Panagiotis, Keppo, Ilkka, Keramidas, Kimon, Köberle, Alexandre, Kolp, Peter, Krey, Volker, Krüger, Christoph, Leblanc, Florian, Mittal, Shivika, Paltsev, Sergey, Rochedo, Pedro, Van Ruijven, Bas J., Sands, Ronald D., Sano, Fuminori, Strefler, Jessica, Arroyo, Eveline Vasquez, Wada, Kenichi, Zakeri, Behnam, Harmsen, Mathijs, Kriegler, Elmar, Van Vuuren, Detlef P., Van Der Wijst, Kaj Ivar, Luderer, Gunnar, Cui, Ryna, Dessens, Olivier, Drouet, Laurent, Emmerling, Johannes, Morris, Jennifer Faye, Fosse, Florian, Fragkiadakis, Dimitris, Fragkiadakis, Kostas, Fragkos, Panagiotis, Fricko, Oliver, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Gernaat, David, Guivarch, Céline, Iyer, Gokul, Karkatsoulis, Panagiotis, Keppo, Ilkka, Keramidas, Kimon, Köberle, Alexandre, Kolp, Peter, Krey, Volker, Krüger, Christoph, Leblanc, Florian, Mittal, Shivika, Paltsev, Sergey, Rochedo, Pedro, Van Ruijven, Bas J., Sands, Ronald D., Sano, Fuminori, Strefler, Jessica, Arroyo, Eveline Vasquez, Wada, Kenichi, and Zakeri, Behnam

Abstract

Integrated assessment models (IAMs) form a prime tool in informing about climate mitigation strategies. Diagnostic indicators that allow comparison across these models can help describe and explain differences in model projections. This increases transparency and comparability. Earlier, the IAM community has developed an approach to diagnose models (Kriegler (2015 Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 90 45-61)). Here we build on this, by proposing a selected set of well-defined indicators as a community standard, to systematically and routinely assess IAM behaviour, similar to metrics used for other modeling communities such as climate models. These indicators are the relative abatement index, emission reduction type index, inertia timescale, fossil fuel reduction, transformation index and cost per abatement value. We apply the approach to 17 IAMs, assessing both older as well as their latest versions, as applied in the IPCC 6th Assessment Report. The study shows that the approach can be easily applied and used to indentify key differences between models and model versions. Moreover, we demonstrate that this comparison helps to link model behavior to model characteristics and assumptions. We show that together, the set of six indicators can provide useful indication of the main traits of the model and can roughly indicate the general model behavior. The results also show that there is often a considerable spread across the models. Interestingly, the diagnostic values often change for different model versions, but there does not seem to be a distinct trend.

Published
2021

10. Corrigendum: Air quality and health implications of 1.5 °C–2 °C climate pathways under considerations of ageing population: a multi-model scenario analysis (2021 Environ. Res. Lett. 16 045005)

Author

Environmental Sciences, Rafaj, Peter, Kiesewetter, Gregor, Krey, Volker, Schoepp, Wolfgang, Bertram, Christoph, Drouet, Laurent, Fricko, Oliver, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Harmsen, Mathijs, Hilaire, Jérôme, Huppmann, Daniel, Klimont, Zbigniew, Kolp, Peter, Aleluia Reis, Lara, Van Vuuren, Detlef, Environmental Sciences, Rafaj, Peter, Kiesewetter, Gregor, Krey, Volker, Schoepp, Wolfgang, Bertram, Christoph, Drouet, Laurent, Fricko, Oliver, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Harmsen, Mathijs, Hilaire, Jérôme, Huppmann, Daniel, Klimont, Zbigniew, Kolp, Peter, Aleluia Reis, Lara, and Van Vuuren, Detlef

Published
2021

11. Integrated assessment model diagnostics: Key indicators and model evolution

Author

Environmental Sciences, Harmsen, Mathijs, Kriegler, Elmar, Van Vuuren, Detlef P., Van Der Wijst, Kaj Ivar, Luderer, Gunnar, Cui, Ryna, Dessens, Olivier, Drouet, Laurent, Emmerling, Johannes, Morris, Jennifer Faye, Fosse, Florian, Fragkiadakis, Dimitris, Fragkiadakis, Kostas, Fragkos, Panagiotis, Fricko, Oliver, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Gernaat, David, Guivarch, Céline, Iyer, Gokul, Karkatsoulis, Panagiotis, Keppo, Ilkka, Keramidas, Kimon, Köberle, Alexandre, Kolp, Peter, Krey, Volker, Krüger, Christoph, Leblanc, Florian, Mittal, Shivika, Paltsev, Sergey, Rochedo, Pedro, Van Ruijven, Bas J., Sands, Ronald D., Sano, Fuminori, Strefler, Jessica, Arroyo, Eveline Vasquez, Wada, Kenichi, Zakeri, Behnam, Environmental Sciences, Harmsen, Mathijs, Kriegler, Elmar, Van Vuuren, Detlef P., Van Der Wijst, Kaj Ivar, Luderer, Gunnar, Cui, Ryna, Dessens, Olivier, Drouet, Laurent, Emmerling, Johannes, Morris, Jennifer Faye, Fosse, Florian, Fragkiadakis, Dimitris, Fragkiadakis, Kostas, Fragkos, Panagiotis, Fricko, Oliver, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Gernaat, David, Guivarch, Céline, Iyer, Gokul, Karkatsoulis, Panagiotis, Keppo, Ilkka, Keramidas, Kimon, Köberle, Alexandre, Kolp, Peter, Krey, Volker, Krüger, Christoph, Leblanc, Florian, Mittal, Shivika, Paltsev, Sergey, Rochedo, Pedro, Van Ruijven, Bas J., Sands, Ronald D., Sano, Fuminori, Strefler, Jessica, Arroyo, Eveline Vasquez, Wada, Kenichi, and Zakeri, Behnam

Published
2021

12. Air quality and health implications of 1.5 °c-2 °c climate pathways under considerations of ageing population

Author

Environmental Sciences, Rafaj, Peter, Kiesewetter, Gregor, Krey, Volker, Schöpp, Wolfgang, Bertram, Christoph, Drouet, Laurent, Fricko, Oliver, Shinichiro, Fujimori, Harmsen, Mathijs, Hilaire, Jerome, Huppmann, Daniel, Klimont, Zbigniew, Kolp, Peter, Aleluia Reis, Lara, van Vuuren, Detlef P., Environmental Sciences, Rafaj, Peter, Kiesewetter, Gregor, Krey, Volker, Schöpp, Wolfgang, Bertram, Christoph, Drouet, Laurent, Fricko, Oliver, Shinichiro, Fujimori, Harmsen, Mathijs, Hilaire, Jerome, Huppmann, Daniel, Klimont, Zbigniew, Kolp, Peter, Aleluia Reis, Lara, and van Vuuren, Detlef P.

Published
2021

14. Corrigendum: Air quality and health implications of 1.5 °C–2 °C climate pathways under considerations of ageing population: a multi-model scenario analysis (2021 Environ. Res. Lett. 16 045005)

Author

Rafaj, Peter, primary, Kiesewetter, Gregor, additional, Krey, Volker, additional, Schoepp, Wolfgang, additional, Bertram, Christoph, additional, Drouet, Laurent, additional, Fricko, Oliver, additional, Fujimori, Shinichiro, additional, Harmsen, Mathijs, additional, Hilaire, Jérôme, additional, Huppmann, Daniel, additional, Klimont, Zbigniew, additional, Kolp, Peter, additional, Aleluia Reis, Lara, additional, and van Vuuren, Detlef, additional

Published
2021
Full Text
View/download PDF

15. Integrated assessment model diagnostics: key indicators and model evolution

Author

Harmsen, Mathijs, primary, Kriegler, Elmar, additional, van Vuuren, Detlef P, additional, van der Wijst, Kaj-Ivar, additional, Luderer, Gunnar, additional, Cui, Ryna, additional, Dessens, Olivier, additional, Drouet, Laurent, additional, Emmerling, Johannes, additional, Morris, Jennifer Faye, additional, Fosse, Florian, additional, Fragkiadakis, Dimitris, additional, Fragkiadakis, Kostas, additional, Fragkos, Panagiotis, additional, Fricko, Oliver, additional, Fujimori, Shinichiro, additional, Gernaat, David, additional, Guivarch, Céline, additional, Iyer, Gokul, additional, Karkatsoulis, Panagiotis, additional, Keppo, Ilkka, additional, Keramidas, Kimon, additional, Köberle, Alexandre, additional, Kolp, Peter, additional, Krey, Volker, additional, Krüger, Christoph, additional, Leblanc, Florian, additional, Mittal, Shivika, additional, Paltsev, Sergey, additional, Rochedo, Pedro, additional, van Ruijven, Bas J, additional, Sands, Ronald D, additional, Sano, Fuminori, additional, Strefler, Jessica, additional, Arroyo, Eveline Vasquez, additional, Wada, Kenichi, additional, and Zakeri, Behnam, additional

Published
2021
Full Text
View/download PDF

17. Air quality and health implications of 1.5 °C–2 °C climate pathways under considerations of ageing population: a multi-model scenario analysis

Author

Rafaj, Peter, primary, Kiesewetter, Gregor, additional, Krey, Volker, additional, Schoepp, Wolfgang, additional, Bertram, Christoph, additional, Drouet, Laurent, additional, Fricko, Oliver, additional, Fujimori, Shinichiro, additional, Harmsen, Mathijs, additional, Hilaire, Jérôme, additional, Huppmann, Daniel, additional, Klimont, Zbigniew, additional, Kolp, Peter, additional, Aleluia Reis, Lara, additional, and van Vuuren, Detlef, additional

Published
2021
Full Text
View/download PDF

18. Looking under the hood: A comparison of techno-economic assumptions across national and global integrated assessment models

Author

80585836, 00601569, Krey, Volker, Guo, Fei, Kolp, Peter, Zhou, Wenji, Schaeffer, Roberto, Awasthy, Aayushi, Bertram, Christoph, Boer, Harmen-Sytze de, Fragkos, Panagiotis, Fujimori, Shinichiro, He, Chenmin, Iyer, Gokul, Keramidas, Kimon, Koberlec, Alexandre C., Oshiro, Ken, Reis, Lara Aleluia, Shoai-Tehrani, Bianka, Vishwanathan, Saritha, Capros, Pantelis, Drouet, Laurent, Edmonds, James E., Garg, Amit, Gernaat, David E.H.J., Jiang, Kejun, Kannavou, Maria, Kitous, Alban, Kriegler, Elmar, Luderer, Gunnar, Mathur, Ritu, Muratori, Matteo, Sano, Fuminori, Vuuren, Detlef P. van, 80585836, 00601569, Krey, Volker, Guo, Fei, Kolp, Peter, Zhou, Wenji, Schaeffer, Roberto, Awasthy, Aayushi, Bertram, Christoph, Boer, Harmen-Sytze de, Fragkos, Panagiotis, Fujimori, Shinichiro, He, Chenmin, Iyer, Gokul, Keramidas, Kimon, Koberlec, Alexandre C., Oshiro, Ken, Reis, Lara Aleluia, Shoai-Tehrani, Bianka, Vishwanathan, Saritha, Capros, Pantelis, Drouet, Laurent, Edmonds, James E., Garg, Amit, Gernaat, David E.H.J., Jiang, Kejun, Kannavou, Maria, Kitous, Alban, Kriegler, Elmar, Luderer, Gunnar, Mathur, Ritu, Muratori, Matteo, Sano, Fuminori, and Vuuren, Detlef P. van

Abstract

Integrated assessment models are extensively used in the analysis of climate change mitigation and are informing national decision makers as well as contribute to international scientific assessments. This paper conducts a comprehensive review of techno-economic assumptions in the electricity sector among fifteen different global and national integrated assessment models. Particular focus is given to six major economies in the world: Brazil, China, the EU, India, Japan and the US. The comparison reveals that techno-economic characteristics are quite different across integrated assessment models, both for the base year and future years. It is, however, important to recognize that techno-economic assessments from the literature exhibit an equally large range of parameters as the integrated assessment models reviewed. Beyond numerical differences, the representation of technologies also differs among models, which needs to be taken into account when comparing numerical parameters. While desirable, it seems difficult to fully harmonize techno-economic parameters across a broader range of models due to structural differences in the representation of technology. Therefore, making techno-economic parameters available in the future, together with of the technology representation as well as the exact definitions of the parameters should become the standard approach as it allows an open discussion of appropriate assumptions.

Published
2019

19. Looking under the hood: A comparison of techno-economic assumptions across national and global integrated assessment models

Author

Krey, Volker, Guo, Fei, Kolp, Peter, Zhou, Wenji, Schaeffer, Roberto, Awasthy, Aayushi, Bertram, Christoph, de Boer, Harmen Sytze, Fragkos, Panagiotis, Fujimori, Shinichiro, He, Chenmin, Iyer, Gokul, Keramidas, Kimon, Köberle, Alexandre C., Oshiro, Ken, Reis, Lara Aleluia, Shoai-Tehrani, Bianka, Vishwanathan, Saritha, Capros, Pantelis, Drouet, Laurent, Edmonds, James E., Garg, Amit, Gernaat, David E.H.J., Jiang, Kejun, Kannavou, Maria, Kitous, Alban, Kriegler, Elmar, Luderer, Gunnar, Mathur, Ritu, Muratori, Matteo, Sano, Fuminori, van Vuuren, Detlef P., Krey, Volker, Guo, Fei, Kolp, Peter, Zhou, Wenji, Schaeffer, Roberto, Awasthy, Aayushi, Bertram, Christoph, de Boer, Harmen Sytze, Fragkos, Panagiotis, Fujimori, Shinichiro, He, Chenmin, Iyer, Gokul, Keramidas, Kimon, Köberle, Alexandre C., Oshiro, Ken, Reis, Lara Aleluia, Shoai-Tehrani, Bianka, Vishwanathan, Saritha, Capros, Pantelis, Drouet, Laurent, Edmonds, James E., Garg, Amit, Gernaat, David E.H.J., Jiang, Kejun, Kannavou, Maria, Kitous, Alban, Kriegler, Elmar, Luderer, Gunnar, Mathur, Ritu, Muratori, Matteo, Sano, Fuminori, and van Vuuren, Detlef P.

Abstract

Integrated assessment models are extensively used in the analysis of climate change mitigation and are informing national decision makers as well as contribute to international scientific assessments. This paper conducts a comprehensive review of techno-economic assumptions in the electricity sector among fifteen different global and national integrated assessment models. Particular focus is given to six major economies in the world: Brazil, China, the EU, India, Japan and the US. The comparison reveals that techno-economic characteristics are quite different across integrated assessment models, both for the base year and future years. It is, however, important to recognize that techno-economic assessments from the literature exhibit an equally large range of parameters as the integrated assessment models reviewed. Beyond numerical differences, the representation of technologies also differs among models, which needs to be taken into account when comparing numerical parameters. While desirable, it seems difficult to fully harmonize techno-economic parameters across a broader range of models due to structural differences in the representation of technology. Therefore, making techno-economic parameters available in the future, together with of the technology representation as well as the exact definitions of the parameters should become the standard approach as it allows an open discussion of appropriate assumptions.

Published
2019

20. Looking under the hood: A comparison of techno-economic assumptions across national and global integrated assessment models

Author

Environmental Sciences, Krey, Volker, Guo, Fei, Kolp, Peter, Zhou, Wenji, Schaeffer, Roberto, Awasthy, Aayushi, Bertram, Christoph, de Boer, Harmen Sytze, Fragkos, Panagiotis, Fujimori, Shinichiro, He, Chenmin, Iyer, Gokul, Keramidas, Kimon, Köberle, Alexandre C., Oshiro, Ken, Reis, Lara Aleluia, Shoai-Tehrani, Bianka, Vishwanathan, Saritha, Capros, Pantelis, Drouet, Laurent, Edmonds, James E., Garg, Amit, Gernaat, David E.H.J., Jiang, Kejun, Kannavou, Maria, Kitous, Alban, Kriegler, Elmar, Luderer, Gunnar, Mathur, Ritu, Muratori, Matteo, Sano, Fuminori, van Vuuren, Detlef P., Environmental Sciences, Krey, Volker, Guo, Fei, Kolp, Peter, Zhou, Wenji, Schaeffer, Roberto, Awasthy, Aayushi, Bertram, Christoph, de Boer, Harmen Sytze, Fragkos, Panagiotis, Fujimori, Shinichiro, He, Chenmin, Iyer, Gokul, Keramidas, Kimon, Köberle, Alexandre C., Oshiro, Ken, Reis, Lara Aleluia, Shoai-Tehrani, Bianka, Vishwanathan, Saritha, Capros, Pantelis, Drouet, Laurent, Edmonds, James E., Garg, Amit, Gernaat, David E.H.J., Jiang, Kejun, Kannavou, Maria, Kitous, Alban, Kriegler, Elmar, Luderer, Gunnar, Mathur, Ritu, Muratori, Matteo, Sano, Fuminori, and van Vuuren, Detlef P.

Published
2019

21. Looking under the hood: A comparison of techno-economic assumptions across national and global integrated assessment models

Author

Krey, Volker, primary, Guo, Fei, additional, Kolp, Peter, additional, Zhou, Wenji, additional, Schaeffer, Roberto, additional, Awasthy, Aayushi, additional, Bertram, Christoph, additional, de Boer, Harmen-Sytze, additional, Fragkos, Panagiotis, additional, Fujimori, Shinichiro, additional, He, Chenmin, additional, Iyer, Gokul, additional, Keramidas, Kimon, additional, Köberle, Alexandre C., additional, Oshiro, Ken, additional, Reis, Lara Aleluia, additional, Shoai-Tehrani, Bianka, additional, Vishwanathan, Saritha, additional, Capros, Pantelis, additional, Drouet, Laurent, additional, Edmonds, James E., additional, Garg, Amit, additional, Gernaat, David E.H.J., additional, Jiang, Kejun, additional, Kannavou, Maria, additional, Kitous, Alban, additional, Kriegler, Elmar, additional, Luderer, Gunnar, additional, Mathur, Ritu, additional, Muratori, Matteo, additional, Sano, Fuminori, additional, and van Vuuren, Detlef P., additional

Published
2019
Full Text
View/download PDF

22. Regional Low-Emission Pathways from Global Models

Author

van Soest, Heleen, Reis, Lara Aleluia, van Vuuren, Detlef, Bertram, Christoph, Drouet, Laurent, Jewell, Jessica, Kriegler, Elmar, Luderer, Gunnar, Riahi, Keywan, Rogelj, Joeri, Tavoni, Massimo, den Elzen, Michel, Awasthy, Aayushi, Calvin, Katherine, Capros, Pantelis, Clarke, Leon, Colombier, Michel, Fei, Teng, Garg, Amit, Guedes, Fernanda, Imperio, Mariana, Kainuma, Mikiko, Kejun, Jiang, Köberle, Alexandre C., Kolp, Peter, Krey, Volker, Kitous, Alban, Leonidas, Paroussos, Lucena, Andre, Masui, Toshihiko, Nogueira, Larissa, Pierfederici, Roberta, Saveyn, Bert, Schaeffer, Roberto, Sha, Fu, Shoai, Bianka, Shukla, P.R., Spencer, Thomas, Szklo, Alexandre, and Waisman, Henri

Subjects
Q54, Mitigation, Climate policy, ddc:330, Global and national policy comparison
Abstract

Governments worldwide have agreed that international climate policy should aim to limit the increase of global mean temperature to less than 2oC with respect to pre-industrial levels. The purpose of this paper is to analyse the emission reductions and related energy system changes in various countries in pathways consistent with the 2oC target. We synthesize and provide an overview of the national and regional information contained in different scenarios from various global models published over the last few years, as well as yet unpublished scenarios submitted by modelling teams participating in the MILES project (Modelling and Informing Low-Emission Strategies). We find that emissions in the mitigation scenarios are significantly reduced in all regions compared to the baseline without climate policies. The regional cumulative CO2 emissions show on average a 76% reduction between the baseline and 450 scenario. The 450 scenarios show a reduction of primary energy demand in all countries of roughly 30-40% compared to the baseline. In the baseline scenario, the contribution of low-carbon energy technology remains around 15%, i.e. similar as today. In the mitigation scenario, these numbers are scaled up rapidly towards 2050. Looking at air quality, sulphur dioxide and black carbon emissions are strongly reduced as a co-benefit of greenhouse gas emission reductions, in both developing and developed countries. However, black carbon emissions increase in countries that strongly rely on bioenergy to reach mitigation targets. Concerning energy security, energy importing countries generally experience a decrease in net-energy imports in mitigation scenarios compared to the baseline development, while energy exporters experience a loss of energy export revenues.

Published
2015

23. Assessing Pathways toward Ambitious Climate Targets at the Global and European Levels: A synthesis of results from the AMPERE project

Author

Bosetti, Valentina, Capros, Pantelis, Detlef, P Van Vuuren, Criqui, Patrick, Egenhofer, Christian, Panagiotis, Fragkos, Nils, Paroussos, Leonidas, Behrens, Arno, Kriegler, Elmar, Keywan Riahi, Petermann, Nils, Van, Detlef P, Vuuren Patrick, Criqui Acknowledgement, Bertram, Christoph, Kolp, Peter, and Rieck, Jenny

Published
2014
Full Text
View/download PDF

24. Regional Low-Emission Pathways from Global Models

Author

Van Soest, Heleen, primary, Reis, Lara Aleluia, additional, van Vuuren, Detlef P., additional, Bertram, Christoph, additional, Drouet, Laurent, additional, Jewell, Jessica, additional, Kriegler, Elmar, additional, Luderer, Gunnar, additional, Riahi, Keywan, additional, Rogelj, Joeri, additional, Tavoni, Massimo, additional, Elzen, Michel Den, additional, Awasthy, Aayushi, additional, Calvin, Katherine, additional, Capros, Pantelis, additional, Clarke, Leon, additional, Colombier, Michel, additional, Teng, Fei, additional, Garg, Amit Kumar, additional, Guedes, Fernanda, additional, Imperio, Mariana, additional, Kainuma, Mikiko, additional, Jiang, Kejun, additional, Koberle, Alex, additional, Kolp, Peter, additional, Krey, Volker, additional, Kitous, Alban, additional, Paroussos, Leonidas, additional, Lucena, Andre, additional, Masui, Toshihiko, additional, Nogueira, Larissa, additional, Pierfederici, Roberta, additional, Saveyn, Bert, additional, Schaeffer, Roberto, additional, Fu, Sha, additional, Shoai, Bianka, additional, Spencer, Thomas A., additional, Shukla, P.R., additional, Szklo, Alexandre, additional, and Waisman, Henri, additional

Published
2016
Full Text
View/download PDF

25. Energy Primer

Author

Grubler, Arnulf, primary, Johansson, Thomas B., additional, Mundaca, Luis, additional, Nakicenovic, Nebojsa, additional, Pachauri, Shonali, additional, Riahi, Keywan, additional, Rogner, Hans-Holger, additional, Strupeit, Lars, additional, Kolp, Peter, additional, Krey, Volker, additional, Macknick, Jordan, additional, Nagai, Yu, additional, Rogner, Mathis L., additional, Smith, Kirk R., additional, Steen-Olsen, Kjartan, additional, Weinzettel, Jan, additional, and Davidson, Ogunlade, additional

Full Text
View/download PDF

26. Energy Pathways for Sustainable Development

Author

Riahi, Keywan, primary, Dentener, Frank, additional, Gielen, Dolf, additional, Grubler, Arnulf, additional, Jewell, Jessica, additional, Klimont, Zbigniew, additional, Krey, Volker, additional, McCollum, David, additional, Pachauri, Shonali, additional, Rao, Shilpa, additional, Ruijven, Bas van, additional, van Vuuren, Detlef P., additional, Wilson, Charlie, additional, Isaac, Morna, additional, Jaccard, Mark, additional, Kobayashi, Shigeki, additional, Kolp, Peter, additional, Larson, Eric D., additional, Nagai, Yu, additional, Purohit, Pallav, additional, Schers, Jules, additional, Ürge-Vorsatz, Diana, additional, van Dingenen, Rita, additional, van Vliet, Oscar, additional, and Morgan, Granger, additional

Full Text
View/download PDF

27. Energy Pathways for Sustainable Development

Author

Riahi, Keywan, Dentener, Frank, Gielen, Dolf, Grubler, Arnulf, Jewell, Jessica, Klimont, Zbigniew, Krey, Volker, McCollum, David, Pachauri, Shonali, Rao, Shilpa, Ruijven, Bas van, van Vuuren, Detlef P., Wilson, Charlie, Isaac, Morna, Jaccard, Mark, Kobayashi, Shigeki, Kolp, Peter, Larson, Eric D., Nagai, Yu, Purohit, Pallav, Schers, Jules, Ürge-Vorsatz, Diana, van Dingenen, Rita, van Vliet, Oscar, Morgan, Granger, Riahi, Keywan, Dentener, Frank, Gielen, Dolf, Grubler, Arnulf, Jewell, Jessica, Klimont, Zbigniew, Krey, Volker, McCollum, David, Pachauri, Shonali, Rao, Shilpa, Ruijven, Bas van, van Vuuren, Detlef P., Wilson, Charlie, Isaac, Morna, Jaccard, Mark, Kobayashi, Shigeki, Kolp, Peter, Larson, Eric D., Nagai, Yu, Purohit, Pallav, Schers, Jules, Ürge-Vorsatz, Diana, van Dingenen, Rita, van Vliet, Oscar, and Morgan, Granger

Abstract

Chapter 17 explores possible transformational pathways of the future global energy system with the overarching aim of assessing the technological feasibility as well as the economic implications of meeting a range of sustainability objectives simultaneously. As such, it aims at the integration across objectives, and thus goes beyond earlier assessments of the future energy system that have mostly focused on either specific topics or single objectives. Specifically, the chapter assesses technical measures, policies, and related costs and benefits for meeting the objectives that were identified in Chapters 2 to 6 , including: • • • • providing almost universal access to affordable clean cooking and electricity for the poor1 ; limiting air pollution and health damages from energy use; improving energy security throughout the world; and limiting climate change.

Published
2012

28. Energy Pathways for Sustainable Development

Author

Sub Geodnst Algemeen Externen, Sub IMW afd MNW 3e geldstroom, Research Support Office, Johansson, T.B., Patwardhan, A., Nakicenovic, N., Gomes-Echeverri, L., Riahi, Keywan, Dentener, Frank, Gielen, Dolf, Grubler, Arnulf, Jewell, Jessica, Klimont, Zbigniew, Krey, Volker, McCollum, David, Pachauri, Shonali, Rao, Shilpa, Ruijven, Bas van, van Vuuren, Detlef P., Wilson, Charlie, Isaac, Morna, Jaccard, Mark, Kobayashi, Shigeki, Kolp, Peter, Larson, Eric D., Nagai, Yu, Purohit, Pallav, Schers, Jules, Ürge-Vorsatz, Diana, van Dingenen, Rita, van Vliet, Oscar, Morgan, Granger, Sub Geodnst Algemeen Externen, Sub IMW afd MNW 3e geldstroom, Research Support Office, Johansson, T.B., Patwardhan, A., Nakicenovic, N., Gomes-Echeverri, L., Riahi, Keywan, Dentener, Frank, Gielen, Dolf, Grubler, Arnulf, Jewell, Jessica, Klimont, Zbigniew, Krey, Volker, McCollum, David, Pachauri, Shonali, Rao, Shilpa, Ruijven, Bas van, van Vuuren, Detlef P., Wilson, Charlie, Isaac, Morna, Jaccard, Mark, Kobayashi, Shigeki, Kolp, Peter, Larson, Eric D., Nagai, Yu, Purohit, Pallav, Schers, Jules, Ürge-Vorsatz, Diana, van Dingenen, Rita, van Vliet, Oscar, and Morgan, Granger

Published
2012

30. Corrigendum: Air quality and health implications of 1.5 °Câ€"2 °C climate pathways under considerations of ageing population: a multi-model scenario analysis (2021 Environ. Res. Lett. 16 045005).

Author

Rafaj, Peter, Kiesewetter, Gregor, Krey, Volker, Schoepp, Wolfgang, Bertram, Christoph, Drouet, Laurent, Fricko, Oliver, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Harmsen, Mathijs, Hilaire, JĂ©rĂ´me, Huppmann, Daniel, Klimont, Zbigniew, Kolp, Peter, Aleluia Reis, Lara, and van Vuuren, Detlef

Published
2021
Full Text
View/download PDF

Catalog

Books, media, physical & digital resources
See catalog results