1. Anchoring effect on first passage process in Taiwan financial market
- Author
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Hsing Liu, Jing-Yuan Ko, Chi-Yo Liao, and Jiann-Shing Lih
- Subjects
Statistics and Probability ,Price fluctuation ,050208 finance ,Actuarial science ,05 social sciences ,Financial market ,Anchoring ,Condensed Matter Physics ,01 natural sciences ,Stock price ,0502 economics and business ,0103 physical sciences ,Econometrics ,Economics ,Stock market ,010306 general physics ,Futures contract ,Stock (geology) - Abstract
Empirical analysis of the price fluctuations of financial markets has received extensive attention because a substantial amount of financial market data has been collected and because of advances in data-mining techniques. Price fluctuation trends can help investors to make informed trading decisions, but such decisions may also be affected by a psychological factors—the anchoring effect. This study explores the intraday price time series of Taiwan futures, and applies diffusion model and quantitative methods to analyze the relationship between the anchoring effect and price fluctuations during first passage process. Our results indicate that power-law scaling and anomalous diffusion for stock price fluctuations are related to the anchoring effect. Moreover, microscopic price fluctuations before switching point in first passage process correspond with long-term price fluctuations of Taiwan’s stock market. We find that microscopic trends could provide useful information for understanding macroscopic trends in stock markets.
- Published
- 2017
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