1. Seismic hazard assessment for the UK offshore Exclusive Economic Zone
- Author
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Mosca, I., Baptie, B., Haslam, R., Gafeira, J., Jenkins, G., Mosca, I., Baptie, B., Haslam, R., Gafeira, J., and Jenkins, G.
- Abstract
This report presents the new seismic hazard maps for the UK offshore Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) developed using a Monte Carlo-based approach. These are intended to update the current maps for UK waters published in 2002. The work done by the BGS team in this project has been informed at key stages by external experts who have reviewed the main components of the seismic hazard model. The analysis is based on a comprehensive catalogue of earthquake activity across the region developed by combining existing earthquake catalogues and data from regional and local monitoring agencies. Anthropogenic events such as those related to blasting, underwater explosions, mining and hydrocarbon exploration have been removed where possible. We also remove foreshocks and aftershocks to ensure that the catalogue only contains time-independent events. We then use published empirical magnitude conversion relationships to convert different magnitudes to moment magnitude (Mw) to ensure that the catalogue has consistent and homogeneous magnitudes across the region of interest. Finally, we assess catalogue completeness for different time intervals using both published information for the earthquake catalogues from the region and by examining cumulative and annual numbers of earthquakes for specific magnitudes. We model earthquake occurrence across the region using a seismic source characterisation (SSC) model that consists of a series of zones, where seismicity is considered to be homogeneous. The shape and extent of each zone are based on knowledge of the tectonics, geology and seismicity of the study area. We use four different seismic source zone models within the SSC to capture the epistemic uncertainty in different rupture scenarios but we do not include specific fault sources in the SSC model because of the difficulty relating earthquakes to particular faults. We estimate the rate of earthquake occurrence for each seismic source zone using the earthquake catalogue derived for the s
- Published
- 2024