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1. Host genetics and COVID-19 severity: increasing the accuracy of latest severity scores by Boolean quantum features

Author

Gabriele Martelloni, Alessio Turchi, Chiara Fallerini, Andrea Degl’Innocenti, Margherita Baldassarri, Simona Olmi, Simone Furini, Alessandra Renieri, GEN-COVID Multicenter study, Francesca Mari, Sergio Daga, Ilaria Meloni, Mirella Bruttini, Susanna Croci, Mirjam Lista, Debora Maffeo, Elena Pasquinelli, Giulia Brunelli, Kristina Zguro, Viola Bianca Serio, Enrica Antolini, Simona Letizia Basso, Samantha Minetto, Giulia Rollo, Martina Rozza, Angela Rina, Rossella Tita, Maria Antonietta Mencarelli, Caterina Lo Rizzo, Anna Maria Pinto, Francesca Ariani, Francesca Montagnani, Mario Tumbarello, Ilaria Rancan, Massimiliano Fabbiani, Elena Bargagli, Laura Bergantini, Miriana d’Alessandro, Paolo Cameli, David Bennett, Federico Anedda, Simona Marcantonio, Sabino Scolletta, Federico Franchi, Maria Antonietta Mazzei, Susanna Guerrini, Edoardo Conticini, Luca Cantarini, Bruno Frediani, Danilo Tacconi, Chiara Spertilli Raffaelli, Arianna Emiliozzi, Marco Feri, Alice Donati, Raffaele Scala, Luca Guidelli, Genni Spargi, Marta Corridi, Cesira Nencioni, Leonardo Croci, Gian Piero Caldarelli, Davide Romani, Paolo Piacentini, Maria Bandini, Elena Desanctis, Silvia Cappelli, Anna Canaccini, Agnese Verzuri, Valentina Anemoli, Manola Pisani, Agostino Ognibene, Maria Lorubbio, Alessandro Pancrazzi, Massimo Vaghi, Antonella D’Arminio Monforte, Federica Gaia Miraglia, Mario U. Mondelli, Stefania Mantovani, Raffaele Bruno, Marco Vecchia, Marcello Maffezzoni, Enrico Martinelli, Massimo Girardis, Stefano Busani, Sophie Venturelli, Andrea Cossarizza, Andrea Antinori, Alessandra Vergori, Stefano Rusconi, Matteo Siano, Arianna Gabrieli, Agostino Riva, Daniela Francisci, Elisabetta Schiaroli, Carlo Pallotto, Saverio Giuseppe Parisi, Monica Basso, Sandro Panese, Stefano Baratti, Pier Giorgio Scotton, Francesca Andretta, Mario Giobbia, Renzo Scaggiante, Francesca Gatti, Francesco Castelli, Eugenia Quiros-Roldan, Melania Degli Antoni, Isabella Zanella, Matteo della Monica, Carmelo Piscopo, Mario Capasso, Roberta Russo, Immacolata Andolfo, Achille Iolascon, Giuseppe Fiorentino, Massimo Carella, Marco Castori, Giuseppe Merla, Gabriella Maria Squeo, Filippo Aucella, Pamela Raggi, Rita Perna, Matteo Bassetti, Antonio Di Biagio, Maurizio Sanguinetti, Luca Masucci, Alessandra Guarnaccia, Serafina Valente, Alex Di Florio, Marco Mandalà, Alessia Giorli, Lorenzo Salerni, Patrizia Zucchi, Pierpaolo Parravicini, Elisabetta Menatti, Tullio Trotta, Ferdinando Giannattasio, Gabriella Coiro, Fabio Lena, Gianluca Lacerenza, Cristina Mussini, Luisa Tavecchia, Lia Crotti, Gianfranco Parati, Roberto Menè, Maurizio Sanarico, Marco Gori, Francesco Raimondi, Alessandra Stella, Filippo Biscarini, Tiziana Bachetti, Maria Teresa La Rovere, Maurizio Bussotti, Serena Ludovisi, Katia Capitani, Simona Dei, Sabrina Ravaglia, Annarita Giliberti, Giulia Gori, Rosangela Artuso, Elena Andreucci, Angelica Pagliazzi, Erika Fiorentini, Antonio Perrella, Francesco Bianchi, Paola Bergomi, Emanuele Catena, Riccardo Colombo, Sauro Luchi, Giovanna Morelli, Paola Petrocelli, Sarah Iacopini, Sara Modica, Silvia Baroni, Giulia Micheli, Marco Falcone, Donato Urso, Giusy Tiseo, Tommaso Matucci, Davide Grassi, Claudio Ferri, Franco Marinangeli, Francesco Brancati, Antonella Vincenti, Valentina Borgo, Stefania Lombardi, Mirco Lenzi, Massimo Antonio Di Pietro, Francesca Vichi, Benedetta Romanin, Letizia Attala, Cecilia Costa, Andrea Gabbuti, Alessio Bellucci, Marta Colaneri, Patrizia Casprini, Cristoforo Pomara, Massimiliano Esposito, Roberto Leoncini, Michele Cirianni, Lucrezia Galasso, Marco Antonio Bellini, Chiara Gabbi, and Nicola Picchiotti

Subjects
COVID-19, host genetics, integrated polygenic score, genetic algorithm, logistic regression, genetic science modeling, Genetics, QH426-470
Abstract

The impact of common and rare variants in COVID-19 host genetics has been widely studied. In particular, in Fallerini et al. (Human genetics, 2022, 141, 147–173), common and rare variants were used to define an interpretable machine learning model for predicting COVID-19 severity. First, variants were converted into sets of Boolean features, depending on the absence or the presence of variants in each gene. An ensemble of LASSO logistic regression models was used to identify the most informative Boolean features with respect to the genetic bases of severity. After that, the Boolean features, selected by these logistic models, were combined into an Integrated PolyGenic Score (IPGS), which offers a very simple description of the contribution of host genetics in COVID-19 severity.. IPGS leads to an accuracy of 55%–60% on different cohorts, and, after a logistic regression with both IPGS and age as inputs, it leads to an accuracy of 75%. The goal of this paper is to improve the previous results, using not only the most informative Boolean features with respect to the genetic bases of severity but also the information on host organs involved in the disease. In this study, we generalize the IPGS adding a statistical weight for each organ, through the transformation of Boolean features into “Boolean quantum features,” inspired by quantum mechanics. The organ coefficients were set via the application of the genetic algorithm PyGAD, and, after that, we defined two new integrated polygenic scores (IPGSph1 and IPGSph2). By applying a logistic regression with both IPGS, (IPGSph2 (or indifferently IPGSph1) and age as inputs, we reached an accuracy of 84%–86%, thus improving the results previously shown in Fallerini et al. (Human genetics, 2022, 141, 147–173) by a factor of 10%.

Published
2024
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2. The Effect of Isotonic Saline Nasal Lavages in Improving Symptoms in SARS-CoV-2 Infection: A Case-Control Study

Author

Giacomo Spinato, Cristoforo Fabbris, Giulio Costantini, Federica Conte, Pier Giorgio Scotton, Francesco Cinetto, Rosalba De Siati, Alessandro Matarazzo, Marco Citterio, Giacomo Contro, Cosimo De Filippis, Carlo Agostini, Enzo Emanuelli, Paolo Boscolo-Rizzo, and Daniele Frezza

Subjects
SARS-CoV-2 infection, COVID-19, nasal lavage, upper airways infection, nasal swab, Neurology. Diseases of the nervous system, RC346-429
Abstract

Background: Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) mainly colonizes nasopharynx. In upper airways acute infections, e.g., the common cold, saline nasal irrigations have a significant efficacy in reducing symptoms. The present study aimed to test the efficacy of nasal lavages in upper airways symptoms of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19).Methods: A series of consecutive adult subjects who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 from December 2020 to February 2021 performed daily nasal lavages with saline solution (Lavonase®—Purling, Lugo di Romagna, Italy) for 12 days, starting on the day after the SARS-CoV-2 positive swab. A control group included a historical series of patients who were infected in February-March 2020 and who did not perform lavages. An ad hoc questionnaire regarding symptoms was administered to each subjects at base-line and 10 days after diagnosis (i.e., on the same day of the control swab) in both cases and controls.Results: A total of 140 subjects were enrolled. 68 participants in the treatment group and 72 in the control group were included. 90% of respondents declared the lavages were simple to use and 70% declared they were satisfied. Symptoms of blocked nose, runny nose, or sneezing decreased by an average of 24.7% after the treatment. Blocked nose and sneezing increased in the same period of time in the control group. Ears and eyes symptoms, anosmia/ageusia symptoms, and infection duration (10.53 days in the treatment group and 10.48 days in the control group) didn't vary significantly among the two groups.Conclusion: Nasal lavages resulted to significantly decrease nasal symptoms in newly diagnosed SARS-CoV-2 patients. These devices proved to be well-tolerated and easy to be used. Further studies on a larger number of subjects are needed in order to possibly confirm these preliminary results.

Published
2021
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3. Humoral Response after Two Doses of BNT162b2 mRNA Vaccine Has a Role in Predicting Response after Three Doses That Is Related to Plasma HIV Viremia and Nadir CD4+ Cell Count in HIV-Positive Patients

Author

Monica Basso, Nicole Pirola, Susanna Pascoli, Beatrice Bragato, Antonio Vinci, Marco Iannetta, Francesco Colombo, Nicholas Geremia, Luca Martignago, Maria Cristina Rossi, Ludovica Cipriani, Mario Giobbia, Pier Giorgio Scotton, and Saverio Giuseppe Parisi

Subjects
HIV infection, BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine, third dose, nadir, HIV residual viremia, trimeric S-protein antigen, Medicine
Abstract

We investigated the spike IgG levels of HIV+ patients on antiretroviral therapy six months after they received their second dose (T2) and six months after the third dose (T3) of the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine, as well as the influence of different levels of plasma HIV viremia of overall CD4+ cell count and nadir value on the humoral time course. One hundred eighty-four patients were enrolled. The median age was 55 years, the median CD4+ cell count was 639 cells/mm3 and the median nadir value was 258 cells/mm3. On the basis of all tests performed during the study period, persistently undetectable plasma HIV RNA (PUD) was found in 66 patients, low-level viremia (LLV) in 57 and ongoing viremia (OV) in 61. Serum levels of IgG antibodies against a trimeric S-protein antigen were tested with DiaSorin Liaison SARS-CoV-2 TrimericS IgG and the response was classified as optimal (>75th percentile), intermediate (50th–25th percentile) and low (3 had 100% sensitivity in predicting a non-optimal response. In conclusion, we demonstrated the persistence of anti-spike IgG, with high serum levels occurring in most patients six months after the third dose of the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine and a predictive role of humoral response at T2 in subjects with detectable plasma HIV viremia. Immunological alterations related to past immunodeficiency may persist despite immune reconstitution, and the nadir value could be a useful tool for elaborating personalized vaccine schedules.

Published
2022
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4. An explainable model of host genetic interactions linked to COVID-19 severity

Author

Anthony, O, Nicola, P, Chiara, F, Margherita, B, Francesca, F, Francesca, C, Alessandra, R, Simone, F, Francesco, R, Mari, F, Daga, S, Benetti, E, Bruttini, M, Palmieri, M, Croci, S, Amitrano, S, Meloni, I, Frullanti, E, Doddato, G, Lista, M, Beligni, G, Valentino, F, Zguro, K, Tita, R, Giliberti, A, Antonietta Mencarelli, M, Lo Rizzo, C, Maria Pinto, A, Ariani, F, Di Sarno, L, Montagnani, F, Tumbarello, M, Rancan, I, Fabbiani, M, Rossetti, B, Bergantini, L, D’Alessandro, M, Cameli, P, Bennett, D, Anedda, F, Marcantonio, S, Scolletta, S, Franchi, F, Antonietta Mazzei, M, Guerrini, S, Conticini, E, Cantarini, L, Frediani, B, Tacconi, D, Spertilli Raffaelli, C, Feri, M, Donati, A, Scala, R, Guidelli, L, Spargi, G, Corridi, M, Nencioni, C, Croci, L, Piero Caldarelli, G, Romani, D, Piacentini, P, Bandini, M, Desanctis, E, Cappelli, S, Canaccini, A, Verzuri, A, Anemoli, V, Pisani, M, Ognibene, A, Pancrazzi, A, Lorubbio, M, Vaghi, M, D’Arminio Monforte, A, Gaia Miraglia, F, Bruno, R, Vecchia, M, Girardis, M, Venturelli, S, Busani, S, Cossarizza, A, Antinori, A, Vergori, A, Emiliozzi, A, Rusconi, S, Siano, M, Gabrieli, A, Riva, A, Francisci, D, Schiaroli, E, Paciosi, F, Tommasi, A, Zuccon, U, Vietri, L, Giorgio Scotton, P, Andretta, F, Panese, S, Baratti, S, Scaggiante, R, Gatti, F, Giuseppe Parisi, S, Castelli, F, Quiros-Roldan, E, Degli Antoni, M, Zanella, I, Della Monica, M, Piscopo, C, Capasso, M, Russo, R, Andolfo, I, Iolascon, A, Fiorentino, G, Carella, M, Castori, M, Aucella, F, Raggi, P, Perna, R, Bassetti, M, Di Biagio, A, Sanguinetti, M, Masucci, L, Guarnaccia, A, Valente, S, De Vivo, O, Bargagli, E, Mandalà, M, Giorli, A, Salerni, L, Zucchi, P, Parravicini, P, Menatti, E, Trotta, T, Giannattasio, F, Coiro, G, Lena, F, Lacerenza, G, Coviello, D, Mussini, C, Martinelli, E, Tavecchia, L, Ann Belli, M, Crotti, L, Parati, G, Sanarico, M, Biscarini, F, Stella, A, Rizzi, M, Maggiolo, F, Ripamonti, D, Suardi, C, Bachetti, T, Teresa La Rovere, M, Sarzi-Braga, S, Bussotti, M, Capitani, K, Dei, S, Ravaglia, S, Artuso, R, Andreucci, E, Gori, G, Pagliazzi, A, Fiorentini, E, Perrella, A, Bianchi, F, Bergomi, P, Catena, E, Colombo, R, Luchi, S, Morelli, G, Petrocelli, P, Iacopini, S, Modica, S, Baroni, S, Vladimiro Segala, F, Menichetti, F, Falcone, M, Tiseo, G, Barbieri, C, Matucci, T, Grassi, D, Ferri, C, Marinangeli, F, Brancati, F, Vincenti, A, Borgo, V, Lombardi, S, Lenzi, M, Antonio Di Pietro, M, Vichi, F, Romanin, B, Attala, L, Costa, C, Gabbuti, A, Menè, R, Colaneri, M, Casprini, P, Merla, G, Maria Squeo, G, Maffezzoni, M, Mantovani, S, Mondelli &amp, M, Ludovisi, S, Onoja, Anthony, Picchiotti, Nicola, Fallerini, Chiara, Baldassarri, Margherita, Fava, Francesca, Colombo, Francesca, Chiaromonte, Francesca, Renieri, Alessandra, Furini, Simone, Raimondi Francesco, Francesca Mari, Sergio Daga, Elisa Benetti, Mirella Bruttini, Maria Palmieri, Susanna Croci, Sara Amitrano, Ilaria Meloni, Elisa Frullanti, Gabriella Doddato, Mirjam Lista, Giada Beligni, Floriana Valentino, Kristina Zguro, Rossella Tita, Annarita Giliberti, Maria Antonietta Mencarelli, Caterina Lo Rizzo, Anna Maria Pinto, Francesca Ariani, Laura Di Sarno, Francesca Montagnani, Mario Tumbarello, Ilaria Rancan, Massimiliano Fabbiani, Barbara Rossetti, Laura Bergantini, Miriana D’Alessandro, Paolo Cameli, David Bennett, Federico Anedda, Simona Marcantonio, Sabino Scolletta, Federico Franchi, Maria Antonietta Mazzei, Susanna Guerrini, Edoardo Conticini, Luca Cantarini, Bruno Frediani, Danilo Tacconi, Chiara Spertilli Raffaelli, Marco Feri, Alice Donati, Raffaele Scala, Luca Guidelli, Genni Spargi, Marta Corridi, Cesira Nencioni, Leonardo Croci, Gian Piero Caldarelli, Davide Romani, Paolo Piacentini, Maria Bandini, Elena Desanctis, Silvia Cappelli, Anna Canaccini, Agnese Verzuri, Valentina Anemoli, Manola Pisani, Agostino Ognibene, Alessandro Pancrazzi, Maria Lorubbio, Massimo Vaghi, Antonella D’Arminio Monforte, Federica Gaia Miraglia, Raffaele Bruno, Marco Vecchia, Massimo Girardis, Sophie Venturelli, Stefano Busani, Andrea Cossarizza, Andrea Antinori, Alessandra Vergori, Arianna Emiliozzi, Stefano Rusconi, Matteo Siano, Arianna Gabrieli, Agostino Riva, Daniela Francisci, Elisabetta Schiaroli, Francesco Paciosi, Andrea Tommasi, Umberto Zuccon, Lucia Vietri, Pier Giorgio Scotton, Francesca Andretta, Sandro Panese, Stefano Baratti, Renzo Scaggiante, Francesca Gatti, Saverio Giuseppe Parisi, Francesco Castelli, Eugenia Quiros-Roldan, Melania Degli Antoni, Isabella Zanella, Matteo Della Monica, Carmelo Piscopo, Mario Capasso, Roberta Russo, Immacolata Andolfo, Achille Iolascon, Giuseppe Fiorentino, Massimo Carella, Marco Castori, Filippo Aucella, Pamela Raggi, Rita Perna, Matteo Bassetti, Antonio Di Biagio, Maurizio Sanguinetti, Luca Masucci, Alessandra Guarnaccia, Serafina Valente, Oreste De Vivo, Elena Bargagli, Marco Mandalà, Alessia Giorli, Lorenzo Salerni, Patrizia Zucchi, Pierpaolo Parravicini, Elisabetta Menatti, Tullio Trotta, Ferdinando Giannattasio, Gabriella Coiro, Fabio Lena, Gianluca Lacerenza, Domenico A. Coviello, Cristina Mussini, Enrico Martinelli, Luisa Tavecchia, Mary Ann Belli, Lia Crotti, Gianfranco Parati, Maurizio Sanarico, Filippo Biscarini, Alessandra Stella, Marco Rizzi, Franco Maggiolo, Diego Ripamonti, Claudia Suardi, Tiziana Bachetti, Maria Teresa La Rovere, Simona Sarzi-Braga, Maurizio Bussotti, Katia Capitani, Simona Dei, Sabrina Ravaglia, Rosangela Artuso, Elena Andreucci, Giulia Gori, Angelica Pagliazzi, Erika Fiorentini, Antonio Perrella, Francesco Bianchi, Paola Bergomi, Emanuele Catena, Riccardo Colombo, Sauro Luchi, Giovanna Morelli, Paola Petrocelli, Sarah Iacopini, Sara Modica, Silvia Baroni, Francesco Vladimiro Segala, Francesco Menichetti, Marco Falcone, Giusy Tiseo, Chiara Barbieri, Tommaso Matucci, Davide Grassi, Claudio Ferri, Franco Marinangeli, Francesco Brancati, Antonella Vincenti, Valentina Borgo, Stefania Lombardi, Mirco Lenzi, Massimo Antonio Di Pietro, Francesca Vichi, Benedetta Romanin, Letizia Attala, Cecilia Costa, Andrea Gabbuti, Roberto Menè, Marta Colaneri, Patrizia Casprini, Giuseppe Merla, Gabriella Maria Squeo, Marcello Maffezzoni, Stefania Mantovani, Mario U. Mondelli &, Serena Ludovisi, Anthony, O, Nicola, P, Chiara, F, Margherita, B, Francesca, F, Francesca, C, Alessandra, R, Simone, F, Francesco, R, Mari, F, Daga, S, Benetti, E, Bruttini, M, Palmieri, M, Croci, S, Amitrano, S, Meloni, I, Frullanti, E, Doddato, G, Lista, M, Beligni, G, Valentino, F, Zguro, K, Tita, R, Giliberti, A, Antonietta Mencarelli, M, Lo Rizzo, C, Maria Pinto, A, Ariani, F, Di Sarno, L, Montagnani, F, Tumbarello, M, Rancan, I, Fabbiani, M, Rossetti, B, Bergantini, L, D’Alessandro, M, Cameli, P, Bennett, D, Anedda, F, Marcantonio, S, Scolletta, S, Franchi, F, Antonietta Mazzei, M, Guerrini, S, Conticini, E, Cantarini, L, Frediani, B, Tacconi, D, Spertilli Raffaelli, C, Feri, M, Donati, A, Scala, R, Guidelli, L, Spargi, G, Corridi, M, Nencioni, C, Croci, L, Piero Caldarelli, G, Romani, D, Piacentini, P, Bandini, M, Desanctis, E, Cappelli, S, Canaccini, A, Verzuri, A, Anemoli, V, Pisani, M, Ognibene, A, Pancrazzi, A, Lorubbio, M, Vaghi, M, D’Arminio Monforte, A, Gaia Miraglia, F, Bruno, R, Vecchia, M, Girardis, M, Venturelli, S, Busani, S, Cossarizza, A, Antinori, A, Vergori, A, Emiliozzi, A, Rusconi, S, Siano, M, Gabrieli, A, Riva, A, Francisci, D, Schiaroli, E, Paciosi, F, Tommasi, A, Zuccon, U, Vietri, L, Giorgio Scotton, P, Andretta, F, Panese, S, Baratti, S, Scaggiante, R, Gatti, F, Giuseppe Parisi, S, Castelli, F, Quiros-Roldan, E, Degli Antoni, M, Zanella, I, Della Monica, M, Piscopo, C, Capasso, M, Russo, R, Andolfo, I, Iolascon, A, Fiorentino, G, Carella, M, Castori, M, Aucella, F, Raggi, P, Perna, R, Bassetti, M, Di Biagio, A, Sanguinetti, M, Masucci, L, Guarnaccia, A, Valente, S, De Vivo, O, Bargagli, E, Mandalà, M, Giorli, A, Salerni, L, Zucchi, P, Parravicini, P, Menatti, E, Trotta, T, Giannattasio, F, Coiro, G, Lena, F, Lacerenza, G, Coviello, D, Mussini, C, Martinelli, E, Tavecchia, L, Ann Belli, M, Crotti, L, Parati, G, Sanarico, M, Biscarini, F, Stella, A, Rizzi, M, Maggiolo, F, Ripamonti, D, Suardi, C, Bachetti, T, Teresa La Rovere, M, Sarzi-Braga, S, Bussotti, M, Capitani, K, Dei, S, Ravaglia, S, Artuso, R, Andreucci, E, Gori, G, Pagliazzi, A, Fiorentini, E, Perrella, A, Bianchi, F, Bergomi, P, Catena, E, Colombo, R, Luchi, S, Morelli, G, Petrocelli, P, Iacopini, S, Modica, S, Baroni, S, Vladimiro Segala, F, Menichetti, F, Falcone, M, Tiseo, G, Barbieri, C, Matucci, T, Grassi, D, Ferri, C, Marinangeli, F, Brancati, F, Vincenti, A, Borgo, V, Lombardi, S, Lenzi, M, Antonio Di Pietro, M, Vichi, F, Romanin, B, Attala, L, Costa, C, Gabbuti, A, Menè, R, Colaneri, M, Casprini, P, Merla, G, Maria Squeo, G, Maffezzoni, M, Mantovani, S, Mondelli &amp, M, Ludovisi, S, Onoja, Anthony, Picchiotti, Nicola, Fallerini, Chiara, Baldassarri, Margherita, Fava, Francesca, Colombo, Francesca, Chiaromonte, Francesca, Renieri, Alessandra, Furini, Simone, Raimondi Francesco, Francesca Mari, Sergio Daga, Elisa Benetti, Mirella Bruttini, Maria Palmieri, Susanna Croci, Sara Amitrano, Ilaria Meloni, Elisa Frullanti, Gabriella Doddato, Mirjam Lista, Giada Beligni, Floriana Valentino, Kristina Zguro, Rossella Tita, Annarita Giliberti, Maria Antonietta Mencarelli, Caterina Lo Rizzo, Anna Maria Pinto, Francesca Ariani, Laura Di Sarno, Francesca Montagnani, Mario Tumbarello, Ilaria Rancan, Massimiliano Fabbiani, Barbara Rossetti, Laura Bergantini, Miriana D’Alessandro, Paolo Cameli, David Bennett, Federico Anedda, Simona Marcantonio, Sabino Scolletta, Federico Franchi, Maria Antonietta Mazzei, Susanna Guerrini, Edoardo Conticini, Luca Cantarini, Bruno Frediani, Danilo Tacconi, Chiara Spertilli Raffaelli, Marco Feri, Alice Donati, Raffaele Scala, Luca Guidelli, Genni Spargi, Marta Corridi, Cesira Nencioni, Leonardo Croci, Gian Piero Caldarelli, Davide Romani, Paolo Piacentini, Maria Bandini, Elena Desanctis, Silvia Cappelli, Anna Canaccini, Agnese Verzuri, Valentina Anemoli, Manola Pisani, Agostino Ognibene, Alessandro Pancrazzi, Maria Lorubbio, Massimo Vaghi, Antonella D’Arminio Monforte, Federica Gaia Miraglia, Raffaele Bruno, Marco Vecchia, Massimo Girardis, Sophie Venturelli, Stefano Busani, Andrea Cossarizza, Andrea Antinori, Alessandra Vergori, Arianna Emiliozzi, Stefano Rusconi, Matteo Siano, Arianna Gabrieli, Agostino Riva, Daniela Francisci, Elisabetta Schiaroli, Francesco Paciosi, Andrea Tommasi, Umberto Zuccon, Lucia Vietri, Pier Giorgio Scotton, Francesca Andretta, Sandro Panese, Stefano Baratti, Renzo Scaggiante, Francesca Gatti, Saverio Giuseppe Parisi, Francesco Castelli, Eugenia Quiros-Roldan, Melania Degli Antoni, Isabella Zanella, Matteo Della Monica, Carmelo Piscopo, Mario Capasso, Roberta Russo, Immacolata Andolfo, Achille Iolascon, Giuseppe Fiorentino, Massimo Carella, Marco Castori, Filippo Aucella, Pamela Raggi, Rita Perna, Matteo Bassetti, Antonio Di Biagio, Maurizio Sanguinetti, Luca Masucci, Alessandra Guarnaccia, Serafina Valente, Oreste De Vivo, Elena Bargagli, Marco Mandalà, Alessia Giorli, Lorenzo Salerni, Patrizia Zucchi, Pierpaolo Parravicini, Elisabetta Menatti, Tullio Trotta, Ferdinando Giannattasio, Gabriella Coiro, Fabio Lena, Gianluca Lacerenza, Domenico A. Coviello, Cristina Mussini, Enrico Martinelli, Luisa Tavecchia, Mary Ann Belli, Lia Crotti, Gianfranco Parati, Maurizio Sanarico, Filippo Biscarini, Alessandra Stella, Marco Rizzi, Franco Maggiolo, Diego Ripamonti, Claudia Suardi, Tiziana Bachetti, Maria Teresa La Rovere, Simona Sarzi-Braga, Maurizio Bussotti, Katia Capitani, Simona Dei, Sabrina Ravaglia, Rosangela Artuso, Elena Andreucci, Giulia Gori, Angelica Pagliazzi, Erika Fiorentini, Antonio Perrella, Francesco Bianchi, Paola Bergomi, Emanuele Catena, Riccardo Colombo, Sauro Luchi, Giovanna Morelli, Paola Petrocelli, Sarah Iacopini, Sara Modica, Silvia Baroni, Francesco Vladimiro Segala, Francesco Menichetti, Marco Falcone, Giusy Tiseo, Chiara Barbieri, Tommaso Matucci, Davide Grassi, Claudio Ferri, Franco Marinangeli, Francesco Brancati, Antonella Vincenti, Valentina Borgo, Stefania Lombardi, Mirco Lenzi, Massimo Antonio Di Pietro, Francesca Vichi, Benedetta Romanin, Letizia Attala, Cecilia Costa, Andrea Gabbuti, Roberto Menè, Marta Colaneri, Patrizia Casprini, Giuseppe Merla, Gabriella Maria Squeo, Marcello Maffezzoni, Stefania Mantovani, Mario U. Mondelli &, and Serena Ludovisi

Abstract

We employed a multifaceted computational strategy to identify the genetic factors contributing to increased risk of severe COVID-19 infection from a Whole Exome Sequencing (WES) dataset of a cohort of 2000 Italian patients. We coupled a stratified k-fold screening, to rank variants more associated with severity, with the training of multiple supervised classifiers, to predict severity based on screened features. Feature importance analysis from tree-based models allowed us to identify 16 variants with the highest support which, together with age and gender covariates, were found to be most predictive of COVID-19 severity. When tested on a follow-up cohort, our ensemble of models predicted severity with high accuracy (ACC = 81.88%; AUCROC = 96%; MCC = 61.55%). Our model recapitulated a vast literature of emerging molecular mechanisms and genetic factors linked to COVID-19 response and extends previous landmark Genome-Wide Association Studies (GWAS). It revealed a network of interplaying genetic signatures converging on established immune system and inflammatory processes linked to viral infection response. It also identified additional processes cross-talking with immune pathways, such as GPCR signaling, which might offer additional opportunities for therapeutic intervention and patient stratification. Publicly available PheWAS datasets revealed that several variants were significantly associated with phenotypic traits such as “Respiratory or thoracic disease”, supporting their link with COVID-19 severity outcome.

Published
2022

5. An explainable model of host genetic interactions linked to COVID-19 severity

Author

Onoja, Anthony, Picchiotti, Nicola, Fallerini, Chiara, Baldassarri, Margherita, Fava, Francesca, Colombo, Francesca, Chiaromonte, Francesca, Renieri, Alessandra, Furini, Simone, Raimondi, Francesco GEN-COVID Multicenter Study: Francesca Mari, Sergio, Daga, Elisa, Benetti, Mirella, Bruttini, Maria, Palmieri, Susanna, Croci, Sara, Amitrano, Ilaria, Meloni, Elisa, Frullanti, Gabriella, Doddato, Mirjam, Lista, Giada, Beligni, Floriana, Valentino, Kristina, Zguro, Rossella, Tita, Annarita, Giliberti, Maria Antonietta Mencarelli, Caterina Lo Rizzo, Anna Maria Pinto, Francesca, Ariani, Laura Di Sarno, Francesca, Montagnani, Mario, Tumbarello, Ilaria, Rancan, Massimiliano, Fabbiani, Barbara, Rossetti, Laura, Bergantini, Miriana, D'Alessandro, Paolo, Cameli, David, Bennett, Federico, Anedda, Simona, Marcantonio, Sabino, Scolletta, Federico, Franchi, Maria Antonietta Mazzei, Susanna, Guerrini, Edoardo, Conticini, Luca, Cantarini, Bruno, Frediani, Danilo, Tacconi, Chiara Spertilli Raffaelli, Marco, Feri, Alice, Donati, Raffaele, Scala, Luca, Guidelli, Genni, Spargi, Marta, Corridi, Cesira, Nencioni, Leonardo, Croci, Gian Piero Caldarelli, Davide, Romani, Paolo, Piacentini, Maria, Bandini, Elena, Desanctis, Silvia, Cappelli, Anna, Canaccini, Agnese, Verzuri, Valentina, Anemoli, Manola, Pisani, Agostino, Ognibene, Alessandro, Pancrazzi, Maria, Lorubbio, Massimo, Vaghi, Antonella D'Arminio Monforte, Federica Gaia Miraglia, Raffaele, Bruno, Marco, Vecchia, Massimo, Girardis, Sophie, Venturelli, Stefano, Busani, Andrea, Cossarizza, Andrea, Antinori, Alessandra, Vergori, Arianna, Emiliozzi, Stefano, Rusconi, Matteo, Siano, Arianna, Gabrieli, Agostino, Riva, Daniela, Francisci, Elisabetta, Schiaroli, Francesco, Paciosi, Andrea, Tommasi, Umberto, Zuccon, Lucia, Vietri, Pier Giorgio Scotton, Francesca, Andretta, Sandro, Panese, Stefano, Baratti, Renzo, Scaggiante, Francesca, Gatti, Saverio Giuseppe Parisi, Francesco, Castelli, Eugenia, Quiros-Roldan, Melania Degli Antoni, Isabella, Zanella, Matteo Della Monica, Carmelo, Piscopo, Mario, Capasso, Roberta, Russo, Immacolata, Andolfo, Achille, Iolascon, Giuseppe, Fiorentino, Massimo, Carella, Marco, Castori, Filippo, Aucella, Pamela, Raggi, Rita, Perna, Matteo, Bassetti, Antonio Di Biagio, Maurizio, Sanguinetti, Luca, Masucci, Alessandra, Guarnaccia, Serafina, Valente, Oreste De Vivo, Elena, Bargagli, Marco, Mandalà, Alessia, Giorli, Lorenzo, Salerni, Patrizia, Zucchi, Pierpaolo, Parravicini, Elisabetta, Menatti, Tullio, Trotta, Ferdinando, Giannattasio, Gabriella, Coiro, Fabio, Lena, Gianluca, Lacerenza, Domenico, A Coviello, Cristina, Mussini, Enrico, Martinelli, Luisa, Tavecchia, Mary Ann Belli, Lia, Crotti, Gianfranco, Parati, Maurizio, Sanarico, Filippo, Biscarini, Alessandra, Stella, Marco, Rizzi, Franco, Maggiolo, Diego, Ripamonti, Claudia, Suardi, Tiziana, Bachetti, Maria Teresa La Rovere, Simona, Sarzi-Braga, Maurizio, Bussotti, Katia, Capitani, Simona, Dei, Sabrina, Ravaglia, Rosangela, Artuso, Elena, Andreucci, Giulia, Gori, Angelica, Pagliazzi, Erika, Fiorentini, Antonio, Perrella, Francesco, Bianchi, Paola, Bergomi, Emanuele, Catena, Riccardo, Colombo, Sauro, Luchi, Giovanna, Morelli, Paola, Petrocelli, Sarah, Iacopini, Sara, Modica, Silvia, Baroni, Francesco Vladimiro Segala, Francesco, Menichetti, Marco, Falcone, Giusy, Tiseo, Chiara, Barbieri, Tommaso, Matucci, Grassi, Davide, Ferri, Claudio, Marinangeli, Franco, Brancati, Francesco, Antonella, Vincenti, Valentina, Borgo, Lombardi, Stefania, Mirco, Lenzi, Massimo Antonio Di Pietro, Francesca, Vichi, Benedetta, Romanin, Letizia, Attala, Cecilia, Costa, Andrea, Gabbuti, Roberto, Menè, Marta, Colaneri, Patrizia, Casprini, Giuseppe, Merla, Gabriella Maria Squeo, Marcello, Maffezzoni, Stefania, Mantovani, Mario, U Mondelli, Serena, Ludovisi, Onoja, Anthony, Picchiotti, Nicola, Fallerini, Chiara, Baldassarri, Margherita, Fava, Francesca, nbsp, Multicenter Study, GEN-COVID, Colombo, Francesca, Chiaromonte, Francesca, Renieri, Alessandra, Furini, Simone, Raimondi, Francesco, Anthony, O, Nicola, P, Chiara, F, Margherita, B, Francesca, F, Francesca, C, Alessandra, R, Simone, F, Francesco, R, Mari, F, Daga, S, Benetti, E, Bruttini, M, Palmieri, M, Croci, S, Amitrano, S, Meloni, I, Frullanti, E, Doddato, G, Lista, M, Beligni, G, Valentino, F, Zguro, K, Tita, R, Giliberti, A, Antonietta Mencarelli, M, Lo Rizzo, C, Maria Pinto, A, Ariani, F, Di Sarno, L, Montagnani, F, Tumbarello, M, Rancan, I, Fabbiani, M, Rossetti, B, Bergantini, L, D’Alessandro, M, Cameli, P, Bennett, D, Anedda, F, Marcantonio, S, Scolletta, S, Franchi, F, Antonietta Mazzei, M, Guerrini, S, Conticini, E, Cantarini, L, Frediani, B, Tacconi, D, Spertilli Raffaelli, C, Feri, M, Donati, A, Scala, R, Guidelli, L, Spargi, G, Corridi, M, Nencioni, C, Croci, L, Piero Caldarelli, G, Romani, D, Piacentini, P, Bandini, M, Desanctis, E, Cappelli, S, Canaccini, A, Verzuri, A, Anemoli, V, Pisani, M, Ognibene, A, Pancrazzi, A, Lorubbio, M, Vaghi, M, D’Arminio Monforte, A, Gaia Miraglia, F, Bruno, R, Vecchia, M, Girardis, M, Venturelli, S, Busani, S, Cossarizza, A, Antinori, A, Vergori, A, Emiliozzi, A, Rusconi, S, Siano, M, Gabrieli, A, Riva, A, Francisci, D, Schiaroli, E, Paciosi, F, Tommasi, A, Zuccon, U, Vietri, L, Giorgio Scotton, P, Andretta, F, Panese, S, Baratti, S, Scaggiante, R, Gatti, F, Giuseppe Parisi, S, Castelli, F, Quiros-Roldan, E, Degli Antoni, M, Zanella, I, Della Monica, M, Piscopo, C, Capasso, M, Russo, R, Andolfo, I, Iolascon, A, Fiorentino, G, Carella, M, Castori, M, Aucella, F, Raggi, P, Perna, R, Bassetti, M, Di Biagio, A, Sanguinetti, M, Masucci, L, Guarnaccia, A, Valente, S, De Vivo, O, Bargagli, E, Mandalà, M, Giorli, A, Salerni, L, Zucchi, P, Parravicini, P, Menatti, E, Trotta, T, Giannattasio, F, Coiro, G, Lena, F, Lacerenza, G, Coviello, D, Mussini, C, Martinelli, E, Tavecchia, L, Ann Belli, M, Crotti, L, Parati, G, Sanarico, M, Biscarini, F, Stella, A, Rizzi, M, Maggiolo, F, Ripamonti, D, Suardi, C, Bachetti, T, Teresa La Rovere, M, Sarzi-Braga, S, Bussotti, M, Capitani, K, Dei, S, Ravaglia, S, Artuso, R, Andreucci, E, Gori, G, Pagliazzi, A, Fiorentini, E, Perrella, A, Bianchi, F, Bergomi, P, Catena, E, Colombo, R, Luchi, S, Morelli, G, Petrocelli, P, Iacopini, S, Modica, S, Baroni, S, Vladimiro Segala, F, Menichetti, F, Falcone, M, Tiseo, G, Barbieri, C, Matucci, T, Grassi, D, Ferri, C, Marinangeli, F, Brancati, F, Vincenti, A, Borgo, V, Lombardi, S, Lenzi, M, Antonio Di Pietro, M, Vichi, F, Romanin, B, Attala, L, Costa, C, Gabbuti, A, Menè, R, Colaneri, M, Casprini, P, Merla, G, Maria Squeo, G, Maffezzoni, M, Mantovani, S, Mondelli &amp, M, and Ludovisi, S

Subjects
Genetics, Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), Host (biology), COVID-19, Medicine (miscellaneous), Settore BIO/11 - Biologia Molecolare, Biology, Settore MED/07 - MICROBIOLOGIA E MICROBIOLOGIA CLINICA, Whole Exome Sequencing, General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology, machine learning, Phenotype, Exome Sequencing, Humans, Genetic Predisposition to Disease, Genome-Wide Association Study, General Agricultural and Biological Sciences, COVID, Human
Abstract

We employed a multifaceted computational strategy to identify the genetic factors contributing to increased risk of severe COVID-19 infection from a Whole Exome Sequencing (WES) dataset of a cohort of 2000 Italian patients. We coupled a stratified k-fold screening, to rank variants more associated with severity, with training of multiple supervised classifiers, to predict severity on the basis of screened features. Feature importance analysis from tree-based models allowed to identify a handful of 16 variants with highest support which, together with age and gender covariates, were found to be most predictive of COVID-19 severity. When tested on a follow-up cohort, our ensemble of models predicted severity with good accuracy (ACC=81.88%; ROC_AUC=96%; MCC=61.55%). Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and clustering of patients on important variants orthogonally identified two groups of individuals with a higher fraction of severe cases. Our model recapitulated a vast literature of emerging molecular mechanisms and genetic factors linked to COVID-19 response and extends previous landmark Genome Wide Association Studies (GWAS). It revealed a network of interplaying genetic signatures converging on established immune system and inflammatory processes linked to viral infection response, such as JAK-STAT, Cytokine, Interleukin, and C-type lectin receptor signaling. It also identified additional processes cross-talking with immune pathways, such as GPCR signalling, which might offer additional opportunities for therapeutic intervention and patient stratification. Publicly available PheWAS datasets revealed that several variants were significantly associated with phenotypic traits such as “Respiratory or thoracic disease”, confirming their link with COVID-19 severity outcome. Taken together, our analysis suggests that curated genetic information can be effectively integrated along with other patient clinical covariates to forecast COVID-19 disease severity and dissect the underlying host genetic mechanisms for personalized medicine treatments.

Published
2022

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