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1. Mild-to-Moderate Kidney Dysfunction and Cardiovascular Disease: Observational and Mendelian Randomization Analyses

Author

Liam Gaziano, Luanluan Sun, Matthew Arnold, Steven Bell, Kelly Cho, Stephen K. Kaptoge, Rebecca J. Song, Stephen Burgess, Daniel C. Posner, Katja Mosconi, Cassianne Robinson-Cohen, Amy M. Mason, Thomas R. Bolton, Ran Tao, Elias Allara, Petra Schubert, Lingyan Chen, James R. Staley, Natalie Staplin, Servet Altay, Pilar Amiano, Volker Arndt, Johan Ärnlöv, Elizabeth L.M. Barr, Cecilia Björkelund, Jolanda M.A. Boer, Hermann Brenner, Edoardo Casiglia, Paolo Chiodini, Jackie A. Cooper, Josef Coresh, Mary Cushman, Rachel Dankner, Karina W. Davidson, Renate T. de Jongh, Chiara Donfrancesco, Gunnar Engström, Heinz Freisling, Agustín Gómez de la Cámara, Vilmundur Gudnason, Graeme J. Hankey, Per-Olof Hansson, Alicia K. Heath, Ewout J. Hoorn, Hironori Imano, Simerjot K. Jassal, Rudolf Kaaks, Verena Katzke, Jussi Kauhanen, Stefan Kiechl, Wolfgang Koenig, Richard A. Kronmal, Cecilie Kyrø, Deborah A. Lawlor, Börje Ljungberg, Conor MacDonald, Giovanna Masala, Christa Meisinger, Olle Melander, Conchi Moreno Iribas, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Dorothea Nitsch, Børge G. Nordestgaard, Charlotte Onland-Moret, Luigi Palmieri, Dafina Petrova, Jose Ramón Quirós Garcia, Annika Rosengren, Carlotta Sacerdote, Masaru Sakurai, Carmen Santiuste, Matthias B. Schulze, Sabina Sieri, Johan Sundström, Valérie Tikhonoff, Anne Tjønneland, Tammy Tong, Rosario Tumino, Ioanna Tzoulaki, Yvonne T. van der Schouw, W.M. Monique Verschuren, Henry Völzke, Robert B. Wallace, S. Goya Wannamethee, Elisabete Weiderpass, Peter Willeit, Mark Woodward, Kazumasa Yamagishi, Raul Zamora-Ros, Elvis A. Akwo, Saiju Pyarajan, David R. Gagnon, Philip S. Tsao, Sumitra Muralidhar, Todd L. Edwards, Scott M. Damrauer, Jacob Joseph, Lisa Pennells, Peter W.F. Wilson, Seamus Harrison, Thomas A. Gaziano, Michael Inouye, Colin Baigent, Juan P. Casas, Claudia Langenberg, Nick Wareham, Elio Riboli, J.Michael Gaziano, John Danesh, Adriana M. Hung, Adam S. Butterworth, Angela M. Wood, Emanuele Di Angelantonio, Anna Koettgen, Jonathan Shaw, Robert Atkins, Paul Zimmet, Peter Whincup, Johann Willeit, Christoph Leitner, Anne Tybjaerg-Hansen, Peter Schnohr, Shoaib Afzal, David Lora Pablos, Cristina Martin Arriscado, Carmen Romero Ferreiro, Hannah Stocker, Ben Schöttker, Bernd Holleczek, Angela Chetrit, Lennart Welin, Kurt Svärdsudd, Lauren Lissner, Dominique Hange, Kirsten Mehlig, Dorothea Nagel, Paul E. Norman, Osvaldo Almeida, Leon Flicker, Jun Hata, Takanori Honda, Yoshihiko Furuta, Hiroyasu Iso, Akihiko Kitamura, Isao Muraki, Jukka T. Salonen, Tomi-Pekka Tuomainen, E. M. van Zutphen, N. M. van Schoor, Cinzia Lo Noce, Richard Kronmal, Georg Lappas, Peter M. Nilsson, Bo Hedblad, Jonathan Shaffer, Joseph Schwartz, Daichi Shimbo, Shinichi Sato, Mina Hayama-Terada, Simerjot Jassal, Thor Aspelund, Bolli Thorsson, Gunnar Sigurdsson, Layal Chaker, Kamran M. Ikram, Maryam Kavousi, Hugh Tunstall-Pedoe, Günay Can, Hüsniye Yüksel, Uğur Özkan, Hideaki Nakagawa, Yuko Morikawa, Masao Ishizaki, Edith Feskens, Johanna M Geleijnse, Daan Kromhout, Internal Medicine, Neurology, Epidemiology, Bell, Steven [0000-0001-6774-3149], Posner, Daniel C [0000-0002-3056-6924], Mason, Amy M [0000-0002-8019-0777], Allara, Elias [0000-0002-1634-8330], Staplin, Natalie [0000-0003-4482-4418], Arndt, Volker [0000-0001-9320-8684], Ärnlöv, Johan [0000-0002-6933-4637], Barr, Elizabeth LM [0000-0003-4284-1716], Boer, Jolanda MA [0000-0002-9714-4304], Brenner, Hermann [0000-0002-6129-1572], Casiglia, Edoardo [0000-0002-0003-3289], Chiodini, Paolo [0000-0003-0139-2264], Coresh, Josef [0000-0002-4598-0669], Cushman, Mary [0000-0002-7871-6143], Davidson, Karina W [0000-0002-9162-477X], de Jongh, Renate T [0000-0001-8414-3938], Engström, Gunnar [0000-0002-8618-9152], de la Cámara, Agustín Gómez [0000-0001-6827-6319], Gudnason, Vilmundur [0000-0001-5696-0084], Hankey, Graeme J [0000-0002-6044-7328], Hansson, Per-Olof [0000-0001-6323-0506], Heath, Alicia K [0000-0001-6517-1300], Hoorn, Ewout J [0000-0002-8738-3571], Imano, Hironori [0000-0002-6661-4254], Katzke, Verena [0000-0002-6509-6555], Kiechl, Stefan [0000-0002-9836-2514], Koenig, Wolfgang [0000-0002-2064-9603], Kronmal, Richard A [0000-0002-9897-7076], Kyrø, Cecilie [0000-0002-9083-8960], Ljungberg, Börje [0000-0002-4121-3753], MacDonald, Conor [0000-0002-4989-803X], Masala, Giovanna [0000-0002-5758-9069], Ninomiya, Toshiharu [0000-0003-1345-9032], Nordestgaard, Børge G [0000-0002-1954-7220], Onland-Moret, Charlotte [0000-0002-2360-913X], Palmieri, Luigi [0000-0002-4298-2642], Rosengren, Annika [0000-0002-5409-6605], Schulze, Matthias B [0000-0002-0830-5277], Sieri, Sabina [0000-0001-5201-172X], Sundström, Johan [0000-0003-2247-8454], Tikhonoff, Valérie [0000-0001-7846-0101], Tong, Tammy [0000-0002-0284-8959], Tzoulaki, Ioanna [0000-0002-4275-9328], van der Schouw, Yvonne T [0000-0002-4605-435X], Wannamethee, S Goya [0000-0001-9484-9977], Weiderpass, Elisabete [0000-0003-2237-0128], Willeit, Peter [0000-0002-1866-7159], Woodward, Mark [0000-0001-9800-5296], Yamagishi, Kazumasa [0000-0003-3301-5519], Zamora-Ros, Raul [0000-0002-6236-6804], Gagnon, David R [0000-0002-6367-3179], Tsao, Philip S [0000-0001-7274-9318], Edwards, Todd L [0000-0003-4318-6119], Damrauer, Scott M [0000-0001-8009-1632], Joseph, Jacob [0000-0002-7279-4896], Pennells, Lisa [0000-0002-8594-3061], Gaziano, Thomas A [0000-0002-5985-345X], Langenberg, Claudia [0000-0002-5017-7344], Wareham, Nick [0000-0003-1422-2993], Hung, Adriana M [0000-0002-3203-1608], Butterworth, Adam S [0000-0002-6915-9015], Di Angelantonio, Emanuele [0000-0001-8776-6719], Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository, Gaziano, Liam, Sun, Luanluan, Arnold, Matthew, Bell, Steven, Cho, Kelly, Kaptoge, Stephen K, Song, Rebecca J, Burgess, Stephen, Posner, Daniel C, Mosconi, Katja, Robinson-Cohen, Cassianne, Mason, Amy M, Bolton, Thomas R, Tao, Ran, Allara, Elia, Schubert, Petra, Chen, Lingyan, Staley, James R, Staplin, Natalie, Altay, Servet, Amiano, Pilar, Arndt, Volker, Ärnlöv, Johan, Barr, Elizabeth L M, Björkelund, Cecilia, Boer, Jolanda M A, Brenner, Hermann, Casiglia, Edoardo, Chiodini, Paolo, Cooper, Jackie A, Coresh, Josef, Cushman, Mary, Dankner, Rachel, Davidson, Karina W, de Jongh, Renate T, Donfrancesco, Chiara, Engström, Gunnar, Freisling, Heinz, de la Cámara, Agustín Gómez, Gudnason, Vilmundur, Hankey, Graeme J, Hansson, Per-Olof, Heath, Alicia K, Hoorn, Ewout J, Imano, Hironori, Jassal, Simerjot K, Kaaks, Rudolf, Katzke, Verena, Kauhanen, Jussi, Kiechl, Stefan, Koenig, Wolfgang, Kronmal, Richard A, Kyrø, Cecilie, Lawlor, Deborah A, Ljungberg, Börje, Macdonald, Conor, Masala, Giovanna, Meisinger, Christa, Melander, Olle, Moreno Iribas, Conchi, Ninomiya, Toshiharu, Nitsch, Dorothea, Nordestgaard, Børge G, Onland-Moret, Charlotte, Palmieri, Luigi, Petrova, Dafina, Garcia, Jose Ramón Quiró, Rosengren, Annika, Sacerdote, Carlotta, Sakurai, Masaru, Santiuste, Carmen, Schulze, Matthias B, Sieri, Sabina, Sundström, Johan, Tikhonoff, Valérie, Tjønneland, Anne, Tong, Tammy, Tumino, Rosario, Tzoulaki, Ioanna, van der Schouw, Yvonne T, Monique Verschuren, W M, Völzke, Henry, Wallace, Robert B, Wannamethee, S Goya, Weiderpass, Elisabete, Willeit, Peter, Woodward, Mark, Yamagishi, Kazumasa, Zamora-Ros, Raul, Akwo, Elvis A, Pyarajan, Saiju, Gagnon, David R, Tsao, Philip S, Muralidhar, Sumitra, Edwards, Todd L, Damrauer, Scott M, Joseph, Jacob, Pennells, Lisa, Wilson, Peter W F, Harrison, Seamu, Gaziano, Thomas A, Inouye, Michael, Baigent, Colin, Casas, Juan P, Langenberg, Claudia, Wareham, Nick, Riboli, Elio, Gaziano, J Michael, Danesh, John, Hung, Adriana M, Butterworth, Adam S, Wood, Angela M, Di Angelantonio, Emanuele, Internal medicine, AMS - Ageing & Vitality, AMS - Musculoskeletal Health, Amsterdam Gastroenterology Endocrinology Metabolism, Epidemiology and Data Science, APH - Aging & Later Life, and APH - Personalized Medicine

Subjects
kidney disease, General Practice, Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration/EPIC-CVD/Million Veteran Program, Coronary Disease, coronary disease, Kidney, Malalties coronàries, 1117 Public Health and Health Services, Coronary diseases, SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being, cardiovascular disease, Risk Factors, Physiology (medical), Diabetes Mellitus, Humans, Cardiac and Cardiovascular Systems, Prospective Studies, 1102 Cardiorespiratory Medicine and Haematology, Kardiologi, Kidney diseases, Malalties cardiovasculars, Cardiovascular Diseases, Kidney Diseases, Stroke, 1103 Clinical Sciences, Mendelian Randomization Analysis, kidney diseases, stroke, Allmänmedicin, Cardiovascular diseases, Cardiovascular System & Hematology, Malalties del ronyó, Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine, cardiovascular diseases
Abstract

Background: End-stage renal disease is associated with a high risk of cardiovascular events. It is unknown, however, whether mild-to-moderate kidney dysfunction is causally related to coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke. Methods: Observational analyses were conducted using individual-level data from 4 population data sources (Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration, EPIC-CVD [European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition–Cardiovascular Disease Study], Million Veteran Program, and UK Biobank), comprising 648 135 participants with no history of cardiovascular disease or diabetes at baseline, yielding 42 858 and 15 693 incident CHD and stroke events, respectively, during 6.8 million person-years of follow-up. Using a genetic risk score of 218 variants for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), we conducted Mendelian randomization analyses involving 413 718 participants (25 917 CHD and 8622 strokes) in EPIC-CVD, Million Veteran Program, and UK Biobank. Results: There were U-shaped observational associations of creatinine-based eGFR with CHD and stroke, with higher risk in participants with eGFR values 105 mL·min –1 ·1.73 m –2 , compared with those with eGFR between 60 and 105 mL·min –1 ·1.73 m –2 . Mendelian randomization analyses for CHD showed an association among participants with eGFR –1 ·1.73 m –2 , with a 14% (95% CI, 3%–27%) higher CHD risk per 5 mL·min –1 ·1.73 m –2 lower genetically predicted eGFR, but not for those with eGFR >105 mL·min –1 ·1.73 m –2 . Results were not materially different after adjustment for factors associated with the eGFR genetic risk score, such as lipoprotein(a), triglycerides, hemoglobin A1c, and blood pressure. Mendelian randomization results for stroke were nonsignificant but broadly similar to those for CHD. Conclusions: In people without manifest cardiovascular disease or diabetes, mild-to-moderate kidney dysfunction is causally related to risk of CHD, highlighting the potential value of preventive approaches that preserve and modulate kidney function.

Published
2022

2. Association Between Depressive Symptoms and Incident Cardiovascular Diseases

Author

Philippe Amouyel, Paul J. Nietert, Jussi Kauhanen, Emanuele Di Angelantonio, Frank Kee, Elaine M. Dennison, Sylvia Wassertheil-Smoller, Angela M. Wood, Joseph E. Schwartz, Lewis H. Kuller, Lisa F. Berkman, Robert B. Wallace, Lisa Pennells, Leon A. Simons, Daan Kromhout, Elizabeth L M Barr, Stephen Kaptoge, Sarah Spackman, E. M. van Zutphen, Steven J Shea, Dan G. Blazer, Peter Willeit, Eric L. Harshfield, John Danesh, Karina W. Davidson, Gail A. Laughlin, Jonathan A. Shaffer, Haakon E. Meyer, Thomas A. W. Bolton, Harlan M. Krumholz, Steven Bell, Harshfield, Eric [0000-0001-8767-0928], Pennells, Lisa [0000-0002-8594-3061], Kaptoge, Stephen [0000-0002-1155-4872], Bell, Steven [0000-0001-6774-3149], Wood, Angela [0000-0002-7937-304X], Danesh, John [0000-0003-1158-6791], Di Angelantonio, Emanuele [0000-0001-8776-6719], Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository, Psychiatry, APH - Mental Health, and APH - Aging & Later Life

Subjects
Male, medicine.medical_specialty, Coronary Disease, 01 natural sciences, Cohort Studies, 03 medical and health sciences, 0302 clinical medicine, Risk Factors, Internal medicine, Epidemiology, medicine, Humans, cardiovascular diseases, 030212 general & internal medicine, 0101 mathematics, Prospective cohort study, Stroke, METAANALYSIS, Depression (differential diagnoses), Aged, Original Investigation, RISK, Depression, business.industry, Incidence, MORTALITY, Incidence (epidemiology), 010102 general mathematics, Hazard ratio, General Medicine, Middle Aged, medicine.disease, Patient Health Questionnaire, Cardiovascular Diseases, Female, business, STROKE, Cohort study
Abstract

Importance: It is uncertain whether depressive symptoms are independently associated with subsequent risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD). Objective: To characterize the association between depressive symptoms and CVD incidence across the spectrum of lower mood. Design, setting and participants: A pooled analysis of individual-participant-data from the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration (ERFC; 162,036 participants; 21 cohorts; baseline surveys, 1960-2008; latest follow-up, March 2020) and UK Biobank (UKB; 401,219 participants; baseline surveys, 2006-2010; latest follow-up, March 2020). Eligible participants had information about self-reported depressive symptoms and no CVD history at baseline. Exposure: Depressive symptoms were recorded using validated instruments. ERFC scores were harmonized across studies to a scale representative of the Centre for Epidemiological Studies Depression scale (CES-D; range 0-60; ≥16 indicates possible depressive disorder). UKB recorded the Patient Health Questionnaire-2 (PHQ-2; range 0-6; ≥3 indicates possible depressive disorder). Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcomes were incident fatal/nonfatal coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke and CVD (composite of CHD and stroke). Hazard ratios (HRs) per 1-SD higher log-CES-D or PHQ-2 adjusted for age, sex, smoking and diabetes were reported. Results: Among 162,036 participants from the ERFC, 73% were female, mean (SD) age at baseline was 63 (9) years, and 5,078 CHD and 3,932 stroke events were recorded (median follow-up, 9.5-years). Associations with CHD, stroke and CVD were log-linear. HRs (95%CI) per 1SD higher depression score for CHD, stroke and CVD respectively were 1.07 (1.03-1.11), 1.05 (1.01-1.10), and 1.06 (1.04-1.08). This reflects, 36 versus 29 CHD events, 28 versus 25 stroke events, and 63 versus 54 CVD events per 1000 individuals over 10 years in the highest versus lowest quintile of CES-D (geometric mean CES-D score, 19 versus 1). Among 401,219 participants from the UKB, 55% were female, mean baseline age was 56 (8) years, and 4607 CHD and 3253 stroke events were recorded (median follow-up, 8.1-years). HRs per 1SD higher depression score for CHD, stroke and CVD respectively were 1.11 (1.08-1.14), 1.10 (1.06-1.14) and 1.10 (1.08-1.13). This reflects, 21 versus 14 CHD events, 15 versus 10 stroke events, and 36 versus 25 CVD events per 1000 individuals over 10 years in those with PHQ2 ≥4 versus 0. The magnitude and statistical significance of the HRs were not materially changed after adjustment for additional risk factors. Conclusions and Relevance: In a pooled analysis of 563,255 participants in 22 cohorts, baseline depressive symptoms were associated with CVD incidence, including at symptom levels below the threshold indicative of a depressive disorder. However, the magnitude of associations was modest., Lisa Pennells, Stephen Kaptoge and Sarah Spackman are funded by a British Heart Foundation Programme Grant (RG/18/13/33946). Steven Bell was funded by the National Institute for Health Research Blood and Transplant Research Unit in Donor Health and Genomics (NIHR BTRU-2014-10024). Tom Bolton is funded by the National Institute for Health Research Blood and Transplant Research Unit in Donor Health and Genomics (NIHR BTRU-2014-10024). Angela Wood is supported by a BHF-Turing Cardiovascular Data Science Award and by the EC-Innovative Medicines Initiative (BigData@Heart). John Danesh holds a British Heart Foundation Professorship and a National Institute for Health Research Senior Investigator Award.* *The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the NHS, the NIHR or the Department of Health and Social Care.

Published
2020

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