1. Machine-learning versus traditional methods for prediction of all-cause mortality after transcatheter aortic valve implantation: a systematic review and meta-analysis
- Author
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Clara K Chow, Aravinda Thiagalingam, Rohan Jayasinghe, Sarah Zaman, Stephen Bacchi, Justin Chan, Aashray Gupta, Shaun Evans, Pramesh Kovoor, Brandon Stretton, Jayme Bennetts, Ammar Zaka, Naim Mridha, Joshua Kovoor, Gopal Sivagangabalan, Cecil Mustafiz, Daud Mutahar, Shreyans Sinhal, James Gorcilov, Benjamin Muston, Fabio Ramponi, and Dale J Murdoch
- Subjects
Diseases of the circulatory (Cardiovascular) system ,RC666-701 - Abstract
Background Accurate mortality prediction following transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) is essential for mitigating risk, shared decision-making and periprocedural planning. Surgical risk models have demonstrated modest discriminative value for patients undergoing TAVI and are typically poorly calibrated, with incremental improvements seen in TAVI-specific models. Machine learning (ML) models offer an alternative risk stratification that may offer improved predictive accuracy.Methods PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science and Cochrane databases were searched until 16 December 2023 for studies comparing ML models with traditional statistical methods for event prediction after TAVI. The primary outcome was comparative discrimination measured by C-statistics with 95% CIs between ML models and traditional methods in estimating the risk of all-cause mortality at 30 days and 1 year.Results Nine studies were included (29 608 patients). The summary C-statistic of the top performing ML models was 0.79 (95% CI 0.71 to 0.86), compared with traditional methods 0.68 (95% CI 0.61 to 0.76). The difference in C-statistic between all ML models and traditional methods was 0.11 (p
- Published
- 2025
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