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The mobilization potential of emergency materials plays an important role for the response to emergency materials under emergencies in China. This paper measures the emergency materials mobilization potential by the final product of the emergency materials after the conversion of raw materials, and establishes the emergency materials mobilization potential evaluation model using system dynamics through analyzing the internal feedback relationship of each sub-module that constitutes the emergency materials mobilization potential. Taking China's petroleum industry chain as the actual background, and the mobilization potential of refined oil as an example, using the idea of "scenario-response", this paper expands the idea of assessing the state value of mobilization potential, quantitatively assesses mobilization potential of refined oil from the aspects of total amount, a certain time point and a certain period of time. The results show that when the demand is at a low level, the reserves of crude oil and refined oil have the greatest contribution to the refined oil mobilization potential. With the increase of demand, the contribution of the company's supernormal production is gradually increasing. In addition, the four factors of the actual production capacity of emergency materials, the amount of crude oil or refined oil reserves and crude oil conversion coefficient have the greatest impact on the refined oil mobilization potential, so it should focus on improving the actual production capacity of emergency materials, the amount of raw materials or final product reserves and the productive efficiency of emergency materials. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

After a disaster, emergency production will become significant method for ensuring emergency material's demand, if the storage can not satisfy emergency material's demand. Implementation of the government's mobilization policy and change in raw material supply was introduced to describe its influence to emergency material production capacity. A multi-objective programming model for emergency material production and transportation was established to minimize the time of emergency material to the disaster area and minimize the total production and transportation cost. The model contained multiply species of raw material suppliers, multiple emergency material manufacturers and one affected area. The paper applied the NSGA-II (Non-clominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II) to the solution of the model and produced Pareto optimal solution set, which could provide decision makers with a variety aids decisionmaking solutions of emergency materials mobilization production. Simulation case analysis shows that the government needs to implement a plan to mobilize manufacturers and suppliers in order to maximize the manufacturer's productivity advantage. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Emergency transportation for oil products (ETOP) is the important content for guaranteeing emergency materials in emergency response phase. The paper researched main factors influencing efficiency of ETOP based on system dynamics. ETOP was divided into four cases, including pipeline transportation, railway transportation, road transportation and waterway transportation in terms of mode of transportation, and the system dynamics model of ETOP was built. Simulation verification was applied using China National Petroleum Corporation’s ETOP during the Wenchuan Earthquake in 2008. The research illustrates: in the process of ETOP, oil companies could augment pipeline transportation rate effectively by promoting oil pipeline security capacity; oil companies could enhance railway and waterway transportation rates effectively through the government’s planning and coordination, strengthening communication and coordination with railroad and waterway apartment; applying the three emergency transportation strategies above could greatly improve ETOP capacity. Furthermore, increasing road transportation rate, could be an alternative strategy, although it could not significantly enhance ETOP capacity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]