251. Confidence Calibration and Predictive Uncertainty Estimation for Deep Medical Image Segmentation
- Author
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Clare M. Tempany, Purang Abolmaesumi, Alireza Mehrtash, Tina Kapur, and William M. Wells
- Subjects
FOS: Computer and information sciences ,Normalization (statistics) ,Male ,Computer science ,Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (cs.CV) ,Computer Science - Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition ,Normalization (image processing) ,Image processing ,Convolutional neural network ,Article ,030218 nuclear medicine & medical imaging ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,FOS: Electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,Medical imaging ,Image Processing, Computer-Assisted ,Humans ,Segmentation ,Electrical and Electronic Engineering ,Radiological and Ultrasound Technology ,Artificial neural network ,business.industry ,Image and Video Processing (eess.IV) ,Uncertainty ,Brain ,Pattern recognition ,Image segmentation ,Electrical Engineering and Systems Science - Image and Video Processing ,3. Good health ,Computer Science Applications ,Calibration ,Artificial intelligence ,Neural Networks, Computer ,business ,Software - Abstract
Fully convolutional neural networks (FCNs), and in particular U-Nets, have achieved state-of-the-art results in semantic segmentation for numerous medical imaging applications. Moreover, batch normalization and Dice loss have been used successfully to stabilize and accelerate training. However, these networks are poorly calibrated i.e. they tend to produce overconfident predictions both in correct and erroneous classifications, making them unreliable and hard to interpret. In this paper, we study predictive uncertainty estimation in FCNs for medical image segmentation. We make the following contributions: 1) We systematically compare cross entropy loss with Dice loss in terms of segmentation quality and uncertainty estimation of FCNs; 2) We propose model ensembling for confidence calibration of the FCNs trained with batch normalization and Dice loss; 3) We assess the ability of calibrated FCNs to predict segmentation quality of structures and detect out-of-distribution test examples. We conduct extensive experiments across three medical image segmentation applications of the brain, the heart, and the prostate to evaluate our contributions. The results of this study offer considerable insight into the predictive uncertainty estimation and out-of-distribution detection in medical image segmentation and provide practical recipes for confidence calibration. Moreover, we consistently demonstrate that model ensembling improves confidence calibration., Journal of IEEE Transactions on Medical Imaging
- Published
- 2020