101. Risk and Predictors of Variceal Bleeding in Cirrhosis Patients Receiving Primary Prophylaxis With Non-Selective Beta-Blockers
- Author
-
Hashem B. El-Serag, Shailesh Advani, Richa Shukla, Jun Ying, Yumei Cao, Fasiha Kanwal, Jennifer R. Kramer, Aylin Tansel, and Annette Walder
- Subjects
Liver Cirrhosis ,Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Variceal bleeding ,Cirrhosis ,Adrenergic beta-Antagonists ,Comorbidity ,Esophageal and Gastric Varices ,Risk Assessment ,Gastroenterology ,Cohort Studies ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Heart Rate ,Risk Factors ,Internal medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Beta (finance) ,Aged ,Proportional Hazards Models ,Retrospective Studies ,Dose-Response Relationship, Drug ,Hepatology ,business.industry ,Proportional hazards model ,Age Factors ,Ascites ,Retrospective cohort study ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Propranolol ,United States ,Primary Prevention ,Nadolol ,United States Department of Veterans Affairs ,Female ,030211 gastroenterology & hepatology ,Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage ,business ,Risk assessment ,Cohort study - Abstract
Prior studies have demonstrated the efficacy of non-selective beta-blockers (NSBB) in preventing first variceal bleeding in patients with cirrhosis. However, little is known about the overall effectiveness of NSBB in routine clinical care.We conducted a retrospective cohort study of cirrhotic patients without prior bleeding who initiated a NSBB (propranolol, nadolol) at any Veterans Administration facility between 2008 and 2013. The primary outcome was variceal bleeding within 12 months. We conducted Cox-proportional hazards analyses to identify demographic, clinical, and NSBB-related (type of NSBB, mean dose, dose change, and heart rate response) factors associated with variceal bleeding.Of 5,775 patients, 678 (11.7%) developed variceal bleeding. Mean daily dose of NSBB was40 mg in 58.8%, 18.1% had either upward or downward titration in NSBB dose, and 9.8% had hemodynamic response. Patients who were younger, with ascites, greater medical comorbidity, and higher MELD (Model for end-stage liver disease) scores had a higher risk of variceal bleeding. Patients on a higher daily dose (60 vs.40 mg, adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 0.64; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.51-0.81), who had either upward or downward dose titration (adjusted HR 0.69; 95% CI: 0.52-0.90 and 0.64; 95% CI 0.45-0.90, respectively), and those who achieved hemodynamic response (adjusted HR 0.75; 95% CI=0.57-1.0) had lower risk.Approximately 12% of patients bled while being on NSBB for primary prophylaxis. A higher NSBB dose and dose titration were protective; yet most patients did not have the NSBB dose titrated to the recommended levels. Our data highlight the need for careful monitoring of cirrhotic patients on NSBB.
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
- View/download PDF