269 results on '"Giesen N"'
Search Results
102. Energy balance closure and footprint analysis using Eddy Covariance measurements in Eastern Burkina Faso, West Africa
- Author
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Bagayoko, F., primary, Yonkeu, S., additional, and van de Giesen, N. C., additional
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
103. Using a spatio-temporal dynamic state-space model with the EM algorithm to patch gaps in daily riverflow series
- Author
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Amisigo, B. A., primary and van de Giesen, N. C., additional
- Published
- 2005
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
104. Using a spatio-temporal dynamic state-space model with the EM algorithm to patch gaps in daily riverflow series, with examples from the Volta Basin, West Africa
- Author
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Amisigo, B. A., primary and van de Giesen, N. C., additional
- Published
- 2005
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
105. Water Flux in a Cashew Orchard during a Wet-to-Dry Transition Period: Analysis of Sap Flow and Eddy Correlation Measurements
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Oguntunde, P. G., primary, van de Giesen, N. C., additional, Vlek, P. L. G., additional, and Eggers, H., additional
- Published
- 2004
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
106. Scenario development for decision-making in water resources planning and management.
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Congli Dong and van de Giesen, N.
- Published
- 2011
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- View/download PDF
107. Scale effects of Hortonian overland flow and rainfall‐runoff dynamics: laboratory validation of a process‐based model
- Author
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Stomph, T. J., primary, de Ridder, N., additional, Steenhuis, T. S., additional, and Van de Giesen, N. C., additional
- Published
- 2002
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
108. A flume design for the study of slope length effects on runoff
- Author
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Stomph, T. J., primary, De Ridder, N., additional, and Van De Giesen, N. C., additional
- Published
- 2001
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
109. Scale effects of Hortonian overland flow and rainfall-runoff dynamics in a West African catena landscape
- Author
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van De Giesen, N. C., primary, Stomph, T. J., additional, and de Ridder, N., additional
- Published
- 2000
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
110. Transient flow to open drains: Comparison of linearized solutions with and without the Dupuit assumption
- Author
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van de Giesen, N. C., primary, Parlange, J.-Y., additional, and Steenhuis, T. S., additional
- Published
- 1994
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
111. Measuring Inappropriate Responses of Adolescents to Problematic Social Situations in Secure Institutional and Correctional Youth Care: A Validation Study of the TOPS-A.
- Author
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van der Helm, G. H. P., Matthys, W., Moonen, X., Giesen, N., van Der Heide, Es., and Stams, G. J. J. M.
- Subjects
BEHAVIOR disorders ,SOCIAL disabilities ,CHI-squared test ,CORRECTIONAL institutions ,STATISTICAL correlation ,DISCRIMINANT analysis ,EXPERIMENTAL design ,FACTOR analysis ,INSTITUTIONAL care ,RESEARCH methodology ,QUESTIONNAIRES ,RELIABILITY (Personality trait) ,RESEARCH evaluation ,RESEARCH funding ,SCALES (Weighing instruments) ,MULTITRAIT multimethod techniques ,RESEARCH methodology evaluation ,STATISTICAL models ,DESCRIPTIVE statistics ,ADOLESCENCE ,DIAGNOSIS - Published
- 2013
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- View/download PDF
112. Diurnal Differences in Global ERS Scatterometer Backscatter Observations of the Land Surface.
- Author
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Friesen, J., Steele-Dunne, Susan C., and van de Giesen, N.
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DIURNAL variations in meteorology ,SOIL moisture ,TIME series analysis ,WIND speed measurement ,REMOTE sensing - Abstract
Soil moisture estimates from the European Remote Sensing Satellite (ERS)-1, ERS-2, and Metop scatterometer instruments are available as time series starting in 1991. To better understand the satellite signal backscatter data and the corresponding soil moisture estimates, differences between different overpass times are analyzed. An analysis of more than 15 years of ERS scatterometer data has shown distinct patterns in backscatter between different overpass times. Differences between backscatter data from descending (morning overpass) and ascending (evening overpass) tracks show spatial and temporal patterns that cannot be attributed to soil moisture. Based on regional studies, we highlight the main processes causing the diurnal differences in backscatter data. Data used for this study are based on preprocessed normalized backscatter [σ0(40)] and slope [σ'(40)] data from a modified TUWien WARP 5.0 algorithm. Results show that the diurnal differences in σ0(40) between descending and ascending data are systematic and are not artifacts from previous processing steps. Statistically significant diurnal differences [Δσ0(40)] are detected over about 30% of the land area, underscoring the potential significance for hydrologic remote sensing on a global scale. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
113. Using Diurnal Variation in Backscatter to Detect Vegetation Water Stress.
- Author
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Steele-Dunne, Susan C., Friesen, J., and van de Giesen, N.
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REMOTE sensing ,SAVANNAS ,VEGETATION & climate ,DIURNAL atmospheric pressure variations - Abstract
A difference has been detected between the C-band wind scatterometer measurements from the morning (descending) and evening (ascending) passes of the European Remote Sensing (ERS) 1/2 satellite. In the West African savanna, for example, these differences correspond to the onset of vegetation water stress. A literature review of the current state of knowledge regarding the diurnal variation in vegetation dielectric properties and its influence on observed backscatter is presented. A numerical sensitivity study using the Michigan microwave canopy scattering model was performed to investigate whether this difference might be explained by diurnal variation in the dielectric properties of the canopy. For vertically copolarized backscatter, as in the case of the ERS wind scatterometer, the greatest sensitivity is to leaf moisture (and, hence, dielectric constant), but the trunk moisture is significant at low values of leaf moisture content. This suggests that the ERS wind scatterometer may well detect changes in vegetation water status. The impact of leaf, branch, trunk, and soil moisture contents on L-band HH, VV, and HV backscatter was also investigated to explore the implications for the National Aeronautics and Space Administration's upcoming Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission. Results suggest that combining the morning and evening passes of the SMAP radar observations might yield valuable insight into water stress in areas otherwise considered too densely vegetated for traditional soil moisture retrieval. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
114. High resolution rainfall -- runoff measurement setup for green roof experiments in a tropical environment.
- Author
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Vergroesen, T., Man Joshi, U., Van de Giesen, N. C., and Van de Ven, F. H. M.
- Abstract
This article describes the measurement setup that is used for green roof experiments in a tropical environment, the required data treatment to obtain reliable values of rainfall, runoff and evapotranspiration, and how to deal with external disturbances that can influence the experiment results. High resolution rainfall runoff measurements to identify, understand and properly model the relevant runoff processes in a green roof require both tailored equipment and data treatment. A tipping bucket rain gauge is calibrated for and installed to measure minute based rain intensities. A runoff measuring setup is developed that can accurately quantify the runoff up to 6 l/min, and has a high resolution in both time and volume. Two different measuring setups are used to verify the evapotranspiration that is derived from the rainfall and runoff measurements. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2010
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
115. Measuring perspectives on future flood management on the Rhine: application and discussion of Q methodology.
- Author
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Raadgever, G. T., Mostert, E., and van de Giesen, N. C.
- Abstract
An overview of stakeholder perspectives promises to be useful in the agenda setting phase of water management policy processes. This paper compares different methods to measure perspectives, and identifies Q methodology as a structured method that allows for unbiased analysis. It is one of the first water management papers about Q methodology, and it presents a detailed discussion of the practical possibilities and limitations of the method, using future flood management in the Rhine basin as a case study. The application shows that there are three different stakeholder perspectives that are shared within groups of respondents: A) "Anticipation and institutions", B) "Space for flooding" and C) "Knowledge and engineering". The paper concludes that Q methodology can be used in practice to comprehensively elicit individual perspectives, to aggregate them in an objective way, and to identify major knowledge gaps and divergent goals. Because the method requires quite some skills and time from the analyst, and the sorting task may be difficult for the respondents, it is most appropriate for in-depth analysis. Additional research is required on how to use stakeholder perspectives in the development of mutual understanding and consensus in water management policy processes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2008
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- View/download PDF
116. The closed city as a strategy to reduce vulnerability of urban areas for climate change.
- Author
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De Graaf, R. E., Van de Giesen, N. C., and Van de Ven, F. H. M.
- Subjects
- *
CLIMATE change , *URBANIZATION , *WATER supply management , *DROUGHTS , *WATER levels , *LAND subsidence , *ABSOLUTE sea level change , *RURAL geography - Abstract
Urbanization, land subsidence and sea level rise will increase vulnerability to droughts in the urbanized low-lying areas in the western part of the Netherlands. In this paper a possibility is explored to decrease vulnerability of urban areas by implementing an alternative water supply option. A four component vulnerability framework is presented that includes threshold capacity, coping capacity, recovery capacity and adaptive capacity. By using the vulnerability framework it is elaborated that current water supply strategies in the Netherlands mainly focus on increasing threshold capacity by constructing improved water storage and delivery infrastructure. A complete vulnerability decreasing strategy requires measures that include all four components. Adaptive capacity can be developed by starting experiments with new modes of water supply. A concept which is symbolically called 'the closed city' uses local urban rainfall as the only source of water supply. The 'closed city' can decrease the water dependence of urban areas on (1) the surrounding rural areas that are diminishing in size and that are increasingly under strain and (2) river water resources that will probably be less constant and reliable as a result of climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
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117. Monthly streamflow prediction in the Volta Basin of West Africa: A SISO NARMAX polynomial modelling
- Author
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Amisigo, B.A., van de Giesen, N., Rogers, C., Andah, W.E.I., and Friesen, J.
- Subjects
- *
HYDROLOGIC cycle , *WATER supply , *NATURAL resources , *WATER consumption - Abstract
Abstract: Single-input-single-output (SISO) non-linear system identification techniques were employed to model monthly catchment runoff at selected gauging sites in the Volta Basin of West Africa. NARMAX (Non-linear Autoregressive Moving Average with eXogenous Input) polynomial models were fitted to basin monthly rainfall and gauging station runoff data for each of the selected sites and used to predict monthly runoff at the sites. An error reduction ratio (ERR) algorithm was used to order regressors for various combinations of input, output and noise lags (various model structures) and the significant regressors for each model selected by applying an Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) to independent rainfall-runoff validation series. Model parameters were estimated from the Matlab REGRESS function (an orthogonal least squares method). In each case, the sub-model without noise terms was fitted first followed by a fitting of the noise model. The coefficient of determination (R-squared), the Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency criterion (NSE) and the F statistic for the estimation (training) series were used to evaluate the significance of fit of each model to this series while model selection from the range of models fitted for each gauging site was done by examining the NSEs and the AICs of the validation series. Monthly runoff predictions from the selected models were very good, and the polynomial models appeared to have captured a good part of the rainfall-runoff non-linearity. The results indicate that the NARMAX modelling framework is suitable for monthly river runoff prediction in the Volta Basin. The several good models made available by the NARMAX modelling framework could be useful in the selection of model structures that also provide insights into the physical behaviour of the catchment rainfall-runoff system. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
118. Energy balance closure and footprint analysis using Eddy Covariance measurements in Eastern Burkina Faso, West Africa.
- Author
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Bagayoko, F., Yonkeu, S., and Van De Giesen, N. C.
- Abstract
The quality and the representativeness of the first long-term Eddy Covariance measurements in the savanna zone of West Africa were investigated using the energy balance closure and the footprint analysis. The quality and representativeness of the first long-term Eddy Covariance measurements over the West African savanna were investigated using the energy balance closure and the footprint analysis. The analysis covered four contrasting periods such as the complete dry season (January to March 2004), the dry to wet transition period (April to May 2004), the rainy season (June to September 2004) and the wet to dry transition period (October to November 2004). The results show that the overall energy balance closure can be considered as satisfactory over the whole dataset. The regression fit between (Rn-G) and (H+λE) was significant (P ²0.05) with a coefficient of determination (r2) of 0.80 and a slope of 0.88, while the intercept was 25W/m². The energy balance closure was affected by rain during the rainy season (r²=0.69), and by sampling problems during the transition periods (R² were 0.80 and 0.86, respectively). The footprint analysis shows that the fetch ranged between 20m (daytime) and 800m (nighttime). This range showed that the fetch was adequate and fluxes sampled were representative, especially during the rainy season when the vegetal cover was dominated by crops and grasses with scale length of a few meters. During the dry season when the surface is free from crops and grasses, the measurements were also representative as about 60% of the trees around the station were contributing to the measured fluxes. However, during the transition periods some sampling problems appeared, less than 30% of the trees were contributing to the measured fluxes. The relevance of the dominant wind direction in the representativeness of the measurements was also discussed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
119. Effect of seasonal dynamics of vegetation cover on land surface models: a case study of NOAH LSM over a savanna farm land in eastern Burkina Faso, West Africa.
- Author
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Bagayoko, F., Yonkeu, S., and Van De Giesen, N. C.
- Abstract
The sensitivity of the land surface model of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), the Oregon State University, the Air Force and the Hydrologic Research Lab (NOAH LSM) was evaluated with respect to the seasonal dynamics of the vegetation cover in the savanna area under intensive agriculture in the eastern part of Burkina Faso, West Africa. The data collected during the first long-term measurement of the surface fluxes in this mentioned region was used for this purpose. The choice of NOAH LSM was motivated by the fact that it has already been tested in different environments in West Africa, especially in Ghana. The sensitivity was tested by comparing the simulated surfaces fluxes using a fixed values of the roughness length for momentum as a standard in the model and the true seasonal value of this variable. The results show that NOAH LSM was not sensitive to the change of the roughness length for momentum neither on a seasonal basis nor on a daily basis, which was found to be abnormal. The formulation of the coefficient (B
c ) coupling the dry canopy transpiration to the atmosphere was found to be the main reason for this. An improved formulation for this coefficient was given to solve this insensitivity and to improve the performance of the model. Recommendations are also given to enhance the performance of the model in the West African savanna environment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
120. Interactive comment on "Using a spatio-temporal dynamic state-space model with the EM algorithm to patch gaps in daily riverflow series, with examples from the Volta Basin, West Africa" by B. A. Amisigo and N. C. van de Giesen.
- Author
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Amisigo, B. A. and Van de Giesen, N. C.
- Abstract
Presents a response to the commentaries on the study "Using a Spatio-temporal Dynamic State-space Model With the EM Algorithm to Patch Gaps in Daily Riverflow Series, With Examples From the Volta Basin, West Africa," by B. A. Amisigo and N. C. van de Giesen. Information on Bayesian analysis; Purpose of the study; Approaches to improving the readability of the article.
- Published
- 2005
121. An empirical malaria distribution map for West Africa.
- Author
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Kleinschmidt, Immo, Omumbo, Judy, Briët, Olivier, van de Giesen, Nick, Sogoba, Nafomon, Mensah, Nathan Kumasenu, Windmeijer, Pieter, Moussa, Mahaman, Teuscher, Thomas, Kleinschmidt, I, Omumbo, J, Briët, O, van de Giesen, N, Sogoba, N, Mensah, N K, Windmeijer, P, Moussa, M, and Teuscher, T
- Subjects
MALARIA ,HEALTH surveys ,SPATIAL analysis (Statistics) ,EPIDEMIOLOGY - Abstract
The objective of this study was to produce a malaria distribution map that would constitute a useful tool for development and health planners in West Africa. The recently created continental database of malaria survey results (MARA/ARMA 1998) provides the opportunity for producing empirical models and maps of malaria distribution at a regional and eventually at a continental level. This paper reports on the mapping of malaria distribution for sub-Saharan West Africa based on these data. The strategy was to undertake a spatial statistical analysis of malaria parasite prevalence in relation to those potential bio-physical environmental factors involved in the distribution of malaria transmission intensity which are readily available at any map location. The resulting model was then used to predict parasite prevalence for the whole of West Africa. We also produced estimates of the proportion of population of each country in the region exposed to various categories of risk to show the impact that malaria is having on individual countries. The data represent a very large sample of children in West Africa. It constitutes a first attempt to produce a malaria risk map of the West African region, based entirely on malariometric data. We anticipate that it will provide useful additional guidance to control programme managers, and that it can be refined once sufficient additional data become available. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2001
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
122. Transient flow to open drains: Comparison of linearized solutions with and without the Dupuit assumption.
- Author
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Giesen, N. C., Parlange, J.-Y., and Steenhuis, T. S.
- Abstract
A solution of the Laplace equation with linearized boundary conditions is presented for unsteady flow through a rectangular aquifer. The results are compared with those of the linearized Boussinesq equation. The linearized solution based on the Laplace equation is as, easy to use as Boussinesq's solution, has a wider range of application, and allows accurate computation of streamlines. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1994
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
123. Effect of uncertainties on the real-time operation of a lowland water system in the Netherlands
- Author
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Steven Weijs, Leeuwen, E. V., Overloop, P. -J V., and Giesen, N. V.
124. Spatial and seasonal patterns of diurnal differences in ERS scatterometer soil moisture data in the volta basin, West Africa
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Jan Friesen, Winsemius, H. C., Beck, R., Scipal, K., Wagner, W., and Giesen, N. V.
125. Campus climate
- Author
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Van de Giesen, N. and Van Dijk, T.
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climate research - Abstract
Rain gauges that count drops, mobile radars that scan clouds, and hundreds of wind vanes mounted on the windows of the EEMCS building. TU Delft researchers are busily transforming the campus into a laboratory for climate research in the urban environment.
126. Estimation of crop water deficit through remote sensing in Central Luzon, Philippines
- Author
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Hafeez, M.M., primary, Chemin, Y., additional, Van De Giesen, N., additional, and Bouman, B.A.M., additional
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
127. Estimation of crop water deficit through remote sensing in Central Luzon, Philippines.
- Author
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Hafeez, M.M., Chemin, Y., Van De Giesen, N., and Bouman, B.A.M.
- Published
- 2002
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
128. A flume design for the study of slope length effects on runoff
- Author
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De Ridder, N., Stomph, T. J., and Van de Giesen, N. C.
- Subjects
HYDROLOGY ,INSTRUMENTATION technicians ,PLANTS ,SOIL science - Abstract
Recent publications from field and simulation studies indicate that runoff per unit area decreases as the length of the slope being observed is increased. This scale effect has been observed and documented for slopes with a uniform infiltration capacity as well as for slopesalong which infiltration capacity is variable. This paper presents the design and testing of a laboratory flume for the study of the processes that lead to this scale effect, particularly for the case of slopes covered with crops. The features of the flume include reliable experimental control of soil water content prior to rainfall, high intensity rainfall without erosion, uniform crop growth along the slope,and the option of varying the infiltration rate independently of rainfall and soil characteristics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2001
129. Scale effects on Hortonian overland flow and rainfall--runoff dynamics in a West African catena landscape
- Author
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de Ridder, N., Stomph, T. J., and van de Giesen, N. C.
- Subjects
WATER seepage ,RAINFALL ,HYDROLOGY ,EXAMPLE - Abstract
Hortonian runoff was measured from plots with lengths of 1725 and 12m, and at watershed level for rainstorms during the 1996 rainy season in cental Cote d'Ivoire, Africa. A clear reduction in runoff coefficients was found with increasing slope lengths, giving order of magnitude differences between runoff measurements at point level (1 m
2 : 30-50% of total rain) and watershed level (130 ha: 4% of total rain). Runoff reduction from 1725 and 12 m slopes was reproduced for each major runoff-producing rainstorm at two different sets of plots, but the reduction was erratic for rainfall events which produced little runoff. In addition, runoff reduction varied wildly from one rainstorm to the next. In the analysis, we show that the spatial variability of runoff parameters causes the erratic behaviour during rainstorms with little runoff. During the more important, larger runoff-producing events, which give 78% of total runoff, the temporal dynamicsof the rainfall-runoff process determine the reduction of runoff coefficients from longer slopes. A simple infiltration/runoff model was used to simulate the field results, thereby confirming the importanceof rainfall dynamics as an explanatory factor for measured reductionof runoff coefficients. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2000
130. Short-term optimal operation of water systems using ensemble forecasts.
- Author
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Raso, L., Schwanenberg, D., van de Giesen, N. C., and van Overloop, P. J.
- Subjects
- *
HYDROLOGY , *DUAL water systems , *FORECASTING , *PREDICTIVE control systems , *DYNAMICAL systems ,SALTO Grande Reservoir (Argentina & Uruguay) - Abstract
Short-term water system operation can be realized using Model Predictive Control (MPC). MPC is a method for operational management of complex dynamic systems. Applied to open water systems, MPC provides integrated, optimal, and proactive management, when forecasts are available. Notwithstanding these properties, if forecast uncertainty is not properly taken into account, the system performance can critically deteriorate. Ensemble forecast is a way to represent short-term forecast uncertainty. An ensemble forecast is a set of possible future trajectories of a meteorological or hydrological system. The growing ensemble forecasts' availability and accuracy raises the question on how to use them for operational management. The theoretical innovation presented here is the use of ensemble forecasts for optimal operation. Specifically, we introduce a tree based approach. We called the new method Tree-Based Model Predictive Control (TB-MPC). In TB-MPC, a tree is used to set up a Multistage Stochastic Programming, which finds a different optimal strategy for each branch and enhances the adaptivity to forecast uncertainty. Adaptivity reduces the sensitivity to wrong forecasts and improves the operational performance. TB-MPC is applied to the operational management of Salto Grande reservoir, located at the border between Argentina and Uruguay, and compared to other methods. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
131. Water reuse and cost-benefit of pumping at different spatial levels in a rice irrigation system in UPRIIS, Philippines
- Author
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Hafeez, M.M., Bouman, B.A.M., Van de Giesen, N., Mushtaq, S., Vlek, P., and Khan, S.
- Subjects
- *
WATER supply , *WATER quality management , *WATER conservation , *WATER use , *GROUNDWATER - Abstract
Abstract: As agricultural water resources in Asia become increasingly scarce, the irrigation efficiency of rice must be improved. However, in this region there is very limited information available about water use efficiency across spatial levels in irrigation systems. This study quantifies the volume of water reuse and its related cost-benefits at five different spatial levels, ranging from 1500ha to 18,000ha, under gravity-fed irrigation system in Upper Pumpanga River Integrated Irrigation System (UPRIIS), Philippines. The major sources of water reuse are considered, namely groundwater pumping, pumping from creeks, combined use and irrigation supplies from check dams. The volume of water available from all four sources of water reuse was quantified through extensive measurements. Production functions were developed to quantify water-yield relationships and to measure the economic value of water reuse. This study was conducted during the dry season of 2001, which existed from 19 November 2000 until 18 May 2001. The water reuse by pumping and check dams was 7% and 22% of the applied surface water at District 1 level. The reuse of surface water through check dams increased linearly with 4.6Mm3 per added 1000ha. Similarly, the total amount of reused water from pumping is equivalent to 30% of the water lost through rice evapotranspiration during the dry season 2001. The results showed that water reuse plays a dominant role in growing a rice crop during the dry season. The result showed no difference in pumping costs between the creek (US$0.011/m3) and shallow pumps (US$0.012/m3). The marginal value of productivity (MVP) of water reuse from creek (US$0.044/m3) was slightly higher than the water reuse through the pumping ground water (US$0.039/m3). Results also indicated that the total volume pumped per ha (m3/ha) was ranging from 0.39 to 6.93m3/ha during the dry season. The results clearly indicate that the quantification of amount of water reuse is very crucial for understanding and finding of water use efficiency at the irrigation system level. The results also revealed that rice production systems are still profitable despite high pumping costs and other associated expenses at all spatial levels in District 1. More than 1500 farmers, from a total of 10,000, use 1154 pumps to draw water from shallow tube wells (or from drains and creeks) for supplementary irrigation at a District level. Reuse of water plays a vital role in growing a profitable rice crop during the dry season. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
132. Hydropolitics and Conflict Management in Transboundary River Basins
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Mianabadi, H., Van de Giesen, N., and Moster, E.
- Subjects
conflict ,transboundary rivers ,cooperation ,complex systems ,risk-based decision making ,water treaties ,hydropolitics - Abstract
This thesis set out to develop methodologies that promote cooperation, peace and development instead of conflict and violence in transboundary water resources management. In particular, its objectives were the following: o To examine and understand the complexity of water systems and water conflict management o To investigate factors affecting resilience of water treaties o To develop methods for equitable water allocation in transboundary river basins using bankruptcy theory o To develop a risk-based Multi Attribute Decision Making method (RB-MADM) to select, rank and/or classify alternatives among a set of available options in negotiation and decision making processes over shared natural resources o To demonstrate the applicability of the developed methods in practice through some real cases: the Euphrates and Tigris Rivers and the Caspian Sea. This thesis starts with an in-depth discussion of the complexity of transboundary water systems and the nexus between resource scarcity and resource conflict. Water systems are complex coupled human-natural systems. This complexity can be exacerbated when water is shared between two or more riparian countries. Shared water resources can be a source of both conflict and cooperation among riparian countries. Conflict resolution in a complex system is also a complex task that cannot be managed by means of scientific methods or modelling approaches only. This thesis focuses on conflict resolution in transboundary river basins. Rather than looking at the issues just from a technical point of view, the research endeavours to recognize the complexity in conflict resolution in transboundary river basins. The nexus between resource scarcity and resource conflict is analyzed in terms of several schools of thought, including the Neo-Malthusians, Cornucopians, and the Distributionists. Furthermore, the missing link between water scarcity, as a main issue in international water resources management, and water crisis and conflict is examined. The evidence suggests that water scarcity can be both a cause and the result of conflict. Water systems have been affected by various human and natural perturbations and changes, such as global environmental and climate changes that are at least partly humanly induced. These disturbances can potentially affect conflict and cooperation between riparian countries. Water treaties should be resilient to cope with these changes and disturbances. Chapter three raises questions concerning main factors affecting non-resilience of water treaties as well as some reasons increasing the difficulty of implementation of treaties. Additional insights into these factors can help to enhance their resilience and reduce the risk of conflict among riparian countries. Among several factors affecting hydropolitical relationships, water quantity is the perhaps most conflictive issue. The principle of “equitable and reasonable utilization” is the main normative principle referred to for allocating internationally shared water resources. Despite this, a serious limitation of international water laws and conventions is that they have not introduced a generally accepted allocation mechanism to achieve an equitable and reasonable water allocation. Therefore, equitable water allocation among riparian countries is one of the main critical issues in water conflict management. Using bankruptcy theory, as a form of cooperative game theory method, novel flexible allocation methods have been developed in chapters four and five. The proposed rules have been applied to the Euphrates and Tigris Rivers, shared between Turkey, Syria, and Iraq, to illustrate the application of the rule to a real conflictive allocation problem. The results reveal that the proposed approaches may facilitate negotiation and have a great potential to help solving conflict and dispute over river resources allocation problems in transboundary river basins. A risk-based Multi Attribute Decision Making method was developed to support consensus-based decision making over several allocation mechanisms. This method was applied to help establish the legal status of the Caspian Sea, which is shared among five states: Azerbaijan, Iran, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Turkmenistan. To date, these nations have been unable to reach an allocation agreement. We apply a methodology to propose the most appropriate solution among a set of options under different risk attitudes of the states. The analyses show that the overall ranking of options varies even when the states slightly change their risk attitudes from pessimistic to fairly pessimistic.
- Published
- 2016
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133. Real-time Control of Combined Water Quantity & Quality in Open Channels
- Author
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Xu, M. and Van de Giesen, N.
- Subjects
model predictive control ,model reduction ,hydrodynamic model ,water quantity ,open channel flow ,real-time control ,operational water management ,water quality - Abstract
Fresh water supply and flood protection are two central issues in water management. Society needs more and more fresh water and a safe water system to guarantee a better life. A more severe climate will result in more droughts and extreme storms. As a consequence, salt water intrusion will increase. Therefore, clean and fresh water is becoming scarce. Potentially, there lies a severe conflict between people's demands and what nature can provide. In practice, water systems are complex. Both water quantity and quality criteria must be served. Moreover, water is normally used as a multi-functional resource. For example, water in a reservoir is used for irrigation, power generation, flood protection and reclamation. These objectives are usually in conflict most of the time and it is not easy for people to cope with these contradictions. Smart regulation of water systems is essential not only from the world-wide water issue perspective, but also from the specific water problem aspect. Real-time control is a powerful tool to help people with accurate regulation of water systems. In practice, water quantity control is extensively studied, but fully integrated water quantity and quality control has hardly been touched. Moreover, in order to deal with multi-objectives in a water system, advanced control techniques, such as model predictive control (MPC), are often required which require extensive computational resources. This brings forward two research questions: 1: What is the possibility of controlling both water quantity and quality in a water system? 2: In MPC, what is the possibility to reduce the computational burden in order to make the control implementation possible? In this PhD thesis, a case of polder flushing in real-time is selected for the first research question, which includes both water quantity and quality problems.The task is to flush polluted water out of the polder with clean water while keeping water levels close to the setpoints. Instead of manual operation which is often applied in practice, control systems were designed with feedback control and MPC. In MPC, different types of internal models were applied ranging from a linear reservoir model to hydrodynamic models. The different control performance of the two controllers were compared. We conclude that real-time control is possible to maintain both water quantity and quality at the same time in a one dimensional water system model. Furthermore, MPC performs much better than the classic feedback control in controlling the water quality when operational limits are very strict. In MPC, using different internal models will also result in different control performance, affecting both control effectiveness and computation time. Being an advanced control technique, MPC is playing a more and more important role in controlling water systems. The computational burden is the main barrier for MPC implementation. In this PhD thesis, we propose a control procedure of MPC with a model reduction technique, Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD), in order to speed up the computation. POD is able to reduce the order of states and disturbances, and speed up the matrix operation in MPC. In a test case, we concluded that MPC using the reduced model is a good trade-off between control effectiveness and computation time. Therefore, the proposed MPC procedure is considered as a successful method for MPC implementation.
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- 2013
134. Optimal Control of Water Systems Under Forecast Uncertainty: Robust, Proactive, and Integrated
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Raso, L. and Van de Giesen, N.
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Multistage Stochastic Programming ,Ensemble Forecasting ,Optimal Control ,Heteroschedasticity ,Operational Water Management ,Predictive Uncertainty ,Uncertainty ,Closed Loop Formulation ,Robustness ,Model Predictive Control - Abstract
Water systems consist of natural and man-made objects serving multiple essential purposes. They are affected by many types of meteorological disturbances. In order to deal with these disturbances and to serve the desired objectives, infrastructures have been built and managed by societies for specific purposes. Given a water system, and its purposes, the control of the existing infrastructures is the subject of operational water management. The system controller, either a natural person or a mathematical algorithm, takes his recursive decisions observing the state of the system and trying to bring it to the desired condition. Model Predictive Control (MPC) is an advanced method for the control of complex dynamic systems. When applied to water systems operation, MPC provides integrated and optimal management. If disturbance forecasts are available, this information can be integrated in the control policy and water management becomes proactive. Before the realization of the disturbance, the MPC controller sets the system to a state which is optimal to accommodate the expected disturbance. A typical example is lowering the water level of a reservoir before an expected storm event in order to avoid floods. In proactive control of open water systems, the main uncertainty is generally related to the difficulty of producing good forecasts. Weather and hydrological processes are difficult to predict, and meteorological or rainfall-runoff models can be wrong. Especially when using only one deterministic estimate, the control is more vulnerable to forecast uncertainty, running the risk of taking action against a predicted event that will not occur. The research question of this thesis is: How to use existing forecasting methods in optimal control schemes, thereby enhancing robustness in the face of forecasting uncertainty? In open water systems, such as rivers, canals, or reservoirs, the available forecast is generally the natural inflow, which is the output of a deterministic rainfall-runoff model. The model produces a point estimate, which is the expected value of the variable of interest. Nevertheless, the nonlinearity of the control problem requires the forecast of the entire probability distribution. When residuals are assumed independent, identically distributed, zero-mean, and Gaussian, then the variance is the only extra parameter required to build up the entire distribution, and its value can be estimated from the data. However, residuals of rainfall-runoff models are in fact heteroscedastic (i.e. the variance changes in time) and autocorrelated. In Chapter 2 it is shown how to deal with both deficiencies. Dynamic modelling of predictive uncertainty is built up by regression on absolute residuals, and applied to two test cases: the Rhone River, in Switzerland, and Lake Maggiore, at the border between Italy and Switzerland. When the information on the catchment state does not offer sufficient anticipation, for example because the catchment dynamics are fast compared to the controlled system, it is necessary to include weather forecasts. Meteorological agencies produce not only a deterministic trajectory of the future state of the weather system, but a set of them, called ensemble, to communicate the forecast uncertainty. The algorithm presented in Chapter 3, called Tree-Based Model Predictive Control (TB-MPC), exploits the information contained in the ensemble, setting up a Multistage Stochastic Programming (MSP) problem within the MPC framework. MSP is a stochastic optimization scheme that takes into account not only the present uncertainty, but its resolution in time as well. Going on in time along the control horizon, information will enter the system. Consequently, uncertainty will be reduced, and the control strategy after uncertainty reduction will change according to the occurring ensemble member. The key idea of TB-MPC is producing a tree topology from the ensemble data and using this tree in the following MSP optimization. A tree specifies in fact the moments when uncertainties are resolved. Generating a tree from ensemble data is both difficult and of critical importance. It has been considered an open problem until now, especially regarding the tree branching structure, which also strongly affects control performance. Chapter 4 shows a new methodology that produces a tree topology from ensemble data. The proposed method models the information flow to the controller. This implies the explicit definition of the available observations and their degree of uncertainty. Chapter 5 summarizes the contribution of my PhD and the research directions that, in my opinion, deserve more investigation.
- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
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135. Stability of the long period terms in the La2011 astronomical solution
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Laskar, Jacques, Farrés, Ariadna, Gastineau, Mickaël, Institut de Mécanique Céleste et de Calcul des Ephémérides (IMCCE), Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6 (UPMC)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Observatoire de Paris, Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Lille-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Astronomie et systèmes dynamiques (ASD), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Lille-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6 (UPMC)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Observatoire de Paris, Abbasi, A., Giesen, N., Henry, Florence, Abbasi, A., and Giesen, N.
- Subjects
[PHYS.ASTR] Physics [physics]/Astrophysics [astro-ph] ,[PHYS.ASTR]Physics [physics]/Astrophysics [astro-ph] - Abstract
International audience; The obtention of an accurate astronomical solution for the orbital motion of the Earth in the Solar System is an essential step for the elaboration of geological time scales that are based on the correlation of sedimentary cycles with insolation variations on the Earth's surface. The widely used La2004 (Laskar et al, 2004) solution has a time validity of about 40 Myr. Since, a large effort has been undertaken in order to improve this solution and to extend its time of validity to 50 Myr (Laskar et al, 2011a). On the other hand, it was demonstrated that asteroid close encounters set an absolute limit for the possibility of precise prediction of the Earth's orbit to about 60 Myr (Laskar et al, 2011b). In this context, we will report the latest development of the orbital solutions La2011 which present a noticeable improvement with respect to La2010. We will specially focus on the stability of the long period terms of 2.4 Myr in eccentricity and 1.2 Myr in obliquity. Refs : Laskar, J., Robutel, P., Joutel, F., Gastineau, M., Correia, A. C. M., Levrard, B.: 2004, A long-term numerical solution for the insolation quantities of the Earth, A&A, 428, 261-285 Laskar, J., Fienga, A., Gastineau, Manche, H.: 2011a, La2010: a new orbital solution for the long-term motion of the Earth, A&A, 532, A89 Laskar, J., Gastineau, M., Delisle, J.-B. , Farrés, A., and Fienga, A. : 2011b, Strong chaos induced by close encounters with Ceres and Vesta, A&A, 532, L4
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- 2012
136. Did Wet conditions prevail in the Zambezi catchment during Younger Dryas and Heinrich events?
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Jeroen van der Lubbe, Tjallingii, R., J Brummer, G., Schneider, R., Abbasi, A., and Giesen, N.
- Published
- 2012
137. Observational evidence of two different populations of Terrestrial Gamma-ray Flashes
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Marisaldi, M., Fuschino, F., Tavani, M., Dietrich, S., Labanti, C., Galli, M., Argan, A., alessio trois, Del Monte, E., Longo, F., Barbiellini, G., Bulgarelli, A., Gianotti, F., Trifoglio, M., Abbasi, A., Giesen, N., M., Marisaldi, F., Fuschino, M., Tavani, S., Dietrich, C., Labanti, M., Galli, A., Argan, A., Troi, E., Del Monte, Longo, Francesco, G., Barbiellini, A., Bulgarelli, F., Gianotti, and M., Trifoglio
- Subjects
AGILE ,Terrestrial Gamma Ray Flashes ,Astrophysics::High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena ,Terrestrial Gamma-ray Flashes - Abstract
Terrestrial Gamma-ray Flashes (TGF) are very short bursts of gamma-rays associated to thunderstorm activity, cur- rently observed by detectors onboard satellites or research airplanes. TGFs are likely produced by Bremsstrahlung of energetic electrons accelerated by a mechanism (e.g., the Relativistic Runaway Electron Avalanche mechanism, RREA) in close association with the lightning leader propagation. The AGILE satellite is one of the only three currently active space instruments capable of TGF detection and is especially tailored for the detection of high- energy photons in the tens of MeV regime. Up to November 2011 the full AGILE TGF sample includes more than 300 events, with an average detection rate of about 10 TGFs/month. AGILE indicates that TGF high energy spectral behaviour deviates from the canonical RREA model, reporting photon energies as large as 100MeV which require electrons acceleration across a large fraction of the full available potential difference in a thundercloud. We will report on the most recent AGILE observations that suggest the existence of two distinct populations in our TGF sample. The first population includes about 90% of the TGFs and consists of events with maximum energy lower than 30 MeV, whose cumulative spectrum can be well described by a powerlaw with exponential cutoff well reproduced by the canonical RREA model. The geographical and local time distributions of this population well match those of standard lightning. The remaining 10% of the AGILE TGF sample include events with photon energy as large as 100 MeV and a cumulative spectrum well described by a powerlaw with no evidence for a spectral cutoff. This spectral behaviour can hardly be reconciled with the standard RREA model. The geographical distribution of this latter sub-class may be different from the low-energy sub-class. We discuss the hypothesis that this high-energy population is a separate class of TGFs whose production process and parent lightning can differ significantly from the bulk of TGFs population. We present the characteristics of the two TGF populations, with particular emphasis on their different spectral and geographical properties. Finally, we speculate on the properties of the parent lightning that can be conducive to the high-energy population.
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- 2012
138. Estimation of Composite Hydrodynamic Roughness Over Land with High Density Airborne Laser Scanning
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Rahman, M.Z.A., Menenti, M., van de Giesen, N., and Gorte, B.G.H.
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Composite hydrodynamic roughness ,Airborne LiDAR - Published
- 2011
139. Monitoring surface and groundwater variations using multisatellite observations and hydrological modelling
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Frappart, Frederic, Seyler, Frederique, Fabrice Papa, Martinez, Jean-Michel, Le Toan, Thuy, Da Silva, Joecila Santos, Prigent, Catherine, Rossow, William B., Hafeez, M. (ed.), van de Giesen, N. (ed.), Bardsley, E. (ed.), Seyler, Frédérique (ed.), Pail, R. (ed.), and Taniguchi, M. (ed.)
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EAU DE SURFACE ,MODELE HYDROLOGIQUE ,STOCKAGE ,NIVEAU DE L'EAU ,BASSIN FLUVIAL ,SATELLITE SPOT ,TELEDETECTION SPATIALE ,ANALYSE QUANTITATIVE ,EAU SOUTERRAINE ,VARIATION PLURIANNUELLE ,PLAINE INONDABLE ,ALTIMETRIE - Published
- 2011
140. GRACE, remote sensing and ground-based methods in multi-scale hydrology : proceedings of symposium J-HO1 held during IUGG2011
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Dezetter, Alain, Ruelland, D., Netter, C., Hafeez, M. (ed.), van de Giesen, N. (ed.), Bardsley, E. (ed.), Seyler, Frédérique (ed.), Pail, R. (ed.), and Taniguchi, M. (ed.)
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INONDATION ,VARIATION SAISONNIERE ,DELTA ,SATELLITE SPOT ,SURVEILLANCE ,IMAGE SATELLITE ,TELEDETECTION SPATIALE ,SATELLITE NOAA ,RADAR ,PLAINE INONDABLE - Published
- 2011
141. Improving integrated surface and groundwater resources management in a vulnerable and changing world : proceedings of symposium JS.3
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Karambiri, H., Yacouba, H., Barbier, B., Mahe, Gil, Paturel, Jean-Emmanuel, Blöschl, G. (ed.), Van de Giesen, N. (ed.), Muralidharan, D. (ed.), Ren, L. (ed.), Seyler, Frédérique (ed.), Sharma, U. (ed.), and Vrba, J. (ed.)
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BASSIN VERSANT ,PARCELLE D'EROSION ,SURFACE DU SOL ,SOL CULTIVE ,CHANGEMENT CLIMATIQUE ,EROSION HYDRIQUE ,SOL DEGRADE ,SEDIMENT ,ETAT DE SURFACE DU SOL ,RUISSELLEMENT - Published
- 2009
142. Modelling riverflow in the Volta Basin of West Africa: A data-driven framework
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Amisigo, B.A. and Van de Giesen, N.
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state-space model ,non-linear models ,ltv-sdp models ,transfer function models ,filling gaps ,narmax ,em algorithm ,dbm model ,ranfall-runoff modelling ,dynamic model ,hmc models ,spatio-temporal model ,system identification - Abstract
In this thesis, a riverflow modelling framework developed for monthly riverflow prediction in the 400,000 km2 Volta Basin of West Africa is presented. By analysing available catchment rainfall, runoff and potential evapotranspiration series in the basin using methods such as correlation plots, autoregressive (AR) and autoregressive with exogenous input (ARX) modelling, it is shown that the monthly catchment rainfall-runoff process is better characterised by non-linear models. First, a spatio-temporal linear dynamic model employing the Kalman smoother and the Expectation-Maximisation (EM) algorithm was developed and applied to filling in short gaps, of up to one month, in daily riverflow series in the basin. This model was found to be a very good and powerful tool for filling in such data gaps. Then, two non-linear modelling frameworks - a non-linear autoregressive and moving average with exogenous input (NARMAX) polynomial and a data-based mechanistic (DBM) modelling framework - were developed and applied to the monthly rainfall-runoff series in the basin for river catchment runoff prediction. Both methods predicted monthly runoff adequately, with the DBM framework also providing physically interpretable results. This indicates that data-driven approaches are appropriate for riverflow modelling in the data-poor Volta Basin
- Published
- 2006
143. Sensing seasonality in the North Atlantic during Termination III: an Individual Specimen Analysis
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Feldmeijer, W., Brett Metcalfe, Vringer-Picon, M., J Brummer, G., Prins, M., Abbasi, A., and Giesen, N.
144. CME-CME interaction during the 2010 August 1 events
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Temmer, M., Vrsnak, B., Rollett, T., Bein, B., Dekoning, C. A., Liu, Y., Bosman, E., Davies, J. A., Christian Möstl, Zic, T., Veronig, A. M., Bothmer, V., Harrison, R., Nitta, N., Bisi, M., Flor, O., Eastwood, J., Odstrcil, D., Forsyth, R., and Abbasi, A. and Giesen, N.
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Solar physics ,CMEs ,Sun ,Heliosphere ,Coronal mass ejections - Abstract
We study a CME-CME interaction that occurred during the 2010 August 1 events using STEREO/SECCHI data (COR and HI). The CMEs were Earth directed where clear signatures of magnetic flux ropes could be measured from in situ Wind data. To give evidence of the actual interaction we derive the direction of motion for both CMEs applying several independent methods. From this we obtain that both CMEs head into similar directions enabling us to actually observe the merging in the HI1 field-of-view (and rule out the possibility that this is just a line of sight effect). The full de-projected kinematics of the faster CME from Sun to Earth is derived when combining data points from remote observations with in situ parameters of the ICME measured at 1 AU. We study the evolution of the kinematical profile of the faster CME by applying a drag based model.
145. New perspectives in monitoring water resources in large tropical transboundary basins based on satellite imagery and radar altimetry
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Seyler, F., Calmant, S., Da Silva, J., Leon, J. -G, Art, F. F., Bonnet, M. -P, Naziano Filizola, Roux, E., Cochonneau, G., Costi, A. -C Z., Oliveira, E., Guyot, J. -L, Seyler, P., Blöschl, G. (ed.), Van de Giesen, N. (ed.), Muralidharan, D. (ed.), Ren, L. (ed.), Seyler, Frédérique (ed.), Sharma, U. (ed.), and Vrba, J. (ed.)
- Subjects
BASSIN VERSANT ,NIVEAU DE L'EAU ,IMAGE SATELLITE ,TELEDETECTION SPATIALE ,RESSOURCES EN EAU ,RADAR ,ALTIMETRIE ,DEBIT
146. Microbiological risk factors, ICU survival, and 1-year survival in hematological patients with pneumonia requiring invasive mechanical ventilation.
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Seybold B, Funk T, Dreger P, Egerer G, Brandt J, Mueller-Tidow C, Giesen N, and Merle U
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- Humans, Male, Female, Retrospective Studies, Middle Aged, Risk Factors, Aged, Adult, Germany epidemiology, Immunocompromised Host, Pneumonia mortality, Pneumonia microbiology, Aged, 80 and over, Respiration, Artificial, Intensive Care Units, Hematologic Neoplasms complications
- Abstract
Purpose: To identify pathogenic microorganisms and microbiological risk factors causing high morbidity and mortality in immunocompromised patients requiring invasive mechanical ventilation due to pneumonia., Methods: A retrospective single-center study was performed at the intensive care unit (ICU) of the Department of Internal Medicine at Heidelberg University Hospital (Germany) including 246 consecutive patients with hematological malignancies requiring invasive mechanical ventilation due to pneumonia from 08/2004 to 07/2016. Microbiological and radiological data were collected and statistically analyzed for risk factors for ICU and 1-year mortality., Results: ICU and 1-year mortality were 63.0% (155/246) and 81.0% (196/242), respectively. Pneumonia causing pathogens were identified in 143 (58.1%) patients, multimicrobial infections were present in 51 (20.7%) patients. Fungal, bacterial and viral pathogens were detected in 89 (36.2%), 55 (22.4%) and 41 (16.7%) patients, respectively. Human herpesviruses were concomitantly reactivated in 85 (34.6%) patients. As significant microbiological risk factors for ICU mortality probable invasive Aspergillus disease with positive serum-Galactomannan (odds ratio 3.1 (1.2-8.0), p = 0.021,) and pulmonary Cytomegalovirus reactivation at intubation (odds ratio 5.3 (1.1-26.8), p = 0.043,) were identified. 1-year mortality was not significantly associated with type of infection. Of interest, 19 patients had infections with various respiratory viruses and Aspergillus spp. superinfections and experienced high ICU and 1-year mortality of 78.9% (15/19) and 89.5% (17/19), respectively., Conclusions: Patients with hematological malignancies requiring invasive mechanical ventilation due to pneumonia showed high ICU and 1-year mortality. Pulmonary Aspergillosis and pulmonary reactivation of Cytomegalovirus at intubation were significantly associated with negative outcome., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
- Full Text
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147. Retrospective study on pomalidomide-PACE as a salvage regimen in aggressive relapsed and refractory multiple myeloma.
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Gezer D, Nogueira MS, Kirschner M, Brümmendorf TH, Müller-Tidow C, Goldschmidt H, Raab MS, and Giesen N
- Abstract
Objectives: Despite major advances in treatment options for multiple myeloma (MM), patients refractory to the main drug classes and those with aggressive, especially extramedullary disease, still face a dismal outcome. For these patients, effective therapeutic options are urgently warranted., Methods: In this retrospective study, we report on the safety and efficacy of the intensive combination regimen of pomalidomide plus cisplatin, doxorubicin, cyclophosphamide, and etoposide (Pom-PACE) in patients with relapsed refractory MM (RRMM) or plasma cell leukemia (PCL). A study population of 20 consecutive patients treated with Pom-PACE at two academic centers was included for analysis. All patients had to have a confirmed relapse according to International Myeloma Working Group criteria and adequate organ function prior to the start of therapy. Data were collected by reviewing medical charts. Exploratory analyses were performed with regard to efficacy and safety., Results: Patients were heavily pretreated with a median number of four prior therapies (range: 1-10). All patients were exposed to immunomodulators, proteasome inhibitors, and alkylating agents, 80% were double-class refractory, 40% were triple-class refractory. Extramedullary MM or PCL were present in 15 patients (75%). Overall response rate (ORR) was 68%, with 31% achieving at least a very good partial response. Responses were achieved rapidly with an ORR of 64% after one cycle. Median progression-free survival was 8.9 months (0.92-not reached [NR]) and median overall survival was 11.8 months (3-40.6). Pom-PACE was associated with significant toxicity. All evaluable patients experienced Grade 4 hematological toxicity. However, no treatment related mortality was observed., Conclusion: Pomalidomide-PACE was able to induce rapid responses in heavily pretreated, aggressive RRMM with a manageable toxicity profile and therefore offers an effective salvage regimen and a potential bridging strategy to further treatment options such as chimeric antigen receptor T-cell therapy., (© 2024 The Author(s). European Journal of Haematology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
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- 2024
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148. Retrospective, Observational Analysis on the Impact of SARS-CoV-2 Variant Omicron in Hospitalized Immunocompromised Patients in a German Hospital Network-The VISAGE Study.
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Nachtigall I, Kwast S, Hohenstein S, König S, Dang PL, Leiner J, Giesen N, Schleenvoigt BT, Bonsignore M, Bollmann A, Kuhlen R, and Jah F
- Abstract
Aims: Endemic SARS-CoV-2 infections still burden the healthcare system and represent a considerable threat to vulnerable patient cohorts, in particular immunocompromised (IC) patients. This study aimed to analyze the in-hospital outcome of IC patients with severe SARS-CoV-2 infection in Germany., Methods: This retrospective, observational study, analyzed administrative data from inpatient cases ( n = 146,324) in 84 German Helios hospitals between 1 January 2022 and 31 December 2022 with regard to in-hospital outcome and health care burden in IC patients during the first 12 months of Omicron dominance. As the primary objective, in-hospital outcomes of patients with COVID-19-related severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) were analyzed by comparing patients with ( n = 2037) and without IC diagnoses ( n = 14,772). Secondary analyses were conducted on IC patients with ( n = 2037) and without COVID-19-related SARI ( n = 129,515). A severe in-hospital outcome as a composite endpoint was defined per the WHO definition if one of the following criteria were met: intensive care unit (ICU) treatment, mechanical ventilation (MV), or in-hospital death., Results: In total, 12% of COVID-related SARI cases were IC patients, accounting for 15% of ICU admissions, 15% of MV use, and 16% of deaths, resulting in a higher prevalence of severe in-hospital courses in IC patients developing COVID-19-related SARI compared to non-IC patients (Odds Ratio, OR = 1.4, p < 0.001), based on higher in-hospital mortality (OR = 1.4, p < 0.001), increased need for ICU treatment (OR = 1.3, p < 0.001) and mechanical ventilation (OR = 1.2, p < 0.001). Among IC patients, COVID-19-related SARI profoundly increased the risk for severe courses (OR = 4.0, p < 0.001)., Conclusions: Our findings highlight the vulnerability of IC patients to severe COVID-19. The persistently high prevalence of severe outcomes in these patients in the Omicron era emphasizes the necessity for continuous in-hospital risk assessment and monitoring of IC patients.
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- 2024
- Full Text
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149. Resolving therapy resistance mechanisms in multiple myeloma by multiomics subclone analysis.
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Poos AM, Prokoph N, Przybilla MJ, Mallm JP, Steiger S, Seufert I, John L, Tirier SM, Bauer K, Baumann A, Rohleder J, Munawar U, Rasche L, Kortüm KM, Giesen N, Reichert P, Huhn S, Müller-Tidow C, Goldschmidt H, Stegle O, Raab MS, Rippe K, and Weinhold N
- Subjects
- Humans, Multiomics, Mutation, Transcriptome, Tumor Microenvironment genetics, Multiple Myeloma drug therapy, Multiple Myeloma genetics
- Abstract
Intratumor heterogeneity as a clinical challenge becomes most evident after several treatment lines, when multidrug-resistant subclones accumulate. To address this challenge, the characterization of resistance mechanisms at the subclonal level is key to identify common vulnerabilities. In this study, we integrate whole-genome sequencing, single-cell (sc) transcriptomics (scRNA sequencing), and chromatin accessibility (scATAC sequencing) together with mitochondrial DNA mutations to define subclonal architecture and evolution for longitudinal samples from 15 patients with relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma. We assess transcriptomic and epigenomic changes to resolve the multifactorial nature of therapy resistance and relate it to the parallel occurrence of different mechanisms: (1) preexisting epigenetic profiles of subclones associated with survival advantages, (2) converging phenotypic adaptation of genetically distinct subclones, and (3) subclone-specific interactions of myeloma and bone marrow microenvironment cells. Our study showcases how an integrative multiomics analysis can be applied to track and characterize distinct multidrug-resistant subclones over time for the identification of molecular targets against them., (© 2023 by The American Society of Hematology. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), permitting only noncommercial, nonderivative use with attribution. All other rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
150. Molecular epidemiology and disease severity of influenza virus infection in patients with haematological disorders.
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Ünal S, Schnitzler P, Giesen N, Wedde M, Dürrwald R, and Tabatabai J
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- Humans, Aged, Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype genetics, Molecular Epidemiology, Phylogeny, Patient Acuity, Influenza, Human complications, Influenza, Human epidemiology, Influenza, Human prevention & control, Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype genetics, Coinfection, Orthomyxoviridae Infections, Communicable Diseases, Respiratory Tract Infections, Hematologic Diseases complications
- Abstract
Influenza virus infection is a common cause of self-limiting respiratory tract infection (RTI), however immunocompromised patients are at an increased risk for a severe course of disease or fatal outcome. We therefore aimed to gain a better understanding of the molecular epidemiology of influenza viruses from patients with haematological disorders and their impact on the clinical course of disease. Molecular analysis using polymerase chain reaction (PCR) of nasopharyngeal swabs was performed for influenza virus in haematological patients at the Heidelberg University Hospital. Clinical data was evaluated to identify associated risk factors. For phylogenetic analysis, the hemagglutinin (HA) gene was sequenced. Out of 159 influenza positive patients, 117 patients developed upper RTI (influenza A: n = 73; influenza B: n = 44). Lower RTI was observed in n = 42 patients (26%), n = 22/42 patients developed severe disease and n = 16/159 (10.1%) patients died. Risk factors for lower RTI were nosocomial infection (p = 0.02), viral shedding for ≥14 days (p = 0.018), IgG levels <6 g/dL (p = 0.046), bacterial/fungal co-infections (p < 0.001). Risk factors for fatal outcome were age ≥65 years (p = 0.032), bacterial/fungal (p≤0.001) co-infections and high viral load (p = 0.026). Sequencing of the HA gene (n = 115) revealed subtype A(H3N2) (n = 46), A(H1N1)pdm09 (n = 24), B/Victoria (n = 34), B/Yamagata (n = 11). There was no correlation between influenza (sub)type and lower RTI. Influenza infection in haematological patients is associated with significant morbidity and mortality, the risk for aggravating co-infections, prolonged viral shedding and nosocomial transmission emphasizing the need for infection control., (© 2023 The Authors. Journal of Medical Virology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC.)
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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