101. Asymmetric HMMs for Online Ball-Bearing Health Assessments
- Author
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Carlos Puerto-Santana, Concha Bielza, Javier Diaz-Rozo, Guillem Ramirez-Gargallo, Filippo Mantovani, Gaizka Virumbrales, Jesus Labarta, Pedro Larranaga, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. Departament d'Arquitectura de Computadors, Barcelona Supercomputing Center, and Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. CAP - Grup de Computació d'Altes Prestacions
- Subjects
Informática ,Hidden Markov model ,Internet of things ,Informàtica::Intel·ligència artificial::Aprenentatge automàtic [Àrees temàtiques de la UPC] ,Internet de les coses ,Computer Networks and Communications ,Remaining useful life ,Predictive maintenance ,Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) ,Concept drift ,Health index ,Computer Science Applications ,Hardware and Architecture ,Machine learning ,Aprenentatge automàtic ,Signal Processing ,Novelty detection ,Informàtica::Arquitectura de computadors [Àrees temàtiques de la UPC] ,Information Systems - Abstract
The degradation of critical components inside large industrial assets, such as ball-bearings, has a negative impact on production facilities, reducing the availability of assets due to an unexpectedly high failure rate. Machine learning- based monitoring systems can estimate the remaining useful life (RUL) of ball-bearings, reducing the downtime by early failure detection. However, traditional approaches for predictive systems require run-to-failure (RTF) data as training data, which in real scenarios can be scarce and expensive to obtain as the expected useful life could be measured in years. Therefore, to overcome the need of RTF, we propose a new methodology based on online novelty detection and asymmetrical hidden Markov models (As-HMM) to work out the health assessment. This new methodology does not require previous RTF data and can adapt to natural degradation of mechanical components over time in data-stream and online environments. As the system is designed to work online within the electrical cabinet of machines it has to be deployed using embedded electronics. Therefore, a performance analysis of As-HMM is presented to detect the strengths and critical points of the algorithm. To validate our approach, we use real life ball-bearing data-sets and compare our methodology with other methodologies where no RTF data is needed and check the advantages in RUL prediction and health monitoring. As a result, we showcase a complete end-to-end solution from the sensor to actionable insights regarding RUL estimation towards maintenance application in real industrial environments. This study was supported partially by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness through the PID2019-109247GB-I00 project and by the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation through the RTC2019-006871-7 (DSTREAMS project). Also, by the H2020 IoTwins project (Distributed Digital Twins for industrial SMEs: a big-data platform) funded by the EU under the call ICT-11-2018- 2019, Grant Agreement No. 857191.
- Published
- 2022
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