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Recent genome-wide association studies have reported the discoveries of genetic variants of small to moderate effects. However, most studies of complex diseases face a great challenge because the number of significant variants is less than what is required to explain the disease heritability. A new approach is needed to recognize all potential discoveries in the data. In this paper, we present a practical model-free procedure to estimate the number of true discoveries as a function of the number of top-ranking SNPs together with the confidence bounds. This approach allows a practical methodology of general utility and produces relevant statistical quantities with simple interpretation. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: From 1968 to 2002, Singapore experienced an almost four-fold increase in prostate cancer incidence. This paper examines the incidence, mortality and survival patterns for prostate cancer among all residents in Singapore from 1968 to 2002.Methods: This is a retrospective population-based cohort study including all prostate cancer cases aged over 20 (n = 3613) reported to the Singapore Cancer Registry from 1968 to 2002. Age-standardized incidence, mortality rates and 5-year Relative Survival Ratios (RSRs) were obtained for each 5-year period. Follow-up was ascertained by matching with the National Death Register until 2002. A weighted linear regression was performed on the log-transformed age-standardized incidence and mortality rates over period.Results: The percentage increase in the age-standardized incidence rate per year was 5.0%, 5.6%, 4.0% and 1.9% for all residents, Chinese, Malays and Indians respectively. The percentage increase in age-standardized mortality rate per year was 5.7%, 6.0%, 6.6% and 2.5% for all residents, Chinese, Malays and Indians respectively. When all Singapore residents were considered, the RSRs for prostate cancer were fairly constant across the study period with slight improvement from 1995 onwards among the Chinese.Conclusion: Ethnic differences in prostate cancer incidence, mortality and survival patterns were observed. There has been a substantial improvement in RSRs since the 1990s for the Chinese. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Finding an adequate dose of the drug by revealing the dose-response relationship is very crucial and a challenging problem in the clinical development. The main concerns in dose-finding study are to identify a minimum effective dose (MED) in anesthesia studies and maximum tolerated dose (MTD) in oncology clinical trials. For the estimation of MED and MTD, we propose two modifications of Firth's logistic regression using reparametrization, called reparametrized Firth's logistic regression (rFLR) and ridge-penalized reparametrized Firth's logistic regression (RrFLR). The proposed methods are designed by directly reducing the small-sample bias of the maximum likelihood estimate for the parameter of interest. In addition, we develop a method on how to construct confidence intervals for rFLR and RrFLR using profile penalized likelihood. In the up-and-down biased-coin design, numerical studies confirm the superior performance of the proposed methods in terms of the mean squared error, bias, and coverage accuracy of confidence intervals., (© 2024 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Objective: To investigate the association between infections and disability worsening in people with multiple sclerosis (MS) treated with either B-cell depleting therapy (rituximab) or interferon-beta/glatiramer acetate (IFN/GA)., Methods: This cohort study spanned from 2000 to 2021, using data from the Swedish MS Registry linked to national health care registries, comprising 8,759 rituximab and 7,561 IFN/GA treatment episodes. The risk of hospital-treated infection was estimated using multivariable Cox models. The association between infections and increase in Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores was assessed using a doubly robust generalized estimating equations model. Additionally, a piece-wise exponential model analyzed events of increased disability beyond defined cut-off values, controlling for relapses, and MRI activity., Results: Compared with IFN/GA, rituximab displayed increased risk of both inpatient- and outpatient-treated infections (hazard ratio [HR], 2.08; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.50-2.90 and HR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.13-1.67, respectively). An inpatient-treated infection was associated with a 0.19-unit increase in EDSS (95% CI, 0.12-0.26). Degree of worsening was greatest for progressive MS, and under IFN/GA treatment, which unlike rituximab, was more commonly associated with MRI activity. After controlling for relapses and MRI activity, inpatient-treated infections were associated with disability worsening in people with relapsing-remitting MS treated with IFN/GA (HR, 2.01; 95% CI, 1.59-2.53), but not in those treated with rituximab., Interpretation: Compared to IFN/GA, rituximab doubled the infection risk, but reduced the risk of subsequent disability worsening. Further, the risk of worsening after hospital-treated infection was greater with progressive MS than with relapsing-remitting MS. Infection risk should be considered to improve long term outcomes. ANN NEUROL 2024., (© 2024 The Author(s). Annals of Neurology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Neurological Association.)

Background: Bone marrow (BM) evaluation is the de facto standard for diagnosis, molecular analysis, risk stratification, and therapy response assessment in acute myeloid leukemia (AML), but in patients with a high number of circulating blast cells, the peripheral blood (PB) sample could provide similar information as BM. However, there is no large-scale molecular study comparing the two specimens in terms of their gene expression profiles, cellular heterogeneities, and ex-vivo drug sensitivity., Methodology: We used (i) the BEAT-AML cohort each with detailed molecular data; (ii) cell-type deconvolution to estimate leukemic and immune cell proportions between specimen types; (iii) differential expression (DE) and drug-cell type association analysis; and (iv) logistic regression models to assess the association between induction therapy response, cell-type composition and first-line drug treatment., Results: Results: We identified 207 patients having BM and 116 patients having PB samples. There was a total of 1271 DE genes (false discovery rate < 0.05) between BM and PB; the top enriched pathways in terms of DE genes belong to the immune system pathways. Aggregated ex-vivo drug response profiles from the two specimens were largely similar, as were the cellular components, except for the GMP-like cell type (17% in BM vs. 5% in PB, p -value = 2 × 10 -7 ). Among the specimen-specific results, the GMP-like subtype was associated with multiple drug resistance in BM and the ProMono-like subtype in PB. Several cell types were associated with the response to induction therapy, but the impact of specimen type on the interaction of cell type and cytarabine-associated induction therapy was not statistically significant for most cell types., Results: Conclusions: Even though there are molecular and cellular differences between BM and PB samples, they show many similarities in ex-vivo drug response profiles, indicating the clinical utility of the substantially less-invasive PB samples., Competing Interests: The authors declare no conflict of interest., (© 2024 The Author(s). eJHaem published by British Society for Haematology and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background and Purpose: Evidence has accumulated to support the early involvement of altered gastrointestinal (GI) function in neurodegenerative disease. However, risk of Alzheimer disease (AD) and Parkinson disease (PD) among individuals with a GI biopsy of normal mucosa or nonspecific inflammation is unknown., Methods: This matched cohort study included all individuals in Sweden with a GI biopsy of normal mucosa (n = 480,346) or nonspecific inflammation (n = 655,937) during 1965-2016 (exposed group) as well as their individually matched population references and unexposed full siblings. A flexible parametric model and stratified Cox model were used to estimate hazard ratio (HR) and its 95% confidence interval (CI)., Results: Individuals with normal mucosa or nonspecific inflammation had a higher risk of AD and PD during the 20 years after biopsy. Compared with the population references, individuals with normal mucosa had an increased risk of AD (incidence rate [IR] difference = 13.53 per 100,000 person-years, HR [95% CI] = 1.15 [1.11-1.20]) and PD (IR difference = 6.72, HR [95% CI] = 1.16 [1.10-1.23]). Elevated risk was also observed for nonspecific inflammation regarding AD (IR difference = 13.28, HR [95% CI] = 1.11 [1.08-1.14]) and PD (IR difference = 6.83, HR [95% CI] = 1.10 [1.06-1.14]). Similar results were observed in subgroup and sensitivity analyses and when comparing with their unexposed siblings., Conclusions: Individuals with a GI biopsy of normal mucosa or nonspecific inflammation had an increased risk of AD and PD. This adds new evidence of the early involvement of GI dysfunction in neurodegenerative disease., (© 2022 The Authors. European Journal of Neurology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of European Academy of Neurology.)

Background: Several psychiatric disorders have been associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), however, the role of familial factors and the main disease trajectories remain unknown., Methods: In this longitudinal cohort study, we identified a cohort of 900,240 patients newly diagnosed with psychiatric disorders during January 1, 1987 and December 31, 2016, their 1,002,888 unaffected full siblings, and 1:10 age- and sex-matched reference population from nationwide medical records in Sweden, who had no prior diagnosis of CVD at enrolment. We used flexible parametric models to determine the time-varying association between first-onset psychiatric disorders and incident CVD and CVD death, comparing rates of CVD among patients with psychiatric disorders to the rates of unaffected siblings and matched reference population. We also used disease trajectory analysis to identify main disease trajectories linking psychiatric disorders to CVD. Identified associations and disease trajectories of the Swedish cohort were validated in a similar cohort from nationwide medical records in Denmark (N = 875,634 patients, same criteria during January 1, 1969 and December 31, 2016) and in Estonian cohorts from the Estonian Biobank (N = 30,656 patients, same criteria during January 1, 2006 and December 31, 2020), respectively., Findings: During up to 30 years of follow-up of the Swedish cohort, the crude incidence rate of CVD was 9.7, 7.4 and 7.0 per 1000 person-years among patients with psychiatric disorders, their unaffected siblings, and the matched reference population. Compared with their siblings, patients with psychiatric disorders experienced higher rates of CVD during the first year after diagnosis (hazard ratio [HR], 1.88; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.79-1.98) and thereafter (1.37; 95% CI, 1.34-1.39). Similar rate increases were noted when comparing with the matched reference population. These results were replicated in the Danish cohort. We identified several disease trajectories linking psychiatric disorders to CVD in the Swedish cohort, with or without mediating medical conditions, including a direct link between psychiatric disorders and hypertensive disorder, ischemic heart disease, venous thromboembolism, angina pectoris, and stroke. These trajectories were validated in the Estonian Biobank cohort., Interpretation: Independent of familial factors, patients with psychiatric disorders are at an elevated risk of subsequent CVD, particularly during first year after diagnosis. Increased surveillance and treatment of CVDs and CVD risk factors should be considered as an integral part of clinical management, in order to reduce risk of CVD among patients with psychiatric disorders., Funding: This research was supported by EU Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Action Grant, European Research Council Consolidator grant, Icelandic Research fund, Swedish Research Council, US NIMH, the Outstanding Clinical Discipline Project of Shanghai Pudong, the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities, and the European Union through the European Regional Development Fund; the Research Council of Norway; the South-East Regional Health Authority, the Stiftelsen Kristian Gerhard Jebsen, and the EEA-RO-NO-2018-0535., Competing Interests: OAA declares receiving grants or contracts from the South-East Norway Health Authority, NIH and KG Jebsen Stiftelsen, receiving consulting fees from Biogen, Cortechs.ai and Milken. OAA gets Speaker's honorarium from Janssen, Lundbeck and Sunovion, and has a patent on Intranasal Administration (US20160310683 A1). OAA participated in advisory board as National PI for JANSSEN trial depression, MAPS trial PTSD and BI trial schizophrenia. OAA declares having stock at Cortechs.ai. UAV declares receiving support from EPA2023, ISTSS2022 as keynote speaker, and serves on a NordForsk expert committee on Long COVID. FF declares receiving grants from the 10.13039/501100004359Swedish Research Council, Swedish Research Council for Health, Workinglife and Welfare, 10.13039/501100002794Swedish Cancer Society, 10.13039/501100000781European Research Council and the US CDC. FF declares getting payment from 10.13039/501100004359Swedish Research Council for grant review. All other authors declare no competing interests., (© 2023 The Author(s).)

Background: Cholangiocarcinoma (CC) is a rare and aggressive disease with limited therapeutic options and a poor prognosis. All available public records of cohorts reporting transcriptomic data on intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) and extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ECC) were collected with the aim to provide a comprehensive gene expression-based classification with clinical relevance., Methods: A total of 543 patients with primary tumor tissues profiled by RNAseq and microarray platforms from seven public datasets were used as a discovery set to identify distinct biological subgroups. Group predictors developed on the discovery sets were applied to a single cohort of 131 patients profiled with RNAseq for validation and assessment of clinical relevance leveraging machine learning techniques., Results: By unsupervised clustering analysis of gene expression data we identified both in the ICC and ECC discovery datasets four subgroups characterized by a distinct type of immune infiltrate and signaling pathways. We next developed class predictors using short gene list signatures and identified in an independent dataset subgroups of ICC tumors at different prognosis., Conclusions: The developed class-predictor allows identification of CC subgroups with specific biological features and clinical behavior at single-sample level. Such results represent the starting point for a complete molecular characterization of CC, including integration of genomics data to develop in clinical practice., (© 2023 The Authors. Cancer Medicine published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Despite some encouraging successes, predicting the therapy response of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) patients remains highly challenging due to tumor heterogeneity. Here we aim to develop and validate MDREAM, a robust ensemble-based prediction model for drug response in AML based on an integration of omics data, including mutations and gene expression, and large-scale drug testing. Briefly, MDREAM is first trained in the BeatAML cohort (n = 278), and then validated in the BeatAML (n = 183) and two external cohorts, including a Swedish AML cohort (n = 45) and a relapsed/refractory acute leukemia cohort (n = 12). The final prediction is based on 122 ensemble models, each corresponding to a drug. A confidence score metric is used to convey the uncertainty of predictions; among predictions with a confidence score >0.75, the validated proportion of good responders is 77%. The Spearman correlations between the predicted and the observed drug response are 0.68 (95% CI: [0.64, 0.68]) in the BeatAML validation set, -0.49 (95% CI: [-0.53, -0.44]) in the Swedish cohort and 0.59 (95% CI: [0.51, 0.67]) in the relapsed/refractory cohort. A web-based implementation of MDREAM is publicly available at https://www.meb.ki.se/shiny/truvu/MDREAM/ ., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

Alternative splicing exists in most multi-exonic genes, and exploring these complex alternative splicing events and their resultant isoform expressions is essential. However, it has become conventional that RNA sequencing results have often been summarized into gene-level expression counts mainly due to the multiple ambiguous mapping of reads at highly similar regions. Transcript-level quantification and interpretation are often overlooked, and biological interpretations are often deduced based on combined transcript information at the gene level. Here, for the most variable tissue of alternative splicing, the brain, we estimate isoform expressions in 1,191 samples collected by the Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx) Consortium using a powerful method that we previously developed. We perform genome-wide association scans on the isoform ratios per gene and identify isoform-ratio quantitative trait loci (irQTL), which could not be detected by studying gene-level expressions alone. By analyzing the genetic architecture of the irQTL, we show that isoform ratios regulate educational attainment via multiple tissues including the frontal cortex (BA9), cortex, cervical spinal cord, and hippocampus. These tissues are also associated with different neuro-related traits, including Alzheimer's or dementia, mood swings, sleep duration, alcohol intake, intelligence, anxiety or depression, etc. Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis revealed 1,139 pairs of isoforms and neuro-related traits with plausible causal relationships, showing much stronger causal effects than on general diseases measured in the UK Biobank (UKB). Our results highlight essential transcript-level biomarkers in the human brain for neuro-related complex traits and diseases, which could be missed by merely investigating overall gene expressions., Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s43657-023-00100-6., Competing Interests: Conflict of interestsThe authors declare no competing financial interest., (© The Author(s) 2023.)