1. Projections of Endovascular Therapy-Eligible Patients With Stroke for the US Population.
- Author
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Mistry EA, Khoury JC, Kleindorfer DO, Kissela BM, Alwell KS, Jasne AS, Ferioli S, De Los Rios La Rosa F, Coleman E, Demel SL, Walsh KB, Slavin SJ, Star M, Haverbusch M, Mackey J, Woo D, Aziz YN, Heldner MR, Fischer U, Jadhav AP, Jovin TG, Albers GW, Nogueira RG, and Khatri P
- Subjects
- Humans, Female, Aged, Male, United States epidemiology, Middle Aged, Cross-Sectional Studies, Aged, 80 and over, Ischemic Stroke surgery, Ischemic Stroke epidemiology, Ischemic Stroke therapy, Adult, Eligibility Determination, Endovascular Procedures trends, Thrombectomy, Stroke surgery, Stroke epidemiology, Stroke therapy
- Abstract
Background: As stroke endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) treatment indications expand, understanding population-based EVT eligibility becomes critical for resource planning. We aimed to project current and future population-based EVT eligibility in the United States., Methods: We conducted a post hoc analysis of the physician-adjudicated GCNKSS (Greater Cincinnati Northern Kentucky Stroke Study; 2015 epoch), a population-based, cross sectional, observational study of stroke incidence, treatment, and outcomes across a 5-county region. All hospitalized patients ≥18 years of age with acute ischemic stroke were ascertained using the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision codes 430-436 and Tenth Revision codes I60-I67 and G45-G46 and extrapolated to the US adult census 2020. We determined the rate of EVT eligibility within the GCNKSS population using time from last known well to presentation (0-5 versus 5-23 hours), presenting National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, and prestroke modified Rankin Scale. Both conservative and liberal estimates of prevalence of large vessel occlusion and large core were then applied based on literature review (unavailable within the 2015 GCNKSS). This eligibility was then extrapolated to the 2020 US population., Results: Of the 1 057 183 adults within GCNKSS in 2015, 2741 had an ischemic stroke and 2176 had data available for analysis. We calculated that 8659 to 17 219 patients (conservative to liberal) meet the current guideline-recommended EVT criteria (nonlarge core, no prestroke disability, and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score ≥6) in the United States. Estimates (conservative to liberal) for expanded EVT eligibility subpopulations include (1) 5316 to 10 635 by large core; (2) 10 635 to 21 270 by mild presenting deficits with low National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score; (3) 13 572 to 27 089 by higher prestroke disability; and (4) 7039 to 14 180 by >1 criteria. These expanded eligibility subpopulations amount to 36 562 to 73 174 patients., Conclusions: An estimated 8659 to 17 219 adult patients in the United States met strict EVT eligibility criteria in 2020. A 4-fold increase in population-based EVT eligibility can be anticipated with incremental adoption of recent or future positive trials. US stroke systems need to be rapidly optimized to handle all EVT-eligible patients with stroke., Competing Interests: E.A. Mistry reports compensation from AbbVie for consultant services; compensation from RAPID AI for consultant services; compensation from the American Heart Association for consultant services; compensation from Translational Sciences for other services; grants from Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute; grants from the National Institutes of Health (NIH); and compensation from Silver Creek Pharmaceuticals, Inc, for other services. Dr Khoury reports grants from the NIH. Dr Kissela reports service as Board of Directors, Member for American Academy of Neurology, and employment by the University of Cincinnati. K.S. Alwell reports grants from the NIH. Dr Ferioli reports employment by the University of Cincinnati. Dr De Los Rios La Rosa reports employment by The Neurology Group; compensation from AstraZeneca for other services; and employment by Baptist Health South Florida. Dr Walsh reports grants from Jan Medical, Inc; grants from Sense Diagnostics LLC; grants from NIH Clinical Center; and grants from the American Heart Association. Dr Slavin reports grants from the NIH. M. Haverbusch reports employment by the University of Cincinnati. Dr Mackey reports grants from the NIH. Dr Woo reports grants from NIH. Dr Heldner reports grants from the Swiss Heart Foundation; grants from SITEM Research Funds; and grants from the Swiss National Science Foundation. Dr Fischer reports compensation from Biogen for expert witness services; employment by Universität Basel; and compensation from Boehringer Ingelheim for expert witness services. Dr Jadhav reports employment by Barrow Brain and Spine; stock options in Gravity Medical Technology; compensation from Basking Biosciences for consultant services; a patent issued for Novel Stent Retriever device licensed to Basking Biosciences; and travel support from Johnson and Johnson. Dr Jovin reports grants from Stryker Corporation; stock options in Basking; stock options in Kandu; grants from Medtronic USA, Inc; stock options in Anaconda; compensation from Contego Medical, Inc, for consultant services; stock options in StataDx; stock options in Freeox Biotech; stock options in Gravity; stock options in Route92; stock options in Methinks; compensation from Johnson & Johnson Cerenovus for data and safety monitoring services; stock options in viz-AI; and stock options in Galaxy. Dr Albers reports compensation from Genentech for consultant services; stock holdings in iSchemaView; and compensation from iSchemaView for consultant services. Dr Nogueira reports compensation from RapidPulse for consultant services; compensation from Cerebrotech for consultant services; compensation from Phenox for consultant services; compensation from Medtronic USA, Inc, for consultant services; compensation from Vesalio for consultant services; compensation from Corindus Vascular Robotics for consultant services; compensation from Anaconda for consultant services; compensation from Genentech for consultant services; stock options in Ceretrieve; stock options in Viseon, Inc; compensation from Biogen, Inc, for consultant services; stock options in Truvic; compensation from Brainomix for consultant services; compensation from Prolong Pharmaceuticals for consultant services; compensation from Ceretrieve for consultant services; compensation from Cerenovus for consultant services; stock holdings in Piraeus Medical; compensation from viz-AI for consultant services; stock options in Corindus, Inc; grants from Cerenovus; stock options in Perfuze; compensation from Genentech for consultant services; compensation from Philips for consultant services; compensation from Ceretrieve for consultant services; stock options in viz-AI; compensation from Stryker Corporation for consultant services; stock holdings in Brain4Care; compensation from Perfuze for consultant services; compensation from Brainomix for consultant services; compensation from Cerenovus for consultant services; compensation from viz-AI for consultant services; grants from Stryker; stock options in viz-AI; compensation from Phenox, Inc, for consultant services; compensation from Hybernia for consultant services; compensation from Perfuze for consultant services; compensation from Anaconda Biomed for consultant services; compensation from Imperative Care, Inc, for consultant services; compensation from NeuroVasc Technologies, Inc, for consultant services; compensation from Shanghai Wallaby for consultant services; stock options in Reist/Q’Apel Medical; stock holdings in Quantanosis AI; compensation from Prolong Pharmaceuticals for consultant services; stock options in Vesalio; compensation from Biogen, Inc, for consultant services; compensation from Synchron for data and safety monitoring services; compensation from Stryker for consultant services; compensation from Medtronic USA, Inc, for consultant services; compensation from Imperative Care for consultant services; compensation from RapidPulse for consultant services; stock options in Cerebrotech; compensation from Corindus, Inc, for consultant services; compensation from Astrocyte for consultant services; stock options in Brainomix; and stock options in Perfuze. Dr Khatri reports compensation from Translational Sciences for other services; compensation from Lumosa for consultant services; grants from Johnson & Johnson Health Care Systems, Inc; compensation from Basking Biosciences for consultant services; grants from NIH; compensation from Shionogi, Inc, for consultant services; and Online publication for Royalties from UptoDate, Inc, for online publication. The other authors report no conflicts.
- Published
- 2024
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