38 results on '"Turner, Emma L"'
Search Results
2. Prostate-Specific Antigen Screening and 15-Year Prostate Cancer Mortality: A Secondary Analysis of the CAP Randomized Clinical Trial.
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Martin RM, Turner EL, Young GJ, Metcalfe C, Walsh EI, Lane JA, Sterne JAC, Noble S, Holding P, Ben-Shlomo Y, Williams NJ, Pashayan N, Bui MN, Albertsen PC, Seibert TM, Zietman AL, Oxley J, Adolfsson J, Mason MD, Davey Smith G, Neal DE, Hamdy FC, and Donovan JL
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- Aged, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, England epidemiology, Follow-Up Studies, Mass Screening methods, Mass Screening statistics & numerical data, Neoplasm Grading, Wales epidemiology, Ultrasonography, Image-Guided Biopsy, Early Detection of Cancer methods, Early Detection of Cancer statistics & numerical data, Prostate-Specific Antigen blood, Prostatic Neoplasms diagnosis, Prostatic Neoplasms epidemiology, Prostatic Neoplasms mortality, Prostatic Neoplasms therapy
- Abstract
Importance: The Cluster Randomized Trial of PSA Testing for Prostate Cancer (CAP) reported no effect of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening on prostate cancer mortality at a median 10-year follow-up (primary outcome), but the long-term effects of PSA screening on prostate cancer mortality remain unclear., Objective: To evaluate the effect of a single invitation for PSA screening on prostate cancer-specific mortality at a median 15-year follow-up compared with no invitation for screening., Design, Setting, and Participants: This secondary analysis of the CAP randomized clinical trial included men aged 50 to 69 years identified at 573 primary care practices in England and Wales. Primary care practices were randomized between September 25, 2001, and August 24, 2007, and men were enrolled between January 8, 2002, and January 20, 2009. Follow-up was completed on March 31, 2021., Intervention: Men received a single invitation for a PSA screening test with subsequent diagnostic tests if the PSA level was 3.0 ng/mL or higher. The control group received standard practice (no invitation)., Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was reported previously. Of 8 prespecified secondary outcomes, results of 4 were reported previously. The 4 remaining prespecified secondary outcomes at 15-year follow-up were prostate cancer-specific mortality, all-cause mortality, and prostate cancer stage and Gleason grade at diagnosis., Results: Of 415 357 eligible men (mean [SD] age, 59.0 [5.6] years), 98% were included in these analyses. Overall, 12 013 and 12 958 men with a prostate cancer diagnosis were in the intervention and control groups, respectively (15-year cumulative risk, 7.08% [95% CI, 6.95%-7.21%] and 6.94% [95% CI, 6.82%-7.06%], respectively). At a median 15-year follow-up, 1199 men in the intervention group (0.69% [95% CI, 0.65%-0.73%]) and 1451 men in the control group (0.78% [95% CI, 0.73%-0.82%]) died of prostate cancer (rate ratio [RR], 0.92 [95% CI, 0.85-0.99]; P = .03). Compared with the control, the PSA screening intervention increased detection of low-grade (Gleason score [GS] ≤6: 2.2% vs 1.6%; P < .001) and localized (T1/T2: 3.6% vs 3.1%; P < .001) disease but not intermediate (GS of 7), high-grade (GS ≥8), locally advanced (T3), or distally advanced (T4/N1/M1) tumors. There were 45 084 all-cause deaths in the intervention group (23.2% [95% CI, 23.0%-23.4%]) and 50 336 deaths in the control group (23.3% [95% CI, 23.1%-23.5%]) (RR, 0.97 [95% CI, 0.94-1.01]; P = .11). Eight of the prostate cancer deaths in the intervention group (0.7%) and 7 deaths in the control group (0.5%) were related to a diagnostic biopsy or prostate cancer treatment., Conclusions and Relevance: In this secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial, a single invitation for PSA screening compared with standard practice without routine screening reduced prostate cancer deaths at a median follow-up of 15 years. However, the absolute reduction in deaths was small., Trial Registration: isrctn.org Identifier: ISRCTN92187251.
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- 2024
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3. Impact of PSA testing on secondary care costs in England and Wales: estimates from the Cluster randomised triAl of PSA testing for Prostate cancer (CAP).
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Thorn JC, Turner EL, Walsh EI, Donovan JL, Neal DE, Hamdy FC, Martin RM, and Noble SM
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- Male, Humans, Wales, Secondary Care, Mass Screening, England, Prostate-Specific Antigen, Prostatic Neoplasms diagnosis
- Abstract
Background: Screening men for prostate cancer using prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing remains controversial. We aimed to estimate the likely budgetary impact on secondary care in England and Wales to inform screening decision makers., Methods: The Cluster randomised triAl of PSA testing for Prostate cancer study (CAP) compared a single invitation to men aged 50-69 for a PSA test with usual care (no screening). Routinely collected hospital care data were obtained for all men in CAP, and NHS reference costs were mapped to each event via Healthcare Resource Group (HRG) codes. Secondary-care costs per man per year were calculated, and cost differences (and population-level estimates) between arms were derived annually for the first five years following randomisation., Results: In the first year post-randomisation, secondary-care costs averaged across all men (irrespective of a prostate cancer diagnosis) in the intervention arm (n = 189279) were £44.80 (95% confidence interval: £18.30-£71.30) higher than for men in the control arm (n = 219357). Extrapolated to a population level, the introduction of a single PSA screening invitation could lead to additional secondary care costs of £314 million., Conclusions: Introducing a single PSA screening test for men aged 50-69 across England and Wales could lead to very high initial secondary-care costs., (© 2023. The Author(s).)
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- 2023
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4. Fifteen-Year Outcomes after Monitoring, Surgery, or Radiotherapy for Prostate Cancer.
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Hamdy FC, Donovan JL, Lane JA, Metcalfe C, Davis M, Turner EL, Martin RM, Young GJ, Walsh EI, Bryant RJ, Bollina P, Doble A, Doherty A, Gillatt D, Gnanapragasam V, Hughes O, Kockelbergh R, Kynaston H, Paul A, Paez E, Powell P, Rosario DJ, Rowe E, Mason M, Catto JWF, Peters TJ, Oxley J, Williams NJ, Staffurth J, and Neal DE
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- Humans, Male, Androgen Antagonists therapeutic use, Androgens, Follow-Up Studies, Prostatectomy, Watchful Waiting, Middle Aged, Aged, Radiotherapy, Risk Assessment, Prostate-Specific Antigen blood, Prostatic Neoplasms blood, Prostatic Neoplasms diagnosis, Prostatic Neoplasms mortality, Prostatic Neoplasms therapy
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Background: Between 1999 and 2009 in the United Kingdom, 82,429 men between 50 and 69 years of age received a prostate-specific antigen (PSA) test. Localized prostate cancer was diagnosed in 2664 men. Of these men, 1643 were enrolled in a trial to evaluate the effectiveness of treatments, with 545 randomly assigned to receive active monitoring, 553 to undergo prostatectomy, and 545 to undergo radiotherapy., Methods: At a median follow-up of 15 years (range, 11 to 21), we compared the results in this population with respect to death from prostate cancer (the primary outcome) and death from any cause, metastases, disease progression, and initiation of long-term androgen-deprivation therapy (secondary outcomes)., Results: Follow-up was complete for 1610 patients (98%). A risk-stratification analysis showed that more than one third of the men had intermediate or high-risk disease at diagnosis. Death from prostate cancer occurred in 45 men (2.7%): 17 (3.1%) in the active-monitoring group, 12 (2.2%) in the prostatectomy group, and 16 (2.9%) in the radiotherapy group (P = 0.53 for the overall comparison). Death from any cause occurred in 356 men (21.7%), with similar numbers in all three groups. Metastases developed in 51 men (9.4%) in the active-monitoring group, in 26 (4.7%) in the prostatectomy group, and in 27 (5.0%) in the radiotherapy group. Long-term androgen-deprivation therapy was initiated in 69 men (12.7%), 40 (7.2%), and 42 (7.7%), respectively; clinical progression occurred in 141 men (25.9%), 58 (10.5%), and 60 (11.0%), respectively. In the active-monitoring group, 133 men (24.4%) were alive without any prostate cancer treatment at the end of follow-up. No differential effects on cancer-specific mortality were noted in relation to the baseline PSA level, tumor stage or grade, or risk-stratification score. No treatment complications were reported after the 10-year analysis., Conclusions: After 15 years of follow-up, prostate cancer-specific mortality was low regardless of the treatment assigned. Thus, the choice of therapy involves weighing trade-offs between benefits and harms associated with treatments for localized prostate cancer. (Funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research; ProtecT Current Controlled Trials number, ISRCTN20141297; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02044172.)., (Copyright © 2023 Massachusetts Medical Society.)
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- 2023
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5. Patient-Reported Outcomes 12 Years after Localized Prostate Cancer Treatment.
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Donovan JL, Hamdy FC, Lane JA, Young GJ, Metcalfe C, Walsh EI, Davis M, Steuart-Feilding T, Blazeby JM, Avery KNL, Martin RM, Bollina P, Doble A, Doherty A, Gillatt D, Gnanapragasam V, Hughes O, Kockelbergh R, Kynaston H, Paul A, Paez E, Powell P, Rosario DJ, Rowe E, Mason M, Catto JWF, Peters TJ, Wade J, Turner EL, Williams NJ, Oxley J, Staffurth J, Bryant RJ, and Neal DE
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- Male, Humans, Androgen Antagonists, Treatment Outcome, Quality of Life, Patient Reported Outcome Measures, Prostatic Neoplasms radiotherapy
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BACKGROUND: Long-term patient-reported outcomes are needed to inform treatment decisions for localized prostate cancer. METHODS: Patient-reported outcomes of 1643 randomly assigned participants in the ProtecT (Prostate Testing for Cancer and Treatment) trial were evaluated to assess the functional and quality-of-life impacts of prostatectomy, radiotherapy with neoadjuvant androgen deprivation, and active monitoring. This article focuses on the outcomes of the randomly assigned participants from 7 to 12 years using mixed effects linear and logistic models. RESULTS: Response rates exceeded 80% for most measures. Among the randomized groups over 7 to 12 years, generic quality-of-life scores were similar. Among those in the prostatectomy group, urinary leakage requiring pads occurred in 18 to 24% of patients over 7 to 12 years, compared with 9 to 11% in the active monitoring group and 3 to 8% in the radiotherapy group. In the prostatectomy group, 18% reported erections sufficient for intercourse at 7 years, compared with 30% in the active monitoring and 27% in the radiotherapy groups; all converged to low levels of potency by year 12. Nocturia (voiding at least twice per night) occurred in 34% in the prostatectomy group compared with 48% in the radiotherapy group and 47% in the active monitoring group at 12 years. Fecal leakage affected 12% in the radiotherapy group compared with 6% in the other groups by year 12. The active monitoring group experienced gradual age-related declines in sexual and urinary function, avoiding radical treatment effects unless they changed management. CONCLUSIONS: ProtecT provides robust evidence about continued impacts of treatments in the long term. These data allow patients newly diagnosed with localized prostate cancer and their clinicians to assess the trade-offs between treatment harms and benefits and enable better informed and prudent treatment decisions. (Funded by the UK National Institute for Health and Care Research Health Technology Assessment Programme projects 96/20/06 and 96/20/99; ISRCTN number, ISRCTN20141297; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02044172.)
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- 2023
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6. Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Prostate Cancer Screening in the UK: A Decision Model Analysis Based on the CAP Trial.
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Keeney E, Sanghera S, Martin RM, Gulati R, Wiklund F, Walsh EI, Donovan JL, Hamdy F, Neal DE, Lane JA, Turner EL, Thom H, and Clements MS
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- Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Adult, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Early Detection of Cancer, State Medicine, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Mass Screening methods, United Kingdom, Prostate-Specific Antigen, Prostatic Neoplasms diagnosis, Prostatic Neoplasms pathology
- Abstract
Background and Objective: Most guidelines in the UK, Europe and North America do not recommend organised population-wide screening for prostate cancer. Prostate-specific antigen-based screening can reduce prostate cancer-specific mortality, but there are concerns about overdiagnosis, overtreatment and economic value. The aim was therefore to assess the cost effectiveness of eight potential screening strategies in the UK., Methods: We used a cost-utility analysis with an individual-based simulation model. The model was calibrated to data from the 10-year follow-up of the Cluster Randomised Trial of PSA Testing for Prostate Cancer (CAP). Treatment effects were modelled using data from the Prostate Testing for Cancer and Treatment (ProtecT) trial. The participants were a hypothetical population of 10 million men in the UK followed from age 30 years to death. The strategies were: no screening; five age-based screening strategies; adaptive screening, where men with an initial prostate-specific antigen level of < 1.5 ng/mL are screened every 6 years and those above this level are screened every 4 years; and two polygenic risk-stratified screening strategies. We assumed the use of pre-biopsy multi-parametric magnetic resonance imaging for men with prostate-specific antigen ≥ 3 ng/mL and combined transrectal ultrasound-guided and targeted biopsies. The main outcome measures were projected lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life-years from a National Health Service perspective., Results: All screening strategies increased costs compared with no screening, with the majority also increasing quality-adjusted life-years. At willingness-to-pay thresholds of £20,000 or £30,000 per quality-adjusted life-year gained, a once-off screening at age 50 years was optimal, although this was sensitive to the utility estimates used. Although the polygenic risk-stratified screening strategies were not on the cost-effectiveness frontier, there was evidence to suggest that they were less cost ineffective than the alternative age-based strategies., Conclusions: Of the prostate-specific antigen-based strategies compared, only a once-off screening at age 50 years was potentially cost effective at current UK willingness-to-pay thresholds. An additional follow-up of CAP to 15 years may reduce uncertainty about the cost effectiveness of the screening strategies., (© 2022. The Author(s).)
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- 2022
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7. Screening asymptomatic men for prostate cancer: A comparison of international guidelines on prostate-specific antigen testing.
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Jackson SD, de la Rue MR, Greenslade TP, John AM, Wahid S, Martin RM, Williams NJ, and Turner EL
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- Adult, Early Detection of Cancer, Humans, Male, Mass Screening, Prostate-Specific Antigen, Prostatic Neoplasms diagnosis
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Objective: To summarise and compare the key recommendations on prostate-specific antigen (PSA)-based screening for prostate cancer, and so highlight where more evidence is required to facilitate consistent recommendations., Methods: The Medline database and websites of 18 national screening organisations and professional associations were searched between January 2010 and November 2020 to identify screening guidelines published in English, considering recent clinical trials., Results: Population-based PSA testing of asymptomatic men is not widely recommended. Guidelines emphasize shared patient-clinician decision making. For 'average-risk' men choosing to be screened, the recommended age varies from 50-55 to 70 years, alongside consideration of life expectancy (ranging from 7-15 years). Screening intervals, when specified, are biennial (most common), annual, or determined from baseline PSA. The earliest age for screening high-risk men (frequently defined as of African descent or with a family history of prostate cancer) is 40 years, but recommendations often defer to clinical judgement., Conclusions: Population screening of asymptomatic men is not widely recommended. Instead, balancing the potential harms and benefits of PSA testing is endorsed. Variation between guidelines stems from differing interpretations of key trials and could lead to clinician-dependent screening views. The development of clinical decision aids and international consensus on guidelines may help reduce national and international variation on how men are counselled.
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- 2022
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8. Functional and quality of life outcomes of localised prostate cancer treatments (Prostate Testing for Cancer and Treatment [ProtecT] study).
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Lane JA, Donovan JL, Young GJ, Davis M, Walsh EI, Avery KNL, Blazeby JM, Mason MD, Martin RM, Peters TJ, Turner EL, Wade J, Bollina P, Catto JWF, Doherty A, Gillatt D, Gnanapragasam V, Hughes O, Kockelbergh R, Kynaston H, Oxley J, Paul A, Paez E, Rosario DJ, Rowe E, Staffurth J, Neal DE, Hamdy FC, and Metcalfe C
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- Aged, Androgen Antagonists, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Prostate pathology, Prostatectomy, Quality of Life, Treatment Outcome, Brachytherapy, Erectile Dysfunction, Prostatic Neoplasms pathology
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Objective: To investigate the functional and quality of life (QoL) outcomes of treatments for localised prostate cancer and inform treatment decision-making., Patients and Methods: Men aged 50-69 years diagnosed with localised prostate cancer by prostate-specific antigen testing and biopsies at nine UK centres in the Prostate Testing for Cancer and Treatment (ProtecT) trial were randomised to, or chose one of, three treatments. Of 2565 participants, 1135 men received active monitoring (AM), 750 a radical prostatectomy (RP), 603 external-beam radiotherapy (EBRT) with concurrent androgen-deprivation therapy (ADT) and 77 low-dose-rate brachytherapy (BT, not a randomised treatment). Patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) completed annually for 6 years were analysed by initial treatment and censored for subsequent treatments. Mixed effects models were adjusted for baseline characteristics using propensity scores., Results: Treatment-received analyses revealed different impacts of treatments over 6 years. Men remaining on AM experienced gradual declines in sexual and urinary function with age (e.g., increases in erectile dysfunction from 35% of men at baseline to 53% at 6 years and nocturia similarly from 20% to 38%). Radical treatment impacts were immediate and continued over 6 years. After RP, 95% of men reported erectile dysfunction persisting for 85% at 6 years, and after EBRT this was reported by 69% and 74%, respectively (P < 0.001 compared with AM). After RP, 36% of men reported urinary leakage requiring at least 1 pad/day, persisting for 20% at 6 years, compared with no change in men receiving EBRT or AM (P < 0.001). Worse bowel function and bother (e.g., bloody stools 6% at 6 years and faecal incontinence 10%) was experienced by men after EBRT than after RP or AM (P < 0.001) with lesser effects after BT. No treatment affected mental or physical QoL., Conclusion: Treatment decision-making for localised prostate cancer can be informed by these 6-year functional and QoL outcomes., (© 2022 The Authors. BJU International published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of BJU International.)
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- 2022
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9. Additional SNPs improve risk stratification of a polygenic hazard score for prostate cancer.
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Karunamuni RA, Huynh-Le MP, Fan CC, Thompson W, Eeles RA, Kote-Jarai Z, Muir K, Lophatananon A, Schleutker J, Pashayan N, Batra J, Grönberg H, Walsh EI, Turner EL, Lane A, Martin RM, Neal DE, Donovan JL, Hamdy FC, Nordestgaard BG, Tangen CM, MacInnis RJ, Wolk A, Albanes D, Haiman CA, Travis RC, Stanford JL, Mucci LA, West CML, Nielsen SF, Kibel AS, Wiklund F, Cussenot O, Berndt SI, Koutros S, Sørensen KD, Cybulski C, Grindedal EM, Park JY, Ingles SA, Maier C, Hamilton RJ, Rosenstein BS, Vega A, Kogevinas M, Penney KL, Teixeira MR, Brenner H, John EM, Kaneva R, Logothetis CJ, Neuhausen SL, Razack A, Newcomb LF, Gamulin M, Usmani N, Claessens F, Gago-Dominguez M, Townsend PA, Roobol MJ, Zheng W, Mills IG, Andreassen OA, Dale AM, and Seibert TM
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- Adult, Aged, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Predictive Value of Tests, Prognosis, Prostatic Neoplasms epidemiology, Prostatic Neoplasms genetics, Risk Factors, Biomarkers, Tumor genetics, Models, Statistical, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, Prostatic Neoplasms pathology, Risk Assessment methods
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Background: Polygenic hazard scores (PHS) can identify individuals with increased risk of prostate cancer. We estimated the benefit of additional SNPs on performance of a previously validated PHS (PHS46)., Materials and Method: 180 SNPs, shown to be previously associated with prostate cancer, were used to develop a PHS model in men with European ancestry. A machine-learning approach, LASSO-regularized Cox regression, was used to select SNPs and to estimate their coefficients in the training set (75,596 men). Performance of the resulting model was evaluated in the testing/validation set (6,411 men) with two metrics: (1) hazard ratios (HRs) and (2) positive predictive value (PPV) of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing. HRs were estimated between individuals with PHS in the top 5% to those in the middle 40% (HR95/50), top 20% to bottom 20% (HR80/20), and bottom 20% to middle 40% (HR20/50). PPV was calculated for the top 20% (PPV80) and top 5% (PPV95) of PHS as the fraction of individuals with elevated PSA that were diagnosed with clinically significant prostate cancer on biopsy., Results: 166 SNPs had non-zero coefficients in the Cox model (PHS166). All HR metrics showed significant improvements for PHS166 compared to PHS46: HR95/50 increased from 3.72 to 5.09, HR80/20 increased from 6.12 to 9.45, and HR20/50 decreased from 0.41 to 0.34. By contrast, no significant differences were observed in PPV of PSA testing for clinically significant prostate cancer., Conclusions: Incorporating 120 additional SNPs (PHS166 vs PHS46) significantly improved HRs for prostate cancer, while PPV of PSA testing remained the same.
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- 2021
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10. The ProtecT randomised trial cost-effectiveness analysis comparing active monitoring, surgery, or radiotherapy for prostate cancer.
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Noble SM, Garfield K, Lane JA, Metcalfe C, Davis M, Walsh EI, Martin RM, Turner EL, Peters TJ, Thorn JC, Mason M, Bollina P, Catto JWF, Doherty A, Gnanapragasam V, Hughes O, Kockelbergh R, Kynaston H, Paul A, Paez E, Rosario DJ, Rowe E, Oxley J, Staffurth J, Neal DE, Hamdy FC, and Donovan JL
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- Adult, Aged, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Health Care Costs, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Prostatic Neoplasms therapy
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Background: There is limited evidence relating to the cost-effectiveness of treatments for localised prostate cancer., Methods: The cost-effectiveness of active monitoring, surgery, and radiotherapy was evaluated within the Prostate Testing for Cancer and Treatment (ProtecT) randomised controlled trial from a UK NHS perspective at 10 years' median follow-up. Prostate cancer resource-use collected from hospital records and trial participants was valued using UK reference-costs. QALYs (quality-adjusted-life-years) were calculated from patient-reported EQ-5D-3L measurements. Adjusted mean costs, QALYs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated; cost-effectiveness acceptability curves and sensitivity analyses addressed uncertainty; subgroup analyses considered age and disease-risk., Results: Adjusted mean QALYs were similar between groups: 6.89 (active monitoring), 7.09 (radiotherapy), and 6.91 (surgery). Active monitoring had lower adjusted mean costs (£5913) than radiotherapy (£7361) and surgery (£7519). Radiotherapy was the most likely (58% probability) cost-effective option at the UK NICE willingness-to-pay threshold (£20,000 per QALY). Subgroup analyses confirmed radiotherapy was cost-effective for older men and intermediate/high-risk disease groups; active monitoring was more likely to be the cost-effective option for younger men and low-risk groups., Conclusions: Longer follow-up and modelling are required to determine the most cost-effective treatment for localised prostate cancer over a man's lifetime., Trial Registration: Current Controlled Trials number, ISRCTN20141297: http://isrctn.org (14/10/2002); ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02044172: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov (23/01/2014).
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- 2020
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11. A Genetic Risk Score to Personalize Prostate Cancer Screening, Applied to Population Data.
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Huynh-Le MP, Fan CC, Karunamuni R, Walsh EI, Turner EL, Lane JA, Martin RM, Neal DE, Donovan JL, Hamdy FC, Parsons JK, Eeles RA, Easton DF, Kote-Jarai Z, Amin Al Olama A, Benlloch Garcia S, Muir K, Grönberg H, Wiklund F, Aly M, Schleutker J, Sipeky C, Tammela TL, Nordestgaard BG, Key TJ, Travis RC, Pharoah PDP, Pashayan N, Khaw KT, Thibodeau SN, McDonnell SK, Schaid DJ, Maier C, Vogel W, Luedeke M, Herkommer K, Kibel AS, Cybulski C, Wokolorczyk D, Kluzniak W, Cannon-Albright LA, Brenner H, Schöttker B, Holleczek B, Park JY, Sellers TA, Lin HY, Slavov CK, Kaneva RP, Mitev VI, Batra J, Clements JA, Spurdle AB, Teixeira MR, Paulo P, Maia S, Pandha H, Michael A, Mills IG, Andreassen OA, Dale AM, and Seibert TM
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- Aged, Early Detection of Cancer, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Neoplasm Grading, Population Control, Prostatic Neoplasms genetics
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Background: A polygenic hazard score (PHS), the weighted sum of 54 SNP genotypes, was previously validated for association with clinically significant prostate cancer and for improved prostate cancer screening accuracy. Here, we assess the potential impact of PHS-informed screening., Methods: United Kingdom population incidence data (Cancer Research United Kingdom) and data from the Cluster Randomized Trial of PSA Testing for Prostate Cancer were combined to estimate age-specific clinically significant prostate cancer incidence (Gleason score ≥7, stage T3-T4, PSA ≥10, or nodal/distant metastases). Using HRs estimated from the ProtecT prostate cancer trial, age-specific incidence rates were calculated for various PHS risk percentiles. Risk-equivalent age, when someone with a given PHS percentile has prostate cancer risk equivalent to an average 50-year-old man (50-year-standard risk), was derived from PHS and incidence data. Positive predictive value (PPV) of PSA testing for clinically significant prostate cancer was calculated using PHS-adjusted age groups., Results: The expected age at diagnosis of clinically significant prostate cancer differs by 19 years between the 1st and 99th PHS percentiles: men with PHS in the 1st and 99th percentiles reach the 50-year-standard risk level at ages 60 and 41, respectively. PPV of PSA was higher for men with higher PHS-adjusted age., Conclusions: PHS provides individualized estimates of risk-equivalent age for clinically significant prostate cancer. Screening initiation could be adjusted by a man's PHS., Impact: Personalized genetic risk assessments could inform prostate cancer screening decisions., (©2020 American Association for Cancer Research.)
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- 2020
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12. Active monitoring, radical prostatectomy and radical radiotherapy in PSA-detected clinically localised prostate cancer: the ProtecT three-arm RCT.
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Hamdy FC, Donovan JL, Lane JA, Mason M, Metcalfe C, Holding P, Wade J, Noble S, Garfield K, Young G, Davis M, Peters TJ, Turner EL, Martin RM, Oxley J, Robinson M, Staffurth J, Walsh E, Blazeby J, Bryant R, Bollina P, Catto J, Doble A, Doherty A, Gillatt D, Gnanapragasam V, Hughes O, Kockelbergh R, Kynaston H, Paul A, Paez E, Powell P, Prescott S, Rosario D, Rowe E, and Neal D
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- Aged, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Prospective Studies, Prostate-Specific Antigen blood, Prostatic Neoplasms mortality, Prostatic Neoplasms pathology, Quality of Life, Disease-Free Survival, Patient Reported Outcome Measures, Prostatectomy mortality, Prostatic Neoplasms radiotherapy, Prostatic Neoplasms therapy, Watchful Waiting
- Abstract
Background: Prostate cancer is the most common cancer among men in the UK. Prostate-specific antigen testing followed by biopsy leads to overdetection, overtreatment as well as undertreatment of the disease. Evidence of treatment effectiveness has lacked because of the paucity of randomised controlled trials comparing conventional treatments., Objectives: To evaluate the effectiveness of conventional treatments for localised prostate cancer (active monitoring, radical prostatectomy and radical radiotherapy) in men aged 50-69 years., Design: A prospective, multicentre prostate-specific antigen testing programme followed by a randomised trial of treatment, with a comprehensive cohort follow-up., Setting: Prostate-specific antigen testing in primary care and treatment in nine urology departments in the UK., Participants: Between 2001 and 2009, 228,966 men aged 50-69 years received an invitation to attend an appointment for information about the Prostate testing for cancer and Treatment (ProtecT) study and a prostate-specific antigen test; 82,429 men were tested, 2664 were diagnosed with localised prostate cancer, 1643 agreed to randomisation to active monitoring ( n = 545), radical prostatectomy ( n = 553) or radical radiotherapy ( n = 545) and 997 chose a treatment., Interventions: The interventions were active monitoring, radical prostatectomy and radical radiotherapy., Trial Primary Outcome Measure: Definite or probable disease-specific mortality at the 10-year median follow-up in randomised participants., Secondary Outcome Measures: Overall mortality, metastases, disease progression, treatment complications, resource utilisation and patient-reported outcomes., Results: There were no statistically significant differences between the groups for 17 prostate cancer-specific ( p = 0.48) and 169 all-cause ( p = 0.87) deaths. Eight men died of prostate cancer in the active monitoring group (1.5 per 1000 person-years, 95% confidence interval 0.7 to 3.0); five died of prostate cancer in the radical prostatectomy group (0.9 per 1000 person-years, 95% confidence interval 0.4 to 2.2 per 1000 person years) and four died of prostate cancer in the radical radiotherapy group (0.7 per 1000 person-years, 95% confidence interval 0.3 to 2.0 per 1000 person years). More men developed metastases in the active monitoring group than in the radical prostatectomy and radical radiotherapy groups: active monitoring, n = 33 (6.3 per 1000 person-years, 95% confidence interval 4.5 to 8.8); radical prostatectomy, n = 13 (2.4 per 1000 person-years, 95% confidence interval 1.4 to 4.2 per 1000 person years); and radical radiotherapy, n = 16 (3.0 per 1000 person-years, 95% confidence interval 1.9 to 4.9 per 1000 person-years; p = 0.004). There were higher rates of disease progression in the active monitoring group than in the radical prostatectomy and radical radiotherapy groups: active monitoring ( n = 112; 22.9 per 1000 person-years, 95% confidence interval 19.0 to 27.5 per 1000 person years); radical prostatectomy ( n = 46; 8.9 per 1000 person-years, 95% confidence interval 6.7 to 11.9 per 1000 person-years); and radical radiotherapy ( n = 46; 9.0 per 1000 person-years, 95% confidence interval 6.7 to 12.0 per 1000 person years; p < 0.001). Radical prostatectomy had the greatest impact on sexual function/urinary continence and remained worse than radical radiotherapy and active monitoring. Radical radiotherapy's impact on sexual function was greatest at 6 months, but recovered somewhat in the majority of participants. Sexual and urinary function gradually declined in the active monitoring group. Bowel function was worse with radical radiotherapy at 6 months, but it recovered with the exception of bloody stools. Urinary voiding and nocturia worsened in the radical radiotherapy group at 6 months but recovered. Condition-specific quality-of-life effects mirrored functional changes. No differences in anxiety/depression or generic or cancer-related quality of life were found. At the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence threshold of £20,000 per quality-adjusted life-year, the probabilities that each arm was the most cost-effective option were 58% (radical radiotherapy), 32% (active monitoring) and 10% (radical prostatectomy)., Limitations: A single prostate-specific antigen test and transrectal ultrasound biopsies were used. There were very few non-white men in the trial. The majority of men had low- and intermediate-risk disease. Longer follow-up is needed., Conclusions: At a median follow-up point of 10 years, prostate cancer-specific mortality was low, irrespective of the assigned treatment. Radical prostatectomy and radical radiotherapy reduced disease progression and metastases, but with side effects. Further work is needed to follow up participants at a median of 15 years., Trial Registration: Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN20141297., Funding: This project was funded by the National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment ; Vol. 24, No. 37. See the National Institute for Health Research Journals Library website for further project information., Competing Interests: Malcolm Mason reports personal fees from Sanofi (Paris, France), Bayer (Leverkusen, Germany) and Janssen Pharmaceutica (Beerse, Belgium) outside the submitted work. Derek Rosario reports grants from Bayer and personal fees from Ferring Pharmaceuticals (Saint-Prex, Switzerland) outside the submitted work. Jane Blazeby was a member of the following during the project: National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment (HTA) Clinical Trials and Evaluation Committee (2009–2013), HTA NIHR Obesity (2010–2012), Commissioning Board for HTA Surgery Themed Call Board and the NIHR Clinical Trials Unit (CTU) Standing Advisory Committee (2015–2019). Jenny Donovan was a member of the following during the project: HTA Commissioning Board (2006–12), Rapid Trials and Add-on Studies Board (2012), NIHR Senior Investigator panel (2009–12) and NIHR Health Services and Delivery Research board (Deputy Chairperson) (2010–11). Freddie C Hamdy was a member of the following during the project: HTA Commissioning Board (2007–12) and HTA Surgery Themed Call Board (2012–13). J Athene Lane was a member of the following during the project: CTUs funded by NIHR (2017 to present). Chris Metcalfe was a member of the following during the project: CTUs funded by NIHR (2010 to present). Tim Peters was a member of the following during the project: HTA Medicines for Children Themed Call (2005–6) and NIHR CTU Standing Advisory Committee (2008–14). John Staffurth reports support for travel to conferences and attendance on an advisory board from Bayer. Emma L Turner reports grants from Cancer Research UK (London, UK) during the conduct of the study.
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- 2020
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13. Systematic review and meta-analysis of the associations between body mass index, prostate cancer, advanced prostate cancer, and prostate-specific antigen.
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Harrison S, Tilling K, Turner EL, Martin RM, Lennon R, Lane JA, Donovan JL, Hamdy FC, Neal DE, Bosch JLHR, and Jones HE
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- Body Mass Index, Early Detection of Cancer methods, Humans, Male, Obesity epidemiology, Overweight epidemiology, Kallikreins metabolism, Prostate-Specific Antigen metabolism, Prostatic Neoplasms diagnosis
- Abstract
Purpose: The relationship between body mass index (BMI) and prostate cancer remains unclear. However, there is an inverse association between BMI and prostate-specific antigen (PSA), used for prostate cancer screening. We conducted this review to estimate the associations between BMI and (1) prostate cancer, (2) advanced prostate cancer, and (3) PSA., Methods: We searched PubMed and Embase for studies until 02 October 2017 and obtained individual participant data from four studies. In total, 78 studies were identified for the association between BMI and prostate cancer, 21 for BMI and advanced prostate cancer, and 35 for BMI and PSA. We performed random-effects meta-analysis of linear associations of log-PSA and prostate cancer with BMI and, to examine potential non-linearity, of associations between categories of BMI and each outcome., Results: In the meta-analyses with continuous BMI, a 5 kg/m
2 increase in BMI was associated with a percentage change in PSA of - 5.88% (95% CI - 6.87 to - 4.87). Using BMI categories, compared to normal weight men the PSA levels of overweight men were 3.43% lower (95% CI - 5.57 to - 1.23), and obese men were 12.9% lower (95% CI - 15.2 to - 10.7). Prostate cancer and advanced prostate cancer analyses showed little or no evidence associations., Conclusion: There is little or no evidence of an association between BMI and risk of prostate cancer or advanced prostate cancer, and strong evidence of an inverse and non-linear association between BMI and PSA. The association between BMI and prostate cancer is likely biased if missed diagnoses are not considered.- Published
- 2020
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14. The ProtecT trial: analysis of the patient cohort, baseline risk stratification and disease progression.
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Bryant RJ, Oxley J, Young GJ, Lane JA, Metcalfe C, Davis M, Turner EL, Martin RM, Goepel JR, Varma M, Griffiths DF, Grigor K, Mayer N, Warren AY, Bhattarai S, Dormer J, Mason M, Staffurth J, Walsh E, Rosario DJ, Catto JWF, Neal DE, Donovan JL, and Hamdy FC
- Subjects
- Aged, Cohort Studies, Disease Progression, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Kallikreins blood, Male, Middle Aged, Neoplasm Staging, Prostate-Specific Antigen blood, Prostatic Neoplasms blood, Risk Assessment, Time Factors, Prostatic Neoplasms pathology
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Objective: To test the hypothesis that the baseline clinico-pathological features of the men with localized prostate cancer (PCa) included in the ProtecT (Prostate Testing for Cancer and Treatment) trial who progressed (n = 198) at a 10-year median follow-up were different from those of men with stable disease (n = 1409)., Patients and Methods: We stratified the study participants at baseline according to risk of progression using clinical disease stage, pathological grade and PSA level, using Cox proportional hazard models., Results: The findings showed that 34% of participants (n = 505) had intermediate- or high-risk PCa, and 66% (n = 973) had low-risk PCa. Of 198 participants who progressed, 101 (51%) had baseline International Society of Urological Pathology Grade Group 1, 59 (30%) Grade Group 2, and 38 (19%) Grade Group 3 PCa, compared with 79%, 17% and 5%, respectively, for 1409 participants without progression (P < 0.001). In participants with progression, 38% and 62% had baseline low- and intermediate-/high-risk disease, compared with 69% and 31% of participants with stable disease (P < 0.001). Treatment received, age (65-69 vs 50-64 years), PSA level, Grade Group, clinical stage, risk group, number of positive cores, tumour length and perineural invasion were associated with time to progression (P ≤ 0.005). Men progressing after surgery (n = 19) were more likely to have a higher Grade Group and pathological stage at surgery, larger tumours, lymph node involvement and positive margins., Conclusions: We demonstrate that one-third of the ProtecT cohort consists of people with intermediate-/high-risk disease, and the outcomes data at an average of 10 years' follow-up are generalizable beyond men with low-risk PCa., (© 2020 Crown copyright. BJU International published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of BJU International.)
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- 2020
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15. Ten-year Mortality, Disease Progression, and Treatment-related Side Effects in Men with Localised Prostate Cancer from the ProtecT Randomised Controlled Trial According to Treatment Received.
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Neal DE, Metcalfe C, Donovan JL, Lane JA, Davis M, Young GJ, Dutton SJ, Walsh EI, Martin RM, Peters TJ, Turner EL, Mason M, Bryant R, Bollina P, Catto J, Doherty A, Gillatt D, Gnanapragasam V, Holding P, Hughes O, Kockelbergh R, Kynaston H, Oxley J, Paul A, Paez E, Rosario DJ, Rowe E, Staffurth J, Altman DG, and Hamdy FC
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- Aged, Disease Progression, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Prostatectomy adverse effects, Prostatic Neoplasms pathology, Radiotherapy adverse effects, Radiotherapy methods, Time Factors, Treatment Outcome, Watchful Waiting, Prostatic Neoplasms mortality, Prostatic Neoplasms therapy
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Background: The ProtecT trial reported intention-to-treat analysis of men with localised prostate cancer (PCa) randomly allocated to active monitoring (AM), radical prostatectomy, and external beam radiotherapy., Objective: To determine report outcomes according to treatment received in men in randomised and treatment choice cohorts., Design, Setting, and Participants: This study focuses on secondary care. Men with clinically localised prostate cancer at one of nine UK centres were invited to participate in the treatment trial comparing AM, radical prostatectomy, and radiotherapy., Intervention: Two cohorts included 1643 men who agreed to be randomised; 997 declined randomisation and chose treatment., Outcome Measurements and Statistical Analysis: Health-related quality of life impacts on urinary, bowel, and sexual function were assessed using patient-reported outcome measures. Analysis was carried out based on treatment received for each cohort and on pooled estimates using meta-analysis. Differences were estimated with adjustment for known prognostic factors using propensity scores., Results and Limitations: According to treatment received, more men receiving AM died of PCa (AM 1.85%, surgery 0.67%, radiotherapy 0.73%), whilst this difference remained consistent with chance in the randomised cohort (p=0.08); stronger evidence was found in the exploratory analyses (randomised plus choice cohort) when AM was compared with the combined radical treatment group (p=0.003). There was also strong evidence that metastasis (AM 5.6%, surgery 2.4%, radiotherapy 2.7%) and disease progression (AM 20.35%, surgery 5.87%, radiotherapy 6.62%) were more common in the AM group. Compared with AM, there were higher risks of sexual dysfunction (95% at 6mo) and urinary incontinence (55% at 6mo) after surgery, and of sexual dysfunction (88% at 6mo) and bowel dysfunction (5% at 6mo) after radiotherapy. The key limitations are the potential for bias when comparing groups defined by treatment received and outdating of the interventions being evaluated during the lengthy follow-up required in trials of screen-detected PCa., Conclusions: Analyses according to treatment received showed increased rates of disease-related events and lower rates of patient-reported harms in men managed by AM compared with men managed by radical treatment, and stronger evidence of greater PCa mortality in the AM group., Patient Summary: More than 90 out of every 100 men with localised prostate cancer do not die of prostate cancer within 10yr, irrespective of whether treatment is by means of monitoring, surgery, or radiotherapy. Side effects on sexual and bladder function are much better after active monitoring, but the risks of spreading of prostate cancer are more common., (Copyright © 2019 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
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- 2020
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16. Factors associated with trial recruitment, preferences, and treatments received were elucidated in a comprehensive cohort study.
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Donovan JL, Opmeer B, Young GJ, Mills N, Martin RM, Lane JA, Metcalfe C, Peters TJ, Davis M, Turner EL, Walsh E, Neal DE, and Hamdy FC
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- Aged, Cohort Studies, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Early Detection of Cancer, Patient Preference statistics & numerical data, Patient Selection, Prostatic Neoplasms diagnosis, Prostatic Neoplasms therapy, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic standards, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic statistics & numerical data
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Objectives: Recruitment to pragmatic trials is often difficult, and little is known about factors associated with key participation and treatment decisions. These were explored in the Prostate cancer testing and Treatment (ProtecT) study., Study Design and Setting: Baseline sociodemographic, patient-reported outcome, clinical history, and prostate cancer biopsy data were collected for all patients eligible to take part in the ProtecT trial, in a comprehensive cohort design. Men who rejected randomization specified a preferred option and were followed up identically to the randomized cohort. Factors associated with participation decisions, patient preferences, and reasons for changing treatment were explored., Results: Of 2,664 men with clinically localized prostate cancer, 997 (37%) rejected randomization. Their treatment preferences and subsequent treatment choices/changes in both randomized and treatment choice cohorts were strongly associated with prostate cancer risk features: toward active monitoring for low-risk disease and toward radical options with higher risk prostate cancer. Among many factors measured, only a small number of weak associations were found for occupation groups and some patient symptoms. Similar percentages changed from the random allocation and initially stated preference., Conclusion: The comprehensive cohort design provided new insights into trial recruitment and participation decisions. Opportunities to improve recruitment by supporting recruiters with equipoise and patient preferences were identified., (Copyright © 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2019
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17. A prospective cohort and extended comprehensive-cohort design provided insights about the generalizability of a pragmatic trial: the ProtecT prostate cancer trial.
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Donovan JL, Young GJ, Walsh EI, Metcalfe C, Lane JA, Martin RM, Tazewell MK, Davis M, Peters TJ, Turner EL, Mills N, Khazragui H, Khera TK, Neal DE, and Hamdy FC
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- Aged, Humans, Male, Mass Screening, Middle Aged, Patient Selection, Prospective Studies, Prostatic Neoplasms metabolism, Research Design, Socioeconomic Factors, Treatment Outcome, Prostate-Specific Antigen metabolism, Prostatic Neoplasms diagnosis, Prostatic Neoplasms therapy
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Objectives: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) deliver robust internally valid evidence but generalizability is often neglected. Design features built into the Prostate testing for cancer and Treatment (ProtecT) RCT of treatments for localized prostate cancer (PCa) provided insights into its generalizability., Study Design and Setting: Population-based cluster randomization created a prospective study of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing and a comprehensive-cohort study including groups choosing treatment or excluded from the RCT, as well as those randomized. Baseline information assessed selection and response during RCT conduct., Results: The prospective study (82,430 PSA-tested men) represented healthy men likely to respond to a screening invitation. The extended comprehensive cohort comprised 1,643 randomized, 997 choosing treatment, and 557 excluded with advanced cancer/comorbidities. Men choosing treatment were very similar to randomized men except for having more professional/managerial occupations. Excluded men were similar to the randomized socio-demographically but different clinically, representing less healthy men with more advanced PCa., Conclusion: The design features of the ProtecT RCT provided data to assess the representativeness of the prospective cohort and generalizability of the findings of the RCT. Greater attention to collecting data at the design stage of pragmatic trials would better support later judgments by clinicians/policy-makers about the generalizability of RCT findings in clinical practice., (Copyright © 2018 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2018
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18. Effect of a Low-Intensity PSA-Based Screening Intervention on Prostate Cancer Mortality: The CAP Randomized Clinical Trial.
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Martin RM, Donovan JL, Turner EL, Metcalfe C, Young GJ, Walsh EI, Lane JA, Noble S, Oliver SE, Evans S, Sterne JAC, Holding P, Ben-Shlomo Y, Brindle P, Williams NJ, Hill EM, Ng SY, Toole J, Tazewell MK, Hughes LJ, Davies CF, Thorn JC, Down E, Davey Smith G, Neal DE, and Hamdy FC
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- Age Distribution, Aged, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Primary Health Care, Prostatic Neoplasms blood, Prostatic Neoplasms mortality, Social Class, United Kingdom epidemiology, Early Detection of Cancer, Mass Screening, Prostate-Specific Antigen blood, Prostatic Neoplasms diagnosis
- Abstract
Importance: Prostate cancer screening remains controversial because potential mortality or quality-of-life benefits may be outweighed by harms from overdetection and overtreatment., Objective: To evaluate the effect of a single prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening intervention and standardized diagnostic pathway on prostate cancer-specific mortality., Design, Setting, and Participants: The Cluster Randomized Trial of PSA Testing for Prostate Cancer (CAP) included 419 582 men aged 50 to 69 years and was conducted at 573 primary care practices across the United Kingdom. Randomization and recruitment of the practices occurred between 2001 and 2009; patient follow-up ended on March 31, 2016., Intervention: An invitation to attend a PSA testing clinic and receive a single PSA test vs standard (unscreened) practice., Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcome: prostate cancer-specific mortality at a median follow-up of 10 years. Prespecified secondary outcomes: diagnostic cancer stage and Gleason grade (range, 2-10; higher scores indicate a poorer prognosis) of prostate cancers identified, all-cause mortality, and an instrumental variable analysis estimating the causal effect of attending the PSA screening clinic., Results: Among 415 357 randomized men (mean [SD] age, 59.0 [5.6] years), 189 386 in the intervention group and 219 439 in the control group were included in the analysis (n = 408 825; 98%). In the intervention group, 75 707 (40%) attended the PSA testing clinic and 67 313 (36%) underwent PSA testing. Of 64 436 with a valid PSA test result, 6857 (11%) had a PSA level between 3 ng/mL and 19.9 ng/mL, of whom 5850 (85%) had a prostate biopsy. After a median follow-up of 10 years, 549 (0.30 per 1000 person-years) died of prostate cancer in the intervention group vs 647 (0.31 per 1000 person-years) in the control group (rate difference, -0.013 per 1000 person-years [95% CI, -0.047 to 0.022]; rate ratio [RR], 0.96 [95% CI, 0.85 to 1.08]; P = .50). The number diagnosed with prostate cancer was higher in the intervention group (n = 8054; 4.3%) than in the control group (n = 7853; 3.6%) (RR, 1.19 [95% CI, 1.14 to 1.25]; P < .001). More prostate cancer tumors with a Gleason grade of 6 or lower were identified in the intervention group (n = 3263/189 386 [1.7%]) than in the control group (n = 2440/219 439 [1.1%]) (difference per 1000 men, 6.11 [95% CI, 5.38 to 6.84]; P < .001). In the analysis of all-cause mortality, there were 25 459 deaths in the intervention group vs 28 306 deaths in the control group (RR, 0.99 [95% CI, 0.94 to 1.03]; P = .49). In the instrumental variable analysis for prostate cancer mortality, the adherence-adjusted causal RR was 0.93 (95% CI, 0.67 to 1.29; P = .66)., Conclusions and Relevance: Among practices randomized to a single PSA screening intervention vs standard practice without screening, there was no significant difference in prostate cancer mortality after a median follow-up of 10 years but the detection of low-risk prostate cancer cases increased. Although longer-term follow-up is under way, the findings do not support single PSA testing for population-based screening., Trial Registration: ISRCTN Identifier: ISRCTN92187251.
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- 2018
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19. Cross-sectional study evaluating data quality of the National Cancer Registration and Analysis Service (NCRAS) prostate cancer registry data using the Cluster randomised trial of PSA testing for Prostate cancer (CAP).
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Merriel SWD, Turner EL, Walsh E, Young GJ, Metcalfe C, Hounsome L, Tudge I, Donovan J, Hamdy F, Neal D, and Martin RM
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- Aged, Cross-Sectional Studies, Humans, Lymphatic Metastasis, Male, Middle Aged, Neoplasm Grading, Neoplasm Staging, Prostate-Specific Antigen blood, Prostatic Neoplasms blood, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic, Data Accuracy, Prostatic Neoplasms pathology, Registries standards
- Abstract
Objectives: To compare the completeness and agreement of prostate cancer data recorded by the National Cancer Registration and Analysis Service (NCRAS) with research-level data specifically abstracted from medical records from the Cluster randomised triAl of prostate specific antigen (PSA) testing for Prostate cancer (CAP) trial., Design: Cross-sectional comparison study., Participants: We included 1356 men from the CAP trial cohort who were linked to the NCRAS registry., Primary and Secondary Outcome Measures: Completeness of prostate cancer data in NCRAS and CAP and agreement for tumour, node, metastases (TNM) stage (T1/T2; T3; T4/N1/M1) and Gleason grade (4-6; 7; 8-10), measured by differences in proportions and Cohen's kappa statistic. Data were also stratified by year and pre-2010 versus post-2010, when NCRAS reporting standards changed., Results: Compared with CAP, completeness was lower in NCRAS for Gleason grade (41.2% vs 76.7%, difference 35.5, 95% CI 32.1 to 39.0) and TNM stage (29.9% vs 67.6%, difference 37.6, 95% CI 34.1 to 41.1). NCRAS completeness for Gleason grade (pre-2010 vs post-2010 31.69% vs 64%; difference 32.31, 95% CI 26.76 to 37.87) and TNM stage (19.31% vs 55.50%; difference 36.19, 95% CI 30.72 to 41.67) improved over time. Agreement for Gleason grade was high (Cohen's kappa, κ=0.90, 95% CI 0.88 to 0.93), but lower for TNM stage (κ=0.41, 95% CI 0.37 to 0.51) overall. There was a trend towards improved agreement on Gleason grade, but not TNM stage, when comparing pre-2010 and post-2010 data., Conclusion: NCRAS case identification was very high; however, data on prostate cancer grade was less complete than CAP, and agreement for TNM stage was modest. Although the completeness of NCRAS data has improved since 2010, the higher completeness rate in CAP demonstrates that gains could potentially be achieved in routine registry data. This study's findings highlight a need for improved recording of stage and grade data in the source medical records., Competing Interests: Competing interests: RM,ET, JOD, and CM have received grants from Cancer Research UK in the previous three years., (© Article author(s) (or their employer(s) unless otherwise stated in the text of the article) 2017. All rights reserved. No commercial use is permitted unless otherwise expressly granted.)
- Published
- 2017
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20. Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing of men in UK general practice: a 10-year longitudinal cohort study.
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Young GJ, Harrison S, Turner EL, Walsh EI, Oliver SE, Ben-Shlomo Y, Evans S, Lane JA, Neal DE, Hamdy FC, Donovan JL, Martin RM, and Metcalfe C
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- Age Factors, Aged, Biopsy, Cohort Studies, Cross-Sectional Studies, Family Practice, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Men's Health, Middle Aged, Prostatic Neoplasms blood, Urologic Diseases blood, Urologic Diseases diagnosis, Early Detection of Cancer, General Practice, Mass Screening, Prostate pathology, Prostate-Specific Antigen blood, Prostatic Neoplasms diagnosis
- Abstract
Objectives: Cross-sectional studies suggest that around 6% of men undergo prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing each year in UK general practice (GP). This longitudinal study aims to determine the cumulative testing pattern of men over a 10-year period and whether this testing can be considered equivalent to screening for prostate cancer (PCa)., Setting, Participants and Outcome Measures: Patient-level data on PSA tests, biopsies and PCa diagnoses were obtained from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) for the years 2002 to 2011. The cumulative risks of PSA testing and of being diagnosed with PCa were estimated for the 10-year study period. Associations of a man's age, region and index of multiple deprivation with the cumulative risk of PSA testing and PCa diagnosis were investigated. Rates of biopsy and diagnosis, following a high test result, were compared with those from the programme of PSA testing in the Prostate Testing for Cancer and Treatment (ProtecT) study., Results: The 10-year risk of exposure to at least one PSA test in men aged 45 to 69 years in UK GP was 39.2% (95% CI 39.0 to 39.4%). The age-specific risks ranged from 25.2% for men aged 45-49 years to 53.0% for men aged 65-69 years (p for trend <0.001). For those with a PSA level ≥3, a test in UK GP was less likely to result in a biopsy (6%) and/or diagnosis of PCa (15%) compared with ProtecT study participants (85% and 34%, respectively)., Conclusion: A high proportion of men aged 45-69 years undergo PSA tests in UK GP: 39% over a 10-year period. A high proportion of these tests appear to be for the investigation of lower urinary tract symptoms and not screening for PCa., Trial Registration Number: ISRCTN20141297,NCT02044172., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Article author(s) (or their employer(s) unless otherwise stated in the text of the article) 2017. All rights reserved. No commercial use is permitted unless otherwise expressly granted.)
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- 2017
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21. Investigating the prostate specific antigen, body mass index and age relationship: is an age-BMI-adjusted PSA model clinically useful?
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Harrison S, Tilling K, Turner EL, Lane JA, Simpkin A, Davis M, Donovan J, Hamdy FC, Neal DE, and Martin RM
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- Age Factors, Aged, Body Mass Index, Case-Control Studies, Cross-Sectional Studies, Early Detection of Cancer, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Obesity epidemiology, Prostatic Neoplasms diagnosis, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic, United Kingdom epidemiology, Kallikreins analysis, Prostate-Specific Antigen analysis, Prostatic Neoplasms epidemiology
- Abstract
Purpose: Previous studies indicate a possible inverse relationship between prostate-specific antigen (PSA) and body mass index (BMI), and a positive relationship between PSA and age. We investigated the associations between age, BMI, PSA, and screen-detected prostate cancer to determine whether an age-BMI-adjusted PSA model would be clinically useful for detecting prostate cancer., Methods: Cross-sectional analysis nested within the UK ProtecT trial of treatments for localized cancer. Of 18,238 men aged 50-69 years, 9,457 men without screen-detected prostate cancer (controls) and 1,836 men with prostate cancer (cases) met inclusion criteria: no history of prostate cancer or diabetes; PSA < 10 ng/ml; BMI between 15 and 50 kg/m
2 . Multivariable linear regression models were used to investigate the relationship between log-PSA, age, and BMI in all men, controlling for prostate cancer status., Results: In the 11,293 included men, the median PSA was 1.2 ng/ml (IQR: 0.7-2.6); mean age 61.7 years (SD 4.9); and mean BMI 26.8 kg/m2 (SD 3.7). There were a 5.1% decrease in PSA per 5 kg/m2 increase in BMI (95% CI 3.4-6.8) and a 13.6% increase in PSA per 5-year increase in age (95% CI 12.0-15.1). Interaction tests showed no evidence for different associations between age, BMI, and PSA in men above and below 3.0 ng/ml (all p for interaction >0.2). The age-BMI-adjusted PSA model performed as well as an age-adjusted model based on National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) guidelines at detecting prostate cancer., Conclusions: Age and BMI were associated with small changes in PSA. An age-BMI-adjusted PSA model is no more clinically useful for detecting prostate cancer than current NICE guidelines. Future studies looking at the effect of different variables on PSA, independent of their effect on prostate cancer, may improve the discrimination of PSA for prostate cancer., Competing Interests: The authors declare no conflict of interest.- Published
- 2016
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22. Characteristics of men responding to an invitation to undergo testing for prostate cancer as part of a randomised trial.
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Walsh EI, Turner EL, Lane JA, Donovan JL, Neal DE, Hamdy FC, and Martin RM
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- Age Factors, Aged, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Predictive Value of Tests, Prostatic Neoplasms blood, Prostatic Neoplasms epidemiology, Prostatic Neoplasms psychology, Socioeconomic Factors, United Kingdom epidemiology, Early Detection of Cancer methods, Health Behavior, Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice, Kallikreins blood, Patient Acceptance of Health Care psychology, Patient Selection, Prostate-Specific Antigen blood, Prostatic Neoplasms diagnosis, Research Subjects psychology
- Abstract
Background: Sociodemographic characteristics are associated with participating in cancer screening and trials. We compared the characteristics of those responding with those not responding to a single invitation for prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing for prostate cancer as part of the Cluster randomised triAl of PSA testing for Prostate cancer (CAP)., Methods: Age, rurality and deprivation among 197,763 men from 271 cluster-randomised primary care centres in the UK were compared between those responding (n = 90,300) and those not responding (n = 100,953) to a prostate cancer testing invitation., Results: There was little difference in age between responders and nonresponders. Responders were slightly more likely to come from urban rather than rural areas and were slightly less deprived than those who did not respond., Conclusion: These data indicate similarities in age and only minor differences in deprivation and urban location between responders and nonresponders. These differences were smaller, but in the same direction as those observed in other screening trials., Trial Registration: ISRCTN92187251 . Registered on 29 November 2004.
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- 2016
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23. 10-Year Outcomes after Monitoring, Surgery, or Radiotherapy for Localized Prostate Cancer.
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Hamdy FC, Donovan JL, Lane JA, Mason M, Metcalfe C, Holding P, Davis M, Peters TJ, Turner EL, Martin RM, Oxley J, Robinson M, Staffurth J, Walsh E, Bollina P, Catto J, Doble A, Doherty A, Gillatt D, Kockelbergh R, Kynaston H, Paul A, Powell P, Prescott S, Rosario DJ, Rowe E, and Neal DE
- Subjects
- Age Factors, Aged, Comparative Effectiveness Research, Disease Progression, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Male, Middle Aged, Neoplasm Metastasis, Outcome Assessment, Health Care, Prostate-Specific Antigen blood, Prostatic Neoplasms mortality, Prostatic Neoplasms radiotherapy, Prostatic Neoplasms surgery, Prostatectomy, Prostatic Neoplasms therapy, Watchful Waiting
- Abstract
Background: The comparative effectiveness of treatments for prostate cancer that is detected by prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing remains uncertain., Methods: We compared active monitoring, radical prostatectomy, and external-beam radiotherapy for the treatment of clinically localized prostate cancer. Between 1999 and 2009, a total of 82,429 men 50 to 69 years of age received a PSA test; 2664 received a diagnosis of localized prostate cancer, and 1643 agreed to undergo randomization to active monitoring (545 men), surgery (553), or radiotherapy (545). The primary outcome was prostate-cancer mortality at a median of 10 years of follow-up. Secondary outcomes included the rates of disease progression, metastases, and all-cause deaths., Results: There were 17 prostate-cancer-specific deaths overall: 8 in the active-monitoring group (1.5 deaths per 1000 person-years; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.7 to 3.0), 5 in the surgery group (0.9 per 1000 person-years; 95% CI, 0.4 to 2.2), and 4 in the radiotherapy group (0.7 per 1000 person-years; 95% CI, 0.3 to 2.0); the difference among the groups was not significant (P=0.48 for the overall comparison). In addition, no significant difference was seen among the groups in the number of deaths from any cause (169 deaths overall; P=0.87 for the comparison among the three groups). Metastases developed in more men in the active-monitoring group (33 men; 6.3 events per 1000 person-years; 95% CI, 4.5 to 8.8) than in the surgery group (13 men; 2.4 per 1000 person-years; 95% CI, 1.4 to 4.2) or the radiotherapy group (16 men; 3.0 per 1000 person-years; 95% CI, 1.9 to 4.9) (P=0.004 for the overall comparison). Higher rates of disease progression were seen in the active-monitoring group (112 men; 22.9 events per 1000 person-years; 95% CI, 19.0 to 27.5) than in the surgery group (46 men; 8.9 events per 1000 person-years; 95% CI, 6.7 to 11.9) or the radiotherapy group (46 men; 9.0 events per 1000 person-years; 95% CI, 6.7 to 12.0) (P<0.001 for the overall comparison)., Conclusions: At a median of 10 years, prostate-cancer-specific mortality was low irrespective of the treatment assigned, with no significant difference among treatments. Surgery and radiotherapy were associated with lower incidences of disease progression and metastases than was active monitoring. (Funded by the National Institute for Health Research; ProtecT Current Controlled Trials number, ISRCTN20141297 ; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02044172 .).
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- 2016
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24. Contemporary accuracy of death certificates for coding prostate cancer as a cause of death: Is reliance on death certification good enough? A comparison with blinded review by an independent cause of death evaluation committee.
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Turner EL, Metcalfe C, Donovan JL, Noble S, Sterne JA, Lane JA, I Walsh E, Hill EM, Down L, Ben-Shlomo Y, Oliver SE, Evans S, Brindle P, Williams NJ, Hughes LJ, Davies CF, Ng SY, Neal DE, Hamdy FC, Albertsen P, Reid CM, Oxley J, McFarlane J, Robinson MC, Adolfsson J, Zietman A, Baum M, Koupparis A, and Martin RM
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- Aged, Cause of Death, Death Certificates, Humans, Male, Prostate pathology, Prostatic Neoplasms pathology, Sensitivity and Specificity, Prostatic Neoplasms mortality
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Background: Accurate cause of death assignment is crucial for prostate cancer epidemiology and trials reporting prostate cancer-specific mortality outcomes., Methods: We compared death certificate information with independent cause of death evaluation by an expert committee within a prostate cancer trial (2002-2015)., Results: Of 1236 deaths assessed, expert committee evaluation attributed 523 (42%) to prostate cancer, agreeing with death certificate cause of death in 1134 cases (92%, 95% CI: 90%, 93%). The sensitivity of death certificates in identifying prostate cancer deaths as classified by the committee was 91% (95% CI: 89%, 94%); specificity was 92% (95% CI: 90%, 94%). Sensitivity and specificity were lower where death occurred within 1 year of diagnosis, and where there was another primary cancer diagnosis., Conclusions: UK death certificates accurately identify cause of death in men with prostate cancer, supporting their use in routine statistics. Possible differential misattribution by trial arm supports independent evaluation in randomised trials.
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- 2016
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25. Validating the use of Hospital Episode Statistics data and comparison of costing methodologies for economic evaluation: an end-of-life case study from the Cluster randomised triAl of PSA testing for Prostate cancer (CAP).
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Thorn JC, Turner EL, Hounsome L, Walsh E, Down L, Verne J, Donovan JL, Neal DE, Hamdy FC, Martin RM, and Noble SM
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- Aged, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Financial Management, Hospital, Health Resources economics, Humans, Inpatients, Male, Medical Records, Middle Aged, Prostate-Specific Antigen, Reference Values, State Medicine, United Kingdom, Costs and Cost Analysis methods, Databases, Factual statistics & numerical data, Hospital Costs, Hospitals, Prostatic Neoplasms therapy, Terminal Care economics
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Objectives: To evaluate the accuracy of routine data for costing inpatient resource use in a large clinical trial and to investigate costing methodologies., Design: Final-year inpatient cost profiles were derived using (1) data extracted from medical records mapped to the National Health Service (NHS) reference costs via service codes and (2) Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) data using NHS reference costs. Trust finance departments were consulted to obtain costs for comparison purposes., Setting: 7 UK secondary care centres., Population: A subsample of 292 men identified as having died at least a year after being diagnosed with prostate cancer in Cluster randomised triAl of PSA testing for Prostate cancer (CAP), a long-running trial to evaluate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing., Results: Both inpatient cost profiles showed a rise in costs in the months leading up to death, and were broadly similar. The difference in mean inpatient costs was £899, with HES data yielding ∼8% lower costs than medical record data (differences compatible with chance, p=0.3). Events were missing from both data sets. 11 men (3.8%) had events identified in HES that were all missing from medical record review, while 7 men (2.4%) had events identified in medical record review that were all missing from HES. The response from finance departments to requests for cost data was poor: only 3 of 7 departments returned adequate data sets within 6 months., Conclusions: Using HES routine data coupled with NHS reference costs resulted in mean annual inpatient costs that were very similar to those derived via medical record review; therefore, routinely available data can be used as the primary method of costing resource use in large clinical trials. Neither HES nor medical record review represent gold standards of data collection. Requesting cost data from finance departments is impractical for large clinical trials., Trial Registration Number: ISRCTN92187251; Pre-results., (Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://www.bmj.com/company/products-services/rights-and-licensing/)
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- 2016
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26. Standardisation of information submitted to an endpoint committee for cause of death assignment in a cancer screening trial – lessons learnt from CAP (Cluster randomised triAl of PSA testing for Prostate cancer).
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Williams NJ, Hill EM, Ng SY, Martin RM, Metcalfe C, Donovan JL, Evans S, Hughes LJ, Davies CF, Hamdy FC, Neal DE, and Turner EL
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- Aged, Cause of Death, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Early Detection of Cancer economics, General Practitioners statistics & numerical data, Humans, Male, Mass Screening economics, Medical Records standards, Middle Aged, Prostatic Neoplasms mortality, Prostatic Neoplasms prevention & control, Reference Standards, Research Design, United Kingdom, Early Detection of Cancer methods, Mass Screening methods, Medical Records statistics & numerical data, Prostate-Specific Antigen blood, Prostatic Neoplasms diagnosis
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Background: In cancer screening trials where the primary outcome is target cancer-specific mortality, the unbiased determination of underlying cause of death (UCD) is crucial. To minimise bias, the UCD should be independently verified by expert reviewers, blinded to death certificate data and trial arm. We investigated whether standardising the information submitted for UCD assignment in a population-based randomised controlled trial of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing for prostate cancer reduced the reviewers' ability to correctly guess the trial arm., Methods: Over 550 General Practitioner (GP) practices (>415,000 men aged 50-69 years) were cluster-randomised to PSA testing (intervention arm) or the National Health Service (NHS) prostate cancer risk management programme (control arm) between 2001 and 2007. Assignment of UCD was by independent reviews of researcher-written clinical vignettes that masked trial arm and death certificate information. A period of time after the process began (the initial phase), we analysed whether the reviewers could correctly identify trial arm from the vignettes, and the reasons for their choice. This feedback led to further standardisation of information (second phase), after which we re-assessed the extent of correct identification of trial arm., Results: 1099 assessments of 509 vignettes were completed by January 2014. In the initial phase (n = 510 assessments), reviewers were unsure of trial arm in 33% of intervention and 30% of control arm assessments and were influenced by symptoms at diagnosis, PSA test result and study-specific criteria. In the second phase (n = 589), the respective proportions of uncertainty were 45% and 48%. The percentage of cases whereby reviewers were unable to determine the trial arm was greater following the standardisation of information provided in the vignettes. The chances of a correct guess and an incorrect guess were equalised in each arm, following further standardisation., Conclusions: It is possible to mask trial arm from cause of death reviewers, by using their feedback to standardise the information submitted to them., Trial Registration: ISRCTN92187251.
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- 2015
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27. Active monitoring, radical prostatectomy, or radiotherapy for localised prostate cancer: study design and diagnostic and baseline results of the ProtecT randomised phase 3 trial.
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Lane JA, Donovan JL, Davis M, Walsh E, Dedman D, Down L, Turner EL, Mason MD, Metcalfe C, Peters TJ, Martin RM, Neal DE, and Hamdy FC
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- Aged, Biopsy, Needle, Disease-Free Survival, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Immunohistochemistry, Male, Middle Aged, Neoplasm Grading, Neoplasm Recurrence, Local mortality, Patient Selection, Prostate-Specific Antigen blood, Prostatectomy mortality, Prostatic Neoplasms mortality, Radiotherapy, Conformal mortality, Risk Assessment, Survival Analysis, Treatment Outcome, United Kingdom, Neoplasm Recurrence, Local pathology, Prostatectomy methods, Prostatic Neoplasms pathology, Prostatic Neoplasms therapy, Radiotherapy, Conformal methods, Watchful Waiting methods
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Background: Prostate cancer is a major public health problem with considerable uncertainties about the effectiveness of population screening and treatment options. We report the study design, participant sociodemographic and clinical characteristics, and the initial results of the testing and diagnostic phase of the Prostate testing for cancer and Treatment (ProtecT) trial, which aims to investigate the effectiveness of treatments for localised prostate cancer., Methods: In this randomised phase 3 trial, men aged 50-69 years registered at 337 primary care centres in nine UK cities were invited to attend a specialist nurse appointment for a serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) test. Prostate biopsies were offered to men with a PSA concentration of 3·0 μg/L or higher. Consenting participants with clinically localised prostate cancer were randomly assigned to active monitoring (surveillance strategy), radical prostatectomy, or three-dimensional conformal external-beam radiotherapy by a computer-generated allocation system. Randomisation was stratified by site (minimised for differences in participant age, PSA results, and Gleason score). The primary endpoint is prostate cancer mortality at a median 10-year follow-up, ascertained by an independent committee, which will be analysed by intention to treat in 2016. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT02044172, and as an International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial, number ISRCTN20141297., Findings: Between Oct 1, 2001, and Jan 20, 2009, 228,966 men were invited to attend an appointment with a specialist nurse. Of the invited men, 100,444 (44%) attended their initial appointment and 82,429 (82%) of attenders had a PSA test. PSA concentration was below the biopsy threshold in 73,538 (89%) men. Of the 8566 men with a PSA concentration of 3·0-19·9 μg/L, 7414 (87%) underwent biopsies. 2896 men were diagnosed with prostate cancer (4% of tested men and 39% of those who had a biopsy), of whom 2417 (83%) had clinically localised disease (mostly T1c, Gleason score 6). With the addition of 247 pilot study participants recruited between 1999 and 2001, 2664 men were eligible for the treatment trial and 1643 (62%) agreed to be randomly assigned (545 to active monitoring, 545 to radiotherapy, and 553 to radical prostatectomy). Clinical and sociodemographic characteristics of randomly assigned participants were balanced across treatment groups., Interpretation: The ProtecT trial randomly assigned 1643 men with localised prostate cancer to active monitoring, radiotherapy, or surgery. Participant clinicopathological features are more consistent with contemporary patient characteristics than in previous prostate cancer treatment trials., Funding: UK National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment Programme., (Copyright © 2014 Lane et al. Open Access article distributed under the terms of CC BY. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
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- 2014
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28. Prostate-specific antigen testing rates remain low in UK general practice: a cross-sectional study in six English cities.
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Williams N, Hughes LJ, Turner EL, Donovan JL, Hamdy FC, Neal DE, Martin RM, and Metcalfe C
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- Age Distribution, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cross-Sectional Studies, England epidemiology, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Prostatic Neoplasms blood, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors, Family Practice statistics & numerical data, Mass Screening statistics & numerical data, Prostate-Specific Antigen blood, Prostatic Neoplasms diagnosis
- Abstract
OBJECTIVE • To estimate rates of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing in UK general practices by age, deprivation index and geographical location. SUBJECTS AND METHODS • Practice-based, retrospective data on PSA testing patterns in 2007 were collected from a random sample of 87 general practices using EMIS LV computer systems within the passively observed non-intervention arm of a cluster-randomized controlled trial. • Information for a total of 126 716 men aged 45-89 years with no recorded diagnosis of prostate cancer prior to 1 January 2007 was collected. RESULTS • In all, 7902 (6.2%) of 126 716 men aged 45-89 without a prior diagnosis of prostate cancer underwent at least one PSA test from their general practitioner during 2007 [95% confidence interval (CI) 5.6-7.0%; practice-based inter-quartile range 3.6-8.4%]. • PSA testing rates were 1.4% (95% CI 1.1-1.6%) in men aged 45-49, rising to 11.3% (95% CI 10.0-12.9%) at age 75-79 years (P for trend <0.001). • Testing rates were lowest in the three northern centres (3.5-5.7%) vs the three more southern centres (7.1-8.9%; P < 0.001). • For every 20 points increase in the index of multiple deprivation score, the proportion of men tested fell by 1.7% (95% CI -2.5 to -0.8%; P < 0.001). • Lower proportions of men were subsequently diagnosed with prostate cancer in practices testing more men (odds ratio for a one unit increase in the natural log of testing 0.76; 95% CI 0.60-0.97; P= 0.025). CONCLUSION • Overall levels of PSA testing in UK general practice remain low, but for those tested there are important variations by age, deprivation and geographical location that do not appear to reflect clinical need or the intention of current policy. • PSA testing in general practice is currently skewed towards older men, and current policy enabling all men to make an informed choice about PSA testing is not being effectively implemented as uptake clearly varies by socioeconomic status. • This reinforces the need for robust evidence regarding the costs and benefits of using the PSA test for the detection of localized prostate cancer in the UK, a full assessment of the health economic implications and a revision of the current policy., (© 2011 THE AUTHORS. BJU INTERNATIONAL © 2011 BJU INTERNATIONAL.)
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- 2011
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29. Association of diabetes mellitus with prostate cancer: nested case-control study (Prostate testing for cancer and treatment study).
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Turner EL, Lane JA, Donovan JL, Davis MJ, Metcalfe C, Neal DE, Hamdy FC, and Martin RM
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- Aged, Body Mass Index, Case-Control Studies, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Prostate-Specific Antigen blood, Time Factors, Diabetes Mellitus epidemiology, Prostatic Neoplasms prevention & control
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Observational studies suggest that diabetes is associated with a decreased risk of prostate cancer, but few are population based or have investigated associations with cancer stage or duration of diabetes. We report a case-control study nested within the population-based Prostate testing for cancer and Treatment (ProtecT) study ISRCTN20141297. Men aged 50-69 years based around 9 UK cities were invited for a prostate-specific antigen (PSA) test between June 2002 and November 2006. Amongst 55,215 PSA-tested men, 1,966 had histologically confirmed prostate cancer; of these, 1,422 (72.3%) completed the questionnaire and 1,291 (65.7%) had complete data for analysis. We randomly selected 6,479 age- (within 5 years) and general practice-matched controls. The prevalence of diabetes was 89/1,291 (6.9%) in cases and 555/6,479 (8.6%) in controls. Diabetes was associated with a reduced risk of prostate cancer (odds ratio = 0.78; 95% confidence interval: 0.61-0.99). There was weak evidence that the inverse association was greater for well- versus poorly differentiated cancers (p = 0.07). The magnitude of the inverse association did not change with increasing duration of diabetes (p for trend = 0.95). Diabetes is associated with a decreased risk of PSA-detected prostate cancer. These data add to the evidence of the association of diabetes with prostate cancer in the PSA era., (Copyright © 2010 UICC.)
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- 2011
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30. Psychological distress and prostate specific antigen levels in men with and without prostate cancer.
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Turner EL, Lane JA, Metcalfe C, Down L, Donovan JL, Hamdy F, Neal D, and Vedhara K
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- Age Factors, Aged, Anxiety blood, Anxiety psychology, Biomarkers, Tumor blood, Depression blood, Depression psychology, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Prostatic Neoplasms diagnosis, Regression Analysis, Surveys and Questionnaires, Prostate-Specific Antigen blood, Prostatic Neoplasms blood, Prostatic Neoplasms psychology, Stress, Psychological blood
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The role of psychological distress in the onset and progression of prostate cancer is an under-researched area. We report results from a cohort study in which we have examined the relationship between indices of psychological distress and prostate specific antigen (PSA) levels (a glycoprotein associated with prostatic diseases including cancer) in men with and without prostate cancer and also the relationship between distress and the likelihood of receiving a diagnosis of prostate cancer. Data were obtained from 4886 men who attended PSA testing and biopsy as part of the ProtecT (Prostate testing for cancer and treatment) study (mean age 62years; 98.9% White). Men completed questionnaires measuring anxiety, depression and urinary symptoms at initial PSA testing and again at biopsy when PSA was re-measured. Regardless of the subsequent diagnosis, there was no association between psychological distress scores at initial PSA testing and PSA measured at biopsy. However, analyses pertaining to the relationship between distress and cancer diagnosis showed that men with 'possible' clinical depression at initial PSA testing (n=519/4886) were 23% more likely to have a diagnosis of prostate cancer. These analyses highlight the need for further investigations into the possible role of depressed mood in the onset of prostate cancer and, in particular, research examining the biological basis for these relationships.
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- 2009
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31. Detection of prostate cancer in unselected young men: prospective cohort nested within a randomised controlled trial.
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Lane JA, Howson J, Donovan JL, Goepel JR, Dedman DJ, Down L, Turner EL, Neal DE, and Hamdy FC
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- Age Factors, Biopsy, Needle statistics & numerical data, Cohort Studies, Digital Rectal Examination statistics & numerical data, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Patient Acceptance of Health Care, Prognosis, Prostate-Specific Antigen metabolism, Prostatectomy statistics & numerical data, Prostatic Neoplasms blood, Prostatic Neoplasms therapy, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic, Prostate pathology, Prostatic Neoplasms diagnosis
- Abstract
Objective: To investigate the feasibility of testing for prostate cancer and the prevalence and characteristics of the disease in unselected young men., Design: Prospective cohort nested within a randomised controlled trial, with two years of follow-up., Setting: Eight general practices in a UK city., Participants: 1299 unselected men aged 45-49., Intervention: Prostate biopsies for participants with a prostate specific antigen level of 1.5 ng/ml or more and the possibility of randomisation to three treatments for those with localised prostate cancer., Main Outcome Measures: Uptake of testing for prostate specific antigen; positive predictive value of prostate specific antigen; and prevalence of prostate cancer, TNM disease stage, and histological grade (Gleason score)., Results: 442 of 1299 men agreed to be tested for prostate specific antigen (34%) and 54 (12%) had a raised level. The positive predictive value for prostate specific antigen was 21.3%. Ten cases of prostate cancer were detected (2.3%) with eight having at least two positive results in biopsy cores and three showing perineural invasion. One tumour was of high volume (cT2c), Gleason score 7, with a positive result on digital rectal examination; nine tumours were cT1c, Gleason score 6, and eight had a negative result on digital rectal examination. Five of the nine eligible participants (55%) agreed to be randomised. No biochemical disease progression in the form of a rising prostate specific antigen level occurred in two years of follow-up., Conclusions: Men younger than 50 will accept testing for prostate cancer but at a much lower rate than older men. Using an age based threshold of 1.5 ng/ml, the prevalence of prostate cancer was similar to that in older men (3.0 ng/ml threshold) and some cancers of potential clinical significance were found., Trial Registration: Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN20141297.
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- 2007
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32. Additional SNPs improve risk stratification of a polygenic hazard score for prostate cancer
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Karunamuni, Roshan A, Huynh-Le, Minh-Phuong, Fan, Chun C, Thompson, Wesley, Eeles, Rosalind A, Kote-Jarai, Zsofia, Muir, Kenneth, Lophatananon, Artitaya, UKGPCS collaborators, Schleutker, Johanna, Pashayan, Nora, Batra, Jyotsna, APCB BioResource (Australian Prostate Cancer BioResource), Grönberg, Henrik, Walsh, Eleanor I, Turner, Emma L, Lane, Athene, Martin, Richard M, Neal, David E, Donovan, Jenny L, Hamdy, Freddie C, Nordestgaard, Børge G, Tangen, Catherine M, MacInnis, Robert J, Wolk, Alicja, Albanes, Demetrius, Haiman, Christopher A, Travis, Ruth C, Stanford, Janet L, Mucci, Lorelei A, West, Catharine ML, Nielsen, Sune F, Kibel, Adam S, Wiklund, Fredrik, Cussenot, Olivier, Berndt, Sonja I, Koutros, Stella, Sørensen, Karina Dalsgaard, Cybulski, Cezary, Grindedal, Eli Marie, Park, Jong Y, Ingles, Sue A, Maier, Christiane, Hamilton, Robert J, Rosenstein, Barry S, Vega, Ana, IMPACT Study Steering Committee and Collaborators, Kogevinas, Manolis, Penney, Kathryn L, Teixeira, Manuel R, Brenner, Hermann, John, Esther M, Kaneva, Radka, Logothetis, Christopher J, Neuhausen, Susan L, Razack, Azad, Newcomb, Lisa F, Canary PASS Investigators, Gamulin, Marija, Usmani, Nawaid, Claessens, Frank, Gago-Dominguez, Manuela, Townsend, Paul A, Roobol, Monique J, Zheng, Wei, Profile Study Steering Committee, Mills, Ian G, Andreassen, Ole A, Dale, Anders M, Seibert, Tyler M, and PRACTICAL Consortium
- Subjects
Adult ,Male ,Urologic Diseases ,Aging ,Oncology and Carcinogenesis ,Risk Assessment ,APCB BioResource ,UKGPCS collaborators ,Models ,Risk Factors ,Predictive Value of Tests ,Humans ,PRACTICAL Consortium ,Polymorphism ,Aged ,Cancer ,Canary PASS Investigators ,Tumor ,IMPACT Study Steering Committee and Collaborators ,Profile Study Steering Committee ,Prevention ,Prostate Cancer ,Prostatic Neoplasms ,Single Nucleotide ,Statistical ,Middle Aged ,Urology & Nephrology ,Prognosis ,Biomarkers ,Follow-Up Studies - Abstract
BackgroundPolygenic hazard scores (PHS) can identify individuals with increased risk of prostate cancer. We estimated the benefit of additional SNPs on performance of a previously validated PHS (PHS46).Materials and method180 SNPs, shown to be previously associated with prostate cancer, were used to develop a PHS model in men with European ancestry. A machine-learning approach, LASSO-regularized Cox regression, was used to select SNPs and to estimate their coefficients in the training set (75,596 men). Performance of the resulting model was evaluated in the testing/validation set (6,411 men) with two metrics: (1) hazard ratios (HRs) and (2) positive predictive value (PPV) of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing. HRs were estimated between individuals with PHS in the top 5% to those in the middle 40% (HR95/50), top 20% to bottom 20% (HR80/20), and bottom 20% to middle 40% (HR20/50). PPV was calculated for the top 20% (PPV80) and top 5% (PPV95) of PHS as the fraction of individuals with elevated PSA that were diagnosed with clinically significant prostate cancer on biopsy.Results166 SNPs had non-zero coefficients in the Cox model (PHS166). All HR metrics showed significant improvements for PHS166 compared to PHS46: HR95/50 increased from 3.72 to 5.09, HR80/20 increased from 6.12 to 9.45, and HR20/50 decreased from 0.41 to 0.34. By contrast, no significant differences were observed in PPV of PSA testing for clinically significant prostate cancer.ConclusionsIncorporating 120 additional SNPs (PHS166 vs PHS46) significantly improved HRs for prostate cancer, while PPV of PSA testing remained the same.
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- 2021
33. A Genetic Risk Score to Personalize Prostate Cancer Screening, Applied to Population Data
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Huynh-Le, Minh-Phuong, Fan, Chun Chieh, Karunamuni, Roshan, Walsh, Eleanor I, Turner, Emma L, Lane, J Athene, Martin, Richard M, Neal, David E, Donovan, Jenny L, Hamdy, Freddie C, Parsons, J Kellogg, Eeles, Rosalind A, Easton, Douglas F, Kote-Jarai, Zsofia, Amin Al Olama, Ali, Benlloch Garcia, Sara, Muir, Kenneth, Grönberg, Henrik, Wiklund, Fredrik, Aly, Markus, Schleutker, Johanna, Sipeky, Csilla, Tammela, Teuvo Lj, Nordestgaard, Børge Grønne, Key, Timothy J, Travis, Ruth C, Pharoah, Paul DP, Pashayan, Nora, Khaw, Kay-Tee, Thibodeau, Stephen N, McDonnell, Shannon K, Schaid, Daniel J, Maier, Christiane, Vogel, Walther, Luedeke, Manuel, Herkommer, Kathleen, Kibel, Adam S, Cybulski, Cezary, Wokolorczyk, Dominika, Kluzniak, Wojciech, Cannon-Albright, Lisa A, Brenner, Hermann, Schöttker, Ben, Holleczek, Bernd, Park, Jong Y, Sellers, Thomas A, Lin, Hui-Yi, Slavov, Chavdar Kroumov, Kaneva, Radka P, Mitev, Vanio I, Batra, Jyotsna, Clements, Judith A, Spurdle, Amanda B, Teixeira, Manuel R, Paulo, Paula, Maia, Sofia, Pandha, Hardev, Michael, Agnieszka, Mills, Ian G, Andreassen, Ole A, Dale, Anders M, Seibert, Tyler M, Australian Prostate Cancer BioResource (APCB), and PRACTICAL Consortium
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Male ,Urologic Diseases ,Aging ,Epidemiology ,Prostate Cancer ,Prevention ,Clinical Trials and Supportive Activities ,Australian Prostate Cancer BioResource ,Prostatic Neoplasms ,Middle Aged ,equipment and supplies ,Medical and Health Sciences ,Good Health and Well Being ,Clinical Research ,PRACTICAL Consortium ,Humans ,Population Control ,Neoplasm Grading ,Early Detection of Cancer ,Aged ,Cancer - Abstract
BackgroundA polygenic hazard score (PHS), the weighted sum of 54 SNP genotypes, was previously validated for association with clinically significant prostate cancer and for improved prostate cancer screening accuracy. Here, we assess the potential impact of PHS-informed screening.MethodsUnited Kingdom population incidence data (Cancer Research United Kingdom) and data from the Cluster Randomized Trial of PSA Testing for Prostate Cancer were combined to estimate age-specific clinically significant prostate cancer incidence (Gleason score ≥7, stage T3-T4, PSA ≥10, or nodal/distant metastases). Using HRs estimated from the ProtecT prostate cancer trial, age-specific incidence rates were calculated for various PHS risk percentiles. Risk-equivalent age, when someone with a given PHS percentile has prostate cancer risk equivalent to an average 50-year-old man (50-year-standard risk), was derived from PHS and incidence data. Positive predictive value (PPV) of PSA testing for clinically significant prostate cancer was calculated using PHS-adjusted age groups.ResultsThe expected age at diagnosis of clinically significant prostate cancer differs by 19 years between the 1st and 99th PHS percentiles: men with PHS in the 1st and 99th percentiles reach the 50-year-standard risk level at ages 60 and 41, respectively. PPV of PSA was higher for men with higher PHS-adjusted age.ConclusionsPHS provides individualized estimates of risk-equivalent age for clinically significant prostate cancer. Screening initiation could be adjusted by a man's PHS.ImpactPersonalized genetic risk assessments could inform prostate cancer screening decisions.
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- 2020
34. Ten-year mortality, disease progression, and treatment-related side effects in men with localised prostate cancer from the ProtecT randomised controlled trial according to treatment received
- Author
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Neal, David E., Metcalfe, Chris, Donovan, Jenny L., Lane, J. Athene, Davis, Michael, Young, Grace J., Dutton, Susan J., Walsh, Eleanor I., Martin, Richard M., Peters, Tim. J., Turner, Emma L., Mason, Malcolm, Bryant, Richard, Bollina, Prasad, Catto, James, Doherty, Alan, Gillatt, David, Gnanapragasam, Vincent, Holding, Peter, Hughes, Owen, Kockelbergh, Roger, Kynaston, Howard, Oxley, Jon, Paul, Alan, Paez, Edgar, Rosario, Derek J., Rowe, Edward, Staffurth, John, Altman, Doug G., Hamdy, Freddie C., Peters, Tim J., Doble, Andrew, Powell, Philip, Prescott, Stephen, Rosario, Derek, Anderson, John B., Aning, Jonathan, Durkan, Garett, Koupparis, Anthony, Leung, Hing, Mariappan, Param, McNeill, Alan, Persad, Raj, Schwaibold, Hartwig, Tulloch, David, Wallace, Michael, Bonnington, Susan, Bradshaw, Lynne, Cooper, Deborah, Elliott, Emma, Herbert, Phillipa, Howson, Joanne, Jones, Amanda, Lennon, Teresa, Lyons, Norma, Moody, Hilary, Plumb, Claire, O'Sullivan, Tricia, Salter, Elizabeth, Thompson, Pauline, Tidball, Sarah, Blaikie, Jan, Gray, Catherine, Adam, Tonia, Askew, Sarah, Atkinson, Sharon, Baynes, Tim, Brain, Carole, Breen, Viv, Brunt, Sarah, Bryne, Sean, Bythem, Jo, Clarke, Jenny, Cloete, Jenny, Dark, Susan, Davis, Gill, Rue, Rachael De La, Denizot, Jane, Dewhurst, Elspeth, Dimes, Anna, Dixon, Nicola, Ebbs, Penny, Emmerson, Ingrid, Ferguson, Jill, Gadd, Ali, Geoghegan, Lisa, Grant, Alison, Grant, Collette, Godfrey, Rosemary, Goodwin, Louise, Hall, Susie, Hart, Liz, Harvey, Andrew, Hoult, Chloe, Hawkins, Sarah, Holling, Sharon, Innes, Alastair, Kilner, Sue, Marshall, Fiona, Mellen, Louise, Moore, Andrea, Napier, Sally, Needham, Julie, Pearse, Kevin, Pisa, Anna, Rees, Mark, Richards, Ellie, Robson, Lindsay, Roxburgh, Janet, Samuel, Nikki, Sharkey, Irene, Slater, Michael, Smith, Donna, Taggart, Pippa, Taylor, Helen, Taylor, Vicky, Thomas, Ayesha, Tomkies, Briony, Trewick, Nicola, Ward, Claire, Walker, Christy, Williams, Ayesha, Woodhouse, Colin, Wyber, Elizabeth, Bahl, Amit, Benson, Richard, Beresford, Mark, Ferguson, Catherine, Graham, John, Herbert, Chris, Howard, Grahame, James, Nick, Kirkbride, Peter, Law, Alastair, Loughrey, Carmel, McClaren, Duncan, Patterson, Helen, Pedley, Ian, Roberts, Trevor, Robinson, Angus, Russell, Simon, Symonds, Paul, Thanvi, Narottam, Vasanthan, Subramaniam, Wilson, Paula, Robinson, Mary, Bhattarai, Selina, Deshmukh, Neeta, Dormer, John, Fernando, Malee, Goepel, John, Griffiths, David, Grigor, Ken, Mayer, Nick, Varma, Murali, Warren, Anne, Appleby, Helen, Ash, Dominic, Aston, Dean, Bolton, Steven, Chalmers, Graham, Conway, John, Early, Nick, Geater, Tony, Goddall, Lynda, Heymann, Claire, Hicks, Deborah, Jones, Liza, Lamb, Susan, Lambert, Geoff, Lawrence, Gill, Lewis, Geraint, Lilley, John, MacLeod, Aileen, Massey, Pauline, McQueen, Alison, Moore, Rollo, Penketh, Lynda, Potterton, Janet, Roberts, Neil, Showler, Helen, Shuttleworth, Pam, Slade, Stephen, Steele, Alasdair, Swinscoe, James, Tiffany, Marie, Townley, John, Treeby, Jo, Weston, Michael, Wilkinson, Joyce, Williams, Lorraine, Wills, Lucy, Woodley, Owain, Yarrow, Sue, Brindle, Lucy, Davies, Linda, Dedman, Dan, Down, Elizabeth, Khazragui, Hanan, Noble, Sian, Taylor, Hilary, Tazewell, Marta, Wade, Julia, Walsh, Eleanor, Baker, Susan, Bellis-Sheldon, Elizabeth, Bougard, Chantal, Bowtell, Joanne, Brewer, Catherine, Burton, Chris, Charlton, Jennie, Christoforou, Nicholas, Clark, Rebecca, Coull, Susan, Croker, Christine, Currer, Rosemary, Daisey, Claire, Delaney, Gill, Donohue, Rose, Drew, Jane, Farmer, Rebecca, Fry, Susan, Haddow, Jean, Hale, Alex, Halpin, Susan, Harris, Belle, Hattrick, Barbara, Holmes, Sharon, Hunt, Helen, Jackson, Vicky, Johnson, Donna, Le Butt, Mandy, Leworthy, Jo, Liddiatt, Tanya, Martin, Alex, Mauree, Jainee, Moore, Susan, Moulam, Gill, Mutch, Jackie, Parker, Kathleen, Pawsey, Christopher, Purdie, Michelle, Robson, Teresa, Smith, Lynne, Stenton, Carole, Steuart-Feilding, Tom, Stott, Beth, Sully, Chris, Sutton, Caroline, Torrington, Carol, Wilkins, Zoe, Williams, Sharon, Wilson, Andrea, Weaver, Ashleigh, Albertsen, Peter, Adolfsson, Jan, Baum, Michael, McFarlane, Jon, Reid, Colette, Turner, Emma, Zietman, Anthony, Hill, Elizabeth, Ng, Siaw Yein, Williams, Naomi, Toole, Jessica, Davies, Charlotte, Hughes, Laura, Rowlands, Mari-Anne, Bell, Lindsey, Harrison, Sean, Mauree, Jainnee, Grant, Adrian, Roberts, Ian, Ashby, Deborah, Cowan, Richard, Fayers, Peter, Mellon, Killian, N’Dow, James, O’Brien, Tim, Sokhal, Michael, Dearnaley, David, Schröder, Fritz, Roberts, Tracy, and for the ProtecT Study Group, .
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Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Time Factors ,Urology ,medicine.medical_treatment ,030232 urology & nephrology ,Urinary incontinence ,Active monitoring ,BTC (Bristol Trials Centre) ,Metastasis ,law.invention ,03 medical and health sciences ,Prostate cancer ,0302 clinical medicine ,ProtecT trial ,Randomized controlled trial ,law ,Internal medicine ,Humans ,Medicine ,External beam radiotherapy ,Watchful Waiting ,Aged ,Prostatectomy ,Disease progression ,Radiotherapy ,business.industry ,Prostatic Neoplasms ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Radical prostatectomy ,Treatment Outcome ,030220 oncology & carcinogenesis ,Propensity score matching ,Cohort ,Disease Progression ,BRTC ,medicine.symptom ,Sexual function ,business ,Literatur Kommentiert - Abstract
Background: The ProtecT trial reported intention-to-treat analysis of men with localised prostate cancer (PCa) randomly allocated to active monitoring (AM), radical prostatectomy, and external beam radiotherapy. Objective: To determine report outcomes according to treatment received in men in randomised and treatment choice cohorts. Design, Setting, and Participants: This study focuses on secondary care. Men with clinically localised prostate cancer at one of nine UK centres were invited to participate in the treatment trial comparing AM, radical prostatectomy, and radiotherapy. Intervention: Two cohorts included 1643 men who agreed to be randomised; 997 declined randomisation and chose treatment. Outcome Measurements and Statistical Analysis: Health-related quality of life impacts on urinary, bowel, and sexual function were assessed using patient-reported outcome measures. Analysis was carried out based on treatment received for each cohort and on pooled estimates using meta-analysis. Differences were estimated with adjustment for known prognostic factors using propensity scores. Results and Limitations: According to treatment received, more men receiving AM died of PCa (AM 1.85%, surgery 0.67%, radiotherapy 0.73%), whilst this difference remained consistent with chance in the randomised cohort (p = 0.08); stronger evidence was found in the exploratory analyses (randomised plus choice cohort) when AM was compared with the combined radical treatment group (p = 0.003). There was also strong evidence that metastasis (AM 5.6%, surgery 2.4%, radiotherapy 2.7%) and disease progression (AM 20.35%, surgery 5.87%, radiotherapy 6.62%) were more common in the AM group. Compared with AM, there were higher risks of sexual dysfunction (95% at 6 mo) and urinary incontinence (55% at 6 mo) after surgery, and of sexual dysfunction (88% at 6 mo) and bowel dysfunction (5% at 6 mo) after radiotherapy. The key limitations are the potential for bias when comparing groups defined by treatment received and outdating of the interventions being evaluated during the lengthy follow-up required in trials of screen-detected PCa. Conclusions: Analyses according to treatment received showed increased rates of disease-related events and lower rates of patient-reported harms in men managed by AM compared with men managed by radical treatment, and stronger evidence of greater PCa mortality in the AM group. Patient Summary: More than 90 out of every 100 men with localised prostate cancer do not die of prostate cancer within 10 yr, irrespective of whether treatment is by means of monitoring, surgery, or radiotherapy. Side effects on sexual and bladder function are much better after active monitoring, but the risks of spreading of prostate cancer are more common.
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- 2020
35. Validating the use of Hospital Episode Statistics data and comparison of costing methodologies for economic evaluation: an end-of-life case study from the Cluster randomised triAl of PSA testing for Prostate cancer (CAP)
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Thorn, Joanna C, Turner, Emma L, Hounsome, Luke, Walsh, Eleanor, Down, Liz, Verne, Julia, Donovan, Jenny L, Neal, David E, Hamdy, Freddie C, Martin, Richard M, and Noble, Sian M
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Male ,economic evaluation ,Databases, Factual ,Cost-Benefit Analysis ,costing methodology ,Medical Records ,State Medicine ,Health Economics ,Reference Values ,ConDuCT-II ,Humans ,Hospital Costs ,health care economics and organizations ,Aged ,validation ,Inpatients ,Terminal Care ,Research ,cost-effectiveness analysis ,Prostatic Neoplasms ,Middle Aged ,Prostate-Specific Antigen ,hospital episode statistics ,Financial Management, Hospital ,Hospitals ,United Kingdom ,resource use ,Centre for Surgical Research ,Costs and Cost Analysis ,Health Resources - Abstract
Objectives To evaluate the accuracy of routine data for costing inpatient resource use in a large clinical trial and to investigate costing methodologies. Design Final-year inpatient cost profiles were derived using (1) data extracted from medical records mapped to the National Health Service (NHS) reference costs via service codes and (2) Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) data using NHS reference costs. Trust finance departments were consulted to obtain costs for comparison purposes. Setting 7 UK secondary care centres. Population A subsample of 292 men identified as having died at least a year after being diagnosed with prostate cancer in Cluster randomised triAl of PSA testing for Prostate cancer (CAP), a long-running trial to evaluate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing. Results Both inpatient cost profiles showed a rise in costs in the months leading up to death, and were broadly similar. The difference in mean inpatient costs was £899, with HES data yielding ∼8% lower costs than medical record data (differences compatible with chance, p=0.3). Events were missing from both data sets. 11 men (3.8%) had events identified in HES that were all missing from medical record review, while 7 men (2.4%) had events identified in medical record review that were all missing from HES. The response from finance departments to requests for cost data was poor: only 3 of 7 departments returned adequate data sets within 6 months. Conclusions Using HES routine data coupled with NHS reference costs resulted in mean annual inpatient costs that were very similar to those derived via medical record review; therefore, routinely available data can be used as the primary method of costing resource use in large clinical trials. Neither HES nor medical record review represent gold standards of data collection. Requesting cost data from finance departments is impractical for large clinical trials. Trial registration number ISRCTN92187251; Pre-results.
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- 2017
36. Prostate Specific Antigen (PSA) testing of men in UK general practice::a 10-year longitudinal cohort study
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Young, Grace J, Harrison, Sean, Turner, Emma L, I Walsh, Eleanor, Oliver, Steven E, Ben-Shlomo, Yoav, Evans, Simon, Lane, J Athene, Neal, David E., Hamdy, Freddie C., Donovan, Jenny L., Martin, Richard M, and Metcalfe, Chris
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Male ,Urologic Diseases ,Biopsy ,General Practice ,psa testing ,urologic and male genital diseases ,BTC (Bristol Trials Centre) ,Cohort Studies ,Diagnosis ,Humans ,Mass Screening ,CPRD ,Longitudinal Studies ,Early Detection of Cancer ,Aged ,PSA testing ,Primary Health Care ,Research ,screening ,Prostate Cancer ,Age Factors ,Prostate ,Prostatic Neoplasms ,Middle Aged ,Prostate-Specific Antigen ,prostate cancer ,primary health care ,Cross-Sectional Studies ,Centre for Surgical Research ,Screening ,BRTC ,Public Health ,ICEP ,Family Practice ,Men's Health - Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Cross-sectional studies suggest that around 6% of men undergo prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing each year in UK general practice (GP). This longitudinal study aims to determine the cumulative testing pattern of men over a 10-year period and whether this testing can be considered equivalent to screening for prostate cancer (PCa). SETTING, PARTICIPANTS AND OUTCOME MEASURES: Patient-level data on PSA tests, biopsies and PCa diagnoses were obtained from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) for the years 2002 to 2011. The cumulative risks of PSA testing and of being diagnosed with PCa were estimated for the 10-year study period. Associations of a man's age, region and index of multiple deprivation with the cumulative risk of PSA testing and PCa diagnosis were investigated. Rates of biopsy and diagnosis, following a high test result, were compared with those from the programme of PSA testing in the Prostate Testing for Cancer and Treatment (ProtecT) study. RESULTS: The 10-year risk of exposure to at least one PSA test in men aged 45 to 69 years in UK GP was 39.2% (95% CI 39.0 to 39.4%). The age-specific risks ranged from 25.2% for men aged 45-49 years to 53.0% for men aged 65-69 years (p for trend
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- 2017
37. Contemporary accuracy of death certificates for coding prostate cancer as a cause of death: Is reliance on death certification good enough? A comparison with blinded review by an independent cause of death evaluation committee
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Turner, Emma L, Metcalfe, Chris, Donovan, Jenny L, Noble, Sian, Sterne, Jonathan A C, Lane, J Athene, I Walsh, Eleanor, Hill, Elizabeth M, Down, Liz, Ben-Shlomo, Yoav, Oliver, Steven E, Evans, Simon, Brindle, Peter, Williams, Naomi J, Hughes, Laura J, Davies, Charlotte F, Ng, Siaw Yein, Neal, David E, Hamdy, Freddie C, Albertsen, Peter, Reid, Colette M, Oxley, Jon, McFarlane, John, Robinson, Mary C, Adolfsson, Jan, Zietman, Anthony, Baum, Michael, Koupparis, Anthony, and Martin, Richard M
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Male ,prostate cancer mortality ,Short Communication ,screening ,death certification ,Prostate ,specificity ,Prostatic Neoplasms ,prostate cancer ,sensitivity ,BTC (Bristol Trials Centre) ,Sensitivity and Specificity ,Death Certificates ,cause of death ,Centre for Surgical Research ,Cluster randomised controlled trial ,Humans ,cluster randomised controlled trial ,Aged - Abstract
Background: Accurate cause of death assignment is crucial for prostate cancer epidemiology and trials reporting prostate cancer-specific mortality outcomes. Methods: We compared death certificate information with independent cause of death evaluation by an expert committee within a prostate cancer trial (2002-2015). Results: Of 1,236 deaths assessed, expert committee evaluation attributed 523 (42%) to prostate cancer, agreeing with death certificate cause of death in 1,134 cases (92%, 95% CI: 90%, 93%). The sensitivity of death certificates in identifying prostate cancer deaths as classified by the committee was 91% (95% CI: 89%, 94%); specificity was 92% (95% CI: 90%, 94%). Sensitivity and specificity were lower where death occurred within one year of diagnosis, and where there was another primary cancer diagnosis.Conclusion: UK death certificates accurately identify cause of death in men with prostate cancer, supporting their use in routine statistics. Possible differential misattribution by trial arm supports independent evaluation in randomised trials.
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- 2017
38. Systematic review and meta-analysis of the associations between body mass index, prostate cancer, advanced prostate cancer, and prostate-specific antigen
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Harrison, Sean, Tilling, Kate, Turner, Emma L, Martin, Richard M, Lennon, Rosie, Lane, J Athene, Donovan, Jenny L, Hamdy, Freddie C, Neal, David E, Bosch, JLH Ruud, and Jones, Hayley E
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2. Zero hunger ,Male ,Prostate cancer ,nutritional and metabolic diseases ,Prostatic Neoplasms ,Overweight ,Prostate-Specific Antigen ,Body Mass Index ,Meta-analysis ,Screening ,Systematic review ,Humans ,Kallikreins ,Obesity ,Early Detection of Cancer - Abstract
PURPOSE: The relationship between body mass index (BMI) and prostate cancer remains unclear. However, there is an inverse association between BMI and prostate-specific antigen (PSA), used for prostate cancer screening. We conducted this review to estimate the associations between BMI and (1) prostate cancer, (2) advanced prostate cancer, and (3) PSA. METHODS: We searched PubMed and Embase for studies until 02 October 2017 and obtained individual participant data from four studies. In total, 78 studies were identified for the association between BMI and prostate cancer, 21 for BMI and advanced prostate cancer, and 35 for BMI and PSA. We performed random-effects meta-analysis of linear associations of log-PSA and prostate cancer with BMI and, to examine potential non-linearity, of associations between categories of BMI and each outcome. RESULTS: In the meta-analyses with continuous BMI, a 5 kg/m2 increase in BMI was associated with a percentage change in PSA of - 5.88% (95% CI - 6.87 to - 4.87). Using BMI categories, compared to normal weight men the PSA levels of overweight men were 3.43% lower (95% CI - 5.57 to - 1.23), and obese men were 12.9% lower (95% CI - 15.2 to - 10.7). Prostate cancer and advanced prostate cancer analyses showed little or no evidence associations. CONCLUSION: There is little or no evidence of an association between BMI and risk of prostate cancer or advanced prostate cancer, and strong evidence of an inverse and non-linear association between BMI and PSA. The association between BMI and prostate cancer is likely biased if missed diagnoses are not considered.
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