1. A model for predicting low probability of nonsentinel lymph node positivity in melanoma patients with a single positive sentinel lymph node.
- Author
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Bhutiani N, Egger ME, Stromberg AJ, Gershenwald JE, Ross MI, Philips P, Martin RCG 2nd, Scoggins CR, and McMasters KM
- Subjects
- Female, Humans, Lymphatic Metastasis, Male, Middle Aged, Predictive Value of Tests, Reproducibility of Results, Lymph Nodes pathology, Melanoma pathology, Models, Statistical, Sentinel Lymph Node pathology, Sentinel Lymph Node Biopsy methods
- Abstract
Background: Identifying factors associated with nonsentinel lymph node (NSN) metastases in melanoma patients with a single positive sentinel lymph node (SLN) could aid decision making regarding adjuvant therapy. We describe a model for identifying patients with a single positive SLN at low risk for NSN metastasis., Methods: Factors associated with NSN metastasis in patients with a primary cutaneous melanoma and a single positive SLN who underwent completion lymph node dissection (CLND) were identified. These factors were used to construct a model for predicting the NSN status. The model was validated using a separate data set from another tertiary referral cancer center., Results: In the training data set, 111 patients had a single positive SLN. Of these, 27 had positive NSN. SLN tumor deposit diameter ≥0.75 mm (OR, 3.43; P = 0.047), age ≥40 (OR, 12.14; P = 0.024), and multifocal SLN tumor deposit location (OR, 4.16; P = 0.0096) were independently associated with NSN positivity. Patients with 0 to 1 of these risk factors had a low risk of NSN metastasis in both the training (7.5%) and validation (4.6%) data sets., Conclusions: A combination of patient and SLN tumor burden characteristics can help to identify patients with a single positive SLN who are at a low risk of NSN metastasis., (© 2018 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.)
- Published
- 2018
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