1. Opposing Age-Related Trends in Absolute and Relative Risk of Adverse Health Outcomes Associated With Out-of-Office Blood Pressure.
- Author
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Li Y, Thijs L, Zhang ZY, Asayama K, Hansen TW, Boggia J, Björklund-Bodegård K, Yang WY, Niiranen TJ, Ntineri A, Wei FF, Kikuya M, Ohkubo T, Dolan E, Hozawa A, Tsuji I, Stolarz-Skrzypek K, Huang QF, Melgarejo JD, Tikhonoff V, Malyutina S, Casiglia E, Nikitin Y, Lind L, Sandoya E, Aparicio L, Barochiner J, Gilis-Malinowska N, Narkiewicz K, Kawecka-Jaszcz K, Maestre GE, Jula AM, Johansson JK, Kuznetsova T, Filipovský J, Stergiou G, Wang JG, Imai Y, O'Brien E, and Staessen JA
- Subjects
- Aged, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Age Factors, Blood Pressure Monitoring, Ambulatory, Cohort Studies, Health Status, Internationality, Multivariate Analysis, Office Visits trends, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Assessment, Sex Factors, Blood Pressure Determination methods, Cardiovascular Diseases diagnosis, Cardiovascular Diseases epidemiology, Hypertension diagnosis, Hypertension epidemiology, Self-Management statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Participant-level meta-analyses assessed the age-specific relevance of office blood pressure to cardiovascular complications, but this information is lacking for out-of-office blood pressure. At baseline, daytime ambulatory (n=12 624) or home (n=5297) blood pressure were measured in 17 921 participants (51.3% women; mean age, 54.2 years) from 17 population cohorts. Subsequently, mortality and cardiovascular events were recorded. Using multivariable Cox regression, floating absolute risk was computed across 4 age bands (≤60, 61-70, 71-80, and >80 years). Over 236 491 person-years, 3855 people died and 2942 cardiovascular events occurred. From levels as low as 110/65 mm Hg, risk log-linearly increased with higher out-of-office systolic/diastolic blood pressure. From the youngest to the oldest age group, rates expressed per 1000 person-years increased ( P <0.001) from 4.4 (95% CI, 4.0-4.7) to 86.3 (76.1-96.5) for all-cause mortality and from 4.1 (3.9-4.6) to 59.8 (51.0-68.7) for cardiovascular events, whereas hazard ratios per 20-mm Hg increment in systolic out-of-office blood pressure decreased ( P ≤0.0033) from 1.42 (1.19-1.69) to 1.09 (1.05-1.12) and from 1.70 (1.51-1.92) to 1.12 (1.07-1.17), respectively. These age-related trends were similar for out-of-office diastolic pressure and were generally consistent in both sexes and across ethnicities. In conclusion, adverse outcomes were directly associated with out-of-office blood pressure in adults. At young age, the absolute risk associated with out-of-office blood pressure was low, but relative risk high, whereas with advancing age relative risk decreased and absolute risk increased. These observations highlight the need of a lifecourse approach for the management of hypertension.
- Published
- 2019
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