1. Improvement in the 95-95-95 Targets Is Accompanied by a Reduction in Both the Human Immunodeficiency Virus Transmission Rate and Incidence in China.
- Author
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Ye J, Lan Y, Wang J, Feng Y, Lin Y, Zhou Y, Liu J, Yuan D, Lu X, Guo W, Zheng M, Song X, Zhou Q, Yang H, Zheng C, Guo Q, Yang X, Yang K, Zhang L, Ge Z, Liu L, Yu F, Han Y, Huang H, Hao M, Chen Q, Ling X, Ruan Y, Dong Y, Zhou C, Liu X, Bai J, Tong X, Gao Y, Yang Z, Wang A, Wei W, Mei F, Qiao R, Luo X, Huang X, Chen J, Hu F, Shen X, Tan W, Tu A, Zhang X, He S, Ning Z, Fan J, Liu C, Xu C, Ren X, Sun Y, Li Y, Liu G, Li X, Li J, Duan J, Huang T, Liu S, Yu G, Wu D, Shao Y, Pan Q, Zhang L, Su B, Wu J, Jiang T, Zhao H, Zhang T, Chen F, Cai K, Hu B, Wang H, Zhao J, Gao B, Sun W, Ning T, Li J, Liang S, Huo Y, Fu G, Chen X, Li F, Xing H, and Lu H
- Subjects
- Humans, China epidemiology, Incidence, Female, Male, Adult, Middle Aged, Young Adult, Adolescent, Anti-HIV Agents therapeutic use, HIV Infections epidemiology, HIV Infections transmission, HIV Infections drug therapy, HIV Infections virology
- Abstract
Background: In 2016, China has implemented the World Health Organization's "treat all" policy. We aimed to assess the impact of significant improvements in the 95-95-95 targets on population-level human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) transmission dynamics and incidence., Methods: We focused on 3 steps of the HIV care continuum: diagnosed, on antiretroviral therapy, and achieving viral suppression. The molecular transmission clusters were inferred using HIV-TRACE. New HIV infections were estimated using the incidence method in the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control HIV Modelling Tool., Results: Between 2004 and 2023, the national HIV epidemiology database recorded 2.99 billion person-times of HIV tests and identified 1 976 878 new diagnoses. We noted a roughly "inverted-V" curve in the clustering frequency, with the peak recorded in 2014 (67.1% [95% confidence interval, 63.7%-70.5%]), concurrent with a significant improvement in the 95-95-95 targets from 10-13-<71 in 2005 to 84-93-97 in 2022. Furthermore, we observed a parabolic curve for a new infection with the vertex occurring in 2010., Conclusions: In general, it was suggested that the improvements in the 95-95-95 targets were accompanied by a reduction in both the population-level HIV transmission rate and incidence. Thus, China should allocate more effort to the first "95" target to achieve a balanced 95-95-95 target., Competing Interests: Potential conflicts of interest. All authors: No reported conflicts. All authors have submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Conflicts that the editors consider relevant to the content of the manuscript have been disclosed., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. For commercial re-use, please contact reprints@oup.com for reprints and translation rights for reprints. All other permissions can be obtained through our RightsLink service via the Permissions link on the article page on our site—for further information please contact journals.permissions@oup.com.)
- Published
- 2024
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