1. Simple parameters predicting extrahepatic recurrence after curative hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma
- Author
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Yang Seok Ko, Yo Han Lee, Kwang Tack Kim, Ban Seok Kim, Chung Hwan Jun, Hyun Kook, Sung Bum Cho, Sung Kyu Choi, Hee Joon Kim, Seo Yeon Cho, Jae Hyun Yoon, Sunmin Kim, Seyeong Son, Won Jae Lee, and Hye-Su You
- Subjects
Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Surgical margin ,Carcinoma, Hepatocellular ,Time Factors ,Multivariate analysis ,medicine.medical_treatment ,health care facilities, manpower, and services ,Science ,Risk Assessment ,Gastroenterology ,Article ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Text mining ,Internal medicine ,health services administration ,Outcome Assessment, Health Care ,medicine ,Hepatectomy ,Humans ,Stage (cooking) ,health care economics and organizations ,Cancer ,Aged ,Multidisciplinary ,business.industry ,Liver Neoplasms ,Disease Management ,Retrospective cohort study ,Middle Aged ,Prognosis ,medicine.disease ,Survival Analysis ,Risk factors ,030220 oncology & carcinogenesis ,Hepatocellular carcinoma ,Medicine ,Female ,030211 gastroenterology & hepatology ,Neoplasm Recurrence, Local ,Factor Analysis, Statistical ,business ,Biomarkers - Abstract
Extrahepatic recurrence (EHR) after curative hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is associated with a poor prognosis. We investigated the features of EHR and identified its predictive factors. This retrospective study included 398 treatment-naive patients who underwent curative hepatectomy for HCC at two tertiary hospitals. Multivariate Cox-regression analysis was performed to identify the variables associated with EHR. EHR was diagnosed in 94 patients (23.6%) over a median follow-up period of 5.92 years, most commonly in the lungs (42.6%). The 5-/10-year cumulative rates of HCC recurrence and EHR were 63.0%/75.6% and 18.1%/35.0%, respectively. The median time to EHR was 2.06 years. Intrahepatic HCC recurrence was not observed in 38.3% of patients on EHR diagnosis. On multivariate analysis, pathologic modified Union for International Cancer Control stage (III, IVa), surgical margin involvement, tumor necrosis, sum of tumor size > 7 cm, and macrovascular invasion were predictive factors of EHR. Four risk levels and their respective EHR rates were defined as follows: very low risk, 1-/5-year, 3.1%/11.6%; low risk, 1-/5-year, 12.0%/27.7%; intermediate risk, 1-/5-year, 36.3%/60.9%; and high risk, 1-year, 100.0%. Our predictive model clarifies the clinical course of EHR and could improve the follow-up strategy to improve outcomes.
- Published
- 2021