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Background: Assessment of the immune status of muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) has previously shown to be prognostically relevant after treatment with curative intent. We conducted this study to develop a clinically applicable immune gene expression assay to predict prognosis and adjuvant chemotherapy benefit., Patients and Methods: Gene expression of CD3Z , CD8A and CXCL9 , immune cell (IC) populations including stromal tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (sTILs), T-cells, natural killer cells (NK-cells), macrophages, Programmed cell death protein 1 positive (PD-1) IC and tumor subtypes (MD Anderson Cancer Center/MDACC-approach) were assessed in 187 MIBC patients (Comprehensive Cancer Center Erlangen-EMN/CCC-EMN-cohort). A gene expression signature was derived by hierarchical-clustering and validated in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA)-cohort. IC populations in the TCGA cohort were assessed via CIBERSORT. Benefit of platinum-containing adjuvant chemotherapy was assessed in a pooled cohort of 125 patients. Outcome measurements were disease specific survival, disease-free survival and overall survival., Results: The gene expression signature of CXCL9 , CD3Z and CD8A correlates with quantitative amounts of specific IC populations and sTILs (CCC-EMN: ρ-range: 0.44-0.74; TCGA: ρ-range: 0.56-0.82) and allows stratification of three different inflammation levels (inflamed high, inflamed low, uninflamed). Highly inflamed tumors are preferentially basal subtype and show favorable 5-year survival rates of 67.3% (HR=0.27; CCC-EMN) and 55% (HR=0.41; TCGA). Uninflamed tumors are predominantly luminal subtypes and show low 5-year survival rates of 28% (CCC-EMN) and 36% (TCGA). Inflamed tumors exhibit higher levels of PD-1 and Programmed cell death 1 ligand 1 (PD-L1). Patients undergoing adjuvant platinum-based chemotherapy with 'inflamed high' tumors showed a favorable 5-year survival rate of 64% (HR=0.27; merged CCC-EMN and TCGA cohort)., Conclusion: The gene expression signature of CD3Z , CD8A and CXCL9 can assess the immune status of MIBC and stratify the survival of MIBC patients undergoing surgery and adjuvant platinum-based chemotherapy. Furthermore, the assay can identify patients with immunological hot tumors with particular high expression of PD-L1 potentially suitable for immunotherapy., Competing Interests: Competing interests: RW is founder and CEO of STRATIFYER Molecular pathology., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2020. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)

Introduction: With increasing life expectancy, curative treatment of octogenarians with urothelial carcinoma of the bladder (UCB) becomes more important., Materials and Methods: The treatment modalities of 276 octogenarians with UCB who were treated at the University Hospital of Erlangen between 1982 and 2011 were assessed retrospectively., Results: One hundred forty-six patients had non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) while 71 had muscle invasive bladder cancer (MIBC). No data was available for 59 patients. Eighty-five (58.2%) of the 146 patients with NMIBC received transurethral resection of the bladder tumor (TURBT) only, another 38 patients (26%) underwent additional intravesical therapy; and 8.9% were treated with radiochemotherapy (RCT), 4.1% with radiotherapy (RT), 1.4% with systemic chemotherapy and 1.4% with radical cystectomy (RC). Of the 71 patients suffering from MIBC, 39 (54.9%) received TURBT alone. A potentially curative therapy was performed on 31 of the 71 patients with MIBC (43.7%). Of these, 16 patients (51.6%) received RCT, 9 patients (29.0%) RT and 6 patients (19.4%) RC. In Kaplan-Meier analysis, patients with MIBC had better median overall survival with curative treatment compared to TURBT alone (28 vs. 9 months; p < 0.001, log-rank test)., Conclusions: By offering a wide range of treatment options, over 43% of octogenarians with MIBC received a curative therapy at a maximum care hospital., (© 2016 S. Karger AG, Basel.)

Background/Aims/Objectives: It is difficult to identify patients with a non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) at stage pT1 with concomitant carcinoma in situ (Cis) who will benefit from an early cystectomy., Methods: We retrospectively analyzed clinical data and formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissues of patients with NMIBC. Messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA) expression of progesterone receptor (PGR), estrogen receptor (ESR1), ERBB2, and marker of proliferation Ki-67 (MKI67) was measured by single-step reverse transcription quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction using RNA-specific TaqMan assays. Relative gene expression was determined by the normalization of 2 reference genes (CALM2, B2M) using the 40 ΔΔCT method and relative gene expression was correlated to the histopathological stage and oncological outcome., Results: Of 302 patients with pT1 NMIBC in the initial transurethral resection of the bladder, 65 had a concomitant Cis. Elevated ERBB2 expression (>40.1) significantly correlated with progress in patients with and without concomitant Cis (p = 0.020 and p = 0.049, respectively). For the subgroup of pT1 with concomitant Cis, elevated ERBB2 expression significantly discriminated between a high-risk group of 55% progression-free survival (PFS) and a low-risk group of 90% PFS after a 5-year follow-up (p = 0.020). Cox-regression analysis revealed ERBB2 expression as the only independent prognostic factor for PFS (p = 0.0037)., Conclusions: High mRNA expression of ERBB2 can identify patients with pT1 NMIBC with concomitant Cis, who have a high risk of progression and might benefit from an early cystectomy., (© 2016 S. Karger AG, Basel.)

Unlabelled: Radical cystectomy (RC) for urothelial carcinoma of the bladder (UCB) is associated with heterogeneous functional and oncological outcomes. The aim of this study was to generate trifecta and pentafecta criteria to optimize outcome reporting after RC., Methods: We interviewed 50 experts to consider a virtual group of patients (age ≤ 75 years, ASA score ≤ 3) undergoing RC for a cT2 UCB and a final histology of ≤pT3pN0M0. A ranking was generated for the three and five criteria with the highest sum score. The criteria were applied to the Prospective Multicenter Radical Cystectomy Series 2011. Multivariable binary logistic regression analyses were used to evaluate the impact of clinical and histopathological parameters on meeting the top selected criteria., Results: The criteria with the highest sum score were negative soft tissue surgical margin, lymph node (LN) dissection of at least 16 LNs, no complications according to Clavien-Dindo grade 3-5 within 90 days after RC, treatment-free time between TUR-BT with detection of muscle-invasive UCB and RC <3 months and the absence of local UCB-recurrence in the pelvis ≤12 months. The first three criteria formed trifecta, and all five criteria pentafecta. A total of 334 patients qualified for final analysis, whereas 35.3 and 29 % met trifecta and pentafecta criteria, respectively. Multivariable analyses showed that the relative probability of meeting trifecta and pentafecta decreases with higher age (3.2 %, p = 0.043 and 3.3 %, p = 0.042) per year, respectively., Conclusions: Trifecta and pentafecta incorporate essential criteria in terms of outcome reporting and might be considered for the improvement of standardized quality assessment after RC for UCB.

Purpose: To externally validate the Christodouleas risk model incorporating pathological tumor stage, lymph node (LN) count and soft tissue surgical margin (STSM) and stratifying patients who develop locoregional recurrence (LR) after radical cystectomy (RC) for urothelial carcinoma of the bladder (UCB). In addition, we aimed to generate a new model including established clinicopathological features that were absent in the Christodouleas risk model., Methods: Prospectively assessed multicenter data from 565 patients undergoing RC for UCB in 2011 qualified for final analysis. For the purpose of external validation, risk group stratification according to Christodouleas was performed. Competing-risk models were calculated to compare the cumulative incidences of LR after RC., Results: After a median follow-up of 25 months (interquartile range 19-29), the LR-rate was 11.5 %. The Christodouleas model showed a predictive accuracy of 83.2 % in our cohort. In multivariable competing-risk analysis, tumor stage ≥pT3 (HR 4.32, p < 0.001), positive STSM (HR 2.93, p = 0.005), lymphovascular invasion (HR 3.41, p < 0.001), the number of removed LNs <10 (HR 2.62, p < 0.001) and the administration of adjuvant chemotherapy (HR 0.40, p = 0.008) independently predicted the LR-rate. The resulting risk groups revealed significant differences in LR-rates after 24 months with 4.8 % for low-risk patients, 14.7 % for intermediate-risk patients and 38.9 % for high-risk patients (p < 0.001 for all), with a predictive accuracy of 85.6 %, respectively., Conclusions: The Christodouleas risk model has been successfully externally validated in the present prospective series. However, this analysis finds that overall model performance may be improved by incorporating lymphovascular invasion. After external validation of the newly proposed risk model, it may be used to identify patients who benefit from an adjuvant therapy and suit for inclusion in clinical trials.

Background: The prognosis of muscle-invasive bladder cancer is poor. Molecular prognosticators have gained increasing attention for individualized therapeutic options because they can identify patients with different prognoses., Methods: Tissue microarrays of formalin-fixed and paraffin-embedded tumor samples from 206 bladder cancer patients treated with cystectomy and chemotherapy were studied for SNAI1 protein expression by immunohistochemistry. SNAI1 expression was evaluated using an immunoreactive score (IRS). For statistical analysis, the patients were separated into two groups: those with tumor specimens negative for SNAI1 expression (IRS = 0), and the other positive for SNAI1 expression (IRS ≥1)., Results: Tumor samples from 42 patients showed negative SNAI1 expression, whereas the nuclei of tumor cells from 164 patients showed detectable nuclear staining of SNAI1. A Kaplan-Meier analysis of the bladder cancer patients with negative SNAI1 expression showed significantly reduced disease-specific survival (DSS) and progression-free survival (PFS) compared to the patients with positive expression (p = 0.010 and 0.013). A multivariate Cox regression analysis (adjusted for gender, age, tumor stage, tumor grade, lymph node metastasis, chemotherapy, and histologic subtype) again showed a significant correlation between patients lacking SNAI1 expression and DSS (p = 0.005; relative risk 2.31; 95 % confidence interval 1.28-4.17) or PFS (p = 0.004; relative risk 2.20; 95 % confidence interval 1.29-3.78) compared to patients with positive SNAI1 staining., Conclusions: Loss of SNAI1 protein expression is an independent prognosticator for PFS and DSS in bladder cancer patients treated by radical cystectomy and adjuvant chemotherapy. Its prognostic value for neoadjuvant or adjuvant chemotherapy must be evaluated in further prospective randomized controlled trials.

Background: Since the definition of different histologic subtypes of urothelial carcinomas by the World Health Organization (WHO) 2004 classification, description of molecular features and clinical behavior of these variants has gained more attention., Methods: We reviewed 205 tumor samples of patients with locally advanced bladder cancer mainly treated within the randomized AUO-AB05/95 trial with radical cystectomy and adjuvant cisplatin-based chemotherapy for histologic subtypes. 178 UC, 18 plasmacytoid (PUC) and 9 micropapillary (MPC) carcinomas of the bladder were identified. Kaplan Meier analysis and backward multivariate Cox's proportional hazards regression analysis were performed to compare overall survival between the three histologic subtypes., Results: Patients suffering from PUC have the worst clinical outcome regarding overall survival compared to conventional UC and MPC of the bladder that in turn seem have to best clinical outcome (27.4 months, 62.6 months, and 64.2 months, respectively; p=0.013 by Kaplan Meier analysis). Backward multivariate Cox´s proportional hazards regression analysis (adjusted to relevant clinicopathological parameters) showed a hazard ratio of 3.2 (p=0.045) for PUC in contrast to patients suffering from MPC., Conclusions: Histopathological diagnosis of rare variants of urothelial carcinoma can identify patients with poor prognosis.