1. Epidemiological, Serological, and Virological Features of Dengue in Nha Trang City, Vietnam
- Author
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Nguyen Thanh Le, Duong Le Quyen, Dang Duc Anh, Scott Leslie O'Neill, Simon Kutcher, Cao Thi Van Anh, Nguyen Binh Nguyen, Jacqui Montgomery, Dong Van Hoang, Cameron P. Simmons, Maia A. Rabaa, Katherine L. Anders, Nguyen Tran Hien, Nguyen Hoang Le, and Duong Thi Hue Kien
- Subjects
Adult ,Male ,0301 basic medicine ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Adolescent ,Cross-sectional study ,030231 tropical medicine ,Dengue virus ,medicine.disease_cause ,Polymerase Chain Reaction ,Statistics, Nonparametric ,Dengue fever ,Dengue ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Surveys and Questionnaires ,Virology ,Epidemiology ,medicine ,Cluster Analysis ,Humans ,Young adult ,Child ,Prospective cohort study ,business.industry ,Incidence ,Incidence (epidemiology) ,Infant ,Articles ,Dengue Virus ,medicine.disease ,3. Good health ,Cross-Sectional Studies ,Serology ,030104 developmental biology ,Infectious Diseases ,Vietnam ,Child, Preschool ,Population Surveillance ,Cohort ,Female ,Parasitology ,business ,Arboviruses ,Demography - Abstract
Vietnam is endemic for dengue. We conducted a series of retrospective and prospective studies to characterize the epidemiology of dengue and population mobility patterns in Nha Trang city, Vietnam, with a view to rational design of trials of community-level interventions. A 10-year time series of dengue case notifications showed pronounced interannual variability, as well as spatial heterogeneity in ward-level dengue incidence (median annual coefficient of variation k = 0.47). Of 451 children aged 1–10 years enrolled in a cross-sectional serosurvey, almost one-third had evidence of a past dengue virus (DENV) infection, with older children more likely to have a multitypic response indicative of past exposure to ≥ 1 serotype. All four DENV serotypes were detected in hospitalized patients during 8 months of sampling in 2015. Mobility data collected from 1,000 children and young adults via prospective travel diaries showed that, although all ages spent approximately half of their daytime hours (5:00 am–9:00 pm) at home, younger age groups (≤ 14 years) spent a significantly greater proportion of their time within 500 m of home than older respondents. Together these findings inform the rational design of future trials of dengue preventive interventions in this setting by identifying 1) children < 7 years as an optimal target group for a flavivirus-naive serological cohort, 2) children and young adults as the predominant patient population for a study with a clinical end point of symptomatic dengue, and 3) substantial spatial and temporal variations in DENV transmission, with a consequent requirement for a trial to be large enough and of long enough duration to overcome this heterogeneity.
- Published
- 2018
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