1. Scoring model to predict outcome in critically ill cirrhotic patients with acute respiratory failure: comparison with MELD scoring models and CLIF-SOFA score
- Author
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Xiaodong Zhou, Weijian Huang, Ming-Hua Zheng, Yao Lu, Qin-Fen Chen, Wen-Yue Liu, Ke-Qing Shi, Ming-Chun Zhang, and Sven Van Poucke
- Subjects
Liver Cirrhosis ,Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Critical Illness ,Risk Assessment ,Severity of Illness Index ,03 medical and health sciences ,chemistry.chemical_compound ,0302 clinical medicine ,Internal medicine ,Health Status Indicators ,Humans ,Medicine ,Acute respiratory failure ,Intensive care medicine ,Aged ,Retrospective Studies ,Creatinine ,Hepatology ,business.industry ,Critically ill ,Proportional hazards model ,Gastroenterology ,Middle Aged ,Prognosis ,respiratory tract diseases ,030228 respiratory system ,chemistry ,Respiratory failure ,Concomitant ,Cohort ,Female ,030211 gastroenterology & hepatology ,Respiratory Insufficiency ,business ,Risk assessment - Abstract
Background: Critically ill cirrhotic patients have a high mortality, particularly with concomitant respiratory failure on admission. There are no specific models in use for mortality risk assessment in critically ill cirrhotic patients with acute respiratory failure (CICRF). The aim is to develop a risk prediction model specific to CICRF in order to quantify the severity of illness.Methods: We analyzed 949 CICRF patients extracted from the MIMIC-III database. The novel model (ARF-CLIF-SOFA) was developed from the CLIF-SOFA score. Cox regression analysis and AUROC were implemented to test the predictive accuracy, compared with existing scores including the CLIF-SOFA score and MELD-related scores.Results: ARF-CLIF-SOFA contains PaO2/FiO2 ratio, lactate, MAP, vasopressor therapy, bilirubin and creatinine (1 point each; score range: 0–6). Based on our patient cohort, the ARF-CLIF-SOFA score had good predictive accuracy for predicting the 30-, 90-day and 1-year mortality (AUROC = 0.767 at 30-day, 0.768...
- Published
- 2017
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