1. Duodenal Microbiome and Serum Metabolites Predict Hepatocellular Carcinoma in a Multicenter Cohort of Patients with Cirrhosis
- Author
-
Jihane N. Benhammou, Walid S. Ayoub, David Elashoff, Jonathan P. Jacobs, Venu Lagishetty, Pedram Enayati, Gina Choi, Oliver Fiehn, Marc T. Goodman, Vinay Sundaram, Tien S. Dong, Shehnaz K Hussain, Joseph R. Pisegna, Mazen Noureddin, Francisco Durazo, and Vatche G. Agopian
- Subjects
Liver Cancer ,Liver Cirrhosis ,Male ,Taurocholic Acid ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Carcinoma, Hepatocellular ,Cirrhosis ,Biogenic amines ,Physiology ,Chronic Liver Disease and Cirrhosis ,Clinical Sciences ,Population ,Gastroenterology ,Rare Diseases ,Methionine ,Clinical Research ,Risk Factors ,Internal medicine ,Genetics ,medicine ,Time-to-event ,Humans ,Alloprevotella ,Prospective Studies ,education ,Hepatic encephalopathy ,Survival analysis ,Cancer ,Proportional Hazards Models ,education.field_of_study ,Gastroenterology & Hepatology ,business.industry ,Liver Disease ,Microbiota ,Carcinoma ,Human Genome ,Liver Neoplasms ,Hepatocellular ,Small intestine ,Odds ratio ,Hepatology ,medicine.disease ,Bile acids ,Good Health and Well Being ,Hepatocellular carcinoma ,Cohort ,Digestive Diseases ,business - Abstract
BackgroundHepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is rapidly increasing in the U.S. and is a leading cause of mortality for patients with cirrhosis. Discovering novel biomarkers for risk stratification of HCC is paramount. We examined biomarkers of the gut-liver axis in a prospective multicenter cohort.MethodsPatients with cirrhosis without a history of HCC were recruited between May 2015 and March 2020 and prospectively followed at 3 tertiary care hospitals in Los Angeles. Microbiome analysis was performed on duodenal biopsies and metabolomic analysis was performed on serum samples, collected at the time of enrollment. Optimal microbiome-based survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis were used to determine microbiota and metabolite associations with HCC development, respectively.ResultsA total of 227 participants with liver cirrhosis contributed a total of 459.58 person-years of follow-up, with 14 incident HCC diagnoses. Male sex (HR = 7.06, 95% CI = 1.02-54.86) and baseline hepatic encephalopathy (HE, HR = 4.65, 95% CI = 1.60-13.52) were associated with developing HCC over follow-up. Adjusting for age, sex, baseline HE, and alkaline phosphatase, an increased risk of HCC were observed for participants with the highest versus lowest three quartiles for duodenal Alloprevotella (HR = 3.22, 95% CI = 1.06-9.73) and serum taurocholic acid (HR = 6.87, 95% CI = 2.32-20.27), methionine (HR = 9.97, 95% CI = 3.02-32.94), and methioninesulfoxide (HR = 5.60, 95% CI = 1.84-17.10). Being in the highest quartile for Alloprevotella or methionine had a sensitivity and specificity for developing HCC of 85.71% and 60.56%, respectively, with an odds ratio of 10.92 (95% CI = 2.23-53.48).ConclusionAlloprevotella and methionine, methioninesulfoxide, and taurocholic acid predicted future HCC development in a high-risk population of participants with liver cirrhosis.
- Published
- 2021