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Purpose To identify trajectories of cognitive performance up to five years since diagnosis and their predictors, in a cohort of patients with breast cancer (BCa). Methods A total of 464 women with BCa admitted to the Portuguese Institute of Oncology, Porto, during 2012, were evaluated with the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) before any treatment, and after one, three and five years. Probable cognitive impairment (PCI) at baseline was defined based on normative age- and education-specific reference values. Mclust was used to define MoCA trajectories. Receiver Operating Characteristic curves were used to assess the predictive accuracy for cognitive trajectories. Results Two trajectories were identified, one with higher scores and increasing overtime, and the other, including 25.9% of the participants, showing a continuous decline. To further characterize each trajectory, participants were also classified as scoring above or below the median baseline MoCA scores. This resulted in four groups: 1) highest baseline scores, stable overtime (0.0% with PCI); 2) lowest baseline scores (29.5% with PCI); 3) mid-range scores at baseline, increasing overtime (10.5% with PCI); 4) mid-range scores at baseline, decreasing overtime (0.0% with PCI). Adding the change in MoCA during the first year to baseline variables significantly increased the accuracy to predict the downward trajectory (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.732 vs. AUC = 0.841, P, Highlights • 5-year cognitive trajectories since diagnosis of breast cancer were identified. • 25.9% of breast cancer survivors had a declining cognitive trajectory. • Cognitive performance during the 1st year predicted the 5-year trajectory.

Breast cancer incidence is rising in low-income countries, but there is limited information regarding health resource allocation for its care. We assessed the cost of care during the first three years after diagnosis in a low-income country (Mozambique; n = 162 women) and compared it with a high-income country (Portugal, n = 703 women). Local currency prices were converted to 2019 international dollars (Int$). In Mozambique, the median cost was lower than in Portugal (2888 vs 18,533 Int$, respectively) and did not vary across stage or tumor subtype. These findings may help improving resource allocation for breast cancer care in Sub-Saharan Africa, despite reflecting an underfunding of treatment in this setting., Highlights • Health resource allocation for breast cancer care is ill-defined in low-income countries. • The median cost of care of non-metastatic breast cancer was 6-fold higher in Portugal vs Mozambique. • The median cost of care did not vary across stage or tumor subtype in Mozambique. • These findings reflect an underfunding of breast cancer treatment in this low-income setting. • These data may help improving resource allocation for breast cancer care in Sub-Saharan Africa.

A low intake of fruits and vegetables is a risk factor for gastric cancer, although there is uncertainty regarding the magnitude of the associations. In our study, the relationship between fruits and vegetables intake and gastric cancer was assessed, complementing a previous work on the association betweenconsumption of citrus fruits and gastric cancer. Data from 25 studies (8456 cases and 21 133 controls) with information on fruits and/or vegetables intake were used. A two-stage approach based on random-effects models was used to pool study-specific adjusted (sex, age and the main known risk factors for gastric cancer) odds ratios (ORs) and the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Exposure-response relations, including linear and nonlinear associations, were modeled using one- and two-order fractional polynomials. Gastric cancer risk was lower for a higher intake of fruits (OR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.64-0.90), noncitrus fruits (OR: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.73-1.02), vegetables (OR: 0.68, 95% CI: 0.56-0.84), and fruits and vegetables (OR: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.49-0.75); results were consistent across sociodemographic and lifestyles categories, as well as study characteristics. Exposure-response analyses showed an increasingly protective effect of portions/day of fruits (OR: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.57-0.73 for six portions), noncitrus fruits (OR: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.61-0.83 for six portions) and vegetables (OR: 0.51, 95% CI: 0.43-0.60 for 10 portions). A protective effect of all fruits, noncitrus fruits and vegetables was confirmed, supporting further dietary recommendations to decrease the burden of gastric cancer., The authors thank the European Cancer Prevention (ECP) Organiza- tion for providing support for the project meetings. Our study is supported by the Associazione Italiana per la Ricerca sul Cancro (AIRC), Project no. 21378 (Investigator Grant), the Italian Ministry of Health (Young Researchers, GR-2011-02347943 to SB) and the Italian League for the Fight against Cancer (LILT). This project was also supported by FEDER through the Operational Programme Competi- tiveness and Internationalization and national funding from the Foun- dation for Science and Technology - FCT (Portuguese Ministry of Science, Technology and Higher Education) under the Unidade de Investigaç ~ ao em Epidemiologia - Instituto de Saúde Pública da Universidade do Porto (EPIUnit) (UIDB/04750/2020). AF (PD/BD/ 105823/2014) was awarded with an individual scholarship through national funding from FCT/MCTES. Individual grants attributed to ARC (SFRH/BD/102181/2014) and BP (SFRH/BPD/108751/2015) were funded by the FCT and the “ Programa Operacional Capital Humano ” (POCH/FSE). SM was funded under the project “ NEON-PC - Neuro-oncological complications of prostate cancer: longitudinal study of cognitive decline “ (POCI-01-0145-FEDER-032358; Ref. PTDC/SAU-EPI/32358/2017). We also thank all MCC-Spain study collaborators (CIBERESP, ISCIII, ISGlobal, ICO, University of Huelva, University of Oviedo, University of Cantabria, University of León, Granada, Instituto Salud Pública de Navarra, FISABIO, Murcia Regional Health Authority and collaborators). The funding source had no role in the study design; collection, analysis and interpretation of data; in the writing of the report; and in the decision to submit the article for publication.

Background/Aim: To quantify the association between a previous cancer diagnosis and healthcare use among breast cancer (BC) patients, and estimate five-year recurrence-free survival (RFS). Patients and Methods: Women with BC were classified according to a previous cancer diagnosis (BC or other). Healthcare use during the first year and five-year RFS were obtained through clinical and administrative records. Adjusted odds ratios and hazard ratios (HR) were estimated. Results: Among 681 BC patients, 21 had a previous BC and 32 a previous non-BC. The latter were less likely to receive anthracycline-based combination chemotherapy. The former had higher odds of mastectomy and genetic testing. Five-year RFS HRs (95% confidence interval) were 2.75 (0.79-9.52) and 0.52 (0.07-3.89) for previous BC and non-BC, respectively. Conclusion: Previous cancer was associated with less anthracycline-based combination chemotherapy, and patients were more likely to undergo mastectomy and genetic testing. These findings highlight the need for assessment of previous treatments, personal genetic risk and current BC characteristics. This study was funded by FEDER through the Operational Programme Competitiveness and Internationalization and national funding from the Foundation for Science and Technology – FCT (Portuguese Ministry of Science, Technology and Higher Education), under the project “A five-year prospective cohort study on the neurological complications of breast cancer: frequency and impact in patient reported outcomes” (POCI-01-0145-FEDER-016867; ref. PTDC/DTP-EPI/7183/2014), and the Unidade de Investigação em Epidemiologia – Instituto de Saúde Pública da Universidade do Porto (EPIUnit) (POCI-01-0145-FEDER-006862; ref. UID/DTP/04750/2019). SM and LC were also funded under the scope of the project "NEON-PC -Neuro-oncological complications of prostate cancer: longitudinal study of cognitive decline" (POCI-01-0145-FEDER-032358; ref.PTDC/SAU-EPI/32358/2017). Individual grants attributed to ARC (SFRH/BD/102181/2014) and NA (SFRH/BD/119390/2016) were co-funded by FCT and the Programa Operacional Capital Humano (POCH/FSE). Data management activities up to the first year of follow-up were supported by the Chair on Pain Medicine of the Faculty of Medicine, University of Porto and by the Grünenthal Foundation – Portugal.

Smoking has been associated with acquisition and increased persistence of Helicobacter pylori infection, as well as with lower effectiveness of its eradication. A greater prevalence of infection among smokers could contribute to the increased risk for gastric cancer. We aimed to estimate the association between smoking and seropositivity to H. pylori through an individual participant data pooled analysis using controls from 14 case- control studies participating in the Stomach Cancer Pooling Project. Summary odds ratios and prevalence ratios (PRs), adjusted for age, sex and social class, and the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated through random-effects meta-analysis. Heterogeneity was quantified using the I 2 statistic and publication bias with Egger’s test. There was no significant association between smoking (ever vs. never) and H. pylori seropositivity (adjusted odds ratio = 1.08; 95% CI: 0.89 – 1.32; adjusted PR = 1.01; 95% CI: 0.98 – 1.05). The strength of the association did not increase with the intensity or duration of smoking; stratified analyses according to sex, age, region or type of sample did not yield a consistent pattern of variation or statistically significant results, except for participants younger than 55 years and who had been smoking for more than 30 years (adjusted PR = 1.08; 95% CI: 1.02 – 1.15). This is the first collaborative analysis providing pooled estimates for the association between smoking and H. pylori seropositivity, based on detailed and uniform information and adjusting for major covariates. The results do not support an association between smoking and H. pylori infection.

Background Cardiorespiratory fitness is a strong predictor of all-cause morbidity and mortality; nevertheless, the association between cardiorespiratory fitness and the risk of cancer remains unclear. Thus, the aim of this study was to synthetize the evidence on the relationship between cardiorespiratory fitness and the risk of several sites of cancer in men. Methods A computerised search in MEDLINE, EMBASE and Web of Science databases from their inception to 13th February 2019 was performed. Both fixed and random-effects models were used to calculate the pooled hazard ratio (HR) estimates and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to examine the effect of high and moderate versus low cardiorespiratory fitness on site-specific cancer (lung, colon/rectum, prostate) and all-sites cancer. Results Ten studies were included in the qualitative review, and seven of them were included in the meta-analysis. Using low cardiorespiratory fitness as the reference group, moderate and high levels of cardiorespiratory fitness were associated with a lower risk (HRs) of lung cancer, 0.53 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.39 to 0.68) and 0.52 (95% CI, 0.42 to 0.61); colorectal cancer, 0.74 (95% CI, 0.55 to 0.93) and 0.77 (95% CI, 0.62 to 0.92) and all cancer sites, 0.86 (95% CI, 0.79 to 0.93) and 0.81 (95% CI, 0.75 to 0.87), respectively. Conclusions Among men, cardiorespiratory fitness plays an important role in protecting against the risk of lung and colorectal cancer. Additionally, this protective effect was observed for all-sites cancer risk. These results show the importance of good cardiorespiratory fitness as a potential factor in cancer prevention.

Background Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) infection is more frequent among men, though the magnitude of the association might be inaccurate due to potential misclassification of lifetime infection and publication bias. Moreover, infection is common, and most studies are cross-sectional. Thus, prevalence ratios (PRs) may be easier to interpret than odds ratios (ORs). Aim The aim of this study was to quantify the association between sex and H. pylori infection using controls from 14 studies from the Stomach Cancer Pooling (StoP) Project. Participants and methods H. pylori infection was defined based on IgG serum antibody titers or multiplex serology. Participants were also classified as infected if gastric atrophy was present, based on histological examination or serum pepsinogen (PG) levels (PG I≤70 and PG I/II ratio≤3). Summary ORs and PRs, adjusted for age, social class and smoking, and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs), were estimated through random-effects meta-analysis. Results Men had significantly higher OR (OR: 1.33, 95% CI: 1.04-1.70) and PR (PR: 1.05, 95% CI: 1.00-1.10) of infection, with stronger associations among hospital-based or older controls. Results were similar when considering the presence of gastric atrophy to define infection status, particularly among participants older than 65 years. Conclusion This collaborative pooled-analysis supports an independent effect of sex on the prevalence of H. pylori infection, while minimizing misclassification of lifetime infection status and publication bias.

Introduction: Prostate cancer is the most prevalent oncological disease among men in industrialised countries. Despite the high survival rates, treatments are often associated with adverse effects, including metabolic and cardiovascular complications, sexual dysfunction and, to a lesser extent, cognitive decline. This study was primarily designed to evaluate the trajectories of cognitive performance in patients with prostate cancer, and to quantify the impact of the disease and its treatments on the occurrence of cognitive decline. Methods: Participants will be recruited from two main hospitals providing care to approximately half of the patients with prostate cancer in Northern Portugal (Portuguese Institute of Oncology of Porto and São João Hospital Centre), and will comprise a cohort of recently diagnosed patients with prostate cancer proposed for different treatment plans, including: (1) radical prostatectomy; (2) brachytherapy and/or radiotherapy; (3) radiotherapy in combination with androgen deprivation therapy and (4) androgen deprivation therapy (with or without chemotherapy). Recruitment began in February 2018 and is expected to continue until the first semester of 2021. Follow-up evaluations will be conducted at 1, 3, 5, 7 and 10 years. Sociodemographic, behavioural and clinical characteristics, anxiety and depression, health literacy, health status, quality of life, and sleep quality will be assessed. Blood pressure and anthropometrics will be measured, and a fasting blood sample will be collected. Participants' cognitive performance will be evaluated before treatments and throughout follow-up (Montreal Cognitive Assessment and Cube Test as well as Brain on Track for remote monitoring). All participants suspected of cognitive impairment will undergo neuropsychological tests and clinical observation by a neurologist. Ethics and dissemination: The study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the hospitals involved. All participants will provide written informed consent, and study procedures will be developed to ensure data protection and confidentiality. Results will be disseminated through publication in peer-reviewed journals and presentation in scientific meetings. This study was funded by FEDER through the Operational Programme Competitiveness and Internationalisation and national funding from the Foundation for Science and Technology-FCT (Portuguese Ministry of Science, Technology and Higher Education) under the project ‘NEON-PC - Neuro-oncological complications of prostate cancer: longitudinal study of cognitive decline’ (POCI-01-0145-FEDER-032358; Ref. PTDC/SAU-EPI/32358/2017), and the Unidade de Investigação em Epidemiologia - Instituto de Saúde Pública da Universidade do Porto (EPIUnit) (info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDB/04750/2020/PT) financed by national funds from FCT. SM was funded under the scope of the project ‘NEON-PC - Neuro-oncological complications of prostate cancer: longitudinal study of cognitive decline’ (POCI-01-0145-FEDER-032358; Ref. PTDC/SAU-EPI/32358/2017). Individual PhD grants attributed to ARC (SFRH/BD/102181/2014) and NA (SFRH/BD/119390/2016) were funded by FCT and the ‘Programa Operacional Capital Humano’ (POCH/FSE).

Background: Breast cancer incidence is rising in Africa, but there are scare data regarding risk factors in this region. We assessed the relation between risk factors and the occurrence of breast cancer, overall and by tumor subtype in women from Mozambique. Methods: The associations between education, number of births, height, weight, body mass index (BMI), and breast cancer risk among 138 cases (participants from the Moza-BC cohort) and 638 controls from the general population (from a World Health Organization stepwise approach to surveillance survey), recruited during 2014 to 2017, were investigated. Adjusted ORs (aOR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated using multivariable logistic regression. Results: Multiparity (≥6 vs. 0–1 live births) was a protective factor for the development of hormone receptor (HR)–positive (aOR = 0.22; 95% CI, 0.08–0.64) and HR-positive/HER2-negative tumors (aOR = 0.20; 95% CI, 0.06–0.68), whereas a higher educational level (≥8 vs. 0 schooling years) increased breast cancer risk across all subtypes (overall aOR = 1.98; 95% CI, 1.04–3.80). Higher weight and BMI were associated with a higher breast cancer risk among postmenopausal women (per 1-kg increase: aOR = 1.05; 95% CI, 1.02–1.08; per 1-kg/m2 increase: aOR = 1.11; 95% CI, 1.04–1.18, respectively), but were protective in premenopausal women (aOR = 0.98; 95% CI, 0.96–0.99; aOR = 0.95; 95% CI, 0.91–0.99, respectively), regardless of subtype. Higher height increased the risk of HR-negative tumors in postmenopause (per 10-cm increase: aOR = 2.81; 95% CI, 1.41–6.03). Conclusion: These results demonstrate the etiological heterogeneity of breast cancer among native African women, namely regarding the differential effect of multiparity, education, and body parameters in breast cancer risk. Impact: As the prevalence of obesity grows, these findings are important to inform public health policies on cancer prevention, by highlighting obesity as a modifiable risk factor for breast cancer among African women. The Moza-BC cohort study was supported by the Beginning Investigator Grant for Catalytic Research (BIG Cat) program, an AORTIC program with support from the U.S. NCI (grant number 59-210-6-004). The WHO-STEPS Survey was funded by the Mozambican Ministry of Health and by the WHO. In addition, this study was supported by national funding from FCT – Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia, I.P., under the Unidade de Investigação em Epidemiologia – Instituto de Saúde Pública da Universidade do Porto (EPIUnit; info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDB/04750/2020/PT). Samantha Morais was cofunded by FEDER through the Operational Programme Competitiveness and Internationalization and FCT (POCI01-0145-FEDER-032358; PTDC/SAU-EPI/32358/2017). The funders had no involvement in the analysis and interpretation of data, writing of the report, or decision to submit the article for publication. The authors thank the Calouste Gulbenkian Foundation (Portugal) and partners Camões, Institute of Cooperation and Language, Portugal; Millennium BCP Foundation, Portugal; and Millennium BIM; Mozambique, for funding the short-term training program of Assucena Guisseve at the Centro Hospitalar Universitário de São João, under the Project “Improving the diagnosis and treatment of oncological diseases in Mozambique.” The authors also thank Dr. Maria Alice Franzoi, from the Institut Jules Bordet, for her comments on the article. The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by the payment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby marked advertisement in accordance with 18 U.S.C. Section 1734 solely to indicate this fact.

The COVID‐19 pandemic led to potential delays in diagnosis and treatment of cancer patients, which may negatively affect the prognosis of these patients. Our study aimed to quantify the impact of COVID‐19 on the short‐term survival of cancer patients by comparing a period of 4 months after the outbreak began (2 March 2020) with an equal period from 2019. All cancer cases of the esophagus, stomach, colon and rectum, pancreas, lung, skin‐melanoma, breast, cervix, and prostate, from the Portuguese Oncology Institute of Porto (IPO‐Porto) and diagnosed between 2 March and 1 July of 2019 (before COVID‐19) and 2020 (after COVID‐19) were identified. Information regarding sociodemographic, clinical and treatment characteristics were collected from the cancer registry database and clinical files. Vital status was assessed to 31 October of the respective years. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate crude and propensity score‐adjusted hazards ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) of death. During follow‐up to 31 October, there were 154 (11.8%) deaths observed before COVID‐19 and 131 (17.2%) after COVID‐19, corresponding to crude and adjusted HRs (95% CI) of 1.51 (1.20‐1.91) and 1.10 (0.86‐1.40), respectively. Significantly higher adjusted hazards of death were observed for patients with Stage III cancer (HR = 2.37; 95% CI: 1.14‐4.94) and those undergoing surgical treatment (HR = 3.97; 95% CI: 1.14‐13.77) or receiving radiotherapy (HR = 1.96; 95% CI: 1.96‐3.74), while patients who did not receive any treatment had a lower mortality hazards (HR = 0.62; 95% CI: 0.46‐0.83). The higher overall short‐term mortality observed during the COVID‐19 pandemic largely reflects the effects of the epidemic on the case‐mix of patients being diagnosed with cancer., What's new The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) pandemic, owing to efforts to limit the spread of disease, greatly restricted routine healthcare services, including those relevant to cancer diagnosis and treatment. The present study investigated the impact of these restrictions on the care of patients at the Portuguese Oncology Institute of Porto, one of the largest cancer‐care hospitals in Portugal. Cancer registry data reveal increased overall short‐term mortality during the pandemic. After COVID‐19, cancers were more often diagnosed at more advanced stages and were more often symptomatic. The differing case‐mix of patients during the COVID‐19 pandemic, however, warrants cautious interpretation of results.

Although there is a clear relationship between family history (FH) and the risk of gastric cancer (GC), quantification is still needed in relation to different histological types and anatomical sites, and in strata of covariates. The objective was to analyze the risk of GC according to first-degree FH in a uniquely large epidemiological consortium of GC. This investigation includes 5946 cases and 12,776 controls from 17 studies of the Stomach Cancer Pooling (StoP) Project consortium. Summary odds ratios (OR) and the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated by pooling study-specific ORs using fixed-effect model meta-analysis techniques. Stratified analyses were carried out by sex, age, tumor location and histological type, smoking habit, socioeconomic status, alcohol intake and fruit consumption. The pooled OR for GC was 1.84 (95% CI: 1.64–2.04, I2 = 6.1%, P heterogeneity = 0.383) in subjects with vs. those without first-degree relatives with GC. No significant differences were observed among subgroups of sex, age, geographic area or study period. Associations tended to be stronger for non-cardia (OR = 1.82, 95% CI: 1.59–2.05 for subjects with FH) than for cardia GC (OR = 1.38, 95% CI: 0.98–1.77), and for the intestinal (OR = 1.92, 95% CI: 1.62–2.23) than for the diffuse histotype (OR = 1.62, 95% CI: 1.28–1.96). This analysis confirms the effect of FH on the risk of GC, reporting an approximately doubled risk, and provides further quantification of the risk of GC according to the subsite and histotype. Considering these findings, accounting for the presence of FH to carry out correct prevention and diagnosis measures is of the utmost importance.

Migrants' health is attracting substantial global interest. We aimed to identify barriers and differences in healthcare services utilization between migrants and natives in a nationally representative sample using data from the National Health Survey 2014. A total of 18,165 participants providing information on country of birth and nationality were included, and comparison of healthcare services utilization was made by using participants born in Portugal and with Portuguese nationality as the reference group. Migrants reported a lower frequency of medical visits, a higher consumption of medication without a prescription and less use of preventive care services. The main reasons for not attending medical consultations among migrants were the absence of need and financial difficulties. This study illustrates inequalities in healthcare use among migrants in Portugal, and provides useful information for enlightening policymakers and healthcare providers to develop health policies that can address migrants' needs.

Background The main outcome of Helicobacter pylori infection, i.e. gastric cancer, is more frequent in men, but there is no comprehensive synthesis of the evidence on a potential role of sex in the acquisition and/or persistence of infection. Aims To quantify the association between sex and H. pylori infection in pediatric and adult populations, through systematic review and meta-analysis. Methods PubMed ® was searched, from inception to September 2015, to identify population-based studies reporting the prevalence and/or incidence of H. pylori infection in both sexes. Odds ratios (OR) or data to compute them were extracted; adjusted estimates were preferred, whenever available. The DerSimonian and Laird method was used to compute summary estimates and respective 95% confidence intervals (95%CI), separately for children and adults. Results Among a total of 244 studies, mostly cross-sectional, male sex was associated with a greater prevalence of H. pylori infection, both in children (102 studies, OR = 1.06, 95%CI: 1.01, 1.12, I 2 = 43.7%) and adults (169 studies, OR = 1.12, 95%CI: 1.09, 1.15, I 2 = 68.5%). An underrepresentation of studies showing a negative association between male sex and infection was observed (Egger’s test: p = 0.006). Conclusions Although further research is needed to understand the mechanisms by which sex may influence the acquisition and/or persistence of infection, our results support a small contribution of sex differences in the prevalence of infection to the male predominance of H. pylori -related outcomes, including gastric cancer.

The consumption of processed meat has been associated with noncardia gastric cancer, but evidence regarding a possible role of red meat is more limited. Our study aims to quantify the association between meat consumption, namely white, red and processed meat, and the risk of gastric cancer, through individual participant data meta-analysis of studies participating in the “Stomach cancer Pooling (StoP) Project”. Data from 22 studies, including 11,443 cases and 28,029 controls, were used. Study-specific odds ratios (ORs) were pooled through a two-stage approach based on random-effects models. An exposure-response relationship was modeled, using one and two-order fractional polynomials, to evaluate the possible nonlinear association between meat intake and gastric cancer. An increased risk of gastric cancer was observed for the consumption of all types of meat (highest vs. lowest tertile), which was statistically significant for red (OR: 1.24; 95% CI: 1.00–1.53), processed (OR: 1.23; 95% CI: 1.06–1.43) and total meat (OR: 1.30; 95% CI: 1.09–1.55). Exposure-response analyses showed an increasing risk of gastric cancer with increasing consumption of both processed and red meat, with the highest OR being observed for an intake of 150 g/day of red meat (OR: 1.85; 95% CI: 1.56–2.20). This work provides robust evidence on the relation between the consumption of different types of meat and gastric cancer. Adherence to dietary recommendations to reduce meat consumption may contribute to a reduction in the burden of gastric cancer. Our study was supported by the Associazione Italiana per la Ricerca sul Cancro (AIRC), Project no. 21378 (Investigator Grant), by the Italian Ministry of Health (Young Researchers, GR-2011-02347943 to SB), by the Italian League for the Fight Against Cancer (LILT) and by the Associazione Industriale delle Carni e dei Salumi (ASSICA, to the Department of Clinical Sciences and Community Health, University of Milan). Our study was also funded by FEDER through the Operational Programme Competitiveness and Internationalization and national funding from the Foundation for Science and Technology – FCT (Portuguese Ministry of Science, Technology and Higher Education) under the Unidade de Investigação em Epidemiologia – Instituto de Saúde Pública da Universidade do Porto (EPIUnit) (POCI-01-0145-FEDER-006862; Ref. UID/DTP/04750/2013). AF (PD/BD/105823/2014) was awarded with an individual scholarship through national funding from FCT/MCTES. Individual grants attributed to ARC (SFRH/BD/102181/2014), and BP (SFRH/BPD/108751/2015) were funded by the FCT and the “Programa Operacional Capital Humano” (POCH/SE). SM was funded under the project “NEON-PC - Neuro-oncological complications of prostate cancer: longitudinal study of cognitive decline “ (POCI-01-0145-FEDER-032358; Ref. PTDC/SAU-EPI/32358/2017). Valentina Rosato was supported by a fellowship by the Italian Foundation for Cancer Research (FIRC #18104).

Phenolic compounds may exert a favorable effect on the risk of several cancer types, including gastric cancer (GC). However, selected polyphenol classes have not been adequately investigated in relation to GC. The aim of this study is to evaluate the association between the intake of polyphenols in relation to GC risk. We used data from the Stomach cancer Pooling (StoP) Project, including 10 studies from six countries (3471 GC cases and 8344 controls). We carried out an individual participant data pooled analysis using a two-stage approach. The summary odds ratios (ORs) of GC for each compound, and the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (95% CI), were computed by pooling study specific ORs obtained through multivariate logistic regression, using random effect models. Inverse associations with GC emerged for total polyphenols (OR = 0.67, 95% CI = 0.54&ndash, 0.81, for the highest versus lowest quartile of intake), total flavonoids (OR = 0.73, 95% CI = 0.55&ndash, 0.90), anthocyanidins (OR = 0.74, 95% CI = 0.56&ndash, 0.92), flavanols (OR = 0.77, 95% CI = 0.66&ndash, 0.88), flavanones (OR = 0.57, 95%CI = 0.44&ndash, 0.69), total phenolic acids (OR = 0.75, 95%CI = 0.55&ndash, 0.94), and hydroxybenzoic acids (OR = 0.73, 95%CI = 0.57&ndash, 0.89). Results were consistent across strata of age, sex, social class, and smoking habit. Suggestive inverse associations were also found for flavonols (OR = 0.76, 95%CI = 0.51&ndash, 1.01) and hydroxycinnamic acids (OR = 0.82, 95%CI = 0.58&ndash, 1.06). Further investigations from longitudinal data are needed to confirm this association.

Objective: To compare the incidence rates of gastric cancer among cancer survivors with those in the general population, and estimate the probability of a gastric second primary cancer being diagnosed 10 years after any other first primary cancer. Method: A cohort of first primary cancers (other than gastric) diagnosed in Northern Portugal between 2000 and 2006 (n = 64,648) was followed until 31/12/2012 for gastric second primary cancers. Incidence rates, standardized incidence ratios and the cumulative incidence of gastric second primary cancers were calculated. Results: Overall, 330 patients developed gastric second primary cancers (21.2% within two months). The incidence rate of gastric second primary cancers was higher within two months of the first primary cancer (standardized incidence ratios: 5.20 in males and 7.89 in females), particularly among survivors of cancers of the oesophagus, colon and rectum, than in the remaining period (standardized incidence ratios: 0.64 in males and 0.74 in females). The 10-year risk of a gastric second primary cancer was 0.6% (males: 0.7%; females: 0.4%). Conclusion: The incidence rate of gastric second primary cancers among cancer survivors was higher than in the general population only soon after the first primary cancer, and lower thereafter. Despite the high mortality, the probability of a gastric second primary cancer within 10-years of the first primary cancer was 0.6%. Resumen: Objetivo: Comparar las tasas de incidencia de cáncer gástrico entre los sobrevivientes de cáncer con las de la población general y estimar la probabilidad de que se diagnostique un segundo cáncer primario gástrico 10 años después de cualquier otro primer cáncer primario. Método: Se siguió una cohorte de pacientes con un primer cáncer primario (excluyendo los gástricos) en el norte de Portugal entre 2000 y 2006 (n = 64.648) hasta el 31/12/2012 para identificar un segundo cáncer primario gástrico. Se calcularon las tasas de incidencia, las razones de incidencia estandarizadas (RIE) y la incidencia acumulada de segundos cánceres primarios gástricos. Resultados: En total, 330 pacientes desarrollaron un segundo cáncer primario gástrico (21,2% en 2 meses). La tasa de incidencia de los segundos cánceres primarios gástricos fue mayor dentro de los 2 meses posteriores al primero (RIE: 5,20 en hombres y 7,89 en mujeres), en particular entre los sobrevivientes de cáncer de esófago, colon y recto, que en el período restante (RIE: 0,64 en hombres y 0,74 en mujeres). El riesgo a 10 años de un segundo cáncer primario gástrico fue del 0,6% (hombres: 0,7%; mujeres: 0,4%). Conclusiones: La tasa de incidencia de segundos cánceres primarios gástricos entre los sobrevivientes de cáncer fue más alta que en la población general solo poco después del primer cáncer, y más baja a partir de entonces. A pesar de la alta mortalidad, la probabilidad de un segundo cáncer primario gástrico a 10 años del primero fue del 0,6%.

Second primary cancers (SPCs) are an increasing concern among cancer survivors. In Northern Portugal, gastric cancer incidence is high, and alone corresponds to one in 10 SPCs diagnosed. Therefore, this study aims to estimate the contribution of gastric SPCs to the mortality of patients with a previous cancer. A population-based cohort of nongastric first primary cancer (FPC) patients from the North Region Cancer Registry of Portugal, diagnosed between 2000 and 2006, was followed for a gastric SPC until the end of 2012, and for death by any cause until the end of 2017. Patients with a gastric SPC (85 synchronous and 215 metachronous, diagnosed within one and >1 year after the FPC, respectively) were matched (1:3, by sex, five-year age group, year and site of FPC diagnosis) to those who did not develop a gastric SPC and were alive when the corresponding SPC was diagnosed. Significantly higher hazards for mortality [hazard ratio (95% confidence interval)] were observed among patients diagnosed with a synchronous [3.74 (2.69–5.21) in males and 3.36 (2.02–5.58) in females] or metachronous [6.93 (5.41–8.87) in males and 5.93 (4.04–8.72) in females] gastric SPC. The differences in the 10-year cumulative mortality between gastric SPC patients and those with no SPC were approximately 30% for synchronous and over 40% for metachronous gastric SPCs, corresponding to a 1.5- to 2-fold higher relative risk, respectively. In conclusion, cancer patients with a gastric SPC have a nearly two-fold higher risk of death over 10 years than those with a corresponding FPC only. This study was funded by FEDER through the Operational Programme Competitiveness and Internationalization and national funding from the Foundation for Science and Technology – FCT (Portuguese Ministry of Science, Technology and Higher Education) under the Unidade de Investigação em Epidemiologia – Instituto de Saúde Pública da Universidade do Porto (EPIUnit) (POCI-01-0145-FEDER-006862; Ref. UID/DTP/04750/2013). An individual PhD grant attributed to S.M. (SFRH/BD/102585/2014) was funded by FCT and the ‘Programa Operacional Capital Humano’ (POCH/SE).

To assess how sociodemographic, clinical and treatment characteristics impact employment status five-years following a breast cancer diagnosis, and to compare the incidence rate of changes with the general population.A total of 462 women with incident breast cancer were evaluated before treatment and three- and five-years later. Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) were computed through multinomial logistic regression. Data for comparisons were retrieved from the SHARE Project. Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) with 95%CIs were calculated using Poisson regression.Among the 242 employed women prior to diagnosis, 162 remained employed, 26 became unemployed, 27 entered early retirement, 14 entered normal retirement and 13 were on sick leave at five-years. Unemployment increased with age (≥55 vs 55 years: OR = 4.49, 95%CI:1.56-12.92; OR = 3.40, 95%CI:1.05-10.97 at three- and five-years, respectively) and decreased with education (4 vs ≤ 4 years: OR = 0.36, 95%CI:0.13-0.97; OR = 0.27, 95%CI:0.10-0.71 at three- and five-years, respectively). Axillary surgery (unemployment at five-years: OR = 5.13, 95%CI:1.30-20.27), hormonal therapy (unemployment at three-years: OR = 0.28, 95%CI:0.10-0.83) and targeted therapy (sick leave at three-years: OR = 3.79, 95%CI:1.14-12.63) also influenced employment status. Five-years post diagnosis, women with breast cancer had a lower incidence of unemployment (IRR = 0.51, 95%CI:0.30-0.89) than the general population, while, among older women, there was a higher tendency to enter early retirement (IRR = 1.72, 95%CI:0.82-3.61).Although not all women may want to pursue or continue a professional life following their breast cancer experience; those who do may benefit from social and employer support when returning to work.

Background: Previous studies have shown that adequate physical activity (PA, defined as any bodily movement that requires energy expenditure) related awareness and knowledge is crucial to promote regular PA. Therefore, this study aims to characterize PA awareness and knowledge, and to quantify its association with sociodemographic characteristics, health literacy and frequency of exercise. Methods: In a cross-sectional study conducted in 2012, a total of 1624 Portuguese-speaking residents of mainland Portugal (16–79 years old) were assessed through face-to-face interviews using a structured questionnaire. Adjusted prevalence ratios, calculated using Poisson regression, were used to quantify associations with PA awareness and knowledge. Results: The most reported benefits of PA were “reduces abdominal fat accumulation” (95.8%), “reduces myocardial infarction risk” (92.9%) and “improves bone health” (90.7%), these were less referred by older participants, while more often identified by those who exercise daily. The most referred barrier for people to not practice PA regularly was “lack of time” (33.9%) with differences observed by sex, age, education, employment and health literacy. Over two-thirds of participants correctly identified at least 2 of 3 PAs (“running”, “soccer” and “tennis”) that require the most energy, particularly males, those with higher health literacy and who exercise twice or more times a week. Conclusions: An adequate PA-related awareness and knowledge was observed, and differences according to age, health literacy levels and frequency of exercise were found. As such, awareness-raising interventions to increase regular PA through improving physical literacy and motivation should focus on older adults, those with limited health literacy and who do not exercise. Financial support and sponsorship: This study was supported by FEDER funds through Operational Programme Competitiveness and Internationalization and by national funding from The Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology – FCT (Portuguese Ministry of Education and Science) within the project (HMSPIISE/SAU-ICT/0004/2009) and the Epidemiology Research Unit – Institute of Public Health, University of Porto (EPIUnit; info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDB/04750/2020/PT). SM was funded under the scope of the project "NEON-PC - Neuro-oncological complications of prostate cancer: longitudinal study of cognitive decline" (POCI-01-0145-FEDER-032358; Ref. PTDC/SAU-EPI/32358/2017). An individual grant attributed to ARC (SFRH/BD/102181/2014) was co-funded by FCT and the “Programa Operacional Capital Humano” (POCH/FSE). The funding sources had no role in the collection, analysis and interpretation of data; in the writing of the report; and in the decision to submit the article for publication.

Assessing the impact that patterns of Na intake may have on gastric cancer will provide a more comprehensive estimation of Na reduction as a primary prevention approach. We aimed to estimate the proportion of gastric cancer cases that are attributable to Na intake above the recommendation by the WHO (≤2 g/d) throughout the world in 2010, as well as expected values for 2030. Population attributable fractions (PAF) were computed for 187 countries, using Na intakes in 1990 and 2010 and estimates of the association between Na intake and gastric cancer, assuming a time lag of 20 years. Median PAF ranged from 10·1% in low to 22·5 % in very high Human Development Index (HDI) countries in men (PP

Background The growing number of gastric cancers together with improved survival resulted in an increasing population of survivors at risk of multiple primary cancers. Aims To estimate the 10-year risk and survival of third primary cancers (TPCs) among gastric first primary cancers (FPCs). Methods Gastric FPCs from the Portuguese North Region Cancer Registry, diagnosed in 2000-2006 (n = 7409), were followed for a TPC (31/12/2012), and for all-cause death (31/12/2017). The cumulative incidence of TPCs was estimated. Patients with a TPC were matched (1:1, by sex, age group, years between FPC and second primary cancer [SPC] diagnosis, and SPC location) to FPC + SPC patients without a TPC. Results Overall, 25 (0.3% of FPCs and 6.8% of SPCs) TPCs were diagnosed. The most common sites were tobacco-related, mainly including digestive organs. Among all FPCs, 10-year cumulative incidence (95% confidence interval [CI]) of a TPC was 0.4% (0.2–0.5%) and among SPCs 7.6% (4.4–10.8%). For TPCs, compared to matched patients, age-adjusted hazard ratio (95%CI) for death was 1.68 (0.77–3.67). The 10-year cumulative mortality of TPCs and matched patients was 92.6% and 67.9%, respectively. Conclusions A clustering of tobacco-related cancers was observed in TPCs, with a 10-year cumulative incidence of 0.4% among FPCs. TPCs had worse survival than patients without a TPC.

Tobacco smoking is one of the main risk factors for gastric cancer, but the magnitude of the association estimated by conventional systematic reviews and meta-Analyses might be inaccurate, due to heterogeneous reporting of data and publication bias. We aimed to quantify the combined impact of publication-related biases, and heterogeneity in data analysis or presentation, in the summary estimates obtained from conventional meta-Analyses. We compared results from individual participant data pooled-Analyses, including the studies in the Stomach Cancer Pooling (StoP) Project, with conventional meta-Analyses carried out using only data available in previously published reports from the same studies. Fromthe 23 studies in the StoP Project, 20 had published reports with information on smoking and gastric cancer, but only six had specific data for gastric cardia cancer and seven had data on the daily number of cigarettes smoked. Compared to the results obtained with the StoP database, conventional meta-Analyses overvalued the relation between ever smoking (summary odds ratios ranging from 7% higher for all studies to 22% higher for the risk of gastric cardia cancer) and yielded less precise summary estimates (SE ≤2.4 times higher). Additionally, funnel plot asymmetry and corresponding hypotheses tests were suggestive of publication bias. Conventional meta-Analyses and individual participant data pooled-Analyses reached similar conclusions on the direction of the association between smoking and gastric cancer. However, published data tended to overestimate the magnitude of the effects, possibly due to publication biases and limited the analyses by different levels of exposure or cancer subtypes. European Journal of Cancer Prevention 27:197-204 Copyright © 2018 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.

To quantify the association between prediagnosis lifestyles with the risk of second primary cancers (SPCs) and survival of patients with gastric first primary cancer (FPC). We recruited 574 gastric patients from two major public hospitals in North Portugal (2001-2006). Smoking, alcohol and dietary habits in the year before FPC diagnosis were evaluated. Patients were followed up to 31 December 2011 for an SPC and to 31 May 2017 for vital status. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios for incidence of an SPC or death. During follow-up, SPCs were diagnosed in five women and 23 men, and 409 patients died, corresponding to an estimated 10-year cumulative incidence of 5.2% for SPC and an estimated 15-year cumulative mortality of 72.1%. A significantly higher hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for SPCs was observed in patients reporting a higher consumption of red and processed meat versus the lowest third (4.49: 1.31-15.37), and for mortality in those with heavy alcohol intake versus never drinkers (1.73: 1.00-2.99) and excess weight versus normal weight (1.31: 1.04-1.65); no other significant associations were observed according to prediagnosis lifestyle. Prediagnosis lifestyles may affect the occurrence of an SPC and survival among gastric FPC survivors in the long term.

Among women, lung cancer mortality rates have surpassed those for breast cancer in several countries. This reflects the breast cancer mortality declines due to access to screening and effective treatment alongside the entrance of certain countries in stages of the tobacco epidemic in which smoking becomes more prevalent in women. In this study, we project lung and breast cancer mortality until 2030 in 52 countries. Cancer mortality data were obtained from the WHO Mortality Database. Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR), per 100,000, were calculated (direct method) for 2008 to 2014 and projected for the years 2015, 2020, 2025, and 2030 using a Bayesian log-linear Poisson model. In 52 countries studied around the world, between 2015 and 2030, the median ASMR are projected to increase for lung cancer, from 11.2 to 16.0, whereas declines are expected for breast cancer, from 16.1 to 14.7. In the same period, the ASMR will decrease in 36 countries for breast cancer and in 15 countries for lung cancer. In half of the countries analyzed, and in nearly three quarters of those classified as high-income countries, the ASMR for lung cancer has already surpassed or will surpass the breast cancer ASMR before 2030. The mortality for lung and breast cancer is higher in high-income countries than in middle-income countries; lung cancer mortality is lower in the latter because the tobacco epidemic is not yet widespread. Due to these observed characteristics of lung cancer, primary prevention should still be a key factor to decrease lung cancer mortality. Significance: The mortality for lung and breast cancer is projected to be higher in high-income countries than in middle-income countries, where lung cancer mortality is expected to surpass breast cancer mortality before 2030. Cancer Res; 78(15); 4436–42. ©2018 AACR.

Variations in the exposure to risk factors may be used to explain past cancer trends and to predict its future burden. This study aimed to develop a model to describe and predict the variation of esophageal cancer incidence in 1995-2005, taking into account changes in exposures to risk factors. We adapted an existing model to calculate the expected variation in the number of esophageal cancer cases, between 1995 and 2005, in Australia, Japan, Italy, Portugal, the UK, and the USA, because of changes in exposures to risk factors, taking into account the corresponding lag times. Analyses were based on country-specific data of cancer incidence and exposures to risk factors. We computed 95% credibility intervals through Monte Carlo simulation methods. Absolute deviations between the number of cases predicted and those observed in 2005 ranged between 1.8% in Japan and 23.6% in the UK among men and 0.0% in Japan and 18.0% in Australia among women. In Italy and Japan, deviations did not exceed 3%. The UK registered the worst model performance. The variation in esophageal cancer incidence was mainly influenced by changes in fruit and red meat intake, and BMI. For nearly half of the sex-specific and histological type-specific predictions performed, credibility intervals included the observed number of cases. This study proposes a framework for the analysis of the contribution of changes in exposure to different factors to esophageal cancer incidence trends and for long-term predictions at a population level.

The aim of this systematic review was to describe the prevalence of Helicobacter pylori infection in specific occupational groups and to compare them with the general population. We searched PubMed® to identify original studies reporting the prevalence of H. pylori infection in occupational groups. The differences between occupational groups and the general population were analyzed taking into account the direction and statistical significance of the differences observed when comparing each occupational group with a reference group (either recruited in the same study or using an external comparator). A total of 98 studies addressing the prevalence of H. pylori infection in occupational groups were included in the systematic review. Overall, health professionals showed a significantly higher prevalence of H. pylori infection than the general population, especially among those working at gastrointestinal units. Similar results were found in subjects involved in agricultural, forestry and fishery, as well as in sewage workers, miners, and workers at institutions for the intellectually disabled, although differences were less pronounced. Our results show an occupational risk of H. pylori infection supporting the role of oral–oral, fecal–oral, and zoonotic transmission. Studies comparing specific occupational groups with adequate comparators may contribute to better identify groups at higher risk of infection. The recognition of this infection as an occupational disease would result in early detection and treatment, as well as prevention and control of its transmission in workplaces.

Background: Individual participant data pooled analyses allow access to non-published data and statistical reanalyses based on more homogeneous criteria than meta-analyses based on systematic reviews. We quantified the impact of publication-related biases and heterogeneity in data analysis and presentation in summary estimates of the association between alcohol drinking and gastric cancer. Methods: We compared estimates obtained from conventional meta-analyses, using only data available in published reports from studies that take part in the Stomach Cancer Pooling (StoP) Project, with individual participant data pooled analyses including the same studies. Results: A total of 22 studies from the StoP Project assessed the relation between alcohol intake and gastric cancer, 19 had specific data for levels of consumption and 18 according to cancer location; published reports addressing these associations were available from 18, 5 and 5 studies, respectively. The summary odds ratios [OR, (95%CI)] estimate obtained with published data for drinkers vs. non-drinkers was 10% higher than the one obtained with individual StoP data [18 vs. 22 studies: 1.21 (1.07-1.36) vs. 1.10 (0.99-1.23)] and more heterogeneous (1(2): 63.6% vs 54.4%). In general, published data yielded less precise summary estimates (standard errors up to 2.6 times higher). Funnel plot analysis suggested publication bias. Conclusion: Meta-analyses of the association between alcohol drinking and gastric cancer tended to overestimate the magnitude of the effects, possibly due to publication bias. Additionally, individual participant data pooled analyses yielded more precise estimates for different levels of exposure or cancer subtypes.

This study was funded by FEDER through the Operational Program Competitiveness and Internationalization and national funding from the Foundation for Science and Technology—FCT (Portuguese Ministry of Science, Technology and Higher Education) under the Unidade de Investigacao em Epidemiologia—Instituto de Saude Publica da Universidade do Porto (EPIUnit) (POCI-01-0145-FEDER-006862; Ref. UID/DTP/04750/2013). An individual PhD grant attributed to S.M. (SFRH/BD/102585/2014) was funded by FCT and the “Programa Operacional Capital Humano” (POCH/FSE). The funding sources had no involvement in the conduct of the research and/or preparation of the commentary.

Background: The growing number of incident cases of gastric cancer along with improved survival result in a rising population of survivors at risk of second primary cancers (SPC). We estimated the cumulative incidence of metachronous (diagnosed >2 months after first primary cancer [FPC]) SPC in gastric FPC patients and compared the incidence of metachronous SPC with that expected in the general population. Methods: A cohort of gastric FPC patients from the North Region Cancer Registry of Portugal, diagnosed in 2000–2006 (n = 7427) was followed to 31 December 2010 for synchronous and metachronous SPCs. Cumulative incidence of metachronous SPCs taking into account death as a competing event and standardized incidence ratios (SIR) of metachronous SPCs were estimated. Results: Overall, 331 (4.5%) patients developed an SPC (26.9% synchronous and 73.1% metachronous). Over half of the SPCs occurred in digestive organs. Among men, the most frequent were colon, prostate, and trachea, bronchus and lung; in women, colon, breast and thyroid were the most common. The 10-year cumulative incidence of metachronous SPC for males was 5.7% and for females 3.5%. The SIR for all cancers was 1.30 in males and 1.20 in females. Among both sexes, significantly higher SIRs were observed for cancers of the oesophagus (males: 4.99; females: 8.03), small intestine (males: 11.04; females: 13.09) and colon (males: 2.42; females: 2.58). Conclusions: Patients with a gastric FPC were found to be at increased risk of developing SPC, mainly in digestive organs, when compared to the general population. Close surveillance of these patients may allow early detection of SPC. This study was funded by FEDER (European Regional Development Fund) through the Operational Programme Competitiveness and Internationalization and national funding from the Foundation for Science and Technology − FCT (Portuguese Ministry of Science, Technology and Higher Education) under the Unidade de Investigação em Epidemiologia − Instituto de Saúde Pública da Universidade do Porto (EPIUnit) (POCI-01-0145-FEDER-006862; Ref. UID/DTP/04750/2013). An individual PhD grant attributed to SM (SFRH/BD/102585/2014) was funded by FCT and the “Programa Operacional Capital Humano” (POCH/FSE).

Background: A rapid growth in the number of international migrants over the past years has occurred with most traveling to more affluent settings. As Helicobacter pylori infects over half of the adult population and its prevalence is higher in developing countries, understanding the prevalence of infection in migrants can provide insight into future trends in the burden and management of infection. We aimed to describe the prevalence of H. pylori among migrants through a systematic literature review. Methods: We searched PubMed® from inception to September 2015 to identify studies reporting the prevalence of H. pylori in international migrants according to country of birth for first‐generation, and country of birth and parents' nationality for successive generations. Comparable data from origin and destination populations were obtained from the same studies or, when not present, from a previous systematic review on H. pylori worldwide. Results: A total of 28 eligible studies were identified with data for 29 origin and 12 destination countries. Two studies that evaluated refugees presented prevalences of infection higher than both the origin and destination countries. Otherwise, the prevalences among migrants were generally similar or below that of the origin and higher than the destination. Second‐ or more generation had lower prevalences compared to first‐generation migrants. Conclusions: Our study findings are consistent with what would be expected based on the prevalence of H. pylori worldwide. The results of this review show that migrants are particularly at risk of infection and help to identify gaps in the knowledge of migrants' prevalence of infection globally. This work was supported by “Fundo Europeu de Desenvolvimento Regional” (FEDER) funds through the “Programa Operacional Factores de Competitividade” (POFC) – COMPETE (FCOMP‐01‐0124‐FEDER‐021181) and by national funds through the “Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia” (PTDC/SAU‐EPI/122460/2010) and the Epidemiology Research Unit – Institute of Public Health, University of Porto supported by the “Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia” (UID/DTP/047507/2013). Individual grants attributed to SM (SFRH/BD/102585/2014), ARC (SFRH/BD/102181/2014), AF (PD/BD/105823/2014), and BP (SFRH/BPD/75918/2011 and SFRH/BPD/108751/2015) were supported by “Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia.” The funders had no role in study design, data collection, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

The objective was to quantify thyroid cancer incidence and mortality trends in Portugal. The number of thyroid cancer cases and incidence rates were retrieved from the Regional Cancer Registries for the period 1989–2011. The number of deaths and mortality rates were obtained from the WHO cancer mortality database (1988–2003 and 2007–2012) and Statistics Portugal (2004–2006; 1988–2012 by region). Joinpoint regression of the standardized incidence and mortality rates was performed. A significant, rapid and continued increase in incidence was observed for both sexes in each of the Regional Cancer Registries, with annual per cent changes (APCs) ranging between 2 and 9. Incidence in Portuguese women is higher than estimates for the world and Europe. Mortality decreased for women (APC: −1.5), with the greatest decrease in the North, and increased marginally for men (APC: +0.2), with a greater increase in the South. The significant increases in incidence in Portugal are predominantly because of the increase in incidence among women from the North. These trends, combined with an overall low mortality and high 5-year relative survival, raise concerns on the extent to which overdiagnosis may be taking place. Further research is needed, quantifying the importance of the most likely determinants of these trends as well as the extent and potentially deleterious effects of overdiagnosis and overtreatment in the Portuguese setting. This work was supported by the Grupo de Estudos da Tiróide da Sociedade Portuguesa de Endocrinologia, Diabetes e Metabolismo (GET – SPEDM) and the Epidemiology Research Unit, Institute of Public Health, University of Porto (UID/DTP/047507/2013).

The regional and temporal variation in patterns of fruit and vegetable intake contributes to differences in the impact on gastric cancer burden across regions and over the years. We aimed to estimate the proportion and absolute number of gastric cancer cases that could have been prevented in 2012 with an increase in fruit and vegetable intake up to the levels defined by the Global Burden of Disease as the theoretical minimum-risk exposure distribution (300 and 400 g/d, respectively), as well as the corresponding figures expected for 2025. Preventable fractions (PF) were computed for 161 countries, using data on fruit and vegetable availability in 1997 and 2010 and published estimates of the magnitude of the association between fruit and vegetable intake and gastric cancer, assuming a time lag of approximately 15 years. Countries classified as very high Human Development Index (HDI) presented median PF in 2012 much lower than low-HDI countries for both fruits (3·0v.10·2 %,Pv.11·9 %,P

Portugal has the highest gastric cancer mortality rates in Western Europe, along with high prevalences of Helicobacter pylori infection. Monitoring their trends is essential to predict the burden of this cancer. We aimed to quantify time trends in gastric cancer mortality in Portugal and in each administrative region, and to compute short-term predictions, as well as to describe the prevalence of H. pylori infection, through a systematic review. Joinpoint analyses were used to identify significant changes in sex-specific trends in gastric cancer age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) and to estimate annual percent changes (APC). The most recent trends were considered to compute estimates up to 2020 by adjusting Poisson regression models. We searched PubMed and IndexRMP to identify studies carried out in Portugal reporting the prevalence of H. pylori. Gastric cancer mortality has been decreasing in Portugal since 1971 in men (from ASMR=55.3/100 000; APC=-2.4, 95% confidence interval: -2.5 to -2.3) and since 1970 in women (from ASMR=28.0/100 000; APC=-2.8, 95% confidence interval: -2.9 to -2.7), although large regional differences were observed. Predicted ASMR for 2015 and 2020 were 18.8/100 000 and 16.7/100 000 for men and 8.5/100 000 and 7.4/100 000 for women, respectively. The prevalence of H. pylori varied from almost 5% at 0.5-2 years to just over 90% at 70 years or more. No consistent variation was observed since the 1990s. The downward trends in mortality rates are expected to remain in the next decades. The high prevalence of H. pylori infection across age groups and studies from different periods shows a large potential for decrease in the burden of gastric cancer in Portugal.

The heterogeneous patterns and trends in tobacco consumption contribute to regional and gender differences in the burden of gastric cancer attributable to smoking. To estimate the proportion and absolute number of gastric cancer cases that can be attributed to smoking in different countries, in 2012 and 2020. Population attributable fractions (PAFs) were computed for 118 countries, using data of smoking prevalence in 2002 and 2011 and published estimates of the magnitude of the association between smoking and gastric cancer, assuming a time lag of ≈10 years. For men, the highest PAF estimates in 2012 were observed in Eastern Asia and the lowest in North America, whereas for women the highest were in Western Europe and the lowest in Africa. Very high Human Development Index (HDI) countries presented the lowest median PAF in men (very high vs. high, medium, and low HDI: 17.2 vs. 20.8 %, p = 0.014) and the highest median PAF in women (very high vs. high, medium, and low HDI: 4.3 vs. 1.8 %, p

Background The evaluation of specific risk factors for early endpoints in the gastric carcinogenesis pathway may further contribute to the understanding of gastric cancer aetiology. Aims To quantify the relation between smoking and intestinal metaplasia through systematic review and meta-analysis. Methods Articles providing data on the association between smoking and intestinal metaplasia were identified in PubMed ® , Scopus ® and Web of Science™, searched until April 2014, and through backward citation tracking. Summary odds ratio estimates and 95% confidence intervals were computed using the DerSimonian and Laird method. Heterogeneity was quantitatively assessed using the I 2 statistic. Results A total of 32 articles were included in this systematic review and 19 provided data for meta-analysis. Smoking was defined as ever vs. never (crude estimates, six studies, summary odds ratio = 1.54, 95% confidence interval: 1.12–2.12, I 2 = 67.4%; adjusted estimates, seven studies, summary odds ratio = 1.26, 95% confidence interval: 0.98–1.61, I 2 = 65.0%) and current vs. non-smokers (crude estimates, seven studies, summary odds ratio = 1.27, 95% confidence interval: 0.88–1.84, I 2 = 73.4%; adjusted estimates, two studies, summary odds ratio 1.49, 95% confidence interval: 0.99–2.25, I 2 = 0.0%). Conclusion The weak and non-statistically significant association found through meta-analysis of the available evidence does not confirm smoking as an independent risk factor for intestinal metaplasia.