1. Radiomics, Tumor Volume, and Blood Biomarkers for Early Prediction of Pseudoprogression in Patients with Metastatic Melanoma Treated with Immune Checkpoint Inhibition
- Author
-
Matthias Guckenberger, Martin W. Huellner, Diem Vuong, Lucas Basler, Stephanie Tanadini-Lang, Marta Bogowicz, Reinhard Dummer, Ken Kudura, Hubert S. Gabryś, Sabrina A. Hogan, Matea Pavic, Robert Förster, Mitchell P. Levesque, and University of Zurich
- Subjects
Adult ,Male ,0301 basic medicine ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Cancer Research ,Metastatic melanoma ,610 Medicine & health ,Gastroenterology ,Young Adult ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Radiomics ,Fluorodeoxyglucose F18 ,Positron Emission Tomography Computed Tomography ,Internal medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,1306 Cancer Research ,Progression-free survival ,Young adult ,Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors ,Melanoma ,Pseudoprogression ,medicine.diagnostic_test ,business.industry ,Neoplasms, Second Primary ,10181 Clinic for Nuclear Medicine ,Middle Aged ,10044 Clinic for Radiation Oncology ,Progression-Free Survival ,Immune checkpoint ,Tumor Burden ,030104 developmental biology ,Oncology ,Positron emission tomography ,Positron-Emission Tomography ,030220 oncology & carcinogenesis ,Toxicity ,Disease Progression ,Female ,2730 Oncology ,Radiopharmaceuticals ,business - Abstract
Purpose: We assessed the predictive potential of positron emission tomography (PET)/CT-based radiomics, lesion volume, and routine blood markers for early differentiation of pseudoprogression from true progression at 3 months. Experimental Design: 112 patients with metastatic melanoma treated with immune checkpoint inhibition were included in our study. Median follow-up duration was 22 months. 716 metastases were segmented individually on CT and 2[18F]fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose (FDG)-PET imaging at three timepoints: baseline (TP0), 3 months (TP1), and 6 months (TP2). Response was defined on a lesion-individual level (RECIST 1.1) and retrospectively correlated with FDG-PET/CT radiomic features and the blood markers LDH/S100. Seven multivariate prediction model classes were generated. Results: Two-year (median) overall survival, progression-free survival, and immune progression–free survival were 69% (not reached), 24% (6 months), and 42% (16 months), respectively. At 3 months, 106 (16%) lesions had progressed, of which 30 (5%) were identified as pseudoprogression at 6 months. Patients with pseudoprogressive lesions and without true progressive lesions had a similar outcome to responding patients and a significantly better 2-year overall survival of 100% (30 months), compared with 15% (10 months) in patients with true progressions/without pseudoprogression (P = 0.002). Patients with mixed progressive/pseudoprogressive lesions were in between at 53% (25 months). The blood prediction model (LDH+S100) achieved an AUC = 0.71. Higher LDH/S100 values indicated a low chance of pseudoprogression. Volume-based models: AUC = 0.72 (TP1) and AUC = 0.80 (delta-volume between TP0/TP1). Radiomics models (including/excluding volume-related features): AUC = 0.79/0.78. Combined blood/volume model: AUC = 0.79. Combined blood/radiomics model (including volume-related features): AUC = 0.78. The combined blood/radiomics model (excluding volume-related features) performed best: AUC = 0.82. Conclusions: Noninvasive PET/CT-based radiomics, especially in combination with blood parameters, are promising biomarkers for early differentiation of pseudoprogression, potentially avoiding added toxicity or delayed treatment switch.
- Published
- 2020