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There are positive reports about the ability of antiretroviral agents to prevent mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) of HIV. The authors undertook a pooled analysis of African breast-feeding mothers from clinical trials of various antiretroviral regimens to directly compare their efficacy in lowering the prevalence of MTCT 6 weeks postpartum. A total of 3465 live-born singleton infants participating in 6 randomized clinical trials made up the study population. There were 2 West African zidovudine (ZDV)/placebo trials; 2 regimens of ZDV + lamivudine (3TC) and placebo (pre-/intra-/ postpartum and intra-/postpartum); nevirapine (NVP) and ZDV + 3TKC; NVP and ultra-short ZDV; and a vitamin A trial as a placebo arm. Peripartum HIV infection was diagnosed from a positive RNA or DNA polymerase chain reaction test before 2 months of age. In multivariable logistic regression analysis using placebo for comparison and adjusting for numerous factors (maternal CD4 cell count, breast feeding, low birth weight, geographic area), the lowest rates of MTCT 6 weeks postpartum were observed with ZDV + 3TC pre-/intra-/postpartum with an adjusted odds ratio (AOR) of 0.23. Next most effective, in declining order, were ZDV + 3TC intra-/postpartum (AOR, 0.49); antenatal ZDV short (AOR, 0.55); and NVP (AOR, 0.60). Compared with NVP, only the longest regimen of ZDV + 3TC was significantly more effective (AOR, 0.39). The risk of MTCT was not influenced by cesarean delivery or gender on univariate analysis. In multivariable analysis, the 6-week rate of MTCT was significantly associated with the maternal CD4 cell count. These findings are consistent with current World Health Organization guidelines that consider single-dose NVP and short-course ZDV to be equivalent regimens. Also evident from this study is that the regimen of ZDV + 3TC is more effective than any single antiretroviral agent.

Cytotoxic T lymphocyte (CTL)-based HIV vaccine concepts shown to reduce viremia and postpone disease but not to prevent infection in monkeys are currently in human phase 1 trials. To evaluate the potential efficacy of vaccines that cannot prevent HIV-1 to infect and escape immunologic control, we designed a mathematic model that correlates the level of viremia to both infectiousness and disease progression. We speculate that vaccinees will have a virologic set point and disease progression rates comparable to untreated HIV-1-infected individuals with the best prognosis. Our model (illustrated with R0 = 3) shows that a sexually active population can ultimately be reduced to 26% of its initial size as a result of AIDS-related mortality in the absence of treatment or vaccination. Start of vaccination when HIV-1 prevalence is still low might postpone the peak incidence of infection and the dramatic decline in population size by up to 22 years. In conclusion, CTL-based vaccines that do not prevent HIV-1 infection but do postpone the time to onset of AIDS have considerable potential to curb the spread of HIV-1 and to postpone high AIDS-related mortality on a population level. The number of long-term survivors is substantially increased only when vaccination is initiated early in an AIDS epidemic, however.

Background: Toxicity is the most important reason for premature switching of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). In order to optimize the benefit-risk ratio of HAART, guidelines for toxicity management are needed. Objective: An observational cohort study to estimate the incidence and identify determinants of toxicity-driven switches on second-line HAART after having switched first-line HAART despite successful viral suppression. Methods: Patients were selected from those in the ATHENA cohort (n = 2470) who switched the initial HIV protease inhibitor (PI)-containing HAART while plasma HIV-1 RNA was less than or equal to 500 copies/ml (n = 775). One-year cumulative incidences of subsequent toxicity-driven switches and adjusted relative risks (RR) for potential determinants were calculated. Results: The 1-year cumulative incidence of toxicity-driven switches of the second regimen was 24% [95% confidence interval (CI), 21-28], mostly because of gastrointestinal toxicity and neuropathy. Those who had switched from first HAART because of toxicity were at an increased risk of a recurrent toxicity-driven switch (RR, 2.5; 95% CI, 1.7-3.5). Switching from PI to nevirapine while continuing the other antiretroviral drugs was more protective against a subsequent switch because of further toxicity than changing to another PI-containing regimen (RR, 0.2; 95% CI, 0.1-0.6). Conclusions: As for first-line HAART, toxicity is responsible for the majority of switches during second-line HAART. Prior switching for toxicity increased the risk of having to switch the subsequent regimen for toxicity, but this risk is reduced when switching to nevirapine rather than to an alternative PI. The latter should be taken into account when designing toxicity-management guidelines. (C) 2002 Lippincott Williams Wilkins

Objective: Because maintenance of treatment success in HIV-1 infection requires viruses to remain therapy sensitive in drug-naive seropositive persons, we looked at the primary infections caused by drug-resistant HIV-1 over time. Furthermore, to study the coverage rate of therapy and therapy failure in relation to the transmission of resistant viruses a mathematical model was developed. Design: The reverse transcriptase and protease genes of viruses were analysed in newly infected people in the period 1990-1998 in the Amsterdam Cohort Study on HIV infection and AIDS in homosexual men. Methods: The mathematical model was based on the coverage of drug regimens selecting zidovudine (ZDV) resistance, the lag time in which resistance is gained or lost, the death rate of people infected with resistant virus, and the replacement of resistance-selecting regimens by more potent treatments that substantially reduce viral load and mortality. Results: Of 43 individuals with a primary HIV-infection, three (7%) harboured ZDV-resistant viruses. The first of the ZDV-resistant strains was transmitted in 1995, the last two in 1996. The build-up of ZDV resistance was described by the mathematical model indicating that the equilibrium level of resistance due to treatment depends only on the treatment rate and the outflow rate of patients with resistance virus. Conclusions: Our model indicates that the frequency of viral resistance in a population is determined largely by the number of individuals on insufficient or failing therapy and is influenced only modestly by secondary transmission of ZDV-resistant strains.

Background: Changes in body fat distribution are an adverse effect of therapy with HIV protease inhibitors (PI). It has been suggested that nucleoside analogue reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTI) may also contribute to this so-called lipodystrophy syndrome, but the relative contribution of the two drug classes is unclear as they are usually administered concomitantly. Method: The occurrence of lipodystrophy, as reported by physicians using no standardized criteria, was followed in patients randomly assigned to treatment with either a PI alone or a PI combined with an NRTI. The patients were part of a multicenter, open-label, randomized comparison of ritonavir (RTV)/saquinavir (SQV) with or without the addition of stavudine (d4T) in HIV-1-infected patients without prior PI and d4T experience (the Prometheus study). Results: Lipodystrophy was reported in 29 of 175 (17%) patients during 96 weeks of follow up. Overall, it was reported significantly more frequently in patients who were randomized to RTV/SQV/d4T (22/88; 25%), than in patients randomized to RTV/SQV alone (7/87; 8%) (P = 0.003). When the analysis was limited to patients without any prior antiretroviral experience, lipodystrophy likewise was significantly more frequent in patients randomized to RTV/SQV/d4T (12/50; 24%) than in those randomized to RTV/SQV (2/44; 5%) (P = 0.008). Conclusion: This randomized clinical trial, in spite of not having been blinded, supports a contributory role of NRTI in the development of antiretroviral therapy-associated lipodystrophy. The low incidence of lipodystrophy in patients with no or limited NRTI exposure supports further evaluation of NRTI-sparing regimens as alternatives to current antiretroviral regimens.

To evaluate the safety and efficacy of four different regimens of didanosine (ddI) + stavudine (d4T) in HIV-infected Thais. Prospective, open-label, randomized study. Patients were randomized to four regimens of high and low doses of ddI and d4T or to ddI alone. D4T was added to the ddI-alone arm after week 24. The duration of study was 48 weeks. Seventy-eight patients were randomized (mean CD4 cell count, 255 x 10(6)/l; mean plasma HIV-1 RNA; 4.3 log10 copies/ml). In the intent-to-treat analysis, 78% of patients in the pooled combination arms and 20% of the patients in the ddI alone arm (to which d4T was added after 24 weeks) showed plasma HIV-1 RNA < 500 copies/ml at week 24 (P < 0.001), and 59% versus 53% at week 48, respectively. In addition, the proportion of patients with < 50 HIV-1 RNA copies/ml was 13% versus 7% at week 24 (P = 0.5) and 17% versus 20% at week 48 respectively. At week 24, median CD4 cell count increases from baseline were 101 x 10(6)/l in the pooled combination versus 76 x 10(6)/l in the ddI alone arm (P = 0.78). Logistic regression modeling suggested a correlation between receiving high dose ddI and achieving HIV-1 RNA < 500 copies/ml at week 48 (P = 0.07). The d4T/ddI combination was superior to ddI alone in producing HIV-1 viral suppression. At week 48, > 60% of patients treated with this combination reached HIV-1 RNA levels < 500 copies/ml. Receiving high dose ddI but not d4T may correlate with a better viral suppression

Sexual and nonsexual modes of transmission of human herpesvirus 8 (HHV8) have been suggested, but specific routes remain unclear. Therefore, the objective of this study was to assess risk factors for HHV8 seropositivity and determine specific sexual practices associated with HHV8 seroconversion. Sera from 1,458 homosexual men (Amsterdam Cohort Study, 1984-1996) were tested for antibodies to HHV8 with a modified version of an enzyme immunoassay, using recombinant HHV8 lytic phase capsid (ORF65) and latent phase nuclear (ORF73) proteins. HHV8 seroprevalence at study entry was 20.9% (305/1,458); was highest among those with positive human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) status, no steady partner, and southern European or Latin American nationality; and increased with older age and higher number of sexual partners. During follow-up, 215 men seroconverted for HHV8 (incidence: 3.6/100 person-years). Both prevalence and incidence rates remained more or less stable during the study period. Orogenital insertive sex (odds ratio (OR) = 5.95; 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.88, 12.29) or orogenital receptive sex (OR = 4.29; 95% CI: 2.11, 8.71) with more than five partners in the past 6 months, older age (OR = 2.89; 95% CI: 1.13, 7.34, when older than 45 years), and preceding HIV infection (OR = 2.47; 95% CI: 1.53, 3.99) were independent predictors for HHV8 seroconversion. The authors found strong evidence for orogenital transmission of HHV8 among homosexual men.

Objective: To investigate the relationship between exposure to antiretroviral drugs and the initial decline of plasma HIV-1 RNA. Design: Open-label study in antiretroviral-naive HIV-1 infected patients using a quadruple drug regimen [nelfinavir (NFV), saquinavir (SQV), stavudine, and lamivudine]. Methods: The elimination rate constant (k) for HIV-1 clearance was calculated during the first 2 weeks of treatment in 29 patients. Exposure to NFV and SQV was quantified on each study visit. Observed NFV and SQV concentrations were related to those expected in a reference population and a concentration ratio was calculated. The median concentration ratios for NFV and SQV, the baseline CD4+ lymphocyte count and baseline log10 HIV-1 RNA were correlated with k. Results: A significant positive correlation was observed between k and the median NFV (P = 0.001) or SQV concentration ratio (P = 0.016) in univariate analysis. In multivariate analyses, the median NFV concentration ratio remained significantly correlated with k. Conclusions: The variation in the rate of decline of plasma HIV-1 RNA between patients after the initiation of a quadruple drug regimen could be explained by differences in exposure to NFV or SQV. Determination of k could be used to optimise further antiretroviral drug therapy and may be a first tool to assess antiretroviral activities of new or increasing doses of drugs administered in combination regimens. Furthermore, our data suggest that exposure to antiretroviral drugs should be incorporated in mathematical models to describe HIV-1 dynamics in more detail.

BACKGROUND: A substantial number of patients with advanced HIV infection suffer from intractable diarrhoea. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether potent antiretroviral therapy could alleviate such diarrhoea. METHODS: In an open randomized study the effect of the HIV protease inhibitor indinavir in combination with nucleoside analogue reverse transcriptase inhibitors on chronic HIV-related diarrhoea was investigated in 14 late-stage (CD4+ lymphocyte count

Summary Background The Delta trial showed that combination therapy (zidovudine plus didanosine and zidovudine plus zalcitabine) substantially lengthened life and reduced disease progression compared with zidovudine monotherapy. We did a nested virological study in three countries (France, the Netherlands, and the UK) to investigate changes in markers for viral load and antiretroviral-drug resistance during therapy. Methods 240 zidovudine-naive HIV-1-infected patients were randomly assigned zidovudine only (n=87), zidovudine plus didanosine (n=80), or zidovudine plus zalcitabine (n=73). Viral load in peripheral-blood mononuclear cells and plasma was measured by quantitative culture. Plasma HIV-1 RNA was measured by reverse-transcriptase PCR amplification, and serum p24 antigen by ELISA. Resistance to antiretroviral drugs was measured phenotypically by culture and genotypically by detection and quantification of drugrelated point mutations in the pol gene. Analyses were done by intention to treat. Findings The reduction in viral load was greatest 4–12 weeks after the start of therapy and was most pronounced in the combination-therapy study groups (median reductions of RNA at 4 weeks 1·58, 1·28, and 0·49 log10 copies/mL for zidovudine plus didanosine, zidovudine plus zalcitabine, and zidovudine only, respectively). RNA levels at 8 weeks were predictive of disease progression and death after allowance for baseline values. At 48 weeks, the proportion of participants with phenotypic zidovudine resistance was similar in all three groups: didanosine and zalcitabine resistance were rare; zidovudine genomic resistance correlated with phenotypic resistance (r=0·54, p

Previous studies of asymptomatic human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection have shown that serum levels of soluble tumor necrosis factor receptors (sTNFR) are good predictors of disease progression and clinical outcome during zidovudine (ZDV) therapy. The present study of symptomatic HIV infection was designed to evaluate whether sTNFR p55 and p75 at weeks 0 (pretreatment) and 24 and 48 are predictors of death < or = 3 years after the start of ZDV 1,000 mg alone or combined with low-dose interferon-alpha (ZDV 500 mg + IFN-alpha 3 MIU three times weekly). CD4+ T-cell numbers and serum neopterin were analyzed in a similar way. Forty previously untreated symptomatic HIV-infected persons with CD4+ T-cell numbers > or = 150 x 10(6)/L were included. At baseline, in the nonsurvivor group, mean age (42.1 vs. 34.4 years, p = 0.002) and neopterin (24.7 vs. 18.0 nmol/L, p = 0.02) were higher, whereas mean CD4+ T-cell counts (202 vs. 295 x 10(6)/L, p = 0.02) were lower than in the survivors. All analyses were adjusted for age. For the pretreatment marker values, a significant relative risk (RR) for death was noted only in the univariate analysis for sTNFR-p55 > 1.7 ng/ml [RR 3.1; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1-8.8; p = 0.04]. During therapy, CD4+ counts < 200 x 10(6)/L at week 24 and 48 and neopterin > 20 nmol/ml at week 48 were independent predictors of survival in the uni- and multivariate analysis. Marker values relative to baseline were not predictive. sTNFR-p55 and p75 were of little use as surrogate markers for clinical efficacy during ZDV-containing drug regimens in symptomatic HIV-infected patients with CD4+ counts 150 x 10(6)/L

In untreated, asymptomatic human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection, elevated serum concentrations of soluble receptors for tumor necrosis factor (sTNFR) types I and II are associated with progression to AIDS. To assess the utility of sTNFRs as markers for the assessment of antiretroviral treatment, sTNFRs were sequentially determined in 47 asymptomatic HIV-1-infected men, who participated in a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled study. Progression to AIDS or severe AIDS-related complex occurred in six zidovudine (ZDV)- and six placebo-treated subjects. During ZDV treatment (n = 28) both types of sTNFRs declined compared with baseline and placebo, whereas they increased during placebo treatment (n = 19). A sustained decline of sTNFRs occurred only in subjects who experienced no disease progression. During the first 3 months of ZDV treatment, the hazard ratio for disease progression when sTNFR type II rose above the baseline value plus 5% was significantly increased (hazard ratio: approximately 25; 95% confidence interval: approximately 1.5-400; p < 0.03). Simultaneously determined CD4+ counts and serum neopterin levels showed a similar pattern in progressors and nonprogressors. Thus, in contrast to CD4+ counts and neopterin levels, sTNFR concentrations, especially those of the type II STNFR, appear to be valuable surrogate markers for monitoring the efficacy of ZDV treatment in asymptomatic HIV-1 infection.

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is often detected at a relatively late stage when tumour size prohibits curative surgery. Screening to detect HCC at an early stage is performed for patients at risk. Aim: The aim of this study was to compare prospectively the diagnostic accuracy and classification for management of the two state of the art secondline imaging techniques: triphasic spiral computer tomography (CT) and super paramagnetic iron oxide (SPIO) enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Patients: Sixty one patients were evaluated between January 1996 and January 1998. Patients underwent CT and MRI within a mean interval of 6.75 days. Methods: CT and MRI were evaluated blindly for the presence and number of lesions, characterisation of these lesions, and classification for management. For comparison of the data on characterisation, the CT and MRI findings were compared with histopathological studies of the surgical specimens and/or follow up imaging. Data of patients not lost to follow up were available to January 2001. Results: SPIO enhanced MRI detected more lesions and overall smaller lesions than triphasic spiral CT (number of lesions 189 v 124; median diameter 1.0 v 1.8 cm; Spearman rank's correlation coefficient 0.63, p

Background: Fibrin deposition is a hallmark of pneumonia. To determine the kinetics of alterations in local coagulation and fibrinolysis in relation to ventilator associated pneumonia (VAP), a single centre prospective study of serial changes in pulmonary and systemic thrombin generation and fibrinolytic activity was conducted in patients at risk for VAP. Methods: Non-directed bronchial lavage (NBL) was performed on alternate days in patients expected to require mechanical ventilation for more than 5 days. A total of 28 patients were studied, nine of whom developed VAP. Results: In patients who developed VAP a significant increase in thrombin generation was observed in the airways, as reflected by a rise in the levels of thrombin-antithrombin complexes in NBL fluid accompanied by increases in soluble tissue factor and factor VIIa concentrations. The diagnosis of VAP was preceded by a decrease in fibrinolytic activity in NBL fluid. Indeed, before VAP was diagnosed clinically, plasminogen activator activity levels in NBL fluid gradually declined, which appeared to be caused by a sharp increase in NBL fluid levels of plasminogen activator inhibitor 1. Conclusion: VAP is characterised by a shift in the local haemostatic balance to the procoagulant side, which precedes the clinical diagnosis of VAP.

In normal subjects, elevation of plasma free fatty acid (FFA) levels stimulates gluconeogenesis (GNG) and inhibits glycogenolysis (GLY). In adults with uncomplicated Plasmodium falciparum malaria, GNG is increased and GLY decreased. To test the hypothesis that FFAs are regulators of GNG and GLY in uncomplicated falciparum malaria, we investigated the effect of inhibition of lipolysis by acipimox in 12 patients with uncomplicated falciparum malaria. Six of them were given acipimox, and six served as controls. Also as controls, six matched healthy subjects were studied on two occasions with and without acipimox. After 16 h of fasting, glucose production and GNG were significantly higher in the malaria patients compared with the healthy controls ( P = 0.003 and

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Objective: Penetration of antiretroviral drugs into anatomical HIV-1 reservoirs such as the male genital tract and the central nervous system is important. Data on indinavir (IDV) concentrations in seminal plasma are lacking and IDV concentrations in cerebrospinal fluid are at best borderline. Design: Thirteen patients were treated with zidovudine (or stavudine), lamivudine, abacavir, nevirapine and IDV (1000 mg three times daily). When nevirapine led to low IDV concentrations, IDV was changed into the combination IDV/ritonavir (RTV) 800/ 100 mg twice daily to improve the pharmacokinetic profile of IDV. Methods: A serum pharmacokinetic profile, a semen sample and a cerebrospinal fluid sample were collected at weeks 8, 24, 48 and 72. Results: Addition of RTV increased the median IDV trough concentration in serum from 65 to 336 ng/ml (P = 0.005). Median IDV concentration in seminal plasma increased from 141 to 1634 ng/ml (P= 0.002) (n = 9) and in cerebrospinal fluid from 39 (n = 12) to 104 (n = 7) ng/ml (P< 0.001). In six patients with samples collected both before and after the addition of RTV, the IDV concentration in seminal plasma increased 8.2 times [95% confidence interval (CI) 5.2-11.6], and in cerebrospinal fluid 2.4 times (95% CI 1.8-3.9). Conclusions: IDV penetrates well into the male genital tract. The addition of low-dose RTV not only increases IDV concentrations in serum but also in seminal plasma and cerebrospinal fluid, thereby probably improving the potency of the regimen in these anatomical HIV reservoirs. Higher serum trough levels alone can not sufficiently explain the observed increases in seminal plasma and cerebrospinal fluid concentrations. Inhibition of P-glycoprotein-mediated transport by RTV might be an additional mechanism.

OBJECTIVE: To study the relationship between toxicity and the exposure to nelfinavir and saquinavir as part of a quadruple drug regimen. DESIGN: The ADAM study is a randomized study to investigate the feasibility of induction-maintenance therapy in HIV-1 infection. METHODS: HIV-1-infected patients with no prior use of antiretroviral treatment started induction therapy consisting of stavudine + lamivudine + nelfinavir + saquinavir for a period of 26 weeks. Data regarding toxicity of the quadruple regimen and exposure to the protease inhibitors were collected. RESULTS: Seven of the 65 patients enrolled had to switch therapy for reasons of toxicity within the first 26 weeks. Diarrhoea was frequently reported (49 of 65, one discontinuation), but could be relieved by using antidiarrhoeal agents. Laboratory monitoring revealed elevated liver enzymes (leading to four discontinuations) and mild to moderate elevations of triglycerides and cholesterol (nine and 23 of 65, respectively). The exposure to saquinavir and nelfinavir was lower than expected. Abdominal pain was associated with a higher exposure to nelfinavir or saquinavir. The association of nausea and abdominal distension with drug exposure appeared to vary over time. CONCLUSIONS: The quadruple drug regimen was quite well tolerated. Diarrhoea was frequently reported but could be relieved by the use of antidiarrhoeal agents. In comparison with other protease inhibitor combinations, lipid abnormalities in plasma were infrequent and mild. With the exception of diarrhoea, all gastrointestinal complaints observed were found to be associated with the level of exposure to nelfinavir or saquinavir. The exposure to the protease inhibitors was relatively low, although the virologic efficacy of the regimen used was satisfactory

In the present prospective study, five blood tests for detection of human cytomegalovirus (HCMV), nucleic acid sequence-based amplification (NASBA) for detection of early (immediate-early antigen) and late (pp67) mRNA, PCR for detection of HCMV DNA (DNA PCR), culture, and pp65 antigenemia assay, and culture and DNA PCR of urine and throat swab specimens were compared for their abilities to predict the development of disease caused by HCMV (HCMV disease). Of 101 human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients with ≤100 CD4 + lymphocytes per mm 3 , 25 patients developed HCMV disease. The pp65 antigenemia assay (sensitivity, 50%; specificity, 89%) and DNA PCR of blood (sensitivity, 69%; specificity, 75%) were most accurate in predicting the development of HCMV disease within the next 12 months. Both blood culture and late pp67 mRNA NASBA had high specificities (91 and 90%, respectively) but low sensitivities (25 and 13%, respectively). The sensitivities of urine culture, DNA PCR, throat swab specimen culture, DNA PCR, and NASBA of blood for detection of the immediate-early antigen were 73, 87, 53, 67, and 63%, respectively, and the specificities were 58, 46, 76, 60, and 72%, respectively. The positive predictive values of all tests however, were low and did not exceed 50%. In conclusion, virological screening by these qualitative assays for detection of HCMV is of limited value for prediction of the development of HCMV disease in HIV-infected patients.

Objective To evaluate the ability of a quantified pp65-antigenemia assay to predict the development of human cytomegalovirus (HCMV) disease in patients with an advanced HIV infection. Design A prospective longitudinal study between March 1993 and December 1996. Blood samples for the pp65-antigenemia assay were drawn at 2-3 month intervals. Setting AIDS department of an institutional tertiary care centre. Patients A total of 101 HIV-infected patients with CD4 lymphocyte counts of 100/mm3 or less were enrolled. Ninety-seven patients were eligible for analysis. All patients gave informed consent. Main outcome measures The development of HCMV disease. Results Of the 97 patients, 24 developed HCMV disease after a median follow-up of 10.6 months. Three months before the development of HCMV disease, an increase in the median number of pp65-antigen-positive leukocytes was observed. The highest combination of sensitivity (45%) and specificity (94%) for the development of HCMV disease within the next 3 months was found when an assay cut-off level of 48/10(5) pp65-antigen-positive leukocytes was applied, with a positive predictive value (PPV) for the development of HCMV disease of 75%. The Kaplan-Meier estimate of HCMV disease-free survival after patients reached 48/10(5) or more antigen-positive leukocytes on longitudinal follow-up was a median 3.7 months [95% confidence interval (CI), 2.5-8.5]. The hazard ratio (HR) of this threshold level for the development of HCMV disease was 9.6 (95% CI, 4.2-21.8). Conclusion Longitudinal follow-up using the pp65-antigenemia assay of HIV-infected patients with a low CD4 lymphocyte count improves the identification of patients who will develop HCMV disease in the foreseeable future, and should be considered for the selection of patients who may benefit from pre-emptive HCMV treatment.

Liver enzyme elevation (LEE) is commonly observed after combination antiretroviral therapy (ARVT) for HIV infection is begun. Potential risk factors for LEE after treatment with ritonavir and saquinavir with or without stavudine were investigated in 208 HIV-infected patients, by use of the Cox proportional hazard model. Eighteen patients (9%) developed LEE during the 48-week follow-up. Multivariate analysis, adjusted for baseline levels of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and aspartate aminotransferase (AST), showed that hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) positivity (relative risk [RR], 8.8; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.3-23.1) and the use of stavudine (RR, 4.9; 95% CI, 1.5-16.0) were the only significant risk factors for developing LEE. After LEE occurred, ALT and AST concentrations decreased by50% in 13 of 14 patients who continued ARVT during LEE. In this study, it appeared safe to continue ARVT during LEE; however, more data from larger studies are required to confirm this finding.

High-dose nevirapine treatment has been reported to confer sustained antiretroviral effects, despite a rapid development of resistance. The use of this strategy was evaluated in 20 previously untreated human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) p24 antigenemic persons with CD4 cell counts between 100 and 500/mm3. Treatment consisted of 400 mg of nevirapine, after a 2-week lead-in dose of 200 mg. Rash was the most frequently reported adverse event, occurring in 25%. While sustained declines in p24 antigen levels were observed in the majority, serum HIV-1 RNA load and CD4 cell counts returned to baseline values within 12 weeks in virtually all subjects. The resistance-conferring tyrosine-to-cysteine substitution at reverse transcriptase position 181 was detected after 4 weeks in most subjects. These observations suggest that plasma drug levels attained with high-dose nevirapine were not sufficient to inhibit nevirapine-resistant virus, although they were approximately 2-fold higher than reported IC50 values of resistant virus.

In untreated, asymptomatic human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection, elevated serum concentrations of soluble receptors for tumor necrosis factor (sTNFR) types I and II are associated with progression to AIDS. To assess the utility of sTNFRs as markers for the assessment of antiretroviral treatment, sTNFRs were sequentially determined in 47 asymptomatic HIV-1-infected men, who participated in a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled study. Progression to AIDS or severe AIDS-related complex occurred in six zidovudine (ZDV)- and six placebo-treated subjects. During ZDV treatment (n = 28) both types of sTNFRs declined compared with baseline and placebo, whereas they increased during placebo treatment (n = 19). A sustained decline of sTNFRs occurred only in subjects who experienced no disease progression. During the first 3 months of ZDV treatment, the hazard ratio for disease progression when sTNFR type II rose above the baseline value plus 5% was significantly increased (hazard ratio: approximately 25; 95% confidence interval: approximately 1.5-400; p0.03). Simultaneously determined CD4+ counts and serum neopterin levels showed a similar pattern in progressors and nonprogressors. Thus, in contrast to CD4+ counts and neopterin levels, sTNFR concentrations, especially those of the type II STNFR, appear to be valuable surrogate markers for monitoring the efficacy of ZDV treatment in asymptomatic HIV-1 infection.

Serum concentrations of soluble receptors for tumor necrosis factor-alpha (sTNF alpha R) types I and II, beta 2-microglobulin, and CD4 cell counts were determined at entry and 3-5 months before AIDS diagnosis in 20 untreated, asymptomatic human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1)-seropositive subjects, who progressed to AIDS within 5.5 years of study entry, and in an equal number of HIV-seronegative and untreated seropositive controls, who remained asymptomatic. At entry, concentrations of sTNF alpha R type II and beta 2-microglobulin were elevated and increased further in progressors. The odds ratio (OR) for sTNF alpha R type II concentrations > or = 6.5 ng/mL was 18.4 and for beta 2-microglobulin concentrations > or = 3 mg/L was 6.6; CD4 cell counts were not predictive. Five months before diagnosis, the OR was 102.0 for sTNF alpha R type II concentrations > or = 7.5 ng/mL, 13.5 for beta 2-microglobulin concentrations > or = 4 mg/L, and 6.9 for CD4 cell counts < 250/mm3 (counts < 500/mm3 were not predictive). Of the three variables, sTNF alpha R type II was proved by bivariate analysis to be the strongest and earliest predictor of disease progression.

Background: Nephrolithiasis is a well-known complication of indinavir treatment and may result in urological symptoms ranging from renal colic to renal insufficiency. Objective: To obtain further knowledge regarding the incidence and risk factors of urological symptoms associated with indinavir sulfate use. Methods: This study was performed in the ATHENA (AIDS Therapy Evaluation National AIDS Therapy Evaluation Centre) cohort of patients infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) receiving antiretroviral therapy in the Netherlands. The incidence rate of urological symptoms was assessed in a subcohort of 1219 patients starting HIV protease inhibitor treatment after 1996. Urological symptoms were defined as an initial report of nephrolithiasis, renal colic, flank pain, hematuria, renal insufficiency, or nephropathy. Using multivariate Cox regression analysis, risk factors for urological symptoms during indinavir treatment were subsequently studied among the subset of 644 patients who started indinavir treatment after 1996. Results: The incidence of urological symptoms was 8.3 per 100 treatment-years for indinavir vs 0.8 per 100 treatment-years for other HIV protease inhibitors. Risk factors for urological symptoms during indinavir treatment were low weight (relative risk [RR], 2.1; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1-3.9), low lean body mass (RR, 1.7;95% CI, 1.0-2.9), undetectable HIV-1 RNA when starting indinavir treatment (RR, 3.2;95% CI, 1.5-6.0), prior treatment change because of intolerance (RR, 2.4;95% CI, 1.2-5.1), indinavir regimens of 1000 mg or more twice daily (RR, 3.1;95% CI, 1.3-8.2), and warm environmental temperatures (RR, 3.9;95% CI, 1.7-8.8). Risk estimates were highest among patients with a low lean body mass. Conclusion: Increased alertness for urological symptoms is warranted for patients starting indinavir treatment, particularly among those with a low lean body mass, during indinavir regimens of 1000 mg or more twice daily, and in warm weather environments.

Three procedures for the quantification of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) RNA from plasma were compared at three laboratories. The comparison involved the Quantiplex branched DNA assay (version 1.0) by Chiron Diagnostics, the NASBA-QT assay by Organon Teknika, and the Amplicor Monitor assay by Roche Molecular Systems. The laboratories performed each of the three assays with the same sets of reconstructed HIV-1-infected human plasma samples, cross-sectionally collected clinical plasma samples and longitudinally collected plasma samples from patients starting zidovudine therapy. Analysis of the reconstruction panel results for interlaboratory variation demonstrated that no laboratory differences in results were detected for any of the assays. A comparison of the reproducibilities of duplicate samples analyzed by batch and in separate assay runs demonstrated that the reproducibilities of the test results were similar within one assay and appeared to be independent of the HIV-1 concentration. The best reproducibility was obtained with the Quantiplex assay, but all three assays demonstrated equal reliability, which was independent of batched or unbatched analysis of replicate samples. Differences in the absolute concentrations calculated were observed for the assays, in particular in the analysis of reconstructed samples. In all assays, similar changes in plasma HIV-1 RNA concentrations were determined for longitudinally collected clinical samples.