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Major risk factors for coronary heart disease are also associated with early carotid artery thickening, but no studies have yet examined patterns of risk factors to see whether they differ for the two outcomes. Assuming similar pathogenesis for both coronary and carotid atherosclerosis, one could interpret risk factor pattern differences as relating to differences in staging, i.e., early atheroma versus later stenotic or occlusive atherothrombosis. This study included 12,193 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study participants aged 45–64 years who were free of clinical cardiovascular disease in 1987–1989, in whom 420 myocardial infarctions or coronary heart disease deaths occurred over the next 6 years. Plasma low density lipoprotein cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, and smoking were major risk factors for both outcomes. Compared with these factors, triglycerides and high density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol were associated only weakly with carotid atherosclerosis but were associated strongly with coronary heart disease incidence. No other risk factors, including those associated with diabetes mellitus, hemostasis, and inflammation, differed in their relative contribution to the two outcomes. These results suggest that the high triglyceride-low HDL cholesterol pattern is involved in the transition from atheroma to atherothrombosis, and that control of this pattern may be important in persons with detectable subclinical disease. Am J Epidemiol 1999;149:843–52. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

Many long-term prospective studies have reported on associations of cardiovascular diseases with circulating lipid markers and/or inflammatory markers. Studies have not, however, generally been designed to provide reliable estimates under different circumstances and to correct for within-person variability. The Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration has established a central database on over 1.1 million participants from 104 prospective population-based studies, in which subsets have information on lipid and inflammatory markers, other characteristics, as well as major cardiovascular morbidity and cause-specific mortality. Information on repeat measurements on relevant characteristics has been collected in approximately 340,000 participants to enable estimation of and correction for within-person variability. Re-analysis of individual data will yield up to approximately 69,000 incident fatal or nonfatal first ever major cardiovascular outcomes recorded during about 11.7 million person years at risk. The primary analyses will involve age-specific regression models in people without known baseline cardiovascular disease in relation to fatal or nonfatal first ever coronary heart disease outcomes. This initiative will characterize more precisely and in greater detail than has previously been possible the shape and strength of the age- and sex-specific associations of several lipid and inflammatory markers with incident coronary heart disease outcomes (and, secondarily, with other incident cardiovascular outcomes) under a wide range of circumstances. It will, therefore, help to determine to what extent such associations are independent from possible confounding factors and to what extent such markers (separately and in combination) provide incremental predictive value.

The authors examined the association between white blood cell (WBC) count and incidence of coronary heart disease and ischemic stroke and mortality from cardiovascular disease in 13,555 African-American and White men and women from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study. Blood was drawn at the ARIC baseline examination, beginning in 1987-1989. During an average of 8 years of follow-up (through December 1996), there were 488 incident coronary heart disease events, 220 incident strokes, and 258 deaths from cardiovascular disease. After adjustment for age, sex, ARIC field center, and multiple risk factors, there was a direct association between WBC count and incidence of coronary heart disease (p < 0.001 for trend) and stroke (p for trend < 0.001) and mortality from cardiovascular disease (p for trend < 0.001) in African Americans. The African Americans in the highest quartile of WBC count (> or =7,000 cells/mm(3)) had 1.9 times the risk of incident coronary heart disease (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.19, 3.09), 1.9 times the risk of incident ischemic stroke (95% CI: 1.03, 3.34), and 2.3 times the risk of cardiovascular disease mortality (95% CI: 1.38, 3.72) as their counterparts in the lowest quartile of WBC count (<4,800 cells/mm(3)). These associations were similar in Whites and in never smokers. An elevated WBC count is directly associated with increased incidence of coronary heart disease and ischemic stroke and mortality from cardiovascular disease in African-American and White men and women.

Previous cross-sectional and longitudinal studies assessing the association between age and drinking are inconsistent. Evaluating 15,425 Black and White men and women from four communities, this study sought to determine whether there was a consistent relation between age and drinking in cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses and to determine change in drinking status and level of consumption (occasional, light to moderate, and heavier drinkers) at follow-up. Cross-sectional analyses of drinking were performed for Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities examinations 1 (1987-1989) and 3 (1993-1995). The changes in drinking status and level were determined for the 12,565 persons with information at both examinations. Prevalence of drinking was generally inversely associated with age in the cross-sectional analyses for all ethnic/gender groups, and drinking prevalence decreased over the 6 years of follow-up for all except Black women. Only among Black drinkers was younger age associated with a higher level of alcohol consumption in both cross-sectional and prospective analyses. Thus, whether drinking prevalence declines, the amount consumed by drinkers is decreased, or whether both factors contribute to the decrease appears to vary with ethnicity and gender. The change in drinking level was substantial with more than 40% of baseline drinkers reporting drinking cessation or a different level of consumption at follow-up.

A close relationship between alcohol consumption and hypertension has been established, but it is unclear whether there is a threshold level for this association. In addition, it has infrequently been studied in longitudinal studies and in black people. In a cohort study, 8334 of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study participants, aged 45 to 64 years at baseline, who were free of hypertension and coronary heart disease had their blood pressures ascertained after 6 years of follow-up. Alcohol consumption was assessed by dietary interview. The type of alcoholic beverage predominantly consumed was defined by the source of the largest amount of ethanol consumed. Incident hypertension was defined as a systolic blood pressure >/=140 mm Hg or diastolic blood pressure >/=90 mm Hg or use of antihypertensive medication. There was an increased risk of hypertension in those who consumed large amounts of ethanol (>/=210 g per week) compared with those who did not consume alcohol over the 6 years of follow-up. The adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence interval) were 1.2 (0.85 to 1.67) for white men, 2.02 (1.08 to 3.79) for white women, and 2.31 (1.11 to 4.86) for black men. Only 4 black women reported drinking >210 g ethanol per week. At low to moderate levels of alcohol consumption (1 to 209 g per week), the adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence interval) were 0.88 (0.71 to 1.08) in white men, 0.89 (0.73 to 1.09) in white women, 1.71 (1.11 to 2.64) in black men, and 0.88 (0.59 to 1.33) in black women. Systolic and diastolic blood pressures were higher in black men who consumed low to moderate amounts of alcohol compared with the nonconsumers but not in the 3 other race-gender strata. Models with polynomial terms of alcohol exposure suggested a nonlinear association in white and black men. Higher levels of consumption of all types of alcoholic beverages were associated with a higher risk of hypertension for all race-gender strata. The consumption of alcohol in amounts >/=210 g per week is an independent risk factor for hypertension in free-living North American populations. The consumption of low to moderate amounts of alcohol also appears to be associated with a higher risk of hypertension in black men.

Purpose: Weight gain is an important risk factor for the development of the metabolic syndrome, and inflammatory mediators are strongly associated with this syndrome. Our aim was to investigate whether inflammation predicts the development of weight gain in populations., Research Methods and Procedures: We investigated selected markers of inflammation in the prediction of weight gain over an approximately 3-year period in a biethnic cohort of 13,017 men and women, 45 to 64 years of age, using multiple linear and logistic regression modeling., Results: In adjusted models, those in the highest quartile of fibrinogen gained, during the first 3 years of follow-up, an estimated 0.23 kg/year more than those in the lowest quartile (p < 0.001). Adjusted odds of a large (greater than the 90th percentile) weight gain for those in the highest quartile of fibrinogen were 1.65 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.38 to 1.97) times those in the lowest quartile. Similarly adjusted odds ratios for a large weight gain for those with high levels of white blood cell count, factor VIII, and von Willebrand factor were 1.38 (1.14 to 1.67), 1.28 (1.08 to 1.53), and 1.28 (1.08 to 1.51), respectively., Discussion: Fibrinogen and other putative markers of inflammation predict weight gain in middle-aged adults. Given the known links between the inflammatory response and intermediary metabolism and the methodological strengths of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) cohort, these findings, though without immediate clinical applicability, suggest that inflammatory processes play a role in the development of the metabolic syndrome and cardiovascular disease in part through stimulation of weight gain.

The objective of this study was to describe associations of retinal arteriolar abnormalities with clinical and subclinical manifestations of atherosclerosis and a broad group of risk factors for vascular disease. A biracial population of 8772 adults (aged 48 to 72 years) living in 4 communities was examined from 1993 to 1995 were studied for that purpose. Retinal arteriovenous nicking and focal arteriolar narrowing were determined by light-box grading of a 45 degrees fundus photograph by use of a standardized protocol. Diameters of arterioles and venules were measured in digitized photographs, and a summary arteriolar-to-venular ratio was derived as an index of generalized arteriolar narrowing. Focal arteriolar narrowing was associated only with hypertension. Generalized arteriolar narrowing was associated with carotid plaque but not with any other evidence of atherosclerosis, either clinical (cardiovascular disease or stroke) or subclinical (carotid or popliteal artery thickness or lower limb obstructive disease), or with plasma cholesterol. It was also associated with smoking, with inflammatory markers (white blood cell count, fibrinogen, and reduced albumin), and with the triglyceride and high density lipoprotein cholesterol changes associated with inflammation. Arteriovenous nicking was inconsistently associated with subclinical atherosclerosis. It was not associated with cardiovascular disease, stroke, or plasma cholesterol. Arteriovenous nicking was associated with markers of inflammation and vascular endothelial dysfunction (von Willebrand factor and factor VIII). Arteriolar narrowing and nicking appear to be related to hypertension and inflammatory factors. Nicking may also be related to endothelial dysfunction. Results suggest that these arteriolar changes are pathologically distinct from atherosclerosis. Including their measurement in population studies may permit evaluation of the independent contribution of arteriolar disease to various ischemic diseases of the heart, brain, and other organs.

Although numerous cross-sectional studies have identified possible determinants of plasma fibrinogen and factor VII levels, few prospective studies exist. We assessed the longitudinal relation of changes in fibrinogen and factor VII over 6 years with changes to other cardiovascular risk factors in a sample of 440 men and 549 women from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. Fibrinogen increased more in older participants, those with or who developed diabetes, those who at any time smoked, and those whose plasma HDL cholesterol or triglycerides decreased and increased less in female participants who started hormonal replacement therapy. Factor VII coagulant activity increased more in younger participants, women, those who gained greater weight or developed diabetes, those who quit smoking, those in whom plasma triglycerides decreased, and female participants who received hormonal replacement therapy. Thus, our longitudinal data suggest with some exceptions that adverse changes in cardiovascular risk factors are accompanied by increases in plasma levels of fibrinogen and factor VII.

Decreased elasticity in large and medium-sized arteries has been postulated to be associated with cardiovascular diseases. We prospectively examined the relation between arterial elasticity and the development of hypertension over 6 years of follow-up in a cohort of 6992 normotensive men and women aged 45 to 64 years at baseline from the biracial, population-based Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study. Arterial elasticity was measured from high-resolution B-mode ultrasound examination of the left common carotid artery as adjusted arterial diameter change (in micrometers, simultaneously adjusted for diastolic blood pressure, pulse pressure, pulse pressure squared, diastolic arterial diameter, and height), Peterson's elastic modulus (in kilopascals), Young's elastic modulus (in kilopascals), and beta stiffness index. Incident hypertension (n=551) was defined as systolic blood pressure >/=160 mm Hg, diastolic blood pressure >/=95 mm Hg, or the use of antihypertensive medication at a follow-up examination conducted every 3 years. The age-, ethnicity-, center-, gender-, education-, smoking-, heart rate-, and obesity-adjusted means (SE) of baseline adjusted arterial diameter change, Peterson's elastic modulus, Young's elastic modulus, and beta stiffness index were 397 (5), 148 (2.0), 787 (12.7), and 11.43 (0.16), respectively, in persons who developed hypertension during follow-up, in contrast to 407 (1), 124 (0.6), 681 (3.7), and 10.34 (0.05), respectively, for persons who did not. The similarly adjusted cumulative incident rates of hypertension from the highest to the lowest quartiles of arterial elasticity were 6.7%, 8.0%, 7.3%, and 9.6%, respectively, when measured by adjusted arterial diameter change (P<0.01). One standard deviation decrease in arterial elasticity was associated with 15% greater risk of hypertension, independent of established risk factors for hypertension and the level of baseline blood pressure. These results suggest that lower arterial elasticity is related to the development of hypertension.

Background: Factor VII plays a pivotal role in coagulation. Factor VIIc levels were reported to be a risk factor for fatal coronary heart disease (CHD). Factor VIIc and VIIag levels were noted to be positively associated with plasma triglyceride (TG) levels and influenced by a VII gene polymorphism. The purpose of this study is to determine whether these associations are related to activated factor VII (factor VIIa)., Methods and Results: Fasting and 3.5-hour postprandial samples from 216 cases with subclinical atherosclerosis and 341 matched controls selected from the ARIC cohort were assayed for levels of factors VIIa, VIIc, and VIIag and TG, and factor VII codon 353 gene polymorphism. The level of factor VIIa was higher in Arg/Arg than in Arg/Gln+Gln/Gln genotypes, and the difference was in accord with that of factors VIIag and VIIc. However, the factor VIIa difference was statistically insignificant. Factor VIIa values were not correlated with fasting or 3.5-hour postprandial TG levels, nor were they associated with subclinical atherosclerosis., Conclusions: Factor VIIa levels, like factor VIIag and VIIc levels, are influenced by factor VII gene codon 353 polymorphism. However, unlike factor VIIag or VIIc, factor VIIa is not influenced by TG levels; none of these is associated with subclinical atherosclerosis.

Background: Several epidemiological and clinical reports have suggested seropositivity for Helicobacter pylori may be a risk factor for coronary heart disease. However, there has been no prospective study of this association involving an ethnically diverse sample of middle-aged men and women., Methods and Results: Using a prospective, case-cohort design, we determined H pylori seropositivity in relation to coronary heart disease incidence over a median follow-up period of 3.3 years among middle-aged men and women. There were 217 incident coronary heart disease cases and a cohort sample of 498. We determined H pylori antibody status by measuring IgG antibody to the high-molecular-weight cell-associated proteins of H pylori using a sensitive and specific ELISA. The prevalence of H pylori seropositivity was higher in blacks than whites, in those with less than high school education, in those with lower plasma pyridoxal 5'-phosphate and higher homocyst(e)ine concentrations, in those who did not use vitamin supplements, in those with higher fibrinogen levels, and in those seropositive for cytomegalovirus and herpes simplex type I (all P<0.05). The age-, sex-, race-, and field center-adjusted hazard ratio of coronary heart disease for H pylori seropositivity was 1.03 (95% CI=0.68 to 1.57). After adjustment for other risk factors, including fibrinogen, cytomegalovirus seropositivity, and herpes simplex type I seropositivity, the hazard ratio was 0.85 (95% CI=0.43 to 1.69). H pylori seropositivity also was not associated with increased mean intima-media thickness of the carotid artery, a measure of subclinical atherosclerosis., Conclusions: H pylori infection is probably not an important contributor to clinical coronary heart disease events.