25 results
Search Results
2. Realization of natural language processing and machine learning approaches for text‐based sentiment analysis.
- Author
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Naithani, Kanchan and Raiwani, Yadav Prasad
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SENTIMENT analysis ,NATURAL language processing ,MACHINE learning ,PROGRAMMING languages ,TEXT mining ,ARTIFICIAL neural networks - Abstract
The leading intention of the current paper is to review the research work accomplished by various researchers to achieve sentiment analysis on the text and to elaborate on natural language processing (NLP) and various machine learning algorithms used to evaluate textual sentiments. In this study, primitive cases are considered that used crucial algorithms, and knowledge that can be opted for sentiment analysis. A survey of the work that has been done till now is conducted observing the results and outcomes concerning varying parameters of various researchers who worked on previously existing as well as novel and hybrid algorithms opting legion methodologies. The fundamental algorithms like Support Vector Machine (SVM), Bayesian Networks (BN), Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt), Conditional Random Fields (CRF) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) are also discussed to achieve practice percentage and accuracy score in the field of NLP, sentiment analysis and text analytics. Various other novel approaches and algorithms like CNN, LSTM, KNN, K*, K‐means, K‐means++, SOM and ENORA, along with their limitations and the performance metrics providing accuracies for major open data sets are also analyzed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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3. A new method for Raman spectral analysis: Decision fusion‐based transfer learning model.
- Author
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Chen, Chen, Ma, Yuhua, Zhu, Min, Yan, Ziwei, Lv, Xiaoyi, Chen, Cheng, and Tian, Feng
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ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,DEEP learning ,DECISION making ,HEPATITIS B ,SPECTRAL imaging ,TECHNOLOGICAL innovations ,MULTISPECTRAL imaging ,RAMAN spectroscopy - Abstract
As an emerging technology for artificial intelligence‐aided medical diagnosis, deep learning combined with Raman spectroscopy has great potential. The technology still has some problems in the actual medical diagnosis research process. The differences in spectrometers, experimental conditions, and experimental operations can result in non‐uniform and universally applicable data standards, which in turn lead to low data utilization. At the same time, it is still necessary to retrain the models when building diagnostic models for different diseases, which is time‐consuming and laborious. In this paper, a more complete transfer learning model for multiple types of serum Raman spectra is established for the first time, and a decision fusion strategy is applied to this diagnostic model. The Raman spectral data of serum from hepatitis B patients/control group, serum from abnormal thyroid function patients/control group, and serum from glioma patients/control group were selected as the source domains, and the Raman spectral data of tissue from hepatitis C patients/control group, serum from esophageal cancer patients/control group, and tissue from cervical cancer and cervical inflammation (patients/control) group were selected as the target domains. Three deep neural network models, ResNet, GoogLeNet, and CNN‐LSTM were trained in the source domain data for disease diagnosis, and the trained models were transfer to the target domain. The model is fine‐tuned by freezing different layers and then combined with logistic regression algorithms to construct a decision fusion model, which further improves the model effect. The results show that the proposed method can effectively improve the accuracy of transfer learning models. At the same time, this experiment extends the application of transfer learning in Raman spectroscopy and demonstrates that unrelated and scale‐different Raman datasets are still intrinsically connected, which also lays the foundation for us to build more stable and data‐inclusive spectral transfer learning fusion models in the future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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4. Synthesizing forecasts to inform decision‐making and advance ecological theory.
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Record, Sydne, Boettiger, Carl, and Rollinson, Christine R.
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TECHNOLOGICAL forecasting ,DECISION making ,ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,DESERTIFICATION ,FORECASTING ,ECOLOGICAL forecasting ,SCIENCE education ,METADATA - Abstract
Taking an entirely different modelling approach to Cameron et al. ([1]), Lapeyrolerie and Boettiger ([11]) consider uncertainty estimation with deep learning methods in the context of forecasting abrupt changes in ecosystem dynamics (i.e. critical transitions). Synthesizing forecasts to inform decision-making and advance ecological theory Deep neural network models have become a popular method in the last decade for making point forecasts of ecological time series because they preclude making errant prior assumptions about the data by automatically learning temporal dependencies (Makridakis et al., [14]). Since the inception of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in 1988, there has been growing scientific consensus that humans have modified the Earth's environment and that human decisions have the potential to mitigate or exacerbate the effects of future global change (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, [10]). [Extracted from the article]
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- 2023
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5. Simulation of nonlinear fractional dynamics arising in the modeling of cognitive decision making using a new fractional neural network.
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Hadian Rasanan, Amir Hosein, Bajalan, Nastaran, Parand, Kourosh, and Rad, Jamal Amani
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PARTIAL differential equations ,DECISION making ,ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,JACOBI polynomials ,DYNAMICAL systems ,FRACTIONAL differential equations - Abstract
By the rapid growth of available data, providing data‐driven solutions for nonlinear (fractional) dynamical systems becomes more important than before. In this paper, a new fractional neural network model that uses fractional order of Jacobi functions as its activation functions for one of the hidden layers is proposed to approximate the solution of fractional differential equations and fractional partial differential equations arising from mathematical modeling of cognitive‐decision‐making processes and several other scientific subjects. This neural network uses roots of Jacobi polynomials as the training dataset, and the Levenberg‐Marquardt algorithm is chosen as the optimizer. The linear and nonlinear fractional dynamics are considered as test examples showing the effectiveness and applicability of the proposed neural network. The numerical results are compared with the obtained results of some other networks and numerical approaches such as meshless methods. Numerical experiments are presented confirming that the proposed model is accurate, fast, and feasible. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2020
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6. Tjong: A transformer‐based Mahjong AI via hierarchical decision‐making and fan backward.
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Li, Xiali, Liu, Bo, Wei, Zhi, Wang, Zhaoqi, and Wu, Licheng
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ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,ARTIFICIAL intelligence ,REINFORCEMENT learning ,DECISION making ,DEEP learning - Abstract
Mahjong, a complex game with hidden information and sparse rewards, poses significant challenges. Existing Mahjong AIs require substantial hardware resources and extensive datasets to enhance AI capabilities. The authors propose a transformer‐based Mahjong AI (Tjong) via hierarchical decision‐making. By utilising self‐attention mechanisms, Tjong effectively captures tile patterns and game dynamics, and it decouples the decision process into two distinct stages: action decision and tile decision. This design reduces decision complexity considerably. Additionally, a fan backward technique is proposed to address the sparse rewards by allocating reversed rewards for actions based on winning hands. Tjong consists of 15M parameters and is trained using approximately 0.5 M data over 7 days of supervised learning on a single server with 2 GPUs. The action decision achieved an accuracy of 94.63%, while the claim decision attained 98.55% and the discard decision reached 81.51%. In a tournament format, Tjong outperformed AIs (CNN, MLP, RNN, ResNet, VIT), achieving scores up to 230% higher than its opponents. Furthermore, after 3 days of reinforcement learning training, it ranked within the top 1% on the leaderboard on the Botzone platform. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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7. ANP/RPN: a multi criteria evaluation of the Risk Priority Number.
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Zammori, Francesco and Gabbrielli, Roberto
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CRITICALITY (Nuclear engineering) ,ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,DECISION making ,RELIABILITY (Personality trait) ,PROBLEM solving - Abstract
This paper presents an advanced version of the failure mode effects and criticality analysis (FMECA), whose capabilities are enhanced; in that the criticality assessment takes into account possible interactions among the principal causes of failure. This is obtained by integrating FMECA and Analytic Network Process, a multi-criteria decision making technique. Severity, Occurrence and Detectability are split into sub-criteria and arranged in a hybrid (hierarchy/network) decision-structure that, at the lowest level, contains the causes of failure. Starting from this decision-structure, the Risk Priority Number is computed making pairwise comparisons, so that qualitative judgements and reliable quantitative data can be easily included in the analysis, without using vague and unreliable linguistic conversion tables. Pairwise comparison also facilitates the effort of the design/maintenance team, since it is easier to place comparative rather than absolute judgments, to quantify the importance of the causes of failure. In order to clarify and to make evident the rational of the final results, a graphical tool, similar to the House of Quality, is also presented. At the end of the paper, a case study, which confirms the quality of the approach and shows its capability to perform robust and comprehensive criticality analyses, is reported. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley and Sons Ltd. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2012
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8. Competitive/collaborative neural computing system for medical diagnosis in pancreatic cancer detection.
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Gorunescu, Florin, Gorunescu, Marina, Saftoiu, Adrian, Vilmann, Peter, and Belciug, Smaranda
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DIAGNOSIS ,DECISION making ,ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,PERFORMANCE evaluation ,PANCREATITIS diagnosis ,PANCREATIC cancer diagnosis ,COMPUTER network resources - Abstract
The use of computer technology to support medical decisions is now widespread and pervasive across a broad range of medical areas. Accordingly, computer-aided diagnosis has become an increasingly important area for intelligent computational systems. This paper describes a competitive/collaborative neural computing system designed to support the medical decision process using medical imaging databases. A concrete example concerning an application to support the differential diagnosis of chronic pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer is also provided. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2011
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9. Making trading decisions for financial-engineered derivatives: a novel ensemble of neural networks using information content.
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Leung, Mark T., Chen, An-Sing, and Mancha, Ruben
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DECISION making ,DERIVATIVE securities ,ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,RATE of return ,BUSINESS expansion ,PROBLEM solving ,PERFORMANCE evaluation - Abstract
Over the last decades, there has been a growing interest in applying artificial intelligence techniques to solve a spectrum of financial problems. A number of studies have shown promising results in using artificial neural networks (ANNs) to guide investment trading. Given the expanding role of ANNs in financial trading, this paper proposes the use of a hybrid neural network, which consists of two independent ANN architectures, and comparatively evaluates its performance against independent ANNs and econometric models in the trading of a financial-engineered (synthetic) derivative composed of options on foreign exchange futures. We examine the financial profitability and the market timing ability of the competing neural network models and statistically compare their attributes with those based on linear and nonlinear statistical projections. A random walk model and the option pricing method are also included as benchmarks for comparison. Our empirical investigation finds that, for each of the currencies analysed, trading strategies guided by the proposed dual network are financially profitable and yield a more stable stream of investment returns than the other models. Statistical results strengthen the notion that diffusion of information contents and cross-validation between the independent components within the dual network are able to reduce bias and extreme decision making over the long run. Moreover, the results are robust with respect to different levels of transaction costs. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2009
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10. Six Sigma Applied Throughout the Lifecycle of an Automated Decision System.
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Patterson, Angie, Bonissone, Piero, and Pavese, Marc
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SIX Sigma ,QUALITY control standards ,ARTIFICIAL intelligence ,SOFT computing ,FUZZY logic ,ALGORITHMS ,ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,DECISION making - Abstract
Automated decision-making systems have been deployed in many industrial, commercial, and financial applications. The needs for such systems are usually motivated by requirements for variation reduction, capacity increase, cost and cycle time reduction, and end-to-end traceability of the transaction or product. Before we can use any automated decision-making system in a production environment we must develop a strategy to insure high quality throughout its entire lifecycle. We need to guarantee its performance through a rigorous Design for Six Sigma process (DFSS). This process includes validation, tuning, and production testing of the system. Once the system is in production we must monitor and maintain its performance over its lifecycle. In this paper we will outline the Six Sigma process that led to the deployment of an automated decision-making system in one of the General Electric Financial Assurance businesses. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2005
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11. Computational approaches to neural reward and development.
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Montaguel, P. Read and Quartz, Steven R.
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BRAIN physiology ,COGNITIVE neuroscience ,ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,DECISION making ,PSYCHOLOGY ,ARTIFICIAL intelligence - Abstract
Despite much progress in brain and cognitive sciences, attempts to connect brain function to cognition are hampered by the large explanatory gap between psychology and neurobiology. In recent years, a neurocomputational perspective has emerged as the most promising approach to integrating brain and mind. According to this perspective, the brain is a special sort of computer, a system of many parallel neural networks whose operation underlies cognition. In this paper, we present this neurocomputational perspective and examine the ways in which this new approach to explaining our mental skills differs from earlier ones. In particular, we examine its emerging insights into two domains. First, we explore the neurocomputational approach to decision-making, the adaptive guidance of behavior in the satisfaction of life maintenance goals. Decision-making is central to all mobile creatures in an uncertain environment, and this approach reveals a surprising conservation of decision-making strategies across many species. We then examine the neurocomputational approach's new insights into characterizing cognitive development. In particular, this approach offers the new framework of self-organization to characterize the complex interaction between neural developmental programs and the environment, a framework that has important implications for understanding early intervention. MRDD Research Reviews 1999;5:86–99. © 1999 Wiley-Liss, Inc. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1999
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12. The Wisdom of Networks: A General Adaptation and Learning Mechanism of Complex Systems.
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Csermely, Peter
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DECISION making ,SOCIAL networks ,DELIBERATIVE democracy ,ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,SIGNALS & signaling - Abstract
I hypothesize that re-occurring prior experience of complex systems mobilizes a fast response, whose attractor is encoded by their strongly connected network core. In contrast, responses to novel stimuli are often slow and require the weakly connected network periphery. Upon repeated stimulus, peripheral network nodes remodel the network core that encodes the attractor of the new response. This 'core-periphery learning' theory reviews and generalizes the heretofore fragmented knowledge on attractor formation by neural networks, periphery-driven innovation, and a number of recent reports on the adaptation of protein, neuronal, and social networks. The core-periphery learning theory may increase our understanding of signaling, memory formation, information encoding and decision-making processes. Moreover, the power of network periphery-related 'wisdom of crowds' inventing creative, novel responses indicates that deliberative democracy is a slow yet efficient learning strategy developed as the success of a billion-year evolution. Also see the video abstract here: . [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
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13. Case-Based Reasoning: Application Techniques for Decision Support.
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Hansen, James V., Meservy, Rayman D., and Wood, E.
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CASE-based reasoning ,DECISION making ,ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,TAX auditing ,CORPORATE taxes - Abstract
Decision-support systems can be improved by enabling them to use past decisions to assist in making present ones. Reasoning from relevant past cases is appealing because it corresponds to some of the processes an expert uses to solve problems quickly and accurately. All this depends on an effective method of organizing cases for retrieval. This paper investigates the use of inductive networks as a means for case organization and outlines an approach to determining the desired number of cases--or assessing the reliability of a given number. Our method is demonstrated by application to decision making on corporate tax audits. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1995
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14. Stepping beyond your comfort zone: Diffusion‐based network analytics for knowledge trajectory recommendation.
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Zhang, Yi, Wu, Mengjia, Zhang, Guangquan, and Lu, Jie
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EXPERIMENTAL design ,BIBLIOMETRICS ,INTELLECT ,INFORMATION science ,DECISION making ,SEMANTIC Web ,ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,DIFFUSION of innovations - Abstract
Predicting a researcher's knowledge trajectories beyond their current foci can leverage potential inter‐/cross‐/multi‐disciplinary interactions to achieve exploratory innovation. In this study, we present a method of diffusion‐based network analytics for knowledge trajectory recommendation. The method begins by constructing a heterogeneous bibliometric network consisting of a co‐topic layer and a co‐authorship layer. A novel link prediction approach with a diffusion strategy is then used to capture the interactions between social elements (e.g., collaboration) and knowledge elements (e.g., technological similarity) in the process of exploratory innovation. This diffusion strategy differentiates the interactions occurring among homogeneous and heterogeneous nodes in the heterogeneous bibliometric network and weights the strengths of these interactions. Two sets of experiments—one with a local dataset and the other with a global dataset—demonstrate that the proposed method is prior to 10 selected baselines in link prediction, recommender systems, and upstream graph representation learning. A case study recommending knowledge trajectories of information scientists with topical hierarchy and explainable mediators reveals the proposed method's reliability and potential practical uses in broad scenarios. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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15. Deep learning for osteoarthritis classification in temporomandibular joint.
- Author
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Jung, Won, Lee, Kyung‐Eun, Suh, Bong‐Jik, Seok, Hyun, and Lee, Dae‐Woo
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DEEP learning ,PANORAMIC radiography ,DENTISTS ,ARTIFICIAL intelligence ,COMPARATIVE studies ,OSTEOARTHRITIS ,DECISION making ,RESEARCH funding ,DESCRIPTIVE statistics ,TEMPOROMANDIBULAR disorders ,COMPUTER-aided diagnosis ,COMPUTER-assisted image analysis (Medicine) ,DECISION making in clinical medicine ,SENSITIVITY & specificity (Statistics) ,STATISTICAL sampling ,ARTIFICIAL neural networks - Abstract
Objectives: This study aimed to develop a diagnostic support tool using pretrained models for classifying panoramic images of the temporomandibular joint (TMJ) into normal and osteoarthritis (OA) cases. Subjects and Methods: A total of 858 panoramic images of the TMJ (395 normal and 463 TMJ‐OA) were obtained from 518 individuals from January 2015 to December 2018. The data were randomly divided into training, validation, and testing sets (6:2:2). We used pretrained Resnet152 and EfficientNet‐B7 as transfer learning models. The accuracy, specificity, sensitivity, area under the curve, and gradient‐weighted class activation mapping (grad‐CAM) of both trained models were evaluated. The performances of the trained models were compared to that of dentists (both TMD specialists and general dentists). Results: The classification accuracies of ResNet‐152 and EfficientNet‐B7 were 0.87 and 0.88, respectively. The trained models exhibited the highest accuracy in OA classification. In the grad‐CAM analysis, the trained models focused on specific areas in osteoarthritis images where erosion or osteophyte were observed. Conclusions: The artificial intelligence model improved the diagnostic power of TMJ‐OA when trained with two‐dimensional panoramic condyle images and can be effectively applied by dentists as a screening diagnostic tool for TMJ‐OA. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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16. LineageD: An Interactive Visual System for Plant Cell Lineage Assignments based on Correctable Machine Learning.
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Hong, Jiayi, Trubuil, Alain, and Isenberg, Tobias
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MACHINE learning ,ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,PLANT cells & tissues ,BOTANISTS ,CELL division ,DECISION making ,BIOLOGISTS - Abstract
We describe LineageD—a hybrid web‐based system to predict, visualize, and interactively adjust plant embryo cell lineages. Currently, plant biologists explore the development of an embryo and its hierarchical cell lineage manually, based on a 3D dataset that represents the embryo status at one point in time. This human decision‐making process, however, is time‐consuming, tedious, and error‐prone due to the lack of integrated graphical support for specifying the cell lineage. To fill this gap, we developed a new system to support the biologists in their tasks using an interactive combination of 3D visualization, abstract data visualization, and correctable machine learning to modify the proposed cell lineage. We use existing manually established cell lineages to obtain a neural network model. We then allow biologists to use this model to repeatedly predict assignments of a single cell division stage. After each hierarchy level prediction, we allow them to interactively adjust the machine learning based assignment, which we then integrate into the pool of verified assignments for further predictions. In addition to building the hierarchy this way in a bottom‐up fashion, we also offer users to divide the whole embryo and create the hierarchy tree in a top‐down fashion for a few steps, improving the ML‐based assignments by reducing the potential for wrong predictions. We visualize the continuously updated embryo and its hierarchical development using both 3D spatial and abstract tree representations, together with information about the model's confidence and spatial properties. We conducted case study validations with five expert biologists to explore the utility of our approach and to assess the potential for LineageD to be used in their daily workflow. We found that the visualizations of both 3D representations and abstract representations help with decision making and the hierarchy tree top‐down building approach can reduce assignments errors in real practice. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
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17. Exploring how feedback reflects entrustment decisions using artificial intelligence.
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Gin, Brian C., ten Cate, Olle, O'Sullivan, Patricia S., Hauer, Karen E., and Boscardin, Christy
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NATURAL language processing ,MEDICAL students ,ARTIFICIAL intelligence ,CONCEPTUAL structures ,DECISION making ,QUESTIONNAIRES ,ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,RECEIVER operating characteristic curves - Abstract
Context Clinical supervisors make judgements about how much to trust learners with critical activities in patient care. Such decisions mediate trainees' opportunities for learning and competency development and thus are a critical component of education. As educators apply entrustment frameworks to assessment, it is important to determine how narrative feedback reflecting entrustment may also address learners' educational needs. Methods: In this study, we used artificial intelligence (AI) and natural language processing (NLP) to identify characteristics of feedback tied to supervisors' entrustment decisions during direct observation encounters of clerkship medical students (3328 unique observations). Supervisors conducted observations of students and collaborated with them to complete an entrustment‐based assessment in which they documented narrative feedback and assigned an entrustment rating. We trained a deep neural network (DNN) to predict entrustment levels from the narrative data and developed an explainable AI protocol to uncover the latent thematic features the DNN used to make its prediction. Results: We found that entrustment levels were associated with level of detail (specific steps for performing clinical tasks), feedback type (constructive versus reinforcing) and task type (procedural versus cognitive). In justifying both high and low levels of entrustment, supervisors detailed concrete steps that trainees performed (or did not yet perform) competently. Conclusions: Framing our results in the factors previously identified as influencing entrustment, we find a focus on performance details related to trainees' clinical competency as opposed to nonspecific feedback on trainee qualities. The entrustment framework reflected in feedback appeared to guide specific goal‐setting, combined with details necessary to reach those goals. Our NLP methodology can also serve as a starting point for future work on entrustment and feedback as similar assessment datasets accumulate. Using natural language processing, Gin et al demonstrate how narrative feedback and entrustment decisions are intertwined, providing empirical evidence regarding how formative processes can help trainees achieve competencies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
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18. NEURO-GENETIC PREDICTIONS OF CURRENCY CRISES.
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Sarlin, Peter and Marghescu, Dorina
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CURRENCY crises ,PREDICTION models ,GENETIC algorithms ,PARAMETER estimation ,ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,DECISION making ,GENERALIZATION - Abstract
SUMMARY We create a neuro-genetic (NG) model for predicting currency crises by using a genetic algorithm for specifying (1) the combination of inputs, (2) the network configuration and (3) the training parameters for a back-propagation artificial neural network (ANN). The performance of the NG model is evaluated by comparing it with standalone probit and ANN models in terms of utility for a policy decision-maker. We show that the NG model provides better in-sample and out-of-sample performance, as well as provides an automatic and more objective calibration of a predictive ANN model. We show that using a genetic algorithm for finding an optimal model specification for an ANN is not only less laborious for the analyst, but also more accurate in terms of classifying in-sample and predicting out-of-sample crises. For a sufficiently parsimonious, but still nonlinear, model for generalized processing of out-of-sample data, the creation and evaluation of models is performed objectively using only in-sample information as well as an early stopping procedure. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2011
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19. Application of spatial multicriteria decision analysis in healthcare: Identifying drivers and triggers of infectious disease outbreaks using ensemble learning.
- Author
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Devarakonda, Phani, Sadasivuni, Ravi, Nobrega, Rodrigo A. A., and Wu, Jianhong
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DECISION making ,COMMUNICABLE diseases ,DISEASE outbreaks ,ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,GEOGRAPHIC information systems ,DISEASE vectors ,MALARIA - Abstract
Modelling infectious diseases is a complex and multi‐disciplinary problem that necessitates the combined use of multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) and machine learning (ML) in a spatial framework. This research attempts to demonstrate the extensive applications of MCDA in the field of public health and to illustrate its utility with the combined use of spatial models and machine learning. The study investigates the risk factors for communicable diseases with a focus on vector‐borne infectious diseases, such as West Nile Virus (WNV), malaria, dengue, etc. It aims to quantify vector‐borne disease risk by examining the geographic contextual effects of socio‐economic, climatic, and environmental factors using the objective‐weighting technique adopted from MCDA and machine learning in a geographic information systems (GIS) framework. The authors attempted to minimize subjective bias from the decision space by utilizing an objective‐weighted technique to quantify the risk. The study adopted Shannon's entropy to derive weights for each factor and its classes. The derived weighted layers are fed to an artificial neural network to obtain a final map of risk susceptibility. This final risk map allows policymakers to examine vulnerable areas and identify the factors pivotal to the contribution of risk. Findings show the traffic volume as the most influential variable, and terrain slope as the least one in the disease spread for the study area. The risk appears to be concentrated and distributed along vegetation, wetlands, and around water bodies. The results produced by ensemble learning show great promise with more than 94% accuracy. The accuracy of the results was determined by the confusion matrix and the kappa index of agreement (KIA). The vector control programmes need to adapt to better manage the dynamic changes in patterns involving vector‐borne infectious diseases. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
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20. Active perception and recognition learning system based on Actor-Q architecture<FNR></FNR><FN>The basic idea for this study was presented at the Technical Group Meeting, IEICEJ, March 1997. </FN>.
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Shibata, Katsunari, Nishino, Tetsuo, and Okabe, Yoichi
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ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,LEARNING ,COGNITIVE science ,ARTIFICIAL intelligence ,REINFORCEMENT (Psychology) ,DECISION making - Abstract
This paper proposes the Actor-Q architecture, which is a combination of Q-Learning and Actor-Critic architecture, as well as the active perception and recognition learning system based on that architecture. In Actor-Q architecture, the system output is divided into the “action,” which is a discrete value as intention, and the “motion,” which is a continuous-valued vector. As the first step, the “action” is determined from Q-values. If the “action” is accompanied with a “motion,” the “motion” is executed according to the corresponding Actor output. Q-value is learned by Q-learning, and Actor is trained with the Q-value corresponding to that “action” on behalf of the Critic output. In this study, the action is defined as the decision of the sensor motion or the recognition of the respective pattern. Q-value is assigned to each of those. When the sensor motion is selected, the sensor is moved according to the Actor output. When recognition is selected, the recognition result that the presented pattern is the one corresponding to the selected Q-value is output. The Q-value is learned, using the reinforcement signal representing the true/false of the result. Both Q-value computing module and Actor are composed of neural networks, with the visual sensor signals as input. By this architecture, the following three problems of the conventional active perception and recognition learning system are dissolved. (1) The sensor can be trapped in a local maximum of the recognition evaluation. (2) It is necessary that the recognition output should be evaluated for each time-step, and the reinforcement signal with a continuous value should be provided. (3) The system cannot decide by itself the timing to output the recognition result. The above effect was verified by some simulations, using the visual sensor with nonuniform sensor cells. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Syst Comp Jpn, 33(14): 12–22, 2002; Published online in Wiley InterScience (
www.interscience.wiley.com ). DOI 10.1002/scj.10207 [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2002
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21. Evaluation of the going-concern status for companies: An ensemble framework-based model.
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Yu-Feng Hsu and Wei-Po Lee
- Subjects
DECISION making ,AUDITORS - Abstract
Issuing a going-concern opinion is a difficult and complex task for auditors. The auditors have to take into account different critical factors in order to make the right decision based on information obtained from the auditing process. This study adopts the so-called "random forest" approach (based on the ensemble method) to assist auditors in making such a decision. To investigate the corresponding effect of the proposed approach, we conduct a series of experiments and a performance comparison. The results show that the random forest method outperforms the baseline methods in terms of the accuracy rate, ROC area, kappa value, type II error, precision, and recall rate. The proposed approach is proven to be more accurate and stable than previous methods. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
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22. A scalable model of vegetation transitions using deep neural networks.
- Author
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Rammer, Werner, Seidl, Rupert, and McMahon, Sean
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VEGETATION dynamics ,ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,DECISION making ,CARBON sequestration ,BIODIVERSITY - Abstract
In times of rapid global change, anticipating vegetation changes and assessing their impacts is of key relevance to managers and policy makers. Yet, predicting vegetation dynamics often suffers from an inherent scale mismatch, with abundant data and process understanding being available at a fine spatial grain, but the relevance for decision‐making is increasing with spatial extent.We present a novel approach for scaling vegetation dynamics (SVD), using deep learning to predict vegetation transitions. Vegetation is discretized into a large number (103–106) of potential states based on its structure, composition and functioning. Transition probabilities between states are estimated via a deep neural network (DNN) trained on observed or simulated vegetation transitions in combination with environmental variables. The impact of vegetation transitions on important ecological indicators is quantified by probabilistically linking attributes such as carbon storage and biodiversity to vegetation states.Here, we describe the SVD approach and present results of applying the framework in a meta‐modelling context. We trained a DNN using simulations of a process‐based forest landscape model for a complex mountain forest landscape under different climate scenarios. Subsequently, we evaluated the ability of SVD to project long‐term vegetation dynamics and the resulting changes in forest carbon storage and biodiversity. SVD captured spatial (e.g. elevational gradients) and temporal (e.g. species succession) patterns of vegetation dynamics well, and responded realistically to changing environmental conditions. In addition, we tested the computational efficiency of the approach, highlighting the utility of SVD for country‐ to continental scale applications.SVD is the—to our knowledge—first vegetation model harnessing deep neural networks. The approach has high predictive accuracy and is able to generalize well beyond training data. SVD was designed to run on widely available input data (e.g. vegetation states defined from remote sensing, gridded global climate datasets) and exceeds the computational performance of currently available highly optimized landscape models by three to four orders of magnitude. We conclude that SVD is a promising approach for combining detailed process knowledge on fine‐grained ecosystem processes with the increasingly available big ecological datasets for improved large‐scale projections of vegetation dynamics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
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23. Adaptive Tactical Pricing in Multi-Agent Supply Chain Markets Using Economic Regimes.
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Hogenboom, Alexander, Ketter, Wolfgang, Dalen, Jan, Kaymak, Uzay, Collins, John, and Gupta, Alok
- Subjects
SUPPLY chain management ,DECISION making ,PRICING ,MACHINE learning ,ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,PROFITABILITY - Abstract
ABSTRACT In today's complex and dynamic supply chain markets, information systems are essential for effective supply chain management. Complex decision making processes on strategic, tactical, and operational levels require substantial timely support in order to contribute to organizations' agility. Consequently, there is a need for sophisticated dynamic product pricing mechanisms that can adapt quickly to changing market conditions and competitors' strategies. We propose a two-layered machine learning approach to compute tactical pricing decisions in real time. The first layer estimates prevailing economic conditions-economic regimes-identifying and predicting current and future market conditions. In the second layer, we train a neural network for each regime to estimate price distributions in real time using available information. The neural networks compute offer acceptance probabilities from a tactical perspective to meet desired sales quotas. We validate our approach in the trading agent competition for supply chain management. When competing against the world's leading agents, the performance of our system significantly improves compared to using only economic regimes to predict prices. Profits increase significantly even though the prices and sales volume do not change significantly. Instead, tactical pricing results in a more efficient sales strategy by reducing both finished goods and components inventory costs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
24. Improving Decision Effectiveness of Artificial Neural Networks: A Modified Genetic Algorithm Approach.
- Author
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Sexton, Randall S., Sriram, Ram S., and Etheridge, Harlan
- Subjects
ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,ARTIFICIAL intelligence ,DECISION support systems ,DECISION making ,GENETIC algorithms ,ALGORITHMS - Abstract
This study proposes the use of a modified genetic algorithm (MGA), a global search technique, as a training method to improve generalizability and to identify relevant inputs in a neural network (NN) model. Generalizability refers to the NN model's ability to perform well on exemplars (observations) that were not used during training (out-of-sample); improved generalizability enhances NN's acceptability as a valid decision-support tool. The MGA improves generalizability by setting unnecessary weights (or connections) to zero and by eliminating these weights. Because the eliminated weights have no further impact on the training (in-sample or out-of-sample data), the relevant variables can be identified from the model. By eliminating unnecessary weights, the MGA is able to search and find a parsimonious model that generalizes well. Unlike the traditional NN, the MGA identifies the model variables that contribute to an outcome, helping decision makers to rationalize output and accept results with greater confidence. The study uses real-life data to demonstrate the use of MGA. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2003
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
25. Combining Neural Networks and Statistical Predictions to Solve the Classification Problem in Discriminant Analysis.
- Author
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Markham, Ina S. and Ragsdale, Cliff T.
- Subjects
DECISION making ,DECISION support systems ,MANAGEMENT information systems ,ARTIFICIAL intelligence ,ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,DISCRIMINANT analysis ,FORECASTING ,EXPERT systems - Abstract
A number of recent studies have compared the performance of neural networks (NNs) to a variety of statistical techniques for the classification problem in discriminant analysis. The empirical results of these comparative studies indicate that while NNs often outperform the more traditional statistical approaches to classification, this is not always the case. Thus, decision makers interested in solving classification problems are left in a quandary as to what tool to use on a particular data set. We present a new approach to solving classification problems by combining the predictions of a well-known statistical tool with those of an NN to create composite predictions that are more accurate than either of the individual techniques used in isolation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1995
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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