1. Extracellular volume fraction determined by equilibrium contrast-enhanced dual-energy CT as a prognostic factor in patients with stage IV pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.
- Author
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Fukukura Y, Kumagae Y, Higashi R, Hakamada H, Nakajo M, Maemura K, Arima S, and Yoshiura T
- Subjects
- Adult, Extracellular Space diagnostic imaging, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Prognosis, Pancreatic Neoplasms, Carcinoma, Pancreatic Ductal diagnosis, Cone-Beam Computed Tomography methods, Contrast Media pharmacology, Neoplasm Staging methods, Pancreatic Neoplasms diagnosis
- Abstract
Objectives: To evaluate the feasibility of equilibrium contrast-enhanced dual-energy CT (DECT), as compared with single-energy CT (SECT) and to calculate extracellular volume (ECV) fraction to predict the survival outcomes of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients with distant metastases (stage IV) treated with chemotherapy., Methods: The study cohort included a total of 66 patients with stage IV PDAC who underwent DECT before systemic chemotherapy between July 2014 and March 2017. Unenhanced and 120-kVp equivalent images during the equilibrium phase were used to calculate tumor SECT-derived ECV fractions, and iodine density images were obtained from equilibrium-phase DECT for DECT-derived ECV fractions. Correlations between SECT- and DECT-derived ECV fractions were identified using the Pearson correlation coefficient and Bland-Altman analysis. The effects of clinical prognostic factors and tumor SECT- and DECT-derived ECV fractions on progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed by univariate and multivariate analyses using Cox proportional hazards models., Results: The correlation between SECT- and DECT-derived ECV fractions was strong (r = 0.965; p < 0.001). The Bland-Altman plot between SECT- and DECT-derived ECV fractions showed a small bias (- 3.4%). Increasing tumor SECT- and DECT-derived ECV fractions were associated with a positive effect on PFS (SECT, p = 0.002; DECT, p = 0.007) and OS (DECT, p = 0.014; DECT, p = 0.015). Only tumor DECT-derived ECV fraction was an independent predictor of PFS (p = 0.018) and OS (p = 0.022) in patients with stage IV PDAC treated with chemotherapy on multivariate analysis., Conclusions: The ECV fraction determined by equilibrium contrast-enhanced DECT can potentially predict the survival of patients with stage IV PDAC treated with chemotherapy., Key Points: • Extracellular volume fraction of stage IV pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma determined by dual-energy CT was strongly correlated to that with single-energy CT (r = 0.965, p < 0.001). • Tumor extracellular volume fraction was an independent predictor of progression-free survival (p = 0.018) and overall survival (p = 0.022). • Extracellular volume fraction determined by dual-energy CT could be a useful imaging biomarker to predict the survival of patients with stage IV pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma treated with chemotherapy.
- Published
- 2020
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