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Study Design. Retrospective review of prospectively collected data. Objective. To identify the risk factors associated with failure to respond to erector spinae plane (ESP) block following minimally invasive transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion (MI-TLIF). Summary of Background Data. ESP block is an emerging opioid-sparing regional anesthetic that has been shown to reduce immediate postoperative pain and opioid demand following MI-TLIF--however, not all patients who receive ESP blocks perioperatively experience a reduction in immediate postoperative pain. Methods. This was a retrospective review of consecutive patients undergoing one-level MI-TLIF who received ESP blocks by a single anesthesiologist perioperatively at a single institution. ESP blocks were administered in the OR following induction. Failure to respond to ESP block was defined as patients with a first numerical rating scale (NRS) score postsurgery of >5.7 (mean immediate postoperative NRS score of control cohort undergoing MI TLIF without ESP block). Multivariable logistic regressions were performed to identify predictors for failure to respond to ESP block. Results. A total of 134 patients were included (mean age 60.6 yr, 43.3% females). The median and interquartile range (IQR) first pain score postsurgery was 2.5 (0.0-7.5). Forty-nine (36.6%) patients failed to respond to ESP block. In the multivariable regression analysis, several independent predictors for failure to respond to ESP block following MI TLIF were identified: female sex (OR 2.33, 95% CI 1.04-5.98, P= 0.040), preoperative opioid use (OR 2.75, 95% CI 1.03-7.30, P= 0.043), anxiety requiring medication (OR 3.83, 95% CI 1.27-11.49, P= 0.017), and hyperlipidemia (OR 3.15, 95% CI 1.31-7.55, P= 0.010). Conclusions. Our study identified several predictors for failure to respond to ESP block following MI TLIF, including female gender, preoperative opioid pain medication use, anxiety, and hyperlipidemia. These findings may help inform the approach to counseling patients on perioperative outcomes and pain expectations following MI-TLIF with ESP block. Level of Evidence. 3 [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background and Purpose: Walking speed (WS) is an easily assessable and interpretable functional outcome measure with great utility for the physical therapist providing care to older adults. Since WS was proposed as the sixth vital sign, research into its interpretation and use has flourished. The purpose of this scoping review is to identify the current prognostic value of WS for the older adult. Methods: A scoping review was conducted using PubMed, CINAHL, and SPORTDiscus to find relevant articles highlighting the predictive capabilities of WS for older adults. Titles and abstracts were reviewed to identify relevant articles. Articles were excluded based on the following criteria: sample included both younger and older adults without separate analyses, sample was focused on a particular disease, if the study was published before 2017, or if the study did not report relevant cut points for interpretation of WS. The search returned 1064 results. Following removal of articles not meeting inclusion criteria and critical appraisal, relevant cut points were extracted from 47 original research publications. Results and Discussion: A preliminary review of the included articles showed that WS is a valuable prognostic tool across many health domains, including mental health, mortality, disability, pain, bone and joint health, falls, cognition, physical activity, metabolic health, risk for cardiovascular disease, socialization, and metabolic health. The fastest WS of 1.32 meters per second (m/s) served as a cutoff for decreased risk for incident development of type 2 diabetes, while the slowest WS of less than 0.2 m/s was associated with increased duration of hospitalization. Multiple studies reported on the prognostic value of WS slower than 1.0 m/s. Conclusion: Although the reported range of predictive WS values was broad, multiple studies found WS of approximately 1.0 m/s to be a useful marker for delineating risk or decline across a variety of health domains. Clinicians may find it useful to use a WS slower than 1.0 m/s as a "yellow flag" to guide evaluation and intervention for their older adult clients. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objectives: Our study aimed to investigate the association between shift work and stroke and determinewhether this association varies depending on the presence of insomnia. Methods: Utilizing the KoGES prospective cohort data, our primary exposure variables were shift work and insomnia. The occurrence of strokewas themain outcome of interest. Hazards ratios and 95%confidence intervals were estimated using Cox regression analysis. An interaction analysis was conducted to assess the interaction of shift work and insomnia on stroke incidence. Results: In the interaction analysis, shift work was significantly associated with stroke incidence only in groupswith insomnia and a hazards ratio of 2.49 (95% confidence interval, 1.02-6.11). Conclusions: Our study demonstrated that shift work was associated with a higher risk of stroke among the population with insomnia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: Using a comprehensive Australian cohort, we quantified the incidence and determined the independent predictors of intraoperative and postoperative complications associated with antireflux and hiatus hernia surgeries. In addition, we performed an in-depth analysis to understand the complication profiles associated with each independent risk factor. Background: Predicting perioperative risks for fundoplication and hiatus hernia repair will inform treatment decision-making, hospital resource allocation, and benchmarking. However, available risk calculators do not account for hernia anatomy or technical aspects of surgery in estimating perioperative risk. Methods: Retrospective analysis of all elective antireflux and hiatus hernia surgeries in 36 Australian hospitals over 10 years. Hierarchical multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the independent predictors of intraoperative and postoperative complications accounting for patient, surgical, anatomic, and perioperative factors. Results: A total of 4301 surgeries were analyzed. Of these, 1569 (36.5%) were large/giant hernias and 292 (6.8%) were revisional procedures. The incidence rates of intraoperative and postoperative complications were 12.6% and 13.3%, respectively. The Charlson Comorbidity Index, hernia size, revisional surgery, and baseline anticoagulant usage independently predicted both intraoperative and postoperative complications. These risk factors were associated with their own complication profiles. Finally, using risk matrices, we visualized the cumulative impact of these 4 risk factors on the development of intraoperative, overall postoperative, and major postoperative complications. Conclusions: This study has improved our understanding of perioperative morbidity associated with antireflux and hiatus hernia surgery. Our findings group patients along a spectrum of perioperative risks that inform care at an individual and institutional level. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BACKGROUND: Previous meta-analyses resurrected the debated statement "the lower, the better" following blood pressure (BP)-lowering treatment. We investigated the benefits of BP-lowering treatment at different BP targets by prevention category. METHODS: The meta-analysis protocol was registered at the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (CRD42022379249). The database included 115 BP-lowering or comparison trials from patients with (n=241 089) or without (n=198 937) previous cardiovascular events. Prevention disease groups were stratified by in-treatment achieved BP, drug class versus placebo, and drug class versus other classes. Risk ratios and 95% CIs of major adverse cardiovascular events were calculated. RESULTS: Following a standard (10/5 mm Hg) BP reduction, major adverse cardiovascular event relative risk reductions were not different between prevention groups (primary, 25% [95% CI, 18%–31%]; secondary, 28% [95% CI, 20%–37%]). For achieved systolic BP of at least 140 mm Hg, between 130 and 140 mm Hg, and <130 mm Hg (nadir, 125 mm Hg), (1) risk ratios of major adverse cardiovascular events and absolute risk reductions were not different between prevention groups across systolic BP strata, and (2) residual risk, though 4.1× greater in secondary than primary prevention, decreased in primary prevention from higher to lower systolic BP targets. The effect of separate drugs versus others on the primary outcome was not different between prevention groups. CONCLUSIONS: BP-lowering treatment benefits did not differ by prevention group to a nadir of 125 mm Hg for systolic BP. Although residual risk in secondary prevention is higher than in primary prevention, it gradually decreases at progressively lower systolic BP targets in primary prevention. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/; Unique identifier: CRD42022379249. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

INTRODUCTION: Individuals with familial adenomatous polyposis (FAP) have an almost 20% lifetime risk of duodenal adenocarcinoma, currently the leading cause of death in FAP. The Spigelman staging system provides guidance on the surveillance intervals and timing of prophylactic surgery. Still, its accuracy in predicting duodenal and papillary cancer development has not been systematically evaluated. We investigated the sensitivity and cancer risk of the Spigelman stages. METHODS: We performed a systematic review on PubMed, MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane and used a randomeffects model to pool effect sizes. RESULTS: After removing duplicate entries, we screened 1,170 records and included 27 studies for quantitative analysis. Once duodenal polyposis reaches Spigelman stage IV, the risk of duodenal and papillary cancers increased to 25% (95% confidence interval [CI] 12%-45%). However, the sensitivity of Spigelman stage IV for these cancers was low (51%, 95% CI 42%-60%), especially for papillary adenocarcinoma (39%, 95% CI 16%-68%). We investigated the reasons behind these low values and observed that duodenal cancer risk factors included polyps >10 mm, polyp count >20, and polyps with high-grade dysplasia. Risk factors associated with papillary cancer included a papilla with high-grade dysplasia or >10 mm. The evidence on other risk factors was inconclusive. DISCUSSION: The current Spigelman staging systemhad a low sensitivity for duodenal and papillary adenocarcinomas. Two Spigelman variables (duodenal villous histology and polyp count) and the lack of papilla-specific variables likely contributed to the low sensitivity values for duodenal and papillary cancers, respectively. While clinicians may be familiar with its current form, there is an urgent need to update it. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The article "Kidney Disease as a Cardiovascular Disease Priority" published in Circulation discusses the intertwined nature of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and cardiovascular disease (CVD), emphasizing their impact on patient outcomes. It explores the mechanisms linking CKD and CVD, highlighting common risk factors and CKD-specific factors that contribute to cardiovascular risk. The article also addresses the need for targeted therapies to modify cardio-kidney outcomes in people with CKD, suggesting novel approaches to reduce cardiovascular risk in this population. [Extracted from the article]

This article explores the management of subclinical atrial fibrillation (AF) detected by devices and smartwatches. It discusses the uncertainty surrounding the use of anticoagulation in patients with only device-detected AF, as observational studies have shown lower rates of stroke compared to clinically evident AF. Two trials on direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) showed a reduction in stroke but an increase in major bleeding. The authors suggest considering oral anticoagulation for patients with device-detected AF using shared decision-making, but acknowledge the need for further research. The article emphasizes the importance of considering individual patient preferences and values when making treatment decisions. [Extracted from the article]

Study Design. Systematic review and meta-analysis. Objective. Using a network meta-analysis (NMA), this study aimed to compare the risks of C5 palsy after three different procedures of anterior cervical decompression. Summary of Background Data. C5 palsy is a well-known complication affecting the quality of life after anterior procedures. Due to the limited evidence on the various procedures available, we evaluate the basis for selection to prevent palsy and achieve maximal decompression in cases spanning 3-6 levels. Materials and Methods. We conducted a comprehensive search for C5 palsy and complications after 3representative procedures, including anterior cervical discectomy and fusion (ACDF), anterior cervical corpectomy and fusion (ACCF), and their combination (hybrid), involving 3 to 6 intervertebral levels. The incidence of C5 palsy was compared using a NMA. Results. We identified 1655 patients in 11 studies who met inclusion criteria. Sixty-nine patients (4.2%) developed delayed C5 palsies. The incidences among ACDF, ACCF, and hybrid cases were 2.3% (16/684, 95% CI: 1.4% to 3.8%), 6.4% (39/613, 95% CI: 4.7% to 8.6%), and 3.9% (14/358, 95% CI: 2.3% to 6.5%), respectively (P < 0.01). A NMA was performed for 15 pairwise comparisons across the 3 procedure arms: ACDF versus hybrid, 7/ 232 (3.0%) versus 11/234 (4.7%); hybrid versus ACCF, 14/301 (4.3%) versus 18/224 (8.0%); ACCF versus ACDF, 38/523 (7.8%) versus 16/619 (2.6%). Compared with ACDF, the risk of C5 palsy was significantly higher in ACCF (odds ratio: 2.72, 95% CI: 1.47 to 5.01), whereas ACDF versus hybrid did not significantly differ in risk (odds ratio: 1.56, 95% CI: 0.68 to 3.60). Conclusion. We determined that ACCF was associated with a higher risk of postoperative C5 palsy than ACDF in cases spanning 3 to 6 intervertebral levels. If practicable, ACDF surgery may be an appropriate choice for cases requiring anterior decompression of 3 to 6 levels. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BACKGROUND: The optimal approach to identify individuals with diabetes who are at a high risk for developing heart failure (HF) to inform implementation of preventive therapies is unknown, especially in those without atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). METHODS: Adults with diabetes and no HF at baseline from 7 community-based cohorts were included. Participants without ASCVD who were at high risk for developing HF were identified using 1-step screening strategies: risk score (WATCHDM [Weight, Age, Hypertension, Creatinine, HDL-C, Diabetes Control, QRS Duration, MI, and CABG] =12), NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide =125 pg/mL), hs-cTn (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T =14 ng/L; hs-cTnI =31 ng/L), and echocardiography-based diabetic cardiomyopathy (echo-DbCM; left atrial enlargement, left ventricular hypertrophy, or diastolic dysfunction). High-risk participants were also identified using 2-step screening strategies with a second test to identify residual risk among those deemed low risk by the first test: WATCH-DM/NT-proBNP, NT-proBNP/hs-cTn, NTproBNP/echo-DbCM. Across screening strategies, the proportion of HF events identified, 5-year number needed to treat and number needed to screen to prevent 1 HF event with an SGLT2i (sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor) among high-risk participants, and cost of screening were estimated. RESULTS: The initial study cohort included 6293 participants (48.2% women), of whom 77.7% without prevalent ASCVD were evaluated with different HF screening strategies. At 5-year follow-up, 6.2% of participants without ASCVD developed incident HF. The 5-year number needed to treat to prevent 1 HF event with an SGLT2i among participants without ASCVD was 43 (95% CI, 29-72). In the cohort without ASCVD, high-risk participants identified using 1-step screening strategies had a low 5-year number needed to treat (22 for NT-proBNP to 37 for echo-DbCM). However, a substantial proportion of HF events occurred among participants identified as low risk using 1-step screening approaches (29% for echo-DbCM to 47% for hs-cTn). Two-step screening strategies captured most HF events (75-89%) in the high-risk subgroup with a comparable 5-year number needed to treat as the 1-step screening approaches (30-32). The 5-year number needed to screen to prevent 1 HF event was similar across 2-step screening strategies (45-61). However, the number of tests and associated costs were lowest for WATCH-DM/NT-proBNP ($1061) compared with other 2-step screening strategies (NT-proBNP/hs-cTn: $2894; NT-proBNP/echo-DbCM: $16 358). CONCLUSIONS: Selective NT-proBNP testing based on the WATCH-DM score efficiently identified a high-risk primary prevention population with diabetes expected to derive marked absolute benefits from SGLT2i to prevent HF. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The article discusses the use of heart failure hospitalization (HFH) as a surrogate for mortality risk in heart failure (HF). It explores the perception that HFHs are markers of HF progression and a surrogate for mortality risk, but also highlights studies that suggest a discordance between HFHs and mortality risk. The article proposes three settings of worsening HF: conventional care with urgent HF events, preemptive HF events with optimized care, and averted HF events through early detection and treatment. It concludes that preemptive HFHs may not be a marker of risk and subsequent death. [Extracted from the article]

INTRODUCTION: Gastric adenoma is a precursor lesion of gastric cancer. We investigated whether the removal of gastric adenoma prevented gastric cancer incidence and its mortality. METHODS: Using the linkage of nationwide databases, we assessed gastric cancer incidence and mortality among patients who had gastric adenomas removed between 2011 and 2013 in Korea. These outcomes were compared primarily with those of the Korean general population by estimating the standardized incidence and mortality ratio and secondarily with internal control subjects who did not have gastric neoplasm after esophagogastroduodenoscopy and were matched for age, sex, and calendar year by calculating hazard ratios (HR) with the Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: We identified 44,405 adenoma removal patients. During a median follow-up of 8.4 years, 1,038 (2.34%) of them were given a diagnosis of gastric cancer and a total of 524 gastric cancers were expected for a standard incidence ratio of 1.98 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.84-2.13). A total of 199 deaths from gastric cancer were expected and 99 were observed for a standard mortality ratio of 0.50 (95% CI, 0.40-0.60). Compared with the nonadenoma cohort (n 5 39,826), the adenoma removal patients had a higher risk of gastric cancer (HR, 2.84; 95% CI, 2.51-3.21) and associated mortality (HR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.19-2.31). DISCUSSION: Removal of gastric adenoma resulted in lower-than-expected mortality but higher-than-expected incidence due to gastric cancer than that in the general population. Our analyses indicated the importance of follow-up strategy after removal of gastric adenoma. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BACKGROUND: Fetal preeclampsia exposure has been associated with later cardiometabolic disease. However, this association has been investigated in few large population-wide studies, and it is unknown whether the association represents a causal relationship or is the result of shared etiological factors. METHODS: To further investigate the relationship between preeclampsia exposure and later cardiometabolic disease, we identified 1 692 944 singleton infants born in Norway during 1967 to 1997, where 44 299 were exposed to preeclampsia in utero. The individuals were followed for hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia as defined by dispensed medication. We used Cox regression models to calculate the association between preeclampsia exposure and cardiometabolic outcomes adjusting for measured confounders. We also used full sibling comparisons and stratified Cox regression to control for unmeasured familial confounders. RESULTS: On the population level, exposed individuals had increased risk of hypertension (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.51 [95% CI, 1.41-1.63]), diabetes (aHR 1.33 [95% CI, 1.24-1.43], and dyslipidemia (aHR 1.28 [95% CI, 1.13-1.45]) compared with unexposed individuals. In sibling data, individuals not exposed to preeclampsia, but with an exposed sibling, had higher risk of hypertension and diabetes than individuals where no siblings were exposed to preeclampsia. Moreover, when comparing siblings discordant on preeclampsia exposure, there were no associations between preeclampsia and hypertension (aHR 1.05 [95% CI, 0.88-1.26]), diabetes (aHR 0.96 [95% CI, 0.80-1.14]), and dyslipidemia (aHR 0.86 [95% CI, 0.62-1.20]). CONCLUSIONS: Fetal preeclampsia exposure was associated with adult life hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia, but these associations were likely due to shared etiological factors, rather than exposure to the preeclamptic condition itself. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The prognostic role and the clinical significance of orthostatic hypertension (OHT) remained undefined for long because data were sparse and often inconsistent. In recent years, evidence has been accumulating that OHT is associated with an increased risk of masked and sustained hypertension, hypertension-mediated organ damage, cardiovascular disease, and mortality. Most evidence came from studies in which OHT was defined using systolic blood pressure (BP) whereas the clinical relevance of diastolic OHT is still unclear. Recently, the American Autonomic Society and the Japanese Society of Hypertension defined OHT as an orthostatic systolic BP increase ≥20 mm Hg associated with a systolic BP of at least 140 mm Hg while standing. However, also smaller orthostatic BP increases have shown clinical relevance especially in people ≤45 years of age. A possible limitation of the BP response to standing is poor reproducibility. OHT concordance is better when the between-assessment interval is shorter, when OHT is evaluated using a larger number of BP readings, and if home BP measurement is used. The pathogenetic mechanisms leading to OHT are still controversial and may vary according to age. Excessive neurohumoral activation seems to be the main determinant in younger adults whereas vascular stiffness plays a more important role in older individuals. Conditions associated with higher activity of the sympathetic nervous system and/or baroreflex dysregulation, such as diabetes, essential hypertension, and aging have been found to be often associated with OHT. Measurement of orthostatic BP should be included in routine clinical practice especially in people with high-normal BP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common, with many modifiable and nonmodifiable risk factors contributing to its increasing prevalence. Pharmacologic management and invasive procedures are the mainstays of treatment, but cardiovascular risk modification is overlooked as a key adjuvant treatment strategy. This article describes the clinical effects of implementing a risk factor modification strategy to reduce dysrhythmia load. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BACKGROUND: Limited information is available on the comparative efficacy and safety of different stent platforms in patients at high bleeding risk undergoing an abbreviated dual antiplatelet therapy duration after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). The aim of this study was to compare the safety and effectiveness of the biodegradable-polymer sirolimus-eluting stent with the durable-polymer zotarolimus-eluting stent in patients at high bleeding risk receiving 1 month of dual antiplatelet therapy after PCI. METHODS: The Bioflow-DAPT Study is an international, randomized, open-label trial conducted at 52 interventional cardiology hospitals in 18 countries from February 24, 2020, through September 20, 2021. Patients with a clinical indication to PCI because of acute or chronic coronary syndrome who fulfilled 1 or more criteria for high bleeding risk were eligible for enrollment. Patients were randomized to receive either biodegradable-polymer sirolimus-eluting stents or durable-polymer, slow-release zotarolimus-eluting stents after successful lesion preparation, followed by 1 month of dual antiplatelet therapy and thereafter single antiplatelet therapy. The primary outcome was the composite of death from cardiac causes, myocardial infarction, or stent thrombosis at 1 year, and was powered for noninferiority, with an absolute margin of 4.1% at 1-sided 5% alpha. RESULTS: A total of 1948 patients at high bleeding risk were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive biodegradable-polymer sirolimus-eluting stents (969 patients) or durable-polymer zotarolimus-eluting stents (979 patients). At 1 year, the primary outcome was observed in 33 of 969 patients (3.6%) in the biodegradable-polymer sirolimus-eluting stent group and in 32 of 979 patients (3.4%) in the durable-polymer zotarolimus-eluting stent group (risk difference, 0.2 percentage points; upper boundary of the 1-sided 95% CI, 1.8; upper boundary of the 1-sided 97.5% CI, 2.1; P<0.0001 for noninferiority for both tests). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients at high risk for bleeding who received 1 month of dual antiplatelet therapy after PCI, the use of biodegradable-polymer sirolimus-eluting stents was noninferior to the use of durable-polymer zotarolimus-eluting stents with regard to the composite of death from cardiac causes, myocardial infarction, or stent thrombosis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BACKGROUND: Current clinical decision tools for assessing bleeding risk in individuals with atrial fibrillation (AF) have limited performance and were developed for individuals treated with warfarin. This study develops and validates a clinical risk score to personalize estimates of bleeding risk for individuals with atrial fibrillation taking direct-acting oral anticoagulants (DOACs). METHODS: Among individuals taking dabigatran 150 mg twice per day from 44 countries and 951 centers in this secondary analysis of the RE-LY trial (Randomized Evaluation of Long-Term Anticoagulation Therapy), a risk score was developed to determine the comparative risk for bleeding on the basis of covariates derived in a Cox proportional hazards model. The risk prediction model was internally validated with bootstrapping. The model was then further developed in the GARFIELDAF registry (Global Anticoagulant Registry in the Field-Atrial Fibrillation), with individuals taking dabigatran, edoxaban, rivaroxaban, and apixaban. To determine generalizability in external cohorts and among individuals on different DOACs, the risk prediction model was validated in the COMBINE-AF (A Collaboration Between Multiple Institutions to Better Investigate Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulant Use in Atrial Fibrillation) pooled clinical trial cohort and the Quebec Régie de l'Assurance Maladie du Québec and Med-Echo Administrative Databases (RAMQ) administrative database. The primary outcome was major bleeding. The risk score, termed the DOAC Score, was compared with the HAS-BLED score. RESULTS: Of the 5684 patients in RE-LY, 386 (6.8%) experienced a major bleeding event, within a median follow-up of 1.74 years. The prediction model had an optimism-corrected C statistic of 0.73 after internal validation with bootstrapping and was wellcalibrated based on visual inspection of calibration plots (goodness-of-fit P=0.57). The DOAC Score assigned points for age, creatinine clearance/glomerular filtration rate, underweight status, stroke/transient ischemic attack/embolism history, diabetes, hypertension, antiplatelet use, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory use, liver disease, and bleeding history, with each additional point scored associated with a 48.7% (95% CI, 38.9%-59.3%; P<0.001) increase in major bleeding in RE-LY. The score had superior performance to the HAS-BLED score in RE-LY (C statistic, 0.73 versus 0.60; P for difference <0.001) and among 12 296 individuals in GARFIELD-AF (C statistic, 0.71 versus 0.66; P for difference = 0.025). The DOAC Score had stronger predictive performance than the HAS-BLED score in both validation cohorts, including 25 586 individuals in COMBINE-AF (C statistic, 0.67 versus 0.63; P for difference <0.001) and 11 945 individuals in RAMQ (C statistic, 0.65 versus 0.58; P for difference <0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In individuals with atrial fibrillation potentially eligible for DOAC therapy, the DOAC Score can help stratify patients on the basis of expected bleeding risk. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BACKGROUND: Dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) can lead to advanced disease, defined herein as necessitating a durable left ventricular assist device or a heart transplant (LVAD/HT). DCM is known to have a genetic basis, but the association of rare variant genetics with advanced DCM has not been studied. METHODS: We analyzed clinical and genetic sequence data from patients enrolled between 2016 and 2021 in the US multisite DCM Precision Medicine Study, which was a geographically diverse, multiracial, multiethnic cohort. Clinical evaluation included standardized patient interview and medical record query forms. DCM severity was classified into 3 groups: patients with advanced disease with LVAD/HT; patients with an implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) only; or patients with no ICD or LVAD/HT. Rare variants in 36 DCM genes were classified as pathogenic or likely pathogenic or variants of uncertain significance. Confounding factors we considered included demographic characteristics, lifestyle factors, access to care, DCM duration, and comorbidities. Crude and adjusted associations between DCM severity and rare variant genetic findings were assessed using multinomial models with generalized logit link. RESULTS: Patients' mean (SD) age was 51.9 (13.6) years; 42% were of African ancestry, 56% were of European ancestry, and 44% were female. Of 1198 patients, 347 had LVAD/HT, 511 had an ICD, and 340 had no LVAD/HT or ICD. The percentage of patients with pathogenic or likely pathogenic variants was 26.2%, 15.9%, and 15.0% for those with LVAD/HT, ICD only, or neither, respectively. After controlling for sociodemographic characteristics and comorbidities, patients with DCM with LVAD/HT were more likely than those without LVAD/HT or ICD to have DCM-related pathogenic or likely pathogenic rare variants (odds ratio, 2.3 [95% CI, 1.5-3.6]). The association did not differ by ancestry. Rare variant genetic findings were similar between patients with DCM with an ICD and those without LVAD/HT or ICD. CONCLUSIONS: Advanced DCM was associated with higher odds of rare variants in DCM genes adjudicated as pathogenic or likely pathogenic, compared with individuals with less severe DCM. This finding may help assess the risk of outcomes in management of patients with DCM and their at-risk family members. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

INTRODUCTION: Colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and mortality rates are increasing in adults aged <50 years. Young-onset adenoma (YOA)--adenoma detected in adults younger than 50 years--may signify increased CRC risk, but this association has not been widely studied. Our aim was to compare the risk of incident and fatal CRC in adults aged <50 years with YOA diagnosis compared with those with a normal colonoscopy. METHODS: We conducted a cohort study of US Veterans aged 18-49 years who received colonoscopy between 2005 and 2016. The primary exposure of interest was YOA. Primary outcomes included incident and fatal CRC. We used Kaplan-Meier curves to calculate cumulative incident and fatal CRC risk and Cox models to examine relative CRC risk. RESULTS: The study cohort included 54,284 Veterans aged <50 years exposed to colonoscopy, among whom 13% (n 5 7,233) had YOA at start of follow-up. Cumulative 10-year CRC incidence was 0.11% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.00%-0.27%) after any adenoma diagnosis, 0.18% (95% CI: 0.02%-0.53%) after advanced YOA diagnosis, 0.10% (95% CI: 0.00%-0.28%) after nonadvanced adenoma diagnosis, and 0.06% (95% CI: 0.02%-0.09%) after normal colonoscopy. Veterans with advanced adenoma had 8-fold greater incident CRC risk than those with normal colonoscopy (hazard ratio: 8.0; 95% CI: 1.8-35.6). Across groups, no differences in fatal CRC risk were observed. DISCUSSION: Young-onset advanced adenoma diagnosis was associated with 8-fold increased incident CRC risk compared with normal colonoscopy. However, cumulative CRC incidence and mortality at 10 years among individuals with either young onset non-advanced or advanced adenoma diagnosis were both relatively low. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BACKGROUND: Common genetic variants are associated with risk for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and dilated cardiomyopathy and with left ventricular (LV) traits. Whether these variants are associated with myocardial fibrosis, an important pathophysiological mediator of cardiomyopathy, is unknown. METHODS: Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis participants with T1-mapping cardiac magnetic resonance imaging in-whom extracellular volume was assessed, and genotyping information was available were included (N=1255). Log extracellular volume (%) was regressed on 50 candidate single nucleotide polymorphisms (previously identified to be associated with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, dilated cardiomyopathy, and LV traits) adjusting for age, sex, diabetes, blood pressure, and principal components of ancestry. Ancestry-specific results were pooled by fixed-effect meta-analyses. Gene knockdown experiments were performed in human cardiac fibroblasts. RESULTS: The SMARCB1 rs2186370 intronic variant (minor allele frequency: 0.18 in White and 0.50 in Black participants), previously identified as a risk variant for dilated cardiomyopathy and hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, was significantly associated with increased extracellular volume (P=0.0002) after adjusting for confounding clinical variables. The SMARCB1 rs2070458 locus previously associated with increased LV wall thickness and mass was similarly significantly associated with increased extracellular volume (P=0.0002). The direction of effect was similar in all 4 ancestry groups, but the effect was strongest in Black participants. The variants are strong expression quantitative loci in human LV tissue and associated with genotypedependent decreased expression of SMARCB1 (P=7.3×10-22). SMARCB1 knockdown in human cardiac fibroblasts resulted in increased TGF (transforming growth factor)-β1-mediated α-smooth muscle actin and collagen expression. CONCLUSIONS: Common genetic variation in SMARCB1 previously associated with risk for cardiomyopathies and increased LV wall thickness is associated with increased cardiac magnetic resonance imaging-based myocardial fibrosis and increased TGF-β1 mediated myocardial fibrosis in vitro. Whether these findings suggest a pathophysiologic link between myocardial fibrosis and cardiomyopathy risk remains to be proven. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BACKGROUND: Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) have been associated with an increased risk of chronic hypertension for both mothers and offspring. We sought to quantify the incidence of chronic hypertension in offspring from HDP-affected pregnancies in a large, population-based cohort study. Furthermore, we evaluate the association of HDP exposure in utero and maternal chronic hypertension in offspring. METHODS: We performed a population-based cohort study of 8755 individuals born during 1976 to 1982 to 7544 women who all resided in the same community at the time of delivery. HDP were identified using a previously validated algorithm. Diagnosis of chronic hypertension in mothers and their offspring was determined using diagnostic codes. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess the association between HDP and chronic hypertension. RESULTS: HDP exposure (hazard ratio, 1.50 [95% CI, 1.18-1.90]) and maternal chronic hypertension (hazard ratio, 1.73 [95% CI, 1.48-2.02]) were both associated with a significant increased risk for chronic hypertension in offspring. Both risk factors remained significantly associated with increased risk of hypertension in offspring when included together in a multivariate model. Having both exposures was associated with a 2.4-fold increase in the risk of hypertension in offspring, suggesting a synergistic additive interaction. CONCLUSIONS: HDP exposure in gestation and maternal hypertension are both independently associated with an increased risk of chronic hypertension in offspring. Our results suggest that HDP exposure in utero, in addition to maternal chronic hypertension, may lead to a greater risk for the development of hypertension in offspring. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BACKGROUND: Survivors of allogeneic stem cell transplant (SCT) receive intensive cancer treatments that are associated with cardiovascular dysfunction. Markers of vascular age can indicate early signs of adverse (cardio)vascular changes; however, the impact of SCT on these makers is unknown. We aimed to determine the short (3 months) and longer-term (=2 years) effect of SCT on markers of vascular age in hematologic cancer survivors compared with an age-matched noncancer control group. METHODS: The short-term effects of SCT, markers of vascular age (aortic compliance, arterial elastance, and ventricularvascular coupling) were assessed via cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (cardiac and aortic volumes) before and x3 months post-SCT in 13 short-term survivors and compared with 11 controls. The longer-term impact was assessed by comparing 14 long-term survivors (6.5 [2-20] years post-SCT) to the short-term survivors (post-SCT) and controls (n=16). RESULTS: The groups were similar for age and body mass index. In the short-term survivors, no significant group-by-time interactions were observed for any markers of vascular aging from pretransplant to posttransplant (net difference for change in compliance between groups -0.07 [95% CI, -1.49 to 1.35]). For the time-course analysis, aortic compliance was significantly lower in both SCT groups (overall P=0.007) compared with controls, whereas ventricular-vascular coupling was higher in both survivor groups as was arterial elastance in long-term SCT survivors (ie, worse; P<0.01 for all). CONCLUSION: This study provides evidence of an accelerated vascular aging phenotype in allogeneic SCT survivors and provides insight into the increased burden of cardiovascular disease among hematologic cancer survivors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) risk has been shown to arise from multiple sources and risk awareness may be supported using bedside tools. Purpose: The purpose of this research was to examine the extent to which GutCheckNEC was associated with scores for clinical deterioration, severity of illness, and clinical outcome, and further to examine how scores might improve NEC prediction. Methods: A retrospective, correlational case-control study with infant data from 3 affiliated neonatal intensive care units was conducted. Results: Of 132 infants (44 cases, 88 controls), most were 28 weeks of gestation at birth and less (74%). Median age at NEC onset was 18 days (range: 6-34 days), with two-thirds diagnosed before 21 days. At 68 hours of life, higher GutCheckNEC scores were associated with NEC requiring surgery or resulting in death (relative risk ratio [RRR] = 1.06, P =.036), associations that persisted at 24 hours prior to diagnosis (RRR = 1.05, P =.046), and at the time of diagnosis (RRR = 1.05, P =.022) but showed no associations for medical NEC. GutCheckNEC scores were significantly correlated with pediatric early warning scores (PEWS) (r > 0.30; P <.005) and SNAPPE-II scores (r > 0.44, P <.0001). Increasing numbers of clinical signs and symptoms were positively associated with GutCheckNEC and PEWS at the time of diagnosis (r = 0.19, P =.026; and r = 0.25, P =.005, respectively). Implications for Practice and Research: GutCheckNEC provides structure to streamline assessment and communication about NEC risk. Yet, it is not intended to be diagnostic. Research is needed on how GutCheckNEC impacts timely recognition and treatment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BACKGROUND: Black Americans have a higher risk of nonischemic cardiomyopathy (NICM) than White Americans. We aimed to evaluate differences in the risk of tachyarrhythmias among patients with an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD). METHODS: The study population comprised 3895 ICD recipients in the United States enrolled in primary prevention ICD trials. Outcome measures included ventricular tachyarrhythmia (VTA), atrial tachyarrhythmia (ATA), ICD therapies, VTA burden (using Andersen-Gill recurrent event analysis), death, and the predicted benefit of the ICD. All events were adjudicated blindly. Outcomes were compared between self-reported Black patients versus White patients with cardiomyopathy (ischemic and NICM). RESULTS: Black patients were more likely to be female (35% versus 22%) and younger (57±12 versus 62±12 years) with a higher frequency of comorbidities. In NICM, Black patients had a higher rate of first VTA, fast VTA, ATA, and appropriate and inappropriate ICD therapy (VTA ≥170 bpm, 32% versus 20%; VTA ≥200 bpm, 22% versus 14%; ATA, 25% versus 12%; appropriate therapy, 30% versus 20%; and inappropriate therapy, 25% versus 11%; P <0.001 for all). Multivariable analysis showed that Black patients with NICM experienced a higher risk of all types of arrhythmia or ICD therapy (VTA ≥170 bpm, hazard ratio [HR] 1.71; VTA ≥200 bpm, HR 1.58; ATA, HR 1.87; appropriate therapy, HR 1.62; inappropriate therapy, HR 1.86; P ≤0.01 for all), higher burden of tachyarrhythmias or therapies (VTA, HR 1.84; appropriate therapy, HR 1.84; P <0.001 for both), and a higher risk of death (HR 1.92; P =0.014). In contrast, in ischemic cardiomyopathy, the risk of all types of tachyarrhythmia, ICD therapy, or death was similar between Black patients and White patients. Both Black patients and White patients derived a significant and similar benefit from ICD implantation. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with NICM with an ICD for primary prevention, Black patients compared with White patients had a high risk and burden of VTA, ATA, and ICD therapies with a lower survival rate. Nevertheless, the overall benefit of the ICD was maintained and was similar to that of White patients. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The complex interplay of increased atherogenic lipoproteins, inflammation, and immune activation hallmarks the pathogenesis of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease remains a leading cause of death, yet risk estimator tools lack comprehensiveness for genetic/inflammatory biomarkers associated with ASCVD. Unexplained ASCVD risk necessitates a better understanding of primary, secondary, and tertiary prevention variables. This article discusses the clinical utility of genetic and inflammatory biomarkers for ASCVD risk prediction, management, treatment, and recategorization into primary, secondary, and tertiary prevention. Furthermore, nurse practitioners (NPs) should use a ternary prevention classification system instead of the current binary system to mitigate risk in the large group of patients with subclinical ASCVD. High-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP)—linearly associated with ASCVD—and lipoprotein-associated phospholipase-A2 (Lp-PLA2) and myeloperoxidase (MPO), both associated with plaque vulnerability/rupture, are inflammatory biomarkers. Elevated hs-CRP, MPO, and Lp-PLA2 treatment requires addressing root causes of elevation (e.g., obesity, insulin resistance, tobacco use, gingival disease, and chronic autoimmune/infectious conditions). In addition, haptoglobin (Hp) phenotype determines the antioxidant potential of Hp. Haptoglobin phenotype, a root cause of ASCVD, is a one-time test. Individuals with Hp 2-2 should adopt a gluten-free diet to reduce endothelial and intestinal inflammation. Nurse practitioners should use stricter glycemic goals (hemoglobin A1c ≤6.5%) and add daily vitamin E if this group has type 2 diabetes. Genetic/inflammatory biomarkers should be used to better predict ASCVD risk and tailor primary, secondary, and tertiary prevention treatment. Clinical use of these biomarkers reaches beyond the standard of care to reduce residual ASCVD risk. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Preeclampsia is a leading cause of maternal morbidity, and dyslipidemia has been associated with preeclampsia in observational studies. We use Mendelian randomization analyses to estimate the association between lipid levels, their pharmacological targets, and the risk of preeclampsia in 4 ancestry groups. Methods: We extracted uncorrelated (R2 <0.001) single-nucleotide polymorphisms strongly associated (P <5×10-8) with LDL-C (low-density lipoprotein cholesterol), HDL-C (high-density lipoprotein cholesterol), and triglycerides from genome-wide association studies of European, admixed African, Latino, and East Asian ancestry participants. Genetic associations with risk of preeclampsia were extracted from studies of the same ancestry groups. Inverse-variance weighted analyses were performed separately for each ancestry group before they were meta-analyzed. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to evaluate bias due to genetic pleiotropy, demography, and indirect genetic effects. Results: The meta-analysis across 4 ancestry groups included 1.5 million subjects with lipid measurements, 7425 subjects with preeclampsia, and 239 290 without preeclampsia. Increasing HDL-C was associated with reduced risk of preeclampsia (odds ratio, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.74–0.94]; P =0.004; per SD increase in HDL-C), which was consistent across sensitivity analyses. We also observed cholesteryl ester transfer protein inhibition—a drug target that increases HDL-C—may have a protective effect. We observed no consistent effect of LDL-C or triglycerides on the risk of preeclampsia. Conclusions: We observed a protective effect of elevated HDL-C on risk of preeclampsia. Our findings align with the lack of effect in trials of LDL-C modifying drugs but suggest that HDL-C may be a new target for screening and intervention. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Most preeclampsia occurs at term. There are no effective preventative strategies. We aimed to identify the optimal preeclampsia screening and timing of birth strategy for prevention of term preeclampsia. Methods: This secondary analysis was of data from a prospective nonintervention cohort study of singleton pregnancies delivering at ≥24 weeks, without major anomalies, at 2 United Kingdom maternity hospitals. At routine visits at 11 to 13 weeks' (57 131 pregnancies screened, 1138 term preeclampsia developed) or 35 to 36 weeks' gestation (29 035 pregnancies screened, 619 term preeclampsia), with patient-specific preeclampsia risks determined by: United Kingdom National Institute for Health and Care Excellence guidance, and the Fetal Medicine Foundation competing-risks model. For each screening strategy, timing of birth for term preeclampsia prevention was evaluated at gestational time points that were fixed (37, 38, 39, 40 weeks) or dependent on preeclampsia risk by the competing-risks model at 35 to 36 weeks. Main outcomes were proportion of term preeclampsia prevented, and number-needed-to-deliver to prevent one term preeclampsia case. Results: The proportion of term preeclampsia prevented was the highest, and number-needed-to-deliver lowest, for preeclampsia screening at 35 to 36 (rather than 11–13) weeks. For delivery at 37 weeks, fewer cases of preeclampsia were prevented for National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (28.8%) than the competing-risks model (59.8%), and the number-needed-to-deliver was higher (16.4 versus 6.9, respectively). The risk-stratified approach (at 35–36 weeks) had similar preeclampsia prevention (by 57.2%) and number-needed-to-deliver (8.4), but fewer women would be induced at 37 weeks (1.2% versus 8.8%). Conclusions: Risk-stratified timing of birth at term may more than halve the risk of term preeclampsia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is an important causal risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). However, a sizable proportion of middle-aged individuals with elevated LDL-C level have not developed coronary atherosclerosis as assessed by coronary artery calcification (CAC). Whether presence of CAC modifies the association of LDL-C with ASCVD risk is unknown. We evaluated the association of LDL-C with future ASCVD events in patients with and without CAC. Methods: The study included 23 132 consecutive symptomatic patients evaluated for coronary artery disease using coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) from the Western Denmark Heart Registry, a seminational, multicenter-based registry with longitudinal registration of patient and procedure data. We assessed the association of LDL-C level obtained before CTA with ASCVD (myocardial infarction and ischemic stroke) events occurring during follow-up stratified by CAC>0 versus CAC=0 using Cox regression models adjusted for baseline characteristics. Outcomes were identified through linkage among national registries covering all hospitals in Denmark. We replicated our results in the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute –funded Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. Results: During a median follow-up of 4.3 years, 552 patients experienced a first ASCVD event. In the overall population, LDL-C (per 38.7 mg/dL increase) was associated with ASCVD events occurring during follow-up (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.14 [95% CI, 1.04–1.24]). When stratified by the presence or absence of baseline CAC, LDL-C was only associated with ASCVD in the 10 792/23 132 patients (47%) with CAC>0 (aHR, 1.18 [95% CI, 1.06–1.31]); no association was observed among the 12 340/23 132 patients (53%) with CAC=0 (aHR, 1.02 [95% CI, 0.87–1.18]). Similarly, a very high LDL-C level (> 193 mg/dL) versus LDL-C <116 mg/dL was associated with ASCVD in patients with CAC>0 (aHR, 2.42 [95% CI, 1.59–3.67]) but not in those without CAC (aHR, 0.92 [0.48–1.79]). In patients with CAC=0, diabetes, current smoking, and low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels were associated with future ASCVD events. The principal findings were replicated in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. Conclusions: LDL-C appears to be almost exclusively associated with ASCVD events over ≈5 years of follow-up in middle-aged individuals with versus without evidence of coronary atherosclerosis. This information is valuable for individualized risk assessment among middle-aged people with or without coronary atherosclerosis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Blood donations are routinely screened for HIV to prevent an infectious unit from being released to the blood supply. Despite improvements to blood screening assays, donations from infected donors remain undetectable during the window period (WP), when the virus has not yet replicated above the lower limit of detection (LOD) of a screening assay. To aid in the quantitative risk assessments of WP donations, a dose–response model describing the probability of transfusion-transmission of HIV over a range of viral RNA copies was developed. Methods: An exponential model was chosen based on data fit and parsimony. A data set from a HIV challenge study using a nonhuman primate model and another data set from reported human blood transfusions associated with HIV infected donors were separately fit to the model to generate parameter estimates. A Bayesian framework using No-U-Turn Sampling (NUTS) and Monte Carlo simulations was performed to generate posterior distributions quantifying uncertainty in parameter estimation and model predictions. Results: The parameters of the exponential model for both nonhuman primate and human data were estimated with a mean (95% credible intervals) of 2.70 × 10−2 (7.74 × 10−3, 6.06 × 10−2) and 7.56 × 10−4 (3.68 × 10−4, 1.31 × 10−3), respectively. The predicted ID50 for the animal and human models was 26 (12, 90) and 918 (529, 1886) RNA copies transfused, respectively. Conclusion: This dose–response model can be used in a quantitative framework to estimate the probability of transfusion-transmission of HIV through WP donations. These models can be especially informative when assessing risk from blood components with low viral load. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: We test the hypothesis that for low-acuity surgical patients, postoperative intensive care unit (ICU) admission is associated with lower value of care compared with ward admission. Background: Overtriaging low-acuity patients to ICU consumes valuable resources and may not confer better patient outcomes. Associations among postoperative overtriage, patient outcomes, costs, and value of care have not been previously reported. Methods: In this longitudinal cohort study, postoperative ICU admissions were classified as overtriaged or appropriately triaged according to machine learning-based patient acuity assessments and requirements for immediate postoperative mechanical ventilation or vasopressor support. The nearest neighbors algorithm identified risk-matched control ward admissions. The primary outcome was value of care, calculated as inverse observed-to-expected mortality ratios divided by total costs. Results: Acuity assessments had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.92 in generating predictions for triage classifications. Of 8592 postoperative ICU admissions, 423 (4.9%) were overtriaged. These were matched with 2155 control ward admissions with similar comorbidities, incidence of emergent surgery, immediate postoperative vital signs, and do not resuscitate order placement and rescindment patterns. Compared with controls, overtraiged admissions did not have a lower incidence of any measured complications. Total costs for admission were $16.4K for overtriage and $15.9K for controls (P =0.03). Value of care was lower for overtriaged admissions [2.9 (2.0–4.0)] compared with controls [24.2 (14.1–34.5), P <0.001]. Conclusions: Low-acuity postoperative patients who were overtriaged to ICUs had increased total costs, no improvements in outcomes, and received low-value care. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Although international guidelines for hypertension management recommend home and ambulatory blood pressure (BP) monitoring, few studies have assessed which is more useful in predicting cardiovascular incidence in hypertensive outpatients.Methods: We analyzed the association of home and ambulatory BP with cardiovascular prognosis in 1336 practice outpatients with hypertension who underwent both home and ambulatory BP measurements in the J-HOP study (Japan Morning Surge-Home Blood Pressure).Results: During the median 6.9 years of follow-up, 111 cardiovascular events occurred. Both home and ambulatory systolic BP (SBP) were associated with cardiovascular risk independent of office SBP (hazard ratio [95% CI] per 20 mm Hg of average morning and evening home SBP, 1.46 [1.11-1.93]; 24-hour ambulatory SBP, 1.41 [1.02-1.94]). Moreover, average morning and evening home SBP was also associated with cardiovascular risk even adjusted by 24-hour ambulatory SBP (hazard ratio [95%CI] per 20 mm Hg, 1.38 [1.01-1.87]), but 24-hour ambulatory SBP was not associated with cardiovascular risk adjusted by average morning and evening home SBP. Regarding this relationship, the model-fit was significantly improved by using the analysis of likelihood ratio, but that was not significant in the analysis using C statistics. Additionally, even in patients with well-controlled 24-hour ambulatory BP, uncontrolled morning home BP was associated with cardiovascular risks (hazard ratio [95% CI], 2.15 [1.02-4.50]). In patients with well-controlled average morning and evening home BP, uncontrolled ambulatory BP was not associated with cardiovascular risks.Conclusions: This study demonstrated the prognostic values of home and ambulatory BP in practice hypertensive outpatients. Our findings indicated the modest superiority of home BP compared to ambulatory BP to predict cardiovascular prognosis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: This study explored the longitudinal relationship of Lp(a) (lipoprotein[a]) and hypertension to cardiovascular outcomes in a large multiethnic cohort free of baseline cardiovascular disease. Methods: Individuals from the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis; N=6674) were grouped as follows: group 1: Lp(a) <50 mg/dL and no hypertension; group 2: Lp(a) ≥50 mg/dL and no hypertension; group 3: Lp(a) <50 mg/dL and hypertension; and group 4: Lp(a) ≥50 mg/dL and hypertension. Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the relationship of Lp(a) and hypertension with time to cardiovascular disease events. Results: Mean follow-up time was 13.9 (5.0) years and 809 participants experienced a cardiovascular disease event. A statistically significant interaction was found between Log[Lp(a)] and hypertension status (P =0.091). Compared with the reference group (Lp[a] <50 mg/dL and no hypertension), those with Lp[a] ≥50 mg/dL and no hypertension had no increased risk for cardiovascular disease events (hazard ratio, 1.09 [95% CI, 0.79–1.50]). However, those with Lp(a) <50 mg/dL and hypertension or Lp(a) ≥50 mg/dL and hypertension demonstrated a statistically significant increase in risk compared to the reference group (hazard ratio, 1.66 [95% CI, 1.39–1.98]) and (hazard ratio, 2.07 [95% CI, 1.63–2.62]), respectively. Among those with hypertension, Lp(a) was associated with a significant increase in cardiovascular disease risk (hazard ratio, 1.24 [95% CI, 1.01–1.53]). Conclusions: Although the major contribution to cardiovascular risk was hypertension, elevated Lp(a) significantly modified the association of hypertension with cardiovascular disease. More research is needed to understand mechanistic links among Lp(a), hypertension, and cardiovascular disease. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The practice of risk rounding serves as a routine contribution to a highly reliable organization, a culture of curiosity empowering all team members to speak up in real time, and provides insight into areas of uncertainty. Highly reliable organizations protect the time and the team member who disrupts the routine service delivery when a risk is identified. In a 16-week pilot study, staff nurses in a Manhattan cardiothoracic intensive care unit participated in risk rounding wherein the staff identified foreseeable risks in a neighboring patient room. The objective of the pilot study was to foster a culture of safety and improve preparedness for urgent or emergent clinical scenarios. The postsurvey demonstrated improvement in both objectives with potential secondary benefits such as improved patient experience scores and nursing-sensitive indicators. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Study Design.: This was a retrospective multicenter study. Objective.: To develop a novel progression risk stratification scoring system for early-onset scoliosis. Summary of Background Data.: There is a lack of investigations into variables affecting the risk of curve progression in early-onset scoliosis, which prevents stratification. A novel risk score system is needed to help in progression risk estimation. Methods.: A retrospective analysis was done at three centers, from 1995 to 2020. Scoliosis cases before the age of 10 years, were included. Medical identifier, date of birth, sex, primary diagnosis, curve type, date/modality of treatment, date of follow-up appointments, and Cobb angles, were collected. Five ranks were selected for stratification. Categories with the same ranks were discarded. Point scores started at 0, for the lowest risk, and ended at 4, for highest risk. Iterations of variable combinations were conducted and clinical relevance was determined by evaluating sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value based on score ranges for low and high risk of progression. Results.: A total of 476 (230 males, 246 females) early-onset scoliosis patients were collected. The average age at diagnosis was 4.8 years (SD±2.8 yr). The average follow-up duration was 9.3 years (SD±6.9 yr, range: 5 mo–38 yr). Appointments totaled 2911, giving 2182 observations for the analysis. Patient observations numbered: 800 (36.7%) ending in progression, 1265 (58.0%) for nonprogression, 117 (5.4%) for inadequate follow-up, and 368 (16.9%) for rapid progression. The risk scoring system contained four categories: etiology, age, curve magnitude, and curve type. Categorized point combinations totaled 755, giving 1975 iterations. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were calculated to be 85.8%, 96.5%, 89.7%, and 95.1%, respectively. Conclusion.: A novel progression risk score for early-onset scoliosis was derived. The system can reliably differentiate between low and high-risk cases in clinical settings. Further validation in other regions may be important for verifying clinical relevance. Level of Evidence.: Level 3. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Previous EWASs (Epigenome-Wide Association Studies) have reported hundreds of blood pressure (BP) associated 5'-cytosine-phosphate-guanine-3' (CpG) sites. However, their results were inconsistent. Longitudinal observations on the temporal relationship between DNA methylation and BP are lacking.Methods: A candidate CpG site association study for BP was conducted on 1072 twins in the Chinese National Twin Registry. PubMed and EMBASE were searched for candidate CpG sites. Cross-lagged models were used to assess the temporal relationship between BP and DNA methylation in 308 twins who completed 2 surveys in 2013 and 2018. Then, the significant cross-lagged associations were validated by adopting the Inference About Causation From Examination of Familial Confounding approach. Finally, to evaluate the cumulative effects of DNA methylation on the progression of hypertension, we established methylation risk scores based on BP-associated CpG sites and performed Markov multistate models.Results: 16 and 20 CpG sites were validated to be associated with systolic BP and diastolic BP, respectively. In the cross-lagged analysis, we detected that methylation of 2 CpG sites could predict subsequent systolic BP, and systolic BP predicted methylation at another 3 CpG sites. For diastolic BP, methylation at 3 CpG sites had significant cross-lagged effects for predicting diastolic BP levels, while the prediction from the opposite direction was observed at one site. Among these, 3 associations were validated in the Inference About Causation From Examination of Familial Confounding analysis. Using the Markov multistate model, we observed that methylation risk scores were associated with the development of hypertension.Conclusions: Our findings suggest the significance of DNA methylation in the development of hypertension. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Individuals with a greater perceived risk of heart attack or type 2 diabetes tend to adopt recommended lifestyle changes to minimize their risks. Despite the rapidly growing Hispanic population in the United States, data regarding their perceived risks are lacking. Objective: This study aimed to examine the perceived risk of suffering a heart attack and/or developing type 2 diabetes and to explore the factors associated with these risk perceptions in Hispanic adults with overweight/obesity. Methods: We analyzed 69 Hispanic adults with overweight/obesity who participated in the screening/baseline visit for the Adelgaza study, a weight loss and diabetes prevention trial, using descriptive statistics and logistic regressions. Heart attack or type 2 diabetes risk perception was assessed using a single-item questionnaire. Results: The mean (SD) values for age and body mass index (BMI) were 43.8 (11.2) years and 31.7 (4.5) kg/m2, respectively. Of all participants, 46.4% perceived a low risk for heart attack and 29.0% perceived a low risk for developing type 2 diabetes in their lifetime, whereas only 11.6% reported both risk perceptions. Older age, lower BMI, and longer walking duration (minutes) per day were significantly associated with a lower perceived risk of heart attack (P <.05). Having no family history of heart attack, lower BMI, and lower fat intake were significant predictors of a lower diabetes-risk perception (P <.05). Conclusions: Hispanic adults with overweight/obesity seem to underestimate their risks of heart attack and type 2 diabetes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Exaggerated exercise blood pressure (EEBP) during clinical exercise testing is associated with poor blood pressure (BP) control and cardiovascular disease (CVD). Type-2 diabetes (T2DM) is thought to be associated with increased prevalence of EEBP, but this has never been definitively determined and was the aim of this study.Methods: Clinical exercise test records were analyzed from 13 268 people (aged 53±13 years, 59% male) who completed the Bruce treadmill protocol (stages 1-4, and peak) at 4 Australian public hospitals. Records (including BP) were linked to administrative health datasets (hospital and emergency admissions) to define clinical characteristics and classify T2DM (n=1199) versus no T2DM (n=12 069). EEBP was defined as systolic BP ≥90th percentile at each test stage. Exercise BP was regressed on T2DM history and adjusted for CVD and risk factors.Results: Prevalence of EEBP (age, sex, preexercise BP, hypertension history, CVD history and aerobic capacity adjusted) was 12% to 51% greater in T2DM versus no T2DM (prevalence ratio [95% CI], stage 1, 1.12 [1.02-1.24]; stage 2, 1.51 [1.41-1.61]; stage 3, 1.25 [1.10-1.42]; peak, 1.18 [1.09-1.29]). At stages 1 to 3, 8.6% to 15.8% (4.8%-9.7% T2DM versus 3.5% to 6.1% no-T2DM) of people with 'normal' preexercise BP (<140/90 mm Hg) were identified with EEBP. Exercise systolic BP relative to aerobic capacity (stages 1-4 and peak) was higher in T2DM with adjustment for all CVD risk factors.Conclusions: People with T2DM have higher prevalence of EEBP and exercise systolic BP independent of CVD and many of its known risk factors. Clinicians supervising exercise testing should be alerted to increased likelihood of EEBP and thus poor BP control warranting follow-up care in people with T2DM. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Historically, the management of carotid artery disease has primarily focused on the degree of stenosis as the main indicator for assessing stroke etiology, risk, and need for intervention. However, accumulating evidence suggests that structural and biological features within the arterial wall, such as intraplaque hemorrhage, may have superior diagnostic, prognostic, and therapeutic values. Under current guidelines, unless an atheroma results in ≥50% stenosis, it is not considered the cause of a cerebrovascular event. This results in extensive and often unproductive diagnostic workup, prescription of ineffective medical therapy, and preclusion of patients from receiving revascularization procedures that have been shown to prevent recurrent cerebrovascular events in cases of ≥50% stenosis. A subset of embolic strokes of undetermined source, which account for up to 25% of all ischemic cerebrovascular events, are thought to be due to thromboembolic phenomena from undiagnosed plaque disruptions in nonstenotic arteries (<50% stenosis). Recently, it has been proposed to reclassify this subgroup of patients as symptomatic nonstenotic carotid if the carotid plaque ipsilateral to the cerebrovascular event presents with high-risk features including intraplaque hemorrhage, lipid-rich necrotic core, thinning/rupture of the fibrous cap, and ulceration. In this review, we first provide a historical overview of the chain of events and circumstances that resulted in the present management of carotid artery disease. Second, we embed the contemporary biomarkers of plaque vulnerability in a modern mechanistic paradigm of carotid plaque disruption and thromboembolization. Third, we review the clinically available imaging tools to detect these biomarkers, and how their use has started to shed light on the prevalence and natural history of this underdiagnosed condition. Fourth, we review recent clinical studies employing a contemporary definition of symptomatic nonstenotic carotid and discuss targeted treatments for this condition. Finally, we make a case to generate the much-needed high-level evidence to align the clinical management of patients with symptomatic nonstenotic carotid with a contemporary understanding of plaque disruption and thromboembolization., Competing Interests: Dr Savastano reports compensation from Stryker for consulting services; compensation from Microvention for consulting services; stock holding in VerAvanti; stock holdings in Endovascular Horizons; a patent issued for clot evacuation in subdural hematomas licensed to Endovascular Horizons; a patent issued for Thrombectomy technology licensed to Endovascular Engineering; stock holding in Endovascular Engineering; and service as President for Endovascular Engineering. Dr Brinjikji reports compensation from Johnson & Johnson Medical Devices & Diagnostics Group - Latin America, LLC, for consultant services; compensation from Stryker Corporation for consultant services; compensation from Medtronic USA, Inc, for consultant services; compensation from Johnson and Johnson for consultant services; compensation from MicroVention Inc for consultant services; compensation from MIVI Neurovascular for data and safety monitoring services; employment by Mayo Clinic College of Medicine & Science; compensation from Medtronic Vascular Inc for consultant services; compensation from Stryker for consultant services; stock holdings in Marblehead Medical LLC; and compensation from MicroVention Inc for consultant services. Dr Lutsep reports compensation from Bristol-Myers Squibb for consultant services; employment by Oregon Health & Science University; compensation from WebMD for consultant services; and compensation from Mayo Clinic for end point review committee services. The other authors report no conflicts.

Purpose of Review: The aim of this review is to examine published reports of neurodevelopmental phenotypes in patients with inborn errors of immunity (IEI). We briefly discuss potential interactions between the immune and the central nervous system and the implications of this crosstalk for current clinical management guidelines., Recent Findings: An increasing number of reports have described neurodevelopmental disorders (NDDs) comorbid with immune-mediated signs. However, the prevalence of this association in IEIs remains unknown., Summary: IEIs comprise a group of clinically heterogeneous disorders associated with a number of nonimmune comorbidities. Although certain neurological conditions such as microcephaly are recognized as associated features of some IEIs, NDDs are less well described. We reviewed published clinical descriptions of IEIs and found a number of comorbid NDDs in these patients, including autism spectrum disorder (ASD), behavioral deficits, and intellectual disability. Given the lack of uniform assessments for NDDs, we suspect they may be underdiagnosed in IEIs. As NDDs manifest early and can result in life-long cognitive and emotional deficits, which diminish quality of life and increase healthcare utilization, we hope to elucidate relevant pathomechanisms and raise clinician awareness of these comorbidities so appropriate and timely interventions are sought., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.)

Background: Many studies have explored whether individual plasma protein biomarkers improve cardiovascular disease risk prediction. We sought to investigate the use of a plasma proteomics-based approach in predicting different cardiovascular outcomes., Methods: Among 51 859 UK Biobank participants (mean age, 56.7 years; 45.5% male) without cardiovascular disease and with proteomics measurements, we examined the primary composite outcome of fatal and nonfatal coronary heart disease, stroke, or heart failure (major adverse cardiovascular events), as well as additional secondary cardiovascular outcomes. An exposome-wide association study was conducted using relative protein concentrations, adjusted for a range of classic, demographic, and lifestyle risk factors. A prediction model using only age, sex, and protein markers (protein model) was developed using a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-regularized approach (derivation: 80% of cohort) and validated using split-sample testing (20% of cohort). Their performance was assessed by comparing calibration, net reclassification index, and c statistic with the PREVENT (Predicting Risk of CVD Events) risk score., Results: Over a median 13.6 years of follow-up, 4857 participants experienced first major adverse cardiovascular events. After adjustment, the proteins most strongly associated with major adverse cardiovascular events included NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide; hazard ratio [HR], 1.68 per SD increase), proADM (pro-adrenomedullin; HR, 1.60), GDF-15 (growth differentiation factor-15; HR, 1.47), WFDC2 (WAP four-disulfide core domain protein 2; HR, 1.46), and IGFBP4 (insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 4; HR, 1.41). In total, 222 separate proteins were predictors of all outcomes of interest in the protein model, and 86 were selected for the primary outcome specifically. In the validation cohort, compared with the PREVENT risk factor model, the protein model improved calibration, net reclassification (net reclassification index +0.09), and c statistic for major adverse cardiovascular events (+0.051). The protein model also improved the prediction of other outcomes, including ASCVD ( c statistic +0.035), myocardial infarction (+0.023), stroke (+0.024), aortic stenosis (+0.015), heart failure (+0.060), abdominal aortic aneurysm (+0.024), and dementia (+0.068)., Conclusions: Measurement of targeted protein biomarkers produced superior prediction of aggregated and disaggregated cardiovascular events. This study represents an important proof of concept for the application of targeted proteomics in predicting a range of cardiovascular outcomes.

Background: Atrial fibrillation is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular hospitalization (CVH), which may be triggered by changes in daily burden. Machine learning of dynamic trends in atrial fibrillation burden, as measured by insertable cardiac monitors (ICMs), may be useful in predicting near-term CVH., Methods: Using Optum's deidentified Clinformatics Data Mart Database (2007-2019), linked with the Medtronic CareLink ICM database, we identified patients with >1 days of ICM-detected atrial fibrillation. ICM-detected diagnostic parameters were transformed into simple moving averages over different periods for daily follow-up. A diagnostic trend was defined as the comparison of 2 simple moving averages of different periods for each diagnostic parameter. CVH was defined as any hospital, emergency department, or ambulatory surgical center encounter with a cardiovascular diagnosis-related group or diagnosis code. Machine learning was used to determine which diagnostic trends could best predict patient risk 5 days before CVH., Results: A total of 2616 patients with ICMs met the inclusion criteria (71±11 years; 55% male). Among them, 1998 (76%) had a planned or unplanned CVH over 605 363 days. Machine learning revealed distinct groups: (A) sinus rhythm (reference), (B) below-average burden, (C) above-average burden, and (D) above-average burden with decreasing patient activity. The relative risk was increased in all groups versus the reference (B, 4.49 [95% CI, 3.74-5.40]; C, 8.41 [95% CI, 7.00-10.11]; D, 11.15 [95% CI, 9.10-13.65]), including a 21% increase in CVH detection over prespecified burden thresholds of duration (≥1 hour) and quantity (≥5%). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve increased from 0.55 when using hourly burden amounts to 0.66 when using burden trends and decreasing patient activity ( P <0.001), a 20% increase in predictive power., Conclusions: Trends in atrial fibrillation were strongly associated with near-term CVH, especially above-average burden coupled with low patient activity. This approach could provide actionable information to guide treatment and reduce CVH., Competing Interests: Dr Peacock serves as a consultant to Medtronic and Biotronik. E.J. Stanelle, Dr Johnson, and R. Kanwar are employed by Medtronic. D. Soderlund was formerly employed by Medtronic. Dr Hylek serves as a consultant for Bayer, Bristol Myers Squibb, Ionis, Janssen, and Pfizer, receives research grants from Abbott, Anthos Therapeutics, and Medtronic, and receives honoraria from Boehringer Ingelheim. Dr Lakkireddy serves as a consultant to Medtronic, Boston Scientific, Abbott, Atricure, AltaThera, Acutus, and AliveCor. Dr Mittal serves as a consultant to Abbott, Boston Scientific, and Medtronic. Dr Passman is supported by UG3HL165065 from NHLBI 18SFRN34250013 from the American Heart Association (AHA), receives a grant for clinical research from Abbott, serves as a consultant to Medtronic, Janssen Pharmaceuticals, and Abbott, and receives royalties from UpToDate. Dr Russo serves as a consultant for Abbott, Atricure, Bayer, Biosense Webster, Boston Scientific, Medtronic, and PaceMate receives grants for clinical research from Boston Scientific, Kestra, Medilynx, and Medtronic and receives honoraria from Biotronik, Bristol Myers Squibb, Pfizer, Medtronic, and Sanofi. Dr Piccini is supported by R01AG074185 from the National Institute on Aging receives grants for clinical research from Abbott, AHA, the Association for the Advancement of Medical Instrumentation, Bayer, Boston Scientific, iRhythm, and Philips serves as a consultant to Abbott, AbbVie, Ablacon, AltaThera, ARCA Biopharma, Biotronik, Boston Scientific, Bristol Myers Squibb, LivaNova, Medtronic, Milestone, Electrophysiology Frontiers, Pfizer, Sanofi, Philips, and UptoDate. The other author report no conflicts.

Purpose of Review: The goal of this review is to summarize the potential causes of anaphylaxis in the different holiday contexts, providing practical suggestions aimed to mitigate the stress challenged by allergic patients because of unfamiliar situations., Recent Findings: A regard was reserved to potential food triggers, particularly uncommon ones and typical of certain destinations, and to arthropods responsible for anaphylaxis., Summary: This review highlights the potential risk of anaphylaxis due to the unusual contexts more experienced during holidays (i.e., travels, outdoor activities and eating out). Moreover, it underlines the need for a further allergological education in these cases, in order to prepare allergic patients to avoid and manage undesired situations., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.)

Background: Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is an independent and modifiable risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF) and correlates with a three-fold higher risk of incident AF. Although OSA is prevalent in patients with AF, it remains underdiagnosed. Guidelines for OSA screening are ambiguous. Local Problem: A small community hospital in the southeast United States lacked standardized OSA screening and consistent sleep clinic referral for hospitalized patients with AF. Methods: Over 3 months, an OSA bundle (including screening, education, and referral) was implemented for hospitalized patients with AF. A retrospective electronic health record (EHR) review established a baseline comparison group. Descriptive analyses between the intervention and comparison groups evaluated the effectiveness of the OSA bundle. Interventions: Eligible patients received OSA screening with the STOP-Bang questionnaire. A STOP-Bang score of 3 or higher triggered patient education about the arrhythmogenic relationship of OSA and AF. At discharge, patients received an ambulatory sleep clinic referral. After 3 months, an EHR review assessed the rate of sleep clinic follow-up, sleep testing, OSA diagnosis, and initiation of positive airway pressure. Results: Of the 68 patients in the comparison group and 33 patients in the intervention group, the rate of OSA screening increased from 4.4% to 100%. Sleep clinic referral increased from 66.7% to 93.5%. Sleep clinic follow-up increased from 0% to 10%. Conclusion: Screening for OSA and sleep clinic referral improved with the OSA bundle; however, sleep clinic follow-up remained low. Further quantitative and qualitative investigation is needed to better understand barriers to sleep clinic follow-up. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Breast cancer screening decreases stage at diagnosis, treatment morbidity, and disease mortality. A comprehensive risk assessment is critical to determine an individual's most appropriate screening regimen. Multiple guidelines exist for screening mammography in average-risk individuals, which differ on age and frequency of screening. Annual mammography starting at age 40 is associated with the greatest reduction in breast cancer mortality and greatest number of life-years saved. A formal risk calculator is helpful to assess one's lifetime risk of breast cancer and assess eligibility for high-risk screening. Screening guidelines exist for genetic mutations that increase breast cancer risk. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Although day-by-day home blood pressure (BP) variability (BPV) has been associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk, it remains unclear whether this association differs from season to season. The present study aimed to assess seasonal variation in day-by-day home BP variability and its association with CVD risk.Methods: We analyzed the data from a nationwide, prospective observational study, the J-HOP study (Japan Morning Surge-Home Blood Pressure), in which 14 consecutive days of home BP monitoring were conducted. The values of SD (SDsystolic BP [SBP]), coefficient of variationSBP, and average real variabilitySBP of home SBP were used as indices of day-by-day home BPV.Results: Among 4231 participants (mean age, 64.9±10.9 years, 46.7% male, 91.5% hypertensives), all 3 day-by-day home BPV indices were lower in summer than winter after adjusting for confounding factors. In winter, SDSBP, coefficient of variationSBP, and average real variabilitySBP were significantly associated with increased risk of CVD events (coronary artery disease, stroke, heart failure, and aortic dissection; adjusted hazard ratio [95%CI] per 1-SD of SDSBP, 1.26 [1.02-1.54]; coefficient of variationSBP, 1.24 [1.02-1.52]; average real variabilitySBP, 1.44 [1.17-1.77]). These relationships were also observed in the analysis of quartiles of BPV parameters (adjusted hazard ratio [95%CI] compared to the first quartile, fourth quartile of SDSBP 2.26 [1.06-4.85]; coefficient of variationSBP 2.96 [1.43-6.15]; average real variabilitySBP 2.73 [1.25-5.93]). In other seasons, however, there were no significant associations between day-by-day home BPV and CVD event risk.Conclusions: Our findings indicate that day-by-day home BPV measured in winter is more strongly associated with future CVD incidence than that measured in other seasons. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]