1. Estimating Time to ESRD in Children With CKD
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Susan L. Furth, Chris Pierce, Wun Fung Hui, Colin A. White, Craig S. Wong, Franz Schaefer, Elke Wühl, Alison G. Abraham, Bradley A. Warady, Joshua Samuels, Susan Furth, Meredith Atkinson, Amy Wilson, Alejandro Quiroga, Susan Massengill, Dave Selewski, Maria Ferris, Amy Kogon, Frederick Kaskel, Marc Lande, George Schwartz, Jeffrey Saland, Victoria Norwood, Tej Matoo, Guillermo Hidalgo, Poyyapakkam Srivaths, Joann Carlson, Craig Langman, Susan Mendley, Eunice John, Kiran Upadhyay, Patricia Seo-Mayer, Larry Patterson, Rulan Parekh, Lisa Robinson, Adam Weinstein, Dmitry Samsonov, Juan Kupferman, Jason Misurac, Anil Mongia, Steffan Kiessling, Cheryl Sanchez-Kazi, Allison Dart, Sahar Fathallah, Donna Claes, Mark Mitsnefes, Tom Blydt-Hansen, Bradley Warady, Larry Greenbaum, Joseph Flynn, Craig Wong, Isidro Salusky, Ora Yadin, Katherine Dell, Randall Jenkins, Cynthia Pan, Elaine Ku, Amira Al-Uzri, Nancy Rodig, Cynthia Wong, Keefe Davis, Martin Turman, Sharon Bartosh, Colleen Hastings, Anjali Nayak, Mouin Seikaly, Nadine Benador, Robert Mak, Ellen Wood, Gary Lerner, Gina Marie Barletta, A. Anarat, A. Bakkaloglu, F. Ozaltin, A. Peco-Antic, U. Querfeld, J. Gellermann, P. Sallay, D. Drożdż, K.-E. Bonzel, A.-M. Wingen, A. Żurowska, I. Balasz, A. Trivelli, F. Perfumo, D.E. Müller-Wiefel, K. Möller, G. Offner, B. Enke, E. Wühl, C. Hadtstein, O. Mehls, F. Schaefer, S. Emre, S. Caliskan, S. Mir, S. Wygoda, K. Hohbach-Hohenfellner, N. Jeck, G. Klaus, G. Ardissino, S. Testa, G. Montini, M. Charbit, P. Niaudet, A. Caldas-Afonso, A. Fernandes-Teixeira, J. Dušek, M.C. Matteucci, S. Picca, A. Mastrostefano, M. Wigger, U.B. Berg, G. Celsi, M. Fischbach, J. Terzic, J. Fydryk, T. Urasinski, R. Coppo, L. Peruzzi, K. Arbeiter, A. Jankauskiené, R. Grenda, M. Litwin, R. Janas, and T.J. Neuhaus
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medicine.medical_specialty ,Time Factors ,Adolescent ,Databases, Factual ,medicine.medical_treatment ,030232 urology & nephrology ,Renal function ,Disease ,030204 cardiovascular system & hematology ,Kidney Function Tests ,Risk Assessment ,Article ,Cohort Studies ,03 medical and health sciences ,Sex Factors ,0302 clinical medicine ,Renal Dialysis ,Internal medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,Renal replacement therapy ,Renal Insufficiency, Chronic ,Child ,Proteinuria ,business.industry ,Age Factors ,Infant ,Guideline ,medicine.disease ,Treatment Outcome ,Nephrology ,Child, Preschool ,North America ,Disease Progression ,Kidney Failure, Chronic ,Observational study ,medicine.symptom ,business ,Follow-Up Studies ,Glomerular Filtration Rate ,Kidney disease ,Cohort study - Abstract
RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The KDIGO (Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes) guideline on CKD presented an international classification system that ranks patients' risk for CKD progression. Few data on children informed guideline development STUDY DESIGN: Observational cohort study SETTINGS AND PARTICIPANTS: Children aged 1-18 years enrolled in the North American Chronic Kidney Disease in Children (CKiD) cohort study and the European Effect of Strict Blood Pressure Control and ACE Inhibition on the Progression of CRF in Pediatric Patients (ESCAPE) trial. PREDICTOR: Level of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and proteinuria (urine protein-creatinine ratio (mg/mg)) at study entry OUTCOME: A composite event of renal replacement therapy, 50% reduction of estimated GFR (eGFR), or eGFR 2.0 at study entry. Six ordered stages with varying combinations of eGFR categories (60-89, 45-59, 30-44 and 15-29 ml/min/1.73m(2)) and UPCR categories (2.0) described the risk continuum. Median times to event ranged from >10 years for eGFR 45-90 and UPCR 2. Children with glomerular disease were estimated to have a 43% shorter time to event than children with nonglomerular disease. Cross-validation demonstrated risk patterns that were consistent across the ten subsample validation models. LIMITATIONS: Observational study, utilized cross validation rather than external validation CONCLUSION: CKD staged by level of eGFR and proteinuria characterizes the timeline of progression and can guide management strategies in children.
- Published
- 2018
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