1. Contradictory mortality results in early 2-dose measles vaccine trials: interactions with oral polio vaccine may explain differences.
- Author
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Nielsen S, Fisker AB, Sie A, Müller O, Nebie E, Becher H, van der Klis F, Biering-Sørensen S, Byberg S, Thysen SM, da Silva I, Rodrigues A, Martins C, Whittle HC, Aaby P, and Benn CS
- Subjects
- Humans, Infant, Female, Guinea-Bissau epidemiology, Male, Measles prevention & control, Measles mortality, Proportional Hazards Models, Vaccination, Poliovirus Vaccine, Oral administration & dosage, Measles Vaccine administration & dosage, Measles Vaccine immunology, Poliomyelitis prevention & control, Poliomyelitis mortality, Immunization Schedule
- Abstract
Objectives: Between 2003 and 2019, three trials (randomised controlled trials [RCTs]) in Guinea-Bissau randomised infants to an early 2-dose measles vaccine (MV) schedule at 4 and 9 months vs standard MV at 9 months. The RCTs produced contradictory mortality results; the effect being beneficial in the 2-dose group in the first but tending to have higher mortality in the last two RCTs. We hypothesised that increased frequency of campaigns with oral polio vaccine (C-OPV) explained the pattern., Methods: We performed per-protocol analysis of individual-level survival data from the three RCTs in Cox proportional hazards models yielding hazard ratios (HR) for the 2-dose vs the 1-dose MV group. We examined whether timing of C-OPVs and early administration of OPV0 (birth to day 14) affected the HRs for 2-dose/1-dose MV., Results: The combined HR(2-dose/1-dose) was 0.79 (95% confidence interval: 0.62-1.00) for children receiving no C-OPV-before-enrolment, but 1.39 (0.97-1.99) for those receiving C-OPV-before-enrolment (homogeneity, P = 0.01). C-OPV-before-enrolment had a beneficial effect in the 1-dose group but tended to have a negative effect in the 2-dose group, especially in females. These effects were amplified further by early administration of OPV0., Conclusion: In the absence of C-OPVs, an early 2-dose MV strategy had beneficial effects on mortality, but frequent C-OPVs may have benefitted the 1-dose group more than the 2-dose MV group, leading to varying results depending on the intensity of C-OPVs., Competing Interests: Declarations of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024. Published by Elsevier Ltd.)
- Published
- 2024
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