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We tested the hypothesis that low plasma adiponectin is associated observationally and causally with increased risk of type 2 diabetes. Observational analyses are prone to confounding and reverse causation, while genetic Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses are much less influenced by these biases. We examined 30,045 individuals from the Copenhagen General Population Study observationally (plasma adiponectin [1,751 individuals with type 2 diabetes]), 96,903 Copenhagen individuals using one-sample MR (5 genetic variants [5,012 individuals with type 2 diabetes]), and 659,316 Europeans (ADIPOGen, GERA, DIAGRAM, UK Biobank) using two-sample MR (10 genetic variants [62,892 individuals type 2 diabetes]). Observationally, and in comparisons with individuals with median plasma adiponectin of 28.9 μg/mL (4th quartile), multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for type 2 diabetes were 1.42 (95% CI 1.18-1.72) for 19.2 μg/mL (3rd quartile), 2.21 (1.84-2.66) for 13.9 μg/mL (2nd quartile), and 4.05 (3.38-4.86) for 9.2 μg/mL (1st quartile). Corresponding cumulative incidence for type 2 diabetes at age 70 years was 3%, 7%, 11%, and 20%, respectively. A 1 μg/mL lower plasma adiponectin conferred an HR for type 2 diabetes of 1.07 (1.06-1.09), while genetic, causal risk ratio per 1 unit log-transformed lower plasma adiponectin was 1.13 (95% CI 0.83-1.53) in one-sample MR and 1.26 (1.01-1.57) in two-sample MR. In conclusion, low plasma adiponectin is associated with increased risk of type 2 diabetes, an association that could represent a causal relationship. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Observationally, low levels of HDL cholesterol are consistently associated with increased risk of type 2 diabetes. Therefore, plasma HDL cholesterol increasing has been suggested as a novel therapeutic option to reduce the risk of type 2 diabetes. Whether levels of HDL cholesterol are causally associated with type 2 diabetes is unknown. In a prospective study of the general population (n = 47,627), we tested whether HDL cholesterol-related genetic variants were associated with low HDL cholesterol levels and, in turn, with an increased risk of type 2 diabetes. HDL cholesterol-decreasing gene scores and allele numbers associated with up to -13 and -20% reductions in HDL cholesterol levels. The corresponding theoretically predicted hazard ratios for type 2 diabetes were 1.44 (95% CI 1.38-1.52) and 1.77 (1.61-1.95), whereas the genetic estimates were nonsignificant. Genetic risk ratios for type 2 diabetes for a 0.2 mmol/L reduction in HDL cholesterol were 0.91 (0.75-1.09) and 0.93 (0.78-1.11) for HDL cholesterol-decreasing gene scores and allele numbers, respectively, compared with the corresponding observational hazard ratio of 1.37 (1.32-1.42). In conclusion, genetically reduced HDL cholesterol does not associate with increased risk of type 2 diabetes, suggesting that the corresponding observational association is due to confounding and/or reverse causation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

OBJECTIVE-Alterations of pancreatic β-cell cholesterol content may contribute to β-cell dysfunction. Two important determinants of intracellular cholesterol content are the ATPbinding cassette (ABC) transporters A1 (ABCA1) and -G1 (ABCG1).Whether genetic variation in ABCA1 and ABCG1 predicts risk of type 2 diabetes in the general population is unknown. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHOD-We tested whether genetic variation in the promoter and coding regions of ABCA1 and ABCG1 predicted risk of type 2 diabetes in the general population. Twenty-seven variants, identified by previous resequencing of both genes, were genotyped in the Copenhagen City Heart Study (CCHS) (n = 10,185). Two loss-of-function mutations (ABCA1 N1800H and ABCG1 g.-376C>T) (n = 322) and a common variant (ABCG1 g.-530A>G) were further genotyped in the Copenhagen General Population Study (CGPS) (n = 30,415). RESULT-Only one of the variants examined, ABCG1 g.-530A>G, predicted a decreased risk of type 2 diabetes in the CCHS (P for trend = 0.05). Furthermore, when validated in the CGPS or in the CCHS and CGPS combined (n = 40,600), neither the two loss-of-function mutations (ABCA1 N1800H, ABCG1 g.-376C>T) nor ABCG1 g.-530A>G were associated with type 2 diabetes (P values >0.57 and >0.30, respectively). CONCLUSION-Genetic variations in ABCA1 and ABCG1 were not associated with increased risk of type 2 diabetes in the general population. These data were obtained in general population samples harboring the largest number of heterozygotes for loss-of-function mutations in ABCA1 and ABCG1 [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]