80 results on '"Winiwarter W"'
Search Results
2. Acceleration of global N2O emissions seen from two decades of atmospheric inversion
- Author
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Thompson, R. L., Lassaletta, L., Patra, P. K., Wilson, C., Wells, K. C., Gressent, A., Koffi, E. N., Chipperfield, M. P., Winiwarter, W., Davidson, E. A., Tian, H., and Canadell, J. G.
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. Inventorying emissions from nature in Europe
- Author
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Simpson, D, Winiwarter, W, Börjesson, G, Cinderby, S, Ferreiro, A, Guenther, A, Hewitt, CN, Janson, R, Khalil, MAK, Owen, S, Pierce, TE, Puxbaum, H, Shearer, M, Skiba, U, Steinbrecher, R, Tarrasón, L, and Öquist, MG
- Subjects
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences - Abstract
As part of the work of the Economic Commission for Europe of the United Nations Task Force on Emission Inventories, a new set of guidelines has been developed for assessing the emissions of sulphur, nitrogen oxides, NH3, CH4, and nonmethane volatile organic compounds (NMVOC) from biogenic and other natural sources in Europe. This paper gives the background to these guidelines, describes the sources, and gives our recommended methodologies for estimating emissions. We have assembled land use and other statistics from European or national compilations and present emission estimates for the various natural/biogenic source categories based on these. Total emissions from nature derived here amount to ∼1.1 Tg S yr-1, 6-8 Tg CH4 yr-1, 70 Gg NH3 (as N) yr-1, and 13 Tg NMVOC yr-1. Estimates of biogenic NOx emissions cover a wide range, from 140 to 1500 Gg NOx (as N) yr-1. In terms of relative contribution to total European emissions for different pollutants, then NMVOC from forests and vegetation are clearly the most important emissions source. Biogenic NOx emissions (although heavily influenced by nitrogen inputs from anthropogenic activities) are very important if the higher estimates are reliable. CH4 from wetlands and sulphur from volcanoes are also significant emissions in the European budgets. On a global scale, European biogenic emissions are not significant, a consequence of the climate and size (7% of global land area) of Europe and of the destruction of natural ecosystems since prehistoric times. However, for assessing local budgets and for photochemical oxidant modeling, natural/biogenic emissions can play an important role. The most important contributor in this regard is undoubtedly forest VOC emissions, although this paper also indicates that NMVOC emissions from nonforested areas also need to be further evaluated. This paper was originally conceived as a contribution to the collection of papers arising as a result of the Workshop on Biogenic Hydrocarbons in the Atmospheric Boundary Layer, August 24-27, 1997. (Several papers arising from this workshop have been published in Journal of Geophysical Research, 103(D19) 1998.) Copyright 1999 by the American Geophysical Union.
- Published
- 1999
4. Implications of population growth and urbanization on agricultural risks in China
- Author
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Fischer, G., Winiwarter, W., Cao, G. Y., Ermolieva, T., Hizsnyik, E., Klimont, Z., Wiberg, D., and Zheng, X. Y.
- Published
- 2012
5. Uncertainty, cost-effectiveness and environmental safety of robust carbon trading: integrated approach
- Author
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Ermolieva, T., Ermoliev, Y., Jonas, M., Obersteiner, M., Wagner, F., and Winiwarter, W.
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- 2014
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6. Integrated modeling framework for assessment and mitigation of nitrogen pollution from agriculture: Concept and case study for China
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Fischer, G., Winiwarter, W., Ermolieva, T., Cao, G.-Y., Qui, H., Klimont, Z., Wiberg, D., and Wagner, F.
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- 2010
- Full Text
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7. Source apportionment of particulate matter in Europe: A review of methods and results
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Viana, M., Kuhlbusch, T.A.J., Querol, X., Alastuey, A., Harrison, R.M., Hopke, P.K., Winiwarter, W., Vallius, M., Szidat, S., Prévôt, A.S.H., Hueglin, C., Bloemen, H., Wåhlin, P., Vecchi, R., Miranda, A.I., Kasper-Giebl, A., Maenhaut, W., and Hitzenberger, R.
- Published
- 2008
- Full Text
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8. National Greenhouse Gas Inventories: Understanding Uncertainties versus Potential for Improving Reliability
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Winiwarter, W.
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
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9. Natural emissions of methane from geothermal and volcanic sources in Europe
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Etiope, G., Fridriksson, T., Italiano, F., Winiwarter, W., and Theloke, J.
- Published
- 2007
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10. Magnitude and Uncertainty of Nitrous Oxide Emissions From North America Based on Bottom‐Up and Top‐Down Approaches: Informing Future Research and National Inventories.
- Author
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Xu, R., Tian, H., Pan, N., Thompson, R. L., Canadell, J. G., Davidson, E. A., Nevison, C., Winiwarter, W., Shi, H., Pan, S., Chang, J., Ciais, P., Dangal, S. R. S., Ito, A., Jackson, R. B., Joos, F., Lauerwald, R., Lienert, S., Maavara, T., and Millet, D. B.
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NITROUS oxide ,INVENTORIES ,TROPOSPHERIC ozone ,GLOBAL warming ,SOIL moisture ,ACTIVITY-based costing ,GREENHOUSE gases - Abstract
We synthesized N2O emissions over North America using 17 bottom‐up (BU) estimates from 1980–2016 and five top‐down (TD) estimates from 1998 to 2016. The BU‐based total emission shows a slight increase owing to U.S. agriculture, while no consistent trend is shown in TD estimates. During 2007–2016, North American N2O emissions are estimated at 1.7 (1.0–3.0) Tg N yr−1 (BU) and 1.3 (0.9–1.5) Tg N yr−1 (TD). Anthropogenic emissions were twice as large as natural fluxes from soil and water. Direct agricultural and industrial activities accounted for 68% of total anthropogenic emissions, 71% of which was contributed by the U.S. Our estimates of U.S. agricultural emissions are comparable to the EPA greenhouse gas (GHG) inventory, which includes estimates from IPCC tier 1 (emission factor) and tier 3 (process‐based modeling) approaches. Conversely, our estimated agricultural emissions for Canada and Mexico are twice as large as the respective national GHG inventories. Plain Language Summary: Nitrous oxide (N2O) is the third most important greenhouse gase (GHG) after CO2 and CH4 causing global warming. Among world regions, North America (defined herein as U.S., Canada, and Mexico) is the second largest source of N2O emissions globally, and previous source estimates for this region vary widely. This study aims to provide a comprehensive N2O assessment over North America including all available estimates based on a number of approaches. We report total emissions, and emissions from four anthropogenic source sectors, over the past four decades. Agriculture and industry are two major N2O sources in North America. Our results show a minor increase in the total N2O emission due to agricultural trends in the U.S. Our bottom‐up estimate of U.S. agricultural N2O emissions are close to those in the EPA national GHG inventory that includes both empirical and model results. The high consistency suggests the need to take process‐based modeling results into account for future national GHG inventories. Key Points: North American N2O emissions during 2007–2016 are estimated at 0.9–3.0 Tg N yr−1 using a combination of bottom‐up and top‐down approachesNorth American anthropogenic N2O emissions grew by ∼0.2 Tg N during 1980–2016; U.S. agriculture was the largest cause of that growthOur modeled N2O fluxes reflect an IPCC tier 3 approach, and can improve greenhouse gase inventories that largely use tier 1 and tier 2 approaches [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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11. The Kleiner Feldberg Cloud Experiment 1990. An overview
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Wobrock, W., Schell, D., Maser, R., Jaeschke, W., Georgii, H. -W., Wieprecht, W., Arends, B. G., Mols, J. J., Kos, G. P. A., Fuzzi, S., Facchini, M. C., Orsi, G., Berner, A., Solly, I., Kruisz, C., Svenningsson, I. B., Wiedensohler, A., Hansson, H. -C., Ogren, J. A., Noone, K. J., Hallberg, A., Pahl, S., Schneider, T., Winkler, P., Winiwarter, W., Colvile, R. N., Choularton, T. W., Flossmann, A. I., and Borrmann, S.
- Published
- 1994
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12. Computer modelling of clouds at Kleiner Feldberg
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Colvile, R. N., Sander, R., Choularton, T. W., Bower, K. N., Inglis, D. W. F., Wobrock, W., Schell, D., Svenningsson, I. B., Wiedensohler, A., Hansson, H. -C., Hallberg, A., Ogren, J. A., Noone, K. J., Facchini, M. C., Fuzzi, S., Orsi, G., Arends, B. G., Winiwarter, W., Schneider, T., and Berner, A.
- Published
- 1994
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13. Henry's law and the behavior of weak acids and bases in fog and cloud
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Winiwarter, W., Fierlinger, H., Puxbaum, H., Facchini, M. C., Arends, B. G., Fuzzi, S., Schell, D., Kaminski, U., Pahl, S., Schneider, T., Berner, A., Solly, I., and Kruisz, C.
- Published
- 1994
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14. Global Gridded Nitrogen Indicators: Influence of Crop Maps.
- Author
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Kaltenegger, K. and Winiwarter, W.
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SCIENTIFIC literature ,AGRICULTURAL productivity ,CROPS ,NITROGEN - Abstract
Displaying Nitrogen (N) indicators on a global grid poses unique opportunities to quantify environmental impacts from N application in different world regions under a variety of conditions. Such calculations require the use of maps showing the geo‐spatial distribution of crop production. Although there are several crop maps in the scientific literature to choose from, the consequences of this choice for the calculation of N indicators still need to be evaluated. In this study we analyze the differences in results for N Use Efficiency (NUE) and N surplus calculated on the global scale using two different crop maps (SPAM and M3). For our calculations we used publicly available statistical and literature data combined with each crop map and carefully traced the origins of the differences in the results. Our results showed that the regions most affected by discrepancies caused by differences in crop maps (yields and physical area) are Central Asia and the Russian Federation, Australia and Oceania, and North Africa. However, we also found that the inclusion or exclusion of grass crops influences the results, as does the aggregation of crops to categories. Considering all these differences, we note that M3 seems to provide the more plausible results for the calculation of N indicators. Our analysis not only highlights the importance of determining the critical parameters for N indicator calculation, but also allows key parameters connected with N use and overuse to be identified on the global scale. Key Points: Parameters like N surplus and NUE values are highly sensitive to the choice of crop mapAssumptions on grass crops also strongly influence N surplus and NUELeast bias in N indicators has been noted when using the M3 crop map [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
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15. Nitrous oxide's impact on net greenhouse gas savings from biofuels: life-cycle analysis comparison
- Author
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Mosier, A.R., Crutzen, P.J., Smith, K.A., and Winiwarter, W.
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Biomass energy -- Analysis ,Air pollution -- Analysis ,Global warming -- Analysis ,Fertilizers -- Application ,Fertilizers -- Influence ,Greenhouse gases ,Biotechnology industry - Abstract
Byline: A.R. Mosier, P.J. Crutzen, K.A. Smith, W. Winiwarter We discuss the likely impact of agricultural fertiliser N use on the global nitrous oxide (N2O) budget, as described by Crutzen et al. (2008). We then project the impact of full N2O accounting in biofuel net Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions using the life-cycle analyses from Farrell et al. (2006) (ERG Biofuels Analysis Meta-Model (EBAMM)), Liska et al. (2008) (Biofuel Energy Systems Simulator (BESS)) for corn-based ethanol production and Smith et al. (2006) (Bioethanol GHG Calculator (BGGC)) for wheat-based ethanol. USA biofuel production, even if nominally fulfilling the requirements, may trigger a net increase in global warming.
- Published
- 2009
16. Determination of inorganic and organic volatile acids, NH3, particulate SO42−, NO32− and Cl− in ambient air with an annular diffusion denuder system
- Author
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Rosenberg, C., Winiwarter, W., Gregori, M., Pech, G., Casensky, V., and Puxbaum, H.
- Published
- 1988
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17. Quantifying emissions of primary biological aerosol particle mass in Europe
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Winiwarter, W., Bauer, H., Caseiro, A., and Puxbaum, H.
- Subjects
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EMISSIONS (Air pollution) , *QUANTITATIVE research , *PARTICULATE matter , *AEROSOLS & the environment , *ATMOSPHERIC aerosols , *AIR masses - Abstract
Atmospheric concentration measurements of tracers for primary biological aerosol particles (PBAPs) have been used to obtain estimates of their release into the atmosphere. Emission flux data of surrogate compounds, for which concurrent concentration measurements were available, were used to quantify the release of PBAPs as PM10 mass. Results indicate fungal spores to be the most important contributors. One other main source is plant debris. Area-based emission rates of 24kgkm−2 and year (range 6–90) have been assessed. Results scaled for Europe indicate a contribution of PBAPs to PM10 concentrations in the low percentage range, with a maximum in summer when concentration levels are small. This is consistent with the range of measurements. Despite of the large uncertainties, results contribute to clarify the potential contribution of biological particles to global load of particle mass. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2009
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18. Methane release from wetlands and watercourses in Europe
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Saarnio, S., Winiwarter, W., and Leitão, J.
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METHANE & the environment , *WETLANDS , *MARSHES , *DATA analysis , *AIR pollution measurement , *AIR pollution monitoring - Abstract
This study was conducted to estimate annual CH4 efflux from wetlands and watercourses in Europe and some adjacent areas. Wet ecosystems were divided into seven categories: ombrotrophic mires, minerotrophic mires, freshwater marshes, saltwater marshes, small lakes, large lakes and rivers. The geographical distribution and total area coverage for each of these respective ecosystems were taken from CORINE 2000, Global Land Cover 2000 [JRC, 2003. Harmonisation, mosaicing and production of the Global Land Cover 2000 database (Beta Version). EUR 20849 EN, Joint Research Center, Ispra, Italy] and ESRI 2003 databases. CH4 release factors were obtained from an extensive overview of published literature. Less than 3% of the study area of 22,560,000km2 consisted of wetlands and watercourses. Large lakes (40%), minerotrophic mires (24%) and ombrotrophic mires (20%) covered almost 85% of the total area of wetlands and watercourses. The total CH4 release from European wetlands and watercourses was estimated to be 5.2Tga−1. CH4 release from minerotrophic mires (48%), large lakes (24%), and ombrotrophic mires (12%) composed most of the total CH4 efflux. High variation in the rate of CH4 release within the main ecosystem types, small number of studies in some ecosystems and ecologically inadequate land-cover classification are the main reasons for the uncertainties of the estimate. A better estimation of European CH4 effluxes from natural sources, now and future, would require: a much more detailed and ecologically relevant mapping of the area of different types of wetlands and watercourses, and long-term measurements of CH4 fluxes and their controlling environmental factors in poorly studied types of wetlands and watercourses. Finally, the data could be used for dynamic modelling of CH4 fluxes in the current and changing environmental conditions. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2009
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19. N2O release from agro-biofuel production negates global warming reduction by replacing fossil fuels.
- Author
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Crutzen, P. J., Mosier, A. R., Smith, K. A., and Winiwarter, W.
- Subjects
FOSSIL fuels ,GLOBAL warming ,BIOMASS energy ,CROPS ,EMISSIONS (Air pollution) - Abstract
The relationship, on a global basis, between the amount of N fixed by chemical, biological or atmospheric processes entering the terrestrial biosphere, and the total emission of nitrous oxide (N
2 O), has been re-examined, using known global atmospheric removal rates and concentration growth of N2 O as a proxy for overall emissions. For both the pre-industrial period and in recent times, after taking into account the large-scale changes in synthetic N fertiliser production, we find an overall conversion factor of 3-5% from newly fixed N to N2 O-N. We assume the same factor to be valid for biofuel production systems. It is covered only in part by the default conversion factor for "direct" emissions from agricultural crop lands (1%) estimated by IPCC (2006), and the default factors for the "indirect" emissions (following volatilization/deposition and leaching/runoff of N: 0.35-0.45%) cited therein. However, as we show in the paper, when additional emissions included in the IPCC methodology, e.g. those from livestock production, are included, the total may not be inconsistent with that given by our "topdown" method. When the extra N2 O emission from biofuel production is calculated in "CO2 -equivalent" global warming terms, and compared with the quasi-cooling effect of "saving" emissions of fossil fuel derived CO2 , the outcome is that the production of commonly used biofuels, such as biodiesel from rapeseed and bioethanol from corn (maize), depending on N fertilizer uptake efficiency by the plants, can contribute as much or more to global warming by N2 O emissions than cooling by fossil fuel savings. Crops with less N demand, such as grasses and woody coppice species, have more favourable climate impacts. This analysis only considers the conversion of biomass to biofuel. It does not take into account the use of fossil fuel on the farms and for fertilizer and pesticide production, but it also neglects the production of useful co-products. Both factors partially compensate each other. This needs to be analyzed in a full life cycle assessment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2008
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
20. N2O release from agro-biofuel production negates global warming reduction by replacing fossil fuels.
- Author
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Crutzen, P. J., Mosier, A. R., Smith, K. A., and Winiwarter, W.
- Abstract
The relationship, on a global basis, between the amount of N fixed by chemical, biological or atmospheric processes entering the terrestrial biosphere, and the total emission of nitrous oxide (N
2 O), has been re-examined, using known global atmospheric removal rates and concentration growth of N2 O as a proxy for overall emissions. The relationship, in both the pre-industrial period and in recent times, after taking into account the large-scale changes in synthetic N fertiliser production and deforestation, is consistent, showing an overall conversion factor of 3-5%. This factor is covered only in part by the ∼1% of "direct" emissions from agricultural crop lands estimated by IPCC (2006), or the "indirect" emissions cited therein. This means that the extra N2 O entering the atmosphere as a result of using N to produce crops for biofuels will also be correspondingly greater than that estimated just on the basis of IPCC (2006). When the extra N2 O emission from biofuel production is calculated in "CO2 -equivalent" global warming terms, and compared with the quasi-cooling effect of "saving" emissions of fossil fuel derived CO2 , the outcome is that the production of commonly used biofuels, such as biodiesel from rapeseed and bioethanol from corn (maize), can contribute as much or more to global warming by N2 O emissions than cooling by fossil fuel savings. Crops with less N demand, such as grasses and woody coppice species have more favourable climate impacts. This analysis only considers the conversion of biomass to biofuel. It does not take into account the use of fossil fuel on the farms and for fertilizer and pesticide production, but it also neglects the production of useful co-products. Both factors partially compensate each other. This needs to be analyzed in a full life cycle assessment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
21. Mining clusters and corresponding interpretable descriptions – a three–stage approach.
- Author
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Drobics, M., Bodenhofer, U., and Winiwarter, W.
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DATA mining ,FUZZY logic ,SELF-organizing maps - Abstract
This paper presents a three–stage approach to data mining which puts special emphasis on the visualization and interpretability of the results. In the first stage, the input data are represented by a self–organizing map in order to allow visualization and to reduce the amount of data while removing noise, outliers and missing values. Then this preprocessed information is used to identify and display fuzzy clusters of similarity. Finally, descriptions close to natural language are computed for these clusters in order to provide the analyst with qualitative information. This is accomplished by generating fuzzy rules using an inductive learning method. The proposed approach is applied to three case studies, including image data and real–world data sets. The results illustrate the robustness, intuitiveness and wide applicability of the method. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2002
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22. SNOSP: Ion deposition and concentration in high alpine snow packs.
- Author
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NICKUS, U., KUHN, M., BALTENSPERGER, U., DELMAS, R., GÄGGELER, H., KASPER, A., KROMP-KOLB, H., MAUPETIT, F., NOVO, A., PICHLMAYER, F., PREUNKERT, S., PUXBAUM, H., ROSSI, G., SCHÖNER, W., SCHWIKOWSKI, M., SEIBERT, P., STAUDINGER, M., TROCKNER, V., WAGENBACH, D., and WINIWARTER, W.
- Published
- 1997
- Full Text
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23. Phase-partitioning and chemical reactions of low molecular weight organic compounds in fog.
- Author
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FACCHINI, M. C., FUZZI, S., LIND, J. A., FIERLINGER-OBERLINNINGER, H., KALINA, M., PUXBAUM, H., WINIWARTER, W., ARENDS, B. G., WOBROCK, W., JAESCHKE, W., BERNER, A., and KRUISZ, C.
- Published
- 1992
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24. A SIMPLE BOX MODEL TO SIMULATE LOCAL FORMATION OF SECONDARY ORGANIC AEROSOL
- Author
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WINIWARTER, W., ULBERT, G., and PUXBAUM, H.
- Published
- 2001
- Full Text
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25. Mitigating ammonia emission from agriculture reduces PM2.5 pollution in the Hai River Basin in China.
- Author
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Zhao, Z.Q., Bai, Z.H., Winiwarter, W., Kiesewetter, G., Heyes, C., and Ma, L.
- Subjects
- *
AMMONIA , *PARTICULATE matter , *WATERSHEDS , *GREENHOUSE gas mitigation , *AIR pollution - Abstract
The Hai River Basin (HRB), one of the most populated areas in China, is experiencing high NH 3 emissions, mostly from agricultural sources, and suffering from strongly enhanced PM 2.5 concentrations in all urban areas. Further population growth and urbanization projected until 2030 may exacerbate this situation. Here, the NUFER (NUtrient flows in Food chains, Environment and Resources use) and GAINS (Greenhouse gas – Air pollution Interactions and Synergies) models have been coupled for the first time to understand possible changes of agricultural NH 3 emission between 2012 and 2030 and their impacts on ambient PM 2.5 concentrations, and to explore options to improve this situation. Results show that agricultural ammonia emissions in the HRB were 1179 kt NH 3 in 2012, 45% of which was from the hotspots at or near conurbation areas, including Beijing-Tianjin, Tangshan-Qinhuangdao, Shijiazhuang-Baoding, Dezhou, Handan-Liaocheng, and Xinxiang. Without intervention, agricultural ammonia emissions will further increase by 33% by 2030. The impacts of several scenarios were tested with respect to air pollution. Compared to the business-as-usual scenario, a scenario of improved technology and management combined with human diet optimization could greatly reduce emission (by 60%), and lead to 22–43% and 9–24% decrease of the secondary inorganic aerosols and PM 2.5 concentrations, respectively, in the hotspots of NH 3 emissions. Our results further confirmed that ammonia control is needed for air pollution abatement strategies (SO 2 , NO x and primary PM reduction) to be effective in terms of PM 2.5 . [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
26. Estimating the spatial distribution of ozone concentrations in complex terrain
- Author
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Loibi, W., Winiwarter, W., Kopsca, A., Zufger, J., and Baumann, R.
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- 1994
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27. Atmospheric concentrations of formic and acetic acid and related compounds in eastern and northern Austria
- Author
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Puxbaum, H., Rosenberg, C., Gregori, M., Lanzerstorfer, C., Ober, E., and Winiwarter, W.
- Published
- 1988
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28. A calculation procedure for the determinatinon of the collective efficiency in annular denuders
- Author
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Winiwarter, W.
- Published
- 1989
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29. Atmospheric concentrations of formic and acetic acid and related compounds in eastern and northern Austria
- Author
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Rosenberg, C., Puxbaum, H., Gregori, M., Lanzerstorfer, C., Ober, E., and Winiwarter, W.
- Subjects
ATMOSPHERE ,FORMIC acid ,ACETIC acid - Published
- 1988
30. Henry's Law and the behavior of weak acids in bases in fog and cloud
- Author
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Schneider, T., Solly, I., Kruisz, C., Fierlinger, H., Arends, B.G., Pahl, S., Facchini, M. C., Kaminski, U., Fuzzi, S., Berner, A., Winiwarter, W., Schell, D., and Puxbaum, H.
- Subjects
FOG ,HENRY'S law - Published
- 1994
31. Decline in carbon emission intensity of global agriculture has stagnated recently.
- Author
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Bai Z, Zhang N, Winiwarter W, Luo J, Chang J, Smith P, Ledgard S, Wu Y, Hong C, Conchedda G, and Ma L
- Subjects
- Carbon metabolism, Livestock, Animals, Crops, Agricultural, Agriculture methods, Greenhouse Gases analysis
- Abstract
Using global data for around 180 countries and territories and 170 food/feed types primarily derived from FAOSTAT, we have systematically analyzed the changes in greenhouse gas (GHG) emission intensity (GHG
i ) (kg CO2eq per kg protein production) over the past six decades. We found that, with large spatial heterogeneity, emission intensity decreased by nearly two-thirds from 1961 to 2019, predominantly in the earlier years due to agronomic improvement in productivity. However, in the most recent decade, emission intensity has become stagnant, and in a few countries even showed an increase, due to the rapid increase in livestock production and land use changes. The trade of final produced protein between countries has potentially reduced the global GHGi , especially for countries that are net importers with high GHGi , such as many in Africa and South Asia. Overall, a continuous decline of emission intensity in the future relies on countries with higher emission intensity to increase agricultural productivity and minimize land use changes. Countries with lower emission intensity should reduce livestock production and increase the free trade of agricultural products and improve the trade optimality., Competing Interests: Competing interests statement:The authors declare no competing interest.- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
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32. Aspirational nitrogen interventions accelerate air pollution abatement and ecosystem protection.
- Author
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Guo Y, Zhao H, Winiwarter W, Chang J, Wang X, Zhou M, Havlik P, Leclere D, Pan D, Kanter D, and Zhang L
- Subjects
- Air Pollutants analysis, Ammonia, Ozone, Ecosystem, Air Pollution prevention & control, Nitrogen
- Abstract
Although reactive nitrogen (Nr) emissions from food and energy production contribute to multi-dimensional environmental damages, integrated management of Nr is still lacking owing to unclear future mitigation potentials and benefits. Here, we find that by 2050, high-ambition compared to low-ambition N interventions reduce global ammonia and nitrogen oxide emissions by 21 and 22 TgN/a, respectively, equivalent to 40 and 52% of their 2015 levels. This would mitigate population-weighted PM2.5 by 6 g/m
3 and avoid premature deaths by 817 k (16%), mitigate ozone by 4 ppbv, avoid premature deaths by 252k (34%) and crop yield losses by 122 million tons (4.3%), and decrease terrestrial ecosystem areas exceeding critical load by 420 Mha (69%). Without nitrogen interventions, most environmental damages examined will deteriorate between 2015 and 2050; Africa and Asia are the most vulnerable but also benefit the most from interventions. Nitrogen interventions support sustainable development goals related to air, health, and ecosystems.- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
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33. Enhanced nitrous oxide emission factors due to climate change increase the mitigation challenge in the agricultural sector.
- Author
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Li L, Lu C, Winiwarter W, Tian H, Canadell JG, Ito A, Jain AK, Kou-Giesbrecht S, Pan S, Pan N, Shi H, Sun Q, Vuichard N, Ye S, Zaehle S, and Zhu Q
- Subjects
- Models, Theoretical, Nitrogen analysis, Machine Learning, Soil chemistry, Nitrous Oxide analysis, Climate Change, Agriculture methods, Fertilizers analysis
- Abstract
Effective nitrogen fertilizer management is crucial for reducing nitrous oxide (N
2 O) emissions while ensuring food security within planetary boundaries. However, climate change might also interact with management practices to alter N2 O emission and emission factors (EFs), adding further uncertainties to estimating mitigation potentials. Here, we developed a new hybrid modeling framework that integrates a machine learning model with an ensemble of eight process-based models to project EFs under different climate and nitrogen policy scenarios. Our findings reveal that EFs are dynamically modulated by environmental changes, including climate, soil properties, and nitrogen management practices. Under low-ambition nitrogen regulation policies, EF would increase from 1.18%-1.22% in 2010 to 1.27%-1.34% by 2050, representing a relative increase of 4.4%-11.4% and exceeding the IPCC tier-1 EF of 1%. This trend is particularly pronounced in tropical and subtropical regions with high nitrogen inputs, where EFs could increase by 0.14%-0.35% (relative increase of 11.9%-17%). In contrast, high-ambition policies have the potential to mitigate the increases in EF caused by climate change, possibly leading to slight decreases in EFs. Furthermore, our results demonstrate that global EFs are expected to continue rising due to warming and regional drying-wetting cycles, even in the absence of changes in nitrogen management practices. This asymmetrical influence of nitrogen fertilizers on EFs, driven by climate change, underscores the urgent need for immediate N2 O emission reductions and further assessments of mitigation potentials. This hybrid modeling framework offers a computationally efficient approach to projecting future N2 O emissions across various climate, soil, and nitrogen management scenarios, facilitating socio-economic assessments and policy-making efforts., (© 2024 The Author(s). Global Change Biology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)- Published
- 2024
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34. Unlocking bacterial potential to reduce farmland N 2 O emissions.
- Author
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Hiis EG, Vick SHW, Molstad L, Røsdal K, Jonassen KR, Winiwarter W, and Bakken LR
- Subjects
- Bacterial Proteins metabolism, Biofuels supply & distribution, Flavobacteriaceae cytology, Flavobacteriaceae growth & development, Flavobacteriaceae metabolism, Nitrogen metabolism, Europe, Farms, Global Warming prevention & control, Nitrous Oxide metabolism, Nitrous Oxide analysis, Soil chemistry, Soil Microbiology, Crop Production methods, Crop Production trends
- Abstract
Farmed soils contribute substantially to global warming by emitting N
2 O (ref.1 ), and mitigation has proved difficult2 . Several microbial nitrogen transformations produce N2 O, but the only biological sink for N2 O is the enzyme NosZ, catalysing the reduction of N2 O to N2 (ref.3 ). Although strengthening the NosZ activity in soils would reduce N2 O emissions, such bioengineering of the soil microbiota is considered challenging4,5 . However, we have developed a technology to achieve this, using organic waste as a substrate and vector for N2 O-respiring bacteria selected for their capacity to thrive in soil6-8 . Here we have analysed the biokinetics of N2 O reduction by our most promising N2 O-respiring bacterium, Cloacibacterium sp. CB-01, its survival in soil and its effect on N2 O emissions in field experiments. Fertilization with waste from biogas production, in which CB-01 had grown aerobically to about 6 × 109 cells per millilitre, reduced N2 O emissions by 50-95%, depending on soil type. The strong and long-lasting effect of CB-01 is ascribed to its tenacity in soil, rather than its biokinetic parameters, which were inferior to those of other strains of N2 O-respiring bacteria. Scaling our data up to the European level, we find that national anthropogenic N2 O emissions could be reduced by 5-20%, and more if including other organic wastes. This opens an avenue for cost-effective reduction of N2 O emissions for which other mitigation options are lacking at present., (© 2024. The Author(s).)- Published
- 2024
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35. The fate of nitrogen in the urban area - The case of Zielona Góra, Poland.
- Author
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Suchowska-Kisielewicz M, Greinert A, Winiwarter W, Kaltenegger K, Jędrczak A, Myszograj S, Płuciennik-Koropczuk E, Skiba M, and Bazan-Krzywoszańska A
- Abstract
The anthropogenic change of the nitrogen (N) cycle is strongly triggered by urban demand (such as food and meat consumption, energy demand and transport). As a consequence of high population density, impacts on human health through water and air pollution also concentrate on a city environment. Thus, an urban perspective on a predominantly rural pollution becomes relevant. Urban N budgets may be considered less intrinsically connected, so that separation of an agri-food chain and an industry-combustion chain is warranted. Results have been obtained for Zielona Góra, Poland, a city of 140,000 inhabitants characterized by domestic and transport sources and forest-dominated surroundings. In addition to food imports in Zielona Gora amounting to about 30 %, in the suburban area a significant share of N amounting to 41 % is related to fertilizer imports. The remaining imports are in fuel, electronics, textiles, plastics and paper. Most of the agri-food N (45 %) is denitrified in wastewater treatment. N associated with combustion (mainly NOx emissions from vehicles) represents a much smaller share than N entering via the agri-food system, amounting to 22 % of the total N imports. This overall picture is maintained also when specifically addressing the city center, with the exception of mineral fertilizer that plays a much smaller role, with just 7 % of N imports to the city., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2024
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36. Urban nitrogen budgets: Evaluating and comparing the path of nitrogen through cities for improved management.
- Author
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Kaltenegger K, Bai Z, Dragosits U, Fan X, Greinert A, Guéret S, Suchowska-Kisielewicz M, Winiwarter W, Zhang L, and Zhou F
- Abstract
Reactive nitrogen (Nr) released to the environment is a cause of multiple environmental threats. While Nr flows are often only analyzed in an agricultural context, consumption and emission takes place in the urban environment, and opportunities for Nr recycling and effective policy implementation for mitigation often appear in cities. Since little information is available on the bigger picture of Nr flows through the urban environment, these opportunities often remain unexploited. Here we developed a framework to model Nr pathways through urban and surrounding areas, which we applied to four test areas (Beijing and Shijiazhuang (China), Vienna (Austria), and Zielona Góra (Poland)). Using indicators such as recycling rates and Nr surplus, we estimated environmental risks and recycling potentials based on Nr flows and their entry and exit points. Our findings show marked differences between the core and surrounding areas of each city, with the former being a site of Nr consumption with largest flows associated with households, and the latter a site of (agricultural) production with largest flows associated with industry (fertilizers) and urban plants. As a result, Nr transgresses the core areas in a rather linear manner with only 0-5 % being re-used, with inputs from Nr contained in food and fuels and outputs most commonly as non-reactive N
2 emissions to the atmosphere from wastewater treatment and combustion processes. While the peri-urban areas show a higher Nr recycling rate (6-14 %), Nr accumulation and emissions from cultivated land pose significant environmental challenges, indicating the need for mitigation measures. We found potential to increase nitrogen use efficiency through improved Nr management on cultivated areas and to increase Nr recycling using urine and sewage sludge as synthetic fertilizer substitutes. Hence our framework for urban nitrogen budgets not only allows for consistent budgeting but helps identify common patterns, potentially harmful flows and Nr recycling potential., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)- Published
- 2023
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37. Costs and effects of measures to reduce ammonia emissions from dairy cattle and pig production: A comparison of country-specific estimations and model calculations.
- Author
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Rychła A, Amon B, Hassouna M, van der Weerden TJ, and Winiwarter W
- Subjects
- Cattle, Animals, Swine, Ammonia, Livestock
- Abstract
Understanding the costs of emission abatement measures is essential for devising reduction efforts. It allows to identify cost-effective solutions to achieve target values set by international agreements or national policies. This work aims to summarize and discuss the current knowledge on costs and effects associated with selected ammonia (NH
3 ) mitigation measures in livestock production through comparison of country-specific and model-estimated values. Often, large differences appear between the results of individual countries, also in comparison with model results that are generally better harmonized between countries. It seems that different system boundaries in cost assessments, but also different geographic and structural conditions create perceived as well as real cost differences, also caused by the variability of individual situations. Our results are robust with respect to identifying feeding strategies as the most cost-effective, but results for other mitigation options do not show any clear trends, thus making it difficult to distinguish further cost-effective solutions. We point out and discuss some key aspects which may affect estimates of national costs, leading to challenges with the interpretation of final results. Our study concludes that further and more consistent assessments (e.g. standardized protocols) are needed to improve the evaluation base for other individual abatement options, including options that are under development., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2023 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)- Published
- 2023
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38. Optimal reactive nitrogen control pathways identified for cost-effective PM 2.5 mitigation in Europe.
- Author
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Liu Z, Rieder HE, Schmidt C, Mayer M, Guo Y, Winiwarter W, and Zhang L
- Abstract
Excess reactive nitrogen (Nr), including nitrogen oxides (NO
x ) and ammonia (NH3 ), contributes strongly to fine particulate matter (PM2.5 ) air pollution in Europe, posing challenges to public health. Designing cost-effective Nr control roadmaps for PM2.5 mitigation requires considering both mitigation efficiencies and implementation costs. Here we identify optimal Nr control pathways for Europe by integrating emission estimations, air quality modeling, exposure-mortality modeling, Nr control experiments and cost data. We find that phasing out Nr emissions would reduce PM2.5 by 2.3 ± 1.2 μg·m-3 in Europe, helping many locations achieve the World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines and reducing PM2.5 -related premature deaths by almost 100 thousand in 2015. Low-ambition NH3 controls have similar PM2.5 mitigation efficiencies as NOx in Eastern Europe, but are less effective in Western Europe until reductions exceed 40%. The efficiency for NH3 controls increases at high-ambition reductions while NOx slightly decreases. When costs are considered, strategies for both regions uniformly shift in favor of NH3 controls, as NH3 controls up to 50% remain 5-11 times more cost-effective than NOx per unit PM2.5 reduction, emphasizing the priority of NH3 control policies for Europe., (© 2023. The Author(s).)- Published
- 2023
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39. The 2022 China report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: leveraging climate actions for healthy ageing.
- Author
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Cai W, Zhang C, Zhang S, Bai Y, Callaghan M, Chang N, Chen B, Chen H, Cheng L, Cui X, Dai H, Danna B, Dong W, Fan W, Fang X, Gao T, Geng Y, Guan D, Hu Y, Hua J, Huang C, Huang H, Huang J, Jiang L, Jiang Q, Jiang X, Jin H, Kiesewetter G, Liang L, Lin B, Lin H, Liu H, Liu Q, Liu T, Liu X, Liu X, Liu Z, Liu Z, Lou S, Lu C, Luo Z, Meng W, Miao H, Ren C, Romanello M, Schöpp W, Su J, Tang X, Wang C, Wang Q, Warnecke L, Wen S, Winiwarter W, Xie Y, Xu B, Yan Y, Yang X, Yao F, Yu L, Yuan J, Zeng Y, Zhang J, Zhang L, Zhang R, Zhang S, Zhang S, Zhao Q, Zheng D, Zhou H, Zhou J, Fung MFC, Luo Y, and Gong P
- Subjects
- Humans, Global Health, Health Policy, China, Climate Change, Healthy Aging
- Abstract
Competing Interests: Declaration of interests We declare no competing interests.
- Published
- 2022
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40. Analysis of the air pollution reduction and climate change mitigation effects of the Three-Year Action Plan for Blue Skies on the "2+26" Cities in China.
- Author
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Shu Y, Hu J, Zhang S, Schöpp W, Tang W, Du J, Cofala J, Kiesewetter G, Sander R, Winiwarter W, Klimont Z, Borken-Kleefeld J, Amann M, Li H, He Y, Zhao J, and Xie D
- Subjects
- Carbon Dioxide analysis, China, Cities, Climate Change, Environmental Monitoring methods, Particulate Matter analysis, Air Pollutants analysis, Air Pollution analysis, Air Pollution prevention & control, Greenhouse Gases analysis
- Abstract
City clusters play an important role in air pollutant and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction in China, primarily due to their high fossil energy consumption levels. The "2 + 26" Cities, i.e., Beijing, Tianjin and 26 other perfectures in northern China, has experienced serious air pollution in recent years. We employ the Greenhouse Gas and Air Pollution Interactions and Synergies model adapted to the "2 + 26" Cities (GAINS-JJJ) to evaluate the impacts of structural adjustments in four major sectors, industry, energy, transport and land use, under the Three-Year Action Plan for Blue Skies (Three-Year Action Plan) on the emissions of both the major air pollutants and CO
2 in the "2 + 26" Cities. The results indicate that the Three-Year Action Plan applied in the "2 + 26" Cities reduces the total emissions of primary fine particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of ≤ 2.5 μm (PM2.5 ), SO2 , NOx , NH3 and CO2 by 17%, 25%, 21%, 3% and 1%, respectively, from 2017 to 2020. The emission reduction potentials vary widely across the 28 prefectures, which may be attributed to the differences in energy structure, industrial composition, and policy enforcement rate. Among the four sectors, adjustment of industrial structure attains the highest co-benefits of CO2 reduction and air pollution control due to its high CO2 reduction potential, while structural adjustments in energy and transport attain much lower co-benefits, despite their relatively high air pollutant emissions reductions, primarily resulting from an increase in the coal-electric load and associated carbon emissions caused by electric reform policies.., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)- Published
- 2022
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41. A gap in nitrous oxide emission reporting complicates long-term climate mitigation.
- Author
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Del Grosso SJ, Ogle SM, Nevison C, Gurung R, Parton WJ, Wagner-Riddle C, Smith W, Winiwarter W, Grant B, Tenuta M, Marx E, Spencer S, and Williams S
- Abstract
Nitrous oxide (N
2 O) is an important greenhouse gas (GHG) that also contributes to depletion of ozone in the stratosphere. Agricultural soils account for about 60% of anthropogenic N2 O emissions. Most national GHG reporting to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change assumes nitrogen (N) additions drive emissions during the growing season, but soil freezing and thawing during spring is also an important driver in cold climates. We show that both atmospheric inversions and newly implemented bottom-up modeling approaches exhibit large N2 O pulses in the northcentral region of the United States during early spring and this increases annual N2 O emissions from croplands and grasslands reported in the national GHG inventory by 6 to 16%. Considering this, emission accounting in cold climate regions is very likely underestimated in most national reporting frameworks. Current commitments related to the Paris Agreement and COP26 emphasize reductions of carbon compounds. Assuming these targets are met, the importance of accurately accounting and mitigating N2 O increases once CO2 and CH4 are phased out. Hence, the N2 O emission underestimate introduces additional risks into meeting long-term climate goals.- Published
- 2022
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42. Strategies to reduce ammonia emissions from livestock and their cost-benefit analysis: A case study of Sheyang county.
- Author
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Wang H, Zhao Z, Winiwarter W, Bai Z, Wang X, Fan X, Zhu Z, Hu C, and Ma L
- Subjects
- Animals, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Livestock, Manure, Air Pollution analysis, Air Pollution prevention & control, Ammonia analysis
- Abstract
Ammonia (NH
3 ) emissions, the majority of which arise from livestock production, are linked to high concentration of PM2.5 and lower air quality in China. NH3 mitigation options were well studied at the small-scale (laboratory or pilot), however, they lack of a large-scale test in China. This study fills this crucial gap by evaluating the cost-benefit of pioneering NH3 mitigation projects carried out for a whole county - Sheyang, Jiangsu province, China. Measures were implemented in 2019 following two distinct strategies, improved manure treatment for industrial livestock farms, and collection and central treatment for traditional livestock farms. Emission reductions of 16% were achieved in a short time. While this is remarkable, it falls short of expectations from small-scale studies. If measures were fully implemented according to purpose and meet expectations from the small scale, higher emission reductions of 42% would be possible. The cost benefit analysis presented in this study demonstrated advantages of central manure treatment over in-farm facilities. With improved implementation of mitigation strategies in industrial livestock farms, traditional livestock farms may play an increasing role in total NH3 emissions, which means such farms either need to be included in future NH3 mitigation policies or gradually replaced by industrial livestock farms. The study found an agricultural NH3 reduction technology route suitable for China's national conditions (such as the "Sheyang Model")., (Copyright © 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)- Published
- 2021
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43. Abating ammonia is more cost-effective than nitrogen oxides for mitigating PM 2.5 air pollution.
- Author
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Gu B, Zhang L, Van Dingenen R, Vieno M, Van Grinsven HJ, Zhang X, Zhang S, Chen Y, Wang S, Ren C, Rao S, Holland M, Winiwarter W, Chen D, Xu J, and Sutton MA
- Abstract
Fine particulate matter (PM
2.5 , particles with a mass median aerodynamic diameter of less than 2.5 micrometers) in the atmosphere is associated with severe negative impacts on human health, and the gases sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides, and ammonia are the main PM2.5 precursors. However, their contribution to global health impacts has not yet been analyzed. Here, we show that nitrogen accounted for 39% of global PM2.5 exposure in 2013, increasing from 30% in 1990 with rising reactive nitrogen emissions and successful controls on sulfur dioxide. Nitrogen emissions to air caused an estimated 23.3 million years of life lost in 2013, corresponding to an annual welfare loss of 420 billion United States dollars for premature death. The marginal abatement cost of ammonia emission is only 10% that of nitrogen oxides emission globally, highlighting the priority for ammonia reduction.- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
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44. Decoupling between ammonia emission and crop production in China due to policy interventions.
- Author
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Adalibieke W, Zhan X, Cui X, Reis S, Winiwarter W, and Zhou F
- Subjects
- China, Crop Production, Policy, Ammonia analysis, Fertilizers
- Abstract
Cropland ammonia (NH
3 ) emission is a critical driver triggering haze pollution. Many agricultural policies were enforced in past four decades to improve nitrogen (N) use efficiency while maintaining crop yield. Inadvertent reductions of NH3 emissions, which may be induced by such policies, are not well evaluated. Here, we quantify the China's cropland-NH3 emission change from 1980 to 2050 and its response to policy interventions, using a data-driven model and a survey-based dataset of the fertilization scheme. Cropland-NH3 emission in China doubled from 1.93 to 4.02 Tg NH3 -N in period 1980-1996, and then decreased to 3.50 Tg NH3 -N in 2017. The prevalence of four agricultural policies may avoid ~3.0 Tg NH3 -N in 2017, mainly located in highly fertilized areas. Optimization of fertilizer management and food consumption could mitigate three-quarters of NH3 emission in 2050 and lower NH3 emission intensity (emission divided by crop production) close to the European Union and the United States. Our findings provide an evidence on the decoupling of cropland-NH3 from crop production in China and suggest the need to achieve cropland-NH3 mitigation while sustaining crop yields in other developing economies., (© 2021 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)- Published
- 2021
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45. Nitrogen budgets in Japan from 2000 to 2015: Decreasing trend of nitrogen loss to the environment and the challenge to further reduce nitrogen waste.
- Author
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Hayashi K, Shibata H, Oita A, Nishina K, Ito A, Katagiri K, Shindo J, and Winiwarter W
- Subjects
- Aged, Agriculture, Commerce, Humans, Internationality, Japan, Ecosystem, Nitrogen analysis
- Abstract
The benefits of the artificial fixation of reactive nitrogen (Nr, nitrogen [N] compounds other than dinitrogen), in the form of N fertilizers and materials are huge, while at the same time posing substantial threats to human and ecosystem health by the release of Nr to the environment. To achieve sustainable N use, Nr loss to the environment must be reduced. An N-budget approach at the national level would allow us to fully grasp the whole picture of Nr loss to the environment through the quantification of important N flows in the country. In this study, the N budgets in Japan were estimated from 2000 to 2015 using available statistics, datasets, and literature. The net N inflow to Japanese human sectors in 2010 was 6180 Gg N yr
-1 in total. With 420 Gg N yr-1 accumulating in human settlements, 5760 Gg N yr-1 was released from the human sector, of which 1960 Gg N yr-1 was lost to the environment as Nr (64% to air and 36% to waters), and the remainder assumed as dinitrogen. Nr loss decreased in both atmospheric emissions and loss to terrestrial water over time. The distinct reduction in the atmospheric emissions of nitrogen oxides from transportation, at -4.3% yr-1 , was attributed to both emission controls and a decrease in energy consumption. Reductions in runoff and leaching from land as well as the discharge of treated water were found, at -1.0% yr-1 for both. The aging of Japan's population coincided with the reductions in the per capita supply and consumption of food and energy. Future challenges for Japan lie in further reducing N waste and adapting its N flows in international trade to adopt more sustainable options considering the reduced demand due to the aging population., (Copyright © 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
46. Food and feed trade has greatly impacted global land and nitrogen use efficiencies over 1961-2017.
- Author
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Bai Z, Ma W, Zhao H, Guo M, Oenema O, Smith P, Velthof G, Liu X, Hu C, Wang P, Zhang N, Liu L, Guo S, Fan X, Winiwarter W, and Ma L
- Abstract
International trade of agricultural products has complicated and far-reaching impacts on land and nitrogen use efficiencies. We analysed the productivity of cropland and livestock and associated use of feed and fertilizer efficiency for over 240 countries, and estimated these countries' cumulative contributions to imports and exports of 190 agricultural products for the period 1961-2017. Crop trade has increased global land and partial fertilizer nitrogen productivities in terms of protein production, which equalled savings of 2,270 Mha cropland and 480 Tg synthetic fertilizer nitrogen over the analysed period. However, crop trade decreased global cropland productivity when productivity is expressed on an energy (per calorie) basis. Agricultural trade has generally moved towards optimality, that is, has increased global land and nitrogen use efficiencies during 1961-2017, but remains at a relatively low level. Overall, mixed impacts of trade on resource use indicate the need to rethink trade patterns and improve their optimality., (© 2021. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.)
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
47. Improved Estimates of Ammonia Emissions from Global Croplands.
- Author
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Zhan X, Adalibieke W, Cui X, Winiwarter W, Reis S, Zhang L, Bai Z, Wang Q, Huang W, and Zhou F
- Subjects
- Agriculture, China, Crops, Agricultural, India, Pakistan, Ammonia analysis, Fertilizers
- Abstract
Reducing ammonia (NH
3 ) volatilization from croplands while satisfying the food demand is strategically required to mitigate haze pollution. However, the global pattern of NH3 volatilization remains uncertain, primarily because of the episodic nature of NH3 volatilization rates and the high variation of fertilization practices. Here, we improve a global estimate of crop-specific NH3 emissions at a high spatial resolution using an updated data-driven model with a survey-based dataset of the fertilization scheme. Our estimate of the globally averaged volatilization rate (12.6% ± 2.1%) is in line with previous data-driven studies (13.7 ± 3.1%) but results in one-quarter lower emissions than process-based models (16.5 ± 3.1%). The associated global emissions are estimated at 14.4 ± 2.3 Tg N, with more than 50% of the total stemming from three stable crops or 12.2% of global harvested areas. Nearly three-quarters of global cropland-NH3 emissions could be reduced by improving fertilization schemes (right rate, right type, and right placement). A small proportion (20%) of global harvested areas, primarily located in China, India, and Pakistan, accounts for 64% of abatement potentials. Our findings provide a critical reference guide for the future abatement strategy design when considering locations and crop types.- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
48. Reducing global air pollution: the scope for further policy interventions.
- Author
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Amann M, Kiesewetter G, Schöpp W, Klimont Z, Winiwarter W, Cofala J, Rafaj P, Höglund-Isaksson L, Gomez-Sabriana A, Heyes C, Purohit P, Borken-Kleefeld J, Wagner F, Sander R, Fagerli H, Nyiri A, Cozzi L, and Pavarini C
- Abstract
Over the last decades, energy and pollution control policies combined with structural changes in the economy decoupled emission trends from economic growth, increasingly also in the developing world. It is found that effective implementation of the presently decided national pollution control regulations should allow further economic growth without major deterioration of ambient air quality, but will not be enough to reduce pollution levels in many world regions. A combination of ambitious policies focusing on pollution controls, energy and climate, agricultural production systems and addressing human consumption habits could drastically improve air quality throughout the world. By 2040, mean population exposure to PM2.5 from anthropogenic sources could be reduced by about 75% relative to 2015 and brought well below the WHO guideline in large areas of the world. While the implementation of the proposed technical measures is likely to be technically feasible in the future, the transformative changes of current practices will require strong political will, supported by a full appreciation of the multiple benefits. Improved air quality would avoid a large share of the current 3-9 million cases of premature deaths annually. At the same time, the measures that deliver clean air would also significantly reduce emissions of greenhouse gases and contribute to multiple UN sustainable development goals. This article is part of a discussion meeting issue 'Air quality, past present and future'.
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
49. Spatial Planning Needed to Drastically Reduce Nitrogen and Phosphorus Surpluses in China's Agriculture.
- Author
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Jin X, Bai Z, Oenema O, Winiwarter W, Velthof G, Chen X, and Ma L
- Subjects
- Agriculture, Animals, China, Fertilizers, Humans, Nitrogen, Phosphorus analysis
- Abstract
China's fertilization practices contribute greatly to the global biogeochemical nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) flows, which have exceeded the safe-operating space. Here, we quantified the potentials of improved nutrient management in the food chain and spatial planning of livestock farms on nutrient use efficiency and losses in China, using a nutrient flow model and detailed information on >2300 counties. Annual fertilizer use could be reduced by 26 Tg N and 6.4 Tg P following improved nutrient management. This reduction N and P fertilizer use would contribute 30% and 80% of the required global reduction, needed to keep the biogeochemical N and P flows within the planetary boundary. However, there are various barriers to make this happen. A major barrier is the transportation cost due to the uneven distributions of crop land, livestock, and people within the country. The amounts of N and P in wastes and residues are larger than the N and P demand of the crops grown in 30% and 50% of the counties, respectively. We argue that a drastic increase in the recycling and utilization of N and P from wastes and residues can only happen following relocation of livestock farms to areas with sufficient cropland.
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
50. A comprehensive quantification of global nitrous oxide sources and sinks.
- Author
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Tian H, Xu R, Canadell JG, Thompson RL, Winiwarter W, Suntharalingam P, Davidson EA, Ciais P, Jackson RB, Janssens-Maenhout G, Prather MJ, Regnier P, Pan N, Pan S, Peters GP, Shi H, Tubiello FN, Zaehle S, Zhou F, Arneth A, Battaglia G, Berthet S, Bopp L, Bouwman AF, Buitenhuis ET, Chang J, Chipperfield MP, Dangal SRS, Dlugokencky E, Elkins JW, Eyre BD, Fu B, Hall B, Ito A, Joos F, Krummel PB, Landolfi A, Laruelle GG, Lauerwald R, Li W, Lienert S, Maavara T, MacLeod M, Millet DB, Olin S, Patra PK, Prinn RG, Raymond PA, Ruiz DJ, van der Werf GR, Vuichard N, Wang J, Weiss RF, Wells KC, Wilson C, Yang J, and Yao Y
- Subjects
- Agriculture, Atmosphere chemistry, Crops, Agricultural metabolism, Human Activities, Internationality, Nitrogen analysis, Nitrogen metabolism, Nitrous Oxide analysis, Nitrous Oxide metabolism
- Abstract
Nitrous oxide (N
2 O), like carbon dioxide, is a long-lived greenhouse gas that accumulates in the atmosphere. Over the past 150 years, increasing atmospheric N2 O concentrations have contributed to stratospheric ozone depletion1 and climate change2 , with the current rate of increase estimated at 2 per cent per decade. Existing national inventories do not provide a full picture of N2 O emissions, owing to their omission of natural sources and limitations in methodology for attributing anthropogenic sources. Here we present a global N2 O inventory that incorporates both natural and anthropogenic sources and accounts for the interaction between nitrogen additions and the biochemical processes that control N2 O emissions. We use bottom-up (inventory, statistical extrapolation of flux measurements, process-based land and ocean modelling) and top-down (atmospheric inversion) approaches to provide a comprehensive quantification of global N2 O sources and sinks resulting from 21 natural and human sectors between 1980 and 2016. Global N2 O emissions were 17.0 (minimum-maximum estimates: 12.2-23.5) teragrams of nitrogen per year (bottom-up) and 16.9 (15.9-17.7) teragrams of nitrogen per year (top-down) between 2007 and 2016. Global human-induced emissions, which are dominated by nitrogen additions to croplands, increased by 30% over the past four decades to 7.3 (4.2-11.4) teragrams of nitrogen per year. This increase was mainly responsible for the growth in the atmospheric burden. Our findings point to growing N2 O emissions in emerging economies-particularly Brazil, China and India. Analysis of process-based model estimates reveals an emerging N2 O-climate feedback resulting from interactions between nitrogen additions and climate change. The recent growth in N2 O emissions exceeds some of the highest projected emission scenarios3,4 , underscoring the urgency to mitigate N2 O emissions.- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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