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A comprehensive quantification of global nitrous oxide sources and sinks.

Authors :
Tian H
Xu R
Canadell JG
Thompson RL
Winiwarter W
Suntharalingam P
Davidson EA
Ciais P
Jackson RB
Janssens-Maenhout G
Prather MJ
Regnier P
Pan N
Pan S
Peters GP
Shi H
Tubiello FN
Zaehle S
Zhou F
Arneth A
Battaglia G
Berthet S
Bopp L
Bouwman AF
Buitenhuis ET
Chang J
Chipperfield MP
Dangal SRS
Dlugokencky E
Elkins JW
Eyre BD
Fu B
Hall B
Ito A
Joos F
Krummel PB
Landolfi A
Laruelle GG
Lauerwald R
Li W
Lienert S
Maavara T
MacLeod M
Millet DB
Olin S
Patra PK
Prinn RG
Raymond PA
Ruiz DJ
van der Werf GR
Vuichard N
Wang J
Weiss RF
Wells KC
Wilson C
Yang J
Yao Y
Source :
Nature [Nature] 2020 Oct; Vol. 586 (7828), pp. 248-256. Date of Electronic Publication: 2020 Oct 07.
Publication Year :
2020

Abstract

Nitrous oxide (N <subscript>2</subscript> O), like carbon dioxide, is a long-lived greenhouse gas that accumulates in the atmosphere. Over the past 150 years, increasing atmospheric N <subscript>2</subscript> O concentrations have contributed to stratospheric ozone depletion <superscript>1</superscript> and climate change <superscript>2</superscript> , with the current rate of increase estimated at 2 per cent per decade. Existing national inventories do not provide a full picture of N <subscript>2</subscript> O emissions, owing to their omission of natural sources and limitations in methodology for attributing anthropogenic sources. Here we present a global N <subscript>2</subscript> O inventory that incorporates both natural and anthropogenic sources and accounts for the interaction between nitrogen additions and the biochemical processes that control N <subscript>2</subscript> O emissions. We use bottom-up (inventory, statistical extrapolation of flux measurements, process-based land and ocean modelling) and top-down (atmospheric inversion) approaches to provide a comprehensive quantification of global N <subscript>2</subscript> O sources and sinks resulting from 21 natural and human sectors between 1980 and 2016. Global N <subscript>2</subscript> O emissions were 17.0 (minimum-maximum estimates: 12.2-23.5) teragrams of nitrogen per year (bottom-up) and 16.9 (15.9-17.7) teragrams of nitrogen per year (top-down) between 2007 and 2016. Global human-induced emissions, which are dominated by nitrogen additions to croplands, increased by 30% over the past four decades to 7.3 (4.2-11.4) teragrams of nitrogen per year. This increase was mainly responsible for the growth in the atmospheric burden. Our findings point to growing N <subscript>2</subscript> O emissions in emerging economies-particularly Brazil, China and India. Analysis of process-based model estimates reveals an emerging N <subscript>2</subscript> O-climate feedback resulting from interactions between nitrogen additions and climate change. The recent growth in N <subscript>2</subscript> O emissions exceeds some of the highest projected emission scenarios <superscript>3,4</superscript> , underscoring the urgency to mitigate N <subscript>2</subscript> O emissions.

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
1476-4687
Volume :
586
Issue :
7828
Database :
MEDLINE
Journal :
Nature
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
33028999
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2780-0