1. İklim Değişikliği Ekonomik Büyüme ve Gıda Fiyatları Döngüsü: Türkiye Örneği.
- Author
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BATU AĞIRKAYA, Melahat
- Subjects
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ECONOMIC expansion , *CLIMATE change , *FOOD prices - Abstract
Climate change is a severe, worldwide problem that affects people’s welfare, health, and future expectations with its effects on agricultural production and the economy. In this direction, the current study covering the period 1990-2019 examined the longand short-term relationships between Climate change, Economic growth (Real GDP), and Food price index in Türkiye. In the study, correlations between Climate change indicators-carbon dioxide emission, temperature, agricultural area series-Food price index, and Economic growth were estimated with the ARDL model. According to the ARDL boundary test results, the effect of Economic growth on the Food price index is lower than the effect of Climate change on the Food price index in the long run. In the long run, the effect of changing carbon dioxide amount on food prices is insignificant. A probable rising temperature and expanding agricultural areas will raise food prices. In the short term, the temperature rising in the past three periods will cause current period food prices to fall, while the decrease in agricultural areas in the previous period will cause food prices to rise. The study observed that Food prices have been more affected by Climate changes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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