1. Heterogeneity of treatment effects by risk in pulmonary arterial hypertension
- Author
-
Hao-Min Pan, Robyn L. McClelland, Jude Moutchia, Dina H. Appleby, Jason S. Fritz, John H. Holmes, Jasleen Minhas, Harold I. Palevsky, Ryan J. Urbanowicz, Steven M. Kawut, and Nadine Al-Naamani
- Subjects
Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine - Abstract
BackgroundIt is currently unknown if disease severity modifies response to therapy in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). We aimed to explore if disease severity, as defined by established risk-prediction algorithms modified response to therapy in randomized clinical trials in PAH.MethodsWe performed a meta-analysis using individual participant data from 18 randomized clinical trials of therapy for PAH submitted to the United States Food and Drug Administration to determine if predicted risk of one-year mortality at randomization modified the treatment effect on three outcomes: change in six-minute walk distance (6MWD), clinical worsening at 12 weeks, and time-to-clinical worsening.ResultsOf 6561 patients with a baseline U.S. Registry to Evaluate Early and Long-Term PAH Disease Management (REVEAL 2.0) score, we found that individuals with higher baseline risk had higher probabilities of clinical worsening but no difference in change in 6MWD. We detected a significant interaction of REVEAL 2.0 risk and treatment assignment on change in 6MWD. For every three-point increase in REVEAL 2.0 score, there was a 12.49 meter (95%CI 5.86–19.12, p=0.001) greater treatment effect in change in 6MWD. We did not detect a significant risk by treatment interaction on clinical worsening with most of the risk prediction algorithms.ConclusionsWe found that predicted risk of one-year mortality in PAH modified treatment effect as measured by 6MWD, but not clinical worsening. Our findings highlight the importance of identifying sources of treatment heterogeneity by predicted risk to tailor studies to patients most likely to have the greatest treatment response.
- Published
- 2023